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Continuation and maintenance treatments for persistent depressive disorder

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Abstract

This is a protocol for a Cochrane Review (Intervention). The objectives are as follows:

To assess the effects of pharmacological and psychological continuation and maintenance treatments for persistent depressive disorder, in comparison with each other; placebo (drug/attention placebo/non‐specific treatment control); and treatment as usual (TAU). In addition, to assess the effects of combined psychological and pharmacological continuation and maintenance treatments, in comparison with either of these treatments alone.

Background

Description of the condition

Persistent forms of depression that last for two years or longer represent a substantial proportion of depressive disorders (Boland 2002; Gilmer 2005; Keller 1992; Spijker 2002). Within the literature, four subtypes can be distinguished: (1) dysthymia, (2) chronic major depression, (3) recurrent major depression with incomplete remission between episodes, and (4) double depression (Dunner 2005). Dysthymic disorder is defined as a condition with mild depressive symptoms persisting for at least two years. Major depressive episode, chronic type, refers to a more severe condition that meets the full criteria for major depression continuously for a minimum of two years. Patients who have recovered to the point at which they no longer meet full criteria for a major depressive episode but continue to experience significant symptoms for at least two years are referred to as recurrent major depression with incomplete remission between episodes. The superimposition of a major depressive episode on antecedent dysthymia is referred to as double depression (Klein 2010). In the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM)‐5 (APA 2013), the new diagnostic category of persistent depressive disorder was introduced subsuming dysthymic as well as chronic major depressive disorders.

The mean length of persistent depression is between 17 to 30 years (Gilmer 2005; Kocsis 2008), and the lifetime prevalence for persistent depressive disorders is estimated to range from 3% to 6% in current epidemiological studies from the US and Australia (Kessler 2005; Klein 2010; Murphy 2012). In comparison to acute forms of depression, persistent depressive disorders are associated with longer treatment duration; increased loss of physical well‐being; increased comorbidity; more severe impairments in social, psychological, and emotional functioning; increased health care utilization; and more frequent suicide attempts and hospitalizations (Arnow 2003; Gilmer 2005). Thus, persistent depression is likely to make a large contribution to the high burden of disease that is associated with unipolar depression according to disability‐adjusted life years (DALYs) (WHO 2008).

Description of the intervention

Overall, a large number of different interventions exist for the treatment of unipolar depression, including psychological, pharmacological, and combined psychological and pharmacological therapies. Evidence from randomized controlled trials (RCTs), as well as meta‐analyses, suggests that these interventions are effective in the acute treatment of depression, including persistent forms of depression (Cuijpers 2010; Cuijpers 2013; Imel 2008; Keller 2000; Kriston 2014; Spijker 2013; von Wolff 2012; von Wolff 2013). Still, there is also evidence that some patients do not respond to treatment, do not reach complete remission, and develop persisting residual symptoms in the long term (Epstein 2014). It is estimated that half of the people suffering from depressive disorders are developing a chronic course (Klein 2011).

Moreover, acute phase treatments often fail to prevent relapse (which is defined as the return of symptoms of depression before a full remission has been achieved) and recurrence (which is defined as the appearance of another new episode of depression after full remission of a previous episode has been achieved) in major depression. For example, after scheduled termination of acute phase cognitive therapy (CT), relapse or recurrence rates were found to be 29% in the first year and 54% in the second year (Vittengl 2007). In this same study, even when other depression‐specific psychological therapies and even higher doses of pharmacotherapy were used after the acute‐phase treatment, relapse and recurrence rates were still high (Vittengl 2007). One study has shown that 30% to 50% of patients considered to be remitted still have to deal with residual depressive symptoms (Nutt 2007).

Thus, following response to acute treatment, long‐term continuation and maintenance therapy is required to protect patients from relapse or recurrence of symptoms. Continuation treatments are defined as treatments given to currently remitted patients (remission is defined as depressive symptoms dropping below case level) or to patients that previously responded to an antidepressant treatment. Maintenance therapy is given during recovery (which is defined as remission lasting longer than six months; Frank 1991; NICE 2010). The German National Disease Management Guideline (S3‐Guideline) for Unipolar Depression recommends a combination of pharmacotherapy and psychological therapy as acute phase treatment for patients suffering from persistent forms of depression (DGPPN 2015). Additionally, a continued psychological therapy or pharmacotherapy, or both, is recommended to prevent relapse and recurrence. Specifically, the type of treatment that was successful in the acute phase is recommended to be continued (APA 2010; DGPPN 2015; NICE 2010).

