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生殖補助医療を受ける女性に対するGM‐CSF(顆粒球マクロファージコロニー刺激因子)の培養液への添加

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Background

GM‐CSF (granulocyte macrophage colony‐stimulating factor) is a growth factor that is used to supplement culture media in an effort to improve clinical outcomes for those undergoing assisted reproduction. It is worth noting that the use of GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media often adds a further cost to the price of an in vitro fertilisation (IVF) cycle. The purpose of this review was to assess the available evidence from randomised controlled trials (RCTs) on the effectiveness and safety of GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media.

Objectives

To assess the effectiveness and safety of GM‐CSF‐supplemented human embryo culture media versus culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF, in women or couples undergoing assisted reproduction.

Search methods

We used standard methodology recommended by Cochrane. We searched the Cochrane Gynaecology and Fertility Group Trials Register, CENTRAL, MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, LILACS, DARE, OpenGrey, PubMed, Google Scholar, and two trials registers on 15 October 2019, checked references of relevant papers and communicated with experts in the field.

Selection criteria

We included RCTs comparing GM‐CSF (including G‐CSF (granulocyte colony‐stimulating factor))‐supplemented embryo culture media versus any other non‐GM‐CSF‐supplemented embryo culture media (control) in women undergoing assisted reproduction.

Data collection and analysis

We used standard methodological procedures recommended by Cochrane. The primary review outcomes were live birth and miscarriage rate. The secondary outcomes were clinical pregnancy, multiple gestation, preterm birth, birth defects, aneuploidy, and stillbirth rates. We assessed the quality of the evidence using GRADE methodology. We undertook one comparison, GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media versus culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF, for those undergoing assisted reproduction.

Main results

We included five studies, the data for three of which (1532 participants) were meta‐analysed. We are uncertain whether GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media makes any difference to the live‐birth rate when compared to using conventional culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF (odds ratio (OR) 1.19, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.93 to 1.52, 2 RCTs, N = 1432, I2 = 69%, low‐quality evidence). The evidence suggests that if the rate of live birth associated with conventional culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF was 22%, the rate with the use of GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media would be between 21% and 30%.

We are uncertain whether GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media makes any difference to the miscarriage rate when compared to using conventional culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF (OR 0.75, 95% CI 0.41 to 1.36, 2 RCTs, N = 1432, I2 = 0%, low‐quality evidence). This evidence suggests that if the miscarriage rate associated with conventional culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF was 4%, the rate with the use of GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media would be between 2% and 5%.

Furthermore, we are uncertain whether GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media makes any difference to the following outcomes: clinical pregnancy (OR 1.16, 95% CI 0.93 to 1.45, 3 RCTs, N = 1532 women, I2 = 67%, low‐quality evidence); multiple gestation (OR 1.24, 95% CI 0.73 to 2.10, 2 RCTs, N = 1432, I2 = 35%, very low‐quality evidence); preterm birth (OR 1.20, 95% CI 0.70 to 2.04, 2 RCTs, N = 1432, I2 = 76%, very low‐quality evidence); birth defects (OR 1.33, 95% CI 0.59 to 3.01, I2 = 0%, 2 RCTs, N = 1432, low‐quality evidence); and aneuploidy (OR 0.34, 95% CI 0.03 to 3.26, I2 = 0%, 2 RCTs, N = 1432, low‐quality evidence). We were unable to undertake analysis of stillbirth, as there were no events in either arm of the two studies that assessed this outcome.

Authors' conclusions

Due to the very low to low quality of the evidence, we cannot be certain whether GM‐CSF is any more or less effective than culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF for clinical outcomes that reflect effectiveness and safety. It is important that independent information on the available evidence is made accessible to those considering using GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media. The claims from marketing information that GM‐CSF has a positive effect on pregnancy rates are not supported by the available evidence presented here; further well‐designed, properly powered RCTs are needed to lend certainty to the evidence.

PICO

Population
Intervention
Comparison
Outcome

El uso y la enseñanza del modelo PICO están muy extendidos en el ámbito de la atención sanitaria basada en la evidencia para formular preguntas y estrategias de búsqueda y para caracterizar estudios o metanálisis clínicos. PICO son las siglas en inglés de cuatro posibles componentes de una pregunta de investigación: paciente, población o problema; intervención; comparación; desenlace (outcome).

Para saber más sobre el uso del modelo PICO, puede consultar el Manual Cochrane.

生殖補助医療を受ける女性に対する成長因子添加培養液

レビューの論点

成長因子GM‐CSF(顆粒球マクロファージコロニー刺激因子)を含む培養液は妊娠・生産の可能性を向上させ、流産・双胎妊娠・品胎(三つ子)妊娠・早産・先天奇形・遺伝的問題・死産のリスクを低下させるだろうか?

背景

生殖補助医療は女性の卵子と男性の精子を体外で結合させて受精させる過程を含む。受精卵は胚となり女性の子宮に戻されるまで、培養液と呼ばれる溶液に入れられ成長を促される。GM‐CSFを添加された培養液は不妊治療施設で広く使用されており、体外受精(IVF)周期の治療成功率を向上させるための「アドオン(追加サービス)」として提供されることが多い。GM‐CSF添加培養液を使用することで、IVFはより高価になる可能性がある。

研究の特性

エビデンスは2019年10月現在のものである。IVFまたは卵細胞質内精子注入法(ICSI、精子を卵子に注入するIVFの手法)を受けている女性1532例を含む3つのランダム化比較試験(参加者がランダムに2種類以上の治療群に振り分けられる試験)からデータを得た。生殖補助医療を受けている人を対象として、GM‐CSF添加培養液と非添加培養液とを比較した。

レビューでわかったこと

GM‐CSF含有培養液とGM‐CSFを含まない培養液とを比較して、生産率に差があるか否か不確かであることが、低い質のエビデンスで示された。これは、GM‐CSFを含まない培養液に関連する生産率が22%であるとき、GM‐CSF含有培養液の生産率が21%から30%の間であることを示唆している。また、GM‐CSF含有培養液とGM‐CSFを含まない培養液とを比較して流産に差があるか否か不確かであることも、低い質のエビデンスで示された。これは、GM‐CSFを含まない培養液に関連する流産率が4%であるとき、GM‐CSF含有培養液の流産率が2%から5%の間であることを示唆している。GM‐CSF含有培養液とGM‐CSFを含まない培養液とを比較して、妊娠、先天奇形、赤ちゃんの遺伝的問題について差があるか否か不確かであることが質の低いエビデンスで、および双胎妊娠や品胎(三つ子)妊娠、早産について差があるか否か不確かであることが非常に質の低いエビデンスで示された。2件の試験では死産を調査していたが、いずれにも死産が発生しなかったためこのアウトカムを分析することは出来なかった。

全体的な結論

エビデンスの質が低い、または非常に低かったため、GM‐CSFの添加が添加しない培養液と比べてより有効か有効でないか、または有害かを明らかにすることはできなかった。GM‐CSF添加培養液を使用することを検討している人が、エビデンスに基づく独立した情報を利用可能になることが重要である。結論の確実性を高めるために、より大規模な研究が必要である。

Authors' conclusions

Implications for practice

As is the case with most in vitro fertilisation (IVF) add‐ons, granulocyte macrophage colony‐stimulating factor (GM‐CSF)‐supplemented culture media is already widely in use in many fertility clinics across the world, well before the arrival of this systematic review of randomised trials. Despite GM‐CSF being available commercially for a number of years, there are still only five randomised trials, only three of which have data to extract for meta‐analysis, and two of which are extremely small and not adequately powered to detect a meaningful clinical differences between groups. It is also notable that two of the three studies included in quantitative analysis were sponsored by industry; however, the risk of bias in these studies appears to be low (Figure 2).

The findings of this review reveal that overall there is very low‐ to low‐quality evidence to suggest that GM‐CSF supplemented culture media is no more or less effective or harmful than culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF for the following outcomes: live birth, miscarriage, clinical pregnancy, multiple gestation, preterm birth, birth defects, and aneuploidy. The evidence for stillbirth was also low quality, but we were unable to undertake meta‐analysis as there were no events in either arm of the studies.

Given these findings, clinicians, embryologists and women/couples considering using GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media during an assisted reproduction cycle should be aware that the available evidence neither supports, nor opposes its use. It would appear important that independent information on the available evidence is made accessible to those considering using GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media, particularly in the face of strong marketing information. GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media is marketed as being recommended for those who have experienced recurrent clinical and biochemical pregnancy loss; recurrent implantation failure; unexplained infertility; and advanced maternal age (Cooper Surgical 2020a). However, the available evidence from randomised controlled trials (RCTs) only includes two small studies (N = 200), which included women aged 40 or over, or women who had experienced recurrent miscarriage or implantation failure (Rose 2020; Sbracia 2014). The claim that GM‐CSF has a positive effect on implantation and pregnancy rates is simply not supported by the available evidence presented here (Cooper Surgical 2020a).

