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Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews

Terapia hormonal a largo plazo para pacientes perimenopáusicas y posmenopáusicas

Información

DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD004143.pub5Copiar DOI
Base de datos:
  1. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews
Versión publicada:
  1. 17 enero 2017see what's new
Tipo:
  1. Intervention
Etapa:
  1. Review
Grupo Editorial Cochrane:
  1. Grupo Cochrane de Ginecología y fertilidad

Copyright:
  1. Copyright © 2017 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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Contraer

Autores

  • Jane Marjoribanks

    Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand

  • Cindy Farquhar

    Correspondencia a: Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand

    [email protected]

  • Helen Roberts

    Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand

  • Anne Lethaby

    Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand

  • Jasmine Lee

    Penang Medical College, Penang, Malaysia

Contributions of authors

For the 2017 update of the review, Jane Marjoribanks (JM) extracted and entered data and drafted the text, and Jasmine Lee (JL) checked study selection and data extraction. Helen Roberts (HR), Cindy Farquhar (CF) and Anne Lethaby (AL) commented on and contributed to the drafts.

For the 2008 and 2012 updates of the review, JM extracted and entered data and drafted the text, and CF checked study selection and data extraction. HR, CF and AL commented on and contributed to the drafts.

CF and AL developed the original protocol and circulated it to members of the Cochrane HT Study Group for comment. The following people contributed specifically to the protocol: Professor Shah Ebrahim, Dr Peter Tugwell, Teresa Moore and Maria Judd. For the original version of the review, JM and Jane Suckling searched for relevant studies and selected studies for inclusion, and JM extracted and entered data that were checked by Quirine Lamberts. JM drafted the review, circulated it to other members of the Cochrane HRT Study Group for comment and edited the draft.

The following individuals commented on the draft of the original review: Breast Cancer Group: Sue Carrick, Sue Lockwood (Editor); Dementia and Cognitive Improvement Group: Professor Leon Flicker (Editor), Professor Lon Schneider (Editor); Heart Group: Lee Hooper (Editor), Theresa Moore (Review Group Coordinator); Gynaecology and Fertility Group: Cindy Farquhar (Co‐ordinating Editor), Anne Lethaby (Editor); Stroke Group: Professor Ale Agra (Editor), Steff Lewis (Statistical Editor).

Sources of support

Internal sources

  • University of Auckland, New Zealand.

External sources

  • None, Other.

Declarations of interest

Cindy Farquhar is a director/shareholder of a gynaecology clinic and undertakes private practice within those premises. She has received travel/accommodation/meeting expenses from ESHRE or ASRM for attendance at scientific meetings.

JL, AL, JM and HR have no interests to declare.

Acknowledgements

Thanks to Marian Showell (CFG Information Specialist) who designed and ran the search strategy for the 2012 and 2017 updates of this review, and Josie Rishworth, who helped format the labelling of the analysis tables for the 2012 update. Thanks also to Quirine Lamberts, Jane Suckling and the following Cochrane Review Groups, all of whom helped with the first version of this review: Breast Group, Colorectal Cancer Group, Dementia and Cognitive Improvement Group, Gynaecological Cancer Group, Heart Group, Gynaecology and Fertility Group, Musculoskeletal Group, Peripheral Vascular Diseases Group and Stroke Group. See Contributions of authors for details. Martha Hickey kindly provided comments and suggestions on drafts of the 2008 update.

Version history

Published

Title

Stage

Authors

Version

2017 Jan 17

Long‐term hormone therapy for perimenopausal and postmenopausal women

Review

Jane Marjoribanks, Cindy Farquhar, Helen Roberts, Anne Lethaby, Jasmine Lee

https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD004143.pub5

2012 Jul 11

Long term hormone therapy for perimenopausal and postmenopausal women

Review

Jane Marjoribanks, Cindy Farquhar, Helen Roberts, Anne Lethaby

https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD004143.pub4

2009 Apr 15

Long term hormone therapy for perimenopausal and postmenopausal women

Review

Cindy Farquhar, Jane Marjoribanks, Anne Lethaby, Jane A Suckling, Quirine Lamberts

https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD004143.pub3

2005 Jul 20

Long term hormone therapy for perimenopausal and postmenopausal women

Review

Cindy Farquhar, Jane Marjoribanks, Anne Lethaby, Jane A Suckling, Quirine Lamberts

https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD004143.pub2

2003 Apr 22

Hormone replacement therapy for perimenopausal and postmenopausal women

Protocol

G roup Cochrane HRT Study, Cindy M Farquhar

https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD004143

Differences between protocol and review

For the 2017 update, we decided to omit quality of life as an outcome and to focus on adverse events only, to make the review more concise. This meant that we excluded two previously included studies (Haines 2003; Nielsen 2006).

We also decided for the 2017 update to limit the outcome "Cognitive function" to studies of global measures of cognition, also to keep the review as concise as possible. This did not change any of our data.

For the 2017 update, we did not include studies that did not report any events in either group for a particular outcome in the meta‐analysis for that outcome because they did not add useful data (Higgins 2011).

Keywords

MeSH

PICO

Population
Intervention
Comparison
Outcome

El uso y la enseñanza del modelo PICO están muy extendidos en el ámbito de la atención sanitaria basada en la evidencia para formular preguntas y estrategias de búsqueda y para caracterizar estudios o metanálisis clínicos. PICO son las siglas en inglés de cuatro posibles componentes de una pregunta de investigación: paciente, población o problema; intervención; comparación; desenlace (outcome).

Para saber más sobre el uso del modelo PICO, puede consultar el Manual Cochrane.

Risk of bias summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 1

Risk of bias summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.

Study flow diagram.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 2

Study flow diagram.

Risk of bias graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 3

Risk of bias graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 1 Death from any cause: oestrogen‐only HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.1

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 1 Death from any cause: oestrogen‐only HT.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 2 Death from any cause: combined HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.2

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 2 Death from any cause: combined HT.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 3 Death from any cause: oestrogen with or without sequential progesterone vaginal gel.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.3

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 3 Death from any cause: oestrogen with or without sequential progesterone vaginal gel.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 4 Death from coronary heart disease: oestrogen‐only HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.4

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 4 Death from coronary heart disease: oestrogen‐only HT.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 5 Death from coronary heart disease: combined continuous HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.5

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 5 Death from coronary heart disease: combined continuous HT.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 6 Death from coronary heart disease: combined sequential HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.6

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 6 Death from coronary heart disease: combined sequential HT.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 7 Death from stroke: oestrogen‐only HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.7

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 7 Death from stroke: oestrogen‐only HT.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 8 Death from stroke: combined sequential HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.8

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 8 Death from stroke: combined sequential HT.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 9 Death from stroke: combined continuous HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.9

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 9 Death from stroke: combined continuous HT.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 10 Death from colorectal cancer: oestrogen‐only HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.10

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 10 Death from colorectal cancer: oestrogen‐only HT.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 11 Death from breast cancer: combined continuous HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.11

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 11 Death from breast cancer: combined continuous HT.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 12 Death from breast cancer: oestrogen‐only HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.12

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 12 Death from breast cancer: oestrogen‐only HT.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 13 Death from colorectal cancer: combined continuous HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.13

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 13 Death from colorectal cancer: combined continuous HT.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 14 Death from lung cancer: oestrogen‐only HT (moderate dose).
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.14

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 14 Death from lung cancer: oestrogen‐only HT (moderate dose).

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 15 Death from lung cancer: combined continuous HT (moderate dose).
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.15

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 15 Death from lung cancer: combined continuous HT (moderate dose).

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 16 Death from lung cancer: combined sequential HT (low dose oestrogen).
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.16

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 16 Death from lung cancer: combined sequential HT (low dose oestrogen).

