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Monoterapia con topiramato versus carbamazepina para la epilepsia: una revisión de datos de pacientes individuales

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Antecedentes

La epilepsia es una afección neurológica frecuente en que las descargas eléctricas anormales del cerebro provocan crisis convulsivas espontáneas recurrentes. Se cree que con una farmacoterapia efectiva, en hasta un 70% de los pacientes con epilepsia activa es posible conseguir el cese de las crisis convulsivas e ingresar en un período de remisión a largo plazo poco después de iniciado el tratamiento, y la mayoría de los pacientes pueden lograr la remisión con un solo fármaco antiepiléptico (FAE).

Es fundamental la elección correcta del tratamiento antiepiléptico de primera línea para los pacientes con crisis convulsivas de diagnóstico reciente. Es importante que la elección del FAE para un paciente se base en pruebas de alta calidad disponibles con respecto a los posibles efectos beneficiosos y perjudiciales de diversos tratamientos. Es también importante comparar la eficacia y la tolerabilidad de los FAE adecuados para tipos de crisis convulsivas específicos.

El topiramato y la carbamazepina son FAE de uso frecuente. Una síntesis de las pruebas de los ensayos existentes aumentará la precisión de los resultados en relación con la eficacia y la tolerabilidad, y puede ayudar a elegir entre los dos fármacos.

Objetivos

Evaluar los efectos de la monoterapia con topiramato versus la monoterapia con carbamazepina para la epilepsia en pacientes con crisis convulsivas de inicio parcial (simples o parciales complejas y secundariamente generalizadas) o crisis convulsivas de inicio generalizado tónico‐clónicas (con o sin otros tipos de crisis convulsivas generalizadas).

Métodos de búsqueda

Se hicieron búsquedas en el registro especializado del Grupo Cochrane de Epilepsia (Cochrane Epilepsy Group Specialized Register) (14 abril 2016), Registro Cochrane Central de Ensayos Controlados (Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials) (CENTRAL) (14 abril 2016) y en MEDLINE (Ovid, 1946 hasta 14 abril 2016). No se impuso ninguna restricción de idioma. También se contactó con las compañías farmacéuticas y los investigadores de los ensayos.

Criterios de selección

Ensayos controlados aleatorios en niños o adultos con crisis convulsivas de inicio parcial o de inicio generalizado tónico‐clónicas con o sin otra crisis convulsiva generalizada, con una comparación de la monoterapia con topiramato o carbamazepina.

Obtención y análisis de los datos

Ésta fue una revisión de datos de pacientes individuales (DPI). El resultado primario fue el "tiempo hasta el retiro del tratamiento asignado", y los resultados secundarios fueron: "tiempo hasta la crisis convulsiva después de la asignación al azar", "tiempo hasta la remisión de seis meses", "tiempo hasta la remisión de 12 meses" e incidencia de eventos adversos. Se usaron los modelos de regresión de riesgos proporcionales de Cox para obtener cálculos específicos de los ensayos de los cocientes de riesgos instantáneos (CRI) con intervalos de confianza (IC) del 95%, y se usó el método de la varianza inversa genérica para obtener los CRI y los IC del 95% agrupados generales.

Resultados principales

Se disponía de DPI para 1151 de 1239 pacientes de dos de tres estudios aptos (93% de los datos potenciales). Una pequeña proporción de los pacientes incorporados en estos ensayos presentaban "crisis convulsivas no clasificadas"; para los fines del análisis, estos pacientes se agrupan con los que presentaban crisis convulsivas de inicio generalizado. Para los resultados de remisión, un CRI < 1 indicó una ventaja para la carbamazepina, y para la primera crisis convulsiva y los resultados de retiro, un CRI < 1 indicó una ventaja para el topiramato.

Los principales resultados generales, presentados como CRI agrupados y ajustadas para el tipo de crisis convulsiva (IC del 95%) fueron: para el tiempo hasta el retiro del tratamiento asignado 1,16 (0,98 a 1,38); tiempo hasta la primera crisis convulsiva 1,11 (0,96 a 1,29); y tiempo hasta la remisión de seis meses 0,88 (0,76 a 1,01). No hubo diferencias estadísticamente significativas entre los fármacos. Se demostró una ventaja estadísticamente significativa para la carbamazepina por el tiempo hasta la remisión de 12 meses: 0,84 (0,71 a 1,00).

Los resultados de esta revisión son aplicables sobre todo a los pacientes con crisis convulsivas de inicio parcial; 85% de los pacientes incluidos presentaban crisis convulsivas de este tipo al inicio del estudio. Para los pacientes con crisis convulsivas de inicio parcial, se demostró una ventaja estadísticamente significativa para la carbamazepina en el tiempo hasta el retiro del tratamiento asignado (CRI 1,20; IC del 95%: 1,00 a 1,45) y el tiempo hasta la remisión de 12 meses (CRI 0,84; IC del 95%: 0,71 a 1,00). No se evidenció ninguna diferencia estadísticamente significativa entre los fármacos para otros resultados y para el número limitado de pacientes con crisis convulsivas de inicio generalizado tónico‐clónicas con o sin otros tipos de crisis convulsiva o crisis convulsivas no clasificadas generalizadas.

