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Tratamiento con yodo radioactivo versus fármacos antitiroideos para la enfermedad de Graves

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Referencias

References to studies included in this review

Tallstedt 1992 {published data only}

Abraham‐Nordling M, Törring O, Hamberger B, Lundell G, Tallstedt L, Calissendorff J, et al. Graves' disease: a long‐term quality‐of‐life follow up of patients randomized to treatment with antithyroid drugs, radioiodine, or surgery. Thyroid 2005;15(11):1279‐86.
Abraham‐Nordling M, Wallin G, Lundell G, Törring O. Thyroid hormone state and quality of life at long‐term follow‐up after randomized treatment of Graves' disease. European Journal of Endocrinology 2007;156:173‐9.
Laurberg P, Wallin G, Tallstedt L, Abraham‐Nordling M, Lundell G, Tørring O. TSH‐receptor autoimmunity in Graves' disease after therapy with anti‐thyroid drugs, surgery, or radioiodine: a 5‐year prospective randomized study. European Journal of Endocrinology 2008;158:69‐75.
Ljunggren JG, Törring O, Wallin G, Taube A, Tallstedt L, Hamberger B, et al. Quality of life aspects and costs in treatment of Graves' hyperthyroidism with antithyroid drugs, surgery, or radioiodine: results from a prospective, randomized study. Thyroid 1998;8:653‐9.
Tallstedt L, Lundell G, Tørring O, Wallin G, Ljunggren JG, Blomgren H, et al. Occurrence of ophthalmopathy after treatment for Graves' hyperthyroidism, the thyroid study group. New England Journal of Medicine 1992;326:1733‐8.
Törring O, Tallstedt L, Wallin G, Lundell G, Ljunggren JG, Taube A, et al. Graves' hyperthyroidism: treatment with antithyroid drugs, surgery, or radioiodine‐‐a prospective, randomized study, thyroid study group. Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism 1996;81:2986‐93.

Traisk 2009 {published data only}

Abraham‐Nordling M, Wallin G, Träisk F, Berg G, Calissendorff J, Hallengren B, et al. Thyroid‐associated ophthalmopathy; quality of life follow‐up of patients randomized to treatment with antithyroid drugs or radioiodine. European Journal of Endocrinology 2010;163(4):651‐7.
Träisk F, Tallstedt L, Abraham‐Nordling M, Andersson T, Berg G, Calissendorff J, et al. Thyroid‐associated ophthalmopathy after treatment for Graves' hyperthyroidism with antithyroid drugs or iodine‐131. Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism 2009;94:3700‐7.

References to studies excluded from this review

Azizi 2005 {published data only}

Azizi F, Ataie L, Hedayati M, Mehrabi Y, Sheikholeslami F. Effect of long‐term continuous methimazole treatment of hyperthyroidism: comparison with radioiodine. European Journal of Endocrinology 2005;152:695‐701.

Bartalena 1998 {published data only}

Bartalena L, Marcocci C, Bogazzi F, Manetti L, Tanda ML, Dell'Unto E, et al. Relation between therapy for hyperthyroidism and the course of Graves' ophthalmopathy. New England Journal of Medicine 1998;338:73‐8.

Berg 1996 {published data only}

Berg G,  Michanek A,  Holmberg E,  Nyström E. Clinical outcome of radioiodine treatment of hyperthyroidism: a follow‐up study. Journal of Internal Medicine 1996;239:165‐71.

Berglund 1991 {published data only}

Berglund J,  Christensen SB,  Dymling JF,  Hallengren B. The incidence of recurrence and hypothyroidism following treatment with antithyroid drugs, surgery or radioiodine in all patients with thyrotoxicosis in Malmö during the period 1970‐1974. Journal of Internal Medicine 1991;229:435‐42.

Chen 2005a {published data only}

Chen Y, Qiu L, Zhang CY, Long SQ, Gan XL. Therapeutic effect of 131I and prednisone on Graves' ophthalmopathy. Journal of Luzhou Medical College 2005;28:334‐6.

Chen 2005b {published data only}

Chen DY, Chen TH. Comparison of efficacy of 131 I and antithyroid drugs in the treatment of Graves' disease in children. Chinese Journal Pediatrics 2005;43:507‐9.

Chen 2009 {published data only}

Chen DY, Jing J, Schneider PF, Chen TH. Comparison of the long‐term efficacy of low dose 131I versus antithyroid drugs in the treatment of hyperthyroidism. Nuclear Medicine Communications 2009;30:160‐8.

EI‐Kaissi 2010 {published data only}

El‐Kaissi S, Bowden J, Henry MJ, Yeo M, Champion BL, Brotchie P, et al. Association between radioiodine therapy for Graves' hyperthyroidism and thyroid‐associated ophthalmopathy. International Ophthalmology 2010;30:397‐405.