Implications for research

The question of whether GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media has any advantage over culture media not supplemented by GM‐CSF urgently requires further high‐quality, independent, adequately powered RCTs to add to this systematic review. The ideal RCT would pre‐register a protocol, recruit women/couples attending for assisted reproduction, of all ages and backgrounds, with all types of infertility, undergoing IVF or intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI). It would be powered highly enough to be able to detect whether particular subgroups would benefit from this type of culture media, for example those with previous failed IVF attempts. Women, clinicians, embryologists, and those assessing outcomes would be blinded to the intervention. After randomisation, women would remain in the group to which they had been allocated for the sake of data analysis, regardless of whether they had received the allocated intervention, or whether they dropped out, in order to maintain the effects of randomisation. Data would be analysed using intention‐to‐treat, maintaining the denominator as all women who were randomised to that arm of the study, for all outcomes, including pregnancy, miscarriage, and live birth. The study would be registered on a trials registry beforehand, and the protocol published, including which statistical analyses were planned. The study would ideally be designed and conducted, and data analysed by independent researchers, who hold equipoise regarding the efficacy of GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media.

Summary of findings

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Summary of findings 1. GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media compared to culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF for women undergoing assisted reproduction

GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media compared to culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF for women undergoing assisted reproduction

Patient or population: women undergoing assisted reproduction
Setting: fertility clinics
Intervention: GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media
Comparison: culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF

Outcomes

Anticipated absolute effects* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

№ of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Risk with culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF

Risk with GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media

Live birth or ongoing pregnancy

Study population

OR 1.19
(0.93 to 1.52)

1432
(2 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW 1 2

223 per 1000

254 per 1000
(210 to 303)

Miscarriage

Study population

OR 0.75
(0.41 to 1.36)

1432
(2 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW 3

36 per 1000

27 per 1000
(15 to 48)

Clinical pregnancy

Study population

OR 1.16
(0.93 to 1.45)

1532
(3 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW 1 4

263 per 1000

293 per 1000
(250 to 342)

Multiple gestation

Study population

OR 1.24
(0.73 to 2.10)

1432
(2 RCTs)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VERY LOW 1 3

36 per 1000

44 per 1000
(26 to 72)

Preterm birth

Study population

OR 1.20
(0.70 to 2.04)

1432
(2 RCTs)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VERY LOW 1 3

36 per 1000

43 per 1000
(25 to 70)

Birth defects

Study population

OR 1.33
(0.59 to 3.01)

1432
(2 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW3

14 per 1000

18 per 1000
(8 to 40)

Aneuploidy

Study population

OR 0.34
(0.03 to 3.26)

1432
(2 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW 5

3 per 1000

1 per 1000
(0 to 9)

Stillbirth

Study population

1432
(2 RCTs)

See comment6

See comment6

*The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).

CI: confidence interval; OR: odds ratio; RCT: randomised controlled trial

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: We are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect.
Moderate quality: We are moderately confident in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different.
Low quality: Our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect.
Very low quality: We have very little confidence in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect.

1Downgraded once for inconsistency, as the included studies report differing directions of point estimates: one supports the intervention, and one does not support the intervention.
2Downgraded once for imprecision as broad confidence intervals and a low number of included studies, at least one of which is very small.
3Downgraded twice for imprecision as very broad confidence intervals and a low number of included studies.
4Downgraded once for risk of bias. One included study had an unclear risk of selection bias, performance bias, and detection bias due to limited information available from published abstract.
5Downgraded twice for imprecision as included studies had so few reported incidences of aneuploidy that the point estimate is not precise and has very broad confidence intervals.

6No stillbirths occurred in either arm of the included studies, therefore the result is inestimable.

Background

Description of the condition

Assisted reproduction provides the opportunity to have a family for those unable to become pregnant spontaneously for a variety of reasons, including; infertility; those in single‐sex relationships; single women; and those using surrogates. Assisted reproduction is often referred to as a 'cycle', reflecting its stepwise process. It involves a series of procedures from ovarian stimulation and oocyte collection, to mixing the gametes, culturing and assessing the quality of ensuing embryos, and replacing embryos into the uterus of the woman. The success of assisted reproduction is a culmination of all the elements of the cycle, and is in part due to the ability to culture human embryos in vitro using culture media capable of supporting the developing embryo. GM‐CSF (granulocyte macrophage colony‐stimulating factor)‐supplemented culture media was developed in an effort to improve this particular part of the cycle, leading to better outcomes for those undergoing in vitro fertilisation (IVF).

GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media can be described as an assisted reproduction 'add‐on'. Add‐ons are optional extras to an assisted reproduction cycle, which are sometimes novel interventions or therapies that have shown some promise in initial studies, or have been around for many years, but have not yet been proven to be effective through randomised controlled trials (RCTs). GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media is one such add‐on, often provided at an additional cost to the IVF cycle (Heneghan 2016).

For the purposes of this review, any culture media containing GM‐CSF may be compared in a randomised controlled trial (RCT) against any culture media not containing GM‐CSF. We addressed the efficacy and safety of GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media when compared to culture media not containing GM‐CSF. The primary outcomes were live birth and miscarriage.

Description of the intervention

GM‐CSF (also known as colony‐stimulating factor (CSF)‐2) and granulocyte colony‐stimulating factor (G‐CSF or CSF‐3) belong to the CSF family. They are a group of cytokines known for their role in haemopoietic cell proliferation, differentiation, and activation, as well as being an apoptosis suppressor (Rahmati 2015). Their involvement in reproduction was initially investigated in the 1970s in human placenta‐conditioned media (Burgess 1977). Amongst the CSF group, GM‐CSF is the most widely studied, and its extensive research on assisted reproduction has led to the development of new embryo culture media supplemented with human recombinant GM‐CSF. EmbryoGen and BlastGen are examples of commercially available sequential culture media containing GM‐CSF.

GM‐CSF is a cytokine that is produced by the oestrogen‐primed epithelial cells in the female reproductive tract (Robertson 1992). It is maximally expressed at the luminal and glandular epithelial cells of the endometrium in the secretory phase, and in the lining of the fallopian tube during the late proliferative and early mid‐secretory phases of the menstrual cycle (Giacomini 1995; Zhao 1994). Later during implantation, GM‐CSF is produced by the chorionic villi cells and the maternal decidua (Jokhi 1994). In response to local inflammatory stimuli, GM‐CSF acts by stimulating and activating mature monocytes, granulocytes, macrophages, and dendritic cells which promote chemotactic, phagocytic, and cytotoxic actions as well as antigen‐presenting properties needed in the immunomodulation of early pregnancy and embryogenesis (Baldwin 1992; Robertson 2007).

How the intervention might work

The control of the immunological environment during early pregnancy involves a series of autocrine and paracrine signalling between the maternal fetal interface (Robertson 1994; Robertson 2007; Wegmann 1992). Several studies have suggested an association between recurrent pregnancy loss and infertility and the dysregulation of growth factors and cytokines (Hambartsoumian 1998; Torry 2007; Vuorela 2000). In studies of genetically GM‐CSF‐deficient mice, there was a reduced inner cell mass observed which resulted in delayed blastocyst formation, increased fetal resorption in late gestation, decreased fetal size, and greater postnatal mortality (Robertson 1999). Other murine studies have also supported that GM‐CSF is crucial in optimal fetal growth and survival, as animal models lacking GM‐CSF expression experience more pregnancy losses and impaired long‐term survival of the newborn animals (Savion 2002; Seymour 1997).

The initial studies of growth factor supplementation of culture media are limited mostly to animal models, but have largely revealed improved blastocyst development rates, Lighten 1998; Sjöblom 1992; Sjöblom 1999; Spanos 2000; Yu 2012, and increased implantation and birth rates (Block 2003; Lim 2006; Roudebush 2004; Sjöblom 2005). The use of growth factor supplementation in human culture media has been limited, as it is costly to produce, and there are concerns about adverse effects (Richter 2008). Most growth factors are anti‐apoptotic, that is they inhibit programmed cell death. If not controlled, adverse effects may occur, as apoptosis is a crucial phenomenon in embryogenesis. Inhibition of apoptosis may lead to abnormal embryo development such as the well‐documented 'large offspring syndrome' that occurs in mice models (Lazzari 2002; Young 2001).

Early studies on human embryos have revealed that those cultured in GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media had more viable inner cell masses and reduced apoptosis. This could potentially contribute to improved fetal viability (Sjöblom 1999; Sjöblom 2002). Supplementation of culture media with GM‐CSF is reported to be safe for human embryos; there are no increases or changes in ploidy rates or embryonic chromosomes (Agerholm 2010). Furthermore, initial RCTs in women revealed an improvement in the clinical pregnancy and live‐birth rates of those women randomised to culture of their embryos in GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media (Mignini 2013; Sfontouris 2013; Tevkin 2014; Ziebe 2013). There were no major and minor birth abnormalities (Mignini 2013; Sfontouris 2013; Tevkin 2014).

