Scolaris Content Display Scolaris Content Display

Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews

Programas de agujas y jeringas y tratamiento de sustitución de opiáceos para la prevención de la transmisión de la hepatitis C en personas que se inyectan drogas

Información

DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD012021.pub2Copiar DOI
Base de datos:
  1. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews
Versión publicada:
  1. 18 septiembre 2017see what's new
Tipo:
  1. Intervention
Etapa:
  1. Review
Grupo Editorial Cochrane:
  1. Grupo Cochrane de Alcohol y drogas

Copyright:
  1. Copyright © 2017 The Authors. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. on behalf of The Cochrane Collaboration.
  2. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution‐Non‐Commercial Licence, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited and is not used for commercial purposes.

Cifras del artículo

Altmetric:

Citado por:

Citado 0 veces por enlace Crossref Cited-by

Contraer

Autores

  • Lucy Platt

    Correspondencia a: Department of Social and Environmental Health Research, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK

    [email protected]

  • Silvia Minozzi

    Department of Epidemiology, Lazio Regional Health Service, Rome, Italy

  • Jennifer Reed

    New York University College of Nursing, New York, USA

  • Peter Vickerman

    School of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK

  • Holly Hagan

    New York University College of Nursing, New York, USA

  • Clare French

    School of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK

  • Ashly Jordan

    New York University College of Nursing, New York, USA

  • Louisa Degenhardt

    National Drug and Alcohol Research Centre, UNSW, Randwick, Australia

  • Vivian Hope

    Public Health Institute, Liverpool John Moores University, Liverpool, UK

  • Sharon Hutchinson

    Health Protection Scotland, Glasgow, UK

  • Lisa Maher

    Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia

  • Norah Palmateer

    Health Protection Scotland, Glasgow, UK

  • Avril Taylor

    University of West of Scotland, Paisley, UK

  • Julie Bruneau

    Department of Family and Emergency Medicine, University of Montreal, Montreal, Canada

  • Matthew Hickman

    School of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK

Contributions of authors

Lucy Platt led the writing of the protocol, the screening of papers, data extraction, analyses and write‐up of the review.

Silvia Minozzi contributed to prepare the protocol, assessed risk of bias of the included studies and contributed to writing the text of the review.

Jennifer Reed contributed to the literature search, 'Risk of bias' assessment and data extraction.

Peter Vickerman contributed to the development of the protocol, interpretation of findings and the write‐up of text of the review.

Holly Hagan contributed to the 'Risk of bias' assessment, the analysis plan and interpretation of findings and the write‐up of review text.

Clare French led on the 'Risk of bias' assessment.

Ashly Jordan contributed to the risk of bias assessment and interpretation of findings.

Louisa Degenhardt contributed to the development of the protocol as well as the write‐up of the review.

Vivian Hope contributed to the interpretation of findings and write‐up of the review.

Sharon Hutchinson contributed to the interpretation of findings and write up of the review.

Lisa Maher contributed to the development of the protocol, the identification of unpublished data, the interpretation of findings and write‐up of the review.

Norah Palmateer contributed to the development of the protocol and write‐up of the review.

Avril Taylor contributed to the development of the protocol and write‐up of the review.

Julie Bruneau contributed to the identification of unpublished data and the write‐up of the review.

Matthew Hickman contributed to the development of the protocol, interpretation of findings and the write‐up of text of the review.

Sources of support

Internal sources

  • No sources of support supplied

External sources

  • National Institute of Health Research (NIHR), UK.

    The project was funded by the NIHR’s Public Health Research Programme (grant number: 12/3070/13). Clare French was funded by the NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Evaluation of Interventions at University of Bristol (grant number: HPRU‐2012‐10026). The views expressed are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the NHS, the NIHR, the Department of Health or Public Health England.

  • European Commission Drug Prevention and Information Programme (DIPP) Grant "Treatment as Prevention in Europe: Model Projections of Impact And Strengthening Evidence Base On Intervention Coverage and Effect and HCV Morbidity". [JUST/2013/DPIP/AG/4812], Other.

  • National Institutes of Health/ National Institute on Drug Abuse (NIDA), USA.