Hayashi 2005 {published data only}

Hayashi K,  Abe K,  Sakata I,  Sakaguchi C,  Yamamoto K,  Kosuda S. Cost‐utility analysis of antithyroid drug therapy versus 131I therapy for Graves' disease. Kakuigaku. The Japanese Journal of Nuclear Medicine 2005;42:87‐95.

Mornex 1977 {published data only}

Mornex R,  Quintana J,  Chavrier B. Long term effects of the treatment of the Graves' disease by 4 different therapeutics (author's transl). Annales D'endocrinologie 1977;38:273‐82.

Patel 2006 {published data only}

Patel NN,  Abraham P,  Buscombe J,  Vanderpump MP. The cost effectiveness of treatment modalities for thyrotoxicosis in a U.K. center. Thyroid 2006;16:593‐8.

Singer 2001 {published data only}

Singer RB. Long‐term comparative cancer mortality after use of radio‐iodine in the treatment of hyperthyroidism, a fully reported multicenter study. Journal of Insurance Medicine (New York, NY) 2001;33:138‐42.

Zhao 2005 {published data only}

Hui Zhao, Jinliang Liu, Zhiyoang Liu. Clinical observation of therapeutic effect of 131I and prednisone on Graves' ophthalmopathy. Chinese Journal of Misdiagnostics 2005;5:2801‐2.

Additional references

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Abraham P, Avenell A, McGeoch SC, Clark LF, Bevan JS. Antithyroid drug regimen for treating Graves' hyperthyroidism. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2010, Issue 1. [DOI: 10.1002/14651858.CD003420.pub3]

Acharya 2008

Acharya SH, Avenell A, Philip S, Burr J, Bevan JS, Abraham P. Radioiodine therapy for Graves' disease and the effect on ophthalmopathy: a systematic review. Clinical Endocrinology 2008;69(6):943‐50.

Adlin 1991

Adlin EV, Maurer AH, Marks AD, Channick BJ. Bone mineral density in postmenopausal women treated with L‐thyroxine. American Journal of Medicine 1991;90:360‐6.

Allannic 1990

Allannic H, Fauchet R, Orgiazzi J, Madec AM, Genetet B, Lorcy Y, et al. Antithyroid drugs and Graves' disease: a prospective randomized evaluation of the efficacy of treatment duration. Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism 1990;70: 675‐9.

Angusti 2000

Angusti T. Thyroid cancer prevalence after radioiodine treatment of hyperthyroidism. Journal of Nuclear Medicine 2000;41:1006‐9.

Azizi 2012

Azizi F, Yousefi V, Bahrainian A, Sheikholeslami F, Tohidi M, Mehrabi Y. Long‐term continuous methimazole or radioiodine treatment for hyperthyroidism. Archives of Iranian Medicine 2012;15:477‐84.

Bahn 2011

Bahn Chair RS, Burch HB, Cooper DS, Garber JR, Greenlee MC, Klein I, et al. Hyperthyroidism and other causes of thyrotoxicosis: management guidelines of the American thyroid association and American association of clinical endocrinologists. Thyroid 2011;21(6):593‐646.

Bartalena 2012

Bartalena L. Prevention of Graves' ophthalmopathy. Best Practice & Research. Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism 2012;26:371‐9.

Becker 1984

Becker DV. Choice of therapy for Graves' hyperthyroidism. New England Journal of Medicine 1984;311:464‐6.

Beller 2013

Beller EM, Chen JK, Wang UL, Glasziou PP. Are systematic reviews up‐to‐date at the time of publication?. Systematic Reviews 2013;2:36. [2046‐4053: (Electronic)]

Berglund 1996

Berglund J, Ericsson UB, Hallengren B. Increased incidence of thyrotoxicosis in Malmo during the years 1988‐1990 as compared to the years 1970‐1974. Journal of Internal Medicine 1996;239:57‐62.

Biersack 2007

Biersack HJ, Freema LM. Clinical Nuclear Medicine. Berlin Heidelberg: Springer Verlag, 2007.

Biondi 1993

Biondi B, Fazio S, Carella C, Amato G, Cittadini A, Lupoli G, et al. Cardiac effects of long term thyrotropin‐suppressive therapy with levothyroxine. Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism 1993;77:334‐8.

Boutron 2014

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Bunevicius 1999

Bunevicius R, Karanavicius G, Zalinkevicius R, Prange AJ. Effects of thyroxine as compared with thyroxine plus triiodothyronine in patients with hypothyroidism. New Zealand Medical Journal 1999;340:424‐9.

