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نقش مهار کننده‌های آلفا‐گلوکوزیداز در پیشگیری یا به تاخیر انداختن بروز دیابت ملیتوس نوع 2 و عوارض مرتبط با آن در افراد در معرض خطر بالای ابتلا به دیابت ملیتوس نوع 2

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Referencias

ABC 2017 {published and unpublished data}

Asakura M, Kim J, Asanuma H, Hamasaki T, Tsukahara K, Higashino Y, et al. Does treatment of impaired glucose tolerance improve cardiovascular outcomes in patients with previous myocardial infarction?. Cardiovascular Drugs and Therapy 2017;31(4):401‐11. CENTRAL
NCT00212017. Assessment of an alpha‐glucosidase inhibitor to block cardiac events in patients with myocardial infarction and IGT (ABC Study). www.clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT00212017 (accessed 10 July 2018). CENTRAL

ACE 2017 {published data only (unpublished sought but not used)}

Diabetes Trials Unit, University of Oxford. Acarbose cardiovascular evaluation. www.dtu.ox.ac.uk/ACE (accessed 18 June 2018). CENTRAL
Holman RR, Bethel MA, Chan JC, Chiasson J, Doran Z, Junbo G, et al. Rationale for and design of the Acarbose Cardiovascular Evaluation (ACE) trial. American Heart Journal 2014;168:23‐9. CENTRAL
Holman RR, Coleman RL, Chan JC, Chiasson J, Feng H, Junbo G, et al. for the ACE Study Group. Effects of acarbose on cardiovascular and diabetes outcomes in patients with coronary heart disease and impaired glucose tolerance (ACE): a randomised, double‐blind, placebo‐controlled trial. Lancet Diabetes & Endocrinology 2017;5:877‐86. CENTRAL
ISRCTN91899513. Acarbose Cardiovascular Evaluation trial (ACE). www.isrctn.com/ISRCTN91899513 (accessed 17 July 2018). CENTRAL
NCT00829660. Acarbose Cardiovascular Evaluation Trial (ACE). www.clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT00829660 (accessed 10 July 2018). CENTRAL

DAISI 2008 {published data only}

ISRCTN33274262. Dutch acarbose intervention trial (DAISI). www.isrctn.com/ISRCTN33274262 (accessed 6 July 2018). CENTRAL
Nijpels G, Boorsma W, Dekker JM, Kostense PJ, Bouter LM, Heine RJ. A study of the effects of acarbose on glucose metabolism in patients predisposed to developing diabetes: the Dutch Acarbose Intervention Study in persons with impaired glucose tolerance (DAISI). Diabetes/metabolism Research and Reviews 2008;24(8):611‐6. CENTRAL

EDIT 1997 {published data only}

Citroën HA, Tunbridge FKE, Holman RR. Possible prevention of type 2 diabetes with acarbose or metformin over three years. Diabetologia 2000;43(Suppl 1):A73. CENTRAL
Diabetes Trials Unit, University of Oxford. Early diabetes intervention trial (protocol). www.dtu.ox.ac.uk/EDIT/protocol (accessed 6 July 2018). CENTRAL
Holman RR, Blackwell L, Manley SE, Tucker L, Frighi V, Stratton IM. Results from the Early Diabetes Intervention Trial. Diabetes 2003;52(Suppl 1):A16. CENTRAL
Holman RR, Blackwell L, Stratton IM, Manley SE, Tucker L, Frighi V. Six‐years results from the Early Diabetes Intervention Trial. Diabetic Medicine 2003;20(Suppl 2):15. CENTRAL
Holman RR, North BV, Tunbridge FKE. Early Diabetes Intervention Trial. Diabetes 1997;46(Suppl 1):157A. CENTRAL
Holman RR, North BV, Tunbridge FKE. Early Diabetes Intervention Trial. Diabetologia 1997;40(Suppl 1):A17. CENTRAL
Holman RR, North BV, Tunbridge FKE. Possible prevention of type 2 diabetes with acarbose or metformin. Diabetes 2000;49(Suppl 1: A111):450‐P. CENTRAL
ISRCTN96631607. Early diabetes intervention trial (EDIT study). www.isrctn.com/ISRCTN96631607 (accessed 6 July 2018). CENTRAL
Kim JI, Stevens RJ, Holman RR. The haemoglobin glycation index is reproducible in dysglycaemic individual but is not explained by post‐challenge plasma glucose levels [Abstract]. Diabetologia 2004;47(suppl 1):A122. CENTRAL

Fang 2004 {published data only}

Fang YS, Li TY, Chen SY. Effect of medicine and non‐medicine intervention on the outcomes of patients with impaired glucose tolerance: 5‐year follow‐up. Zhongguo Linchuang Kangfu [Chinese Journal for Clinical Rehabilitation] 2004;8(30):6562‐3. CENTRAL

Kawamori 2009 {published data only (unpublished sought but not used)}

Kawamori R, Tajima N, Iwamoto Y, Kashiwagi A, Shimamoto K, Koku K, Voglibose Ph‐3 Study Group. Voglibose for prevention of type 2 diabetes mellitus: a randomised, double‐blind trial in Japanese individuals with impaired glucose tolerance. Lancet 2009;373(9675):1607‐14. CENTRAL
UMIN000001109. A study in subjects with impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) to evaluate effects of AO‐128 on prevention of type 2 diabetes mellitus. upload.umin.ac.jp/cgi‐open‐bin/ctr_e/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000001296 (accessed 17 July 2018). CENTRAL

Koyasu 2010 {published data only (unpublished sought but not used)}

Koyasu M, Ishii H, Watarai M, Takemoto K, Inden Y, Takeshita K, et al. Impact of acarbose on carotid intima‐media thickness in patients with newly diagnosed impaired glucose tolerance or mild type 2 diabetes mellitus: a one‐year, prospective, randomized, open‐label, parallel‐group study in Japanese adults with established coronary artery disease. Clinical Therapeutics 2010;32(9):1610‐7. CENTRAL
UMIN000000544. Impact of acarbose therapy in abnormal glucose tolerance patients with coronary artery disease. upload.umin.ac.jp/cgi‐open‐bin/ctr_e/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000000658 (accessed 17 July 2018). CENTRAL

STOP‐NIDDM 2002 {published and unpublished data}

Anonymous. The "STOP NIDDM" program ‐ can diabetes in the aged be prevented? An international long‐term study revisited; does acarbose delay or prevent the manifestations of type II diabetes [STOP NIDDM Programm ‐ Kann man den Altersdiabetes verhindern? Eine internationale Langzeit‐Studie untersucht, ob Acarbose die Manifestation des Typ II‐Diabetes verzögert oder verhindert]. Deutsche Medizinische Wochenschrift 1997;122(38 Suppl):1‐4. CENTRAL
Anonymous. The STOP‐NIDDM trial study to prevent non insulin dependent diabetes mellitus [PowerPoint presentation]. www.stop‐niddm.com/study/slides/htm (accessed 1 August 2006; no longer available)2003. CENTRAL
Bridges CM. Acarbose for patients with hypertension and impaired glucose tolerance. JAMA 2003;290(23):3066‐7. CENTRAL
Chiasson JL. The potential use of acarbose in the prevention of type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease. European Heart Journal Supplements 2000;2(Supplement D):D35. CENTRAL
Chiasson JL, Gomis R, Hanefeld M, Josse RG, Karasik A, Laakso M. The STOP‐NIDDM Trial: an international study on the efficacy of an alpha‐glucosidase inhibitor to prevent type 2 diabetes in a population with impaired glucose tolerance: rationale, design, and preliminary screening data. Study to Prevent Non‐Insulin‐Dependent Diabetes Mellitus. Diabetes Care 1998;21(10):1720‐5. CENTRAL
Chiasson JL, Josse RG, Gomis R, Hanefeld M, Karasik A, Laakso M. Acarbose for prevention of type 2 diabetes mellitus: the STOP‐NIDDM randomised trial. Lancet 2002;359(9323):2072‐7. CENTRAL
Chiasson JL, Josse RG, Gomis R, Hanefeld M, Karasik A, Laakso M. Acarbose for the prevention of type 2 diabetes, hypertension and cardiovascular disease in subjects with impaired glucose tolerance: facts and interpretations concerning the critical analysis of the STOP‐NIDDM Trial data. Diabetologia 2004;47(6):969‐75. CENTRAL
Chiasson JL, Josse RG, Gomis R, Hanefeld M, Karasik A, Laakso M. Acarbose treatment and the risk of cardiovascular disease and hypertension in patients with impaired glucose tolerance: the STOP‐NIDDM trial. JAMA 2003;290(4):486‐96. CENTRAL
Chiasson JL, Josse RG, Hanefeld M, Karasik A, Laakso M. Acarbose can prevent type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease in subjects with impaired glucose tolerance: the STOP‐NIDDM Trial. Diabetologia 2002;45(Suppl 2):A104. CENTRAL
Delorme S, Chiasson JL. Acarbose in the prevention of cardiovascular disease in subjects with impaired glucose tolerance and type 2 diabetes mellitus. Current Opinion in Pharmacology 2005;5(2):184‐9. CENTRAL
Gonzalez‐Clemente JM, Ortega‐Martinez de Victoria E, Gimenez‐Palop O, Mauricio D. Acarbose for patients with hypertension and impaired glucose tolerance. JAMA 2003;290(23):3067‐9. CENTRAL
Hanefeld M, Chiasson JL, Koehler C, Henkel E, Schaper F, Temelkova‐Kurktschiev T. Acarbose slows progression of intima‐media thickness of the carotid arteries in subjects with impaired glucose tolerance. Stroke 2004;35(5):1073‐8. CENTRAL
Kaiser T, Sawicki PT. Acarbose for patients with hypertension and impaired glucose tolerance. JAMA 2003;290(23):3066‐9. CENTRAL
Kaiser T, Sawicki PT. Acarbose for prevention of diabetes, hypertension and cardiovascular events? A critical analysis of the STOP‐NIDDM data. Diabetologia 2004;47(3):575‐80. CENTRAL
Muhlhauser I. Acarbose for type 2 diabetes prevention. Lancet 2002;360(9344):1517. CENTRAL
Quilici S, Chancellor J, Maclaine G, McGuire A, Andersson D, Chiasson JL. Cost‐effectiveness of acarbose for the management of impaired glucose tolerance in Sweden. International Journal of Clinical Practice 2005;59(10):1143‐52. CENTRAL
Rosenthal JH. Acarbose for patients with hypertension and impaired glucose tolerance. JAMA 2003;290(23):3066. CENTRAL
Sabes R. Cost‐effectiveness analysis of acarbose in the treatment of patients with impaired glucose tolerance. Gaceta Sanitaria / S.E.S.P.A.S 2004;18(6):431‐9. CENTRAL
Sawicki PT, Kaiser T. Response to Chiasson et al.: Acarbose for the prevention of type 2 diabetes, hypertension and cardiovascular disease in subjects with impaired glucose tolerance: facts and interpretations concerning the critical analysis of the STOP‐NIDDM Trial data. Diabetologia 2004;47(6):976‐7. CENTRAL
Scheen AJ. Acarbose for type 2 diabetes prevention. Lancet 2002;360(9344):1516. CENTRAL
Temelkova‐Kurktschiev TS, Koehler C. Lower progression of carotid intima media thickness under acarbose: the STOP‐NIDDM study. Diabetologia 2003;46(Suppl 2):A122‐3. CENTRAL
Windler E. Acarbose for prevention of diabetes mellitus. STOP‐NIDDM [Acarbose zur diabetes‐mellitus‐pravention]. Der Internist 2003;44(4):491‐3. CENTRAL
Zeymer U. Cardiovascular benefits of acarbose in impaired glucose tolerance and type 2 diabetes. International Journal of Cardiology 2006;107(1):11‐20. CENTRAL
Zeymer U. Effect of acarbose treatment on the risk of silent myocardial infarctions in patients with impaired glucose tolerance: results of the randomised STOP‐NIDDM trial electrocardiography substudy. International Journal of Cardiology 2006;107(1):11‐20. CENTRAL
Zeymer U, Schwarzmaier‐D'assie A, Petzinna D, Chiasson JL. Acarbose reduces silent myocardial infarctions in patients with impaired glucose tolerance. Results of the randomized STOP‐NIDDM ECG substudy. Diabetologia 2004;47(Suppl 1):A47. CENTRAL

Wang 2000 {published data only}

Wang H, Xu WH, Wang GY. An evalualion on efficacy of acarbose interfering trentment on IGT. Shanxi Clinical Medicine Journal 2000;9(2):116‐7. CENTRAL

Yun 2016 {published data only (unpublished sought but not used)}

Yun P, Du AM, Chen XJ, Liu JC, Xiao H. Effect of acarbose on long‐term prognosis in acute coronary syndromes patients with newly diagnosed impaired glucose tolerance. Journal of Diabetes Research 2016;2016:1602083. CENTRAL

ABDOMEN study {published data only}

NCT01167231. Prevention of postprandial hyperglycemia by acarbose may be a promising therapeutic strategy for reducing the increased risk for cardiovascular disease (ABDOMEN). www.clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01167231 (accessed 11 July 2018). CENTRAL

Aoki 2010 {published data only}

UMIN000003170. Effect of miglitol and sitagliptin on incretin levels. upload.umin.ac.jp/cgi‐open‐bin/ctr_e/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000003662 (accessed 11 July 2018). CENTRAL

