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Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews

Productos biológicos o tofacitinib para pacientes con artritis reumatoide que nunca han recibido metotrexato: una revisión sistemática y un metanálisis en red

Información

DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD012657Copiar DOI
Base de datos:
  1. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews
Versión publicada:
  1. 08 mayo 2017see what's new
Tipo:
  1. Overview
Etapa:
  1. Review
Grupo Editorial Cochrane:
  1. Grupo Cochrane de Salud musculoesquelética

Copyright:
  1. Copyright © 2017 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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Autores

  • Jasvinder A Singh

    Correspondencia a: Department of Medicine, Birmingham VA Medical Center, Birmingham, USA

    [email protected]

  • Alomgir Hossain

    Cardiovascular Research Methods Centre, University of Ottawa Heart Institute, Ottawa, Canada

  • Amy S Mudano

    Department of Medicine ‐ Rheumatology, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, USA

  • Elizabeth Tanjong Ghogomu

    Bruyère Research Institute, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada

  • Maria E Suarez‐Almazor

    Department of General Internal Medicine, The University of Texas, MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, USA

  • Rachelle Buchbinder

    Monash Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Cabrini Hospital, Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Malvern, Australia

  • Lara J Maxwell

    Centre for Practice‐Changing Research (CPCR), Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (OHRI), The Ottawa Hospital ‐ General Campus, Ottawa, Canada

  • Peter Tugwella

    Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada

    Joint senior author

  • George A Wellsa

    Department of Epidemiology and Community Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada

    Joint senior author

Contributions of authors

JS ‐ study concept
JS, GW ‐ protocol development
JS, PT, GW, ETG ‐ protocol editing
JS, GW, ETG ‐ data extraction
JS, AM ‐ study quality rating
AH, GW, JS, AM‐ data analysis
JS ‐ first draft of the review and NMA
All authors ‐ revision of the manuscript, and approval of the final version

Sources of support

Internal sources

  • The Oak Foundation, Switzerland.

    provide support for The Parker Institute: Musculoskeletal Statistics Unit.

  • Birmingham VA Medical Center, Other.

    JAS is also supported by the resources and the use of facilities at the VA Medical Center at Birmingham, Alabama, USA.

External sources

  • Jasvinder Singh, USA.

    This work was supported in part by resources provided to the UAB Cochrane NMA Satellite by the Rheumatology division at University of Alabama at Birmingham (UAB). JAS is supported by grants from the Agency for Health Quality and Research Center for Education and Research on Therapeutics (AHRQ CERTs) U19 HS021110, National Institute of Arthritis, Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases (NIAMS) P50 AR060772 and U34 AR062891, National Institute of Aging (NIA) U01 AG018947, National Cancer Institute (NCI) U10 CA149950, and research contract CE‐1304‐6631 from the Patient Centered Outcomes Research Institute (PCORI). JAS is also supported by the resources and the use of facilities at the VA Medical Center at Birmingham, Alabama, USA.

Declarations of interest

JS ‐ JS has received research grants from Takeda and Savient and consultant fees from Savient, Takeda, Regeneron, Merz, Iroko, Bioiberica, Crealta and Allergan pharmaceuticals, WebMD, UBM LLC and the American College of Rheumatology. JS serves as the principal investigator for an investigator‐initiated study funded by Horizon pharmaceuticals through a grant to DINORA, Inc., a 501 (c)(3) entity. JS is a member of the executive of OMERACT, an organization that develops outcome measures in rheumatology and receives arms‐length funding from 36 companies; a member of the American College of Rheumatology's (ACR) Annual Meeting Planning Committee (AMPC); Chair of the ACR Meet‐the‐Professor, Workshop and Study Group Subcommittee; and a member of the Veterans Affairs Rheumatology Field Advisory Committee.
AH ‐ none
AM ‐ none
EG ‐ none
RB ‐ RB is a Principal Investigator and Chair of the Management Committee of the Australian Rheumatology Association Database (ARAD). The Australian Rheumatology Association receives ongoing unrestricted educational grants from Abbvie, AstraZeneca, Bristol‐Myers Squibb, Celgene, Pfizer and Sanofi to support ARAD
LM ‐ none
MSA ‐ research grant from Pfizer. Consultant fees from Pfizer
PT ‐ grants/honoraria from Bristol Myers, Chiltern International, and UCB
GW ‐ research grant and consultant fee from Bristol‐Myers Squibb

Acknowledgements

We thank Shahrzad Noorbaloochi and Tyler Cullis at Boston University for contributing to abstract/title review and data abstraction, and TC for double‐checking the data; Tamara Rader of University of Ottawa for performing the searches.