Bunevicius 2000

Bunevicius R, Prange AJ. Mental improvement after replacement therapy with thyroxine plus triiodothyronine: relationship to cause of hypothyroidism. International Journal of Neuropsychopharmacology 2000;1:167‐74.

Canaris 2000

Canaris GJ, Manowitz NR, Mayor G, Ridgway EC. The Colorado thyroid disease prevalence study. Archives of Internal Medicine 2000;160:526‐34.

Capen 1994

Capen CC. Mechanisms of chemical injury of thyroid gland. Progress in Clinical and Biological Research 1994;387:173‐91.

Clark 1995

Clark JD, Gelfand MJ, Elgazzar AH. Iodine‐131 therapy of hyperthyroidism in pediatric patients. Journal of Nuclear Medicine 1995;36:442‐5.

Cooper 1984

Cooper DS. Antithyroid drugs. New England Journal of Medicine 1984;311:1353‐62.

Dietlein 1999

Dietlein M, Moka D, Dederichs B, Hunsche E, Lauterbach KW, Schicha H. Cost‐effectiveness analysis: radioiodine or antithyroid medication in primary treatment of immune hyperthyroidism. Nuclear‐Medizin 1999;38:7‐14.

Dunn 1964

Dunn JT, Chapman EM. Rising incidence of hypothyroidism after radioactive iodine therapy in hyperthyroidism. New England Journal of Medicine 1964;271:1037‐42.

Faber 1994

Faber J, Galloe AM. Changes in bone mass during prolonged subclinical hyperthyroidism due to L‐thyroxine treatment: a meta‐analysis. European Journal of Endocrinology 1994;130:350‐6.

Ford 1991

Ford HC, Delahunt JW, Feek CM. The management of Graves' disease in New Zealand: results of a national survey. New Zealand Medical Journal 1991;104:251‐2.

Franklyn 1998

Franklyn JA,  Maisonneuve P,  Sheppard MC,  Betteridge J,  Boyle P. Mortality after the treatment of hyperthyroidism with radioactive iodine. New England Journal of Medicine 1998;338:712‐8.

Ginsberg 2003

Ginsberg J. Diagnosis and management of Graves' disease. Canadian Medical Association Journal 2003;168(5):575‐85.

Hard 1998

Hard GC. Recent developments in the investigation of thyroid regulation and thyroid carcinogenesis. Environmental Health Perspectives 1998;106:427‐36.

Higgins 2002

Higgins JPT, Thompson SG. Quantifying heterogeneity in a meta‐analysis. Statistics in Medicine 2002;21:1539‐58.

Higgins 2003

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Higgins 2011a

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Higgins 2011b

Higgins JPT, Altman DG, Gøtzsche PC, Jüni P, Moher D, Oxman AD, et al. The Cochrane Collaboration's tool for assessing risk of bias in randomised trials. BMJ 2011;343:d5928.

Holm 1982

Holm LE. Changing annual incidence of hypothyroidism after 131I therapy for hyperthyroidism, 1951–1975. Journal of Nuclear Medicine 1982;23:108‐12.

Hozo 2005

Hozo SP, Djulbegovic B, Hozo I. Estimating the mean and variance from the median, range, and the size of a sample. BMC Medical Research Methodology 2005;5:13. [DOI: 10.1186/1471‐2288‐5‐13]

Hróbjartsson 2013

Hróbjartsson A, Thomsen AS, Emanuelsson F, Tendal B, Hilden J, Boutron I, et al. Observer bias in randomized clinical trials with measurement scale outcomes: a systematic review of trials with both blinded and nonblinded assessors. Canadian Medical Association Journal 2013;185(4):E201‐11.

Huysmanns 1994

Huysmanns DA, Hermus AR, Corstens FH, Barentsz JO, Kloppenborg PW. Large compressive goiters treated with radioiodine. Annals of Internal Medicine 1994;121:757‐62.

Jones 1982

Jones SJ, Hedley AJ, Curtis B, Allisons SP, Woolfson AM, Steel R, et al. We need thyroid follow‐up registers? a cost effective study. Lancet 1982;1:1229‐33.

Jones 2015

Jones CW, Keil LG, Holland WC, Caughey MC, Platts‐Mills TF. Comparison of registered and published outcomes in randomized controlled trials: a systematic review. BMC Medicine 2015;13:282. [DOI: 10.1186/s12916‐015‐0520‐3]

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Kendall‐Taylor P, Keir MJ, Ross WM. Ablative radioiodine therapy for hyperthyroidism: long term follow up study. BMJ 1984;28(6441):361‐3.

Kim 2004

Kim JM, LaBree L, Levin L, Feldon SE. The relation of Graves' ophthalmopathy to circulating thyroid hormone status. British Journal of Ophthalmology 2004;88:72‐4.