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 17 Death from any cancer: combined continuous HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.17

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 17 Death from any cancer: combined continuous HT.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 18 Coronary events (MI or cardiac death): oestrogen‐only HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.18

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 18 Coronary events (MI or cardiac death): oestrogen‐only HT.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 19 Coronary events (MI or cardiac death): combined continuous HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.19

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 19 Coronary events (MI or cardiac death): combined continuous HT.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 20 Coronary events (MI or cardiac death): combined sequential HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.20

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 20 Coronary events (MI or cardiac death): combined sequential HT.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 21 Coronary events (MI or cardiac death): oestrogen with or without sequential progesterone vaginal gel.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.21

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 21 Coronary events (MI or cardiac death): oestrogen with or without sequential progesterone vaginal gel.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 22 Stroke: unopposed oestrogen.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.22

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 22 Stroke: unopposed oestrogen.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 23 Stroke: combined continuous HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.23

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 23 Stroke: combined continuous HT.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 24 Stroke: combined sequential HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.24

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 24 Stroke: combined sequential HT.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 25 Stroke: combined sequential HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.25

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 25 Stroke: combined sequential HT.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 26 Transient ischaemic attack: oestrogen‐only HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.26

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 26 Transient ischaemic attack: oestrogen‐only HT.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 27 Transient ischaemic attack: combined sequential HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.27

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 27 Transient ischaemic attack: combined sequential HT.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 28 Transient ischaemic attack: oestrogen with or without sequential progesterone vaginal gel.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.28

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 28 Transient ischaemic attack: oestrogen with or without sequential progesterone vaginal gel.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 29 Stroke or transient ischaemic attack.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.29

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 29 Stroke or transient ischaemic attack.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 30 Venous thromboembolism (DVT or PE): oestrogen‐only HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.30

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 30 Venous thromboembolism (DVT or PE): oestrogen‐only HT.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 31 Venous thromboembolism (DVT or PE): combined sequential HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.31

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 31 Venous thromboembolism (DVT or PE): combined sequential HT.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 32 Venous thromboembolism (DVT or PE): combined continuous HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.32

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 32 Venous thromboembolism (DVT or PE): combined continuous HT.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 33 Venous thromboembolism (DVT or PE): oestrogen with or without sequential progesterone vaginal gel.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.33

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 33 Venous thromboembolism (DVT or PE): oestrogen with or without sequential progesterone vaginal gel.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 34 Global cognitive function.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.34

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 34 Global cognitive function.

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 35 Probable dementia.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.35

Comparison 1 Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 35 Probable dementia.

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 1 Death from any cause: oestrogen‐only HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.1

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 1 Death from any cause: oestrogen‐only HT.

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 2 Death from any cause: oestrogen‐only or combined sequential HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.2

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 2 Death from any cause: oestrogen‐only or combined sequential HT.

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 3 Death from any cause: combined continuous HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.3

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 3 Death from any cause: combined continuous HT.

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 4 Death from coronary heart disease: oestrogen‐only HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.4

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 4 Death from coronary heart disease: oestrogen‐only HT.

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 5 Death from CHD: oestrogen‐only or combined sequential HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.5

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 5 Death from CHD: oestrogen‐only or combined sequential HT.

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 6 Death from CHD: combined continuous HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.6

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 6 Death from CHD: combined continuous HT.

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 7 Coronary event (MI or cardiac death): oestrogen‐only HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.7

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 7 Coronary event (MI or cardiac death): oestrogen‐only HT.

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 8 Death from stroke: oestrogen‐only or combined sequential HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.8

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 8 Death from stroke: oestrogen‐only or combined sequential HT.

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 9 Death from cancer: combined continuous HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.9

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 9 Death from cancer: combined continuous HT.

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 10 Coronary event (MI or cardiac death): oestrogen‐only HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.10

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 10 Coronary event (MI or cardiac death): oestrogen‐only HT.

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 11 Coronary event: oestrogen‐only or combined sequential HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.11

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 11 Coronary event: oestrogen‐only or combined sequential HT.

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 12 Coronary event (MI or cardiac death): combined continuous HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.12

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 12 Coronary event (MI or cardiac death): combined continuous HT.

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 13 Stroke (first or recurrent): oestrogen‐only HT or combined sequential.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.13

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 13 Stroke (first or recurrent): oestrogen‐only HT or combined sequential.

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 14 Stroke (first or recurrent): oestrogen‐only HT (mod dose).
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.14

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 14 Stroke (first or recurrent): oestrogen‐only HT (mod dose).

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 15 Stroke (first or recurrent): combined continuous HT (mod dose oestrogen).
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.15

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 15 Stroke (first or recurrent): combined continuous HT (mod dose oestrogen).

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 16 Transient ischaemic attack: oestrogen‐only HT (mod dose).
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.16

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 16 Transient ischaemic attack: oestrogen‐only HT (mod dose).

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 17 Transient ischaemic attack: oestrogen‐only or combined sequential HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.17

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 17 Transient ischaemic attack: oestrogen‐only or combined sequential HT.

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 18 Transient ischaemic attack: combined continuous HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.18

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 18 Transient ischaemic attack: combined continuous HT.

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 19 Stroke or transient ischaemic attack: oestrogen‐only HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.19

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 19 Stroke or transient ischaemic attack: oestrogen‐only HT.

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 20 Stroke or transient ischaemic attack: combined continuous HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.20

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 20 Stroke or transient ischaemic attack: combined continuous HT.

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 21 VTE (first or recurrent PE or DVT): oestrogen‐only HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.21

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 21 VTE (first or recurrent PE or DVT): oestrogen‐only HT.

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 22 VTE (first or recurrent PE or DVT): combined continuous HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.22

Comparison 2 Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL), Outcome 22 VTE (first or recurrent PE or DVT): combined continuous HT.

Comparison 3 Women with dementia, Outcome 1 Worsening of dementia on treatment (by ADCS‐CGIC score): oestrogen‐only HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.1

Comparison 3 Women with dementia, Outcome 1 Worsening of dementia on treatment (by ADCS‐CGIC score): oestrogen‐only HT.

Comparison 4 Women post surgery for early‐stage endometrial cancer (selected outcomes: death, recurrence), Outcome 1 Death from any cause: oestrogen‐only HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.1

Comparison 4 Women post surgery for early‐stage endometrial cancer (selected outcomes: death, recurrence), Outcome 1 Death from any cause: oestrogen‐only HT.

Comparison 4 Women post surgery for early‐stage endometrial cancer (selected outcomes: death, recurrence), Outcome 2 Death from endometrial cancer: oestrogen‐only HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.2

Comparison 4 Women post surgery for early‐stage endometrial cancer (selected outcomes: death, recurrence), Outcome 2 Death from endometrial cancer: oestrogen‐only HT.

Comparison 4 Women post surgery for early‐stage endometrial cancer (selected outcomes: death, recurrence), Outcome 3 Death from CHD: oestrogen‐only HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.3

Comparison 4 Women post surgery for early‐stage endometrial cancer (selected outcomes: death, recurrence), Outcome 3 Death from CHD: oestrogen‐only HT.

Comparison 5 Women hospitalised with chronic illness (selected outcomes: death, CVD, VTE), Outcome 1 All‐cause death: combined sequential HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 5.1

Comparison 5 Women hospitalised with chronic illness (selected outcomes: death, CVD, VTE), Outcome 1 All‐cause death: combined sequential HT.

Comparison 5 Women hospitalised with chronic illness (selected outcomes: death, CVD, VTE), Outcome 2 Myocardial infarction: combined sequential HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 5.2

Comparison 5 Women hospitalised with chronic illness (selected outcomes: death, CVD, VTE), Outcome 2 Myocardial infarction: combined sequential HT.

