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Estudios por imágenes cerebrales a intervalos en pacientes adultos con glioma cerebral

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Resumen

Antecedentes

Las guías de práctica clínica sugieren que las imágenes de resonancia magnética (IRM) del cerebro deben ser realizadas en determinados puntos temporales o intervalos distantes del diagnóstico (estudios por imágenes a intervalos o de vigilancia) del glioma cerebral, para monitorizar o dar seguimiento a la enfermedad; sin embargo, no se conoce si dichas estrategias de estudios por imágenes dan lugar a mejores resultados entre los pacientes que los estudios por imágenes desencadenados en respuesta a síntomas nuevos o que empeoran.

Objetivos

Determinar el efecto de diferentes estrategias de estudios por imágenes (en particular, estudios por imágenes predeterminados a intervalos o de vigilancia, y estudios por imágenes sintomáticos o desencadenados) en los resultados de salud y económicos en adultos con glioma (grados 2 a 4) en el cerebro.

Métodos de búsqueda

El especialista en información del Grupo de Ginecología, Neurooncología y Otros Cánceres (Cochrane Gynaecological, Neuro‐oncology and Orphan Cancers [CGNOC] Group) realizó búsquedas en el Registro Cochrane Central de Ensayos Controlados (Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, CENTRAL), MEDLINE y Embase hasta el 18 de junio 2019 y en la NHS Economic Evaluation Database (EED) hasta diciembre 2014 (cierre de la base de datos).

Criterios de selección

Se incluyeron ensayos controlados aleatorizados, ensayos controlados no aleatorizados y estudios controlados del tipo antes y después con grupos de comparación concurrentes que comparaban el efecto de diferentes estrategias de estudios por imágenes en cuanto a la supervivencia y otros resultados de salud en adultos con glioma cerebral; y evaluaciones económicas completas (análisis de coste‐efectividad, análisis de coste‐utilidad y análisis de coste‐beneficio) realizadas junto con cualquier diseño de estudio y cualquier evaluación económica basada en modelos sobre los estudios por imágenes antes y después del tratamiento en adultos con glioma cerebral.

Obtención y análisis de los datos

Se utilizó la metodología de revisión Cochrane estándar y dos autores realizaron de forma independiente la selección de estudios y la recopilación de datos, y resolvieron los desacuerdos mediante discusión. La certeza de la evidencia se evaluó mediante los criterios GRADE.

Resultados principales

Se incluyó un estudio retrospectivo, de una sola institución, que comparó los estudios por imágenes posoperatorios dentro de las 48 horas (estudios por imágenes posoperatorios tempranos) con ningún estudio por imágenes posoperatorio temprano entre 125 pacientes que fueron sometidos a una cirugía por glioblastoma (GBM: glioma de grado 4 de la Organización Mundial de la Salud [OMS]). La mayoría de los pacientes del estudio fueron sometidos a una resección quirúrgica máxima seguida de radioterapia y tratamiento con temozolomida combinados. Aunque las características de los pacientes en los brazos del estudio fueron comparables, el estudio estuvo en riesgo alto de sesgo en general.

La evidencia de este estudio indicó poca o ninguna diferencia entre los estudios por imágenes posoperatorios tempranos y no tempranos con respecto a la supervivencia general (muertes) al año después del diagnóstico del GBM (riesgo relativo [RR] 0,86; intervalo de confianza [IC] del 95%: 0,61 a 1,21; 48% versus 55% murieron, respectivamente; evidencia de certeza muy baja) y poca o ninguna diferencia en la supervivencia general (muertes) a los dos años después del diagnóstico del GBM (RR 1,06; IC del 95%: 0,91 a 1,25; 86% versus 81% murieron, respectivamente; evidencia de certeza muy baja). No se informaron otros resultados de la revisión.

No se encontró evidencia sobre la efectividad de otros esquemas de estudios por imágenes. Además, no se identificaron evaluaciones económicas relevantes que evaluaran la eficiencia de las diferentes estrategias de estudios por imágenes.

Conclusiones de los autores

Aún se desconoce en gran parte el efecto de las diferentes estrategias de estudios por imágenes sobre la supervivencia y otros resultados de salud. Los esquemas de los estudios por imágenes existentes en el glioma parecen ser pragmáticos en vez de estar basados en evidencia. La evidencia limitada que indica que los estudios por imágenes cerebrales posoperatorios tempranos en pacientes con GBM que recibirán tratamiento combinado con quimiorradiación pueden lograr poca o ninguna diferencia en la supervivencia debe ser investigada de forma adicional, en particular debido a que los estudios por imágenes posoperatorios tempranos también sirven como una medida de control de calidad que puede dar lugar a una nueva cirugía temprana si se identifica un tumor residual. El modelado matemático de una gran base de datos de pacientes con glioma podría ayudar a distinguir el momento adecuado óptimo de los estudios por imágenes de vigilancia para diferentes tipos de glioma, con la estratificación de los pacientes facilitada por la evaluación de las tasas de crecimiento de los tumores individuales, los biomarcadores moleculares y otros factores pronósticos. Además, los diseños de estudio del glioma pediátrico podrían ser usados para informar la investigación futura en cuanto a las estrategias de los estudios por imágenes en adultos con glioma.

PICO

Population
Intervention
Comparison
Outcome

El uso y la enseñanza del modelo PICO están muy extendidos en el ámbito de la atención sanitaria basada en la evidencia para formular preguntas y estrategias de búsqueda y para caracterizar estudios o metanálisis clínicos. PICO son las siglas en inglés de cuatro posibles componentes de una pregunta de investigación: paciente, población o problema; intervención; comparación; desenlace (outcome).

Para saber más sobre el uso del modelo PICO, puede consultar el Manual Cochrane.

Resumen en términos sencillos

Escaneos cerebrales en pacientes con gliomas cerebrales

Antecedentes

Los gliomas son tumores cerebrales que surgen de los tejidos cerebrales de soporte. Se denominan de grado bajo (OMS 1 y 2) o de grado alto (OMS 3 y 4), dependiendo de su actividad celular y de la agresividad del tumor. Los gliomas se diagnostican en 4 a 11 personas por cada 100 000 cada año, más comúnmente en países de ingresos altos. Aunque pueden observarse gliomas de grado bajo y crecimiento lento antes de decidir el tratamiento más apropiado (vigilancia activa), la mayoría de los pacientes con gliomas finalmente serán sometidos a una cirugía para extirpar de manera segura la mayor cantidad posible del tumor. Después de la cirugía, otros tratamientos como la radiación y la quimioterapia pueden ser adecuados, dependiendo del grado del tumor y otros aspectos. El tratamiento estándar para los tumores de grado 4; conocidos como glioblastomas, es la radioterapia y un medicamento anticanceroso (temozolomida).

En los pacientes con tumores de crecimiento lento, suelen realizarse imágenes por resonancia magnética (IRM) a intervalos regulares para comprobar el crecimiento del tumor antes del tratamiento. Después de la cirugía para extirpar los gliomas de cualquier grado, los escaneos regulares comprueban cómo los tumores están respondiendo al tratamiento adicional y si la enfermedad está regresando. Los escaneos se realizan en su mayor parte en momentos adecuados establecidos, en lugar de realizarse debido a cambios en el estado del paciente. Este procedimiento se conoce como estudios por imágenes de vigilancia. A menudo se realiza una IRM dentro de los tres días posteriores a la cirugía por glioma de grado alto para comprobar la cantidad de tumor que se ha extirpado.