Kirkham 2010

Kirkham JJ, Dwan KM, Altman DG, Gamble C, Dodd S, Smyth R, et al. The impact of outcome reporting bias in randomised controlled trials on a cohort of systematic reviews. BMJ 2010;340:c365. [DOI: 10.1136/bmj.c365]

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Ma C, Kuang AR, Xie J, Liu G. Radioiodine treatment for pediatric Graves' disease. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2008, Issue 3. [DOI: 10.1002/14651858.CD006294.pub2]

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Characteristics of studies

Characteristics of included studies [ordered by study ID]

Tallstedt 1992

Methods

Parallel randomised controlled clinical trial

Superiority design

Participants

Inclusion criteria: participants between 20 and 55 years with hyperthyroidism caused by Graves' disease and without a history of previous thyroid disease

Exclusion criteria: participants who wanted treatment options other than those offered by randomisation

Diagnostic criteria: diagnosis of Graves' disease: presence of symptoms and signs of hyperthyroidism, non‐nodular thyroid gland, and elevated total and free serum T4, and/or total T3 levels; if the serum T4 level was between 150 and 180 nmol/L or T3 was between 2.5 and 3.5 nmol/L, the diagnosis was supported by a TRH test. Furthermore, all participants should have a thyroid uptake of 131I that was not suppressed, a diffuse pattern of isotope uptake on the radionuclide scan and a goitre size that should enable a single dose of 131I to render the participant euthyroid or hypothyroid

Interventions

Number of study centres: unclear

Treatment before study: unclear

Outcomes

Composite outcome measures reported: no

Study details

Run‐in period: no

Study terminated before regular end: no

Publication details

Language of publication: English

Funding: non‐commercial funding

Publication status: peer review journal

Stated aim for study

Quote from publication: "First, is there a difference in the frequency of the development or aggravation of Graves' ophthalmopathy among young patients treated with an antithyroid drug as compared with subtotal thyroidectomy and among older patients treated with an antithyroid drug, subtotal thyroidectomy, or iodine‐131? And second, can factors that predict the development of Graves' ophthalmopathy be identified?"

Notes

Risk of bias

Bias

Authors' judgement

Support for judgement

Random sequence generation (selection bias)

Unclear risk

Quote from publication: "Each patient was assigned a treatment group consecutively using two lists, one for each age group, on which the treatment group occurred in random order but balanced to equalize the size of the treatment groups"

Quote from publication: "The patients who were between 20 and 34 years old were randomly assigned to treatment with antithyroid drug plus thyroxine (young medical group) or subtotal thyroidectomy (young surgical group); the patients who were between 35 and 55 years old were randomly assigned to antithyroid drug plus thyroxine (old medical group), subtotal thyroidectomy (old surgical group) or to iodine‐131 (iodine‐131 group)"

Comment: no details on how randomisation was performed

Allocation concealment (selection bias)

Low risk

Quote from the publication (Laurberg 2008): "Randomization was performed by assigning each patient a treatment group consecutively using two lists, one for each age group. On the list, each treatment group occurred in a random order but was balanced to equalize the size of the treatment groups. The lists were unavailable to the clinicians throughout the study, and randomization was performed over the phone."

Comment: probably adequate concealment of allocation

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
adverse events: hypothyroidism

Low risk

Quote from the publication (Laurberg 2008): "Randomization was performed by assigning each patient a treatment group consecutively using two lists, one for each age group. On the list, each treatment group occurred in a random order but was balanced to equalize the size of the treatment groups. The lists were unavailable to the clinicians throughout the study, and randomization was performed over the phone."

Comment: investigator‐assessed outcome measurement

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
development or worsening of Graves' ophthalmopathy

Low risk

Quote from the publication (Laurberg 2008): "Randomization was performed by assigning each patient a treatment group consecutively using two lists, one for each age group. On the list, each treatment group occurred in a random order but was balanced to equalize the size of the treatment groups. The lists were unavailable to the clinicians throughout the study, and randomization was performed over the phone."

Comment: investigator‐assessed outcome measurement

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
health‐related quality of life

High risk

Comment: self reported outcome measurement

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
participants in euthyroid state

Low risk

Quote from the publication (Laurberg 2008): "Randomization was performed by assigning each patient a treatment group consecutively using two lists, one for each age group. On the list, each treatment group occurred in a random order but was balanced to equalize the size of the treatment groups. The lists were unavailable to the clinicians throughout the study, and randomization was performed over the phone."