Why it is important to do this review

GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media is widely commercially available and is offered to women undergoing assisted reproduction worldwide. It is often considered an 'add‐on', or supplementary therapy, given alongside standard IVF in an effort to improve success rates (Heneghan 2016). There is currently no up‐to‐date systematic review of RCTs on this topic, and the one published systematic review relied on non‐randomised studies and studies where oocytes rather than women were randomised (Siristatidis 2013). The available RCTs were small with differing results and did not provide certainty as to what should be done in practice. Use of GM‐CSF can carry an additional cost to women undergoing IVF. It was therefore important to distil the available RCT evidence in a meaningful way to provide information on the effectiveness and safety of this intervention for women, clinicians, and embryologists, and regulatory and advisory bodies such as the Human Fertilisation and Embryology Authority (HFEA).

Objectives

To assess the effectiveness and safety of GM‐CSF‐supplemented human embryo culture media versus culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF, in women or couples undergoing assisted reproduction.

Methods

Criteria for considering studies for this review

Types of studies

We included all published and unpublished RCTs. We included cross‐over studies for completeness, but only pooled data from the first phase in meta‐analyses because this study design is not valid in the context of infertility trials (Vail 2003). We excluded quasi‐ and pseudo‐randomised trials. There was no limitation on language, publication date, or publication status.

Types of participants

Women undergoing IVF or intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) for any cause of infertility, using autologous or donor oocytes. Women undergoing IVF or ICSI with a background of recurrent miscarriage or recurrent implantation failure were also included.

Types of interventions

We included all studies that compared GM‐CSF (including G‐CSF)‐supplemented embryo culture media versus any other non‐GM‐CSF‐supplemented embryo culture media (control).

Types of outcome measures

Primary outcomes

  1. Live birth per woman randomised, defined as a live baby born after 20 weeks' gestation. We used ongoing pregnancy, defined as clinical pregnancy of 12 or more weeks' gestation, as a surrogate for live birth in cases where studies did not report live birth.

  2. Miscarriage per woman randomised. The definition used was miscarriage of clinical pregnancy.

Secondary outcomes

  1. Clinical pregnancy per woman randomised, defined as presence on ultrasound scan of one or more gestational sacs, or definitive signs of clinical pregnancy. This included ectopic pregnancy. Note that multiple gestational sacs were counted as one clinical pregnancy.

  2. Multiple gestation per woman randomised.

  3. Preterm birth per woman randomised (defined as birth before 37 weeks' gestation).

  4. Birth defects (defined as any structural anomaly present at birth that may interfere with function depending upon the organ or structure involved).

  5. Aneuploidy (defined as any genetic disorder diagnosed during pregnancy or at the time of birth).

  6. Stillbirth (defined as a baby born with no signs of life after 20 completed weeks of pregnancy).

Search methods for identification of studies

We searched for relevant studies with no language or date restriction in consultation with the Cochrane Gynaecology and Fertility Group Information Specialist.

Electronic searches

We designed search strategies for the following databases:

  1. Cochrane Gynaecology and Fertility Group Specialised Register of Controlled Trials; ProCite platform, searched 15 October 2019 (Appendix 1);

  2. Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL); Ovid platform, searched 15 October 2019 (Issue 9; 2019) (Appendix 2);

  3. MEDLINE; Ovid platform, searched from 1946 to 15 October 2019 (Appendix 3);

  4. Embase; Ovid platform, searched from 1980 to 15 October 2019 (Appendix 4);

  5. CINAHL (Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature), Ebsco platform, searched from 1961 to 15 October 2019 (Appendix 5);

  6. LILACS (Latin American and Caribbean Health Science Information database) (lilacs.bvsalud.org/en/), Web platform, searched 15 October 2019 (Appendix 6).

The MEDLINE search was combined with the Cochrane Highly Sensitive Search Strategy for identifying randomised trials in Section 4.3.1 of the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions (Higgins 2019). The Embase and CINAHL search strategies are combined with trial filters developed by the Scottish Intercollegiate Guidelines Network (SIGN; www.sign.ac.uk/methodology/filters.html#random).

Other electronic sources of trials (Web platforms, searched 15 October 2019) included:

  1. trial registers for ongoing and registered trials: US National Institutes of Health Ongoing Trials Register ClinicalTrials.gov (www.clinicaltrials.gov) and the World Health Organization International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (WHO ICTRP) (apps.who.int/trialsearch/Default.aspx) (Appendix 7);

  2. DARE (Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects) on the Cochrane Library (onlinelibrary.wiley.com/o/cochrane/cochrane_cldare_articles_fs.htm) (Appendix 8);

  3. Web of Knowledge (wokinfo.com) (Appendix 9);

  4. OpenGrey (www.opengrey.eu/) for unpublished literature from Europe (Appendix 10);

  5. PubMed and Google Scholar (for recent trials not yet indexed in the major databases) (Appendix 11 and Appendix 12).

Searching other resources

We handsearched reference lists of included and excluded studies retrieved by the search, and communicated with experts in the field to inquire after any additional studies.

We did not perform a separate search for adverse effects of GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media. We considered adverse effects described in the studies only.

Data collection and analysis

Selection of studies

All review authors independently undertook assessment of eligibility of all studies identified by the search using Covidence (Covidence). We retrieved the full‐text publications of potentially eligible studies. Three review authors (SA, JM, and AP) screened the full texts to identify studies for inclusion, and recorded reasons for exclusion of the excluded studies in the 'Characteristics of excluded studies' table. Any disagreements were resolved by discussion or consultation with another review author.

Data extraction and management

Two review authors (SA and JM) independently extracted data on study characteristics and primary and secondary outcomes from the included studies using a data extraction form designed and piloted by the review authors. We included the following characteristics of included studies in the data extraction form:

  1. methods;

  2. participants;

  3. interventions;

  4. outcomes, including adverse events;

  5. funding source for studies.

Any disagreements or discrepancies were resolved by discussion. Where there were multiple publications for a study, we used the main trial report as the reference and obtained additional details from secondary papers, which appear as subreferences. We corresponded with study investigators for further information on study methods and results as required. This correspondence is documented in the 'Characteristics of included studies' table and in Appendix 13.

Assessment of risk of bias in included studies

Two review authors (SA and JM) independently assessed the included studies for methodological quality and undertook data extraction according to the Cochrane 'Risk of bias' assessment tool (Higgins 2011). We assessed selection bias (random sequence generation and allocation concealment), attrition bias (incomplete outcome data), reporting bias (selective reporting), performance bias (blinding of participants and personnel), detection bias (blinding of outcome assessors), and other biases (other problems that could put a trial at high risk of bias). Our judgements are presented and described in the 'Risk of bias' table in Characteristics of included studies. Any disagreements were resolved by discussion.

Measures of treatment effect

We summarised the effects and adverse events related to the intervention as odds ratios (ORs) using a fixed‐effect model. We presented 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for all outcomes to evaluate the precision of the estimate. We considered the clinical relevance of the results from the meta‐analysis of each comparison, taking into account the precision of the estimate. When adding data from individual studies to comparisons, we considered whether the rates of events in both the intervention and control arm reflect current practice. For example, we explored major discrepancies in direction and magnitude of effect in the Results section, and these are reflected in our 'Risk of bias' assessment.

Unit of analysis issues

The denominator for all outcomes was the number of women randomised. We did not use per‐cycle data.

We counted multiple births (e.g. twins or triplets) as one live‐birth event.

Dealing with missing data

We analysed the data on an intention‐to‐treat basis and attempted to obtain missing data from the primary investigators (Appendix 13). We assumed that participants who dropped out after randomisation (e.g. because of cycle cancellation), or who were lost to follow‐up or withdrew, did not achieve clinical pregnancy or live birth. We made no other assumptions.

Assessment of heterogeneity

We considered whether the clinical and methodological characteristics of the included studies were sufficiently similar for meta‐analysis to provide a clinically meaningful summary. We assessed statistical heterogeneity using the I2 statistic, considering an I2 statistic greater than 50% to indicate substantial heterogeneity (Higgins 2019). Where there was significant heterogeneity, we undertook planned subgroup analyses to explore this in more detail.

Assessment of reporting biases

We reduced the potential impact of publication and reporting bias by performing a comprehensive search for eligible studies and looking for duplication of data. We decided to construct a funnel plot to explore the possibility of small‐study effects (a tendency for estimates of the intervention effect to be more beneficial in smaller studies) if there were 10 or more studies included in an analysis. When possible, we used published protocols and prospective trial registration web pages for included studies to investigate selective reporting (i.e. comparisons of outcomes listed in the study protocol versus outcomes reported in papers).

Data synthesis

We performed meta‐analyses where data were available from multiple studies investigating the same treatment, and the outcome was measured in a standard way between the studies. We used a fixed‐effect model. We undertook meta‐analysis according to the methods recommended in the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions for the following comparison (Higgins 2019).

  1. Studies that include GM‐CSF supplementation in human embryo culture media versus any other non‐GM‐CSF‐supplemented human embryo culture media.

Subgroup analysis and investigation of heterogeneity

We conducted subgroup analyses for all outcomes when data were available to determine the separate effect between the following subgroups.