However, these recommendations are based on a limited number of studies and expert opinion. Hence, a systematic search of evidence regarding the effectiveness of pharmacological, psychological, and combined pharmacological and psychological therapies as continuation and maintenance treatments for patients suffering from persistent forms of depression is needed.

How the intervention might work

Acute treatments aim to reduce depressive symptoms and re‐establish psychosocial functioning. In comparison, continuation and maintenance treatments aim to maintain (or improve) the psychofunctional status reached by acute treatment, and to reduce the likelihood of relapse and recurrence in the long‐term (DGPPN 2015). Therefore, continuation and maintenance treatments are considered to be more than a pure extension of acute treatments, because continuation/maintenance treatments differ in frequency and content over the course of the illness in comparison to acute treatments.

Psychological continuation and maintenance interventions are offered usually less frequently than acute psychological therapy, aiming to monitor symptoms and to integrate techniques and strategies into daily life in the long‐term (DGPPN 2015). Different programmes that target the prevention of relapse and recurrence focus on a range of effect mechanisms. Cognitive therapy (CT) approaches focus on the generalization of skills achieved during acute therapy (Jarrett 1998), or on the cognitive content of negative thinking (Bockting 2005). Mindfulness‐Based Cognitive Therapy (MBCT) was developed to reduce relapse and recurrence in depression (Piet 2011; Segal 2002), and teaches people to deal with negative feelings and thoughts as a part of their lives through becoming aware of negative cognitive patterns. Maintenance Interpersonal Psychotherapy (IPT) aims to complement skills gained in the acute phase therapy and teaches patients to take responsibility in the prevention of future episodes by recognizing and preventing stressing environmental and social circumstances (Beshai 2011). Still, it remains challenging to completely understand the mechanisms of preventing relapse and recurrence (Beshai 2011).

The exact therapeutic mechanisms of antidepressants are still critically discussed (Pringle 2011). Most antidepressants seem to increase the concentrations of monoamine neurotransmitters (e.g. serotonin or noradrenaline) in the synaptic cleft (Berton 2006). However, the effect of most antidepressants fully develops after some weeks, indicating that neurophysiological changes of brain tissue (e.g. changes in sensitivity and frequency of receptors), occurring in the presence of a constant level of active ingredients, are necessary for permanent improvement. Depending on the type of active ingredient, antidepressants can have mood‐enhancing, anxiolytic, or sedative effects and can increase or decrease inner drive. Moreover, the placebo effect is of particular importance in the treatment of depression. Several studies assume that the more severe the depressive symptoms are, the greater the benefit of antidepressants seem to be compared to placebo (Anderson 2008; Kirsch 2008). However, a recent meta‐analysis performed on patient‐level data regarding the response to antidepressant medication showed that initial depression severity and outcomes were similarly related in treatment and placebo groups (Rabinowitz 2016).

A number of studies have shown that the risk of relapse or recurrence of depression is associated with residual symptoms following acute treatment phases (APA 2010; NICE 2010). These findings have lead to the therapeutic goal of sustained remission and recommendations of international treatment guidelines to continue antidepressant medication after acute phase treatment (APA 2010; NICE 2010).

Why it is important to do this review

Research that focuses on the prevention of recurrence of depression was identified as a top priority in the recent project 'Depression: asking the right questions' (MQ 2016). The high prevalence and the severe personal, societal, and economic consequences of persistent depressive disorder (Gilmer 2005), underline the need for adequate treatment strategies. Growing evidence indicates that persistent depressive disorder responds well to several acute interventions, such as combined psychological and pharmacological treatments, although the number of RCTs is still limited (Spijker 2013). Yet, given the high rates of relapse and recurrences of depression following response to acute treatment, long‐term continuation and maintenance therapy are of great importance (Beshai 2011).

Several RCTs have supported the effectiveness of continuation and maintenance therapies for depression has been supported (Browne 2002; Jarrett 2001; Jarrett 2013; Keller 2007; Klein 2004; Petersen 2010; Vittengl 2009). A meta‐analysis on relapse prevention with antidepressant drug treatment of depressive disorders showed that continued antidepressant medication produced a robust reduction in relapse (Glue 2010). Another meta‐analysis, Vittengl 2007, summarizes the findings of long‐term effects of cognitive behavioural therapy (CBT). Patients who responded to acute treatment and continued to receive CBT showed a significant reduction in relapse and recurrence rates in comparison to inactive as well as active controls.

