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Study flow diagram.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 1

Study flow diagram.

‘Risk of bias' summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included trial.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 2

‘Risk of bias' summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included trial.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg versus permethrin 5% cream, outcome: 1.1 Complete clearance ‐ week 1.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 3

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg versus permethrin 5% cream, outcome: 1.1 Complete clearance ‐ week 1.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg versus permethrin 5% cream, outcome: 1.2 Complete clearance ‐ week 2.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 4

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg versus permethrin 5% cream, outcome: 1.2 Complete clearance ‐ week 2.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications), outcome: 1.3 Complete clearance ‐ week 4.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 5

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications), outcome: 1.3 Complete clearance ‐ week 4.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg versus permethrin 5% cream, outcome: 1.5 Number of participants with ≥ 1 adverse event ‐ week 4.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 6

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg versus permethrin 5% cream, outcome: 1.5 Number of participants with ≥ 1 adverse event ‐ week 4.

Comparison 1 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 1 Complete clearance ‐ week 1.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.1

Comparison 1 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 1 Complete clearance ‐ week 1.

Comparison 1 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 2 Complete clearance ‐ week 2.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.2

Comparison 1 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 2 Complete clearance ‐ week 2.

Comparison 1 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 3 Complete clearance ‐ week 4.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.3

Comparison 1 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 3 Complete clearance ‐ week 4.

Comparison 1 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 4 Subgroup analysis for 1.3.2 ‐ complete clearance ‐ week 4.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.4

Comparison 1 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 4 Subgroup analysis for 1.3.2 ‐ complete clearance ‐ week 4.

Comparison 1 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 5 Number of participants with ≥ 1 adverse event ‐ week 2.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.5

Comparison 1 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 5 Number of participants with ≥ 1 adverse event ‐ week 2.

Comparison 1 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 6 Number of participants with ≥ 1 adverse event ‐ week 4.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.6

Comparison 1 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 6 Number of participants with ≥ 1 adverse event ‐ week 4.

Comparison 1 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 7 Withdrawal due to adverse event ‐ week 4.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.7

Comparison 1 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 7 Withdrawal due to adverse event ‐ week 4.

Comparison 2 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 2 doses) versus permethrin 5% lotion (1 to 5 applications), Outcome 1 Complete clearance ‐ week 1.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.1

Comparison 2 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 2 doses) versus permethrin 5% lotion (1 to 5 applications), Outcome 1 Complete clearance ‐ week 1.

Comparison 2 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 2 doses) versus permethrin 5% lotion (1 to 5 applications), Outcome 2 Complete clearance ‐ week 2.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.2

Comparison 2 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 2 doses) versus permethrin 5% lotion (1 to 5 applications), Outcome 2 Complete clearance ‐ week 2.

Comparison 2 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 2 doses) versus permethrin 5% lotion (1 to 5 applications), Outcome 3 Number of participants with ≥ 1 adverse event ‐ week 2.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.3

Comparison 2 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 2 doses) versus permethrin 5% lotion (1 to 5 applications), Outcome 3 Number of participants with ≥ 1 adverse event ‐ week 2.

Comparison 2 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 2 doses) versus permethrin 5% lotion (1 to 5 applications), Outcome 4 Withdrawal due to adverse event ‐ week 2.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.4

Comparison 2 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 2 doses) versus permethrin 5% lotion (1 to 5 applications), Outcome 4 Withdrawal due to adverse event ‐ week 2.

Comparison 3 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus ivermectin 1% lotion/solution (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 1 Complete clearance ‐ week 1.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.1

Comparison 3 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus ivermectin 1% lotion/solution (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 1 Complete clearance ‐ week 1.

Comparison 3 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus ivermectin 1% lotion/solution (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 2 Complete clearance ‐ week 2.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.2

Comparison 3 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus ivermectin 1% lotion/solution (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 2 Complete clearance ‐ week 2.

Comparison 3 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus ivermectin 1% lotion/solution (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 3 Complete clearance ‐ week 4.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.3

Comparison 3 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus ivermectin 1% lotion/solution (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 3 Complete clearance ‐ week 4.

Comparison 3 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus ivermectin 1% lotion/solution (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 4 Number of participants with ≥ 1 adverse event ‐ week 4.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.4

Comparison 3 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus ivermectin 1% lotion/solution (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 4 Number of participants with ≥ 1 adverse event ‐ week 4.

Comparison 3 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus ivermectin 1% lotion/solution (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 5 Withdrawal due to adverse event ‐ week 4.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.5

Comparison 3 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus ivermectin 1% lotion/solution (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 5 Withdrawal due to adverse event ‐ week 4.