  1. Studies including only women with recurrent implantation failure, defined as the failure to achieve a clinical pregnancy after transfer of at least four good‐quality embryos in a minimum of three fresh or frozen cycles (Coughlan 2014), versus studies not including women with recurrent miscarriage.

  2. Studies using single‐step culture media versus studies using sequential culture media.

  3. Studies including only women with donor oocytes versus studies using autologous oocytes.

  4. Studies including only women with recurrent miscarriage (loss of three or more consecutive pregnancies before 20 weeks' gestation) versus studies not including women with recurrent miscarriage.

  5. Studies replacing embryos at cleavage stage (day 2 or 3) versus studies replacing embryos at blastocyst stage (day 5).

Sensitivity analysis

We conducted sensitivity analyses for the primary outcomes to determine whether the conclusions were robust to arbitrary decisions made regarding eligibility and analysis. These analyses included consideration of whether the review conclusions would have differed if:

  1. eligibility was restricted to studies without high risk of bias (we defined low risk of bias studies as those with low risk of bias in at least the following two domains: random sequence generation and allocation concealment);

  2. a random‐effects model had been adopted;

  3. the summary effect measure was risk ratio rather than OR.

Overall quality of the body of evidence: 'Summary of findings' table

We prepared a 'Summary of findings' table to evaluate the overall quality of the body of evidence for the main review outcomes (live birth, miscarriage, clinical pregnancy, multiple gestation, preterm birth, birth defects, aneuploidy, stillbirth) using GRADE criteria (study limitations (i.e. risk of bias), consistency of effect, imprecision, indirectness, and publication bias) (summary of findings Table 1) (GRADEpro GDT). We justified and documented judgements about the quality of the evidence (high, moderate, low, and very low) and incorporated this information into the reporting of the results for each outcome. The 'Summary of findings' table compared GM‐CSF‐supplemented embryo culture media versus any other non‐GM‐CSF‐supplemented embryo culture media (control).

Results

Description of studies

Results of the search

The following databases were systematically searched by Marian Showell, the Information Specialist at Cochrane Gynaecology and Fertility, on 15 October 2019: Cochrane Gynaecology and Fertility Specialised Register, CENTRAL, MEDLINE, Embase, and CINAHL. In addition, the 2019 European Society of Human Reproduction and Embryology (ESHRE) and American Society for Reproductive Medicine (ASRM) conference abstracts were handsearched by review author SA on 28 October 2019. In addition, a Google search using the terms 'GM‐CSF, culture media, RCT, and live birth' was undertaken on 28 October 2019.

The search returned 452 records, 151 of which were duplicates. This left 301 titles and abstracts for screening, which was undertaken by all co‐authors using the online software Covidence (Covidence). Each record was screened by two review authors at every stage. We considered 28 papers to be eligible for full‐text screening. We excluded 23 full texts for the following reasons: 11 were the wrong study design; seven were trial registry information only, without data; three were duplicates of included studies; one was an animal study; and one was the wrong intervention. We considered five studies to be eligible for inclusion in the review (Rose 2020; Sbracia 2014; Zafardoust 2017; Zavvar 2016; Ziebe 2013), of which three could be used in meta‐analysis (Rose 2020; Sbracia 2014; Ziebe 2013). The two studies that were not included in meta‐analysis were conference abstracts, and the data could not be extracted reliably without further information from the study authors (Zafardoust 2017; Zavvar 2016); unfortunately we were unable to contact the authors of these studies to obtain the needed clarification. The PRISMA figure illustrates the flow of studies through the review (Figure 1).


PRISMA study flow diagram.

PRISMA study flow diagram.

Included studies

Five studies were eligible for inclusion in the review. Two of these were conference abstracts that could not be included in meta‐analysis because data could not be reliably extracted (Zafardoust 2017; Zavvar 2016). The remaining three studies included two fully published and peer‐reviewed papers, Rose 2020; Ziebe 2013, and one conference abstract (Sbracia 2014).

The largest study was undertaken in Europe; the trial was co‐ordinated from the Netherlands, and participants were recruited from 14 fertility clinics in Sweden and Denmark (Ziebe 2013). Ziebe 2013 included a total of 1332 participants, of whom 654 were randomised to the intervention arm and 678 were randomised to the control arm. The study was sponsored, co‐ordinated, and authored by the worldwide market‐leading manufacturer of GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media. Women in the intervention arm had all of their embryos cultured in GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium at a concentration of 2 ng/mL from fertilisation through to embryo transfer. Women randomised to the control arm of the study had all of their embryos cultured in an IVF culture medium that did not contain GM‐CSF from fertilisation through to embryo transfer. Both IVF and ICSI were undertaken, and a maximum of two embryos were transferred on day 3 in a fresh embryo transfer cycle. The inclusion criteria for the study were as follows: women aged 25 to 39 years, women who had a regular menstrual cycle of 21 to 35 days, women treated with a standard gonadotropin‐releasing hormone (GnRH) agonist or antagonist protocol, and women with three or more follicles with a diameter of 14 mm on the day of human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) administration, including a leading follicle of 17 mm. The exclusion criteria were: previous participation in the study; use of assisted hatching; use of non‐ejaculated sperm; medical conditions or genetic disorders prohibiting IVF/ICSI or interfering with the interpretation of results; use of investigational drugs within 30 days before oocyte retrieval; severe chronic disease of relevance for reproduction; and oocyte donation.

Rose 2020 was a smaller, single‐centre study undertaken in a fertility clinic in Australia. A total of 100 women were randomised, 50 to the intervention arm and 50 to the control arm of the study. There were no dropouts. Rose 2020 was a cross‐over RCT, but the published data were from the first phase of the trial prior to cross‐over. The study was sponsored by the worldwide market‐leading manufacturer of GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media. The same company also funded two co‐authors of the study for statistical support. The women in this study underwent fresh embryo transfer following IVF or ICSI. The women in the intervention arm had all of their embryos cultured in GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium from fertilisation through to embryo transfer on day 5. The concentration of GM‐CSF in the intervention culture medium was 2 ng/mL, and the medium was changed on day 3 following observation, scoring, and washing, to the next phase of sequential fresh culture medium with the same concentration of GM‐CSF. The control culture medium did not contain GM‐CSF, and similarly, day 3 embryos were observed, scored, washed and then transferred to a fresh sequential culture medium. All trial participants had a day 5 embryo transfer, apart from one woman in the control arm and two in the intervention arm who underwent day 3 embryo transfer. Participants underwent single‐embryo transfer, except four women in the control arm and six women in the intervention arm, who underwent double‐embryo transfer.

The inclusion criteria were: patients must have previously had consecutive transfer of two or more embryos without a positive pregnancy outcome OR have had a history of at least one previous pregnancy loss OR a previous history of poor embryo development (< 20% of embryos developing on the time at day 3 or no blastocysts above grade 2 on day 5). Other additional inclusion parameters included a maternal age between 25 and 41 years, the use of a standard GnRH agonist or antagonist protocol, and three or more follicles of > 14 mm as seen by transvaginal ultrasound before the day of hCG administration. Exclusion criteria included: a need for surgical sperm retrieval (except in cases of previous vasectomy), the use of another investigational drug within 30 days of oocyte retrieval, and/or the presence of a severe chronic disease that could impact the IVF cycle or reproductive outcomes.

Sbracia 2014 was another small, single‐centre RCT, undertaken in a fertility clinic in Italy. The study was written as an abstract for an international conference. The authors reported that there was no funding for the study. A total of 100 women were randomised, 50 to the intervention arm and 50 to the control arm of the study. The women in the intervention arm had all of their embryos cultured in GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media at a concentration of 2 ng/mL from fertilisation through to embryo transfer. Women in the control arm of the study had all of their embryos cultured in a medium not containing GM‐CSF from fertilisation to embryo transfer. The brand name of the control culture medium was not disclosed in the paper. Fresh embryo transfer of up to a maximum of three embryos following ICSI was undertaken in all cycles in both the intervention and control arms of the study. The inclusion criteria were: women with recurrent implantation failure, three or more consecutive failed IVF cycles with a total of at least 8 good embryos replaced in the uterus, and women aged 40 or less. The exclusion criteria were: women aged over 40, chromosomal defects in the couple, metabolic diseases (diabetes, etc.), and other genetic diseases (thalassaemia, cystic fibrosis, etc.).

Both Zafardoust 2017 and Zavvar 2016 were eligible for inclusion, however data could not be reliably extracted for meta‐analysis. Zafardoust 2017 was a conference abstract which outlined that it was a single‐centre RCT undertaken at a fertility clinic in Iran. The study included couples undergoing frozen embryo transfer following an ICSI cycle with their own gametes. Couples were randomised to either have their frozen embryos thawed and cultured in a test medium containing 2 ng/mL of GM‐CSF, or a control medium not containing GM‐CSF. Couples were eligible for inclusion in the study if the female partner was < 40 years old, had at least four good‐quality embryos after thawing (grade A), and had not had more than one previous embryo transfer. Couples were excluded from entering the study if they needed ICSI cycles requiring pre‐implantation genetic diagnosis, if the female partner had an anatomic disorder of the uterus, or one or more hydrosalpinges. The abstract outlines that 90 women were randomised, and 10 were excluded from the final analysis due to various reasons, however the original numbers of women randomised to each group are not disclosed. The outcome of interest reported by the study was clinical pregnancy, which is reported as two percentages, alongside a P value. However, it was not clear which percentage belonged to which arm of the study, therefore it was impossible to extract any meaningful data for meta‐analysis. Review author SA attempted to contact two of the authors of this study by email on three separate occasions for clarification of these issues, but unfortunately no response was forthcoming.