Although most evidence addresses acute treatments for persistent depressive disorder or long‐term treatments for acute depressive episodes, some studies have been performed to address the effectiveness of long‐term treatments of persistent depressive disorder (Gelenberg 2003; Harrison 1986; Keller 1998; Klein 2004; Kocsis 1996; Kocsis 2003; Koran 2001; Rouillon 1989; Stangier 2013).

Until now, no systematic review on the comparative effectiveness of continuation and maintenance treatments for persistent depressive disorder has been available.

In summary, this systematic review may be highly relevant as:

  • persistent depressive disorders have a high prevalence and serious personal, societal, and economic consequences;

  • no evidence synthesis is available on continuation and maintenance treatments of persistent depressive disorders;

  • high quality evidence synthesis is needed for clinical guideline recommendations.

Objectives

To assess the effects of pharmacological and psychological continuation and maintenance treatments for persistent depressive disorder, in comparison with each other; placebo (drug/attention placebo/non‐specific treatment control); and treatment as usual (TAU). In addition, to assess the effects of combined psychological and pharmacological continuation and maintenance treatments, in comparison with either of these treatments alone.

Methods

Criteria for considering studies for this review

Types of studies

We will include RCTs, including cross‐over and cluster‐RCTs, and controlled clinical trials (CCTs). We have considered CCTs for inclusion as the number of RCTs may be limited. We will not apply any restrictions regarding other study design characteristics.

Types of participants

Participant characteristics

We will include participants 18 years of age and older of any gender and ethnicity.

Diagnosis

We will include participants who have a diagnosis of persistent depressive disorder or have had this diagnosis before their last previous acute treatment. The diagnosis of depression needs to rely on a formal classification system, such as the International Classification of Diseases (ICD) (WHO 1992), or DSM (APA 2013). Participants need to be either currently remitted from persistent depressive disorder or need to have at least partially responded to an acute intervention (at least 25% symptom reduction from baseline) at the beginning of the continuation or maintenance treatment. We will include participants described as "treatment resistant" if they fulfil the formerly mentioned criteria. As the distinction between subtypes of persistent depressive disorder (chronic major depression, dysthymia, double depression, or recurrent depression without a complete remission between episodes) is controversial, inclusion will be primarily driven by the duration of the existing depressive disorder. Consequently, we will include studies that investigate participants with chronic major depression, dysthymia, double depression, or recurrent depression without a complete remission between episodes if the target disorders are or have been of at least two years' duration. We will exclude studies that report to investigate "chronically depressed" participants without fulfilling these criteria (e.g. less than two years duration).

Co‐morbidities

We will exclude studies that focus exclusively on persistently depressed participants with a specific concurrent mental or somatic disorder; we assume that the interventions in these types of studies (primarily) address the comorbid condition and are not focused exclusively on persistent depression. We will include studies that do not define specific concurrent mental or somatic conditions as inclusion criteria but report on comorbidities in addition to the persistent depressive disorder.

Setting

We will not place any restrictions based on setting.

Subset data

We will only consider studies in which both participants with persistent and acute forms of depression for inclusion if data are reported separately for the persistent subgroup (or if 80% or more of the total sample has a diagnosis of persistent depression). If randomization is based on the total sample, we will include studies and we will categorize them as non‐RCTs.

Types of interventions

Experimental Intervention

We will consider pharmacological, psychological, and combined continuation and maintenance interventions for inclusion. Continuation treatments are defined as treatments given to currently remitted individuals or to individuals that previously responded to an antidepressant treatment, whereas maintenance treatments are defined as treatments given to people who are currently recovered. Continuation/maintenance treatments need to be started within one year after termination of an acute treatment. We will consider all interventions that satisfy these definitions. Additionally, we will consider for inclusion studies that do not report all the above mentioned criteria but report data on interventions that are clearly labelled as “continuation” or “maintenance” treatments. Pharmacological interventions include the oral administration of classified antidepressants:

  • tricyclic antidepressants;

  • selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors;

  • monoamine oxidase inhibitors;

  • alpha2‐receptor‐antagonists;

  • selective noradrenalin dopamine reuptake inhibitors;

  • melatonin receptor agonists; and

  • serotonin 5 HT2C receptor antagonists;

as well as the following:

  • non‐classified antidepressants (Trazodone);

  • lithium;

  • Hypericum perforatum; and

  • antipsychotic drugs;

as these drugs can be used (alone or in combination) in treating different forms of depression (DGPPN 2015).