Comment: investigator‐assessed outcome measurement

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
recurrence of hyperthyroidism

Low risk

Quote from the publication (Laurberg 2008): "Randomization was performed by assigning each patient a treatment group consecutively using two lists, one for each age group. On the list, each treatment group occurred in a random order but was balanced to equalize the size of the treatment groups. The lists were unavailable to the clinicians throughout the study, and randomization was performed over the phone."

Comment: investigator‐assessed outcome measurement

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
socioeconomic effects

Low risk

Quote from the publication (Laurberg 2008): "Randomization was performed by assigning each patient a treatment group consecutively using two lists, one for each age group. On the list, each treatment group occurred in a random order but was balanced to equalize the size of the treatment groups. The lists were unavailable to the clinicians throughout the study, and randomization was performed over the phone."

Comment: investigator‐assessed outcome measurement

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
adverse events: hypothyroidism

Low risk

Quote from publication: "Outcomes were assessed by physicians blinded to participants' treatment assignments"

Comment: investigator‐assessed outcome measurement

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
development or worsening of Graves' ophthalmopathy

Low risk

Quote from publication: "Outcomes were assessed by physicians blinded to participants' treatment assignments"

Comment: investigator‐assessed outcome measurement

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
health‐related quality of life

Low risk

Quote from publication: "quality of life was assessed by physicians blinded to participants' treatment assignments"

Comment: investigator‐assessed outcome measurement

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
participants in euthyroid state

Low risk

Quote from publication: "quality of life was assessed by physicians blinded to participants' treatment assignments"

Comment: investigator‐assessed outcome measurement

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
recurrence of hyperthyroidism

Low risk

Quote from publication: "recurrence of hyperthyroidism was assessed by physicians blinded to participants' treatment assignments"

Comment: investigator‐assessed outcome measurement

Comment: low risk

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
socioeconomic effects

Low risk

Quote from publication: "quality of life was assessed by physicians blinded to participants' treatment assignments"

Comment: investigator‐assessed outcome measurement

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
adverse events: hypothyroidism

Low risk

Quote from publication: "outcomes data including health‐related quality of life are available for all included patients, two patients rejected the assigned treatment"

Comment: no intention‐to‐treat analysis for most outcome measures

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
development or worsening of Graves' ophthalmopathy

Low risk

Quote from publication: "outcomes data including health‐related quality of life are available for all included patients, two patients rejected the assigned treatment"

Comment: no intention‐to‐treat analysis for most outcome measures

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
health‐related quality of life

Low risk

Quote from publication: "outcomes data including health‐related quality of life are available for all included patients, two patients rejected the assigned treatment"

Comment: no intention‐to‐treat analysis for most outcome measures

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
participants in euthyroid state

Low risk

Quote from publication: "outcomes data including health‐related quality of life are available for all included patients, two patients rejected the assigned treatment"

Comment: no intention‐to‐treat analysis for most outcome measures

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
recurrence of hyperthyroidism

Low risk

Quote from publication: "outcomes data including health‐related quality of life are available for all included patients, two patients rejected the assigned treatment"

Comment: no intention‐to‐treat analysis for most outcome measures

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
socioeconomic effects

Low risk

Quote from publication: "outcomes data including health‐related quality of life are available for all included patients, two patients rejected the assigned treatment"

Comment: no intention‐to‐treat analysis for most outcome measures

Selective reporting (reporting bias)

Low risk

Comment: identified outcomes adequately reported as compared with the description in methods

Other bias

Low risk

Comment: no source of other bias noted

Traisk 2009

Methods

Parallel randomised controlled clinical trial

Superiority design

Participants

Inclusion criteria: participants aged 35 to 69 years; symptomatic Graves' hyperthyroidism; confirmation of the diagnosis by serum TSH (≤ 0.1 mIU/L) and T3 and/or free T4 (elevated), thyroid uptake of iodine‐131, and radionuclide scans compatible with Graves' disease, i.e. an even distribution of the radionuclide

Exclusion criteria: participants with a previous history of treatment with antithyroid drugs, iodine‐131 or thyroid surgery were excluded as well as participants with severe TAO requiring treatment with corticosteroids at the time of inclusion

Diagnostic criteria: diagnosis of Graves' disease was made according to the hyperthyroidism and diffuse goitre. For the set criteria (worsening or development and improvement of TAO), 2 of the following 4 decisive factors were required (compared with baseline data): 1) change in exophthalmometry readings of 2 mm or more; 2) improvement or deterioration of the participant's eye movements between the 4 scoring levels (no impairment, clearly impaired, diplopia in the primary position, fixation of the globe); 3) changes of visual acuity caused by optic neuropathy; and 4) changes in 2 of the 3 TAO activity measures (chemosis, eyelid oedema and conjunctival redness). The participants who did not meet the criteria for improvement or worsening or development of TAO were referred to as having no change of TAO