This work was supported in part by resources provided to the University of Alabama at Birmingham (UAB) Cochrane NMA Satellite by the Rheuamtology division at UAB.

JS is supported by the resources and the use of facilities at the VA Medical Center at Birmingham, Alabama, USA.

RB is funded by an Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) Senior Principal Research Fellowship.

Version history

Published

Title

Stage

Authors

Version

2017 May 08

Biologics or tofacitinib for people with rheumatoid arthritis naive to methotrexate: a systematic review and network meta‐analysis

Review

Jasvinder A Singh, Alomgir Hossain, Amy S Mudano, Elizabeth Tanjong Ghogomu, Maria E Suarez‐Almazor, Rachelle Buchbinder, Lara J Maxwell, Peter Tugwell, George A Wells

https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD012657

Notes

We used risk ratios in the Abstract, 'Summary of findings' table and Plain language summary for ease of interpretation. Throughout the rest of the review and NMA, we used odds ratios derived from the NMA.

Keywords

MeSH

Study flow diagram
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 1

Study flow diagram

Network diagram: ACR50 in people with rheumatoid arthritis who were MTX/other DMARD‐naive
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 2

Network diagram: ACR50 in people with rheumatoid arthritis who were MTX/other DMARD‐naive

ACR50: biologic (with and without concomitant MTX) versus comparator
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 3

ACR50: biologic (with and without concomitant MTX) versus comparator

HAQ: biologic (with and without concomitant MTX) versus comparator
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 4

HAQ: biologic (with and without concomitant MTX) versus comparator

Remission: biologic (with and without concomitant MTX) versus comparator
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 5

Remission: biologic (with and without concomitant MTX) versus comparator

Radiographic progression: biologic (+MTX) versus comparator
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 6

Radiographic progression: biologic (+MTX) versus comparator

Withdrawals due to adverse events: biologic (with and without concomitant MTX) versus comparator
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 7

Withdrawals due to adverse events: biologic (with and without concomitant MTX) versus comparator

Serious adverse events: biologic (with and without concomitant MTX) versus comparator
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 8

Serious adverse events: biologic (with and without concomitant MTX) versus comparator

Cancer: biologic (with and without concomitant MTX) versus comparator
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 9

Cancer: biologic (with and without concomitant MTX) versus comparator

Table 1. Characteristics of included studies

Study name

Biologic(s)

Biologic dose(s)

Number of study arms

Non‐biologic comparator

Concomitant use of MTX

Trial duration

RA duration

Biologic‐naive

Total number of participants

Bejarano 2008

Adalimumab

SD

2

MTX + PL

Yes

13 months

Established

Yes

148

Bejarano 2010

Infliximab

SD

2

MTX + PL

Yes

8 years

Established

No

20

Breedveld 2006

Adalimumab (+/‐ MTX)

SD

3

MTX + PL

Yes

24 months

Established

Yes

799

Detert 2013

Adalimumab

SD

2

MTX + PL

Yes

12 months

Early

Yes

172

Durez 2007

Infliximab

SD

2

MP + MTX

Yes

12 months

Early

No

29

Emery 2008 (COMET)

Etanercept

SD

2

MTX + PL

Yes

12 months

Established

Yes

542

Emery 2009 (GO‐BEFORE)

Golilumab (+/‐ MTX)

SD, HD

4

MTX + PL

Yes

12 months

Established

No

637

Kavanaugh 2013 (OPTIMA)

Adalimumab

SD

2

MTX + PL

Yes

6 months

Established

No

1032

Marcora 2006

Etanercept

SD

2

MTX

No

6 months

Unknown

Yes

26

Nam 2014a

Infliximab

SD

2

MP + MTX

Yes

6 months

Early

Yes

112

Nam 2014b

Etanercept

SD

2

MTX + PL

Yes

12 months

Early

Yes

110

Quinn 2005

Infliximab

SD

2

MTX + PL

Yes

12 months

Early

Yes

20

Rantalaiho 2014

Infliximab

SD

2

MTX + PL

Yes

24 months

Early

Yes

93

Soubrier 2009

Adalimumab

SD

2

MTX + PL

Yes

12 months

Established

No

65

St Clair 2004 (ASPIRE)