Comparison 5 Women hospitalised with chronic illness (selected outcomes: death, CVD, VTE), Outcome 3 Venous thromboembolism (DVT or PE): combined sequential HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 5.3

Comparison 5 Women hospitalised with chronic illness (selected outcomes: death, CVD, VTE), Outcome 3 Venous thromboembolism (DVT or PE): combined sequential HT.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 1 Breast cancer: oestrogen‐only HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.1

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 1 Breast cancer: oestrogen‐only HT.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 2 Breast cancer: oestrogen‐only or combined HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.2

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 2 Breast cancer: oestrogen‐only or combined HT.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 3 Breast cancer: combined continuous HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.3

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 3 Breast cancer: combined continuous HT.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 4 Breast cancer: combined sequential HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.4

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 4 Breast cancer: combined sequential HT.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 5 Breast cancer: oestrogen with or without sequential progesterone vaginal gel.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.5

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 5 Breast cancer: oestrogen with or without sequential progesterone vaginal gel.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 6 Colorectal cancer: oestrogen‐only HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.6

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 6 Colorectal cancer: oestrogen‐only HT.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 7 Colorectal cancer: oestrogen‐only or combined HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.7

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 7 Colorectal cancer: oestrogen‐only or combined HT.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 8 Colorectal cancer: combined continuous HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.8

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 8 Colorectal cancer: combined continuous HT.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 9 Colorectal cancer: combined sequential HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.9

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 9 Colorectal cancer: combined sequential HT.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 10 Colorectal cancer: oestrogen with or without sequential progesterone vaginal gel.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.10

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 10 Colorectal cancer: oestrogen with or without sequential progesterone vaginal gel.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 11 Lung cancer: oestrogen‐only HT (moderate dose).
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.11

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 11 Lung cancer: oestrogen‐only HT (moderate dose).

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 12 Lung cancer: combined continuous HT (mod dose oestrogen).
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.12

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 12 Lung cancer: combined continuous HT (mod dose oestrogen).

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 13 Lung cancer: combined sequential HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.13

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 13 Lung cancer: combined sequential HT.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 14 Endometrial cancer: oestrogen‐only HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.14

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 14 Endometrial cancer: oestrogen‐only HT.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 15 Endometrial cancer: combined continuous HT (mode dose oestrogen).
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.15

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 15 Endometrial cancer: combined continuous HT (mode dose oestrogen).

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 16 Endometrial cancer: combined sequential HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.16

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 16 Endometrial cancer: combined sequential HT.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 17 Recurrent endometrial cancer: oestrogen‐only HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.17

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 17 Recurrent endometrial cancer: oestrogen‐only HT.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 18 Ovarian cancer: combined continuous HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.18

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 18 Ovarian cancer: combined continuous HT.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 19 Ovarian cancer: oestrogen with or without sequential progesterone vaginal gel.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.19

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 19 Ovarian cancer: oestrogen with or without sequential progesterone vaginal gel.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 20 Gallbladder disease requiring surgery: oestrogen‐only HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.20

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 20 Gallbladder disease requiring surgery: oestrogen‐only HT.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 21 Gallbladder disease requiring surgery: combined continuous HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.21

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 21 Gallbladder disease requiring surgery: combined continuous HT.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 22 Gallbladder disease requiring surgery: combined sequential HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.22

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 22 Gallbladder disease requiring surgery: combined sequential HT.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 23 Hip fractures: oestrogen‐only HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.23

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 23 Hip fractures: oestrogen‐only HT.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 24 Hip fractures: oestrogen‐only or combined sequential HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.24

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 24 Hip fractures: oestrogen‐only or combined sequential HT.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 25 Hip fractures: combined continuous HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.25

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 25 Hip fractures: combined continuous HT.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 26 Hip fractures: combined sequential HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.26

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 26 Hip fractures: combined sequential HT.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 27 Vertebral fractures: oestrogen‐only HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.27

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 27 Vertebral fractures: oestrogen‐only HT.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 28 Vertebral fractures: combined continuous HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.28

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 28 Vertebral fractures: combined continuous HT.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 29 All clinical fractures: oestrogen‐only or combined sequential HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.29

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 29 All clinical fractures: oestrogen‐only or combined sequential HT.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 30 All clinical fractures: oestrogen‐only HT (moderate dose).
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.30

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 30 All clinical fractures: oestrogen‐only HT (moderate dose).

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 31 All clinical fractures: oestrogen‐only or combined HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.31

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 31 All clinical fractures: oestrogen‐only or combined HT.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 32 All clinical fractures: combined continuous HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.32

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 32 All clinical fractures: combined continuous HT.

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 33 All clinical fractures: combined sequential HT.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 6.33

Comparison 6 All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures), Outcome 33 All clinical fractures: combined sequential HT.

Summary of findings for the main comparison. Combined continuous hormone therapy (HT) compared with placebo for postmenopausal women

Combined continuous hormone therapy (HT) compared with placebo for perimenopausal and postmenopausal women

Population: relatively healthy postmenopausal women

Setting: community
Intervention: combined continuous HT (moderate‐dose oestrogen) ‐ CEE 0.625 mg + MPA 2.5 mg
Comparison: placebo

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

No. of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Assumed risk*

Corresponding risk

Placebo

Combined continuous hormone therapy (HT)

Coronary events (MI or cardiac death)

Follow‐up: mean/median 1 year

2 per 1000

4 per 1000
(3 to 7)

RR 1.89
(1.15 to 3.10)

20,993
(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderatea

Stroke
Follow‐up: mean 3 years

6 per 1000

8 per 1000
(6 to 12)

RR 146
(1.02 to 2.09)

17,585
(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderatea

Venous thromboembolism (DVT or PE)

Follow‐up: mean/median 1 year

2 per 1000

7 per 1000
(4 to 11)

RR 4.28
(2.49 to 7.34)

20,993
(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderatea

Breast cancer
Follow‐up: median 5.6 years

19 per 1000

24 per 1000
(20 to 30)

RR 1.27 (1.03 to 1.56)

16,608
(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderatea

Death from lung cancer

Follow‐up: median 8 yearsb

5 per 1,000

9 per 1000

(6 to 13)

RR 1.74

(1.18 to 2.55)

16,608
(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderatea

Gallbladder disease

Follow‐up: mean 5.6 years

16 per 1000

27 per 1000

(21 to 34)

RR 1.64

(1.30 to 2.06)

14,203

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderatea

All clinical fractures
Follow‐up: mean 5.6 years

111 per 1000

87 per 1000
(79 to 96)

RR 0.78
(0.71 to 0.86)

16,608
(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderatea

*The basis for the assumed risk is the mean risk in the control group. The corresponding risk (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
CI: confidence interval; OR: odds ratio; RR: risk ratio.

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence.
High quality: Further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect.
Moderate quality: Further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate.
Low quality: Further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate.
Very low quality: We are very uncertain about the estimate.

aDowngraded one level for questionable applicability: Only about 33% of the study sample was 50‐59 years of age at baseline (i.e. the age women are most likely to consider HT for vasomotor symptoms); mean participant age was 63 years.

b5.6 years' intervention plus postintervention follow‐up: post hoc analysis.

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings for the main comparison. Combined continuous hormone therapy (HT) compared with placebo for postmenopausal women
Summary of findings 2. Oestrogen‐only hormone therapy (HT) compared with placebo for postmenopausal women

Oestrogen‐only hormone therapy (HT) compared with placebo for perimenopausal and postmenopausal women

Population: relatively healthy postmenopausal women

Setting: community
Intervention: oestrogen‐only HT (moderate dose)
Comparison: placebo

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

No. of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Assumed risk

Corresponding risk

Placebo

Oestrogen‐only hormone therapy (HT)

Coronary events (MI or cardiac death)
Follow‐up: mean 7.1 yearsa

41 per 1000

38 per 1000
(32 to 46)

RR 0.94
(0.78 to 1.13)

10,739
(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderateb

Stroke
Follow‐up: mean 7.1 yearsa

24 per 1000

32 per 1000
(25 to 40)

RR 1.33
(1.06 to 1.67)

10,739
(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderateb

Venous thromboembolism (DVT or PE)

Follow up 1‐2 years

2 per 1000

5 per 1000

(2 to 10)

RR 2.22

(1.12 to 4.39)

10,739
(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderateb

Venous thromboembolism (DVT or PE):

CEE 0.625 mg (moderate dose)
Follow‐up: mean 7.1 yearsa

16 per 1000

21 per 1000
(16 to 28)

RR 1.32
(1.00 to 1.74)

10,739
(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderateb

Breast cancer
Follow‐up: mean 7.1 yearsa

25 per 1000

20 per 1000
(15 to 25)

RR 0.79
(0.61 to 1.01)

10,739
(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderateb

Gallbladder disease

Follow‐up: mean 7.1 yearsa

27 per 1000

47 per 1000

(38 to 60)

RR 1.78

(1.42 to 2.24)

8376
(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderateb

All clinical fractures
Follow‐up: mean 7.1 yearsa

141 per 1000

103 per 1000
(92 to 113)

RR 0.73
(0.65 to 0.80)

10,739
(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderateb

*The basis for the assumed risk is the mean risk in the control group. The corresponding risk (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
CI: confidence interval; RR: risk ratio.