EDIP {published data only}

Perry RC, Shankar RR, Fineberg N, McGill J, Baron AD. HbA1c measurement improves the detection of type 2 diabetes in high‐risk individuals with nondiagnostic levels of fasting plasma glucose: the Early Diabetes Intervention Program (EDIP). Diabetes Care 2001;24(3):465‐71. CENTRAL
Shankar RR, Shankar SS, Brizendine E, Shen G, McGill J, Baron AD, et al. Acarbose in 'early' diabetes ‐ data from the Early Diabetes Intervention Program (EDIP). Diabetes 2005;54(Suppl 1):A132. CENTRAL

JEDIS study {published data only}

UMIN000000681. A randomized comparative clinical study on suppression of progression from early diabetes, diet/exercise standard intervention vs. concurrent pharmacological standard intervention. upload.umin.ac.jp/cgi‐open‐bin/ctr_e/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000000817 (accessed 11 July 2018). CENTRAL

Kataoka 2012 {published data only}

Kataoka Y, Yasuda S, Miyamoto Y, Sase K, Kosuge M, Kimura K, et al. Effects of voglibose and nateglinide on glycemic status and coronary atherosclerosis in early‐stage diabetic patients. Circulation Journal 2012;76(3):712‐20. CENTRAL

Mangiagli 2004 {published data only}

Mangiagli A, Campisi S, De Sanctis V, Nicoletti MC, Cardinale G, Galati MC, et al. Effects of acarbose in patients with beta‐thalassaemia major and abnormal glucose homeostasis. Pediatric Endocrinology Reviews 2004;2(Suppl 2):276‐8. CENTRAL

Medizinische Klinik B study {published data only}

2004‐002579‐17. A double‐blind, randomised placebo controlled study of the effects of acarbose on endothelial function, hemostatic and fibrinolytic plasmatic factors in patients with stable coronary artery disease and either impaired glucose intolerance or newly diagnosed diabetes mellitus. www.clinicaltrialsregister.eu/ctr‐search/trial/2004‐002579‐17/DE (accessed 11 July 2018). CENTRAL

MM study {published data only}

UMIN000010282. Three‐arm comparative study of miglitol and mitiglinide alone and in combination ‐efficacy and safety studies. upload.umin.ac.jp/cgi‐open‐bin/ctr_e/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000012031 (accessed 11 July 2018). CENTRAL

Narita 2009 {published data only}

UMIN000001671. The comparative study of the effects of miglitol and voglibose (alpha‐glucosidase inhibitors) on incretins secretion. upload.umin.ac.jp/cgi‐open‐bin/ctr_e/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000002020 (accessed 11 July 2018). CENTRAL

NCT00417950 {published data only}

NCT00417950. Additional glucose lowering and anti‐inflammatory effects by acarbose and alcohol in subjects with impaired glucose tolerance or mild type 2 diabetes. www.clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT00417950 (accessed 11 July 2018). CENTRAL

Toyoda 2012 {published data only}

UMIN000008692. Study of the combination use effect of DPP‐4 inhibitor and alpha‐glucosidase inhibitor. upload.umin.ac.jp/cgi‐open‐bin/ctr_e/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000010217 (accessed 11 July 2018). CENTRAL

Watada 2012 {published data only}

UMIN000008591. Linagliptin study of effects on PPG, postprandial blood glucose control. upload.umin.ac.jp/cgi‐open‐bin/ctr_e/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000010093 (accessed 11 July 2018). CENTRAL

Yang 2001 {published data only}

Yang W, Lin L, Qi J, Yu Z, Pei H, He G, et al. The preventive effect of acarbose and metformin on the progression to diabetes mellitus in the IGT population: a 3‐year multicenter prospective study [Chinese translation from Bayer website www.stop‐niddm.com, accessed 13 September 2004, no longer available]. Chinese Journal of Endocrinology and Metabolism 2001;17(3):131‐6. CENTRAL

NCT00221156 {published data only}

NCT00221156. Acarbose and secondary prevention after coronary stenting. www.clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT00221156 (accessed 18 December 2018). CENTRAL

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Pan CY, Gao Y, Chen JW, Luo BY, Fu ZZ, Lu JM, et al. Efficacy of acarbose in Chinese subjects with impaired glucose tolerance. Diabetes Research and Clinical Practice 2003;61:183–90.

Quilici 2005

Quilici S, Chancellor J, Maclaine G, McGuire A, Andersson D, Chiasson JL. Cost‐effectiveness of acarbose for the management of impaired glucose tolerance in Sweden. International Journal of Clinical Practice 2005;59(10):1143‐52.

RevMan 2014 [Computer program]

Nordic Cochrane Centre, The Cochrane Collaboration. Review Manager 5 (RevMan 5). Version 5.3. Copenhagen: Nordic Cochrane Centre, The Cochrane Collaboration, 2014.

Riley 2011

Riley RD, Higgins JP, Deeks JJ. Interpretation of random effects meta‐analyses. BMJ 2011;342:d549.

Sawicki 2004

Sawicki PT, Kaiser T. Response to Chiasson et al.: acarbose for the prevention of type 2 diabetes, hypertension and cardiovascular disease in subjects with impaired glucose tolerance: facts and interpretations concerning the critical analysis of the STOP‐NIDDM Trial data. Diabetologia 2004;47(6):976‐7.

Schünemann 2017

Schünemann HJ, Oxman AD, Higgins JPT, Vist GE, Glasziou P, Akl E, et al. on behalf of the Cochrane GRADEing Methods Group and the Cochrane Statistical Methods Group. Chapter 11: Completing ‘Summary of findings’ tables and grading the confidence in or quality of the evidence. In: Higgins JPT, Churchill R, Chandler J, Cumpston MS (editors), Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions version 5.2.0 (updated June 2017). Cochrane, 2017. Available from www.training.cochrane.org/handbook.

Selvin 2011

Selvin E, Steffes MW, Ballantyne CM, Hoogeveen RC, Coresh J, Brancati FL. Racial differences in glycemic markers: a cross‐sectional analysis of community‐based data. Annals of Internal Medicine 2011;154(5):303‐9. [PUBMED: 21357907]

Shinozaki 1996

Shinozaki K, Suzuki M, Ikebuchi M, Hirose J, Hara Y, Harano Y. Improvement of insulin sensitivity and dyslipidemia with a new alpha‐glucosidase inhibitor, voglibose, in nondiabetic hyperinsulinemic subjects. Metabolism: Clinical and Experimental 1996;45(6):731‐7.

Stern 2002

Stern MP, Williams K, Haffner SM. Identification of persons at high risk for type 2 diabetes mellitus: do we need the oral glucose tolerance test?. Annals of Internal Medicine 2002;136(8):575‐81.

Sterne 2011

Sterne JA, Sutton AJ, Ioannidis JP, Terrin N, Jones DR, Lau J, et al. Recommendations for examining and interpreting funnel plot asymmetry in meta‐analyses of randomised controlled trials. BMJ 2011;343:d4002.

Stevens 2015

Stevens JW, Khunti K, Harvey R, Johnson M, Preston L, Woods HB, et al. Preventing the progression to type 2 diabetes mellitus in adults at high risk: a systematic review and network meta‐analysis of lifestyle, pharmacological and surgical interventions. Diabetes Research and Clinical Practice 2015;107(3):320‐31.

Stumvoll 2005

Stumvoll M, Goldstein BJ, Van Haeften TW. Type 2 diabetes: principles of pathogenesis and therapy. Lancet 2005;365(9467):1333‐46.

Tabak 2012

Tabak AG, Herder C, Rathmann W, Brunner EJ, Kivimaki M. Prediabetes: a high‐risk state for diabetes development. Lancet 2012;379(9833):2279‐90.

Turnbull 2009

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World Health Organisation. Technical Report Series No. 727. Report of a WHO Study Group. WHO Expert Committee on Diabetes Mellitus1985.

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Van de Laar 2006

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Characteristics of studies

Characteristics of included studies [ordered by study ID]

ABC 2017

Methods

Parallel RCT, randomisation ratio 1:1, superiority design

Participants

Inclusion criteria: individuals with clinically overt MI, 21‐79 years old with IGT (fasting plasma glucose levels of ≤ 7.0 mmol/L, a 2‐h OGTT value of between 7.8‐11.1 mmol/L, and HbA1c levels of ≤ 6.5%)

Exclusion criteria: acute MI occurring within the last 7 d; patients with NYHA symptoms of ≥ class II or with a LVEF of ≤ 40%; suspected type I DM; patients scheduled for coronary angioplasty; history of coronary artery bypass graft surgery; serious liver or kidney damage; history of allergy or drug hypersensitivity; arteriosclerosis obliterans with Fontaine stage III or worse; and inability to understand and/or comply with trial medications, procedures, and/or follow‐up or any conditions that may render the participant unable to complete the trial in the opinion of the investigator

Diagnostic criteria:

FPG ≤ 7.0 mmol/L and 2hPG of 7.8‐11.1 mmol/L (WHO/IDF 2006)

HbA1c ≤ 6.5%

Interventions

Number of trial centres: 112

Run‐in period: no

Extension period: no

Intervention:

AGI: 0.2 mg voglibose 3 times/d (in the event of gastrointestinal side effects the dosage was reduced to half or a quarter of the original dosage)

Control: diet and exercise therapy

Outcomes

Composite outcome measures reported: yes, the time until the first cardiovascular composite endpoint of death from cardiovascular death, hospitalisation due to non‐fatal MI, non‐fatal unstable angina, non‐fatal stroke, or treatment with coronary revascularisation (percutaneous coronary intervention or coronary artery bypass graft)

Study details

Trial terminated early (because of lack of benefit): yes

Trial ID:NCT00212017

Publication details

Language of publication: English

Funding: non‐commercial funding

Publication status: peer‐reviewed journal

Stated aim for study

Quote from publication: "... to evaluate effects of aggressive intervention with the alpha‐glucose inhibitor voglibose on cardiovascular events in patients with IGT and a history of MI"

Notes

Risk of bias

Bias

Authors' judgement

Support for judgement

Random sequence generation (selection bias)

Low risk

Quote: "All patients were randomly assigned (1:1) through a web‐based central randomisation system using computer‐generated random numbers (NTT Data, Tokyo, Japan)"

Allocation concealment (selection bias)

Low risk

Quote: "This study was open‐labeled, and allocation was unmasked to the patients and investigators, but masked to the event adjudication committee and the data and safety monitoring board (DSMB)"

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
all‐cause/cardiovascular mortality

Low risk

Comment: open‐label, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
measures of blood glucose control

Low risk

Comment: open‐label, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
non‐fatal myocardial infarction/stroke, congestive heart failure

Low risk

Comment: open‐label, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
non‐serious adverse events

High risk

Comment: open‐label

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
all‐cause/cardiovascular mortality

Low risk

Quote: "...allocation was [...] masked to the event adjudication committee and the data and safety monitoring board (DSMB)"

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
measures of blood glucose control

Low risk

Quote: "...allocation was [...] masked to the event adjudication committee and the data and safety monitoring board (DSMB)"

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
non‐fatal myocardial infarction/stroke, congestive heart failure

Low risk

Quote: "...allocation was [...] masked to the event adjudication committee and the data and safety monitoring board (DSMB)"

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
non‐serious adverse events

Low risk

Quote: "...allocation was [...] masked to the event adjudication committee and the data and safety monitoring board (DSMB)"

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
all‐cause/cardiovascular mortality

Low risk

Comment: 424 completers and 4 dropouts in treatment group, 435 completers and 4 dropouts in control group. Dropout rate is < 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
measures of blood glucose control

Low risk

Comment: 424 completers and 4 dropouts in treatment group, 435 completers and 4 dropouts in control group. Dropout rate is < 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
non‐fatal myocardial infarction/stroke, congestive heart failure

Low risk

Comment: 424 completers and 4 dropouts in treatment group, 435 completers and 4 dropouts in control group. Dropout rate is < 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
non‐serious adverse events

Low risk

Comment: 424 completers and 4 dropouts in treatment group, 435 completers and 4 dropouts in control group. Dropout rate is < 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Selective reporting (reporting bias)

High risk

Comment: the secondary outcomes mentioned in the trial register were slightly different in the publication (all‐cause mortality; hospitalisation due to heart failure, CAD, and cerebrovascular disease; progression of IGT to diabetes; development or deterioration of hypertension or hyperlipidaemia; and deterioration of renal function), compared to: all‐cause mortality; hospitalisation due to heart failure; death from cardiovascular disease, non‐fatal myocardial infarction, non‐fatal unstable angina, treatment with coronary revascularisation, non‐fatal stroke)

Other bias

High risk

Comment: the trial was terminated early and the main researchers received grants and personal fees from Pfizer and Takeda.

ACE 2017

Methods

Parallel RCT, randomisation ratio 1:1, superiority design

Participants

Inclusion criteria:

  • Male or female, aged ≥ 50 years

  • Definite coronary heart disease, defined below:

  • Previous MI or ACS, but not within the last 3 months, with any 2 of the following:

    • typical clinical presentation

    • confirmatory ECG changes

    • appropriate elevation of cardiac enzymes/biomarkers

  • Previous UA or ACS, but not within the last 3 months, with any 2 of the following:

    • typical clinical presentation

    • confirmatory ECG changes

    • either elevation of a cardiac biomarker or a > 50% stenosis in ≥ 1 major epicardial coronary artery shown on coronary angiography or CT angiography. Where stenosis is reported in a qualitative manner, the categories 'moderate' and 'severe' will be taken as equating to > 50% stenosis.