Psychological therapies must fulfil the following criteria:

  • the intervention must be based on a scientific theory (described in detail, manualized or referenced);

  • at least one contact between therapist and participant either face‐to‐face or via telecommunication technologies (e.g. online therapy) must take place. Thus, for example, we will not consider the general dissemination of information material in form of leaflets in waiting rooms as a psychological therapy;

  • the intervention must consider the personal needs of the participant or a group of participants and must be individually tailored in an interpersonal process. Thus, we will include group therapies.

Concerning psychological therapies, we will include behaviour therapy/behaviour modification, CBT, third wave CBTs, psychodynamic therapies, humanistic therapies, integrative therapies, systemic therapies, and other psychologically‐oriented interventions (based on the definition of the Cochrane Common Mental Disorders Group).

Combined interventions include the administration of one or more pharmacological agents combined with one or more psychological therapy.

We will not consider for inclusion somatic (e.g. electroconvulsive therapy, vagus nerve stimulation, acupuncture), non‐pharmacological (e.g. physical exercise, bright light therapy), and organizational (e.g. case management) interventions as including too many different interventions is likely to result in large clinical and methodological heterogeneity.

Comparator intervention

We will include both controlled and comparative effectiveness studies. The comparators may be:

  • pharmacological placebo (participants receive placebo pills);

  • attention‐placebo/nonspecific control (participants receive a treatment that involves nonspecific psychosocial factors);

  • TAU;

  • (other) psychological therapy;

  • (other) pharmacological treatment;

  • (other) combined psychological/pharmacological therapy.

Types of outcome measures

Primary outcomes

  • Relapse or recurrence rate of depression, preferentially defined as:

(a) fulfilment of formal diagnostic criteria for depression (DSM, ICD); or

(b) exceeding a cut‐off on a depression symptom rating scale used by the authors, specifically:
i. the Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HDRS) (Hamilton 1960);
ii.the Montgomery ‐Åsberg Depression Rating Scale (MADRS) (Montgomery 1979);
iii.the Beck‐Depression‐Inventory (BDI) (Beck 1996);
iv.the Inventory of Depressive Symptomatology (IDS) (Rush 2000);
v. the Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ) (Spitzer 1999); or
vi.any other depression symptom scale.

Due to the long tradition of depression research, most instruments used in clinical trials are usually psychometrically sound. Such measures will be preferred throughout the review (either referenced and/or sufficient psychometric quality reported).

  • Dropout due to any reason.

Secondary outcomes

  • Symptom severity of depression at the end of treatment (metric outcome of depression scale as defined above);

  • health‐related quality of life e.g. WHO Quality of Life (WHOQOL) (Skevington 2004);

  • dropout due to adverse events;

  • experiencing any adverse event;

  • serious adverse events.

Timing of outcome assessment

The primary outcome time point will be the ‘end of intervention’ (regardless of the duration of the intervention). Additionally, we will evaluate outcomes at the time point ‘one year after the end of intervention’ provided sufficient data are available. If one‐year data are unavailable, we will use data that range between six and 18 months after the end of intervention, with a preference for the time that was closest to one year after the end of intervention.

Hierarchy of outcome measures

If more than one diagnostic definition or depression symptom rating scale, or both, are available (concerning the outcome 'Relapse or recurrence rate of depression'), we will use the presented hierarchy to select measures (priority starting with (a) fulfilment of formal diagnostic criteria, continuing with (b) (i. HDRS), (ii. MADRS) etc.).

Search methods for identification of studies

Electronic searches

  • The Cochrane Common Mental Disorders Group maintains a specialized register of RCTs: the CCMD‐CTR (description in Appendix 1).