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence.
High quality: Further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect.
Moderate quality: Further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate.
Low quality: Further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate.
Very low quality: We are very uncertain about the estimate.

aMedian use of CEE 5.9 years (LaCroix 2011).
bDowngraded one level for questionable applicability: Only 31% of study sample was 50‐59 years of age at baseline (i.e. the age women are most likely to consider HT for vasomotor symptoms); mean participant age was 63 years.

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings 2. Oestrogen‐only hormone therapy (HT) compared with placebo for postmenopausal women
Table 1. Adherence to treatment

Study

How defined

Assessment

HT group

Placebo group

Note

Barakat 2006

Discontinuation of therapy for longer than a month (or use of HT in placebo group)

Not stated

41.1% compliant for whole follow‐up period (median 3 years)

50.1% compliant for whole follow‐up period (median 3 years)

ELITE 2014

> 80% of prescribed treatment taken

Pill counts

Median > 98% over median of 5 years

Median > 98% over median of 5 years

EPAT 2001

Percentage of study medication consumed

Pill counts

Level of adherence 95% in the 87% of participants evaluated

Level of adherence 92% in the 92% of participants evaluated

EPHT 2006

> 80% of prescribed treatment taken

Number of collected and returned drugs and clinic reports

< 40% compliant at 3 years (estimated from graph)

< 30% compliant at 3 years (estimated from graph)

ERA 2000

Percentage of study medication taken

Pill counts

Level of adherence at 3.2 years:
Women on unopposed oestrogen, measured in 79% of participants only: 74%

Women on combined HRT, measured in 82% of participants only: 84%

Level of adherence at 3.2 years:
Measured in 80% of participants only: 86%

5 women initiated treatment outside study

ESPRIT 2002

"Regular tablet use"

Self‐report to family doctor. Self‐report to study nurse at 6 weeks and whenever in contact with trial staff

Number non‐adherent:
51% at 12 months
57% at 24 months

Number non‐adherent:
31% at 12 months
337% at 24 months

Triallists attribute higher non‐compliance in HRT group to prevalence of vaginal bleeding (reported by 56% in HRT group, 7% in controls)

EVTET 2000

Adherence not described

Ferenczy 2002

Adherence not described

Greenspan 2005

"Taking at least 80% of medication for at least 80% of entire study period"

Pill counts 6‐monthly

90% adherent at 3 years

94% adherent at 3 years

HERS 1998

Taking at least 80% of study medication

Pill counts

79% adherent at 1 year
70% adherent at 3 years

3% initiated treatment outside study

About 50% continued to use open‐label HRT during unblinded follow up (4.2‐6.8 years)

91% adherent at 1 year
81% non‐adherent at 3 years

Less than 10% used HRT during unblinded follow‐up (4.2‐6.8 years)

Proportion of women who reported taking study medication at 1 year:
HRT group: 82%
Placebo group: 91%

KEEPS 2012

Pill or patch counts, percentage used

Pill counts or weights

94%‐95% in all groups, among women who completed trial at 4 years

Mulnard 2000

Taking at least 80% of study medication

Plasma oestradiol level evaluation at each visit

Pill counts at each visit

No information given in publication

Nachtigall 1979

Adherence not described

Notelovitz 2002

Adherence not described

Obel 1993

Adherence not described

PEPI 1995

Taking at least 80% of study medication

Study diary reviewed at clinic visits
Pill counts

Number adherent at 36 months:
Women without uterus: 80%‐89% at 36 months

Women with uterus:
1. On unopposed CEE: 44%
2. On combined therapy: 80%

Number adherent at 36 months:
Women without uterus: 67%

Women with uterus: 76%

Tierney 2009

Taking at least 80% of study medication

Pill counts weekly

No information given in publication

WAVE 2002

Percentage of study medication taken

Pill counts

At 2.8 years:
Adherence 67% in the 78% of women analysed

At 2.8 years:
Adherence 70% in the 81% of women analysed

WEST 2001

Percentage of study medication taken

Self‐report to study nurse 3‐monthly
Computer chip in medication bottle records opening date and time
Pill counts

At 2.8 years:
Mean adherence including drop‐outs: 70%

Mean adherence excluding dropouts: 90%
35% discontinued medication by 2.8 years, of whom 1% initiated treatment outside study

At 2.8 years:
Mean adherence including dropouts: 74% over 2.8 years

Mean adherence excluding dropouts: 90%

24% discontinued medication
2% initiated treatment outside study

WHI 1998 (unopposed oestrogen arm)

Taking at least 80% of study medication. Temporary discontinuation (e.g. during surgery) permitted

Weighing of returned medication bottles

At 6.8 years, about 53.8% of women were non‐adherent

In addition, 5.7% of women had initiated hormone use through their own physician

At 6.8 years, about 53.8% of women were non‐adherent

In addition 9.1% of women had initiated hormone use through their own physician

WHI 1998 (combined arm)

Taking at least 80% of study medication. Temporary discontinuation (e.g. during surgery) permitted

Weighing of returned medication bottles

42% non‐adherent by 5.2 years

Of these, 6.2% initiated HRT outside study

10.7% crossed to active treatment by 5.2 years

Analyses censoring events 6 months after non‐adherence increased effect sizes

WISDOM 2007

Supply of study medication

Time at risk minus temporary interruptions and time after withdrawal from treatment

73% of time

86% of time

Women had a 3 month run‐in period on placebo. Only women who took 80% of tablets were randomised

Yaffe 2006

Supply of study medication

Patch counts: 75% use over 2 years counted as compliance

84%

84% of time

Women had a 1 week run‐in period.

Only compliant women were randomised.

Figuras y tablas -
Table 1. Adherence to treatment
Table 2. Other data

Study

Comparison

Instrument

Measure

Outcome

Intervention

Effect

KEEPS 2012

Oestrogen (CEE or oestradiol) + cyclic oral micronised progesterone 200 mg/d × 12 days per month

vs placebo (n = 275) for 48 months

Modified Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE)

Differences between intervention and placebo groups in mean rate of change over time

Global cognition

0.45 mg/d oral CEE (n = 230)

P = 0.178

0.05 mg/d transdermal oestradiol (n = 222)

P = 0.840

Figuras y tablas -
Table 2. Other data
Comparison 1. Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL)

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Death from any cause: oestrogen‐only HT Show forest plot

2

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

1.1 Oestradiol 1 mg (low dose) for 2 years

1

222

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.33 [0.01, 8.10]

1.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) for 7.1 years

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.03 [0.88, 1.20]

1.3 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) for 10.7 years (includes extra follow‐up)

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.02 [0.91, 1.13]

2 Death from any cause: combined HT Show forest plot

5

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

2.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for mean/median 1 year

2

20993

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.31 [0.76, 2.27]

2.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 2 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.05 [0.71, 1.56]

2.3 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + P (as per footnotes) for 3 years

3

18075

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.09 [0.81, 1.46]

2.4 CEE 0.045 mg (lowish dose) + 200 mg sequential progesterone for 4 years

1

505

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

3.58 [0.15, 87.57]

2.5 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 5.6 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.00 [0.84, 1.19]

2.6 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 7.9 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.06 [0.93, 1.20]

2.7 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg after 13.2 years (includes extended follow‐up)

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.00 [0.92, 1.08]

3 Death from any cause: oestrogen with or without sequential progesterone vaginal gel Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

3.1 Oestradiol 1 mg daily, with or without cyclic 4% vaginal progesterone gel

1

643

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.99 [0.06, 15.77]

4 Death from coronary heart disease: oestrogen‐only HT Show forest plot

2

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

4.1 Oestradiol 1 mg (low dose) daily for 2 years

1

222

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.33 [0.01, 8.10]

4.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) for 7.1 years

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.98 [0.69, 1.38]

4.3 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) after 10.7 years (includes extra follow‐up)