En lugar de realizar escaneos regulares, el escaneo podría realizarse cuando alguien experimenta cambios que sugieren que el tumor ha crecido. Este procedimiento se conoce como estudios por imágenes sintomáticos o desencadenados. Los escaneos cerebrales pueden ser costosos y los escaneos regulares cuando la persona se siente bien pueden causar ansiedad. Además, si el escaneo cerebral no cambiará el tratamiento, podría no ser necesario. Se realizó esta revisión debido a que no se sabe si los diferentes momentos adecuados de la obtención de imágenes tienen una repercusión en el tiempo que el paciente sobrevivirá después del diagnóstico. También se deseaba observar qué enfoque era mejor para identificar los cambios tumorales y los efectos sobre la calidad de vida, la ansiedad y la depresión. También se realizaron búsquedas para observar qué enfoque proporcionaría un mejor valor al servicio de salud.

Cómo se realizó la revisión y qué se encontró

Se buscaron estudios que incluían a adultos con gliomas y que comparaban la práctica actual de la realización de escaneos en puntos temporales específicos con otros enfoques. Solo se encontró un estudio que cumplía con los criterios. El mismo provino de un centro de cáncer en los Estados Unidos, y consideraba a pacientes con glioblastoma (los que presentaban los gliomas más agresivos) que habían sido tratados entre el año 2006 y 2016. En el estudio habían participado 125 personas que se dividieron entre las que fueron sometidas al escaneo en un plazo de dos días después de la cirugía (escaneo temprano) y las que no. Demostraron que la realización del escaneo de forma temprana no cambió la posibilidad de estar vivo al año y a los dos años después del diagnóstico. Lo anterior pudo deberse a que los escaneos tempranos no se utilizaron para cambiar los tratamientos, que principalmente incluían radioterapia estándar y temozolomida, y no fue posible establecer si el cirujano o los cirujanos de los pacientes eran diferentes o tenían diferentes enfoques a la atención. Se considera que esta sugerencia de poco cambio en el tiempo de supervivencia con o sin escaneo temprano fue muy incierta. El número de pacientes incluidos durante 10 años fue pequeño, y la decisión de realizar o no un escáner después de la cirugía se basó en la elección del cirujano. No estaba claro si el cirujano o los cirujanos involucrados o sus enfoques a la atención difirieron, ni si se podría haber cambiado la atención del paciente teniendo en cuenta las primeras imágenes. La otra búsqueda no encontró ningún estudio que analizara el valor de diferentes enfoques de los estudios por imágenes.

Conclusiones

Todavía no se conoce si la realización de escaneos con regularidad en momentos específicos después del diagnóstico del glioma cambia el estado de los pacientes. La evidencia limitada, que sugiere que los escaneos tempranos después de las cirugías no afectan la supervivencia, no es fiable y se necesita más investigación, en especial debido a que los escaneos tempranos también pueden ayudar a los cirujanos a mejorar su práctica y a decidir si repetir la cirugía antes de lo que podrían haber elegido hacer de otra manera.

Se desconocen los mejores momentos adecuados y las razones para realizar el escaneo de los gliomas cerebrales en adultos. Se pueden aprender lecciones de los estudios que involucran a niños, y al observar grandes colecciones de ensayos clínicos. También es importante estudiar los costes y los beneficios potenciales de las diferentes estrategias.

Authors' conclusions

Implications for practice

Current approaches to imaging gliomas are based on plausibility and pragmatism through expert consensus rather than a body of high‐level research evidence. It remains unknown whether identification of progression through surveillance imaging instead of symptomatic imaging improves glioma survival or other health outcomes. Limited evidence suggesting that early post‐operative brain imaging among GBM patients who receive combined chemoradiation treatment could make little or no difference to survival needs robust assessment through further research, particularly as early post‐operative imaging also serves as a quality control measure that may lead to early re‐operation if residual tumour is identified.

We expect that as further evidence on prognostic indicators comes to light, it might be possible to stratify people with glioma to different imaging schedules based on assessment of tumour behaviour and other prognostic factors particular to each individual. A clear example of this would be the recognition of molecular high‐risk, histologically low‐grade glioma, which would be managed as per GBM. In the absence of good‐quality evidence on the effectiveness and optimal frequency of surveillance imaging, a multi‐disciplinary team approach and shared decision‐making is essential in the context of existing broad consensus recommendations.

Implications for research

There are efforts across neuro‐oncology to standardise or harmonise both the type and timing of imaging although, as described above, this is not based on any high‐quality evidence. Researching management of gliomas is challenging because it is an uncommon disease covering a variety of age groups and prognostic types, for some of whom the optimal treatment strategy remains uncertain. There is also the added challenge of a shifting diagnostic and prognostic landscape with recent additions of molecular characterisation which is expected to expand in the near future. Collaborative, multicentre studies are now considered essential to sufficiently power relevant clinical questions. There is also the philosophical challenge of investigating higher versus lower frequency imaging; particularly in the oncology sphere, where in general there is an evolution in management aimed at replacing or adding to regimens rather than removing from them. There are relevant precedents, however, including alterations to surveillance imaging practice, such as regular chest radiographs and bone scintigraphy in breast cancer having demonstrated a lack of value (Lam 2017), and the paediatric studies discussed above, which recommended a significant reduction in the follow‐up imaging schedule. It should be possible to prospectively determine a research paradigm into imaging schedules in glioma in the era of shared decision‐making.

It would also be of potential value to retrospectively evaluate individual patient data from trials that have been conducted in the post‐Stupp regimen RANO era for GBM, given the natural jitter in timing of follow‐up (i.e. not every patient is imaged precisely at 3‐monthly intervals), missed or delayed imaging visits for a variety of reasons, and different imaging frequencies in trials (e.g. 2‐ versus 3‐monthly) that likely have used the Stupp regimen in their control arms. These data could be analysed to determine if there are any impacts on outcome of different imaging schedules. Challenges to this would include the exclusion of any trial participants if being imaged off schedule represents a protocol violation and avoiding selection bias of those eligible to enter trials.

Advanced imaging techniques to identify true progression (and not pseudoprogression) and true response (not pseudoresponse) also require rigorous evaluation in the relevant clinical contexts.

Other research questions for high‐grade gliomas are as follows.

  • Based on clinicoradiological or molecular markers (or both), can high‐grade gliomas be stratified into different interval imaging schedules to rationalise the frequency of imaging visits?

  • What is the impact of interval imaging frequency on time to progression during first line treatment?

  • How does interval imaging affect the entry to second line trials?

  • Does the frequency of interval imaging influence overall survival?

  • What are the cost effectiveness and diagnostic performance of additional imaging (e.g. MRS/perfusion/permeability MRI/PET) to determine response to treatment when progression is suspected in order to minimise repeated standard MRI during the current period of diagnostic uncertainty?

Other research questions for low‐grade gliomas are as follows.

  • Based on clinicoradiological or molecular markers (or both), can low‐grade gliomas be stratified into different interval imaging schedules to rationalise the frequency of imaging visits (e.g. IDH mutation status from 2HG spectroscopy)?

  • Does interval imaging lead to earlier detection of progression and malignant transformation?

  • Does interval imaging influence overall survival?