We will search the CCMD‐CTR for study records using the following controlled search terms (condition only):

("chronic depression" or “dysthymia” or "dysthymic disorder" or "persistent depressive disorder" or "recurrent depression")

  • We will search the CCMD‐CTR for reference records using a more sensitive set of terms (condition only):

("chronic* depress*" or "double depress*" or dysthymi* or (depress* NEAR2 recurr*) or "persistent depressive disorder"):ti,ab,kw,ky,mh,mc,emt

[Key: ti=title; ab=abstract; kw=keywords; ky=additional keywords; mh=MeSH terms; mc=MeSH checkwords;emt=EMTREE terms]

We will screen records for continuation and maintenance trials.

  • As the review will include both RCTs and CCTs, we will conduct complementary searches on the following bibliographic databases using relevant subject headings and search syntax’, appropriate to each resource:

    • OVID PsycINFO (search strategy listed in Appendix 1);

    • PSYNDEX;

    • OVID MEDLINE, Embase, PsycINFO (cross‐search);

    • the Cochrane Library.

We will search databases from 1970 onwards (Embase from 1980); and we will not apply any other restriction on language or publication status to the searches.

We will screen records retrieved from the CCMD‐CTR and PsycINFO searches prior to running other database searches. We will validate the search strategies to prevent the retrieval of too many irrelevant references (e.g. whether it is appropriate to include specific terms for 'maintenance' or 'continuation' of treatments for persistent depressive disorder).

Searching other resources

Grey literature

We will search the following sources of grey literature:

  • ProQuest Dissertations & Theses Database (www.proquest.com/);

  • Depression. The treatment and management of depression in adults (NICE 2010);

  • S3 Guideline/National Disease Management Guideline. Unipolar Depression (DGPPN 2015);

  • Canadian Network for Mood and Anxiety Treatments (CANMAT). Clinical guidelines for the management of major depressive disorder in adults (Kennedy 2009)

  • Open Grey (www.opengrey.eu/).

Handsearching

As all relevant journals are included in the bibliographic databases being searched, we will not conduct any no further handsearches of journals.

Reference lists

We will check the reference lists of all included studies and relevant systematic reviews to identify additional studies missed from the original electronic searches (e.g. unpublished or in‐press citations). Also we will conduct a cited reference search on the Web of Science.

Correspondence

We will contact the first author of each included study for information on unpublished or ongoing studies, or to request additional trial data.

Data collection and analysis

Selection of studies

Two review authors (KM, SL) will independently screen titles and abstracts for inclusion of all the potential studies identified as a result of the search and code them as either 'retrieve' (eligible or potentially eligible/unclear) or 'do not retrieve' (ineligible). We will retrieve the full‐text study reports/publications and two review authors (KM, SL, or RM) will independently screen the full‐texts and determine studies for inclusion. We will record the reasons for exclusion of the ineligible studies. We will resolve any disagreement through discussion or, if required, we will consult a fourth review author (AJ). We will identify and exclude duplicate records and will collate multiple reports that relate to the same study so that each study, rather than each report, is the unit of interest in the review. We will record the selection process in sufficient detail to complete a PRISMA flow diagram and a ‘Characteristics of excluded studies' table.

Data extraction and management

We will use a data collection form, which has been piloted on at least one study in the review, to extract study characteristics and outcome data. Two review authors (KM, SL, or RM) will independently extract study characteristics and outcome data from included studies. We will extract the following study characteristics:

  • methods: study design, time of randomization, total duration of study, location, study setting, and date of study (year);

  • participants: number of participants (N), mean age, age range, % female, diagnostic subgroup, mean age of onset, length of current/last episode, number of previous episodes;

  • interventions: intervention, comparison, type of acute treatment previous to continuation/maintenance treatment;

  • outcomes: primary and secondary outcomes specified and collected, and time points reported;

  • notes: funding of the trial.

We will note in the 'Characteristics of included studies' table if outcome data was not reported in a usable way. We will resolve disagreements by consensus or by involving a third review author (KM, SL, or RM). One review author (KM) will transfer data into Review Manager 5 (RevMan 5) (RevMan 2014). We will double‐check that data is entered correctly by comparing the data presented in the systematic review with the study reports. A second review author (SL) will spot‐check study characteristics for accuracy against the trial report.