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.92 [0.71, 1.19]

5 Death from coronary heart disease: combined continuous HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

5.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for mean 5.6 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.06 [0.68, 1.66]

5.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for mean 7.9 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.99 [0.72, 1.38]

6 Death from coronary heart disease: combined sequential HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

6.1 1 mg 17‐B‐oestradiol (low dose) daily plus (3 days weekly) 0.35 mg norethindrone for 2 years

1

142

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.34 [0.01, 8.27]

7 Death from stroke: oestrogen‐only HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

7.1 CEE 0.625 mg (low dose) for 7.1 years

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.16 [0.58, 2.32]

8 Death from stroke: combined sequential HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

8.1 1 mg 17‐B‐oestradiol (low dose) daily plus (3 days weekly) 0.35 mg norethindrone for 2 years

1

142

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

3.08 [0.13, 74.46]

9 Death from stroke: combined continuous HT Show forest plot

2

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

9.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for median 1 year

1

4385

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

2.99 [0.12, 73.37]

9.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for mean 5.6 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.04 [0.46, 2.35]

10 Death from colorectal cancer: oestrogen‐only HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

10.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) for 7.1 years

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.28 [0.66, 2.46]

11 Death from breast cancer: combined continuous HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

12 Death from breast cancer: oestrogen‐only HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

12.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) after median 11.8 years (includes extra follow‐up)

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.38 [0.15, 0.98]

13 Death from colorectal cancer: combined continuous HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

13.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for mean 5.6 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.95 [0.40, 2.29]

13.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 7.1 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.01 [0.52, 1.96]

13.3 CEE 0.0625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg after 11.6 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.31 [0.80, 2.14]

14 Death from lung cancer: oestrogen‐only HT (moderate dose) Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

14.1 Death from lung cancer (non‐small cell or small cell)

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.05 [0.65, 1.70]

14.2 Death from non‐small cell lung cancer

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.88 [0.52, 1.50]

14.3 Death from small cell lung cancer

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

2.04 [0.62, 6.79]

15 Death from lung cancer: combined continuous HT (moderate dose) Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

15.1 Death from lung cancer (non‐small cell or small cell) at mean 7.9 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.74 [1.18, 2.55]

15.2 Death from non‐small cell lung cancer at mean 7.9 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.91 [1.24, 2.93]

15.3 Death from small cell lung cancer at mean 7.9 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.16 [0.48, 2.81]

15.4 Death from lung cancer (any type) at median 14 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.10 [0.88, 1.39]

16 Death from lung cancer: combined sequential HT (low dose oestrogen) Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

16.1 1 mg 17‐B‐oestradiol (low dose) daily plus (3 days weekly) 0.35 mg norethindrone for 2 years

1

142

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

3.08 [0.13, 74.46]

17 Death from any cancer: combined continuous HT Show forest plot

2

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

17.1 CEE O.625 mg daily (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 3 years

1

777

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

2.77 [0.11, 67.80]

17.2 CEE 0.625 mg daily (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for mean 5.2 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.16 [0.87, 1.53]

18 Coronary events (MI or cardiac death): oestrogen‐only HT Show forest plot

3

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

18.1 Oestradiol 1 mg (low dose) for 2 years

1

222

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.5 [0.05, 5.43]

18.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) for 3 years

1

349

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

2.98 [0.12, 72.72]

18.3 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) for mean 7.1 years

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.94 [0.78, 1.13]

18.4 CEE 0.65 (mod dose) for 10.7 years (includes extra follow‐up)

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.95 [0.82, 1.10]

19 Coronary events (MI or cardiac death): combined continuous HT Show forest plot

3

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

19.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for mean/median 1 year

2

20993

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.89 [1.15, 3.10]

19.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 2 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.49 [1.05, 2.12]

19.3 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 3 years

2

17385

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.45 [1.07, 1.98]

19.4 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for mean 5.6 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.17 [0.95, 1.44]

19.5 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg after 13.2 years (includes extended follow‐up)

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.08 [0.95, 1.22]

20 Coronary events (MI or cardiac death): combined sequential HT Show forest plot

3

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

20.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) daily + micronised progesterone 200 mg days 1‐12 for 3 years

1

352

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

4.89 [0.24, 101.09]

20.2 1 mg (low dose) 17‐B‐oestradiol daily plus (3 days weekly) 0.35 mg norethindrone for 2 years

1

142

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.34 [0.01, 8.27]

20.3 Oestradiol patch 0.05 mg (mod dose) + 200 mg sequential progesterone for 4 years

1

497

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

3.71 [0.15, 90.70]

21 Coronary events (MI or cardiac death): oestrogen with or without sequential progesterone vaginal gel Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

21.1 Oestradiol 1 mg daily, with or without cyclic 4% vaginal progesterone gel

1

643

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.33 [0.03, 3.16]

22 Stroke: unopposed oestrogen Show forest plot

2

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

22.1 Oestradiol 1 mg (low dose) for 2 years

1

222

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

3.0 [0.12, 72.86]

22.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) for mean 7.1 years

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.33 [1.06, 1.67]

22.3 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) for 10.7 years (includes extra follow‐up)

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.17 [0.97, 1.40]

23 Stroke: combined continuous HT Show forest plot

2

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

23.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 1 year

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.95 [0.49, 1.86]

23.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 2 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.31 [0.83, 2.06]

23.3 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 3 years

2

17385

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.46 [1.02, 2.09]

23.4 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for mean 5.6 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.39 [1.09, 1.77]

23.5 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for mean 7.9 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.29 [1.06, 1.56]

23.6 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg after 13.2 years (includes extended follow‐up)

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.15 [0.99, 1.33]

24 Stroke: combined sequential HT Show forest plot

2

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

24.1 1 mg (low dose) 17‐B‐oestradiol daily plus (3 days weekly) 0.35 mg norethindrone for 2 years

1

142

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

3.08 [0.13, 74.46]

24.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) daily + MPA 10 mg days 1‐12 for 3 years

1

348

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

3.0 [0.12, 73.14]

25 Stroke: combined sequential HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

25.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) daily + micronised progesterone 200 mg days 1‐12 for 3 years

1

352

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

2.93 [0.12, 71.51]

26 Transient ischaemic attack: oestrogen‐only HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

26.1 Oestradiol 1 mg (low dose) for 2 years

1

222

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

3.0 [0.12, 72.86]

27 Transient ischaemic attack: combined sequential HT Show forest plot

2

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

27.1 1 mg 17‐B‐oestradiol (low dose) daily plus (3 days weekly) 0.35 mg norethindrone for 2 years

1

142

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.03 [0.07, 16.13]

27.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) daily + MPA 10 mg days 1‐12 for 3 years

1

348

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

3.0 [0.12, 73.14]

28 Transient ischaemic attack: oestrogen with or without sequential progesterone vaginal gel Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

28.1 Oestradiol 1 mg daily,with or without cyclic 4% vaginal progesterone gel

1

643

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.50 [0.05, 5.44]

29 Stroke or transient ischaemic attack Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

29.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for mean/median 1 year

1

4385

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.73 [0.37, 1.46]

30 Venous thromboembolism (DVT or PE): oestrogen‐only HT Show forest plot

2

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

30.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) for up to 2 years

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

2.22 [1.12, 4.39]

30.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) for 3 years

1

349

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

6.96 [0.36, 133.75]

30.3 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) for 7.1 years

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.32 [1.00, 1.74]

30.4 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) for 10.7 years (includes extra follow‐up)

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.04 [0.84, 1.29]

31 Venous thromboembolism (DVT or PE): combined sequential HT Show forest plot

3

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

31.1 1 mg 17‐B‐oestradiol (low dose) daily plus (3 days weekly) 0.35 mg norethindrone for 2 years

1

142

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

3.08 [0.13, 74.46]

31.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) daily + MPA 10 mg days 1‐12 for 3 years

1

348

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

3.0 [0.12, 73.14]

31.3 CEE 0.045 mg (lowish dose) + 200 mg sequential progesterone for 4 years

1

505

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.40 [0.02, 9.73]

31.4 Oestradiol patch 0.05 mg (mod dose) + 200 mg sequential progesterone for 4 years

1

497

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.24 [0.08, 19.69]