Comparison 4 Ivermectin 1% lotion (1 to 3 applications) versus permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 1 Complete clearance ‐ week 4.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.1

Comparison 4 Ivermectin 1% lotion (1 to 3 applications) versus permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 1 Complete clearance ‐ week 4.

Comparison 4 Ivermectin 1% lotion (1 to 3 applications) versus permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 2 Number of participants with ≥ 1 adverse event ‐ week 4.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.2

Comparison 4 Ivermectin 1% lotion (1 to 3 applications) versus permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications), Outcome 2 Number of participants with ≥ 1 adverse event ‐ week 4.

Comparison 5 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 dose) versus ivermectin 200 μg/kg (2 doses), Outcome 1 Complete clearance ‐ week 4.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 5.1

Comparison 5 Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 dose) versus ivermectin 200 μg/kg (2 doses), Outcome 1 Complete clearance ‐ week 4.

Summary of findings for the main comparison. Oral ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) compared to topical permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications)

Oral ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) compared to topical permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications) for treating scabies

Patient or population: people with scabies, 2 to 80 years of age
Location: India, Pakistan
Intervention: oral ivermectin 200 μg/kg
Comparison: topical permethrin 5% cream

Outcomes

Anticipated absolute effects* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

Number of participants
(trials)

Certainty of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Risk with permethrin 5% cream

Risk with ivermectin 200 μg/kg

Complete clearance ‐ week 1

654 per 1000

425 per 1000
(353 to 510)

RR 0.65
(0.54 to 0.78)

613
(6 RCTs)1

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW2,3

Complete clearance ‐ week 2

744 per 1000

677 per 1000
(565 to 804)

RR 0.91
(0.76 to 1.08)

459
(5 RCTs)4

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW2,5

In 1 study non‐responders were re‐treated after 1 week; in 1 study 44.44% of participants (IVER) and 17.86% of participants (PER) were re‐treated after 1 week (absolute numbers are unclear).

Complete clearance ‐ week 4 ‐ IVER 1 dose versus PER 1 application

900 per 1000

900 per 1000
(774 to 1000)

RR 1.00
(0.86 to 1.16)

80
(1 RCT)6

⊕⊕⊕⊕
HIGH

Complete clearance ‐ week 4 ‐ IVER 1 to 3 doses versus PER 1 to 3 applications

932 per 1000

857 per 1000
(764 to 959)

RR 0.92
(0.82 to 1.03)

581
(5 RCTs)7

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW2,8

In 3 studies non‐responders were re‐treated once; in 1 study non‐responders were re‐treated after 2 and/or 3 weeks (absolute numbers are unclear); in 1 study 12 participants (IVER) and 1 participant (PER) were re‐treated after 2 weeks.

Complete clearance ‐ week 4 ‐ IVER 2 doses versus PER 1 application

900 per 1000

873 per 1000
(747 to 1000)

RR 0.97
(0.83 to 1.14)

80
(1 RCT)6

⊕⊕⊕⊕
HIGH

Number of participants with ≥ 1 AE ‐ week 2

0 per 1000

0 per 1000
(0 to 0)

Not estimable

55
(1 RCT)9

⊕⊕⊕⊝
MODERATE2

0 events; 44.44% of participants (IVER) and 17.86% of participants (PER) were re‐treated after 1 week (absolute numbers are unclear)

Number of participants with ≥ 1 AE ‐ week 4

39 per 1000

51 per 1000
(14 to 190)

RR 1.30
(0.35 to 4.83)

502
(4 RCTs)10

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW2,11

In 1 study non‐responders were re‐treated after 2 weeks; in 1 study non‐responders were re‐treated after 2 and 3 weeks; in 1 study participants in IVER group were re‐treated (absolute numbers are unclear).

Withdrawal due to AE ‐ week 4

See comment

See comment

305
(3 RCTs)12

⊕⊕⊕⊝
MODERATE2

0 events; in 1 study non‐responders were re‐treated after 1 week (absolute numbers are unclear); in 1 study 12 participants (IVER) and 1 participant (PER) were re‐treated after 2 weeks

*The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% CI) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
Abbreviations: AE: adverse event; CI: confidence interval; IVER: ivermectin; PER: permethrin; RCT: randomized controlled trial; RR: risk ratio.

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High certainty: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect.
Moderate certainty: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different.
Low certainty: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect.
Very low certainty: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect.

