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Study flow diagram.
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Figure 1

Study flow diagram.

Risk of bias graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.
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Figure 2

Risk of bias graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Antibiotics versus placebo, outcome: 1.1 Treatment failure up to 4 weeks (no resolution or deterioration after trial medication of any duration or death when explicitly stated due to exacerbation or additional course of antibiotics).
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Figure 3

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Antibiotics versus placebo, outcome: 1.1 Treatment failure up to 4 weeks (no resolution or deterioration after trial medication of any duration or death when explicitly stated due to exacerbation or additional course of antibiotics).

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Antibiotics versus placebo, outcome: 1.2 Treatment failure within 4 weeks ‐ current drugs only.
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Figure 4

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Antibiotics versus placebo, outcome: 1.2 Treatment failure within 4 weeks ‐ current drugs only.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Antibiotics versus placebo, outcome: 1.3 Adverse events.
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Figure 5

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Antibiotics versus placebo, outcome: 1.3 Adverse events.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Antibiotics versus placebo, outcome: 1.4 All‐cause mortality.
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Figure 6

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Antibiotics versus placebo, outcome: 1.4 All‐cause mortality.

Comparison 1 Antibiotics versus placebo, Outcome 1 Treatment failure up to 4 weeks (no resolution or deterioration after trial medication of any duration or death when explicitly stated due to exacerbation or additional course of antibiotics).
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Analysis 1.1

Comparison 1 Antibiotics versus placebo, Outcome 1 Treatment failure up to 4 weeks (no resolution or deterioration after trial medication of any duration or death when explicitly stated due to exacerbation or additional course of antibiotics).

Comparison 1 Antibiotics versus placebo, Outcome 2 Treatment failure within 4 weeks ‐ current drugs only.
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Analysis 1.2

Comparison 1 Antibiotics versus placebo, Outcome 2 Treatment failure within 4 weeks ‐ current drugs only.

Comparison 1 Antibiotics versus placebo, Outcome 3 Adverse events.
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Analysis 1.3

Comparison 1 Antibiotics versus placebo, Outcome 3 Adverse events.

Comparison 1 Antibiotics versus placebo, Outcome 4 All‐cause mortality.
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Analysis 1.4

Comparison 1 Antibiotics versus placebo, Outcome 4 All‐cause mortality.

Comparison 1 Antibiotics versus placebo, Outcome 5 Duration of hospital stay (days).
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Analysis 1.5

Comparison 1 Antibiotics versus placebo, Outcome 5 Duration of hospital stay (days).

Comparison 1 Antibiotics versus placebo, Outcome 6 Improvement in dyspnoea measured at the end of the study period.
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Analysis 1.6

Comparison 1 Antibiotics versus placebo, Outcome 6 Improvement in dyspnoea measured at the end of the study period.

Comparison 1 Antibiotics versus placebo, Outcome 7 Health‐related quality of life or functional status measures.
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Analysis 1.7

Comparison 1 Antibiotics versus placebo, Outcome 7 Health‐related quality of life or functional status measures.

Comparison 1 Antibiotics versus placebo, Outcome 8 Re‐exacerbations within ≥ 2 to 6 weeks since beginning of index exacerbation (rates).
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Analysis 1.8

Comparison 1 Antibiotics versus placebo, Outcome 8 Re‐exacerbations within ≥ 2 to 6 weeks since beginning of index exacerbation (rates).

Comparison 1 Antibiotics versus placebo, Outcome 9 Days off work.
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Analysis 1.9

Comparison 1 Antibiotics versus placebo, Outcome 9 Days off work.

Summary of findings for the main comparison. Antibiotics for exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

Antibiotics for exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

Patient or population: patients with exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
Settings: outpatient and inpatient reported together in the same table (see subgroups)
Intervention: antibiotics versus placebo

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

No of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Assumed risk

Corresponding risk

Placebo

Antibiotics versus placebo

Treatment failure up to 4 weeks1 Subgroup: outpatient

275 per 1000

206 per 1000
(165 to 259)

RR 0.75
(0.60 to 0.94)

931
(7 studies)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
low 2,3

Antibiotics:

‐ amoxicillin‐clavulanic acid

‐ trimethoprim/sulphamethoxazole

‐ oxytetracycline

‐ amoxicillin

‐ amoxicillin and co‐trimoxazol

Treatment failure up to 4 weeks1

Subgroup: inpatient

520 per 1000

401 per 1000
(338 to 473)