  • Current stable angina defined as:

    • typical clinical history with symptoms occurring within the last month, and

    • a > 50% stenosis in ≥ 1 major epicardial coronary artery shown on coronary angiography or CT angiography. Where stenosis is reported in a qualitative manner, the categories 'moderate' and 'severe' will be taken as equating to > 50% stenosis.

  • IGT diagnosed on a single standard OGTT, defined as a 2hPG value ≥ 7.8 but < 11.1 mol/L and a fasting plasma glucose (FPG) < 7.0 mmol/L within 6 months prior to enrolment

  • Optimised cardiovascular drug therapy

  • At least 80% adherent to single‐blind placebo study medication during the run‐in period

  • Provision of written informed consent

Exclusion criteria:

  • Previous history of diabetes, other than gestational diabetes

  • MI, UA, stroke or TIA within the previous 3 months

  • Planned or anticipated coronary, cerebrovascular or peripheral arterial revascularisation or other major surgical intervention, at the time of randomisation

  • NYHA class III or IV heart failure

  • Evidence of severe hepatic disease

  • Evidence of severe renal impairment or an eGFR < 30 mL/min/1.73m² (derived using the Chinese MDRD equation)

  • Any other condition likely to reduce adherence to the protocol e.g. alcoholism, major active psychiatric disorder, cognitive impairment or a condition likely to markedly limit life expectancy e.g. malignancy

  • Pregnancy (or planned pregnancy within the next 5 years)

  • Concurrent participation in any other clinical interventional trial. Note: participants who were treated previously with an alpha‐glucosidase inhibitor must have at least a 3‐month washout period before being randomised into the ACE trial

  • Known intolerance to AGI or gastrointestinal problems

  • Thought by the investigator for any reason to be unsuitable for participation in this clinical study

Diagnostic criteria:

FPG < 7.0 mmol/L and 2hPG of 7.8‐11.1 mmol/L (WHO/IDF 2006)

Interventions

Number of study centres: 176

Run‐in period: 4 weeks with placebo medication, optimisation of cardiovascular therapy, and provision of lifestyle advice with respect to diet, exercise, and smoking

Extension period: no

Intervention:

AGI: 50 mg acarbose 3 times/d with meals

Control: placebo 3 times/d with meals

Outcomes

Composite outcome measures reported: yes, a 5‐point composite of cardiovascular death, non‐fatal MI, non‐fatal stroke, hospital admission for unstable angina, and hospital admission for heart failure

Study details

Trial terminated early: no

Trial ID:NCT00829660

Publication details

Language of publication: English

Funding: commercial funding (Bayer)

Publication status: peer‐reviewed journal

Stated aim for study

Quote from publication: "The Acarbose Cardiovascular Evaluation (ACE) trial was designed to examine whether acarbose could reduce cardiovascular events in Chinese patients with established coronary heart disease and IGT, and whether the incidence of type 2 diabetes could be reduced"

Notes

Risk of bias

Bias

Authors' judgement

Support for judgement

Random sequence generation (selection bias)

Low risk

Quote: "Participants were randomly assigned (1:1) by a centralised computer system to receive either acarbose or to matching placebo, in blocks of eight within site. The randomisation sequence (coded as A or B) was generated by a Diabetes Trials Unit statistician unconnected to the trial and uploaded to the electronic Rave Trial Management System (rTMS)"

Allocation concealment (selection bias)

Low risk

Quote: "Acarbose and matching placebo tablets were provided by Bayer AG, packaged in 4‐month quantities, each packet being labelled with a unique code. These codes were also uploaded to the rTMS with their corresponding A or B categorisation, which was not visible to study staff"

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
all‐cause/cardiovascular mortality

Low risk

Comment: double‐blind, using a matched placebo

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
hypoglycaemia

Low risk

Comment: double‐blind, using a matched placebo

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
incidence of T2DM

Low risk

Comment: double‐blind, using a matched placebo

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
measures of blood glucose control

Low risk

Comment: double‐blind, using a matched placebo

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
non‐fatal myocardial infarction/stroke, congestive heart failure

Low risk

Comment: double‐blind, using a matched placebo

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
non‐serious adverse events

Low risk

Comment: double‐blind, using a matched placebo

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
serious adverse events

Low risk

Comment: double‐blind, using a matched placebo

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
all‐cause/cardiovascular mortality

Low risk

Quote: "Potential cardiovascular endpoint events were reviewed and adjudicated by an independent cardiovascular endpoint adjudication committee, which was masked to treatment allocation"

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
hypoglycaemia

Low risk

Quote: "...at subsequent study visits, investigators were instructed by the rTMS which study medication packet should be given to each participant. They were required to enter two letters printed alongside the unique code on the packet label so that the rTMS could confirm the correct study medication had been dispensed. Up until database lock, the assignation of A or B to active or placebo was known only to the Bayer AG study medication packaging group and the data and safety monitoring board"

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
incidence of T2DM

Low risk

Quote: "An independent diabetes endpoint adjudication committee masked to treatment group allocation reviewed cases in which diabetes was diagnosed, or in which participants were commenced on other glucose‐lowering drugs, outside of the trial to decide if a diagnosis of diabetes was warranted"

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
measures of blood glucose control

Low risk

Quote: "...at subsequent study visits, investigators were instructed by the rTMS which study medication packet should be given to each participant. They were required to enter two letters printed alongside the unique code on the packet label so that the rTMS could confirm the correct study medication had been dispensed. Up until database lock, the assignation of A or B to active or placebo was known only to the Bayer AG study medication packaging group and the data and safety monitoring board"

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
non‐fatal myocardial infarction/stroke, congestive heart failure

Low risk

Quote: "Potential cardiovascular endpoint events were reviewed and adjudicated by an independent cardiovascular endpoint adjudication committee, which was masked to treatment allocation"

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
non‐serious adverse events

Low risk

Quote: "...at subsequent study visits, investigators were instructed by the rTMS which study medication packet should be given to each participant. They were required to enter two letters printed alongside the unique code on the packet label so that the rTMS could confirm the correct study medication had been dispensed. Up until database lock, the assignation of A or B to active or placebo was known only to the Bayer AG study medication packaging group and the data and safety monitoring board"

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
serious adverse events

Low risk

Quote: "...at subsequent study visits, investigators were instructed by the rTMS which study medication packet should be given to each participant. They were required to enter two letters printed alongside the unique code on the packet label so that the rTMS could confirm the correct study medication had been dispensed. Up until database lock, the assignation of A or B to active or placebo was known only to the Bayer AG study medication packaging group and the data and safety monitoring board"

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
all‐cause/cardiovascular mortality

Low risk

3092 completers and 180 dropouts in treatment group, 3064 completers and 186 dropouts in control group. Dropout rate is < 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
hypoglycaemia

Low risk

3092 completers and 180 dropouts in treatment group, 3064 completers and 186 dropouts in control group. Dropout rate is < 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
incidence of T2DM

Low risk

3092 completers and 180 dropouts in treatment group, 3064 completers and 186 dropouts in control group. Dropout rate is < 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
measures of blood glucose control

Low risk

3092 completers and 180 dropouts in treatment group, 3064 completers and 186 dropouts in control group. Dropout rate is < 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
non‐fatal myocardial infarction/stroke, congestive heart failure

Low risk

3092 completers and 180 dropouts in treatment group, 3064 completers and 186 dropouts in control group. Dropout rate is < 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
non‐serious adverse events

Low risk

3092 completers and 180 dropouts in treatment group, 3064 completers and 186 dropouts in control group. Dropout rate is < 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
serious adverse events

Low risk

3092 completers and 180 dropouts in treatment group, 3064 completers and 186 dropouts in control group. Dropout rate is < 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Selective reporting (reporting bias)

Low risk

Comment: no changes between design paper and final publication, except for the original primary composite cardiovascular outcome, a 3‐point MACE outcome, which was changed to a 5‐point major cardiovascular event, but this change was explained in the final publication

Other bias

High risk

Comment: the main researcher received grants from Bayer

DAISI 2008

Methods

Parallel RCT, randomisation ratio 1:1, superiority design

Participants

Inclusion criteria: IGT (a mean fasting plasma glucose level > 5.5 mmol/L and < 7.8 mmol/L, a mean 2‐h PG level of 8.6‐11.1 mmol/L, an HbA1c level ≤ 7.0% and aged 45–70 years)
At the end of the qualification period, participants were considered eligible if they met the following criteria: having complied with the study procedures, having taken more than 80% of the prescribed medication during week 3–6 of the qualification period (as determined from returned tablet blisters), and having reported no adverse effects that could threaten future compliance

Exclusion criteria: diseases or conditions likely to prevent completion of the study, known uncorrected endocrine disorders, documented gastrointestinal diseases, cholesterol > 10 mmol/L or triglycerides > 10 mmol/L, treatment with lipid‐lowering medication (with the exception of statins), MI within the previous 6 months, impaired liver function (AST/ALT > 50 units/L), or impaired kidney function (creatinine > 150 mmol/L)

Diagnostic criteria:

FPG < 7.8 mmol/L (WHO 1985)
2hPG: 8.6 to 11.1 mmol/L

Interventions

Number of study centres: single centre

Run‐in period: a qualification period over 6 weeks with acarbose treatment for all participants, and a wash‐out period over 4 weeks with placebo treatment for all participants

Extension period: no

Intervention:

AGI: 50 mg acarbose 3 times/d

Control: placebo 3 times/d

Outcomes

Composite outcome measures reported: no

Study details

Trial terminated early: no

Trial ID:NTR150

Publication details

Language of publication: English

Funding: commercial funding (Bayer)

Publication status: peer‐reviewed journal

Stated aim for study

Quote from publication: "To investigate the effects of acarbose on the distribution of the 2‐h plasma glucose level following an intake of 75 g of glucose, the incidence of conversion to type 2 dm, on insulin secretion induced by hyperglycemia and on insulin sensitivity"

Notes

Risk of bias

Bias

Authors' judgement

Support for judgement

Random sequence generation (selection bias)

Low risk

Quote: "Study numbers were randomly assigned to the placebo or the acarbose group generated by a computer at Bayer’s biometric unit. The numbers were assigned in ascending order in the sequence of the subject’s entry into the intervention study."

Allocation concealment (selection bias)

Low risk

Quote: "Study numbers were randomly assigned to the placebo or the acarbose group generated by a computer at Bayer’s biometric unit. The numbers were assigned in ascending order in the sequence of the subject’s entry into the intervention study."

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
all‐cause/cardiovascular mortality

Low risk

Quote: "Double‐blind. [...] Placebo tablets matched the acarbose tablets in size, shape, and colour"

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
incidence of T2DM

Low risk

Quote: "Double‐blind. [...] Placebo tablets matched the acarbose tablets in size, shape, and colour"

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
measures of blood glucose control

Low risk

Quote: "Double‐blind. [...] Placebo tablets matched the acarbose tablets in size, shape, and colour"

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
non‐fatal myocardial infarction/stroke, congestive heart failure

Low risk

Quote: "Double‐blind. [...] Placebo tablets matched the acarbose tablets in size, shape, and colour"

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
non‐serious adverse events

Low risk

Quote: "Double‐blind. [...] Placebo tablets matched the acarbose tablets in size, shape, and colour"

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
serious adverse events

Low risk

Quote: "Double‐blind. [...] Placebo tablets matched the acarbose tablets in size, shape, and colour"

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
all‐cause/cardiovascular mortality

Low risk

Quote: "The identity of the treatment groups was concealed until the final statistical analysis"

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
incidence of T2DM

Low risk

Quote: "The identity of the treatment groups was concealed until the final statistical analysis"

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
measures of blood glucose control

Low risk

Quote: "The identity of the treatment groups was concealed until the final statistical analysis"

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
non‐fatal myocardial infarction/stroke, congestive heart failure

Low risk

Quote: "The identity of the treatment groups was concealed until the final statistical analysis"

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
non‐serious adverse events

Low risk

Quote: "The identity of the treatment groups was concealed until the final statistical analysis"

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
serious adverse events

Low risk

Quote: "The identity of the treatment groups was concealed until the final statistical analysis"

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
all‐cause/cardiovascular mortality

High risk

Comment: 30 completers and 30 dropouts in treatment group, 36 completers and 22 dropouts in control group. Dropout rate is > 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups > 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
incidence of T2DM

High risk

Comment: 30 completers and 30 dropouts in treatment group, 36 completers and 22 dropouts in control group. Dropout rate is > 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups > 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
measures of blood glucose control

High risk

Comment: 30 completers and 30 dropouts in treatment group, 36 completers and 22 dropouts in control group. Dropout rate is > 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups > 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
non‐fatal myocardial infarction/stroke, congestive heart failure

High risk

Comment: 30 completers and 30 dropouts in treatment group, 36 completers and 22 dropouts in control group. Dropout rate is > 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups > 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
non‐serious adverse events

High risk

Comment: 30 completers and 30 dropouts in treatment group, 36 completers and 22 dropouts in control group. Dropout rate is > 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups > 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
serious adverse events

High risk

Comment: 30 completers and 30 dropouts in treatment group, 36 completers and 22 dropouts in control group. Dropout rate is > 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups > 10%

Selective reporting (reporting bias)