Infliximab

SD, HD

3

MTX + PL

Yes

12 months

Early

Yes

1049

Tak 2012

Rituximab

SD, LD

3

MTX + PL

Yes

24 months

Early

Yes

748

Takeuchi 2014

Adalimumab

SD

2

MTX + PL

Yes

6 months

Early

Yes

334

Tam 2012

Infliximab

SD

2

MTX

Yes

12 months

Established

Yes

40

Westhovens 2009

Abatacept

SD

2

MTX + PL

Yes

24 months

Established

No

509

HD: high dose; LD: low dose; MTX: methotrexate; PL: placebo; SD = standard dose

Figuras y tablas -
Table 1. Characteristics of included studies
Table 2. 'Summary of findings' table for biologics vs comparator in MTX/other DMARD‐naive people

Comparison

Direct evidence

Network meta‐analysis

Outcome: ACR50

No. of participants

(studies)

RR (95% CI)

Absolute risk difference, NNTB

Quality of evidence (GRADE)

RR (95% CrI)

Absolute risk difference, NNTB

Quality of evidence (GRADE)

Biologics + MTX

versus comparator

5720

(14 studies)

1.40 (1.30 to 1.49)

16% (13% to 20%)

NNTB = 7 (6 to 8)

⊕⊕⊕⊖ moderate (downgraded for inconsistency)1

n/a

TNF biologic alone (without MTX)

versus comparator

850

(2 studies)

0.94 (0.73 to 1.22)

‐2% (‐11% to 7%)

NNTB = n/a

⊕⊕⊕⊖ moderate (downgraded for imprecision)2

1.00 (0.82 to 1.21)

0% (‐8% to 9%)

NNTB = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for imprecision and indirectness)2,4

TNF biologic + MTX

versus comparator

4463

(12 studies)

1.44 (1.34 to 1.54)

17% (13% to 21%)

NNTB = 6 (5 to 8)

⊕⊕⊕⊕ high3

1.42 (1.30 to 1.54)

18% (13% to 22%)

NNTB = 6 (5 to 8)

⊕⊕⊕⊖ moderate (downgraded for indirectness)4

Non‐TNF biologic + MTX

versus comparator

1257

(2 studies)

1.27 (1.14 to 1.42)

13% (7% to 19%)

NNTB = 8 (6 to 14)

⊕⊕⊕⊕ high3

1.31 (1.11 to 1.52)

13% (5% to 22%)

NNTB = 8 (5 to 22)

⊕⊕⊕⊖ moderate (downgraded for indirectness)4

Outcome: HAQ score

0‐3 (higher = worse): a measure of function

No. of participants

(studies)

Direct evidence

Network meta‐analysis

MD (95% CI)

Absolute risk difference, NNTB

Quality of evidence (GRADE)

MD (95% CrI)

Absolute risk difference, NNTB

Quality of evidence (GRADE)

Biologics + MTX

versus comparator

3872

(13 studies)

‐0.10 (‐0.16 to ‐0.04)

‐3.3% (‐5.3% to ‐1.3%)

NNTB = 4 (2 to 15)

⊕⊕⊕⊖ moderate (downgraded for inconsistency)5

n/a

TNF biologic alone (without MTX)

versus comparator

557

(2 studies)

0.09 (‐0.24 to 0.41)

3% (‐8% to 13.7%)

NNTB = n/a

⊕⊕⊕⊖ moderate (downgraded for imprecision)2

0.17 (‐0.19 to 0.54)

5.7% (‐6.3% to 18%)

NNTB = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for imprecision and indirectness)2,4

TNF biologic + MTX

versus comparator

2615

(11 studies)

‐0.09 (‐0.26 to 0.07)

‐3% (‐8.7% to 2.3%)

NNTB = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for imprecision and inconsistency)2,6

‐0.08 (‐0.25 to 0.07)

‐2.7% (‐8.3% to 2.3%)

NNTB = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for imprecision and indirectness)2,4

Non‐TNF biologic + MTX

versus comparator

1257

(2 studies)

‐0.22 (‐0.26 to ‐0.18)

‐7.3% (‐8.7% to ‐6%)

NNTB = 2 (2 to 3)

⊕⊕⊕⊖ moderate (downgraded for inconsistency)7

‐0.22 (‐0.55 to 0.11)

‐7.3% (‐18.3% to 3.7%)

NNTB = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for imprecision and indirectness)2,4

Outcome: Remission

(defined as DAS < 1.6 or DAS28 < 2.6)

No. of participants

(studies)

Direct evidence

Network meta‐analysis

RR (95% CI)

Absolute risk difference, NNTB

Quality of evidence (GRADE)

RR (95% CrI)

Absolute risk difference, NNTB

Quality of evidence (GRADE)

Biologics + MTX

versus comparator

5128

(15 studies)

1.62 (1.33 to 1.98)

15% (11% to 19%)

NNTB = 5 (6 to 7)