RR 0.77
(0.65 to 0.91)

612
(4 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊕
high 4

Antibiotics:

‐ amoxicillin‐clavulanic acid and trimethoprim/sulphamethoxazole

‐ doxycycline

‐ tetracycline hydrochloride or chloramphenicol

‐ penicillin and streptomycin

Treatment failure up to 4 weeks1

Subgoup: ICU

565 per 1000

107 per 1000
(45 to 254)

RR 0.19
(0.08 to 0.45)

93
(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊕
high

Antibiotics:

‐ ofloxacine

All‐cause mortality

Subgroup: inpatients

35 per 1000

36 per 1000
(13 to 92)

OR 1.02
(0.37 to 2.79)

531
(4 studies)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
low 5,6

Antibiotics:

‐ tetracycline hydrochloride or chloramphenicol

‐ penicillin and streptomycin

‐ chloramphenicol

‐ doxycycline

All‐cause mortality

Subgroup: ICU

217 per 1000

55 per 1000
(16 to 167)

OR 0.21
(0.06 to 0.72)

93
(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊕
high 7

Antibiotics:

‐ ofloxacine

Adverse events ‐ diarrhoea

18 per 1000

45 per 1000
(19 to 99)

OR 2.62
(1.11 to 6.17)

698
(3 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊕
high

Antibiotics:

‐ amoxicillin‐clavulanic acid

‐ amoxicillin

‐ ofloxacine

Adverse events ‐ overall (adverse events not separated)

74 per 1000

109 per 1000
(76 to 154)

OR 1.53
(1.03 to 2.27)

1243
(5 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
moderate 8

Antibiotics:

‐ amoxicillin‐clavulanic acid

‐ doxycycline

‐ amoxicillin

‐ ofloxacine

*The basis for the assumed risk (e.g. the median control group risk across studies) is provided in footnotes. The corresponding risk (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
CI: confidence interval; ICU: intensive care unit; OR: odds ratio; RR: risk ratio.

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: Further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect.
Moderate quality: Further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate.
Low quality: Further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate.
Very low quality: We are very uncertain about the estimate.

1 no resolution or deterioration after trial medication of any duration or death when explicitly stated due to exacerbation or additional course of antibiotics.

2 (‐ 1 inconsistency). Discrepancy between the statistical significance of the meta‐analysis that includes all trials (RR 0.75; 95% CI 0.60 to 0.94) vs. the meta‐analysis that is restricted to currently used drugs (amoxicillin‐clavulanic acid, trimethoprim/sulphamethoxazole, doxycycline, penicillin; RR 0.80; 95% CI 0.63 to 1.01).

3 (‐1 limitations). For one trial (Blasi) not all results are available.

4 (no downgrading). The heterogeneity was caused by two small trials that contribute only 14% to the pooled estimate. Two larger trials have the most weight in the meta‐analysis and show almost identical point estimates, therefore we did not downgrade for inconsistency.

5 (‐1 inconsistency). Substantial heterogeneity across trials with the largest trial showing an increase in mortality and the three small trials suggesting a decrease in mortality.

6 (‐ 1 imprecision). Wide 95% CI that precludes any conclusion about the effects of antibiotics on mortality in inpatients.

7 (no downgrading). The CI is relatively wide; however, because the upper limit of the 95% CI (0.72) as the most conservative effect estimate shows an at least moderate effect of antibiotics on mortality we did not downgrade.

8 (‐ 1 imprecision). Lower limit of 95% CI is very close to 1.0 and it is uncertain if lower limit would be below 1.0 with additional trials.

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings for the main comparison. Antibiotics for exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
Table 1. Type and dose of antibiotic used

Study

Antibiotic

Dose

Duration

Currently available and used?