Zavvar 2016 was also a conference abstract, which outlined a single‐centre RCT undertaken in a fertility clinic in Iran. Zavvar 2016 sought to compare the outcomes of women undergoing ICSI who were randomised to receive an embryo culture medium containing 2 ng/mL GM‐CSF or to a culture medium not containing GM‐CSF. The inclusion criterion was women who produced only immature oocytes in spite of stimulation with gonadotropins. No exclusion criteria were described. The day of embryo transfer and length of time embryos were exposed to the intervention or control media were not described. The outcome of interest, the clinical pregnancy rate, was reported as percentages alongside a P value. However, it was not possible to identify which result was associated with which arm of the study, therefore we could not reliably include data from this study. Review author SA attempted to contact the authors of this study on two separate occasions by email, but unfortunately no response was received.

Excluded studies

We excluded 23 studies following full‐text screening. Eleven studies were the wrong study design, and were excluded for the following reasons: Agerholm 2010 was a phase I safety study and did not replace embryos; Fawzy 2019, Shapiro 2003, Sjoblom 1998, Sjoblom 1999, Sjoblom 1999a, and Sjoblom 2001 randomised oocytes opposed to women or couples; Kinoshita 2019 was a retrospective study; Min 2017 and Sfontouris 2013 were observational studies; and Siristatidis 2013 was a systematic review. Scarpellini 2011 was excluded because it did not study the intervention we were interested in, and Siqueira 2016 was excluded because it was an animal study. Six studies were duplicate references of included studies: Rose 2020, Sbracia 2014, Zafardoust 2017, and Zavvar 2016. Four studies are awaiting classification because the nature of the study and whether women or oocytes was randomised was unclear (ISRCTN94726536; NCT01689428; NCT01689454; NCT02651285).

Risk of bias in included studies

Allocation

We assessed the risk of selection bias for the three studies included in meta‐analysis to be low (Figure 2) (Rose 2020; Sbracia 2014; Ziebe 2013), as random sequence generation was described in detail and considered to be adequate to achieve a truly random sequence. Rose 2020 described how 50 cards with 'control' and 50 with 'BlastGen' written on them were placed in sealed envelopes by a person unrelated to the trial. They were shuffled several times, and the envelopes were then numbered and opened in consecutive order by the embryologist when an eligible participant was scheduled for egg retrieval. Sbracia 2014 described how participants were randomised using a computer‐generated number sequence; however, allocation concealment was not described, therefore we deemed this study to be at unclear risk. Ziebe 2013 described how they used a computer‐generated randomisation list in blocks of four for each individual clinic in order to maintain balance between the treatment groups at each site. Allocation concealment was described in detail and considered to be at low risk on the basis that each study site received a list of study‐specific consecutive patient ID numbers and a corresponding number of identical‐looking randomised bottles of test and control media that were individually labelled with the corresponding study‐specific ID numbers. On site, the lowest number on the list was always allocated to any new patient recruited at the time of informed consent signature. Consequently, the clinician, embryologist, and participant were all blinded to the allocation.


Risk of bias summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.

Risk of bias summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.

Zafardoust 2017 and Zavvar 2016 could not be included in meta‐analysis, but were considered to be at unclear risk of selection bias because no description of randomisation or allocation concealment was provided.

Blinding

We considered Rose 2020 and Ziebe 2013 to be at low risk for performance and detection bias. Rose 2020 described how clinicians, sonographers, statisticians, and participants were completely blinded to the intervention. Ziebe 2013 described how participants and investigators, including clinicians and embryologists, were blinded to treatment allocation. Following email correspondence, we established that the clinicians performing the ultrasound scans were blinded to the treatment allocation at all times.

Sbracia 2014 did not provide any description of blinding of participants, personnel, or outcome assessors, and was therefore assessed as at unclear risk of bias of performance and detection bias. We judged Zafardoust 2017 and Zavvar 2016 to be at unclear risk of performance and detection bias because there was no description of who, if anyone, was blinded.

Incomplete outcome data

We assessed Rose 2020 and Sbracia 2014 as at low risk of attrition bias. Both studies reported no dropouts. We considered Ziebe 2013 to be at high risk of attrition bias because despite all dropouts being accounted for, the reasons given were not included within the predefined exclusion criteria. For example, no oocytes retrieved, no semen sample, no fertilisation, no embryo transfer, and "non‐includable after randomisation" were given as reasons for exclusion after randomisation, however none of these were listed as exclusion criteria. We contacted the authors to obtain accurate intention‐to‐treat (ITT) data for both arms of the study, which they were able to provide.

We considered Zafardoust 2017 to be at high risk of attrition bias because 10 women were not included in the final analysis, with no reasons provided. We considered this to be a high rate of attrition in a small study. Unfortunately we were unable to use data from this study as the data could not be reliably extracted. We considered Zavvar 2016 to be at unclear risk of attrition bias as dropouts were not described. We could not include data from this study because it was unclear how many participants were included in the analysis.

Selective reporting

We rated Rose 2020, Sbracia 2014, and Ziebe 2013 as being at low risk of reporting bias because the study authors confirmed via email correspondence that they had reported all outcomes as per their prospective clinical trials registrations (NCT02305420, NCT01718210, and NCT00565747, respectively).

We rated Zafardoust 2017 as being at high risk of reporting bias. The available abstract did not report data on miscarriage, multiple pregnancy, and beta human chorionic gonadotropin (BHCG) levels, which are secondary outcomes noted on the prospective clinical trials register (Zafardoust 2017). We attempted to contact the study authors to establish if further trial data were available, but received no response. We rated Zavvar 2016 as being at unclear risk of reporting bias. We had no access to a protocol or an online clinical trial registry.

Other potential sources of bias

We have been in extensive contact with the authors of Ziebe 2013 via email to clarify various numbers from their published study. The co‐authors of this study have been very forthcoming in answering all of our queries and have offered clear explanations of how various numbers are reached in their paper. However, we have assessed Ziebe 2013 as at high risk of bias for this domain because the numbers published in the paper differ from those published in this review, that is we discovered through correspondence that some participants were inaccurately described as miscarriages opposed to biochemical pregnancy losses. We also asked for individual participant data in relation to those babies that suffered aneuploidy or birth defects, or both. On reviewing the data, we discovered that some women underwent termination of pregnancy in light of aneuploidy or birth defects, which had not been included in their aneuploidy or birth defect data. We also discovered that one baby had been classified as having a birth defects, when in fact it was reported as having immature lungs secondary to prematurity. In addition, the reporting of multiple pregnancies in the paper is very confusing. We clarified all of these issues through correspondence, which is summarised in Appendix 13. One co‐author of this review has written a letter, which has been published, outlining the concerns regarding the statistical analysis presented in the paper (Farquhar 2015). Examples of concerns include the adjustment of sample size and the increase of concentration of human serum albumin following interim analysis, and the reporting of 'ongoing implantation rate' as number of transferred embryos opposed to per woman.

Effects of interventions

See: Summary of findings 1 GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media compared to culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF for women undergoing assisted reproduction

GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media versus culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF for women undergoing assisted reproduction

A total of five studies undertook this comparison. Three of these studies (1532 participants) reported data that could be included in meta‐analysis (Rose 2020; Sbracia 2014; Ziebe 2013).

Primary outcomes
1.1 Live birth

Two studies (N = 1432) provided live‐birth data (Rose 2020; Ziebe 2013). We obtained ITT live‐birth data following correspondence with the authors of Ziebe 2013 (see Appendix 13). There were 179 live births reported amongst the 704 women randomised to the GM‐CSF arm, and 162 live births amongst the 728 women randomised to the control arm. No studies reported ongoing pregnancy as a proxy to live birth.

We are uncertain whether GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media makes any difference to the live‐birth rate when compared to using conventional culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF (odds ratio (OR) 1.19, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.93 to 1.52, 2 RCTs, N = 1432, I2 = 69%, low‐quality evidence) (Analysis 1.1; Figure 3).


Forest plot of comparison: 1 GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, outcome: 1.1 Live birth.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, outcome: 1.1 Live birth.

The evidence suggests that if the rate of live birth associated with conventional culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF was 22%, the rate with the use of GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media would be between 21% and 30%.