⊕⊕⊕⊖ moderate (downgraded for inconsistency)8

n/a

TNF biologic alone (without MTX)

versus comparator

850

(2 studies)

1.08 (0.83 to 1.41)

2% (‐3% to 8%)

NNTB = n/a

⊕⊕⊕⊖ moderate (downgraded for imprecision)2

1.02 (0.74 to 1.39)

1% (‐7% to 11%)

NNTB = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for imprecision and indirectness)2,4

TNF biologic + MTX

versus comparator

4463

(12 studies)

1.55 (1.22 to 1.96)

14% (9% to 19%)

NNTB = 7 (5 to 10)

⊕⊕⊕⊖ moderate (downgraded for inconsistency)9

1.62 (1.40 to 1.86)

18% (12% to 23%)

NNTB = 7 (5 to 10)

⊕⊕⊕⊖ moderate (downgraded for indirectness)4

Non‐TNF biologic + MTX

versus comparator

1257

(2 studies)

2.10 (1.45 to 3.04)

19% (15% to 24%)

NNTB = 6 (4 to 9)

⊕⊕⊕⊖ moderate (downgraded for inconsistency)10

1.85 (1.46 to 2.28)

24% (13% to 35%)

NNTB = 6 (4 to 10)

⊕⊕⊕⊖ moderate (downgraded for indirectness)4

Outcome: Radiographic progression

on Sharp/Van der Heijde modification (0‐448 points)

No. of participants

(studies)

Direct evidence

Network meta‐analysis

MD (95% CI)

Absolute risk difference, NNTB

Quality of evidence (GRADE)

MD (95% CrI)

Absolute risk difference, NNTB

Quality of evidence (GRADE)

Biologics + MTX

versus comparator

2256

(5 studies)

‐2.56 (‐6.03 to 0.92)

‐0.57% (‐1.35% to 0.21%)

NNTB = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for imprecision and inconsistency)2,11

n/a

TNF biologic + MTX

versus comparator

1747

(4 studies)

‐3.18 (‐6.80 to 0.43)

‐0.71% (‐1.52% to 959.82%)

NNTB = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for imprecision and inconsistency)2,12

‐3.73 (‐5.78 to ‐1.62)

‐0.83% (‐1.29% to ‐0.36%)

NNTB = 3 (3 to 7)

⊕⊕⊕⊖ moderate (downgraded for indirectness)4

Non‐TNF biologic + MTX

versus comparator

509

(1 study)

‐0.43 (‐2.04 to 1.18)

‐0.22% (‐0.46% to 0.26%)

NNTB = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for imprecision and inconsistency)2,11

‐0.42 (‐4.22 to 3.41)

‐0.09% (‐0.94% to 0.76%)

NNTB = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for imprecision and indirectness)2,4

Outcome: Withdrawals due to adverse events

No. of participants

(studies)

Direct evidence

Network meta‐analysis

RR (95% CI)

Absolute risk difference, NNTB

Quality of evidence (GRADE)

RR (95% CrI)

Absolute risk difference, NNTB

Quality of evidence (GRADE)

Biologics + MTX

versus comparator

5800

(14 studies)

1.32 (0.89 to 1.97)

2% (0% to 4%)

NNTH = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for inconsistency and imprecision )1,2

n/a

TNF biologic alone (without MTX)

versus comparator

850

(2 studies)

1.14 (0.62 to 2.10)

0% (‐4% to 4%)

NNTH = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for serious imprecision)13

0.93 (0.41 to 1.90)

0% (‐2% to 3%)

NNTH = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for imprecision and indirectness)2,4

TNF biologic + MTX

versus comparator

4543

(12 studies)

1.60 (1.10 to 2.32)

3% (1% to 4%)

NNTH = 35 (17 to 183)

⊕⊕⊕⊖ moderate (downgraded for imprecision)14

1.68 (1.16 to 2.56)

3% (1% to 5%)

NNTH = 31 (14 to 138)

⊕⊕⊕⊖ moderate (downgraded for indirectness)4

Non‐TNF biologic + MTX

versus comparator

1257

(2 studies)

0.56 (0.31 to 1.01)

‐2% (‐5% to 1%)

NNTH = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for serious imprecision)13

0.56 (0.25 to 1.29)

‐2% (‐3% to 1%)

NNTH = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for imprecision and indirectness)2,4

Outcome: Serious adverse events

No. of participants

(studies)

Direct evidence

Network meta‐analysis

RR (95% CI)

Absolute risk difference, NNTB

Quality of evidence (GRADE)

RR (95% CrI)