32 Venous thromboembolism (DVT or PE): combined continuous HT Show forest plot

2

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

32.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for mean/median 1 year

2

20993

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

4.28 [2.49, 7.34]

32.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 2 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

2.98 [1.88, 4.71]

32.3 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 3 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

2.54 [1.73, 3.72]

32.4 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for mean 5.6 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

2.03 [1.55, 2.64]

32.5 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + 2.5 mg MPA for mean 7.9 years

1

16707

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.65 [1.32, 2.05]

33 Venous thromboembolism (DVT or PE): oestrogen with or without sequential progesterone vaginal gel Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

33.1 Oestradiol 1 mg daily, with or without cyclic 4% vaginal progesterone gel

1

643

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.49 [0.25, 8.83]

34 Global cognitive function Show forest plot

4

Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

34.1 Transdermal estradiol 0.014 mg (low dose): MMSE scores (baseline MMSE ≤ 90)

1

Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

‐1.21 [‐5.05, 2.63]

34.2 Transdermal estradiol 0.014 mg (low dose): MMSE scores (baseline MMSE > 90)

1

Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

‐0.3 [‐0.73, 0.13]

34.3 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) with or without 2.5 mg MPA for 3 years: MMSE scores

1

Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

‐0.1 [‐0.35, 0.15]

34.4 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) for mean 5.2 years: MMSE scores

1

Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

‐0.26 [‐0.52, 0.00]

34.5 Combined continuous CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for mean 4.2 years: MMSE scores

1

Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

‐0.18 [‐0.36, 0.00]

34.6 Oestrogen with or without sequential progesterone vaginal gel

1

Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

‐0.03 [‐0.21, 0.15]

35 Probable dementia Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

35.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) for 5.2 years

1

2947

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.52 [0.89, 2.59]

35.2 Combined continuous CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for mean 4.05 years

1

4532

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.97 [1.16, 3.33]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 1. Women without major health problems (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL)
Comparison 2. Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL)

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Death from any cause: oestrogen‐only HT Show forest plot

3

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

1.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) daily for 3 years (2.8‐3.2)

2

327

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.31 [0.53, 3.22]

1.2 Oestradiol valerate 2 mg (mod dose) for 2 years

1

1017

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.81 [0.51, 1.27]

2 Death from any cause: oestrogen‐only or combined sequential HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

2.1 Oestradiol 1 mg (low dose) daily (if no uterus) plus MPA 5 mg for 12 days a year (if uterus intact) for 2.8 years

1

664

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.14 [0.77, 1.67]

3 Death from any cause: combined continuous HT Show forest plot

3

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

3.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 2.8‐3.2 years

2

297

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.86 [0.28, 2.62]

3.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 4 years

1

2763

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.06 [0.84, 1.34]

3.3 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 4‐7 years UNBLINDED

1

2321

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.14 [0.90, 1.44]

4 Death from coronary heart disease: oestrogen‐only HT Show forest plot

3

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

4.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) daily for 2.8‐3.2 years

2

327

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.31 [0.36, 4.77]

4.2 Oestradiol valerate 2 mg (mod dose) for 2 years

1

1017

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.69 [0.40, 1.18]

5 Death from CHD: oestrogen‐only or combined sequential HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

5.1 Oestradiol 1 mg (low dose) daily (if no uterus) plus MPA 5 mg for 12 days a year (if uterus intact) for 2.8 years

1

664

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.82 [0.37, 1.81]

6 Death from CHD: combined continuous HT Show forest plot

3

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

6.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) daily + MPA 2.5 mg for 1 year

1

2763

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.55 [0.73, 3.29]

6.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) daily + MPA 2.5 mg for 2 years

1

2763

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.50 [0.90, 2.51]

6.3 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) daily + MPA 2.5 mg for 3 years (2.8‐3.2)

3

3060

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.30 [0.88, 1.90]

6.4 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) daily + MPA 2.5 mg for 4+ years (median 4.1)

1

2763

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.19 [0.85, 1.67]

6.5 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) daily + MPA 2.5 mg for 4‐6.8 years

1

2321

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.99 [0.71, 1.39]

7 Coronary event (MI or cardiac death): oestrogen‐only HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

7.1 Oestradiol valerate 2 mg (mod dose) for 2 years

1

1017

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.00 [0.72, 1.39]

8 Death from stroke: oestrogen‐only or combined sequential HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

8.1 Oestradiol 1 mg (low dose) daily (if no uterus) plus MPA 5 mg for 12 days a year (if uterus intact) for 2.8 years

1

664

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

2.91 [0.95, 8.93]

9 Death from cancer: combined continuous HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

9.1 CEE 0.625 mg daily (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 4+ years (median 4.1)

1

2763

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.88 [0.49, 1.57]

9.2 CEE 0.625 mg daily (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 4‐6.8 years UNBLINDED

1

2321

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.51 [0.86, 2.65]

10 Coronary event (MI or cardiac death): oestrogen‐only HT Show forest plot

2

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

10.1 CEE 0.625 (mod dose) daily for 2.8‐3.2 years

2

327

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.13 [0.54, 2.40]

11 Coronary event: oestrogen‐only or combined sequential HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

11.1 Oestradiol 1 mg (low dose) daily (if no uterus) plus MPA 5 mg for 12 days a year (if uterus intact) for 2.8 years

1

664

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.97 [0.57, 1.65]

12 Coronary event (MI or cardiac death): combined continuous HT Show forest plot

3

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

12.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 1 year

1

2763

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.50 [1.00, 2.25]

12.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 2 years

1

2763

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.20 [0.91, 1.58]

12.3 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 3 years (2.8‐3.2)

3

3060

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.07 [0.86, 1.33]

12.4 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for median 4.1 years

1

2763

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.99 [0.81, 1.19]

12.5 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 4‐6.8 years UNBLINDED

1

2321

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.01 [0.78, 1.29]

13 Stroke (first or recurrent): oestrogen‐only HT or combined sequential Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

13.1 Oestradiol 1 mg daily (low dose) (if no uterus) plus MPA 5 mg for 12 days a year (if uterus intact) for 2.8 years

1

664

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.09 [0.79, 1.51]

14 Stroke (first or recurrent): oestrogen‐only HT (mod dose) Show forest plot

2

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

14.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) daily for 2.8 years

1

122

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.69 [0.12, 3.98]

14.2 Oestradiol valerate 2 mg (mod dose) for 2 years

1

1017

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.64 [0.60, 4.47]

15 Stroke (first or recurrent): combined continuous HT (mod dose oestrogen) Show forest plot

3

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

15.1 Continuous oestradiol 2 mg (mod dose) + norethisterone acetate 1 mg for 1.3 years

1

140

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.32 [0.01, 7.82]

15.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA for 2.8 years

1

88

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

5.23 [0.26, 105.85]

15.3 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for median 4.1 years

1

2763

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.23 [0.90, 1.68]

15.4 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA for 4‐6.8 years UNBLINDED

1

2321

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.05 [0.71, 1.57]

16 Transient ischaemic attack: oestrogen‐only HT (mod dose) Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

16.1 Oestradiol valerate 2 mg (mod dose) for 2 years

1

1017

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.13 [0.54, 2.36]

17 Transient ischaemic attack: oestrogen‐only or combined sequential HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

17.1 Oestradiol 1 mg (low dose) daily (if no uterus) plus MPA 5 mg for 12 days a year (if uterus intact) for 2.8 years

1

664

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.16 [0.70, 1.94]

18 Transient ischaemic attack: combined continuous HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

18.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 4 years

1

2763

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.80 [0.51, 1.23]

18.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 4‐6.8 years UNBLINDED

1

2321

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.95 [0.49, 1.84]

19 Stroke or transient ischaemic attack: oestrogen‐only HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

19.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) daily for 3.2 years

1

205

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.88 [0.28, 2.78]

20 Stroke or transient ischaemic attack: combined continuous HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

20.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 3.2 years

1

209

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.01 [0.34, 3.03]

21 VTE (first or recurrent PE or DVT): oestrogen‐only HT Show forest plot

3

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

21.1 Oestradiol valerate 2 mg (mod dose) for 2 years

1

1017

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.23 [0.33, 4.55]