    Holly Hagan, Ashly Jordan and Jennifer Reed are supported by NIH‐NIDA grant [1 R01 DA034637]

  • Lisa Maher is supported by an Australian National Health and Medical Research Council Senior Research Fellowship, Australia.

Declarations of interest

Lucy Platt: none known.

Jennifer Reed: none known.

Silvia Minozzi: none known.

Peter Vickerman: received research grant funding off Gilead for doing work unrelated to this project.

Holly Hagan: none known.

Clare French: none known.

Ashly Jordan: none known.

Louisa Degenhardt: I have received untied educational grants from Reckitt Benckiser for the postmarketing surveillance of buprenorphine‐naloxone tablets and soluble film (2006 to 2013), the development of an opioid‐related behaviour scale (2010), and from Mundipharma for the conduct of postmarketing surveillance studies following the introduction of a new formulation of oxycodone in Australia. All such studies' design, conduct and interpretation of findings are the work of the investigators; the funders had no role in these. They had no knowledge of this work.

Vivian Hope: none known.

Sharon Hutchinson: outside the submitted work, received honoraria from pharma (Abbvie and Gilead) for speaking at conferences/meetings on the epidemiology and treatment of HCV infection.

Lisa Maher: none known.

Norah Palmateer: none known.

Avril Taylor: the Scottish Government funded the Needle Exchange Surveillance Initiative. Some of the data from this is used in the paper under consideration.

Julie Bruneau: outside the submitted work, received honoraria from pharma (Merck and Gilead) as advisor on the treatment of HCV infection among people who inject drugs.

Matthew Hickman: none known.

Acknowledgements

We thank Shruti Mehta, Thomas Kerr, Meghan Morris and Ali Judd for access to unpublished data and providing measures of association between the interventions and HCV risk acquisition that were used in the analysis. We thank Zuzana Mitrova for her support with the searches. We thank Julian Higgins for his advice on the use of the ACROBAT 'Risk of bias' assessment tool and statistical advice on the options for pooling different observational study designs.

Version history

Published

Title

Stage

Authors

Version

2017 Sep 18

Needle syringe programmes and opioid substitution therapy for preventing hepatitis C transmission in people who inject drugs

Review

Lucy Platt, Silvia Minozzi, Jennifer Reed, Peter Vickerman, Holly Hagan, Clare French, Ashly Jordan, Louisa Degenhardt, Vivian Hope, Sharon Hutchinson, Lisa Maher, Norah Palmateer, Avril Taylor, Julie Bruneau, Matthew Hickman

https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD012021.pub2

2016 Jan 12

Effectiveness of needle/syringe programmes and opiate substitution therapy in preventing HCV transmission among people who inject drugs

Protocol

Lucy Platt, Jennifer Reed, Silvia Minozzi, Peter Vickerman, Holly Hagan, Clare French, Ashly Jordan, Louisa Degenhardt, Vivian Hope, Sharon Hutchinson, Lisa Maher, Norah Palmateer, Avril Taylor, Matthew Hickman

https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD012021

Differences between protocol and review

We have added a final review author, Prof Julie Bruneau, who contributed some of the unpublished data and advised on the review analyses and write‐up.

We have changed the title to refer to opioids instead of opiates. Opioid encompasses synthetic opiates as well as those derived from opium, whereas opiates just include drugs derived from opium.

We added in another control intervention that included low coverage of NSP. This became necessary as it was clear following data extraction that many comparisons were made against this intervention exposure.

We also added to the description of the 'Risk of bias' assessment following its application. When the protocol was first published the tool was being piloted, and it was updated during the course of the review. We adapted our protocol to reflect these changes. We also added in additional confounders to be extracted from the protocol, since after extracting the first few papers it became clear that we had omitted relevant confounders.

We updated our approach to dealing with measures of treatment effect to reflect the dominant effect estimates that we were extracting. We treated odds ratios as an approximation of the risk ratio despite the variation in HCV incidence. We checked the legitimacy of this approach in a sensitivity analysis, excluding studies reporting odds ratios only.

We excluded studies where data regarding drug treatment or NSP were missing or unavailable from the analysis but not the review. We updated the review to clarify this point.