Interventions

Number of study centres: 4

Treatment before study: beta‐blockers

Outcomes

Composite outcome measures reported: no

Study details

Run‐in period: no

Study terminated before regular end: no

Publication details

Language of publication: English

Funding: non‐commercial funding (Medical Council for Research)

Publication status: peer review journal

Stated aim for study

Quote from publication: "... to compare radioiodine treatment and medical therapy for long‐term worsening or development of TAO. Smoking and hypothyroidism as confounding risk factors were controlled for, and L‐thyroxine supplementation was given early, i.e. at 2 wk after the initiation of treatment for hyperthyroidism in both arms"

Notes

Risk of bias

Bias

Authors' judgement

Support for judgement

Random sequence generation (selection bias)

Unclear risk

Quote from publication: "Patients were randomised to radioiodine and medical treatment within each center (stratified randomization). Randomization was made in blocks over time and was performed by the Oncological Centre at the Karolinska University Hospital in Stockholm"

Comment: no details of the randomisation procedure provided

Allocation concealment (selection bias)

Unclear risk

Quote from publication: "Patients were randomised to radioiodine and medical treatment within each center (stratified randomization). Randomization was made in blocks over time and was performed by the Oncological Centre at the Karolinska University Hospital in Stockholm"

Comment: probably concealed allocation (by the oncological centre)

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
adverse events: hypothyroidism

Low risk

Quote from publication: "The study was designed as an open, randomized, prospective multicenter trial"

Comment: investigator‐assessed outcome measurement

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
development or worsening of Graves' ophthalmopathy

High risk

Quote from publication: "The study was designed as an open, randomized, prospective multicenter trial"

Comment: investigator‐assessed outcome measurement

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
health‐related quality of life

High risk

Quote from publication: "The study was designed as an open, randomized, prospective multicenter trial"

Comment: self reported outcome measurement

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
recurrence of hyperthyroidism

Low risk

Quote from publication: "The study was designed as an open, randomized, prospective multicenter trial"

Comment: investigator‐assessed outcome measurement; outcome probably not influenced by non‐blinding conditions

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
adverse events: hypothyroidism

Low risk

Comment: no details provided; outcome probably not influenced by non‐blinding conditions

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
development or worsening of Graves' ophthalmopathy

High risk

Comment: no details provided; investigator‐assessed outcome measurement

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
health‐related quality of life

High risk

Comment: self reported outcome measurement

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
recurrence of hyperthyroidism

Low risk

Comment: no details provided; outcome probably not influenced by non‐blinding conditions

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
adverse events: hypothyroidism

Low risk

Comment: intention‐to‐treat analysis; few drop‐outs

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
development or worsening of Graves' ophthalmopathy

Low risk

Comment: intention‐to‐treat analysis; few drop‐outs

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
health‐related quality of life

Low risk

Comment: intention‐to‐treat analysis; few drop‐outs

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
recurrence of hyperthyroidism

Low risk

Comment: intention‐to‐treat analysis; few drop‐outs

Selective reporting (reporting bias)

Low risk

Comment: outcomes adequately reported as compared with the description in methods

Other bias

Low risk

Comment: no source of other bias noted

Note: where the judgement is 'Unclear' and the description is blank, the trial did not report that particular outcome

131I: radioiodine; TAO: thyroid‐associated ophthalmopathy; T4: thyroxine; T3: tri‐iodothyronine; TRH: thyrotropin‐releasing hormone

Characteristics of excluded studies [ordered by study ID]

Study

Reason for exclusion

Azizi 2005

RCT but included participants with recurrence of hyperthyroidism after methimazole treatment for 18 months before the study

Bartalena 1998

RCT but with 1‐year follow‐up only

Berg 1996

Consecutive series trial

Berglund 1991

Case‐control trial

Chen 2005a

RCT but with 1‐year follow‐up only

Chen 2005b

Case‐control trial

Chen 2009

RCT but included participants with Graves' disease, multinodular toxic goitre and uninodular goitre

EI‐Kaissi 2010

Some of the participants were randomised; the others were not randomised; with 1‐year follow‐up

Hayashi 2005

Cohort trial

Mornex 1977

Case‐control trial

Patel 2006

Case‐control trial

Singer 2001

Cohort trial

Zhao 2005

RCT but with 1‐year follow‐up only

RCT: randomised controlled trial

Data and analyses

Open in table viewer
Comparison 1. Radioiodine versus methimazole

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Development or worsening of Graves' ophthalmopathy Show forest plot

2

417

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.94 [1.40, 2.70]

Analysis 1.1

Comparison 1 Radioiodine versus methimazole, Outcome 1 Development or worsening of Graves' ophthalmopathy.