  • What are the cost effectiveness and diagnostic performance of additional imaging (e.g. MRS/perfusion/permeability MRI/PET) to stratify patients into different prognostic groups requiring different imaging schedules?

To improve decision‐making and promote good practice and external validity, protocols of future studies on imaging should adhere to prevailing guidance (e.g. CONSORT, QUADAS and STARD) to ensure the quality of the study, and should include economic and psychosocial outcomes whenever possible, in this era of shared decision‐making.

Summary of findings

Open in table viewer
Summary of findings for the main comparison.

Early post‐operative MRI compared with no early post‐operative MRI for glioblastoma

Patient or population: adults with glioblastoma

Settings: tertiary care

Intervention: early post‐operative MRI (within 48 hours of tumour resection)

Comparison: no early post‐operative MRI

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

No of Participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Assumed risk

Corresponding risk

No early MRI

Early MRI

Overall survival (deaths at 1 year)

554 per 1000

476 per 1000
(338 to 670)

(RR 0.86, 95% CI 0.61 to 1.21)

125 (1)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
very low1

Overall survival (deaths at 2 years)

804 per 1000

852 per 1000
(732 to 1000)

(RR 1.06, 95% CI 0.91 to 1.25)

125 (1)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
very low1

Progression free survival

no evidence

Anxiety

no evidence

Quality of life

no evidence

*The basis for the assumed risk is the risk in the control group of the included study. The corresponding risk (and its 95% CI) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
CI: Confidence interval; RR: Risk ratio

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High certainty: Further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect.
Moderate certainty: Further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate.
Low certainty: Further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate.
Very low certainty: We are very uncertain about the estimate.

1Downgraded for risk of bias, as the patients in this study received the interventions based on surgeons' preferences and discretion

Background

Description of the condition

Brain and other central nervous system (CNS) tumours are less common than many other cancers, accounting for around 1.9% of new cancer diagnoses annually and approximately 2.3% or 189,382 deaths worldwide in 2012 (GLOBOCAN 2012). In terms of years of potential life lost (YPLL), in the USA malignant brain and other CNS tumours have the greatest impact of any cancer in adults, a reflection of their age of onset and the comparatively short survival time of some of the most common types (Rouse 2016). Gliomas are brain tumours that are believed to arise from progenitor glial lineage cells derived from neural stem cells (although this is still a matter of debate). They occur at an annual incidence of four to 11 people per 100,000 and are more frequent in high‐income, industrialised countries (Ohgaki 2009). Gliomas are graded 1 to 4 by the World Health Organization (WHO), according to their malignancy or malignant potential. The 2007 WHO classification system (Louis 2007), used in completed clinical studies since 2007, graded gliomas based on histological characteristics only. However in the 2016 WHO classification system, which is likely to be used in future studies, grading for the first time depends on both histological and molecular features, for example isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH) status, chromosome 1p/19q co‐deletions, and other genetic parameters (Louis 2016). Molecular characterisation is now the default assessment where available, and supersedes the histological phenotype. Using the 2007 WHO classification, gliomas graded 1 and 2 are referred to as low‐grade gliomas: these included pilocytic astrocytomas (grade 1) which represent a distinct clinical entity with low malignant potential; and diffuse astrocytomas, oligodendrogliomas and mixed oligoastrocytomas (grade 2). High‐grade gliomas included anaplastic astrocytomas, anaplastic oligodendrogliomas (grade 3) and glioblastoma multiforme (GBM; grade 4). The 2016 classification separates pilocytic astrocytoma into "other astrocytic tumours" and it is the category of "diffuse astrocytic and oligodendroglial tumours" comprising grades 2 to 4 that are the focus of this review. As of 2016, true mixed oligoastrocytomas are now exceedingly rare, since detection of both canonical molecular signatures is required within the same tumour. Such changes are indicative of the challenges faced in interpreting previous studies in glioma in the current clinical context. While in the literature malignant transformation rates vary between approximately one in four to three in four, there is a significant risk of malignant transformation of low‐grade to high‐grade glioma and the potential for, and timing of, malignant transformation is not well understood.

Grades correspond to prognosis. Grade 1 has a good prognosis and can often be cured with surgery alone; grade 2 gliomas have a median survival of five to fifteen years; anaplastic astrocytoma (grade 3) between two and five years; whereas grade 4 has the poorest prognosis, with a median survival of one to two years in the era of safe maximal resection and temozolomide chemoradiotherapy (Louis 2007). Even in the molecular era, therefore, tumour grade is a key factor in deciding how to treat gliomas. It also plays a role in determining the timing and frequency of radiologic follow‐up. It is increasingly recognised, however, that molecular characteristics also play a role, with 1p/19q co‐deleted IDH mutant oligodendrogliomas having a more favourable prognosis than 1p/19q intact IDH mutant diffuse astrocytomas, which in turn demonstrate longer survival than IDH‐wildtype diffuse astrocytomas. It is expected that further molecular characterisation of the last group will officially enter WHO classification in a future update, identifying those with GBM‐like markers, which can be managed in a similar way to high‐grade glioma despite the traditional histological appearance of low‐grade glioma. It is currently unclear how these molecular features will dovetail with traditional 'high risk' stratification of low‐grade glioma (e.g. Pignatti 2002), such as aged older than 40 years and achieving less than gross total resection. This evolving clinical and molecular risk stratification will have implications for future guidelines and research in how gliomas are treated and imaged.

Description of the intervention

Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) or computed tomography (CT) of the brain is key to the diagnosis of a glioma. MRI is the preferred technique as it has superior soft tissue resolution and gives a better definition of tumour extent (NCCN 2018; NCI 2017; NICE 2006). These imaging techniques can, however, be challenging to interpret when distinguishing the type of tumour and grade, or occasionally when differentiating tumours from inflammatory or ischaemic lesions (e.g. following a stroke or radiation). This is particularly the case during follow‐up of treated gliomas where the most commonly used criterion of enlarging contrast‐enhancing lesions can be non‐specific and is also seen with treatment‐related effects such as pseudoprogression or radiation necrosis. Other imaging techniques, such as magnetic resonance spectroscopy (MRS), MR perfusion imaging, single photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) and positron emission photometry (PET), can be used to provide additional information prior to surgery to improve the accuracy of histopathological examination and provide increased specificity during follow‐up, although variation in training, performance, and availability of these techniques limits widespread use (NCCN 2018; NICE 2018).

In addition to primary diagnosis, brain imaging is an integral part of management and follow‐up of glioma and informs treatment decisions in the period immediately after diagnosis. After surgery, MRI has been shown to more accurately identify the extent of residual tumour — an important prognostic factor — than the neurosurgeon's estimation (Albert 1994). The National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guidelines recommends post‐operative brain MRI within 24 to 72 hours of glioma surgery for this purpose (NCCN 2018). Imaging is also used universally to assess the tumour response among people actively receiving treatment and, in clinical studies of glioma treatment, imaging before the start of adjuvant therapy is common practice, which can serve as the baseline for detecting tumour progression (e.g. Malmström 2017; Wick 2012). In a study of bevacizumab for glioblastoma, performing a follow‐up MRI from as early as four weeks after starting treatment has been reported to be an accurate predictor of both treatment response and survival (Field 2017).