The subgroup analysis differed from that specified in the review protocol since there was insufficient information to assess impact by type of NSP, frequency of injecting, dose of OST, duration or age, ethnicity of participants. We did not assess impact by recruitment site of participants either since most studies recruited across multiple sites and methods, making it difficult to clearly differentiate methods.

The sensitivity analysis differed from that specified in the protocol in several ways. We did not exclude studies that reported incident rate ratios as effect estimates, since only a few studies used incident rate ratios. Instead we removed estimates derived from unpublished datasets as part of our sensitivity analyses since more estimates were derived in this way, making them a more substantive part of the analysis. The original protocol also stated that we would exclude studies that only assessed the impact of the intervention at baseline. We did this in the review but changed the wording to say that we excluded studies that used odds ratios as effect estimates and were cross‐sectional in design. This is the same as excluding baseline measures only, but we wanted to more clearly specify that the sensitivity analysis had explored the effect of pooling different study designs.

Keywords

MeSH

PICO

Population
Intervention
Comparison
Outcome

El uso y la enseñanza del modelo PICO están muy extendidos en el ámbito de la atención sanitaria basada en la evidencia para formular preguntas y estrategias de búsqueda y para caracterizar estudios o metanálisis clínicos. PICO son las siglas en inglés de cuatro posibles componentes de una pregunta de investigación: paciente, población o problema; intervención; comparación; desenlace (outcome).

Para saber más sobre el uso del modelo PICO, puede consultar el Manual Cochrane.

Study flow diagram.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 1

Study flow diagram.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Current OST versus no OST, outcome: 1.1 HCV incidence adjusted analyses by region.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 2

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Current OST versus no OST, outcome: 1.1 HCV incidence adjusted analyses by region.

Funnel plot of comparison: 1 Current OST versus no OST, outcome: 1.1 HCV incidence adjusted analyses by region.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 3

Funnel plot of comparison: 1 Current OST versus no OST, outcome: 1.1 HCV incidence adjusted analyses by region.

Forest plot of comparison: 2 High NSP coverage versus no/low NSP coverage, outcome: 2.1 HCV incidence adjusted analyses by region.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 4

Forest plot of comparison: 2 High NSP coverage versus no/low NSP coverage, outcome: 2.1 HCV incidence adjusted analyses by region.

Forest plot of comparison: 4 Combined OST and high/low NSP versus no OST and low/no NSP, outcome: 4.1 HCV incidence adjusted analyses.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 5

Forest plot of comparison: 4 Combined OST and high/low NSP versus no OST and low/no NSP, outcome: 4.1 HCV incidence adjusted analyses.

Comparison 1 Current OST versus no OST, Outcome 1 HCV incidence adjusted analyses by region.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.1

Comparison 1 Current OST versus no OST, Outcome 1 HCV incidence adjusted analyses by region.

Comparison 1 Current OST versus no OST, Outcome 2 HCV incidence adjusted analysis by study design.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.2

Comparison 1 Current OST versus no OST, Outcome 2 HCV incidence adjusted analysis by study design.

Comparison 1 Current OST versus no OST, Outcome 3 HCV incidence unadjusted analyses by different modes of OST provision.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.3

Comparison 1 Current OST versus no OST, Outcome 3 HCV incidence unadjusted analyses by different modes of OST provision.

Comparison 2 Sensitivity analysis: OST versus no OST, adjusted analyses excluding unpublished datasets, Outcome 1 HCV incidence.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.1

Comparison 2 Sensitivity analysis: OST versus no OST, adjusted analyses excluding unpublished datasets, Outcome 1 HCV incidence.

Comparison 3 Sensitivity analysis: OST versus no OST, adjusted analyses excluding studies at critical risk of bias, Outcome 1 HCV incidence.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.1

Comparison 3 Sensitivity analysis: OST versus no OST, adjusted analyses excluding studies at critical risk of bias, Outcome 1 HCV incidence.

Comparison 4 Sensitivity analysis: OST versus no OST, adjusted analyses excluding cross‐sectional studies, Outcome 1 HCV incidence.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.1

Comparison 4 Sensitivity analysis: OST versus no OST, adjusted analyses excluding cross‐sectional studies, Outcome 1 HCV incidence.