Main comparisons

We have chosen seven main comparisons from the list of possible comparisons based on clinical importance and expected frequency of the comparisons in clinical trials:

  • pharmacological continuation and maintenance therapies versus placebo;

  • pharmacological continuation and maintenance therapies versus TAU;

  • psychological continuation and maintenance therapies versus attention placebo/nonspecific control;

  • psychological continuation and maintenance therapies versus TAU;

  • psychological continuation and maintenance therapies versus pharmacological continuation and maintenance therapies;

  • combined psychological and pharmacological continuation and maintenance therapies versus pharmacological continuation and maintenance therapies alone;

  • combined psychological and pharmacological continuation and maintenance therapies versus psychotherapeutic continuation and maintenance therapies alone.

Assessment of risk of bias in included studies

Two review authors (KM, SL, or RM) will independently assess the risk of bias for each included study using the criteria outlined in the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions (Higgins 2011). We will resolve any disagreements by discussion or by involving another review author (KM, SL, or RM). We will assess the risk of bias according to the following domains:

  • random sequence generation;

  • allocation concealment;

  • blinding of participants and personnel;

  • blinding of outcome assessment;

  • incomplete outcome data;

  • selective outcome reporting;

  • other bias.

We will judge each potential source of bias as either at high, low, or unclear risk of bias and will provide a supporting quotation from the study report together with a justification for our judgment in the 'Risk of bias' table. We will summarize the 'Risk of bias' judgments across different studies for each of the domains listed. Where information on risk of bias relates to unpublished data or correspondence with a trial author, we will note this in the 'Risk of bias' table.

We will use the ACROBAT‐NRSI tool for assessing the quality of non‐randomized studies in meta‐analyses to assess the quality of non‐RCTs (Sterne 2014). Moreover, we will assess recruitment bias, baseline imbalance, loss of clusters, incorrect analysis, and comparability with individually randomized trials in cluster‐RCTs (Higgins 2011).

The risk of bias will be considered in sensitivity analyses. Moreover, we will take the risk of bias into account when we interpret the treatment effects.

Measures of treatment effect

Dichotomous data

In order to increase clinical applicability of the findings, we will calculate the relative risk of relapse/recurrence for the primary outcomes, as they are more likely to help clinicians to make informed decisions in specific clinical situations. If primary studies used time‐to‐event data, we will calculate pooled hazard ratios. For rare outcomes (adverse events, and possibly dropout rates) or endpoints with highly varying baseline rates, we will estimate the odds ratios.

Continuous data

We will analyse continuous data as mean differences (MD). If the included studies used different rating scales to assess the same outcome, we will calculate the standardized mean differences (SMD). We will enter data presented as a scale with a consistent direction of effect. We will undertake meta‐analyses only where this is meaningful, i.e. if the treatments, participants, and the underlying clinical question are similar enough for useful pooling. We will narratively describe skewed data reported as medians and interquartile ranges if effect size calculation is not possible.

Unit of analysis issues

Cluster‐randomized trials

As we expect a small number of overall available studies, we will include data from controlled clinical trials, cross‐over trials, and cluster‐randomized trials in the analysis, regardless of the level of randomization. Concerning cluster‐randomized trials, we will include direct effect estimates of the primary studies, only if they were obtained from analyses that account for the clustering in the data (e.g. using a multilevel model). Otherwise, we will approximate the effect estimates using an inflated standard error that incorporates the design effect (Higgins 2011).

Cross‐over trials

We will only use the first comparison (pre‐crossover) meeting our inclusion criteria from cross‐over trials.

Studies with multiple treatment groups

Concerning studies with multiple treatment groups, we will only consider data from the comparison of interest for each of the main objectives addressed in our review. If the study provides more than one comparison of interest for one of the main objectives, we will split the ‘shared’ group into two or more groups with smaller sample sizes to avoid including participants more than once in the analysis.

Dealing with missing data

In case of missing or unclear data, we will contact corresponding study authors or study sponsors in order to obtain key study characteristics and missing numerical outcome data when possible (e.g. when a study is identified as abstract only). We will document all requests and correspondences.

For all studies, we will calculate effect sizes using the intention‐to‐treat (ITT) principle, i.e. analysing all participants allocated to the respective study arm. For the primary outcome, we will include all randomized participants in the analyses irrespective of how the study authors defined their ITT sample. For all other outcomes we will follow the definition of the ITT sample provided by the study authors.

Assessment of heterogeneity

We will test statistical heterogeneity between study results for significance using Cochran's Q‐test and will quantify it using the I² statistic (Higgins 2003).