Low risk

Comment: outcomes in trial register and publications are the same

Other bias

Unclear risk

Comment: possible funding bias

EDIT 1997

Methods

Factorial RCT, randomisation ratio 1:1, superiority design

Participants

Inclusion criteria: 30‐70 years, "at risk for developing diabetes", 2 consecutive FPG levels of 5.5‐7.7 mmol/L

Exclusion criteria: unclear

Diagnostic criteria:

FPG: 5.5 to 7.7 mmol/L

Interventions

Number of study centres: 9

Run‐in period: unclear

Extension period: no

Intervention:

AGI: 50 mg acarbose 3 times/d + placebo 3 times/d

Control 1: placebo 3 times/d + placebo 3 times/d

Control 2: 500 mg metformin 3 times/d + placebo 3 times/d

Control 3: 500 mg metformin 3 times/d + 50 mg acarbose 3 times/d

Outcomes

Composite outcome measures reported: no

Study details

Trial terminated early: no

Trial ID:ISRCTN96631607

Publication details

Language of publication: English

Funding: commercial funding (Bayer and Merck‐Lipha)

Publication status: other (website, abstracts)

Stated aim for study

Quote from publication: "…to determine whether deterioration in glycaemic tolerance towards diabetes can be delayed or prevented using acarbose or metformin"

Notes

Risk of bias

Bias

Authors' judgement

Support for judgement

Random sequence generation (selection bias)

Unclear risk

Comment: unclear

Allocation concealment (selection bias)

Unclear risk

Comment: unclear

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
health‐related quality of life

Unclear risk

Quote: "Double‐blind"

Comment: not enough information

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
incidence of T2DM

Low risk

Quote: "Double‐blind"

Comment: not enough information, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
measures of blood glucose control

Low risk

Quote: "Double‐blind"

Comment: not enough information, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
non‐serious adverse events

Unclear risk

Quote: "Double‐blind"

Comment: not enough information

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
incidence of T2DM

Low risk

Comment: unclear, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
measures of blood glucose control

Low risk

Comment: unclear, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
non‐serious adverse events

Unclear risk

Comment: unclear

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
health‐related quality of life

Unclear risk

Comment: unclear

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
incidence of T2DM

Unclear risk

Comment: unclear

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
measures of blood glucose control

Unclear risk

Comment: unclear

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
non‐serious adverse events

Unclear risk

Comment: unclear

Selective reporting (reporting bias)

High risk

Comment: trial was finished over 10 years ago and has still not been published

Other bias

Unclear risk

Comment: possible funding bias

Fang 2004

Methods

Parallel, 2x2 factorial RCT, randomisation ratio 1:1, superiority design

Participants

Inclusion criteria: IGT in accordance with the diagnostic criteria of DM set by WHO in 1985

Exclusion criteria: severe somatological disease, mental disease or history of mental disease, severe intellectual or cognitive disorders, drug or alcohol dependence

Diagnostic criteria:

FPG < 7.8 mmol/L and/or 2hPG of 7.8 mmol/L‐11.1 mmol/L (WHO 1985)

Interventions

Number of study centres: single centre

Run‐in period: no

Extension period: no

Intervention:

AGI: 25‐50 mg acarbose 3 times/d

Control 1: no intervention ("common DM prevention education")

Control 2: 125 to 250 mg flumamine (= metformin) 3 times/d

Control 3: diet and exercise

Outcomes

Composite outcome measures reported: no

Study details

Trial terminated early: no

Trial ID:

Publication details

Language of publication: Chinese

Funding: unclear

Publication status: peer‐reviewed journal

Stated aim for study

Quote from publication: "To observe influence of medicine intervention and non‐medicine intervention on the outcomes of the crowd with impaired glucose tolerance (IGT), and explore which intervention can prevent IGT from developing to diabetes mellitus more effectively"

Notes

Risk of bias

Bias

Authors' judgement

Support for judgement

Random sequence generation (selection bias)

Unclear risk

Comment: trialists used random number table method, but there was baseline imbalance, which suggests randomisation was not adequate.

Allocation concealment (selection bias)

Unclear risk

Comment: not enough details

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
all‐cause/cardiovascular mortality

Low risk

Comment: unclear, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
incidence of T2DM

Low risk

Comment: unclear, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
measures of blood glucose control

Low risk

Comment: unclear, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
all‐cause/cardiovascular mortality

Low risk

Comment: unclear, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
incidence of T2DM

Low risk

Comment: unclear, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
measures of blood glucose control

Low risk

Comment: unclear, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
all‐cause/cardiovascular mortality

Low risk

Comment: 45 completers and 5 dropouts in the treatment group, 35 completers and 5 dropouts in the no‐intervention group, 44 completers and 4 dropouts in the metformin group, and 36 completers and 4 dropouts in the diet and exercise group. Dropout rate is < 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
incidence of T2DM

Low risk

Comment: 45 completers and 5 dropouts in the treatment group, 35 completers and 5 dropouts in the no‐intervention group, 44 completers and 4 dropouts in the metformin group, and 36 completers and 4 dropouts in the diet and exercise group. Dropout rate is < 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
measures of blood glucose control

Low risk

Comment: 45 completers and 5 dropouts in the treatment group, 35 completers and 5 dropouts in the no‐intervention group, 44 completers and 4 dropouts in the metformin group, and 36 completers and 4 dropouts in the diet and exercise group. Dropout rate is < 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Selective reporting (reporting bias)

Unclear risk

Comment: no protocol available

Other bias

Low risk

Comment: no other bias determined

Kawamori 2009

Methods

Parallel RCT, randomisation ratio 1:1, superiority design

Participants

Inclusion criteria:

IGT:

  • FPG < 6.9 mmol/L

  • 2hPG: 7.8‐11.0 mmol/L

  • HbA1c < 6.5%

≥ 1 of the following risk factors for T2DM:

  • high normal blood pressure (systolic ≥ 130 mmHg or diastolic ≥ 85 mmHg) or being treated for hypertension

  • dyslipidaemia (concentrations of total cholesterol ≥ 5.7 mmol/L, triglyceride ≥ 1.7 mmol/L, or HDL cholesterol < 1.04 mmol/L)

  • obesity (BMI ≥ 25 kg/m²)

  • family history of diabetes (in a first‐degree or second‐degree relative)

Exclusion criteria: diabetes or a disease likely to impair glucose tolerance

Diagnostic criteria:

FPG < 6.9 mmol/L and 2hPG of 7.8‐11.0 mmol/L (WHO/IDF 2006)
HbA1c < 6.5%

Interventions

Number of study centres: 103 Japanese institutions

Run‐in period: 4‐week observation. Moreover, "4–8 weeks before the start of treatment, each person was given advice about appropriate nutrition and exercise programmes (interview, survey of lifestyle, and individualised guidance on future lifestyle habits based on intensity of daily activity categories defined by the Japanese Ministry of Health and Labour)"

Extension period: no

Intervention:

AGI: 0.2 mg voglibose 3 times/d

Control: placebo 3 times/d

Additional therapy: participants were given advice about appropriate nutrition and exercise programmes (interview, survey of lifestyle, and individualised guidance on future lifestyle habits based on intensity of daily activity categories defined by the Japanese Ministry of Health and Labour) and adherence to these was assessed at each visit.

Outcomes

Composite outcome measures reported: no

Study details

Trial terminated early (for benefit): yes

Trial ID:UMIN000001109

Publication details

Language of publication: English

Funding: non‐commercial funding

Publication status: peer‐reviewed journal

Stated aim for study

Quote from publication: "We therefore investigated the effectiveness of voglibose, an α‐glucosidase inhibitor that reduces diurnal insulin secretion, for prevention of the development of type 2 diabetes in Japanese patients with impaired glucose tolerance"

Notes

Risk of bias

Bias

Authors' judgement

Support for judgement

Random sequence generation (selection bias)

Low risk

Quote: "Randomisation was done with a stratified allocation procedure designed to balance the two treatment groups in each institution with respect to the number of risk factors (≤ 2 or ≥ 3), which were hypertension or high normal blood pressure, dyslipidaemia, obesity, a family history of diabetes, and a 2hPG greater than 9.4 mmol/L (a concentration associated with an increased risk of developing type 2 diabetes in Japan) to 11.0 mmol/L. An independent statistician computer‐generated the random sequence and this was maintained securely until the study was unmasked"

Allocation concealment (selection bias)

Low risk

Quote: "Allocation was concealed with sealed opaque envelopes"

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
all‐cause/cardiovascular mortality

Low risk

Comment: double‐blind, with an identical‐looking placebo

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
incidence of T2DM

Low risk

Comment: double‐blind, with an identical‐looking placebo

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
measures of blood glucose control

Low risk

Comment: double‐blind, with an identical‐looking placebo

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
non‐serious adverse events

Low risk

Comment: double‐blind, with an identical‐looking placebo

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
serious adverse events

Low risk

Comment: double‐blind, with an identical‐looking placebo

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
all‐cause/cardiovascular mortality

Low risk

Comment: unclear, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
incidence of T2DM

Low risk

Comment: unclear, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
measures of blood glucose control

Low risk

Comment: unclear, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
non‐serious adverse events

Unclear risk

Comment: unclear

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
serious adverse events

Low risk

Comment: unclear, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
all‐cause/cardiovascular mortality

High risk

Comment: 768 completers and 129 dropouts in the treatment group, 737 completers and 146 dropouts in the control group. Dropout rate is > 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
incidence of T2DM

High risk

Comment: 768 completers and 129 dropouts in the treatment group, 737 completers and 146 dropouts in the control group. Dropout rate is > 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
measures of blood glucose control

High risk

Comment: 768 completers and 129 dropouts in the treatment group, 737 completers and 146 dropouts in the control group. Dropout rate is > 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
non‐serious adverse events

High risk

Comment: 768 completers and 129 dropouts in the treatment group, 737 completers and 146 dropouts in the control group. Dropout rate is > 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
serious adverse events

High risk

Comment: 768 completers and 129 dropouts in the treatment group, 737 completers and 146 dropouts in the control group. Dropout rate is > 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Selective reporting (reporting bias)

High risk

Comment: data were not reported for some measured outcomes (FPG, HbA1c, triglycerides, total cholesterol, HDL‐cholesterol, blood pressure, and body weight)

Other bias

High risk

Comment: the trial was terminated early

Koyasu 2010

Methods

Parallel RCT, randomisation ratio 1:1, superiority design

Participants

Inclusion criteria: stable angina pectoris, CAD (≥ 50% stenosis on quantitative coronary angiography), and newly diagnosed IGT or mild T2DM

Exclusion criteria: age > 70 years, active inflammatory disease, previous treatment with antidiabetic agents, a previous diagnosis of DM, HbA1c ≥ 6.5%, previous cerebrovascular disease, acute coronary syndrome, renal dysfunction (serum creatinine > 1.5 mg/dL), and history or presence of cancer

Diagnostic criteria:

IGT: FPG < 7 mmol/L and 2hPG 7.77 to 11.05 mmol/L (WHO/IDF 2006)
Mild T2DM: FPG < 7 mmol/L, 2hPG > 11.1 mmol/L and HbA1c < 6.5%

Interventions

Number of study centres: single centre

Run‐in period: no

Extension period: no

Intervention:

AGI: 50 mg acarbose 3 times/d

Control: no intervention

Additional therapy: participants were encouraged to exercise, stop smoking, restrict fat intake, increase dietary fibre intake, and reduce between‐meal snacks

Outcomes

Composite outcome measures reported: no

Study details

Trial terminated early: no

Trial ID:UMIN000000544

Publication details

Language of publication: English

Funding: non‐commercial funding

Publication status: peer‐reviewed journal

Stated aim for study

Quote from publication: "The present study examined the effect of acarbose therapy on carotid IMT in patients with established CAD who had been newly diagnosed with IGT or mild T2DM"

Notes

Risk of bias

Bias

Authors' judgement

Support for judgement

Random sequence generation (selection bias)

Unclear risk

Quote: "Randomization was performed using a simple sealed‐envelope method"

Comment: not enough information

Allocation concealment (selection bias)

Unclear risk

Quote: "Randomization was performed using a simple sealed‐envelope method."

Comment: not enough information

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
all‐cause/cardiovascular mortality

Low risk

Quote: "This was a 1‐year, prospective, randomised, open‐label, parallel‐group study..."

Comment: we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
measures of blood glucose control

Low risk

Quote: "This was a 1‐year, prospective, randomised, open‐label, parallel‐group study..."

Comment: we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
non‐fatal myocardial infarction/stroke, congestive heart failure

Low risk

Quote: "This was a 1‐year, prospective, randomised, open‐label, parallel‐group study..."