Co‐interventions

Control

ABC 2009

Amoxicillin‐clavulanic acid (oral)

1.5 g/day

7 days

Yes

Oral prednisolone 30 mg for 7 days

Placebo for 7 days and oral prednisolone 30 mg for 7 days

Allegra 1991

Amoxicillin‐clavulanic acid (oral)

2 g/day

5 days

Yes

 

Placebo

Alonso Martinez 1992

Trimethoprim‐sulphamethoxazole or amoxicillin/clavulanic acid

 

1.9 g/day

8 days

Yes

 

 

Anthonisen 1987

Trimethoprim/sulphamethoxazole (oral)

1.9 g/day

10 days

Yes

 

Placebo

Amoxicillin (oral)

1 g/day

Doxycycline(oral)

0.1 to 0.2/day

Berry 1960

Oxytetracycline (oral)

1 g/day

5 days

No

 

Placebo

Daniels 2010

Doxycycline (oral)

 

7 days

Yes

IV prednisolone taper

Placebo plus IV prednisolone taper

Elmes 1957

Oxytetracycline (oral)

1 g/day

5 to 7 days

No

 

Placebo

Fear 1962

Oxytetracycline (oral)

1 g/day

7 days

No

 

placebo

Jørgensen 1992

Amoxicillin (oral)

1.5 g/day

7 days

Yes

 

placebo

Llor 2012

Amoxicillin/clavulanate (oral)

1.5 g/day

8 days

Yes

Placebo

Manresa 1987

Cefaclor (oral)

1.5 g/day

8 days

 Yes

 

placebo

Nouira 2001

Ofloxacin (oral)

400 mg/day

10 days

 Yes

 

placebo

Petersen 1967

Chloramphenicol (oral)

2 g/day

10 days

 No

 

placebo

Pines 1968

Penicillin (parenterally)

1 g/day

14 days

Yes

 

placebo

Pines 1972

Tetracycline hydrochloride (oral) or Chloramphenicol

2 g/day

12 days

No

 

placebo

Sachs 1995

Amoxicillin 1.5 g/day 1.9 g/day (oral)

1.5 g/day

7 days

yes

 

placebo

or co‐trimoxazole

1.9 g/day

IV: intravenous.

Figuras y tablas -
Table 1. Type and dose of antibiotic used
Comparison 1. Antibiotics versus placebo

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Treatment failure up to 4 weeks (no resolution or deterioration after trial medication of any duration or death when explicitly stated due to exacerbation or additional course of antibiotics) Show forest plot

12

1636

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.71 [0.62, 0.81]

1.1 Outpatient

7

931

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.75 [0.60, 0.94]

1.2 Inpatient

4

612

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.77 [0.65, 0.91]

1.3 ICU

1

93

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.19 [0.08, 0.45]

2 Treatment failure within 4 weeks ‐ current drugs only Show forest plot

8

1175

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.76 [0.64, 0.91]

2.1 Outpatient

5

790

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.80 [0.63, 1.01]

2.2 Inpatient

3

385

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.71 [0.55, 0.92]

3 Adverse events Show forest plot

5

Peto Odds Ratio (Peto, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

3.1 Diarrhoea

3

698

Peto Odds Ratio (Peto, Fixed, 95% CI)

2.62 [1.11, 6.17]

3.2 Dyspepsia

2

605

Peto Odds Ratio (Peto, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.69 [0.28, 1.73]

3.3 Pain in mouth

1

270

Peto Odds Ratio (Peto, Fixed, 95% CI)

7.73 [0.80, 74.98]

3.4 Exanthema, itching

3

698

Peto Odds Ratio (Peto, Fixed, 95% CI)

3.83 [0.77, 19.11]

3.5 Overall (adverse events not separated)

5

1243

Peto Odds Ratio (Peto, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.53 [1.03, 2.27]

4 All‐cause mortality Show forest plot

5

624

Peto Odds Ratio (Peto, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.54 [0.25, 1.16]

4.1 Inpatients

4

531

Peto Odds Ratio (Peto, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.02 [0.37, 2.79]

4.2 ICU patients

1

93

Peto Odds Ratio (Peto, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.21 [0.06, 0.72]

5 Duration of hospital stay (days) Show forest plot

3

202

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐3.04 [‐8.83, 2.76]

6 Improvement in dyspnoea measured at the end of the study period Show forest plot

2

300

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

‐0.40 [‐0.96, 0.15]

6.1 Outpatients

1

35

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.0 [‐0.97, 0.97]

6.2 Inpatients

1

265

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

‐0.60 [‐1.27, 0.07]

7 Health‐related quality of life or functional status measures Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

8 Re‐exacerbations within ≥ 2 to 6 weeks since beginning of index exacerbation (rates) Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

9 Days off work Show forest plot

1

88

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

‐5.18 [‐6.08, ‐4.28]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 1. Antibiotics versus placebo