21.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) daily for 2.8‐3.2 years

2

327

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.64 [0.44, 6.17]

22 VTE (first or recurrent PE or DVT): combined continuous HT Show forest plot

4

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

22.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 1 year

1

2763

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

3.26 [1.06, 9.96]

22.2 Continuous oestradiol 2 mg (mod dose) + norethisterone acetate 1 mg for 1.3 years

1

140

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

6.80 [0.86, 53.85]

22.3 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 2 years

1

2763

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

3.51 [1.42, 8.66]

22.4 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 3 years (2.8‐3.2)

3

3060

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

3.01 [1.50, 6.04]

22.5 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for median 4.1 years

1

2763

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

2.62 [1.39, 4.94]

22.6 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 4‐7 years UNBLINDED

1

2321

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.37 [0.63, 2.98]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 2. Women with cardiovascular disease (selected outcomes: death, CVD, cognition, QOL)
Comparison 3. Women with dementia

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Worsening of dementia on treatment (by ADCS‐CGIC score): oestrogen‐only HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

1.1 Unopposed CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) or 1.25 mg (high dose) daily for 1 year

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.0 [0.0, 0.0]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 3. Women with dementia
Comparison 4. Women post surgery for early‐stage endometrial cancer (selected outcomes: death, recurrence)

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Death from any cause: oestrogen‐only HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

1.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) daily for median 3 years

1

1236

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.37 [0.77, 2.45]

2 Death from endometrial cancer: oestrogen‐only HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

2.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) daily for median 3 years

1

1236

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.25 [0.34, 4.63]

3 Death from CHD: oestrogen‐only HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

3.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) daily for median 3 years

1

1236

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.25 [0.34, 4.63]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 4. Women post surgery for early‐stage endometrial cancer (selected outcomes: death, recurrence)
Comparison 5. Women hospitalised with chronic illness (selected outcomes: death, CVD, VTE)

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 All‐cause death: combined sequential HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

1.1 CEE 2.5 mg (high dose) daily + MPA 10 mg for 7 days each cycle

1

168

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.43 [0.11, 1.60]

2 Myocardial infarction: combined sequential HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

2.1 CEE 2.5 mg (high dose) daily + MPA 10 mg for 7 days each cycle

1

168

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.33 [0.04, 3.14]

3 Venous thromboembolism (DVT or PE): combined sequential HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

3.1 CEE 2.5 mg (high dose) daily + MPA 10 mg for 7 days each cycle

1

168

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.33 [0.01, 8.07]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 5. Women hospitalised with chronic illness (selected outcomes: death, CVD, VTE)
Comparison 6. All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures)

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Breast cancer: oestrogen‐only HT Show forest plot

7

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

1.1 Oestrogen only HRT patch 0.025 (low dose) mg daily for 2 years

1

176

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

2.93 [0.12, 71.04]

1.2 Oestradiol 1 mg (low dose) for 2 years

1

222

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.33 [0.01, 8.10]

1.3 Oestradiol valerate 2 mg (mod dose) for 2 years

1

1017

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.98 [0.25, 3.91]

1.4 Oestradiol patch 0.075 mg (high dose) for 2 years

1

176

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

2.93 [0.12, 71.04]

1.5 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) for 2.8‐3.2 years

3

676

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

2.05 [0.38, 11.04]

1.6 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) for 7.1 years

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.79 [0.61, 1.01]

1.7 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) after 10.7 years (includes extra follow‐up)

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.78 [0.63, 0.96]

1.8 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) after 13 years (includes extra follow‐up)

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.80 [0.65, 0.97]

2 Breast cancer: oestrogen‐only or combined HT Show forest plot

1

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

2.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) with or without 2.5 mg MPA for 3 years

1

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.0 [0.0, 0.0]

3 Breast cancer: combined continuous HT Show forest plot

5

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

3.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for mean/median 1 year

2

23182

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.52 [0.28, 0.96]

3.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 2 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.71 [0.47, 1.08]

3.3 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 2.8‐3.4 years

3

17733

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.85 [0.62, 1.18]

3.4 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 4 years

1

2763

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.36 [0.82, 2.27]

3.5 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 5.6 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.27 [1.03, 1.56]

3.6 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 4‐7 years unblinded

1

2321

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.08 [0.52, 2.23]

3.7 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 7.9 years

1

16607

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.27 [1.07, 1.52]

3.8 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg after 11 years (includes extra follow‐up)

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.25 [1.08, 1.45]

3.9 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg after 13.2 years (includes extended follow up)

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.28 [1.11, 1.47]

4 Breast cancer: combined sequential HT Show forest plot

3

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

4.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) daily + MPA 10 mg days 1‐12 for 3 years

1

348

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

2.0 [0.18, 21.85]

4.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) daily + micronised progesterone 200 mg days 1‐12 for 3 years

1

352

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

3.91 [0.44, 34.64]

4.3 CEE 0.045 mg (lowish dose) + 200 mg sequential progesterone for 4 years

1

505

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.79 [0.30, 10.64]

4.4 Oestradiol patch 0.05 mg (mod dose) + 200 mg sequential progesterone for 4 years

1

497

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.86 [0.31, 11.02]

4.5 CEE 2.5 mg daily (high dose) + MPA 10 mg for 7 days each cycle for 10 years

1

168

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.11 [0.01, 2.03]

5 Breast cancer: oestrogen with or without sequential progesterone vaginal gel Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

5.1 Oestradiol 1 mg daily, with or without cyclic 4% vaginal progesterone gel

1

643

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.24 [0.50, 3.10]

6 Colorectal cancer: oestrogen‐only HT Show forest plot

2

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

6.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) for 3 years

1

349

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.33 [0.01, 8.08]

6.2 CEE 0.625 (mod dose) for 7.1 years

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.15 [0.81, 1.63]

6.3 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) for 10.7 years (includes extra follow‐up)

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.11 [0.82, 1.49]

7 Colorectal cancer: oestrogen‐only or combined HT Show forest plot

1

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

7.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) with or without 2.5 mg MPA for 3 years

1

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.0 [0.0, 0.0]

8 Colorectal cancer: combined continuous HT Show forest plot

4

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

8.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for mean/median 1 year

2

20993

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.68 [0.32, 1.42]

8.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 2 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.83 [0.46, 1.50]

8.3 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 3 years

2

16956

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.81 [0.49, 1.34]

8.4 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + 2.5 mg MPA for 4 years

1

2763

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.69 [0.32, 1.48]

8.5 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for mean 5.6 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.64 [0.44, 0.91]

8.6 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + 2.5 mg MPA for 4‐6.8 years UNBLINDED

1

2321

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.81 [0.46, 1.44]

8.7 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg after 7.9 years (includes extended follow‐up)

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.76 [0.57, 1.01]

8.8 CEE 0.0625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg after 11.6 years (includes extended follow‐up)

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.78 [0.61, 0.99]

8.9 CEE 0.0625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg after 13.2 years (includes extended follow‐up)

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.80 [0.63, 1.01]

9 Colorectal cancer: combined sequential HT Show forest plot

2

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

9.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) daily + MPA 10 mg days 1‐12 for 3 years

1

348

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.33 [0.01, 8.13]

9.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) daily + micronised progesterone 200 mg days 1‐12 for 3 years

1

352

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.33 [0.01, 7.95]

9.3 CEE 2.5 mg (high dose) daily + MPA 10 mg for 7 days each cycle for 10 years

1

168

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.0 [0.06, 15.73]

10 Colorectal cancer: oestrogen with or without sequential progesterone vaginal gel Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

10.1 Oestradiol 1 mg daily, with or without cyclic 4% vaginal progesterone gel

1

643

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.49 [0.25, 8.83]

11 Lung cancer: oestrogen‐only HT (moderate dose) Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

11.1 Any lung cancer (non‐small cell or small cell) at 7.1 years

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.04 [0.73, 1.48]

12 Lung cancer: combined continuous HT (mod dose oestrogen) Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

12.1 Any lung cancer at 5.6 years (non‐small cell or small cell)

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.06 [0.77, 1.46]