Comment: we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
all‐cause/cardiovascular mortality

Low risk

Quote: "The primary and secondary end points were evaluated by blinded evaluators"

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
measures of blood glucose control

Low risk

Quote: "The primary and secondary end points were evaluated by blinded evaluators"

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
non‐fatal myocardial infarction/stroke, congestive heart failure

Low risk

Quote: "The primary and secondary end points were evaluated by blinded evaluators"

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
all‐cause/cardiovascular mortality

Low risk

Comment: 42 completers and 3 dropouts in the treatment group, 39 completers and 6 dropouts in the control group. Dropout rate is < 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
measures of blood glucose control

Low risk

Comment: 42 completers and 3 dropouts in the treatment group, 39 completers and 6 dropouts in the control group. Dropout rate is < 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
non‐fatal myocardial infarction/stroke, congestive heart failure

Low risk

Comment: 42 completers and 3 dropouts in the treatment group, 39 completers and 6 dropouts in the control group. Dropout rate is < 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Selective reporting (reporting bias)

High risk

Comment: the primary outcomes in the trial register are: the incidence of cardiovascular events (defined as "new onset myocardial infarction, worsening anginal status and/or angiographic restenosis") and the carotid intima‐medial thickness (IMT). In the publication the only primary outcome is the change in IMT measured in the right and left common carotid arteries. There are also differences in the secondary outcomes

Other bias

Low risk

Comment: no other bias determined

STOP‐NIDDM 2002

Methods

Parallel RCT, randomisation ratio 1:1, superiority design

Participants

Inclusion criteria: men and women aged 40‐70 years, with BMI of 25‐40 kg/m², IGT, and FPG of 5.6‐7.7 mmol/L

Exclusion criteria: serum creatinine level ≥ 130 µmol/L, a fasting serum triglycerides ≥ 10 mmol/L, liver enzymes elevated to ≥ 1.8 times the ULN or a TSH ≥ 1.5 times above ULN or below the lower limit of normal (< 0.3 mU/L). Participants who had been treated within the last 3 months with systemic glucocorticoids, beta‐blockers, thiazide diuretics, and nicotinic acid were also excluded. Key exclusion criteria were based on the use of drugs that were likely to be associated with abnormal intestinal motility or altered absorption of nutrients. All participants with a recent cardiovascular event were also excluded

Diagnostic criteria:

2hPG: 7.8 to 11.1 mmol/L (WHO 1985)

FPG: 5.6 to 7.7 mmol/L

Interventions

Number of study centres: multicentre

Run‐in period: no

Extension period: no

Intervention:

AGI: 100 mg or maximum tolerated dose acarbose 3 times/d

Control: placebo

Additional therapy: all participants were instructed to go on a weight‐reduction or weight‐maintenance diet and were encouraged to exercise regularly; these instructions were reinforced at each visit.

Outcomes

Composite outcome measures reported: yes, major cardiovascular events, including coronary heart disease (MI, new angina, revascularisation procedures), cardiovascular death, congestive heart failure, cerebrovascular events, and peripheral vascular disease

Study details

Trial terminated early: no

Trial ID:

Publication details

Language of publication: English

Funding: commercial funding (Bayer)

Publication status: peer‐reviewed journal

Stated aim for study

Quote from publication: "…to assess the effect of acarbose on conversion of impaired glucose tolerance to type 2 diabetes"

Notes

Risk of bias

Bias

Authors' judgement

Support for judgement

Random sequence generation (selection bias)

Low risk

Quote: "We used a computer program to generate the random allocation sequence, which was stratified by centre. Randomisation was done in blocks of four and six"

Allocation concealment (selection bias)

Low risk

Quote: "Numbered drug containers were used to implement the random allocation process. Since the random code was stratified by center, the patients were randomized sequentially at each center. The random codes were concealed in 4‐part container labels that were stored separately in the event that the investigator needed to know the treatment of a patient. The allocation sequence was generated by an independent statistician who was a member of the data safety and quality review committee"

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
all‐cause/cardiovascular mortality

Low risk

Comment: double‐blind, with a placebo similar in size, shape and colour

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
incidence of T2DM

Low risk

Comment: double‐blind, with a placebo similar in size, shape and colour

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
measures of blood glucose control

Low risk

Comment: double‐blind, with a placebo similar in size, shape and colour

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
non‐fatal myocardial infarction/stroke, congestive heart failure

Low risk

Comment: double‐blind, with a placebo similar in size, shape and colour

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
non‐serious adverse events

Low risk

Comment: double‐blind, with a placebo similar in size, shape and colour

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
all‐cause/cardiovascular mortality

Low risk

Quote: "These events were ascertained by an independent adjudicating committee of 3 cardiologists blinded to treatment"

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
incidence of T2DM

Low risk

Quote: "These events were ascertained by an independent adjudicating committee of 3 cardiologists blinded to treatment"

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
measures of blood glucose control

Low risk

Quote: "These events were ascertained by an independent adjudicating committee of 3 cardiologists blinded to treatment"

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
non‐fatal myocardial infarction/stroke, congestive heart failure

Low risk

Quote: "These events were ascertained by an independent adjudicating committee of 3 cardiologists blinded to treatment"

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
non‐serious adverse events

Low risk

Quote: "These events were ascertained by an independent adjudicating committee of 3 cardiologists blinded to treatment"

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
all‐cause/cardiovascular mortality

High risk

Comment: 471 completers and 211 dropouts in the treatment group, 556 completers and 130 dropouts in the control group. Dropout rate is > 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups > 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
incidence of T2DM

High risk

Comment: 471 completers and 211 dropouts in the treatment group, 556 completers and 130 dropouts in the control group. Dropout rate is > 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups > 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
measures of blood glucose control

High risk

Comment: 471 completers and 211 dropouts in the treatment group, 556 completers and 130 dropouts in the control group. Dropout rate is > 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups > 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
non‐fatal myocardial infarction/stroke, congestive heart failure

High risk

Comment: 471 completers and 211 dropouts in the treatment group, 556 completers and 130 dropouts in the control group. Dropout rate is > 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups > 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
non‐serious adverse events

High risk

Comment: 471 completers and 211 dropouts in the treatment group, 556 completers and 130 dropouts in the control group. Dropout rate is > 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups > 10%

Selective reporting (reporting bias)

High risk

Comment: the definition of the outcome cardiovascular events was different in the publication (coronary heart disease, cardiovascular death, congestive heart failure, cerebrovascular event, and peripheral arterial disease) compared to the design paper (RCT, cerebrovascular accident, congestive heart failure)

Other bias

Unclear risk

Comment: possible funding bias

Wang 2000

Methods

Parallel RCT, randomisation ratio 1:1, superiority design

Participants

Inclusion criteria: unclear

Exclusion criteria: unclear

Diagnostic criteria:

FPG < 7.8 mmol/L and/or 2hPG of 7.8 to 11.1 mmol/L (WHO 1985)

Interventions

Number of study centres: unclear

Run‐in period: unclear

Extension period: unclear

Intervention:

AGI: 50 mg acarbose 3 times/d

Control: no intervention

Additional therapy: participants received a minimal of 5 h training about diet to treat and prevent T2DM

Outcomes

Composite outcome measures reported: no

Study details

Trial terminated early: no

Trial ID:

Publication details

Language of publication: Chinese

Funding: unclear

Publication status: peer‐reviewed journal

Stated aim for study

Quote from publication: "Observe the change of acarbose to IGT and explore the possibility of DM second class prevention"

Notes

Risk of bias

Bias

Authors' judgement

Support for judgement

Random sequence generation (selection bias)

Unclear risk

Quote: "divide them into 2 groups stochastically"

Comment: not enough information

Allocation concealment (selection bias)

Unclear risk

Comment: unclear

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
incidence of T2DM

Low risk

Comment: no blinding, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
non‐serious adverse events

High risk

Comment: no blinding

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
serious adverse events

Low risk

Comment: no blinding, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
incidence of T2DM

Low risk

Comment: unclear, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
non‐serious adverse events

Unclear risk

Comment: unclear

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
serious adverse events

Low risk

Comment: unclear, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
incidence of T2DM

Low risk

Comment: 30 completers and 1 dropout in the treatment group, 30 completers and no dropouts in the control group. Dropout rate is < 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
non‐serious adverse events

Low risk

Comment: 30 completers and 1 dropout in the treatment group, 30 completers and no dropouts in the control group. Dropout rate is < 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
serious adverse events

Low risk

Comment: 30 completers and 1 dropout in the treatment group, 30 completers and no dropouts in the control group. Dropout rate is < 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10

Selective reporting (reporting bias)

Unclear risk

Comment: no protocol available

Other bias

Low risk

Comment: no other bias determined

Yun 2016

Methods

Parallel RCT, randomisation ratio 1:1, superiority design

Participants

Inclusion criteria: admission to hospital with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and IGT. ACS was diagnosed by the presence of acute ischaemic symptoms lasting ≥ 20 min within 48 h before admission to hospital and electrocardiographic changes consistent with ACS. Acute RCT (AMI) was diagnosed when creatine kinase‐muscle/brain levels increased to at least twice the ULN or when troponin T levels were > 0.1 ng/mL. Participants without AMI were considered to have unstable angina pectoris (all cases confirmed by percutaneous or computed tomography coronary angiography)

Exclusion criteria: cardiogenic shock or pulmonary edema (Killip classification ≥ II) at admission; history of diabetes; history of hepatic diseases or/and renal dysfunction (serum creatinine level > 2 mg/dL); severe gastrointestinal disease or malignant tumours; female participants given sex hormone replacement therapy

Diagnostic criteria:

FPG < 6.1 mmol/L
2hPG: 7.8 mmol/L to 11.1 mmol/L (WHO/IDF 2006)

Interventions

Number of study centres: 2 centres

Run‐in period: unclear

Extension period: no

Intervention:

AGI: 50 mg acarbose 3 times/d

Control: no intervention

Additional therapy: all participants were guided to take diet and exercise therapy, and having outpatient clinic or telephone follow‐up for 1.0‐4.5 years. Each group was given standard medical therapy of CAD (including nitrate medications, ACE‐I/ARB, β‐blockers, statins, and antiplatelet drugs)

Outcomes

Composite outcome measures reported: yes, MACE: cardiovascular death, non‐fatal reinfarction, new‐onset angina, cerebral stroke, and severe heart failure

Study details

Trial terminated early: no

Trial ID:

Publication details

Language of publication: English

Funding: unclear

Publication status: peer‐reviewed journal

Stated aim for study

Quote from publication: "the goal of present study is to determine whether acarbose can reduce the risk of recurrent MACE in ACS patients with newly diagnosed IGT"

Notes

Risk of bias

Bias

Authors' judgement

Support for judgement

Random sequence generation (selection bias)

Low risk

Quote: "135 IGT patients were randomly allocated, using random numbers generated by a computer"

Allocation concealment (selection bias)

Unclear risk

Comment: unclear

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
all‐cause/cardiovascular mortality

Low risk

Comment: no blinding, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
measures of blood glucose control

Low risk

Comment: no blinding, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
non‐fatal myocardial infarction/stroke, congestive heart failure

Low risk

Comment: no blinding, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
non‐serious adverse events

High risk

Comment: no blinding

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
serious adverse events

Low risk

Comment: no blinding, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
all‐cause/cardiovascular mortality

Low risk

Comment: unclear, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
measures of blood glucose control

Low risk

Comment: unclear, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
non‐fatal myocardial infarction/stroke, congestive heart failure

Low risk

Comment: unclear, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
non‐serious adverse events

Unclear risk

Comment: unclear

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
serious adverse events

Low risk

Comment: unclear, but we judged the outcome unlikely to be influenced by lack of blinding

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
all‐cause/cardiovascular mortality

Low risk

Comment: 60 completers and 7 dropouts in the treatment group, 64 completers and 4 dropouts in the control group. Dropout rate is < 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
measures of blood glucose control

Low risk

Comment: 60 completers and 7 dropouts in the treatment group, 64 completers and 4 dropouts in the control group. Dropout rate is < 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
non‐fatal myocardial infarction/stroke, congestive heart failure

Low risk

Comment: 60 completers and 7 dropouts in the treatment group, 64 completers and 4 dropouts in the control group. Dropout rate is < 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
non‐serious adverse events

Low risk

Comment: 60 completers and 7 dropouts in the treatment group, 64 completers and 4 dropouts in the control group. Dropout rate is < 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
serious adverse events

Low risk

Comment: 60 completers and 7 dropouts in the treatment group, 64 completers and 4 dropouts in the control group. Dropout rate is < 15%. Difference in dropout rates between groups < 10%

Selective reporting (reporting bias)

Unclear risk

Comment: no protocol available

Other bias

Low risk

Comment: no other bias determined

"‐" denotes not reported

2hPG: 2‐hour plasma glucose; ACE‐I: angiotensin‐converting‐enzyme inhibitor; ACS: acute coronary syndrome; AGI: alpha‐glucosidase inhibitor
ARB: angiotensin II receptor blocker; AST/ALT: aspartate transaminase/alanine transaminase; BMI: body mass index; CT: computed tomography; CAD: coronary artery disease; DAISI: Dutch Acarbose Intervention Study in IGT; DM: diabetes mellitus; ECG: electrocardiogram; eGFR: estimated glomerular filtration rate; FPG: fasting plasma glucose; HbA1c: glycosylated haemoglobin A1c; HDL: high‐density lipoprotein; IGT: impaired glucose tolerance; LVEF: left ventricular ejection fraction; MACE: major adverse cardiovascular events; MDRD: modification of diet and renal disease; MI: myocardial infarction; NYHA: New York Heart Association classification; RCT: randomised controlled trial; rTMS: rave Trial Management System; T2DM: type 2 diabetes mellitus; TIA: transient ischaemic attack; TSH: thyroid‐stimulating hormone; UA: unstable angina; ULN: upper limit of normal

Characteristics of excluded studies [ordered by study ID]

Study

Reason for exclusion

ABDOMEN study

All enrolled participants had T2DM

Aoki 2010

All enrolled participants had T2DM

EDIP

All enrolled participants had T2DM (as defined by a 2‐h post‐load plasma glucose ≥ 11.1 mmol/L)

JEDIS study

Trial never completed

Kataoka 2012

Population consisted of both people with T2DM and people with IGT. Attempts to contact the trial author failed (no reply)