Los eventos adversos informados con mayor frecuencia para ambos fármacos fueron: somnolencia o fatiga, sensación de “alfileres y agujas” (sensación de hormigueo), cefalea, molestias gastrointestinales y ansiedad o depresión. La tasa de eventos adversos fue similar para los dos fármacos.

La calidad metodológica de los ensayos incluidos se consideró en general como buena; sin embargo, hubo algunas pruebas de que el diseño abierto del más grande de los dos ensayos puede haber influido en la tasa de pérdidas del ensayo. En consecuencia, se consideró que la calidad de las pruebas para el resultado primario de retiro del tratamiento fue moderada para los pacientes con crisis convulsivas de inicio parcial y baja para los pacientes con crisis convulsivas de inicio generalizado. Para los resultados de eficacia (primera crisis convulsiva, remisión), se consideró que la calidad de las pruebas de esta revisión fue alta para los pacientes con crisis convulsivas de inicio parcial, y moderada para los pacientes con crisis convulsivas de inicio generalizado o no clasificadas.

Conclusiones de los autores

Para los pacientes con crisis convulsivas de inicio parcial, hay pruebas de que es menos probable que se retire la carbamazepina y que la remisión de 12 meses se logre antes que con topiramato. No se encontraron diferencias entre los fármacos en cuanto a los resultados medidos en la revisión para los pacientes con crisis convulsivas generalizadas tónico‐clónicas con o sin otros tipos de crisis convulsiva o epilepsia no clasificada; sin embargo, se sugiere el cuidado en la interpretación de estos resultados debido al reducido número de pacientes con estos tipos de crisis convulsiva.

Se recomienda que los ensayos futuros estén diseñados con la calidad más alta posible y consideren la ocultación, la elección de la población, la clasificación del tipo de crisis convulsiva, la duración del seguimiento, la elección de los resultados y el análisis y la presentación de los resultados.

PICO

Population
Intervention
Comparison
Outcome

El uso y la enseñanza del modelo PICO están muy extendidos en el ámbito de la atención sanitaria basada en la evidencia para formular preguntas y estrategias de búsqueda y para caracterizar estudios o metanálisis clínicos. PICO son las siglas en inglés de cuatro posibles componentes de una pregunta de investigación: paciente, población o problema; intervención; comparación; desenlace (outcome).

Para saber más sobre el uso del modelo PICO, puede consultar el Manual Cochrane.

Resumen en términos sencillos

Topiramato versus carbamazepina como monoterapia para la epilepsia

La epilepsia es una afección frecuente del sistema nervioso en que descargas eléctricas anormales del cerebro provocan crisis convulsivas (convulsiones físicas o alteraciones del pensamiento o una combinación de estos síntomas). Se estudiaron dos tipos de crisis convulsivas epilépticas en esta revisión: las crisis convulsivas de inicio generalizado, en que las descargas eléctricas comienzan en una parte del cerebro y se desplazan por todo el órgano; y las crisis convulsivas de inicio parcial (también conocida como crisis convulsivas de inicio focal), en que la crisis convulsiva se genera en y afecta la misma parte del cerebro. Las crisis convulsivas de inicio parcial pueden generalizarse (generalización secundaria) y desplazarse desde una región del cerebro a todo el órgano. Hasta un 70% de pacientes con epilepsia activa tienen la posibilidad de entrar en remisión a largo plazo poco después del comienzo de la farmacoterapia, y cerca de un 70% de estos pacientes pueden lograr la ausencia de crisis convulsivas con un solo fármaco antiepiléptico.

Esta revisión se aplica a los pacientes con crisis convulsivas de inicio parcial (con o sin generalización secundaria) y los pacientes con crisis convulsivas tónico‐clónicas, un tipo específico de crisis convulsiva de inicio generalizado, ya que los tratamientos recomendados para estos tipos de crisis convulsiva son similares.

El topiramato y la carbamazepina son los tratamientos usados para los pacientes con epilepsia con más frecuencia. El objetivo de esta revisión fue comparar la efectividad de estos fármacos para el control de crisis convulsivas de diagnóstico reciente, si se asocian con efectos secundarios que pueden llevar a la suspensión del fármaco y a informar una elección entre estos fármacos.

Se buscaron los ensayos publicados en abril de 2016. Se evaluaron las pruebas de tres ensayos clínicos que compararon el topiramato con la carbamazepina. Se pudieron combinar datos de 1151 pacientes de dos ensayos; No se pudieron usar los datos del ensayo restante, que incluyó a 88 participantes.

La mayoría (85%) de los pacientes incluidos en los dos ensayos presentaron crisis convulsivas parciales, de manera que los resultados de esta revisión se aplican principalmente a los pacientes con este tipo de crisis convulsiva. Muchos de los pacientes del 15% restante presentaron un tipo de crisis convulsiva que fue difícil de clasificar como parcial o generalizada (crisis convulsivas no clasificadas). Si se consideran sólo los pacientes con crisis convulsivas parciales, los resultados mostraron que para los que tomaban la carbamazepina fue más probable que siguieran el tratamiento por más tiempo y que lograran una remisión de 12 meses antes que los que tomaban el topiramato. No se halló ninguna diferencia entre los fármacos en los pacientes con epilepsia no clasificada ni de comienzo generalizada.