Outside the immediate treatment period, people with glioma will also be offered imaging at regular intervals. Interval imaging, sometimes referred to as surveillance imaging, refers to imaging at defined future time points as requested by the clinical team, for monitoring tumour appearance. Outside periods of treatment, this is referred to as active surveillance. It is not known at that specific time point in the future whether the person affected will be less symptomatic, the same (i.e. stable), or be more symptomatic at the imaging visit. The imaging is not, therefore, based on a clinical deterioration of the person’s symptoms and signs. An alternative approach to interval imaging would be to arrange imaging when a person, carer, or clinician notes a deterioration in signs or symptoms (or both); this is called symptomatic or triggered imaging. Current practice represents a combination of these, with surveillance imaging as the default, and triggered imaging when a significant clinical change is encountered between planned imaging visits.

There are several scenarios in which interval imaging is used among people with a glioma. Before surgical biopsy or treatment among those with a suspected low‐grade glioma, interval imaging might be performed to ensure that the actual growth of the tumour is not faster than that expected from the anticipated grade. It might also be considered for lesions with radiological features of a low‐grade tumour that do not necessitate immediate treatment, for example an optic pathway glioma (NICE 2018). After treatment, interval imaging is usually performed for both low‐grade and high‐grade gliomas to check for any interval tumour growth and to determine whether treatment has been successful at slowing or halting growth. The NCCN recommends MRI follow‐up of low‐grade gliomas every three to six months for five years, then at least annually thereafter; whereas for GBM, an MRI two to six weeks after radiotherapy, then every two to four months for three years, then every six months indefinitely, is recommended (NCCN 2018). Suggested imaging intervals in National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) guidance are slightly longer (e.g. for GBM the suggested intervals are three to six months up to two years after treatment, then six to 12 months up to three years, then annually indefinitely (Table 1)). In general, though, for both low‐grade and high‐grade gliomas, interval duration increases over time from diagnosis and treatment.

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Table 1. National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) guidance on interval imaging

Tumour grade

Years after end of treatment

0 to 1

1 to 2

2 to 3

3 to 4

5 to 10

> 10 (for the rest of life)

Grade 1

Scan at 12 months, then:

  • consider discharge if no tumour visible on imaging unless completely resected pilocytic astrocytoma

  • consider ongoing imaging at increasing intervals for 15 years for completely resected pilocytic astrocytoma

  • consider if ongoing imaging is needed at a rate of once every 1 to 3 years for the rest of the person's life if the tumour is visible on imaging

Grade II 1p/19q non‐codeleted, IDH mutated

Scan at 3 months, then every 6 months

Annually

Every 1 to 2 years

Consider ongoing imaging every 1 to 2 years

Grade II 1p/19q codeleted

Grade III 1p/19q codeleted

Grade II IDH wildtype

Every 3 to

6 months

Every 6 to

12 months

Annually

Consider ongoing imaging

every 1 to 2 years

Grade III 1p/19q non‐codeleted

Grade IV (glioblastoma)

From NICE 2018 (p17) Table 3: Possible regular clinical review schedule for people with glioma depending on grade of tumour

SPECT and PET can also be helpful in the post‐treatment scenario to distinguish between tumour recurrence and treatment effects such as pseudoprogression and radiation necrosis (NCCN 2018; NCI 2017). This is an important role of imaging, since treatment‐related effects can be symptomatic, and either neutral (radiation necrosis) or favourable (pseudoprogression) when deciding on whether to maintain or change treatment.

Why it is important to do this review

To our knowledge, there are no existing systematic reviews of this topic. The relative benefits of surveillance imaging, if any, over other imaging approaches among people with glioma are currently not known. In addition, whilst clinical guidelines recommend routine MRI follow‐up or active monitoring, the optimal frequency of routine active monitoring has not been rigorously established. In existing clinical practice guidelines, it is recommended that the frequency of routine active monitoring decreases with time (NCCN 2018; NICE 2018; SEOM 2017). However, since low‐grade glioma can present at any time during a natural history that might span over a decade, and the risk and timing of recurrence is unpredictable, frequent imaging early on might be unnecessary.

Diagnostic uncertainties raised by brain imaging performed within the first three to six months due to treatment, such as true tumour progression versus pseudoprogression, might increase patient and clinician anxiety during this monitoring period, and negatively affect quality of life. In addition, potential health risks from repeat gadolinium administration has come under scrutiny recently, especially in people with longer‐term survival. Brain imaging is potentially costly, both for the health system and the individual and, while performing it routinely has not been robustly assessed from a health economic perspective, there are also limited data on the psychological impact experienced by patients and carers during treatment from repeated cycles of imaging and uncertainty while waiting on the result.

Surveillance imaging was established as a follow‐up strategy early in the development of readily available non‐invasive imaging investigation, based on expert consensus. This basis has become questionable, since this expert opinion was derived from experience gained during the 'pre‐molecular' era when recent standards of care for glioma treatment were not yet available or established. The aim of this review, therefore, is to systematically evaluate the evidence for different imaging strategies to inform clinical practice guidelines and research agendas.

Objectives

To determine the effect of different imaging strategies (in particular, pre‐specified interval or surveillance imaging, and symptomatic or triggered imaging) on health and economic outcomes for adults with glioma (grades 2 to 4) in the brain.

Methods

Criteria for considering studies for this review

Types of studies

Randomised controlled trials (RCTs), non‐randomised controlled trials (NRCTs), and controlled before‐after studies (CBAS) with concurrent comparison groups.

Full economic evaluations (cost‐effectiveness analyses, cost‐utility analyses and cost‐benefit analyses), conducted alongside any study design and any model‐based economic evaluations.

Types of participants

Adults with a histologically confirmed diagnosis of cerebral glioma or suspected low‐grade infiltrating glioma on imaging. Given the known biological differences between adult and childhood gliomas, in addition to the different logistic challenges and economic aspects of imaging adult and paediatric populations, this review addresses adults with glioma.

Types of interventions

Pre‐ or post‐treatment brain imaging, including MRI and other types of imaging, performed at regular intervals (interval or surveillance imaging) compared with pre‐ or post‐treatment brain imaging performed upon the development of new or worsening symptoms (symptomatic or triggered imaging) or other imaging schedules, such as hybrids, with a defined surveillance hiatus.

Types of outcome measures

Primary outcomes

  • Overall survival (as time‐to‐event or dichotomous outcomes or both)

Secondary outcomes

  • Progression‐free survival (as time‐to‐event or dichotomous outcomes or both)

  • Health‐related quality of life measured by a standardised instrument, such as the European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) QLQ‐C30 or QLQ‐BN20 (specific for brain cancer), or the Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy scale (FACT)‐G (general) or FACT‐Br (specific for brain cancer)

  • Anxiety, measured by a standardised instrument, such as the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS)

  • Depression, measured by a standardised instrument, such as HADS and the Beck Depression Inventory (BDI)

  • Economic data (cost, cost effectiveness, cost utility and cost benefits)

Search methods for identification of studies

Electronic searches

The Cochrane Gynaecological, Neuro‐oncology and Orphan Cancer (CGNOC) Information Specialist searched the following databases on 26 April 2018 and topped up the search for us on the 18 June 2019.

  • For intervention studies

    • Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), in the Cochrane Library;

    • MEDLINE Ovid (from 1946 onwards);

    • Embase Ovid (from 1980 onwards).

  • For economic evidence

    • MEDLINE Ovid (from 2015);

    • Embase Ovid (from 2015);

    • NHS Economic Evaluation Database (EED).