Comparison 5 OST versus no OST, unadjusted analysis, Outcome 1 HCV incidence.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 5.1

Comparison 5 OST versus no OST, unadjusted analysis, Outcome 1 HCV incidence.

Comparison 6 High NSP coverage versus no/low NSP coverage, Outcome 1 HCV incidence adjusted analyses by region.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.1

Comparison 6 High NSP coverage versus no/low NSP coverage, Outcome 1 HCV incidence adjusted analyses by region.

Comparison 6 High NSP coverage versus no/low NSP coverage, Outcome 2 HCV incidence adjusted analyses by study design.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.2

Comparison 6 High NSP coverage versus no/low NSP coverage, Outcome 2 HCV incidence adjusted analyses by study design.

Comparison 7 Sensitivity analysis: high NSP versus low/no NSP, excluding unpublished data, Outcome 1 HCV incidence.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 7.1

Comparison 7 Sensitivity analysis: high NSP versus low/no NSP, excluding unpublished data, Outcome 1 HCV incidence.

Comparison 8 Sensitivity analysis: high NSP versus low/no NSP, excluding cross‐sectional surveys, Outcome 1 HCV incidence.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 8.1

Comparison 8 Sensitivity analysis: high NSP versus low/no NSP, excluding cross‐sectional surveys, Outcome 1 HCV incidence.

Comparison 9 High NSP coverage versus low/no coverage, unadjusted estimates, Outcome 1 HCV incidence.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 9.1

Comparison 9 High NSP coverage versus low/no coverage, unadjusted estimates, Outcome 1 HCV incidence.

Comparison 10 Low NSP coverage versus no coverage, Outcome 1 HCV incidence, adjusted analyses.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 10.1

Comparison 10 Low NSP coverage versus no coverage, Outcome 1 HCV incidence, adjusted analyses.

Comparison 11 Low NSP coverage versus no NSP, unadjusted analysis, Outcome 1 HCV incidence.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 11.1

Comparison 11 Low NSP coverage versus no NSP, unadjusted analysis, Outcome 1 HCV incidence.

Comparison 12 Combined OST and high/low NSP versus no OST and low/no NSP, Outcome 1 HCV incidence adjusted analyses.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 12.1

Comparison 12 Combined OST and high/low NSP versus no OST and low/no NSP, Outcome 1 HCV incidence adjusted analyses.

Comparison 12 Combined OST and high/low NSP versus no OST and low/no NSP, Outcome 2 HCV incidence unadjusted analyses.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 12.2

Comparison 12 Combined OST and high/low NSP versus no OST and low/no NSP, Outcome 2 HCV incidence unadjusted analyses.

Summary of findings for the main comparison. Current OST versus no OST for people who inject drugs

Current OST versus no OST

Patient or population: people who inject drugs
Settings: outpatient
Intervention: current OST versus no OST

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

No of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Assumed risk

Corresponding risk

No OST

Current OST

HCV incidence adjusted analyses
number of HCV seroconversion
Follow‐up: mean 440.5 person‐years

RR 0.50

(0.40 to 0.63)

6361
(12 studies)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
Lowa,b

*The basis for the assumed risk (e.g. the median control group risk across studies) is provided in footnotes. The corresponding risk (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
CI: confidence interval; OST: opioid substitution therapy; RR: risk ratio.

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect.
Moderate quality: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different.
Low quality: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect.
Very low quality: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect

aDowngraded one level due to overall moderate risk of bias in 2 studies, overall serious risk of bias in 6 studies, 2 studies at overall critical risk of bias in 2 studies; not enough information to make judgment in 2 studies.
bUpgraded one level due to large magnitude of the effect: RR: 0.5.

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings for the main comparison. Current OST versus no OST for people who inject drugs
Summary of findings 2. High NSP coverage versus no/low NSP coverage for people who inject drugs

High NSP coverage versus no/low NSP coverage

Patient or population: people who inject drugs
Settings: outpatients
Intervention: high NSP coverage versus no/low NSP coverage

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

No of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Assumed risk

Corresponding risk

No/low NSP coverage

High NSP coverage

HCV incidence adjusted analyses
number of HCV seroconversion
Follow‐up: mean 269 person‐years

RR: 0.79 (0.39 to 1.61)

3530
(5 studies)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
Very lowa,b

*The basis for the assumed risk (e.g. the median control group risk across studies) is provided in footnotes. The corresponding risk (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
CI: confidence interval; NSP: needle syringe programmes; RR: risk ratio.