Comparison 1 Radioiodine versus methimazole, Outcome 1 Development or worsening of Graves' ophthalmopathy.

2 Adverse events: hypothyroidism Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Analysis 1.2

Comparison 1 Radioiodine versus methimazole, Outcome 2 Adverse events: hypothyroidism.

Comparison 1 Radioiodine versus methimazole, Outcome 2 Adverse events: hypothyroidism.

3 Recurrence of hyperthyroidism (relapse) Show forest plot

2

417

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.20 [0.01, 2.66]

Analysis 1.3

Comparison 1 Radioiodine versus methimazole, Outcome 3 Recurrence of hyperthyroidism (relapse).

Comparison 1 Radioiodine versus methimazole, Outcome 3 Recurrence of hyperthyroidism (relapse).

4 Participants in euthyroid state Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Analysis 1.4

Comparison 1 Radioiodine versus methimazole, Outcome 4 Participants in euthyroid state.

Comparison 1 Radioiodine versus methimazole, Outcome 4 Participants in euthyroid state.

Study flow diagram.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 1

Study flow diagram.

Risk of bias graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 2

Risk of bias graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.

Risk of bias summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included trial (blank cells indicate that the trial did not measure that particular outcome).
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 3

Risk of bias summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included trial (blank cells indicate that the trial did not measure that particular outcome).

Comparison 1 Radioiodine versus methimazole, Outcome 1 Development or worsening of Graves' ophthalmopathy.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.1

Comparison 1 Radioiodine versus methimazole, Outcome 1 Development or worsening of Graves' ophthalmopathy.

Comparison 1 Radioiodine versus methimazole, Outcome 2 Adverse events: hypothyroidism.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.2

Comparison 1 Radioiodine versus methimazole, Outcome 2 Adverse events: hypothyroidism.

Comparison 1 Radioiodine versus methimazole, Outcome 3 Recurrence of hyperthyroidism (relapse).
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.3

Comparison 1 Radioiodine versus methimazole, Outcome 3 Recurrence of hyperthyroidism (relapse).

Comparison 1 Radioiodine versus methimazole, Outcome 4 Participants in euthyroid state.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.4

Comparison 1 Radioiodine versus methimazole, Outcome 4 Participants in euthyroid state.

Radioiodine therapy compared with antithyroid medications for Graves' disease

Patient: participants with Graves' disease

Settings: outpatients

Intervention: radioiodine

Comparison: methimazole

Outcomes

Assumed risk

Corresponding risk

Relative effect
(95% CI)

No of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Methimazole

Radioiodine

Health‐related quality of life
[measured by the validated questionnaire SF‐36]

Follow‐up: 4 years and 14 to 21 years

See comment

See comment

See comment

425 (2)

See comment

2 trials assessed this outcome but no quantitative data for comparisons between intervention groups were provided; trial authors in 1 trial reported that there were no differences in the results of the SF‐36 scores between the 2 treatment groups

Development and worsening of Graves' ophthalmopathy
[examination by ophthalmologists]
Follow‐up: 2 years and 4 years

186 per 1000

361 of 1000 (260 to 502)

RR 1.94 (1.40 to 2.70)

417 (2)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
lowa

Individuals in euthyroid state
[measured by serum thyroid hormone levels within the normal range]

Follow‐up: at least 4 years

See comment

See comment

See comment

112 (1)

See comment

No participant who underwent radioiodine treatment achieved an euthyroid state compared to 4/68 participants not becoming euthyroid treated by methimazole (Tallstedt 1992); however, in this trial thyroxine therapy was not introduced early in both treatment arms to avoid hypothyroidism

Recurrence of hyperthyroidism (relapse)
[measured by serum thyroid hormone levels above the normal range after withdrawal of methimazole or end of radioiodine treatment]

Follow‐up: at least 4 years

256 per 1000

51 of 1000 (3 to 680)

RR 0.20 (0.01 to 2.66)

417 (2)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
very lowb

Adverse events other than development or worsening of Graves' disease

(a) Hypothyroidism [measured by TSH and/or thyroid hormones]

(b) Drug reactions

Follow‐up: (a) at least 2 years (b) at least 4 years

See comment

See comment

See comment

(a) 104 (1)

(b) 215 (2)

a) ⊕⊝⊝⊝
very lowc

b) ⊕⊝⊝⊝
very lowd

(a) 39 of 41 participants developed hypothyroidism after radioiodine treatment for Graves' disease, compared with 0 of 65 participants receiving methimazole (Tallstedt 1992); however, in this trial thyroxine was not introduced early in both treatment groups in order to avoid hypothyroidism

(b) 23 of 215 participants (11%) reported adverse effects likely related to methimazole treatment