The EED database was searched up to the end of December 2014 (when the last records were added to that database) and MEDLINE and Embase from 1 January 2015, as NHS EED already included comprehensive searches of these databases prior to 2015. We also considered relevant grey literature, such as health technology assessments, reports and working papers, for inclusion.

Please refer to Appendix 1 for draft MEDLINE search strategies. We did not apply language restrictions to any of the searches.

Searching other resources

We searched the following for ongoing studies.

We used the 'related articles' feature of PubMed and handsearched the reference lists of included studies to identify newly published articles and additional studies of relevance. If through these searches we had identified any ongoing studies that had not been published, we planned to approach the principal investigators to ask for an update on the study status and any available relevant data.

Data collection and analysis

Selection of studies

The CGNOC Information Specialist downloaded all titles and abstracts retrieved by electronic searching for intervention studies to Endnote® and removed duplicates. Two review authors (GT and TL) independently screened the remaining records on title and abstract. For potentially eligible records, we obtained copies of the full texts and independently assessed them for eligibility. The two review authors resolved any disagreements by discussion. We used Covidence to facilitate this study selection process and documented reasons for exclusion accordingly.

In our search for economic evidence, two review authors independently screened for eligible studies using the same methods as above.

Data extraction and management

Intervention studies

Two review authors (TL and GT) independently extracted data from the included intervention study to a pre‐designed data extraction form that included the following.

  • Author contact details

  • Country

  • Setting

  • Dates of participant accrual

  • Funding source

  • Inclusion and exclusion criteria

  • Study design

  • Study population and baseline characteristics

    • number of participants enrolled;

    • number of participants analysed;

    • age of participants;

    • gender of participants;

    • type of glioma (low grade or high grade; tumour size, molecular markers);

    • type of glioma treatment (surgery; radiotherapy; chemotherapy).

  • Intervention details

    • type of intervention (pre‐specified, interval or surveillance imaging), including whether it occurred pre‐treatment or post‐treatment, the interval period, and the type of scan (e.g. MRI);

    • type of comparator (symptomatic imaging or other imaging schedule), including indications for imaging, information on the timing of the imaging (e.g. median time to first scan post‐treatment), and the type of scan.

  • 'Risk of bias' assessment (see below)

  • Duration of follow‐up

  • Primary outcome(s) of the study

  • Review outcomes

    • For time‐to‐event outcomes (overall and progression‐free survival), we planned to extract the hazard ratio (HR) with its 95% confidence interval (CI) for time points as reported by the study authors. We would have noted the definition of progression and the procedure used to identify it. Where reported, we also planned to extract dichotomous data for these outcomes at author‐specified time points.

    • For dichotomous outcomes (e.g. death, anxiety, depression), we extracted the number of participants in each treatment arm that experienced the outcome of interest and the number of participants assessed.

    • For continuous outcomes (e.g. quality‐of‐life scores, anxiety, depression), we planned to extract the value and standard deviation of the outcome of interest and the number of participants assessed at the relevant time point in each group. We also planned to extract change‐from‐baseline score data where reported and to note the type of scale used.

    • We planned to extract adjusted statistics where reported.

    • Where possible, all data extracted were those relevant to an intention‐to‐treat analysis, in which participants were analysed in the groups to which they were assigned.

    • We resolved differences between review authors by discussion or by appeal to a third review author when necessary.

Studies of economic evaluation

We developed a data extraction form for economic evaluations based on the format and guidelines used to produce structured abstracts of economic evaluations for inclusion in the NHS Economic Evaluation Database (NHS EED), adapted to the specific requirements of this review. In addition to the outcomes described above, we planned to extract the following data.

  • Type of evaluations

  • Sources of effectiveness data

  • Cost data

  • Sources of cost data

  • Sources of outcome valuations

  • Analytical approach

Assessment of risk of bias in included studies

For studies of clinical effects, we assessed the risk of bias of the included study using Cochrane's tool and the criteria specified in the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions (Higgins 2017). This included assessment of:

  • random sequence generation;

  • allocation concealment;

  • blinding of participants and healthcare providers;

  • blinding of outcome assessors;

  • incomplete outcome data (more than 20% missing data considered high risk);

  • selective reporting of outcomes;

  • other possible sources of bias, such as lack of a power calculation, baseline differences in group characteristics.

We assessed according to whether there was a risk of bias for the following criteria.

  • How participants were selected or allocated to the intervention/comparison groups.

  • Whether the intervention participants were representative of the population of interest.

  • Whether the comparison participants were representative of the population of interest.

  • Whether differences between the intervention and comparison groups were controlled for or absent.

  • Any other risk of bias.

Two review authors (TL and GT) assessed risk of bias independently and resolved any differences by discussion. We summarised judgements in a 'Risk of bias' table along with the characteristics of the included study and interpreted the review results in light of the overall 'Risk of bias' assessment. For more details about assessing risk of bias, see Appendix 2.

Economic evaluations would be assessed for bias in two stages. The first stage would involve assessing risk of bias from the sources of the effectiveness data. We would assess economic evaluations carried out alongside clinical studies using the Cochrane 'Risk of bias' tool, as described above. If the economic evaluation was model‐based, we would use the ROBIS tool to assess bias in the effectiveness studies (Whiting 2016). The second stage involves assessing the risk of bias of the economic evidence (i.e. assessing the overall methodological quality). We would use the CHEERS and Evers checklists to do this (hsr.mumc.maastrichtuniversity.nl/consensus‐health‐economic‐criteria‐chec‐list), (Husereau 2013; Thielen 2016; Van Mastrigt 2016; Wijnen 2016).

Measures of treatment effect

We only found data for dichotomous outcomes, for which we calculated the effect size as a risk ratio (RR) with its 95% CI.

Unit of analysis issues

Two review authors (TL and GT) would have reviewed unit of analysis issues according to the criteria presented in Deeks 2017 and would have resolved any disagreements by discussion. Unit of analysis issues might have included reports where there were multiple observations for the same outcome (e.g. repeated measurements with different scales or at different time points, recurring events).

Dealing with missing data

We did not impute missing data. In the event of missing data, we planned to write to study authors to request the data and describe in the 'Characteristics of included studies' tables how any missing data were obtained.

Assessment of heterogeneity

We planned to assess heterogeneity between intervention studies in each meta‐analysis by visual inspection of forest plots; by estimation of the percentage heterogeneity between studies that cannot be ascribed to sampling variation (Higgins 2003); by a formal statistical test of the significance of the heterogeneity (Deeks 2008); and, where possible, by subgroup analyses. If there was evidence of substantial heterogeneity, we would have investigated and reported the possible reasons for it.

Assessment of reporting biases

If there were 10 or more intervention studies in meta‐analyses we planned to investigate reporting biases (such as publication bias) using funnel plots and planned to assess asymmetry visually. If asymmetry was suggested by a visual assessment, we planned to perform exploratory analyses to investigate it (Sterne 2017).

Data synthesis

For interventions studies

We planned to conduct meta‐analyses if we judged participants, comparisons and outcomes to be sufficiently similar to ensure an answer that was clinically meaningful. We planned to use the random‐effects model with inverse variance weighting for all meta‐analyses. If any studies had multiple intervention groups, we planned to divide the ‘shared’ comparison group into the number of treatment groups and comparisons between each treatment group, and treat the split comparison group as independent comparisons. We planned to perform meta‐analysis of the results assuming that we found at least two included studies that were sufficiently similar for the findings to be clinically meaningful. When a meta‐analysis was not possible due to the availability of single studies only, we planned to enter the data from single studies into Review Manager 5 (Review Manager 2014), without totals, and grade the findings as described below.