1Usha 2000; Bachewar 2009; Sharma 2011; Rohatgi 2013; Meenakshi 2014; Wankhade 2016.
2Downgraded by 1 for serious risk of bias: assessed as moderate.
3Downgraded by 1 for serious imprecision: CI crosses minimal clinically important difference threshold: statistically significant difference of uncertain clinical importance.
4Usha 2000; Bachewar 2009; Mushtaq 2010; Sharma 2011; Rohatgi 2013.
5Downgraded by 1 for serious inconsistency: I² = 61% (P = 0.04).
6Sharma 2011.
7Usha 2000; Mushtaq 2010; Chhaiya 2012; Rohatgi 2013; Wankhade 2016.
8Downgraded by 1 for serious inconsistency: I² = 74% (P = 0.004).
9Bachewar 2009.
10Mushtaq 2010; Sharma 2011; Chhaiya 2012; Wankhade 2016.
11Downgraded by 1 for serious imprecision: CI crosses line of no effect and minimal clinically important difference thresholds: uncertain whether there is any difference.
12Usha 2000; Manjhi 2014; Wankhade 2016.

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings for the main comparison. Oral ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) compared to topical permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications)
Summary of findings 2. Oral ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 2 doses) compared to topical permethrin 5% lotion (1 to 5 applications)

Oral ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 2 doses) compared to topical permethrin 5% lotion (1 to 5 applications) for treating scabies

Patient or population: people with scabies, 5 to 60 years of age
Location: Egypt, Pakistan
Intervention: oral ivermectin 200 μg/kg
Comparison: topical permethrin 5% lotion

Outcomes

Anticipated absolute effects* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

Number of participants
(trials)

Certainty of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Risk with permethrin 5% lotion

Risk with ivermectin 200 μg/kg

Complete clearance ‐ week 1 ‐ IVER 1 dose versus PER 1 application

733 per 1000

682 per 1000
(543 to 858)

RR 0.93
(0.74 to 1.17)

120
(1 RCT)1

⊕⊕⊕⊝
MODERATE2

Complete clearance ‐ week 1 ‐ IVER 1 dose versus PER on 5 consecutive nights

593 per 1000

415 per 1000
(279 to 610)

RR 0.70
(0.47 to 1.03)

107
(1 RCT)3

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW2,4

Complete clearance ‐ week 2 ‐ IVER 1 dose versus PER 1 application

667 per 1000

667 per 1000
(520 to 860)

RR 1.00
(0.78 to 1.29)

120
(1 RCT)1

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW 2,4

Complete clearance ‐ week 2 ‐ IVER 2 doses versus PER on 5 consecutive nights

815 per 1000

790 per 1000
(660 to 953)

RR 0.97
(0.81 to 1.17)

107
(1 RCT)3

⊕⊕⊕⊝
MODERATE2

Number of participants with ≥ 1 AE ‐ week 2 ‐ IVER 2 doses versus PER on 5 consecutive nights

0 per 1000

0 per 1000
(0 to 0)

RR 5.00
(0.25 to 101.58)

100
(1 RCT)1

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VERY LOW 2,5

Withdrawal due to AE ‐ week 2 ‐ IVER 1 dose versus PER 1 application

0 per 1000

0 per 1000
(0 to 0)

Not estimable

120
(1 RCT)1

⊕⊕⊕⊝
MODERATE2

0 events

*The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% CI) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).

Abbreviations: AE: adverse event; CI: confidence interval; IVER: ivermectin; PER: permethrin; RCT: randomized controlled trial; RR: risk ratio

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High certainty: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect.
Moderate certainty: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different.
Low certainty: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect.
Very low certainty: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect.

1Saqib 2012.
2Downgraded by 1 for serious risk of bias: assessed as moderate.
3Abdel‐Raheem 2016.
4Downgraded by 1 for serious imprecision: CI crosses line of no effect and minimal clinically important difference thresholds: uncertain whether there is any difference.
5Downgraded by 2 for very serious imprecision: CI crosses line of no effect and minimal clinically important difference thresholds: uncertain whether there is any difference and wide CI.

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings 2. Oral ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 2 doses) compared to topical permethrin 5% lotion (1 to 5 applications)
Summary of findings 3. Oral ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) compared to topical ivermectin 1% lotion/solution (1 to 3 applications)

Oral ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) compared to topical ivermectin 1% lotion/solution (1 to 3 applications) for treating scabies

Patient or population: people with scabies, 5 to 80 years of age
Location: Egypt, India
Intervention: oral ivermectin 200 μg/kg
Comparison: topical ivermectin 1% lotion/solution

Outcomes

Anticipated absolute effects* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

Number of participants
(trials)

Certainty of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Risk with ivermectin 1% lotion/solution

Risk with ivermectin 200 μg/kg

Complete clearance ‐ week 1

875 per 1000

735 per 1000
(569 to 945)

RR 0.84
(0.65 to 1.08)

62
(1 RCT)1

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW2,3

Complete clearance ‐ week 2

1000 per 1000

1000 per 1000
(940 to 1000)

RR 1.00
(0.94 to 1.06)

62
(1 RCT)1

⊕⊕⊕⊝
MODERATE2

8 participants (oral IVER) and 4 participants (topical IVER) were re‐treated after 1 week.