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect.
Moderate quality: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different.
Low quality: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect.
Very low quality: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect.

aDowngraded one level due to serious overall risk of bias in all the studies.
bDowngraded one level due to significant heterogeneity: I2: 77%.

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings 2. High NSP coverage versus no/low NSP coverage for people who inject drugs
Summary of findings 3. Combined OST and high NSP versus no OST and low/no NSP for people who inject drugs

Combined OST and highNSP versus no OST and low/no NSP

Patient or population: people who inject drugs
Settings: outpatients
Intervention: Combined OST and high/low NSP versus no OST and low/no NSP

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

No of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Assumed risk

Corresponding risk

No OST and low/no NSP

Combined OST and high NSP

HCV incidence adjusted analyses
number of HCV seroconversions
Follow‐up: mean 356 person‐years

RR: 0.26 (0.07 to 0.89)

3241
(3 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝

Lowa,b

*The basis for the assumed risk (e.g. the median control group risk across studies) is provided in footnotes. The corresponding risk (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
CI: Confidence interval; NSP: needle syringe programmes; OST: opioid substitution therapy; RR: Risk ratio.

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect.
Moderate quality: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different.
Low quality: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect.
Very low quality: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect.

aDowngraded one level due to serious overall risk of bias in all studies.
bUpgraded one level due to very large magnitude of the effect: RR: 0.26.

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings 3. Combined OST and high NSP versus no OST and low/no NSP for people who inject drugs
Table 1. Risk of bias of included studies

Study

Confounding

Selection bias

Measurement of interventions

Departures from intended interventions

Missing data

Measurement of outcomes

Selection of reported result

Overall risk of bias

Aitken 2015 [pers comm]

Critical

Critical

Serious

No info

Critical

Low

No info

Critical

Bruneau 2015 [pers comm]

Moderate

Serious

Moderate

No info

No info

Low

Low

Serious

Craine 2009

Serious

Serious

Serious

No info

Serious

Low

Low

Serious

Crofts 1997

Critical

Serious

Low

No info

Serious

Serious

Low

Critical

Hagan 1995

Serious

Serious

Serious

No info

Low

Low

Low

Serious

Hagan 1999

Moderate

Serious

Low

No info

Low

Low

Low

Serious

Holtzman 2009

Serious

Serious

Moderate

No info

No info

Low

Low

Serious

Hope 2011

Moderate

Moderate

Serious

No info

Low

Low

Low

Serious

Hope 2015 [pers comm]

Moderate

Moderate

Serious

No info

No info

Low

Low

Serious

Judd 2015 [pers comm]

Moderate

Critical

Critical

No info

Critical

Low

Low

Critical

Lucidarme 2004

Moderate

Serious

Serious

No info

Serious

Low

Low

Serious

Maher 2015

Moderate

Serious

Serious

No info

No info

Low

Low

Serious

Mehta 2015 [pers comm]

Moderate

No info

No info

No info

No info

Low

Low

No info

Nolan 2014

Serious

Serious

Moderate

No info

Low

Low

Low

Serious

Page 2015 [pers comm]

Moderate

No info

No info

No info

No info

Low

Low

No info

Palmateer 2014a

Serious

Serious

Moderate

No info

Serious

Low

Low

Serious

Patrick 2001

Serious

Moderate

Serious

No info

Serious

Low

Low

Serious

Rezza 1996

Serious

Low

Serious

No info

Critical

Low

Low

Critical

Roy 2007

Serious

Serious

Serious

No info

Critical

Low

Low

Critical

Ruan 2007

Critical

Critical

Serious

No info

Serious

Low

Low

Critical

Spittal 2012

Serious

Serious

Moderate

No info

Low

Low

Low

Serious

Thiede 2000

Moderate

Moderate

Low

No info

Low

Low

Low

Moderate

Thorpe 2002

Serious

Serious

Serious

No info

Moderate

Low

Low

Serious

Tsui 2014

Moderate

Moderate

Low

No info

Moderate

Low

Low

Moderate

Vallejo 2015

Serious

Serious

Low

No info

Serious

Low

Low

Serious

Van Beek 1998

Critical

Serious

Serious

No info

Critical

Low

Low

Critical

Van Den Berg 2007

Serious

Serious

Moderate

No info

Serious

Low

Low

Serious

White 2014

Moderate

Serious

Moderate

No info

No info

Low

Low

Serious

Figuras y tablas -
Table 1. Risk of bias of included studies
Table 2. Univariable meta‐regression analysis for studies measuring impact of current use of OST on HCV incidence