1.2 Miscarriage

Two RCTs (N = 1432) provided miscarriage data (Rose 2020; Ziebe 2013). The authors of both studies were able to clarify that the miscarriages were of clinical pregnancies. Based on correspondence, we were able to remove terminations of pregnancy that had been classified as miscarriage in these two studies (Appendix 13). Terminations of pregnancy as a result of aneuploidy or birth defect are accounted for in Analysis 1.6 and Analysis 1.7. All miscarriages were first‐trimester losses, apart from one in the control arm of Rose 2020, which was a midtrimester loss at 17 weeks' gestation. There were 19 miscarriages amongst the 704 women randomised to the GM‐CSF arm, and 26 miscarriages amongst the 728 women randomised to the control arm.

It is unclear whether use of GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media makes any difference to miscarriage rate when compared to conventional culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF (OR 0.75, 95% CI 0.41 to 1.36, 2 RCTs, N = 1432, I2 = 0%, low‐quality evidence) (Analysis 1.2; Figure 4).


Forest plot of comparison: 1 GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, outcome: 1.2 Miscarriage.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, outcome: 1.2 Miscarriage.

The evidence suggests that if the miscarriage rate associated with conventional culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF was 4%, the rate with the use of GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media would be between 2% and 5%. It is worth noting that these figures are per woman randomised, hence the apparently very low miscarriage rates. They do not include miscarriages that occurred before the diagnosis of a clinical pregnancy on ultrasound scan, otherwise known as biochemical pregnancy losses.

Secondary outcomes
1.3 Clinical pregnancy

Three studies (N = 1532) reported clinical pregnancy rates (Rose 2020; Sbracia 2014; Ziebe 2013). Both Rose 2020 and Ziebe 2013 describe how an ultrasound scan was performed at seven weeks’ gestation in order to diagnose clinical pregnancy. Information on the methods of Sbracia 2014 was limited, as the study is only available as a conference abstract, and we received no response to our emails to the authors of the study. The authors of Sbracia 2014 describe pregnancy rate as their primary outcome, however there are no further details as to what stage pregnancy was diagnosed, and whether they were clinical pregnancies diagnosed with ultrasound. The authors report an "implantation rate", which we have taken to mean a biochemical pregnancy rate. Consequently, for the purposes of this review, we have assumed the pregnancy rate in Sbracia 2014 to be clinical.

There were 221 clinical pregnancies amongst the 754 women randomised to the GM‐CSF arm, and 205 clinical pregnancies amongst the 778 women randomised to the control arm.

We are uncertain whether GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media makes any difference to the clinical pregnancy rate when compared to using a conventional culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF (OR 1.16, 95% CI 0.93 to 1.45, 3 RCTs, N = 1532 women, I2 = 67%, low‐quality evidence) (Analysis 1.3; Figure 5).


Forest plot of comparison: 1 GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, outcome: 1.3 Clinical pregnancy.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, outcome: 1.3 Clinical pregnancy.

The evidence suggests that if the clinical pregnancy rate associated with conventional culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF was 26%, the rate with the use of GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media would be between 25% and 34%.

1.4 Multiple gestation

Two studies (N = 1432) reported multiple gestation rate (Rose 2020; Ziebe 2013). The multiple gestation rate was clarified following correspondence with authors of both studies (Appendix 13). The authors of Ziebe 2013 also detail the incidence of monozygotic and dizygotic twins, but in this review we did not differentiate between types of twins. The authors of Rose 2020 report single‐embryo transfer as standard, but explain that four women in the control arm and six women in the intervention arm received double‐embryo transfer (Appendix 13). The authors of Ziebe 2013 describe how a maximum of two embryos were replaced per woman with a mean embryo transfer rate of 1.51 for the control arm and 1.49 for the GM‐CSF arm. There was one triplet pregnancy in the intervention arm of the study by Ziebe 2013. The remaining multiple gestations reported here were all twins.

There were 31 women with a multiple gestation amongst the 704 women randomised to the GM‐CSF arm, and 205 women with a multiple pregnancy amongst the 728 women randomised to the control arm.

We are uncertain whether GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media makes any difference to the multiple pregnancy rate when compared to use of a conventional culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF (OR 1.24, 95% CI 0.73 to 2.10, 2 RCTs, N = 1432, I2 = 35%, very low‐quality evidence) (Analysis 1.4).

The evidence suggests that if the multiple gestation rate associated with conventional culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF was 4%, the rate with the use of GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media would be between 3% and 7%.

1.5 Preterm birth

Two studies (N = 1432) reported the preterm birth rate, defined as the birth of a baby (or babies in the case of multiple pregnancy) under 37 weeks' gestation, per woman randomised (Rose 2020; Ziebe 2013). Preterm birth was detailed in the published study by Ziebe 2013. For singletons, the preterm birth data were easily extractable. For women with multiple gestations, the authors of Ziebe 2013 report gestational age at birth with a standard deviation, therefore we clarified these data with the study authors to establish the number of preterm births (Appendix 13). We sought preterm birth data through correspondence with the authors of Rose 2020 (Appendix 13). We counted twins and triplets that were born before 37 weeks as one event for this outcome, as we undertook ITT analysis.

There were 30 women with a preterm birth amongst the 704 women randomised to the GM‐CSF arm, and 26 women with a preterm birth amongst the 728 women randomised to the control arm.

We are uncertain whether GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media makes any difference to the preterm birth rate when compared to using a conventional culture medium not supplemented by GM‐CSF (OR 1.20, 95% CI 0.70 to 2.04, 2 RCTs, N = 1432, I2 = 76%, very low‐quality evidence) (Analysis 1.5).

The evidence suggests that if the preterm birth rate associated with conventional culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF was 4%, the rate with the use of GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media would be between 3% and 7%.

1.6 Birth defects

The authors of two studies (N = 1432) were able to provide details on birth defects following correspondence (Appendix 13) (Rose 2020; Ziebe 2013). The authors of Rose 2020 explained that there was one baby with multiple birth defects, which was detected antenatally (this participant was classified as experiencing a miscarriage in the published study, but we have clarified that this was a termination of pregnancy, and it has therefore been removed from the miscarriage group in this review). The authors of Ziebe 2013 provided details on 22 infants who were born with defects (three participants underwent termination of pregnancy for birth defects). We did not count any infants as having both birth defects and aneuploidy, but rather divided them into one of the two groups. We are not aware of twins within the birth defects group, and have assumed all data to be per woman randomised.

Thirteen women had a baby with a birth defect amongst the 704 women randomised to the GM‐CSF arm, and 10 women had a baby with a birth defect amongst the 728 women randomised to the control arm.

We are uncertain whether GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media makes any difference to the rate of birth defects when compared to using a conventional culture medium not supplemented by GM‐CSF (OR 1.33, 95% CI 0.59 to 3.01, I2 = 0%, 2 RCTs, N = 1432, low‐quality evidence) (Analysis 1.6).

The evidence suggests that if the birth defect rate associated with conventional culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF was 1%, the rate with the use of GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media would be between 1% and 4%.

1.7 Aneuploidy

Two studies (N = 1432) provided data regarding aneuploidy after we inquired about this outcome (Rose 2020; Ziebe 2013). The authors of Rose 2020 described how one baby had a trisomy, which was detected antenatally, and Ziebe 2013 reported that one baby had a trisomy detected antenatally.

No women had a baby with aneuploidy amongst the 704 women randomised to the GM‐CSF arm, and two women had a baby with aneuploidy amongst the 728 women randomised to the control arm. We are uncertain whether GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media makes any difference to the rate of aneuploidy when compared to using a conventional culture medium not supplemented by GM‐CSF (OR 0.34, 95% CI 0.03 to 3.26, I2 = 0%, 2 RCTs, N = 1432, low‐quality evidence) (Analysis 1.7).

The evidence suggests that if the aneuploidy rate associated with conventional culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF was 0.3%, the rate with the use of GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media would be between 0% and 0.9%.

1.8 Stillbirth

Two studies (N = 1432) reported stillbirth (Rose 2020; Ziebe 2013). Following correspondence, the authors of Rose 2020 provided data on stillbirth that were not published (Appendix 13). There were no stillbirths reported in either arm of the study, hence the OR was not estimable (Analysis 1.8). The average rate of stillbirth ranges from approximately 4 per 1000 total births in high‐income countries to approximately 28 per 1000 total births in low‐income countries such as sub‐Saharan Africa (Lawn 2016), therefore the stillbirth rate in this review is better than average for the high income countries.

Planned additional analyses

We did not need to undertake a funnel plot to explore the possibility of small‐study effects as there were only three included studies in the quantitative analysis.

Subgroup analyses

1) Studies including only women with recurrent implantation failure. Two studies were defined as including women with "poor prognosis" as a result of previous recurrent implantation failure. The definition of recurrent implantation failure (the failure to achieve a clinical pregnancy after transfer of at least four good‐quality embryos in a minimum of three fresh or frozen cycles (Coughlan 2014)) was met by only one of these studies (Sbracia 2014). When examining this study alone, the only outcome it informs is clinical pregnancy. The low‐quality evidence suggests that GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media may slightly improve pregnancy rates when compared to culture media not supplemented by GM‐CSF (OR 2.45, 95% CI 1.00 to 6.02, 1 RCT, N = 100, low‐quality evidence).

