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Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews

Ciclo natural en la fecundación in vitro (FIV) para parejas subfértiles

Información

DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD010550.pub2Copiar DOI
Base de datos:
  1. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews
Versión publicada:
  1. 30 agosto 2013see what's new
Tipo:
  1. Intervention
Etapa:
  1. Review
Grupo Editorial Cochrane:
  1. Grupo Cochrane de Ginecología y fertilidad

Copyright:
  1. Copyright © 2013 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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Contraer

Autores

  • Thomas Allersma

    Correspondencia a: University Medical Centre Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands

    [email protected]

  • Cindy Farquhar

    Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand

  • Astrid EP Cantineau

    Department of Obstetrics & Gynaecology, University Medical Centre, Groningen, Netherlands

Contributions of authors

Thomas Allersma and Astrid Cantineau extracted data. Thomas Allersma entered the data and wrote the review. Cindy Farquhar helped drafting the review, acted as a clinical expert and commented on the review. Astrid Cantineau acted as a clinical expert and commented on the review.

Sources of support

Internal sources

  • None, Not specified.

External sources

  • None, Not specified.

Declarations of interest

No declaration of interests.

Acknowledgements

We would like to thank the Cochrane Menstrual Disorders and Subfertility Group, in particular Marian Showell (Trials Search Co‐ordinator) for writing and running the search and Vanessa Jordan (New Zealand Cochrane Fellow) for answering questions.

We would also like to thank Dr Jane MacDougall and Dr Marco Sbracia for providing additional information, and Professor Hans Jakob Ingerslev for his response.

Version history

Published

Title

Stage

Authors

Version

2013 Aug 30

Natural cycle in vitro fertilisation (IVF) for subfertile couples

Review

Thomas Allersma, Cindy Farquhar, Astrid EP Cantineau

https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD010550.pub2

2013 Jun 05

Natural cycle IVF for subfertile couples

Protocol

Thomas Allersma, Cindy Farquhar, Astrid EP Cantineau

https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD010550

Differences between protocol and review

Because of the small amount of data, we were unable to subgroup the data as we stated in the protocol.

During the exclusion process, we realised we did not report important exclusion criteria in the protocol, so we added them in the review:

  • donor oocytes;

  • frozen embryo transfer;

  • animal studies.

Keywords

MeSH

Study flow diagram.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 1

Study flow diagram.

Risk of bias summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 2

Risk of bias summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.

Risk of bias graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 3

Risk of bias graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, outcome: 1.1 Live births.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 4

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, outcome: 1.1 Live births.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, outcome: 1.2 OHSS.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 5

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, outcome: 1.2 OHSS.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, outcome: 1.3 Clinical pregnancy.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 6

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, outcome: 1.3 Clinical pregnancy.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, outcome: 1.4 Ongoing pregnancy.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 7

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, outcome: 1.4 Ongoing pregnancy.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, outcome: 1.11 Cycle cancellations.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 8

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, outcome: 1.11 Cycle cancellations.

Comparison 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, Outcome 1 Live births.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.1

Comparison 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, Outcome 1 Live births.

Comparison 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, Outcome 2 OHSS.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.2

Comparison 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, Outcome 2 OHSS.

Comparison 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, Outcome 3 Clinical pregnancy.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.3

Comparison 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, Outcome 3 Clinical pregnancy.

Comparison 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, Outcome 4 Ongoing pregnancy.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.4

Comparison 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, Outcome 4 Ongoing pregnancy.

Comparison 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, Outcome 5 Oocytes retrieved.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.5

Comparison 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, Outcome 5 Oocytes retrieved.

Comparison 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, Outcome 8 Multiple pregnancies.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.8

Comparison 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, Outcome 8 Multiple pregnancies.

Comparison 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, Outcome 9 Gestational abnormalities.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.9

Comparison 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, Outcome 9 Gestational abnormalities.

Comparison 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, Outcome 11 Cycle cancellations.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.11

Comparison 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, Outcome 11 Cycle cancellations.

Comparison 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, Outcome 12 Costs.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.12

Comparison 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, Outcome 12 Costs.

Comparison 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, Outcome 13 Subgroup analysis: Clinical pregnancy rate by intervention.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.13

Comparison 1 Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF, Outcome 13 Subgroup analysis: Clinical pregnancy rate by intervention.