12.2 Any lung cancer at 7.9 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.22 [0.92, 1.62]

12.3 Any lung cancer after median 14 years (includes extended follow‐up)

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.13 [0.93, 1.38]

13 Lung cancer: combined sequential HT Show forest plot

1

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

13.1 17‐B‐oestradiol 1 mg (low dose) daily plus (3 days weekly) 0.35 mg norethindrone for 2 years

1

142

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

3.13 [0.13, 78.13]

14 Endometrial cancer: oestrogen‐only HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

14.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) for 3‐3.2 years

1

238

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.33 [0.01, 8.10]

15 Endometrial cancer: combined continuous HT (mode dose oestrogen) Show forest plot

3

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

15.1 CEE 0.625 mg + MPA 2.5 mg for 1 year

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.95 [0.13, 6.76]

15.2 CEE 0.625 mg + MPA 2.5 mg for 2 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.95 [0.31, 2.95]

15.3 CEE 0.625 mg + MPA 2.5 mg for 3‐3.2 years

2

16847

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.80 [0.35, 1.82]

15.4 CEE 0.625 mg + MPA 2.5 mg for 4 years

1

2763

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.40 [0.08, 2.06]

15.5 CEE 0.625 mg + MPA 2.5 mg for 5.6 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.86 [0.51, 1.44]

15.6 CEE 0.625 mg + MPA 2.5 mg for 4‐6.8 years UNBLINDED

1

2321

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.14 [0.01, 2.78]

15.7 CEE 0.625 + MPS 2.5 mg for 7.9 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.81 [0.54, 1.20]

15.8 CEE 0.625 mg + MPA 2.5 mg after median 13 years (includes extended follow‐up)

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.66 [0.48, 0.90]

16 Endometrial cancer: combined sequential HT Show forest plot

4

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

16.1 17‐B‐oestradiol 1 mg (low dose) + dydrogesterone 5 mg days 14‐28 for 2 years

1

163

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.90 [0.08, 45.95]

16.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) daily + micronised progesterone 200 mg days 1‐12 for 3 years

1

239

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.33 [0.01, 8.03]

16.3 Oestradiol 2 mg (mod dose) + dihydrogesterone 20 mg for 2 years

1

159

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

3.30 [0.16, 67.59]

16.4 CEE 0.045 mg (lowish dose) + 200 mg sequential progesterone for 4 years

1

505

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

5.97 [0.29, 123.81]

16.5 Oestradiol patch 0.05 mg (mod dose) + 200 mg sequential progesterone for 4 years

1

497

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

3.71 [0.15, 90.70]

16.6 CEE 2.5 mg (high dose) daily + MPA 10 mg for 7 days each cycle for 10 years

1

168

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.33 [0.01, 8.07]

17 Recurrent endometrial cancer: oestrogen‐only HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

17.1 Oestrogen (type and dose not stated) for median 3 years

1

1236

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.17 [0.54, 2.50]

18 Ovarian cancer: combined continuous HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

18.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 5.6 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.43 [0.76, 2.69]

18.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg after 13.2 years (includes extended follow‐up)

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.23 [0.82, 1.85]

19 Ovarian cancer: oestrogen with or without sequential progesterone vaginal gel Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

19.1 Oestradiol 1 mg daily, with or without cyclic 4% vaginal progesterone gel

1

643

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.33 [0.01, 8.08]

20 Gallbladder disease requiring surgery: oestrogen‐only HT Show forest plot

3

8930

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.75 [1.40, 2.19]

20.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) for 3‐3.2 years

2

554

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.77 [0.17, 3.39]

20.2 CEE O.625 mg (mod dose) for 7.1 years

1

8376

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.78 [1.42, 2.24]

21 Gallbladder disease requiring surgery: combined continuous HT Show forest plot

4

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

21.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + 2.5 mg MPA for 3 years

2

557

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

2.01 [0.61, 6.59]

21.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + 2.5 mg MPA for 4 years

1

2253

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.35 [0.98, 1.85]

21.3 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + 2.5 mg MPA for mean 5.6 years

1

14203

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.64 [1.30, 2.06]

22 Gallbladder disease requiring surgery: combined sequential HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

22.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) daily + MPA 10 mg days 1‐12 for 3 years

1

348

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

2.0 [0.37, 10.78]

22.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) daily + micronised progesterone 200 mg days 1‐12 for 3 years

1

352

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.47 [0.25, 8.67]

23 Hip fractures: oestrogen‐only HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

23.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) for 7.1 years

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.66 [0.46, 0.95]

23.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) for 10.7 years (includes extra follow‐up)

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.92 [0.71, 1.18]

23.3 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) after 13.2 years (includes extended follow‐up)

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.93 [0.74, 1.17]

24 Hip fractures: oestrogen‐only or combined sequential HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

24.1 Oestradiol 1 mg (low dose) daily (if no uterus) plus MPA 5 mg for 12 days a year (if uterus intact) for 2.8 years

1

664

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.62 [0.27, 1.42]

25 Hip fractures: combined continuous HT Show forest plot

3

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

25.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for mean/median 1 year

2

20993

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.64 [0.26, 1.57]

25.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 2 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.61 [0.31, 1.18]

25.3 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 3 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.70 [0.42, 1.17]

25.4 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 4 years

1

2763

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.16 [0.55, 2.42]

25.5 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 5.6 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.67 [0.47, 0.96]

25.6 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 4‐6.8 years UNBLINDED

1

2321

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

2.10 [1.06, 4.16]

25.7 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + 2.5 mg MPA for 7.9 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.77 [0.60, 0.99]

25.8 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + 2.5 mg MPA after 13.2 years (includes extended follow‐up)

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.82 [0.69, 0.97]

26 Hip fractures: combined sequential HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

26.1 17‐B‐oestradiol 1 mg (low dose) daily plus (3 days weekly) 0.35 mg norethindrone for 2 years

1

142

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.34 [0.01, 8.27]

27 Vertebral fractures: oestrogen‐only HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

27.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) for 7.1 years

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.64 [0.44, 0.94]

28 Vertebral fractures: combined continuous HT Show forest plot

2

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

28.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 4 years

1

2763

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.74 [0.37, 1.47]

28.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for mean 5.6 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.68 [0.49, 0.96]

28.3 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 4‐6.8 years UNBLINDED

1

2321

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.10 [0.49, 2.48]

28.4 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for mean 7.9 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.78 [0.60, 1.01]

29 All clinical fractures: oestrogen‐only or combined sequential HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

29.1 Oestradiol 1 mg (low dose) daily (if no uterus) plus MPA 5 mg for 12 days a year (if uterus intact) for 2.8 years

1

664

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.23 [0.68, 2.19]

30 All clinical fractures: oestrogen‐only HT (moderate dose) Show forest plot

3

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

30.1 Oestradiol valerate 2 mg (mod dose) for 2 years

1

1017

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.60 [0.29, 1.26]

30.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) daily for 3.2 years

1

205

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.42 [0.17, 1.04]

30.3 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) for 7.1 years

1

10739

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.73 [0.65, 0.80]

31 All clinical fractures: oestrogen‐only or combined HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

31.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) with or without 2.5 mg MPA for 3 years

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.0 [0.0, 0.0]

32 All clinical fractures: combined continuous HT Show forest plot

5

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

32.1 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for median 1 year

1

4385

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.69 [0.46, 1.02]

32.2 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 3.2‐3.4 years

2

986

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.52 [0.32, 0.87]

32.3 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for mean 5.6 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.78 [0.71, 0.86]

32.4 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 4 years

1

2763

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.95 [0.76, 1.18]

32.5 CEE 0.625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for 4‐6.8 years UNBLINDED

1

2321

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.23 [0.91, 1.65]

32.6 CEE 0.0625 mg (mod dose) + MPA 2.5 mg for mean 7.9 years

1

16608

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.82 [0.76, 0.89]

33 All clinical fractures: combined sequential HT Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

33.1 17‐B‐oestradiol 1 mg (low dose) daily plus (3 days weekly) 0.35 mg norethindrone for 2 years

1

142

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.44 [0.12, 1.64]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 6. All women (selected outcomes: cancer, cholecystic disease, fractures)