Absolute risk difference, NNTB

Quality of evidence (GRADE)

Biologics + MTX

versus comparator

4850

(12 studies)

1.05 (0.87 to 1.26)

1% (‐1% to 3%)

NNTH = n/a

⊕⊕⊕⊖ moderate (downgraded for imprecision)2

n/a

TNF biologic alone (without MTX)

versus comparator

319

(1 study)

0.46 (0.16 to 1.29)

‐4% (‐8% to 1%)

NNTH = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for serious imprecision)13

0.52 (0.16 to 1.30)

‐5% (‐9% to 3%)

NNTH = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for imprecision and indirectness)2,4

TNF biologic + MTX

versus comparator

3593

(10 studies)

1.14 (0.92 to 1.42)

1% (‐1% to 3%)

NNTH = n/a

⊕⊕⊕⊖ moderate (downgraded for imprecision)2

1.16 (0.90 to 1.51)

2% (‐1% to 4%)

NNTH = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for imprecision and indirectness)2,4

Non‐TNF biologic + MTX

versus comparator

1257

(2 studies)

0.87 (0.64 to 1.18)

‐1% (‐5% to 2%)

NNTH = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for serious imprecision)13

0.87 (0.57 to 1.34)

‐1% (‐4% to 3%)

NNTH = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for imprecision and indirectness)2,4

Outcome: Cancer

(note: Peto OR used but can interpret as RR due to low event rate)

No. of participants

(studies)

Direct evidence

Network meta‐analysis

RR (95% CI)

Absolute risk difference, NNTB

Quality of evidence (GRADE)

RR (95% CrI)

Absolute risk difference, NNTB

Quality of evidence (GRADE)

Biologics + MTX

versus comparator

4611

(11 studies)

0.71 (0.38 to 1.33)

0% (0% to 0%)

NNTH = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for serious imprecision)13

n/a

TNF biologic alone (without MTX)

versus comparator

850

(2 studies)

0.79 (0.24 to 2.61)

0% (‐2% to 1%)

NNTH = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for serious imprecision)13

0.94 (0.25 to 3.18)

0% (‐1% to 2%)

NNTH = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for imprecision and indirectness)2,4

TNF biologic + MTX

versus comparator

3863

(10 studies)

0.77 (0.35 to 1.69)

0% (0% to 0%)

NNTH = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for serious imprecision)13

0.81 (0.36 to 1.73)

0% (‐1% to 0%)

NNTH = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for imprecision and indirectness)2,4

Non‐TNF biologic + MTX

versus comparator

748

(1 study)

0.62 (0.22 to 1.77)

0% (‐3% to 1%)

NNTH = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for serious imprecision)13

0.64 (0.20 to 2.12)

0% (‐1% to 1%)

NNTH = n/a

⊕⊕⊖⊖ low (downgraded for imprecision and indirectness)2,4

Comparator = MTX and/or DMARD

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality (⊕⊕⊕⊕): we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect
Moderate quality (⊕⊕⊕⊖): we are moderately confident in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different
Low quality (⊕⊕⊖⊖): our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect
Very low quality (⊕⊖⊖⊖): we have very little confidence in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect

CI: confidence interval; CrI; credible interval; DAS: Disease Activity Score; DMARD: disease‐modifying anti‐rheumatic drug; MTX: methotrexate; n/a: not available; NNTB/NNTH: number needed to treat for an additional beneficial/harmful outcome; OR: odds ratio; RR: risk ratio; TNF: tumor necrosis factor

1Downgraded for inconsistency: I2= 51%.
2Downgraded for imprecision: 95% CI estimate includes both null effect and appreciable benefit or harm.
3No evidence of imprecision or inconsistency. Number of events > 300.
4Downgraded for indirectness/intransitivity due to differing participant characteristics (established vs late RA; types of failures); differing biologic doses and co‐interventions; and differing comparators.
5Downgraded for inconsistency: I2= 93%.
6Downgraded for inconsistency: I2= 90%.
7Downgraded for inconsistency: I2= 95%.
8Downgraded for inconsistency: I2= 75%.
9Downgraded for inconsistency: I2= 81%.
10Downgraded for inconsistency: I2= 65%.
11Downgraded for inconsistency: I2= 97%.
12Downgraded for inconsistency: I2= 96%.
13Downgraded twice for serious imprecision ‐ few events (< 300) and 95% CI estimate includes both null effect and appreciable benefit or harm.
14Downgraded for imprecision ‐ few events (< 300)

Figuras y tablas -
Table 2. 'Summary of findings' table for biologics vs comparator in MTX/other DMARD‐naive people