Summary of findings for the main comparison. Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF for subfertile couples

DRAFT Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF for subfertile couples

Patient or population: Subfertile couples
Settings: Assisted reproductive technology
Intervention: Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

No of Participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Assumed risk

Corresponding risk

Standard IVF

Natural cycle IVF

Live birth per woman

530 per 1000

434 per 1000
(342 to 532)

OR 0.68
(0.46 to 1.01)

425
(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝

Moderate1

OHSS per woman

67 per 1000

13 per 1000
(1 to 225)

OR 0.19
(0.01 to 4.06)

60
(1)

⊕⊝⊝⊝

Very low2

Clinical pregnancy per woman

207 per 1000

119 per 1000
(42 to 295)

OR 0.52
(0.17 to 1.61)

351
(4 studies)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
Low1, 2, 3,4

Ongoing pregnancy per woman

494 per 1000

416 per 1000
(328 to 508)

OR 0.72
(0.5 to 1.05)

485
(3 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝

Moderate1,2

Multiple pregnancy per woman

26 per 1000

20 per 1000

(7 to 58)

OR 0.76

(0.25 to 2.31)

527

(2 studies)

⊕⊝⊝⊝

Very low2

*The basis for the assumed risk is the median control group risk across studies. The corresponding risk (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
CI: Confidence interval; OR: Odds ratio

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: Further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect.
Moderate quality: Further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate.
Low quality: Further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate.
Very low quality: We are very uncertain about the estimate.

1 Serious imprecision: confidence intervals compatible with no difference between the interventions or with substantial benefit from standard IVF
2 Very serious imprecision, did not describe methods of allocation concealment or sequence generation in all cases
3 High risk of attrition bias in one study

4 Substantial inconsistency (I2=63%), findings sensitive to choice of statistical model

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings for the main comparison. Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF for subfertile couples
Table 1. Number of articles

Initial search result

After screening

CENTRAL

151

16

EMBASE

127

2

MEDLINE

110

3

PsycINFO

15

0

MDSG

28

3

Clinicaltrials

114

2

CINAHL

7

1

WEBOFKN

66

9

TOTAL

617

36

Figuras y tablas -
Table 1. Number of articles
Table 2. Additional data

Ingerslev 2001

Levy 1991

Natural cycle

Stimulated cycle

Natural cycle

Stimulated cycle

Cycles

114

111

22

26

Clinical pregnancy rate

4

20

0

6

Oocytes retrieved

68 (0.92 ± 0.40)

174 (1.83 ± 1.15)

Cycle cancellations

40

16

6

1

Figuras y tablas -
Table 2. Additional data
Comparison 1. Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Live births Show forest plot

2

425

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.68 [0.46, 1.01]

2 OHSS Show forest plot

1

60

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.19 [0.01, 4.06]

3 Clinical pregnancy Show forest plot

4

351

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.52 [0.17, 1.61]

3.1 Cumulative rate over up to 3 cycles

2

261

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.44 [0.06, 3.25]

3.2 Single cycle

2

90

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.84 [0.30, 2.37]

4 Ongoing pregnancy Show forest plot

3

485

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.72 [0.50, 1.05]

5 Oocytes retrieved Show forest plot

1

60

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

‐4.40 [‐7.87, ‐0.93]

8 Multiple pregnancies Show forest plot

2

527

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.76 [0.25, 2.31]

9 Gestational abnormalities Show forest plot

1

18

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.44 [0.03, 5.93]

11 Cycle cancellations Show forest plot

2

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

11.1 NC‐IVF versus stimulated cycle IVF

2

159

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

8.98 [0.20, 393.66]

12 Costs Show forest plot

1

60

Std. Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

‐5.59 [‐6.75, ‐4.44]

13 Subgroup analysis: Clinical pregnancy rate by intervention Show forest plot

4

351

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.52 [0.17, 1.61]

13.1 NC IVF versus stimulated cycle IVF

3

291

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.39 [0.08, 1.89]

13.2 MNC‐IVF versus stimulated cycle IVF

1

60

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.0 [0.33, 3.02]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 1. Natural cycle IVF versus standard IVF