All‐cause mortality

Follow‐up: at least 4 years and 14 to 21 years

See comment

See comment

See comment

425 (2)

See comment

No quantitative data for all‐cause mortality were reported

Socioeconomic effects
[costs per patient, based on the official hospital reimbursement system in Sweden]

Follow‐up: 2 years

See comment

See comment

See comment

112 (1)

See comment

Costs for patients without relapse and methimazole treatment were USD 1126/USD 1164 (young/older methimazole group) and for radioiodine treatment USD 1862

Costs for patients with relapse and methimazole treatment were USD 2284/1972 (young/older methimazole group) and for radioiodine treatment USD 2760

*The basis for the assumed risk (e.g. the median control group risk across studies) is provided in footnotes. The corresponding risk (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
CI: confidence interval; RR: risk ratio; SF‐36: 36‐item Short Form Health Status Survey; TSH: thyroid‐stimulating hormone

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: Further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect.
Moderate quality: Further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate.
Low quality: Further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate.
Very low quality: We are very uncertain about the estimate.

Assumed risk was derived from the event rates in the comparator groups.
aDowngraded by two levels: one level because of performance and detection bias and one level because of imprecision (see Appendix 12).
bDowngraded by three levels: two levels because of serious inconsistency and one level because of imprecision (see Appendix 12).
cDowngraded by three levels: one level because of indirectness and two levels because of imprecision (see Appendix 12).
cDowngraded by three levels: one level because of risk of bias, one level because of indirectness and one level because of imprecision (see Appendix 12).

Figuras y tablas -
Table 1. Overview of study populations

Intervention(s) and
comparator(s)

Sample sizea

Screened/eligible
[N]

Randomised
[N]

ITT
[N]

Analysed
[N]

Finishing trial
[N]

Randomised finishing trial
[%]

Follow‐up
(extended follow‐up)b

Traisk 2009

Radioiodine

Primary endpoint was the difference in the proportion of participants with worsening or development of thyroid‐associated ophthalmopathy during a 4‐year follow‐up in the 2 groups (intention‐to‐treat analysis). A comparison (0.05, two‐tailed test) of the binomial proportions between 2 groups of 300 patients each would give more than 90% probability (power) to detect a true difference of 10%

482/333

163

163

163

24 months (4 years)

Methimazole

150

150

150

total:

333

313

313

313

94

Tallstedt 1992e

Radioiodine

179

41

39f

39

95

At least 24 months (at least 48 months; 3 years; 5 years; 14‐21 years)g

Methimazole

71

65f

64

90

total:

112

104

103

92

Grand total

All radioiodine‐treated participants

204

All participants treated with methimazole

221

All interventions

425

"‐" denotes not reported
aInformation about power calculation, sample size etc. in trial publication or report.
bFollow‐up under randomised conditions until end of trial or, if not available, duration of intervention; extended follow‐up refers to follow‐up of participants once the original study was terminated as specified in the power calculation.
cEnrollment in the study started in May 1996. By the second half of 2002, it was obvious that the inclusion rate was too slow to obtain the full number of participants within a reasonable period of time and the study was closed in 2003. This meant that with the above specifications and the number of observations obtained so far (333 enrolled participants), the study had a power of about 70%. With the 4‐year clinical follow‐up, the study was terminated by the end of 2007.
dThe cumulative drop‐out (last observation carried forward) from the ophthalmological follow‐up in the radioiodine group and the medical treatment group, respectively, was as follows: at 1 year, 3% and 1%; at 2 years, 6% and 3%; and at 3 years, 10% and 9%, respectively. At 4 years (i.e. after protocol for ophthalmological follow‐up), 20% of the participants in both groups were still followed by ophthalmologists.
eParticipants were stratified into two age groups (20 to 34 years (group 1) and 35 to 55 years (group 2)). Participants in group 1 were randomised to treatment with methimazole for 18 months or subtotal thyroidectomy, participants in group 2 to methimazole, subtotal thyroidectomy or radioiodine treatment. Numbers in the table reflect the participants being treated with methimazole or radioiodine.
fWith regard to occurrence of ophthalmopathy within two years after the initiation of therapy.
gDifferent follow‐up times according to various publications of extended follow‐up.

ITT: intention‐to‐treat

Figuras y tablas -
Table 1. Overview of study populations
Comparison 1. Radioiodine versus methimazole

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Development or worsening of Graves' ophthalmopathy Show forest plot

2

417

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.94 [1.40, 2.70]

2 Adverse events: hypothyroidism Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

3 Recurrence of hyperthyroidism (relapse) Show forest plot

2

417

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.20 [0.01, 2.66]

4 Participants in euthyroid state Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 1. Radioiodine versus methimazole