2) Single‐step versus sequential culture media. A single‐step culture medium supplemented with GM‐CSF would involve culturing the embryos in one medium following fertilisation all the way through to blastocyst embryo replacement if required. The included study that cultured embryos through to blastocyst utilised a sequential culture medium supplemented with GM‐CSF (Rose 2020), therefore we were unable to undertake this subgroup analysis. Correspondence with Cooper Surgical revealed that a single‐step culture medium supplemented by GM‐CSF is yet to obtain its CE mark (certification mark that indicates conformity with health, safety, and environmental protection standards for products sold within the European Economic Area), and for this reason is not yet available in Europe from this company.

3) Donor versus autologous oocytes. No included studies utilised donor oocytes, so a subgroup analysis was not possible.

4) Studies including only women with recurrent miscarriage. No included studies involved only women who had experienced recurrent miscarriage, so a subgroup analysis was not possible.

5) Studies replacing embryos at cleavage stage versus blastocyst stage. We know that Rose 2020 was the only study that definitely replaced all embryos at day 5, thereby satisfying the criterion of blastocyst stage transfer. The authors of Ziebe 2013 describe how they undertook all day 3 embryo transfers, which classifies this study as cleavage stage transfer. The authors of Sbracia 2014 did not describe whether they undertook cleavage stage or blastocyst stage transfer. However, they do report using EmbryoGen as the intervention culture media, which is a culture medium licensed to culture embryos to day 3, therefore we have assumed for the sake of subgroup analysis that Sbracia 2014 is classified as a cleavage stage transfer study.

Two studies, one cleavage stage transfer, Ziebe 2013, and one blastocyst stage transfer, Rose 2020, reported on the outcome of live birth. The subgroup analysis for both cleavage stage and blastocyst stage transfer did not alter the finding from the pooled meta‐analysis. In other words, for both subgroup analyses and the main pooled meta‐analysis, we are uncertain whether GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media makes any difference to the live‐birth rate when compared to using conventional culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF. The quality of the evidence of the subgroup analyses is low given that only one study informs each analysis.

The same two studies that reported on live birth also reported on miscarriage (Rose 2020; Ziebe 2013), one cleavage and one blastocyst stage transfer. The subgroup analyses did not change the outcome of the main meta‐analysis. In other words, we are uncertain whether GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media makes any difference to the miscarriage rate when compared to using conventional culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF. The quality of the evidence of the subgroup analyses is low given that only one study informs each analysis.

The outcome clinical pregnancy is informed by three included studies. Two studies undertook cleavage stage transfers (Sbracia 2014; Ziebe 2013), and one undertook blastocyst stage transfer (Rose 2020). The subgroup analyses did not alter the results of the main pooled meta‐analysis. Low‐quality evidence remains of uncertainty as to whether GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media makes any difference to the clinical pregnancy rate when compared to using a conventional culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF.

The outcome multiple gestation is informed by two included studies, one of which undertook cleavage stage transfers, Ziebe 2013, and the other blastocyst stage transfers, Rose 2020. The subgroup analyses did not alter the results of the main pooled meta‐analysis. Low‐quality evidence remains of uncertainty as to whether GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media makes any difference to the multiple gestation rate when compared to using a conventional culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF. We downgraded the quality of the evidence from moderate for the main meta‐analysis, to low, given that only one study informs each subgroup analysis.

Sensitivity analyses

We decided to undertake three sensitivity analyses for the primary outcomes to determine whether our conclusions were robust to arbitrary decisions made regarding the eligibility and analysis. The analyses were as follows.

1) If eligibility was restricted to studies without high risk of bias (studies at low risk of bias were defined as those with low risk of bias in at least the following two domains: random sequence generation and allocation concealment). For live birth and miscarriage, our two primary outcomes, both studies included in the meta‐analysis were low risk according to our definition, therefore we did not need to undertake this sensitivity analysis.

2) If a random‐effects model had been adopted. We applied the random‐effects model to both of our primary outcomes, and it did not alter the conclusions of the review.

3) If the summary effect measure was risk ratio rather than OR. We altered the summary effect measure to risk ratio for both live birth and miscarriage, however it did not alter the conclusions of the review.

Discussion

Summary of main results

Despite GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media being commercially available for a number of years, there were very few RCTs from around the world with data that could be included in this review. The three trials included in meta‐analysis, Rose 2020; Sbracia 2014; Ziebe 2013, involved a total 1532 women, of whom the vast majority (1332 women) were from Ziebe 2013, a trial designed, conducted, and written by Cooper Surgical, one of the global market leaders in culture media supplemented with GM‐CSF. Having said this, there was transparency in communication with the authors of Ziebe 2013; this review contains ITT data and further details on methods as a result of the authors' willingness to share information (Appendix 13).

For the primary and secondary outcomes assessed, including live birth, miscarriage, clinical pregnancy, multiple gestation, preterm birth, birth defects, and aneuploidy, due to very low‐ to low‐quality evidence we cannot be certain whether GM‐CSF is any more or less effective than culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF for clinical outcomes that reflect effectiveness and safety (summary of findings Table 1). We were unable to undertake analysis of stillbirth, as there were no events in either study arm; however, the lack of events in either arm supports the hypothesis that there is no advantage or disadvantage to using culture media supplemented by GM‐CSF versus culture media not supplemented by GM‐CSF.

Overall completeness and applicability of evidence

The evidence for this review was dominated by one large, multicentre European RCT, which was designed and conducted by industry. However, despite concerns about the equipoise of the trial designers, co‐ordinators, and data analysts, the study appears to be well executed overall. There is without doubt a number of flaws in the design of the study, in particular the statistical analysis of the results presented in the paper (Farquhar 2015); however, we sought ITT data from the authors, which means the data are as transparent as possible (Appendix 13). The three studies included in the quantitative analysis have a number of similarities as described below, but most notable is the concentration of GM‐CSF within the intervention culture media, which is the same across all studies. This possibly reflects the dominance of one particular company who supplied the intervention culture media for all of the included studies. On balance, the available data represent women or couples attending for assisted reproduction with their own gametes, on a single fresh embryo transfer cycle. Two hundred of the 1532 included women were considered to be 'poor prognosis', with recurrent implantation failure or a history of poor embryo development. Further studies including frozen cycles, donor oocytes, and cumulative embryo transfer data from one cycle are required to make the evidence more broadly applicable to the types of women or couples attending for assisted reproduction.

The studies included in the quantitative analysis were conducted in high‐income countries, as defined by the World Bank (World Bank). Two included studies were undertaken in the upper‐middle‐income country of Iran (Zafardoust 2017; Zavvar 2016), however no data could be reliably extracted from these studies, therefore the data available for this review were based solely on those residing in high‐income countries. There was a mixture of IVF and ICSI across the three studies included in quantitative analysis. All three studies undertook fresh embryo transfers, and no cumulative embryo transfer data were available from subsequent frozen embryo transfer cycles.

The intervention culture media contained the same concentration of GM‐CSF in all three studies, which makes the intervention arm more homogenous in terms of what participants received than the control culture media, which were described in less detail. Rose 2020 describes a control of "standard embryo culture media", whilst the authors of Sbracia 2014 do not provide any information on the control medium. The authors of Ziebe 2013 describe using "EmbryoAssist without cytokine", a culture media manufactured by Cooper Surgical. The potential variation in the control culture media makes the result more generalisable to 'real‐world' practice, where individual clinics use a variety of culture media 'as standard'.

The inclusion of studies with variations in day of embryo transfer, poor‐ and good‐prognosis patients, variation in underlying medical conditions of participants, and numbers of embryo transferred helps make the results of this review generalisable.

The two studies that could not be included in the quantitative analysis, Zafardoust 2017; Zavvar 2016, were in some ways different to the studies included in the quantitative analysis. For example, Zafardoust 2017 utilised frozen embryos, and Zavvar 2016 included women in whom immature oocytes were retrieved in spite of stimulation with gonadotropins. Both studies included the same concentration of GM‐CSF in the intervention culture media (2 ng/mL), which were supplied by Cooper Surgical, the supplier of all of the intervention culture media across all included studies. Both Zafardoust 2017 and Zavvar 2016 undertook ICSI. It may be possible to include data from these two studies in the future, if we are able to make contact with the authors to clarify issues regarding data and methods. Both studies reported that there was no significant difference in the pregnancy rate between the GM‐CSF and conventional culture media arms of their studies.

Quality of the evidence

Overall, the quality of the evidence using the GRADE approach is low or very low for all outcomes (summary of findings Table 1). Live birth, clinical pregnancy, multiple gestation, and preterm birth were all downgraded once for inconsistency. There were differing point estimates in the included studies, with one supporting GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media, and one supporting the control culture medium. The point estimates have broad confidence intervals, and in many cases the I2 result is high, representing a high degree of heterogeneity between trials.