We will display results visually as forest plots. We expect considerable clinical heterogeneity between studies. We will consider the I² statistic values as follows:

  • 0% to 40%: might not be important;

  • 30% to 60%: may represent moderate heterogeneity;

  • 50% to 90%: may represent substantial heterogeneity; and

  • 75% to 100%: considerable heterogeneity.

Based on this classification, we will consider I² statistic values in the range of 50 to 100% as relevant statistical heterogeneity that is to be further explored. As “thresholds for the interpretation of I² can be misleading, since the importance of inconsistency depends on several factors” (Higgins 2011), this is only a rough orientation. Therefore, we will decide on a case‐by‐case‐basis if the determined heterogeneity needs to be further explored.

Assessment of reporting biases

We will test possible reporting biases and small‐study effects using visual examination of funnel plots and applying Egger's test (Sterne 2001).

Data synthesis

We will perform all analyses by applying a random‐effects model (DerSimonian 1986).

We plan to use random‐effects models rather than fixed‐effect ones, because we assume that the included studies will not be functionally equivalent and will show considerable clinical (concerning population, intervention) and methodological (concerning quality) heterogeneity. We will display results visually as forest plots.

If it will not be possible to combine studies via meta‐analysis, we will provide a narrative summary.

Subgroup analysis and investigation of heterogeneity

In order to identify possible treatment effect moderators, we will perform a priori defined subgroup analyses (in case of categorical predictors) or meta‐regression analyses (in case of metric predictors) for the primary outcomes. We will test differences between subgroups formally (Bucher 1997; Deeks 2008; Song 2003). All meta‐regression analyses will be performed using the restricted maximum likelihood estimate method, a recommended random‐effects approach that accounts for residual between‐trial heterogeneity (Thompson 1999).

We will consider the following variables:

  • subtype of persistent depressive disorder (dysthymia versus other): a possibly moderating effect of subtype would suggest that a distinction between these subtypes might be used for allocation of patients to treatments (differential indication). On the other hand, a possible homogeneity of effects across subtypes may suggest that a distinction is of little relevance in the day‐to‐day practice. We will test dysthymia against other subtypes as dysthymia is assumed to be the most frequently mentioned subtype;

  • mean age of onset: the age of onset is known as a relevant predictor, it should be assessed if patients with early onset need different treatments;

  • applied intervention (cognitive behavioral therapies versus other, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) versus other): as experience shows, cognitive behavioral approaches/SSRIs are the most frequent forms of psychological therapies/antidepressants to be studied. Therefore, we decided to test these approaches versus other approaches. Evidence on the best available treatments (in case of considerable differences) is indispensable for guideline recommendations;

  • duration of continuation/maintenance treatment (weeks): for guideline recommendations and clinical practice, it is indispensable to know if different treatment durations result in different outcomes, e.g. if longer treatments lead to better outcomes.

In case of considerable heterogeneity between study results that we cannot explain by the a priori defined subgroup and meta‐regression analyses, we will perform a series of a posteriori (explorative) meta‐regression analyses to identify sources of heterogeneity. We will clearly label a priori and a posteriori analyses as such.

Sensitivity analysis

We will perform sensitivity analyses by excluding studies with a high or unclear risk of bias (separately for each of the seven domains according to the Cochrane 'Risk of bias' tool) or outlying findings, or both. We will compare results to those acquired with data from all studies in order to control for possible effects of study quality on pooled effects.

We will perform the following additional sensitivity analyses:

  • excluding trials without a randomization on person level (second phases of cross‐over trials, CCTs, and cluster‐randomized trials); and

  • excluding trials without (re‐)randomization immediately before the continuation/maintenance phase in order to control for possible design effects.

'Summary of findings' table

We will construct 'Summary of findings' tables for the seven main comparisons: effectiveness of pharmacotherapy and effectiveness of psychological therapy for persistent depressive disorder, the effectiveness of psychological therapy in comparison to pharmacotherapy for persistent depressive disorder, and the effectiveness of combined treatments in comparison to pure pharmacological/pure psychological therapies for persistent depressive disorder. The 'Summary of findings' tables will include a summary of the quality of evidence, the magnitude of effects of the according intervention, and a summary of available data on main outcomes. We will express findings as measures of risk ratio and absolute risk for the main outcomes of relapse/recurrence and dropout. We will use the GRADE approach to assess the quality of the evidence (Guyatt 2011).