Mangiagli 2004

Trial was not randomised

Medizinische Klinik B study

Trial never completed

MM study

All enrolled participants had T2DM

Narita 2009

All enrolled participants had T2DM

NCT00417950

Trial never completed

Toyoda 2012

All enrolled participants had T2DM

Watada 2012

All enrolled participants had T2DM

Yang 2001

No mention of randomisation in the translated manuscript. Attempts to contact the trial authors failed (emails were rejected)

EDIP: Early Diabetes Intervention Program; JEDIS: Japan Early Diabetes Intervention Study; MM: miglitol and mitiglinide; T2DM: type 2 diabetes

Characteristics of studies awaiting assessment [ordered by study ID]

NCT00221156

Methods

Randomised open‐label clinical trial with 300 participants

Participants

Patients with abnormal glucose tolerance and recent coronary artery stents due to coronary artery disease

Interventions

Acarbose versus standard lifestyle modification

Outcomes

Primary outcome: cardiovascular event free survival time

Secondary outcomes: 1. conversion of abnormal glucose tolerance to type 2 diabetes; 2. all cause of death; 3. occurrence of every cardiovascular event; 4. occurrence of in‐stent restenosis; 5. change in fasting, 2‐hour blood glucose and insulin level; 6. change in homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance; 7. change in hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c); 8. change in lipid profile

Study details

Trials register identifier:NCT00221156
Official title: Effects of Acarbose Long‐Term Therapy on Prevention of Cardiovascular Events in Abnormal Glucose Tolerance With Coronary Artery Disease (ALERT Study)
Study start date: May 2005
Actual study dompletion date: April 2009
Investigators: principal investigator: Koichi Tamita, MD. Division of Cardiology, Kobe General Hospital; study director: Minako Katayama, MD Division of Clinical Research Promotion, Institute of Biomedical Research and Innovation; study director: Yutaka Furukawa, MD Division of Cardiology, Kobe General Hospital

Notes

As of December 2018 there were no publications available on this trial

Data and analyses

Open in table viewer
Comparison 1. AGI versus placebo

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 All‐cause mortality Show forest plot

4

9847

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.24 [0.53, 2.90]

Analysis 1.1

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 1 All‐cause mortality.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 1 All‐cause mortality.

1.1 Acarbose

3

8069

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.98 [0.82, 1.18]

1.2 Voglibose

1

1778

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

12.77 [0.72, 226.31]

2 Incidence of type 2 diabetes Show forest plot

4

9786

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.73 [0.59, 0.90]

Analysis 1.2

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 2 Incidence of type 2 diabetes.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 2 Incidence of type 2 diabetes.

2.1 Acarbose

3

8008

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.82 [0.75, 0.89]

2.2 Voglibose

1

1778

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.46 [0.34, 0.64]

3 Serious adverse events Show forest plot

3

8403

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.12 [0.97, 1.30]

Analysis 1.3

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 3 Serious adverse events.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 3 Serious adverse events.

3.1 Acarbose

2

6625

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.12 [0.97, 1.29]

3.2 Voglibose

1

1778

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

2.46 [0.48, 12.62]

4 Cardiovascular mortality Show forest plot

4

9847

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.89 [0.72, 1.10]

Analysis 1.4

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 4 Cardiovascular mortality.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 4 Cardiovascular mortality.

4.1 Acarbose

3

8069

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.88 [0.71, 1.10]

4.2 Voglibose

1

1778

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

2.95 [0.12, 72.23]

5 Non‐fatal myocardial infarction Show forest plot

2

1486

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.10 [0.02, 0.53]

Analysis 1.5

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 5 Non‐fatal myocardial infarction.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 5 Non‐fatal myocardial infarction.

6 Non‐fatal stroke Show forest plot

1

1368

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.50 [0.09, 2.74]

Analysis 1.6

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 6 Non‐fatal stroke.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 6 Non‐fatal stroke.

7 Congestive heart failure Show forest plot

2

7890

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.87 [0.63, 1.21]

Analysis 1.7

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 7 Congestive heart failure.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 7 Congestive heart failure.

8 Non‐serious adverse events Show forest plot

3

3328

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.04 [1.02, 1.06]

Analysis 1.8

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 8 Non‐serious adverse events.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 8 Non‐serious adverse events.

8.1 Acarbose

2

1550

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.04 [1.01, 1.06]

8.2 Voglibose

1

1778

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.06 [1.02, 1.10]

9 Hypoglycaemia Show forest plot

1

6522

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.01 [0.89, 1.14]

Analysis 1.9

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 9 Hypoglycaemia.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 9 Hypoglycaemia.

10 Fasting plasma glucose Show forest plot

3

7368

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.07 [‐0.12, ‐0.02]

Analysis 1.10

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 10 Fasting plasma glucose.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 10 Fasting plasma glucose.

11 2‐h glucose measurements Show forest plot

3

6498

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.53 [‐0.92, ‐0.14]

Analysis 1.11

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 11 2‐h glucose measurements.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 11 2‐h glucose measurements.

12 HbA1c Show forest plot

3

6833

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.08 [‐0.12, ‐0.05]

Analysis 1.12

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 12 HbA1c.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 12 HbA1c.

13 Change in total cholesterol Show forest plot

3

6815

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.05 [‐0.10, 0.00]

Analysis 1.13

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 13 Change in total cholesterol.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 13 Change in total cholesterol.

14 Change in HDL‐cholesterol Show forest plot

3

6807

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

0.01 [‐0.00, 0.03]

Analysis 1.14

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 14 Change in HDL‐cholesterol.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 14 Change in HDL‐cholesterol.

15 Change in LDL‐cholesterol Show forest plot

3

6699

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.03 [‐0.07, 0.01]

Analysis 1.15

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 15 Change in LDL‐cholesterol.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 15 Change in LDL‐cholesterol.

16 Change in triglycerides Show forest plot

3

6843

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.07 [‐0.17, 0.03]

Analysis 1.16

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 16 Change in triglycerides.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 16 Change in triglycerides.

17 Change in body weight Show forest plot

2

6959

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.67 [‐1.57, 0.23]

Analysis 1.17

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 17 Change in body weight.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 17 Change in body weight.

18 Change in body mass index Show forest plot

2

6953

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.18 [‐0.39, 0.03]

Analysis 1.18

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 18 Change in body mass index.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 18 Change in body mass index.

19 Change in diastolic blood pressure Show forest plot

2

7452

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.29 [‐0.78, 0.21]

Analysis 1.19

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 19 Change in diastolic blood pressure.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 19 Change in diastolic blood pressure.

20 Change in systolic blood pressure Show forest plot

2

7452

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.47 [‐1.26, 0.32]

Analysis 1.20

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 20 Change in systolic blood pressure.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 20 Change in systolic blood pressure.

Open in table viewer
Comparison 2. AGI versus metformin

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 All‐cause mortality Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Analysis 2.1

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 1 All‐cause mortality.

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 1 All‐cause mortality.

2 Incidence of type 2 diabetes Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Analysis 2.2

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 2 Incidence of type 2 diabetes.

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 2 Incidence of type 2 diabetes.

3 Fasting plasma glucose Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Analysis 2.3

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 3 Fasting plasma glucose.

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 3 Fasting plasma glucose.

4 2‐h glucose measurements Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Analysis 2.4

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 4 2‐h glucose measurements.

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 4 2‐h glucose measurements.

5 Change in total cholesterol Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Analysis 2.5

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 5 Change in total cholesterol.

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 5 Change in total cholesterol.

6 Change in triglycerides Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Analysis 2.6

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 6 Change in triglycerides.

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 6 Change in triglycerides.

7 Change in body mass index Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Analysis 2.7

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 7 Change in body mass index.

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 7 Change in body mass index.

8 Change in diastolic blood pressure Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Analysis 2.8

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 8 Change in diastolic blood pressure.

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 8 Change in diastolic blood pressure.

9 Change in systolic blood pressure Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Analysis 2.9

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 9 Change in systolic blood pressure.

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 9 Change in systolic blood pressure.

Open in table viewer
Comparison 3. AGI versus diet and exercise

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 All‐cause mortality Show forest plot

2

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Analysis 3.1

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 1 All‐cause mortality.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 1 All‐cause mortality.

1.1 Acarbose

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.0 [0.0, 0.0]

1.2 Voglibose

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.0 [0.0, 0.0]

2 Incidence of type 2 diabetes Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Analysis 3.2

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 2 Incidence of type 2 diabetes.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 2 Incidence of type 2 diabetes.

3 Cardiovascular mortality Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Analysis 3.3

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 3 Cardiovascular mortality.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 3 Cardiovascular mortality.

4 Non‐fatal myocardial infarction Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Analysis 3.4

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 4 Non‐fatal myocardial infarction.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 4 Non‐fatal myocardial infarction.

5 Non‐fatal stroke Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Analysis 3.5

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 5 Non‐fatal stroke.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 5 Non‐fatal stroke.

6 Congestive heart failure Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Analysis 3.6

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 6 Congestive heart failure.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 6 Congestive heart failure.

7 Non‐serious adverse events Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Analysis 3.7

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 7 Non‐serious adverse events.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 7 Non‐serious adverse events.

8 Fasting plasma glucose Show forest plot

2

509

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐1.33 [‐2.15, ‐0.51]

Analysis 3.8

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 8 Fasting plasma glucose.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 8 Fasting plasma glucose.

8.1 Acarbose

1

81

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐1.37 [‐2.24, ‐0.50]

8.2 Voglibose

1

428

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐1.0 [‐3.44, 1.44]

9 2‐h glucose measurements Show forest plot

2

472

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐2.74 [‐3.74, ‐1.74]

Analysis 3.9

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 9 2‐h glucose measurements.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 9 2‐h glucose measurements.

9.1 Acarbose

1

81

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐2.79 [‐3.79, ‐1.79]

9.2 Voglibose

1

391

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

0.7 [‐7.53, 8.93]

10 HbA1c Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Analysis 3.10

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 10 HbA1c.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 10 HbA1c.

11 Change in total cholesterol Show forest plot

2

586

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.49 [‐1.32, 0.33]

Analysis 3.11

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 11 Change in total cholesterol.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 11 Change in total cholesterol.

11.1 Acarbose

1

81

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.50 [‐1.33, 0.33]

11.2 Voglibose

1

505

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

0.0 [‐6.47, 6.47]

12 Change in triglycerides Show forest plot

2

612

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.10 [‐0.76, 0.56]

Analysis 3.12

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 12 Change in triglycerides.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 12 Change in triglycerides.

12.1 Acarbose

1

81

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.10 [‐0.76, 0.56]

12.2 Voglibose

1

531

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.1 [‐17.03, 16.83]

13 Change in HDL‐cholesterol [mmol/L] Show forest plot

1

545

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

0.0 [‐2.51, 2.51]

Analysis 3.13

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 13 Change in HDL‐cholesterol [mmol/L].

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 13 Change in HDL‐cholesterol [mmol/L].

14 Change in body mass index Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Analysis 3.14

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 14 Change in body mass index.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 14 Change in body mass index.

15 Change in diastolic blood pressure Show forest plot

2

667

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

1.25 [‐1.65, 4.15]

Analysis 3.15

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 15 Change in diastolic blood pressure.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 15 Change in diastolic blood pressure.

16 Change in systolic blood pressure Show forest plot

2

668

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐1.94 [‐8.71, 4.83]

Analysis 3.16

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 16 Change in systolic blood pressure.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 16 Change in systolic blood pressure.

16.1 Acarbose

1

81

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐6.00 [‐12.23, 0.23]

16.2 Voglibose

1

587

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

1.0 [‐1.92, 3.92]

Open in table viewer
Comparison 4. AGI versus no intervention

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 All‐cause mortality Show forest plot

2

171

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.0 [0.0, 0.0]

Analysis 4.1

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 1 All‐cause mortality.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 1 All‐cause mortality.

2 Incidence of type 2 diabetes Show forest plot

2

140

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.31 [0.14, 0.69]

Analysis 4.2

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 2 Incidence of type 2 diabetes.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 2 Incidence of type 2 diabetes.

3 Cardiovascular mortality Show forest plot

2

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Analysis 4.3

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 3 Cardiovascular mortality.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 3 Cardiovascular mortality.

4 Non‐fatal myocardial infarction Show forest plot

2

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

Analysis 4.4

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 4 Non‐fatal myocardial infarction.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 4 Non‐fatal myocardial infarction.

5 Non‐fatal stroke Show forest plot

2

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

Analysis 4.5

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 5 Non‐fatal stroke.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 5 Non‐fatal stroke.

6 Congestive heart failure Show forest plot

2

205

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.87 [0.27, 2.73]

Analysis 4.6

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 6 Congestive heart failure.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 6 Congestive heart failure.

7 Non‐serious adverse events Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Analysis 4.7

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 7 Non‐serious adverse events.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 7 Non‐serious adverse events.

8 Hypoglycaemia Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Analysis 4.8

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 8 Hypoglycaemia.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 8 Hypoglycaemia.

9 Fasting plasma glucose Show forest plot

3

285

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.35 [‐0.79, 0.08]

Analysis 4.9

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 9 Fasting plasma glucose.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 9 Fasting plasma glucose.

10 2‐h glucose measurements Show forest plot

3

285

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐2.50 [‐4.18, ‐0.83]

Analysis 4.10

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 10 2‐h glucose measurements.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 10 2‐h glucose measurements.