For studies of economic evaluation

We planned to summarise characteristics and results of included economic evaluations using additional tables, supplemented by a narrative summary that would compare and evaluate methods used and principal results between studies. We would also tabulate unit cost data, when available. We would report the currency and price year applicable to measures of costs in each original study, alongside measures of costs, incremental costs and incremental cost effectiveness, by study. Where details of currency and price year were available in original studies, we would convert measures of costs, incremental costs and cost effectiveness to (latest year) International Dollars value using implicit price deflators for gross domestic product (GDP) and GDP purchasing power parities (eppi.ioe.ac.uk/costconversion/default.aspx; Shemlit 2011). We would summarise details of the methodological characteristics of individual included health economics studies in the ‘Characteristics of included studies’ tables. We would conduct all elements of the economics component of this review according to current guidance on the use of economics methods in the preparation and maintenance of Cochrane Reviews (Shemlit 2011).

GRADE, 'Summary of findings' tables and results reporting

For evidence from intervention studies, based on the methods described in Chapter 11 of the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions (Schünemann 2017a), we prepared a 'Summary of findings' table to present the results of the following outcomes.

  • Overall survival

  • Progression‐free survival

  • Quality of life

  • Anxiety

For each assumed risk cited in the tables, we provided a rationale, and used the GRADE system to rank the quality of the evidence (Schünemann 2017b). Where the evidence was based on single studies, or where there was no evidence on a specific outcome, we included the outcome in the 'Summary of findings' tables and graded or explained accordingly. Two review authors would grade the evidence together. We would consider downgrading evidence of a clear effect derived from single studies with small sample sizes or few events and would resolve any differences of opinion by discussion and, if necessary, by involving a third review author. We planned to report the results of the meta‐analyses in the text based on the guidance from Cochrane Effective Practice and Organisation of Care on review results reporting and interpretation (EPOC 2015).

For the economic evaluation evidence, we planned to present the following findings in a table.

  • Method of economic evaluation

  • Costs

  • Outcomes

  • Incremental cost‐effectiveness ratio

Subgroup analysis and investigation of heterogeneity

For intervention studies, we planned to perform subgroup analysis by the glioma grade (low grade and high grade) and molecular markers, if possible. We planned to use formal tests for subgroup differences to determine whether the effect of interventions differs according to these subgroups. Depending on these findings, we would consider whether an overall summary was meaningful. We would have also considered factors such as age, gender, type of treatment, and risk of bias in interpretation of any heterogeneity. If we had identified substantial heterogeneity, we planned to investigate it in sensitivity analyses.

Sensitivity analysis

For intervention studies, we planned to perform sensitivity analysis to investigate substantial heterogeneity identified in meta‐analyses of primary outcomes and also to evaluate the effect after excluding studies at high risk of bias, to investigate how study quality affects the certainty of the findings.

Results

Description of studies

Results of the search

Intervention study searches

Electronic searches for intervention studies yielded 1891 deduplicated records. Of these, we selected 57 studies on title and abstract as potentially eligible studies. At this level of screening we included paediatric studies and certain other studies that would clearly be excluded based on study design because we expected included studies to be few and wanted to identify as many studies relevant to the research question as possible. We subsequently found no studies (including an additional abstract identified from the 2016 BNOS conference proceedings) that met our study selection criteria and 58 studies were excluded. We identified no eligible studies on www.ClinicalTrials.gov.

A subsequent top‐up search conducted on 18 June 2019 yielded 173 records and led to the retrieval of two full texts: we included Mrowczynski 2018 and excluded Zaazoue 2019. See Figure 1.


Study flow diagram.

Study flow diagram.

Economic evaluation study searches

The electronic searches for studies of economic evaluation yielded a list of 58 deduplicated records; of these, we identified one study for potential eligibility. After examining the full text of Heinzel 2012 we agreed that the evaluation was not assessing imaging approaches for monitoring or follow‐up but approaches for diagnosis: we therefore excluded this study (i.e. we had not identified any economic evaluations). A top‐up search was carried out in June 2019, which identified a further four records: one of these was potentially eligible (Zaazoue 2019). We considered this study for inclusion as, although it was a paediatric study, some of the participants were over the age of 18. There was, however, no specific subgroup analysis for participants over 18 and ultimately we excluded the study. We therefore have no economic evaluations to include.

Included studies

Intervention evaluation studies

Only one study was included (Mrowczynski 2018). This was a retrospective series of 125 patients with GBM who were treated at the Pennsylvania State University Department of Neurosurgery between 2006 and 2016. The study compared early post‐operative MRI (within 48 hours of surgery) with no early post‐operative MRI. Patients were excluded if they had had a previous low‐grade glioma, and if date of death could not be accurately determined. The primary outcome in this study was overall survival, which was reported in terms of the probability of surviving one and two years, and median survival in days. Mean age was approximately 60 years overall, with slightly more men than women in the cohort. Most patients were treated with maximal safe resection and received radiotherapy (60 Gy) combined with temozolomide chemotherapy, with approximately 80% in both imaging groups completing these treatments. Just over half the patients (56%) also received adjuvant temozolomide or another treatment (e.g. bevacizumab, Optune), or both. The group characteristics were largely comparable between the intervention arms, with a slightly lower mean age and higher treatment completion rates in the early post‐operative imaging group than the no post‐operative imaging group. Authors did not report the timing of the first post‐operative (pre‐radiotherapy) MRI in the 'no early post‐operative imaging' group.

Economic evaluation studies

We identified no economic evaluations for this review.

Excluded studies

Intervention studies

We excluded the 59 studies (58 from the April 2018 search and one from the June 2019 top‐up search) for the following reasons.

  • Several studies had more than one reason for exclusion. For two older studies (Aoyama 1982; Mueller 1981), we were unable to obtain the full text.

In addition, we excluded Heinzel 2012 from the economic search as it related to a different study question, making the total number of excluded studies 59.

Risk of bias in included studies

The only included intervention evaluation study was a non‐randomised retrospective study that we assessed as being at high risk of bias overall, mainly due to high risk of selection bias because the decision about whether or not a patient received the intervention was left to the preference and discretion of the attending clinician (Mrowczynski 2018). Thus, intervention groups might have been divided across different practitioners and have been managed differently. The study population was, however, appropriate in terms of disease evaluated (GBM) and treatment received; and available patient baseline characteristics were comparable between the groups and any differences that might have favoured better outcomes in the intervention group (e.g. lower mean age) did not do so. Molecular information, early re‐operation for residual enhancing disease, and second line and subsequent therapies were not reported. In addition, the reviewer team had concerns about attrition bias from patients who did not have their date of death recorded in the site's system, because the number of patients eligible and included in the study from a 10‐year period at the neuro‐oncology centre seemed low.

Effects of interventions

See: Summary of findings for the main comparison

Evidence from intervention evaluation studies

Comparison: Early post‐operative imaging versus no early post‐operative imaging

The evidence is derived from one included study only (Mrowczynski 2018).