Complete clearance ‐ week 4

971 per 1000

961 per 1000
(922 to 1000)

RR 0.99
(0.95 to 1.03)

272
(2 RCTs)1,4

⊕⊕⊕⊝
MODERATE2

In 1 study 8 participants (oral IVER) and 4 participants (topical IVER) were re‐treated after 1 week; in 1 study non‐responders were re‐treated after 2 and/or 3 weeks (absolute numbers are unclear).

Number of participants with ≥ 1 AE ‐ week 4

0 per 1000

0 per 1000
(0 to 0)

RR 5.05
(0.25 to 103.87)

201
(1 RCT)4

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VERY LOW2,5

Non‐responders were re‐treated after 2 and/or 3 weeks (absolute numbers are unclear).

Withdrawal due to AE ‐ week 4

0 per 1000

0 per 1000
(0 to 0)

Not estimable

62
(1 RCT)4

⊕⊕⊕⊝
MODERATE2

0 events; 8 participants (oral IVER) and 4 participants (topical IVER) were re‐treated after 1 week.

*The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% CI) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
Abbreviations: AE: adverse event; CI: confidence interval; IVER: ivermectin; RCT: randomized controlled trial; RR: risk ratio.

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High certainty: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect.
Moderate certainty: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different.
Low certainty: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect.
Very low certainty: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect.

1Ahmad 2016.
2Downgraded by 1 for serious risk of bias: assessed as moderate.
3Downgraded by 1 for serious imprecision: CI crosses line of no effect and minimal clinically important difference thresholds: uncertain whether there is any difference.
4Chhaiya 2012.
5Downgraded by 2 for very serious imprecision: CI crosses line of no effect and minimal clinically important difference thresholds: uncertain whether there is any difference and wide CI.

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings 3. Oral ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) compared to topical ivermectin 1% lotion/solution (1 to 3 applications)
Summary of findings 4. Topical ivermectin 1% lotion (1 to 3 applications) compared to topical permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications)

Topical ivermectin 1% lotion (1 to 3 applications) compared to topical permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications) for treating scabies

Patient or population: people with scabies, 5 to 80 years of age
Location: India
Intervention: topical ivermectin 1% lotion
Comparison: topical permethrin 5% cream

Outcomes

Anticipated absolute effects* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

Number of participants
(trials)

Certainty of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Risk with permethrin 5% cream

Risk with ivermectin 1% lotion

Complete clearance ‐ week 4

943 per 1000

962 per 1000
(905 to 1000)

RR 1.02
(0.96 to 1.08)

210
(1 RCT)1

⊕⊕⊕⊝
MODERATE2

Non‐responders were re‐treated after 2 and/or 3 weeks (absolute numbers are unclear).

Number of participants with ≥ 1 AE ‐ week 4

10 per 1000

3 per 1000
(0 to 80)

RR 0.33
(0.01 to 7.93)

200
(1 RCT)1

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VERY LOW2,3

Non‐responders were re‐treated after 2 and/or 3 weeks (absolute numbers are unclear).

*The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% CI) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
Abbreviations: AE: adverse event; CI: confidence interval; RCT: randomized controlled trial; RR: risk ratio.

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High certainty: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect.
Moderate certainty: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different.
Low certainty: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect.
Very low certainty: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect.

1Chhaiya 2012.
2Downgraded by 1 for serious risk of bias: assessed as moderate.
3Downgraded by 2 for very serious imprecision: CI crosses line of no effect and minimal clinically important difference thresholds: uncertain whether there is any difference and wide CI.

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings 4. Topical ivermectin 1% lotion (1 to 3 applications) compared to topical permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications)
Summary of findings 5. Oral ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 dose) compared to oral ivermectin 200 μg/kg (2 doses)

Oral ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 dose) compared to oral ivermectin 200 μg/kg (2 doses) for treating scabies

Patient or population: people with scabies, over 5 years of age
Location: India
Intervention: oral ivermectin 200 μg/kg 1 dose
Comparison: oral ivermectin 200 μg/kg 2 doses

Outcomes

Anticipated absolute effects* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

Number of participants
(trials)

Certainty of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Risk with ivermectin 200 μg/kg 2 doses

Risk with ivermectin 200 μg/kg 1 dose

Complete clearance ‐ week 4

900 per 1000

873 per 1000
(747 to 1000)

RR 0.97
(0.83 to 1.14)

80
(1 RCT)1

⊕⊕⊕⊕
HIGH

*The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% CI) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
Abbreviations: CI: confidence interval; RR: risk ratio.