Variable

Studies

Univariable rate ratio (95% CI)

Ratio of rate ratios

(95% CI)

P value

Tau2

Geographic region

Europe

8

0.51 (0.37‐0.70)

1.0 (ref)

Australia

5

0.55 (0.28‐1.11)

1.12 (0.52‐2.41)

North America

6

0.69 (0.44‐1.08)

1.42 (0.73‐2.78)

0.53

0.10

Site of recruitment

Service attenders

12

0.67 (0.49‐0.92)

1.0 (ref)

Community

7

0.49 (0.33‐0.73)

0.73 (0.42‐1.27)

0.256

0.06

Study design

Cross‐sectional

4

0.51 (0.31‐0.85)

1.0

Prospective cohort

15

0.58 (0.43‐0.77)

1.12 (0.48‐2.61)

0.784

0.10

Females

17

1.59 (1.13‐2.29)

0.01

0.04

Prison experience

11

1.057 (0.61‐1.79)

0.821

0.43

Experience of homelessness

12

1.08 (0.83‐1.40)

0.521

0.23

Injection of stimulants

12

0.89 (0.65‐1.22)

0.373

0.17

Daily injection

7

0.88 (0.64‐1.22)

0.373

0.17

CI: confidence interval; HCV: hepatitis C virus; OST: opioid substitution therapy.

Figuras y tablas -
Table 2. Univariable meta‐regression analysis for studies measuring impact of current use of OST on HCV incidence
Table 3. Univariable meta‐regression analysis for studies measuring impact of high NSP coverage on HCV incidence

Variable

Studies

Univariable rate ratio (95%CI)

Ratio of rate ratios (95%CI)

P value

Tau2

Geographic region

Europe

5

0.44 (0.24‐0.80)

1.0 (Ref)

North America

3

1.58 (0.57‐4.42)

3.73 (0.95‐14.7)

0.057

0.41

Recruitment site

Service attenders

3

0.67 (0.28‐1.59)

1.0 (Ref)

Community

5

0.82 (0.29‐2.32)

0.76(0.12‐4.88)

0.74

0.89

Study design

Cross‐sectional survey

3

0.34 (0.16‐0.75)

1.0 (Ref)

Prospective cohort

4

1.26 (0.55‐2.93)

3.53 (0.78‐15.86)

0.087

0.48

Females

7

2.97(0.38‐23.1)

0.24

0.87

Prison experience

3

NA

Experience of homelessness

6

1.01 (0.38‐2.67)

0.976

1.53

Injection of stimulants

7

1.08 (0.47‐2.51)

0.827

1.15

Daily injection

5

3.66 (0.22‐61.3)

0.239

1.15

CI: confidence interval; HCV: hepatitis C virus; NSP: needle syringe programmes.

Figuras y tablas -
Table 3. Univariable meta‐regression analysis for studies measuring impact of high NSP coverage on HCV incidence
Comparison 1. Current OST versus no OST

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 HCV incidence adjusted analyses by region Show forest plot

12

6361

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.50 [0.40, 0.63]

1.1 North America

5

2245

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.57 [0.42, 0.76]

1.2 Europe

5

3494

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.43 [0.27, 0.68]

1.3 Australia

2

622

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.42 [0.25, 0.72]

2 HCV incidence adjusted analysis by study design Show forest plot

12

6361

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.50 [0.40, 0.63]

2.1 Prospective cohort

10

3467

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.51 [0.40, 0.65]

2.2 Cross‐sectional surveys

2

2894

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.46 [0.23, 0.89]

3 HCV incidence unadjusted analyses by different modes of OST provision Show forest plot

9

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

3.1 Ever used OST

3

375

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.81 [0.52, 1.27]