Overall survival

Findings from the single study with 125 subjects suggested little or no difference between early and no early post‐operative imaging with respect to the proportion of deaths at one year after diagnosis (RR 0.86, 95% CI 0.61 to 1.21; 48% vs 55% had died, respectively; very low certainty evidence; Analysis 1.1) or two years after diagnosis (RR 1.06, 95% CI 0.91 to 1.25; 86% vs 81% had died, respectively; very low certainty evidence; Analysis 1.2).

We found no data related to other review outcomes or comparisons.

Evidence from economic evaluation studies

There was no evidence regarding the cost‐effectiveness of different imaging strategies for monitoring glioma in adults.

Discussion

Summary of main results

This systematic review found one retrospective, comparative study (125 patients) of early post‐operative imaging compared with no early post‐operative magnetic resonance imaging for the management of GBM. Evidence suggested that there may be little or no difference with early imaging after surgery compared with no early imaging in patient survival at one and two years after diagnosis when the standard of care for GBM patients was combined radiotherapy and temozolomide after maximal surgical resection. However, we assessed the study as having a high risk of bias for various reasons mainly related to its design, and hence we assessed the evidence as very low quality/certainty.

We found no evidence on the comparative benefits and risks of other types of imaging strategies that could inform guidance on the optimal timing of surveillance imaging.

Overall completeness and applicability of evidence

There is little evidence to inform clinical practice guidelines with respect to the effectiveness of different imaging strategies to improve health outcomes among people with gliomas.

This review has identified no evidence to inform decision makers on the efficiency of different imaging strategies in the management of adults with glioma.

Quality of the evidence

The evidence on the relative effectiveness of early post‐operative imaging is of very low quality/certainty and further research is needed. Evidence on other imaging strategies is absent.

This review has identified no evidence on the cost effectiveness of different imaging strategies in the management of adults with glioma.

Potential biases in the review process

We followed Cochrane methodology for reviews of interventions and are unaware of any potential biases in the review process. We found only one comparative study of the different imaging approaches for GBM in the early post‐operative interval, and none for other types of glioma. We were unable therefore to synthesize any evidence by meta‐analysis. Although we found some studies that had interesting data on imaging time points (for example, from certain studies conducted in paediatric populations), none fulfilled the review eligibility criteria and could inform the review question directly. Whilst we considered deviating from the protocol to allow for potential inclusion of these studies, we decided rather to remain true to the protocol and discuss the strengths and limitations of findings from these 'indirect' studies in the 'Discussion' section of the review. This seemed appropriate as Cochrane Reviews intrinsically evaluate quality/certainty of evidence, and we considered that any evidence potentially derived from such indirect studies would most likely be very low certainty in the context of the review question. This is particularly the case for paediatric studies, since the disease processes and issues surrounding imaging, such as risk from anaesthesia and added parental anxieties, are sufficiently different from the context in adults.

Whilst some might question the value of a relatively 'empty' review with only one included study of limited quality, we believed that identifying knowledge gaps in clinical practice is as important as finding evidence to support a clinical practice. Without identifying the knowledge gaps, meaningful discussions and research planning on how high‐quality studies can be designed to fill the gaps are precluded.

Agreements and disagreements with other studies or reviews

The primary aim of imaging in glioma management is to identify definitive disease progression, as this leads to a change in management. As with any surveillance examination, there will be many visits in which no change of treatment is instigated. To our knowledge, the first review that looked at potential benefits of serial imaging in neuro‐oncology was Christie 1975, which introduced the concept that early transient changes do not reflect true disease progression. A more recent systematic review and evidence‐based clinical practice guideline on low‐grade gliomas in adults did not attempt to answer questions around the effectiveness of imaging (Fouke 2015). One recent review highlighted that trials of imaging are under‐represented in current research prioritisation (Cihoric 2017), and another called for rigorous clinical evaluation of advanced imaging techniques that might distinguish pseudoprogression and pseudoresponse from true progression and response (Shiroishi 2013).

In the absence of evidence on imaging strategies for low‐grade gliomas, a few excluded studies deserve mention: Kim 2014 is a paediatric study that demonstrates the type of research that could potentially be undertaken in adults to generate evidence, particularly since it considers both clinical and economic aspects of imaging options. This retrospective study of 67 children with recurrent grade 1 gliomas evaluated the timing and frequency of post‐operative imaging with respect to recurrence‐free survival and cost in the health system in the USA. Thirteen asymptomatic recurrences occurred and all were detected by imaging, with a mean time to recurrence of 32.4 months (ranging from 2.9 to 128.5 months). Comparing a standard imaging schedule (comprising an MRI every 3 months for the first year, 6 months for the second year, yearly until year 5 and then 2 to 3 yearly thereafter) with a tailored, less frequent schedule (comprising imaging at 0 months, 3 months, 1 year, 2 years, and 5 years after surgery), the authors found that the less frequent schedule (5 scans instead of 10) was sufficient. It is not known whether detection of asymptomatic recurrence improved survival outcomes in this cohort, however, given the slow‐growing nature of the tumour. The authors proposed the less intensive imaging schedule as having potential psychosocial and economic benefits.

Similarly, another study conducted in the USA analysed detection efficiency of different post‐operative surveillance imaging protocols for paediatric low‐grade gliomas (Zaazoue 2019). Based on retrospective data of 517 patients who underwent 8061 scans, they reported that an 8‐image surveillance protocol (comprising imaging at 0 months, 3 months, 6 months, 1 year, 2 years, 3 years, 5 years and 6 years) detected progression at comparable rates to the 15‐image protocol currently in practice in that setting. For patients who underwent gross total resection, this could be further reduced to six scans.

By comparison, for adults with less aggressive gliomas (excluding grade 1) the post‐operative imaging surveillance schedule currently suggested by NICE comprises eight or nine scans in the first five years after surgery. Thus retrospective reviews of adult data similar to the paediatric studies could help to clarify whether this type of schedule is effective, particularly since numbers attainable from several co‐ordinated multi‐centre and international clinical trials would be larger than those available in paediatric practice.

With respect to high‐grade gliomas another excluded study, the findings of which were reported at the 2016 British Neuro‐Oncology Society conference and available in abstract form only, compared recurrence detection rates of interval scans with those of symptomatic scans among 38 GBM patients who had completed the full standard of care chemoradiotherapy regimen (Hamdan 2017). Authors reported that symptomatic scans (n = 12) detected more instances of recurrence than interval scans (n = 145) in this selected group of patients (58.3% vs 22.7%, respectively). In addition, none of these optimally treated patients had disease progression after a fifth stable routine interval scan (presumably within the study period, which was 2004 to 2012). While comparing symptomatic and surveillance imaging, these scans were being carried out in the same cohort, not between two cohorts of differently‐managed patients, and there is no indication of whether this partitioning was done based on actual clinical presence or absence of symptoms and signs, or whether this was based on imaging being on or off schedule ‐ some surveillance imaging is still performed when patients are symptomatic or clinically worsening. There is also no indication of how progressive disease was diagnosed, and whether confirmation of progression on symptomatic imaging was back‐dated to the time of initial ‐ sometimes asymptomatic ‐ suspected progression, as happens in clinical trials using response assessment in neuro‐oncology (RANO) criteria for example. The number of patients (n = 38) and number of symptomatic scans (n = 12) are also low, and there is no way to determine the differential impact of symptomatic versus surveillance imaging on the summary data included in the abstract. Surveillance imaging detected a higher absolute number of progression events than symptomatic imaging (33 versus 7, which of note does not sum to the quoted number of 38 participants). There are no results presented which address whether the asymptomatic progression was associated with different overall outcomes. However, mathematical modelling using a larger database, as suggested by these authors, would appear a reasonable approach to aid in determining the optimal timing of interval scans for low‐ and high‐grade gliomas. Such modelling could use prognostic algorithms to stratify patients into surveillance imaging pathways, and tailoring these pathways to risk factors should optimise resource use (Perreault 2014).