Live birth, miscarriage, multiple gestation, preterm birth, birth defects, and aneuploidy were all downgraded for imprecision. We downgraded live birth once and the remaining outcomes twice. These outcomes had point estimates with broad or very broad confidence intervals, from a low number of included studies, at least one of which was very small in terms of number of participants. We downgraded clinical pregnancy once for risk of bias, as all studies that inform this outcome have high risk of other bias, and one study was at unclear risk of selection, performance, and detection bias. The unclear risk of bias in this study was due mainly to a lack of information from the available published abstract.

We were unable to undertake meta‐analysis of the results for stillbirth because there we no occurrences of stillbirth in either arm of the study in the one trial that reported this outcome.

Regarding risk of bias, both Rose 2020 and Ziebe 2013 were considered to be overall low risk of bias. Rose 2020 was low risk in all domains except for other bias, which was rated high risk because although the study appears to be well run, the sample size of 100 participants is small, and is unlikely to be powered to detect meaningful difference between the groups in terms of clinical outcomes. We considered Ziebe 2013 to be at low risk of selection, performance, detection, and reporting bias, but at high risk of attrition and other bias. Sbracia 2014 was rated as having high risk of other bias and unclear risk of selection, performance, and detection bias.

Potential biases in the review process

We aimed to identify all eligible studies for inclusion in this review, and contacted authors of all five included studies on many occasions in an effort to include as much information as possible. The authors of two studies were forthcoming with further study information, which helped us to acquire a full picture of the study outcomes, as well as providing information needed to assess and establish risk of bias (Appendix 13).

Agreements and disagreements with other studies or reviews

We found one published systematic review examining GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media for women undergoing assisted reproduction (Siristatidis 2013). This review undertook a search of studies published between 1966 and 2012. Siristatidis 2013 included all study designs except case series and case reports. The primary outcome was live birth per woman/couple. Secondary outcomes were clinical pregnancy per woman/couple (defined as evidence of fetal heart on ultrasound at seven weeks), miscarriage rate (defined as the number of miscarriages divided by the number of clinical pregnancies), fertilisation rate (rate of oocytes fertilised per oocytes retrieved), and laboratory parameters, such as progression of embryos to blastocyst stage, blastocyst performance and hatching, and chromosomal abnormalities of the embryos. The search yielded 152 records, 112 of which were discarded. Six of the remaining 41 studies were considered eligible for inclusion in the review, four of which were RCTs and two prospective observational studies. The review by Siristatidis 2013 has one RCT in common with our review (Ziebe 2013). The other three RCTs included in Siristatidis 2013 were excluded here because they randomised oocytes (Shapiro 2003; Sjoblom 2001), or no embryos were replaced in women (Agerholm 2010).

The authors of Siristatidis 2013 concluded that most of the included studies trend towards favouring the supplementation of culture media with GM‐CSF in terms of good‐quality embryos reaching the blastocyst stage, improved hatching initiation and number of cells in the blastocyst, and reduction in cell death. However, no statistically significant differences were found in implantation and pregnancy rates in all but one trial, which reported favourable outcomes in terms of implantation and live birth. The authors of Siristatidis 2013 go on to propose properly conducted and adequately powered RCTs to further validate and extrapolate the current findings. The quality of included studies is deemed by the Siristatidis 2013 authors to be "average".

Our review adds two further RCTs, and has the advantage of conducting a meta‐analysis and undertaking a 'Risk of bias' assessment, as well as applying GRADE to the findings of the review. The fact that three of the included RCTs in Siristatidis 2013 randomised oocytes or did not replace embryos into the women means that interpreting the data and applying it to real‐world clinical situations is almost impossible, as the trial design is not adequate for phase III clinical trials assessing clinical outcomes.

We received email correspondence from a reader of the protocol for this review who expressed concerns that we were planning to include studies that used GM‐CSF or G‐CSF as the intervention medium (Appendix 14). The author expressed concerns about this decision as they felt those media were not homogenous enough to be included in one group. This review only found studies that included GM‐CSF as the intervention medium and we explained that we would look into this issue for the re‐run of the review in the coming years.

PRISMA study flow diagram.

Figuras y tablas -
Figure 1

PRISMA study flow diagram.

Risk of bias summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.

Figuras y tablas -
Figure 2

Risk of bias summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, outcome: 1.1 Live birth.

Figuras y tablas -
Figure 3

Forest plot of comparison: 1 GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, outcome: 1.1 Live birth.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, outcome: 1.2 Miscarriage.

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Figure 4

Forest plot of comparison: 1 GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, outcome: 1.2 Miscarriage.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, outcome: 1.3 Clinical pregnancy.

Figuras y tablas -
Figure 5

Forest plot of comparison: 1 GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, outcome: 1.3 Clinical pregnancy.

Comparison 1: GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, Outcome 1: Live birth

Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.1

Comparison 1: GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, Outcome 1: Live birth

Comparison 1: GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, Outcome 2: Miscarriage

Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.2

Comparison 1: GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, Outcome 2: Miscarriage

Comparison 1: GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, Outcome 3: Clinical pregnancy

Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.3

Comparison 1: GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, Outcome 3: Clinical pregnancy

Comparison 1: GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, Outcome 4: Multiple gestation

Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.4

Comparison 1: GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, Outcome 4: Multiple gestation

Comparison 1: GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, Outcome 5: Preterm birth

Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.5

Comparison 1: GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, Outcome 5: Preterm birth

Comparison 1: GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, Outcome 6: Birth defects

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Analysis 1.6

Comparison 1: GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, Outcome 6: Birth defects

Comparison 1: GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, Outcome 7: Aneuploidy

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Analysis 1.7

Comparison 1: GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, Outcome 7: Aneuploidy

Comparison 1: GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, Outcome 8: Stillbirth

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Analysis 1.8

Comparison 1: GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF, Outcome 8: Stillbirth

Summary of findings 1. GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media compared to culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF for women undergoing assisted reproduction

GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media compared to culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF for women undergoing assisted reproduction

Patient or population: women undergoing assisted reproduction
Setting: fertility clinics
Intervention: GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media
Comparison: culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF

Outcomes

Anticipated absolute effects* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

№ of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Risk with culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF

Risk with GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media

Live birth or ongoing pregnancy

Study population

OR 1.19
(0.93 to 1.52)

1432
(2 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW 1 2

223 per 1000

254 per 1000
(210 to 303)

Miscarriage

Study population

OR 0.75
(0.41 to 1.36)

1432
(2 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW 3

36 per 1000

27 per 1000
(15 to 48)

Clinical pregnancy

Study population

OR 1.16
(0.93 to 1.45)

1532
(3 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW 1 4

263 per 1000

293 per 1000
(250 to 342)

Multiple gestation

Study population

OR 1.24
(0.73 to 2.10)

1432
(2 RCTs)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VERY LOW 1 3

36 per 1000

44 per 1000
(26 to 72)

Preterm birth

Study population

OR 1.20
(0.70 to 2.04)

1432
(2 RCTs)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VERY LOW 1 3

36 per 1000

43 per 1000
(25 to 70)

Birth defects

Study population

OR 1.33
(0.59 to 3.01)

1432
(2 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW3

14 per 1000

18 per 1000
(8 to 40)

Aneuploidy

Study population

OR 0.34
(0.03 to 3.26)

1432
(2 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW 5

3 per 1000

1 per 1000
(0 to 9)

Stillbirth

Study population

1432
(2 RCTs)

See comment6

See comment6

*The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).

CI: confidence interval; OR: odds ratio; RCT: randomised controlled trial

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: We are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect.
Moderate quality: We are moderately confident in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different.
Low quality: Our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect.
Very low quality: We have very little confidence in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect.

1Downgraded once for inconsistency, as the included studies report differing directions of point estimates: one supports the intervention, and one does not support the intervention.
2Downgraded once for imprecision as broad confidence intervals and a low number of included studies, at least one of which is very small.
3Downgraded twice for imprecision as very broad confidence intervals and a low number of included studies.
4Downgraded once for risk of bias. One included study had an unclear risk of selection bias, performance bias, and detection bias due to limited information available from published abstract.
5Downgraded twice for imprecision as included studies had so few reported incidences of aneuploidy that the point estimate is not precise and has very broad confidence intervals.

6No stillbirths occurred in either arm of the included studies, therefore the result is inestimable.

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings 1. GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture media compared to culture media not supplemented with GM‐CSF for women undergoing assisted reproduction
Comparison 1. GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1.1 Live birth Show forest plot

2

1432

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.19 [0.93, 1.52]

1.2 Miscarriage Show forest plot

2

1432

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.75 [0.41, 1.36]

1.3 Clinical pregnancy Show forest plot

3

1532

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.16 [0.93, 1.45]

1.4 Multiple gestation Show forest plot

2

1432

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.24 [0.73, 2.10]

1.5 Preterm birth Show forest plot

2

1432

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.20 [0.70, 2.04]

1.6 Birth defects Show forest plot

2

1432

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.33 [0.59, 3.01]

1.7 Aneuploidy Show forest plot

2

1432

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.34 [0.03, 3.26]

1.8 Stillbirth Show forest plot

2

1432

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Not estimable

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 1. GM‐CSF‐supplemented culture medium versus culture medium not supplemented with GM‐CSF