3.2 Interrupted OST use

3

1157

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.80 [0.57, 1.10]

3.3 Detoxification

1

552

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

1.45 [0.79, 2.66]

3.4 High dose

2

453

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.52 [0.29, 0.94]

3.5 Low dose

2

453

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.85 [0.44, 1.65]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 1. Current OST versus no OST
Comparison 2. Sensitivity analysis: OST versus no OST, adjusted analyses excluding unpublished datasets

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 HCV incidence Show forest plot

8

5235

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.42 [0.31, 0.58]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 2. Sensitivity analysis: OST versus no OST, adjusted analyses excluding unpublished datasets
Comparison 3. Sensitivity analysis: OST versus no OST, adjusted analyses excluding studies at critical risk of bias

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 HCV incidence Show forest plot

9

5782

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.51 [0.40, 0.64]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 3. Sensitivity analysis: OST versus no OST, adjusted analyses excluding studies at critical risk of bias
Comparison 4. Sensitivity analysis: OST versus no OST, adjusted analyses excluding cross‐sectional studies

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 HCV incidence Show forest plot

10

3467

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.51 [0.40, 0.65]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 4. Sensitivity analysis: OST versus no OST, adjusted analyses excluding cross‐sectional studies
Comparison 5. OST versus no OST, unadjusted analysis

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 HCV incidence Show forest plot

16

9499

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.57 [0.45, 0.73]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 5. OST versus no OST, unadjusted analysis
Comparison 6. High NSP coverage versus no/low NSP coverage

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 HCV incidence adjusted analyses by region Show forest plot

5

3530

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.79 [0.39, 1.61]

1.1 North America

3

627

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

1.25 [0.63, 2.46]

1.2 Europe

2

2903

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.24 [0.09, 0.62]

2 HCV incidence adjusted analyses by study design Show forest plot

5

3530

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.95 [0.50, 1.82]

2.1 Prospective cohorts

3

627

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

1.44 [1.01, 2.05]

2.2 Cross‐sectional surveys

2

2903

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.24 [0.09, 0.62]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 6. High NSP coverage versus no/low NSP coverage
Comparison 7. Sensitivity analysis: high NSP versus low/no NSP, excluding unpublished data

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 HCV incidence Show forest plot

4

3245

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.77 [0.28, 2.13]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 7. Sensitivity analysis: high NSP versus low/no NSP, excluding unpublished data
Comparison 8. Sensitivity analysis: high NSP versus low/no NSP, excluding cross‐sectional surveys

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 HCV incidence Show forest plot

3

627

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

1.25 [0.63, 2.46]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 8. Sensitivity analysis: high NSP versus low/no NSP, excluding cross‐sectional surveys
Comparison 9. High NSP coverage versus low/no coverage, unadjusted estimates

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 HCV incidence Show forest plot

7

6455

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.78 [0.39, 1.55]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 9. High NSP coverage versus low/no coverage, unadjusted estimates
Comparison 10. Low NSP coverage versus no coverage

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 HCV incidence, adjusted analyses Show forest plot

6

2765

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

1.43 [0.82, 2.49]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 10. Low NSP coverage versus no coverage
Comparison 11. Low NSP coverage versus no NSP, unadjusted analysis

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 HCV incidence Show forest plot

9

3242

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

1.41 [0.95, 2.09]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 11. Low NSP coverage versus no NSP, unadjusted analysis
Comparison 12. Combined OST and high/low NSP versus no OST and low/no NSP

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 HCV incidence adjusted analyses Show forest plot

3

6197

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.45 [0.22, 0.94]

1.1 High NSP coverage

3

3241

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.26 [0.07, 0.89]

1.2 Low NSP coverage

2

2956

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.87 [0.44, 1.68]

2 HCV incidence unadjusted analyses Show forest plot

4

6427

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.47 [0.27, 0.80]

2.1 Combined OST and high NSP versus no OST and low/no NSP

4

3356

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.29 [0.13, 0.65]

2.2 Combined OST and low NSP versus no OST and low/no NSP

3

3071

Risk Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.76 [0.44, 1.33]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 12. Combined OST and high/low NSP versus no OST and low/no NSP