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High certainty: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect.
Moderate certainty: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate. The true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different.
Low certainty: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited. The true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect.
Very low certainty: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate. The true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect.

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings 5. Oral ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 dose) compared to oral ivermectin 200 μg/kg (2 doses)
Comparison 1. Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications)

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Complete clearance ‐ week 1 Show forest plot

6

613

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.65 [0.54, 0.78]

2 Complete clearance ‐ week 2 Show forest plot

5

459

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.91 [0.76, 1.08]

3 Complete clearance ‐ week 4 Show forest plot

6

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

3.1 IVER 1 dose versus PER 1 application

1

80

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.0 [0.86, 1.16]

3.2 IVER 1 to 3 doses versus PER 1 to 3 applications

5

581

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.92 [0.82, 1.03]

3.3 IVER 2 doses versus PER 1 application

1

80

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.97 [0.83, 1.14]

4 Subgroup analysis for 1.3.2 ‐ complete clearance ‐ week 4 Show forest plot

5

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

4.1 IVER 1 to 3 doses versus PER 1 to 3 applications ‐ 5 studies

5

581

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.92 [0.82, 1.03]

4.2 IVER 1 to 3 doses versus PER 1 to 3 applications ‐ 3 studies

3

410

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.98 [0.91, 1.06]

5 Number of participants with ≥ 1 adverse event ‐ week 2 Show forest plot

1

55

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.0 [0.0, 0.0]

6 Number of participants with ≥ 1 adverse event ‐ week 4 Show forest plot

4

502

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.30 [0.35, 4.83]

7 Withdrawal due to adverse event ‐ week 4 Show forest plot

3

305

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.0 [0.0, 0.0]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 1. Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications)
Comparison 2. Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 2 doses) versus permethrin 5% lotion (1 to 5 applications)

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Complete clearance ‐ week 1 Show forest plot

2

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

1.1 IVER 1 dose versus PER 1 application

1

120

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.93 [0.74, 1.17]

1.2 IVER 1 dose versus PER on 5 consecutive nights

1

107

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.70 [0.47, 1.03]

2 Complete clearance ‐ week 2 Show forest plot

2

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

2.1 IVER 1 dose versus PER 1 application

1

120

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.0 [0.78, 1.29]

2.2 IVER 2 doses versus PER on 5 consecutive nights

1

107

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.97 [0.81, 1.17]

3 Number of participants with ≥ 1 adverse event ‐ week 2 Show forest plot

1

100

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

5.00 [0.25, 101.58]

4 Withdrawal due to adverse event ‐ week 2 Show forest plot

1

120

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.0 [0.0, 0.0]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 2. Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 2 doses) versus permethrin 5% lotion (1 to 5 applications)
Comparison 3. Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus ivermectin 1% lotion/solution (1 to 3 applications)

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Complete clearance ‐ week 1 Show forest plot

1

62

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.84 [0.65, 1.08]

2 Complete clearance ‐ week 2 Show forest plot

1

62

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.0 [0.94, 1.06]

3 Complete clearance ‐ week 4 Show forest plot

2

272

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.99 [0.95, 1.03]

4 Number of participants with ≥ 1 adverse event ‐ week 4 Show forest plot

1

201

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

5.05 [0.25, 103.87]

5 Withdrawal due to adverse event ‐ week 4 Show forest plot

1

62

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.0 [0.0, 0.0]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 3. Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 to 3 doses) versus ivermectin 1% lotion/solution (1 to 3 applications)
Comparison 4. Ivermectin 1% lotion (1 to 3 applications) versus permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications)

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Complete clearance ‐ week 4 Show forest plot

1

210

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.02 [0.96, 1.08]

2 Number of participants with ≥ 1 adverse event ‐ week 4 Show forest plot

1

200

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.33 [0.01, 7.93]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 4. Ivermectin 1% lotion (1 to 3 applications) versus permethrin 5% cream (1 to 3 applications)
Comparison 5. Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 dose) versus ivermectin 200 μg/kg (2 doses)

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Complete clearance ‐ week 4 Show forest plot

1

80

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.97 [0.83, 1.14]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 5. Ivermectin 200 μg/kg (1 dose) versus ivermectin 200 μg/kg (2 doses)