11 HbA1c Show forest plot

2

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

Analysis 4.11

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 11 HbA1c.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 11 HbA1c.

12 Change in total cholesterol Show forest plot

3

285

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.32 [‐0.74, 0.10]

Analysis 4.12

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 12 Change in total cholesterol.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 12 Change in total cholesterol.

13 Change in HDL‐cholesterol Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Analysis 4.13

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 13 Change in HDL‐cholesterol.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 13 Change in HDL‐cholesterol.

14 Change in LDL‐cholesterol Show forest plot

2

205

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.03 [‐0.22, 0.15]

Analysis 4.14

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 14 Change in LDL‐cholesterol.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 14 Change in LDL‐cholesterol.

15 Change in triglycerides Show forest plot

3

285

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.22 [‐0.40, ‐0.05]

Analysis 4.15

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 15 Change in triglycerides.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 15 Change in triglycerides.

16 Change in body weight Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Analysis 4.16

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 16 Change in body weight.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 16 Change in body weight.

17 Change in body mass index Show forest plot

3

285

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.65 [‐1.01, ‐0.30]

Analysis 4.17

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 17 Change in body mass index.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 17 Change in body mass index.

18 Change in diastolic blood pressure Show forest plot

3

285

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.26 [‐3.80, 3.28]

Analysis 4.18

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 18 Change in diastolic blood pressure.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 18 Change in diastolic blood pressure.

19 Change in systolic blood pressure Show forest plot

3

285

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐3.68 [‐6.46, ‐0.90]

Analysis 4.19

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 19 Change in systolic blood pressure.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 19 Change in systolic blood pressure.

Trial flow diagram
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 1

Trial flow diagram

Risk of bias graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included trials (blank cells indicate that the particular outcome was not measured in some trials).T2DM: type 2 diabetes mellitus
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 2

Risk of bias graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included trials (blank cells indicate that the particular outcome was not measured in some trials).

T2DM: type 2 diabetes mellitus

Risk of bias summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included trial (blank cells indicate that the particular outcome was not measured in some trials)ABC: Alpha‐glucosidase‐inhiT2DM: type 2 diabetes mellitus
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 3

Risk of bias summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included trial (blank cells indicate that the particular outcome was not measured in some trials)

ABC: Alpha‐glucosidase‐inhiT2DM: type 2 diabetes mellitus

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 1 All‐cause mortality.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.1

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 1 All‐cause mortality.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 2 Incidence of type 2 diabetes.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.2

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 2 Incidence of type 2 diabetes.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 3 Serious adverse events.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.3

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 3 Serious adverse events.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 4 Cardiovascular mortality.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.4

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 4 Cardiovascular mortality.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 5 Non‐fatal myocardial infarction.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.5

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 5 Non‐fatal myocardial infarction.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 6 Non‐fatal stroke.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.6

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 6 Non‐fatal stroke.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 7 Congestive heart failure.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.7

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 7 Congestive heart failure.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 8 Non‐serious adverse events.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.8

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 8 Non‐serious adverse events.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 9 Hypoglycaemia.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.9

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 9 Hypoglycaemia.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 10 Fasting plasma glucose.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.10

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 10 Fasting plasma glucose.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 11 2‐h glucose measurements.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.11

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 11 2‐h glucose measurements.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 12 HbA1c.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.12

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 12 HbA1c.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 13 Change in total cholesterol.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.13

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 13 Change in total cholesterol.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 14 Change in HDL‐cholesterol.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.14

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 14 Change in HDL‐cholesterol.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 15 Change in LDL‐cholesterol.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.15

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 15 Change in LDL‐cholesterol.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 16 Change in triglycerides.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.16

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 16 Change in triglycerides.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 17 Change in body weight.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.17

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 17 Change in body weight.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 18 Change in body mass index.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.18

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 18 Change in body mass index.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 19 Change in diastolic blood pressure.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.19

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 19 Change in diastolic blood pressure.

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 20 Change in systolic blood pressure.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.20

Comparison 1 AGI versus placebo, Outcome 20 Change in systolic blood pressure.

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 1 All‐cause mortality.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.1

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 1 All‐cause mortality.

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 2 Incidence of type 2 diabetes.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.2

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 2 Incidence of type 2 diabetes.

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 3 Fasting plasma glucose.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.3

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 3 Fasting plasma glucose.

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 4 2‐h glucose measurements.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.4

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 4 2‐h glucose measurements.

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 5 Change in total cholesterol.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.5

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 5 Change in total cholesterol.

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 6 Change in triglycerides.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.6

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 6 Change in triglycerides.

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 7 Change in body mass index.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.7

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 7 Change in body mass index.

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 8 Change in diastolic blood pressure.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.8

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 8 Change in diastolic blood pressure.

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 9 Change in systolic blood pressure.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.9

Comparison 2 AGI versus metformin, Outcome 9 Change in systolic blood pressure.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 1 All‐cause mortality.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.1

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 1 All‐cause mortality.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 2 Incidence of type 2 diabetes.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.2

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 2 Incidence of type 2 diabetes.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 3 Cardiovascular mortality.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.3

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 3 Cardiovascular mortality.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 4 Non‐fatal myocardial infarction.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.4

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 4 Non‐fatal myocardial infarction.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 5 Non‐fatal stroke.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.5

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 5 Non‐fatal stroke.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 6 Congestive heart failure.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.6

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 6 Congestive heart failure.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 7 Non‐serious adverse events.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.7

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 7 Non‐serious adverse events.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 8 Fasting plasma glucose.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.8

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 8 Fasting plasma glucose.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 9 2‐h glucose measurements.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.9

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 9 2‐h glucose measurements.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 10 HbA1c.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.10

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 10 HbA1c.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 11 Change in total cholesterol.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.11

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 11 Change in total cholesterol.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 12 Change in triglycerides.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.12

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 12 Change in triglycerides.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 13 Change in HDL‐cholesterol [mmol/L].
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.13

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 13 Change in HDL‐cholesterol [mmol/L].

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 14 Change in body mass index.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.14

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 14 Change in body mass index.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 15 Change in diastolic blood pressure.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.15

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 15 Change in diastolic blood pressure.

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 16 Change in systolic blood pressure.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.16

Comparison 3 AGI versus diet and exercise, Outcome 16 Change in systolic blood pressure.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 1 All‐cause mortality.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.1

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 1 All‐cause mortality.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 2 Incidence of type 2 diabetes.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.2

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 2 Incidence of type 2 diabetes.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 3 Cardiovascular mortality.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.3

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 3 Cardiovascular mortality.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 4 Non‐fatal myocardial infarction.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.4

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 4 Non‐fatal myocardial infarction.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 5 Non‐fatal stroke.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.5

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 5 Non‐fatal stroke.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 6 Congestive heart failure.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.6

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 6 Congestive heart failure.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 7 Non‐serious adverse events.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.7

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 7 Non‐serious adverse events.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 8 Hypoglycaemia.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.8

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 8 Hypoglycaemia.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 9 Fasting plasma glucose.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.9

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 9 Fasting plasma glucose.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 10 2‐h glucose measurements.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.10

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 10 2‐h glucose measurements.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 11 HbA1c.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.11

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 11 HbA1c.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 12 Change in total cholesterol.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.12

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 12 Change in total cholesterol.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 13 Change in HDL‐cholesterol.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.13

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 13 Change in HDL‐cholesterol.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 14 Change in LDL‐cholesterol.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.14

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 14 Change in LDL‐cholesterol.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 15 Change in triglycerides.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.15

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 15 Change in triglycerides.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 16 Change in body weight.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.16

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 16 Change in body weight.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 17 Change in body mass index.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.17

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 17 Change in body mass index.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 18 Change in diastolic blood pressure.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.18

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 18 Change in diastolic blood pressure.

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 19 Change in systolic blood pressure.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.19

Comparison 4 AGI versus no intervention, Outcome 19 Change in systolic blood pressure.

Summary of findings for the main comparison. Acarbose compared to placebo

Acarbose for prevention or delay of type 2 diabetes mellitus and its associated complications in people at risk of developing of type 2 diabetes mellitus

Population: people at risk of developing type 2 diabetes mellitus

Settings: outpatients

Intervention: alpha‐glucosidase inhibitors (acarbose)

Comparison: placebo

Outcomes

Placebo

Acarbose

Relative effect
(95% CI)

Number of participants

Trials

Certainty of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

All‐cause mortality

Follow‐up: 3‐5 years

56 per 1000

55 per 1000 (44 to 66)

RR 0.98 (0.82 to 1.18)

8069

3 RCTs

⊕⊝⊝⊝
Very lowa

Incidence of T2DM

Follow‐up: 3‐5 years

Definition of intermediate hyperglycaemia (definition of T2DM incidence):

ACE 2017: FPG < 7.0 mmol/L; 2hPG ≥ 7.8 ‐ < 11.1 mmol/L (FPG ≥7.0 mmol/L; 2hPG ≥ 11.1 mmol/L)
DAISI 2008: FPG < 7.8 mmol/L; 2hPG 7.8–11.1 mmol/L; HbA1c ≤ 7.0% (FPG ≥ 7.8 mmol/L; 2hPG ≥ 11.1 mmol/L)
STOP‐NIDDM 2002: FPG 5.6‐7.7 mmol/L; 2hPG ≥ 7.8 ≤ 11.1 mmol/L (2hPG ≥ 11.1 mmol/L)

203 per 1000

167 per 1000 (152 to 181)

RR 0.82 (0.75 to 0.89)

(95% prediction interval: 0.48 to 1.40)

8008

3 RCTs

⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderateb

ACE 2017 included participants with coronary heart disease and contributed 64.0% of cases

Serious adverse events

Follow‐up: 3.3‐5 years

95 per 1000

106 per 1000 (92 to 122)

RR 1.12 (0.97 to 1.29)

6625

2 RCTs

⊕⊕⊝⊝
Lowc

Cardiovascular mortality

Follow‐up: 3.3‐5 years

42 per 1000

37 per 1000 (29 to 46)

RR 0.88 (0.71 to 1.10)

8069

3 RCTs

⊕⊝⊝⊝
Very lowa

(a)Non‐fatal myocardial infarction

(b)Non‐fatal stroke

(c)Congestive heart failure

Follow‐up: 3.3 years

(a) 20 per 1000

(b) 6 per 1000

(c) 19 per 1000

(a) 1 per 1000 (0 to 11)

(b) 3 per 1000 (1 to 16)

(c) 16 per 1000 (12 to 21)

(a) RR 0.10 (0.02 to 0.53)

(b) RR 0.50 (0.09 to 2.74)

(c) RR 0.87 (0.63 to 1.12)

(a) 1486

2 RCTs

(b) 1368

1 RCT

(c) 7890

2 RCTs

(a) ⊕⊝⊝⊝

Very lowd
(b) ⊕⊝⊝⊝
Very lowd

(c) ⊕⊕⊝⊝
Lowe

Health‐related quality of life

Not reported

Socioeconomic effects

Not reported

*The basis for the assumed risk (e.g. the median control group risk across trials) is provided in footnotes. The corresponding risk (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).

2hPG: 2‐hour plasma glucose; CI: confidence interval; FPG: fasting plasma glucose;HbA1c: glycosylated haemoglobin A1c; IGT: impaired glucose tolerance; RCT: randomised controlled trial; RR: risk ratio; T2DM: type 2 diabetes mellitus

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High certainty: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect.
Moderate certainty: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different.
Low certainty: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect.
Very low certainty: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect.

aDowngraded by one level because of inconsistency in direction of effect and by two levels because of serious imprecision (confidence interval consistent with benefit and harm and small number of trials). See Appendix 17.
bDowngraded by one level because of imprecision (small number of trials). See Appendix 17.
cDowngraded by two levels because of serious imprecision (confidence interval consistent with benefit and harm and small number of trials). See Appendix 17.
dDowngraded by two levels because of serious risk of bias (attrition bias and reporting bias), and by one level because of imprecision (small number of trials). See Appendix 17.
eDowngraded by two levels because of serious imprecision (confidence interval consistent with benefit and harm and small number of trials). See Appendix 17.

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings for the main comparison. Acarbose compared to placebo
Summary of findings 2. Acarbose compared to no intervention

Acarbose for prevention or delay of type 2 diabetes mellitus and its associated complications in people at risk of developing type 2 diabetes mellitus

Population: people at risk of developing type 2 diabetes mellitus

Settings: outpatients

Intervention: alpha‐glucosidase inhibitors (acarbose)

Comparison: no intervention

Outcomes

No intervention

Acarbose

Relative effect
(95% CI)

Number of participants

Trials

Certainty of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

All‐cause mortality

Follow‐up: 1‐5 years

See comment

171

2 RCTs

⊕⊝⊝⊝
Very lowa

2 of 4 trials reported mortality. No deaths occurred.