Several studies have evaluated the predictive value of various clinical (patient age, gender, performance status, extent of resection, radiotherapy and chemotherapy) and tumour characteristics (location, volume, histopathology), as well as imaging and molecular biomarkers (Gorlia 2013; Lorimer 2017; Pignatti 2002; Rees 2009). Assessing individual tumour growth rates through serial imaging in the first year after diagnosis could also be helpful by distinguishing those low‐grade gliomas that have a higher risk of progression from those that are in a slow growth phase (Gui 2018; Weizman 2014). A prognostic algorithm that incorporates some or all these factors might, therefore, reliably predict tumour behaviour and facilitate stratification of patients into different surveillance imaging pathways. It could also be important to consider patient preferences as a component of any potential algorithm. Whilst there is currently little known about the potential adverse psychological effects of surveillance imaging, Kim 2014 and others have pointed out that less frequent imaging might reduce its psychological burden, and hence might be preferred by patients, although the obverse may also be the case for some patients and carers who find regular imaging reassuring. Preferences could be assessed in a future survey or study.

In most developed country settings, people receiving treatment for glioma are encouraged to participate in clinical trials (NCCN 2018), which often employ imaging to detect progressive disease at more frequent intervals than suggested in clinical guidance. Thus, it may be challenging to conduct a randomised trial solely to answer the question of the optimal timing of imaging in glioma, particularly if a comparison of generic schedules may be contrary to a more individualised approach.

Finally, in addition to 'when' to image, 'how' to image needs research. We may not be realising any benefit from early/pre‐symptomatic diagnosis of progression because we lack the appropriate stratification tools and treatments. If we had improved techniques that could detect meaningful changes in tumour behaviour before any symptoms present, it might lead to improved decision‐making with regards to continuing or changing treatment and subsequently better patient outcomes. One such example is 2‐hydroxyglutarate (2HG) magnetic resonance spectroscopy, which can provide a non‐invasive biomarker of IDH mutation status and could be used to inform follow‐up approaches (Leather 2017). Biopsies of blood or cerebrospinal fluid may also be used to direct such decisions as this technology improves (Shankar 2017). In the future, these could complement (or even partly replace) surveillance imaging and should be borne in mind in the design of future studies.

Economic evidence

There is a paucity of evidence regarding the efficiency and cost effectiveness of different imaging strategies. We found no studies that examined the cost effectiveness of different imaging strategies for monitoring and follow‐up of adults with glioma but there was one excluded study that built a decision model assessing different imaging strategies for diagnosing glioma (Heinzel 2012). This study used a decision tree model to assess whether the cost effectiveness of the combined use of 18F‐fluoroethyl‐L‐tyrosine (FET) PET and MRI may be superior to MRI alone. The study concludes that the combined strategy had an 18.5% increase in the likelihood of correct diagnosis. If the time horizon of this model could be extended for the entire course of the disease, the costs and benefits of these two imaging strategies could be explored. Another excluded study examined post‐operative interval imaging in a paediatric population (Zaazoue 2019). The study concluded that fewer post‐operative surveillance imaging intervals were necessary to manage low‐grade glioma in a paediatric population compared to standard practice. As discussed above the post‐operative imaging surveillance schedule for adults suggests at least eight scans. If these results were generalisable to an adult population this could result in a more efficient use of imaging resources in the health care system. Future studies modelling the disease progression with different imaging strategies and intervals would aid decision makers in understanding the optimum way to manage adults with glioma from the perspective of both the patient and the health care system.

Study flow diagram.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 1

Study flow diagram.

Comparison 1 Early post‐surgery imaging vs no early imaging, Outcome 1 Overall survival (deaths at 1 year).
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.1

Comparison 1 Early post‐surgery imaging vs no early imaging, Outcome 1 Overall survival (deaths at 1 year).

Comparison 1 Early post‐surgery imaging vs no early imaging, Outcome 2 Overall survival (deaths at 2 years).
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.2

Comparison 1 Early post‐surgery imaging vs no early imaging, Outcome 2 Overall survival (deaths at 2 years).

Early post‐operative MRI compared with no early post‐operative MRI for glioblastoma

Patient or population: adults with glioblastoma

Settings: tertiary care

Intervention: early post‐operative MRI (within 48 hours of tumour resection)

Comparison: no early post‐operative MRI

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

No of Participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Assumed risk

Corresponding risk

No early MRI

Early MRI

Overall survival (deaths at 1 year)

554 per 1000

476 per 1000
(338 to 670)

(RR 0.86, 95% CI 0.61 to 1.21)

125 (1)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
very low1

Overall survival (deaths at 2 years)

804 per 1000

852 per 1000
(732 to 1000)

(RR 1.06, 95% CI 0.91 to 1.25)

125 (1)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
very low1

Progression free survival

no evidence

Anxiety

no evidence

Quality of life

no evidence

*The basis for the assumed risk is the risk in the control group of the included study. The corresponding risk (and its 95% CI) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
CI: Confidence interval; RR: Risk ratio

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High certainty: Further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect.
Moderate certainty: Further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate.
Low certainty: Further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate.
Very low certainty: We are very uncertain about the estimate.

1Downgraded for risk of bias, as the patients in this study received the interventions based on surgeons' preferences and discretion

Figuras y tablas -
Table 1. National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) guidance on interval imaging

Tumour grade

Years after end of treatment

0 to 1

1 to 2

2 to 3

3 to 4

5 to 10

> 10 (for the rest of life)

Grade 1

Scan at 12 months, then:

  • consider discharge if no tumour visible on imaging unless completely resected pilocytic astrocytoma

  • consider ongoing imaging at increasing intervals for 15 years for completely resected pilocytic astrocytoma

  • consider if ongoing imaging is needed at a rate of once every 1 to 3 years for the rest of the person's life if the tumour is visible on imaging

Grade II 1p/19q non‐codeleted, IDH mutated

Scan at 3 months, then every 6 months

Annually

Every 1 to 2 years

Consider ongoing imaging every 1 to 2 years

Grade II 1p/19q codeleted

Grade III 1p/19q codeleted

Grade II IDH wildtype

Every 3 to

6 months

Every 6 to

12 months

Annually

Consider ongoing imaging

every 1 to 2 years

Grade III 1p/19q non‐codeleted

Grade IV (glioblastoma)

From NICE 2018 (p17) Table 3: Possible regular clinical review schedule for people with glioma depending on grade of tumour

Figuras y tablas -
Table 1. National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) guidance on interval imaging
Comparison 1. Early post‐surgery imaging vs no early imaging

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Overall survival (deaths at 1 year) Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

1.1 HGG

1

125

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.86 [0.61, 1.21]

1.2 LGG

0

0

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.0 [0.0, 0.0]

2 Overall survival (deaths at 2 years) Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

2.1 HGG

1

125

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.06 [0.91, 1.25]

2.2 LGG

0

0

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.0 [0.0, 0.0]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 1. Early post‐surgery imaging vs no early imaging