Incidence of T2DM

Follow‐up: 1‐5 years

Definition of intermediate hyperglycaemia (definition of T2DM incidence):

Fang 2004 and Wang 2000: FPG < 7.8 mmol/L; 2hPG ≥ 7.8 ≤ 11.1 mmol/L (FPG ≥ 7.8 mmol/L; 2hPG ≥ 11.1 mmol/L)

277 per 1000

86 per 1000 (39 to 191)

RR 0.31 (0.14 to 0.69)

140

2 RCTs

⊕⊝⊝⊝
Very lowb

Serious adverse events

Not reported

Cardiovascular mortality

Follow‐up: 1‐4.5 years

49 per 1000

31 per 1000 (8 to 124)

RR 0.64 (0.16 to 2.56)

205

2 RCTs

⊕⊝⊝⊝
Very lowc

(a)Non‐fatal myocardial infarction

(b)Non‐fatal stroke

(c)Congestive heart failure

Follow‐up: 1‐4.5 years

(a) 68 per 1000

(b) 39 per 1000

(c) 58 per 1000

(a) 20 per 1000 (5 to 96)

(b) 21 per 1000 (4 to 109)

(c) 51per 1000 (16 to 159)

(a) RR 0.30 (0.07 to 1.41)

(b) RR 0.53 (0.10 to 2.81)

(c) RR 0.87 (0.27 to 2.73)

(a) 205

2 RCTs

(b) 205

2 RCTs

(c) 205

2 RCTs

(a) ⊕⊝⊝⊝

Very lowc
(b) ⊕⊝⊝⊝
Very lowc

(c) ⊕⊝⊝⊝
Very lowc

Health‐related quality of life

Not reported

Socioeconomic effects

Not reported

*The basis for the assumed risk (e.g. the median control group risk across trials) is provided in footnotes. The corresponding risk (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
2hPG: 2‐hour plasma glucose; CI: confidence interval; FPG: fasting plasma glucose;HbA1c: glycosylated haemoglobin A1c; RCT: randomised controlled trials; RR: risk ratio; T2DM: type 2 diabetes mellitus

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High certainty: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect.
Moderate certainty: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different.
Low certainty: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect.
Very low certainty: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect.

aDowngraded by one level because of risk of bias (unclear selection bias and selective reporting), and by two levels because of serious imprecision (small number of trials, small sample size and the outcome not being a common event). See Appendix 18.
bDowngraded by one level because of risk of bias (unclear selection bias and selective reporting), and by two levels because of serious imprecision (small number of trials and small sample size). See Appendix 18.
cDowngraded by one level because of risk of bias (unclear selection bias and selective reporting), and by two levels because of serious imprecision (small number of trials, small sample size and CI consistent with benefit and harm). See Appendix 18.

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings 2. Acarbose compared to no intervention
Table 1. Overview of trial populations

Trial ID
(design)

Intervention(s) and comparator(s)

Short description of power and sample size calculation

Screened/eligible
(N)

Randomised
(N)

ITT
(N)

Analysed
(N)

Finishing trial
(N)

Randomised finishing trial
(%)

Follow‐up
(extended follow‐up)a

ABC 2017 (parallel RCT)

Intervention 1: voglibose

"Given a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.717 with survival rates of 89% at 24 months in the control group, we estimated the total sample size of 3000 subjects along with 325 events (1500 per group), providing 85% power of one‐sided log‐rank test of 2.5% significance level to detect the assumed reduction, assuming the loss of patients during the follow‐up to be 15%"

‐/870

428

424

424

424

99.1

2 years

Comparator 1: diet and exercise

442

435

435

435

98.4

total:

870

859

859

859

98.7

ACE 2017(parallel RCT)

Intervention 1: acarbose

"7268 patients were required with 904 adjudicated primary composite cardiovascular end points to achieve 90% power. The population size was reduced from 7500 to 6500, with an estimated 728 confirmed composite primary outcome required to have at least 85% power to detect a 20% risk reduction for acarbose, compared with placebo (two‐sided α=0·05)"

15204/7671

3272

3272

3272

3092

94.5

Median of 5 years

Comparator 1: placebo

3250

3250

3250

3064

94.3

total:

6522

6522

6522

6156

94.3

Yun 2016(parallel RCT)

Intervention 1: acarbose

426/135

67

60

60

89.55

1‐4.5 years

Comparator 1: no intervention

68

64

64

94.12

total:

135

124

124

91.85

Koyasu 2010(parallel RCT)

Intervention 1: acarbose

‐/90

45

42

42

93.33

1 year

Comparator 1: no intervention

45

39

39

86.67

total:

90

81

81

90

Kawamori 2009(parallel RCT)

Intervention 1: voglibose

"Assuming a conversion rate of 7.7% per year, a study duration of 4.9 years, and a drop‐out rate of 5%, the planned sample size was 864 (90% power to detect a 40% reduction in the primary endpoint with a two‐sided type I error of 0·05). Due to greater improvement to normoglycaemia than expected, sample size increased to 1728"

4582/1780

897

897

768

85.62

Until diagnosis of normoglycaemia or diabetes type 2, or at least 3 years

Comparator 1: placebo

883

881

737

83.47

total:

1780

1778

1505

84.55

Fang 2004(parallel RCT)

Intervention 1: acarbose

‐/‐

50

45

45

90

5 years

Comparator 1: no intervention

40

35

35

87.5

Comparator 2: metformin

48

44

44

91.67

Comparator 3: diet and exercise

40

36

36

90

total:

178

160

160

89.89

Wang 2000(parallel RCT)

Intervention 1: acarbose

‐/61

31

30

30

96.77

1 year

Comparator 1: No intervention

30

30

30

100

total:

61

60

60

98.36

DAISI 2008(parallel RCT)

Intervention 1: acarbose

47 participants in each treatment group with alpha (2‐sided) = 0.05 and beta = 0.05

6651/118

60

60

60

30

50

3 years

Comparator 1: placebo

p8

58

58

36

62.07

total:

118

118

118

66

55.93

EDIT 1997(factorial RCT)

Intervention 1: acarbose + placebo

‐/631

157

6 years

Comparator 1: placebo + placebo

159

Comparator 2: metformin + placebo

160

Comparator 3: metformin + acarbose

155

total:

631

522

82.73

STOP‐NIDDM 2002(parallel RCT)

Intervention 1: acarbose

"It was estimated that 600 patients would be required in each treatment group for a 2‐tailed alpha of .05 and a 1‐beta of 90% assuming a conversion rate of 7% per year, a 36% risk reduction, and a drop‐out rate of 10%"

14742/1429

714

682

682

471

65.97

mean 3.3 years

Comparator 1: placebo

715

686

686

556

77.76

total:

1429

1368

1368

1027

71.87

Grand total

All interventions

5721

4962 (excl. EDIT 1997)

All comparators

6093

5076 (excl. EDIT 1997)

All interventions and comparators

11,814

10,038 (excl. EDIT 1997)

10,560 (incl. EDIT 1997)

‐ denotes not reported; ITT: intention‐to‐treat; RCT: randomised controlled trial

aFollow‐up under randomised conditions until end of trial ( (= duration of intervention + follow‐up post‐intervention or identical to duration of intervention); extended follow‐up refers to follow‐up of participants once the original trial was terminated as specified in the power calculation.

Figuras y tablas -
Table 1. Overview of trial populations
Comparison 1. AGI versus placebo

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 All‐cause mortality Show forest plot

4

9847

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.24 [0.53, 2.90]

1.1 Acarbose

3

8069

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.98 [0.82, 1.18]

1.2 Voglibose

1

1778

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

12.77 [0.72, 226.31]

2 Incidence of type 2 diabetes Show forest plot

4

9786

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.73 [0.59, 0.90]

2.1 Acarbose

3

8008

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.82 [0.75, 0.89]

2.2 Voglibose

1

1778

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.46 [0.34, 0.64]

3 Serious adverse events Show forest plot

3

8403

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.12 [0.97, 1.30]

3.1 Acarbose

2

6625

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.12 [0.97, 1.29]

3.2 Voglibose

1

1778

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

2.46 [0.48, 12.62]

4 Cardiovascular mortality Show forest plot

4

9847

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.89 [0.72, 1.10]

4.1 Acarbose

3

8069

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.88 [0.71, 1.10]

4.2 Voglibose

1

1778

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

2.95 [0.12, 72.23]

5 Non‐fatal myocardial infarction Show forest plot

2

1486

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.10 [0.02, 0.53]

6 Non‐fatal stroke Show forest plot

1

1368

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.50 [0.09, 2.74]

7 Congestive heart failure Show forest plot

2

7890

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.87 [0.63, 1.21]

8 Non‐serious adverse events Show forest plot

3

3328

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.04 [1.02, 1.06]

8.1 Acarbose

2

1550

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.04 [1.01, 1.06]

8.2 Voglibose

1

1778

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.06 [1.02, 1.10]

9 Hypoglycaemia Show forest plot

1

6522

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.01 [0.89, 1.14]

10 Fasting plasma glucose Show forest plot

3

7368

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.07 [‐0.12, ‐0.02]

11 2‐h glucose measurements Show forest plot

3

6498

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.53 [‐0.92, ‐0.14]

12 HbA1c Show forest plot

3

6833

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.08 [‐0.12, ‐0.05]

13 Change in total cholesterol Show forest plot

3

6815

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.05 [‐0.10, 0.00]

14 Change in HDL‐cholesterol Show forest plot

3

6807

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

0.01 [‐0.00, 0.03]

15 Change in LDL‐cholesterol Show forest plot

3

6699

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.03 [‐0.07, 0.01]

16 Change in triglycerides Show forest plot

3

6843

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.07 [‐0.17, 0.03]

17 Change in body weight Show forest plot

2

6959

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.67 [‐1.57, 0.23]

18 Change in body mass index Show forest plot

2

6953

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.18 [‐0.39, 0.03]

19 Change in diastolic blood pressure Show forest plot

2

7452

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.29 [‐0.78, 0.21]

20 Change in systolic blood pressure Show forest plot

2

7452

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.47 [‐1.26, 0.32]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 1. AGI versus placebo
Comparison 2. AGI versus metformin

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 All‐cause mortality Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

2 Incidence of type 2 diabetes Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

3 Fasting plasma glucose Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

4 2‐h glucose measurements Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

5 Change in total cholesterol Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

6 Change in triglycerides Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

7 Change in body mass index Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

8 Change in diastolic blood pressure Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

9 Change in systolic blood pressure Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 2. AGI versus metformin
Comparison 3. AGI versus diet and exercise

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 All‐cause mortality Show forest plot

2

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

1.1 Acarbose

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.0 [0.0, 0.0]

1.2 Voglibose

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.0 [0.0, 0.0]

2 Incidence of type 2 diabetes Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

3 Cardiovascular mortality Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

4 Non‐fatal myocardial infarction Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

5 Non‐fatal stroke Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

6 Congestive heart failure Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

7 Non‐serious adverse events Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

8 Fasting plasma glucose Show forest plot

2

509

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐1.33 [‐2.15, ‐0.51]

8.1 Acarbose

1

81

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐1.37 [‐2.24, ‐0.50]

8.2 Voglibose

1

428

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐1.0 [‐3.44, 1.44]

9 2‐h glucose measurements Show forest plot

2

472

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐2.74 [‐3.74, ‐1.74]

9.1 Acarbose

1

81

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐2.79 [‐3.79, ‐1.79]

9.2 Voglibose

1

391

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

0.7 [‐7.53, 8.93]

10 HbA1c Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

11 Change in total cholesterol Show forest plot

2

586

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.49 [‐1.32, 0.33]

11.1 Acarbose

1

81

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.50 [‐1.33, 0.33]

11.2 Voglibose

1

505

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

0.0 [‐6.47, 6.47]

12 Change in triglycerides Show forest plot

2

612

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.10 [‐0.76, 0.56]

12.1 Acarbose

1

81

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.10 [‐0.76, 0.56]

12.2 Voglibose

1

531

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.1 [‐17.03, 16.83]

13 Change in HDL‐cholesterol [mmol/L] Show forest plot

1

545

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

0.0 [‐2.51, 2.51]

14 Change in body mass index Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

15 Change in diastolic blood pressure Show forest plot

2

667

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

1.25 [‐1.65, 4.15]

16 Change in systolic blood pressure Show forest plot

2

668

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐1.94 [‐8.71, 4.83]

16.1 Acarbose

1

81

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐6.00 [‐12.23, 0.23]

16.2 Voglibose

1

587

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

1.0 [‐1.92, 3.92]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 3. AGI versus diet and exercise
Comparison 4. AGI versus no intervention

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 All‐cause mortality Show forest plot

2

171

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.0 [0.0, 0.0]

2 Incidence of type 2 diabetes Show forest plot

2

140

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.31 [0.14, 0.69]

3 Cardiovascular mortality Show forest plot

2

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

4 Non‐fatal myocardial infarction Show forest plot

2

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

5 Non‐fatal stroke Show forest plot

2

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

6 Congestive heart failure Show forest plot

2

205

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.87 [0.27, 2.73]

7 Non‐serious adverse events Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

8 Hypoglycaemia Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

9 Fasting plasma glucose Show forest plot

3

285

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.35 [‐0.79, 0.08]

10 2‐h glucose measurements Show forest plot

3

285

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐2.50 [‐4.18, ‐0.83]

11 HbA1c Show forest plot

2

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

12 Change in total cholesterol Show forest plot

3

285

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.32 [‐0.74, 0.10]

13 Change in HDL‐cholesterol Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

14 Change in LDL‐cholesterol Show forest plot

2

205

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.03 [‐0.22, 0.15]

15 Change in triglycerides Show forest plot

3

285

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.22 [‐0.40, ‐0.05]

16 Change in body weight Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

17 Change in body mass index Show forest plot

3

285

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.65 [‐1.01, ‐0.30]

18 Change in diastolic blood pressure Show forest plot

3

285

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.26 [‐3.80, 3.28]

19 Change in systolic blood pressure Show forest plot

3

285

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐3.68 [‐6.46, ‐0.90]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 4. AGI versus no intervention