Los eventos adversos informados por los pacientes con mayor frecuencia durante los ensayos fueron: fatiga, sensación de “alfileres y agujas” (sensación de hormigueo), cefalea, molestias gastrointestinales y ansiedad o depresión. Los pacientes que tomaban topiramato o carbamazepina informaron un número similar de ocasiones en que se presentaron estos efectos secundarios.

Para los pacientes con crisis convulsivas de inicio parcial, se consideró que la calidad de las pruebas era moderada a alta. El diseño de los ensayos (si los pacientes y los médicos a cargo conocían el fármaco que tomaban) puede haber influido en el tiempo en que un participante se mantuvo en tratamiento. Para el reducido número de pacientes con crisis convulsivas de inicio generalizado o no clasificadas, se consideró que la calidad de las pruebas fue baja a moderada.

En la actualidad, la carbamazepina es recomendada por los expertos para el tratamiento de los pacientes con diagnóstico reciente de crisis convulsivas de inicio parcial, y los resultados de esta revisión no aportan pruebas para contradecir esta recomendación. Se necesita más información para los pacientes con crisis convulsivas de inicio generalizado o no clasificadas. Se recomienda que todos los ensayos futuros que comparen estos fármacos, u otros fármacos antiepilépticos, estén diseñados con métodos de alta calidad, y los tipos de crisis convulsivas de los pacientes incluidos en los ensayos deben clasificarse muy cuidadosamente para asegurar que los resultados sean también de alta calidad.

Authors' conclusions

Implications for practice

Current UK guidelines recommend carbamazepine or lamotrigine as first‐line treatment for adults and children with new‐onset partial seizures, and sodium valproate for adults and children with new‐onset generalised seizures. Topiramate is not currently recommended as a first‐ or second‐line treatment for use in new‐onset partial or generalised seizures (NICE 2012). The results of this review do not provide any conclusive evidence for or against these guidelines.

There is some suggestion from the results of this review that carbamazepine may be a more effective drug for individuals with new‐onset partial seizures in terms of treatment retention (withdrawals due to lack of efficacy, or adverse events, or both occurred later with carbamazepine) and that these individuals may achieve a year of remission from seizures earlier with carbamazepine than with topiramate. However, this difference was not observed for recurrence of a first seizure and for remission of a shorter period.

For individuals with new‐onset generalised tonic‐clonic seizures with or without other generalised seizure types, the evidence in the review is limited due to the small numbers of participants with generalised seizure types recruited into the included trials. Furthermore, an important proportion of individuals had unclassified seizure types, and evidence is limited and inconclusive for these participants.

There is evidence that carbamazepine may exacerbate some generalised seizure types, and so should be used with caution in individuals with this seizure type (Liporace 1994; Shields 1983; Snead 1985). Topiramate may be an effective alternative treatment option to sodium valproate for new‐onset generalised seizures, but more evidence is required to confirm this (NICE 2012). Newer antiepileptic drugs, such as topiramate, may be associated with less intolerable side effects than older drugs, such as carbamazepine (French 2007); however, the results of the review do not suggest that topiramate is better‐ or worse‐tolerated than carbamazepine.

Implications for research

Results of this review are taken from the synthesis of 1151 of 1239 eligible participants from two of three eligible trials. Some of the pooled results from the two studies included in this review approached but did not reach statistical significance; we therefore do not rule out that important differences may exist between the drugs which may come to light if more evidence can be incorporated into the review during future updates.

This review highlights the need for the design of future antiepileptic drug monotherapy trials that recruit individuals with specific epilepsy syndromes to be powered to detect a difference between particular antiepileptic drugs. An approach likely to reflect and inform clinical practice, as well as being statistically powerful, would be to recruit heterogeneous populations for whom epilepsy syndromes have been adequately defined, with testing for interactions between treatments and epilepsy syndromes.

In view of potential problems arising from unclassified seizures and the misclassification of seizure type, it is important that epilepsy syndromes should be well defined in the inclusion criteria of future trials, with adequate checking mechanisms to ensure that classifications are accurate and a system to recognise uncertainty surrounding epilepsy syndromes in individuals within trials. This most commonly applies to tonic‐clonic seizures that may be generalised at onset, or which may be secondarily generalised. In any trial, such unclassified individuals need to be clearly identified, because if they are not they may confound the interpretation of the results for well‐classified individuals. We need to know how to manage participants whose classification we find more difficult.

It is also important that future trials are of a sufficient duration to measure the long‐term effectiveness of antiepileptic drugs ‐ treatments that will be life‐long for many individuals with epilepsy ‐ as well as psychosocial, quality of life and health economic outcomes. Consideration is also required in the design of a trial regarding whether to blind participants and outcome assessors to treatment allocation. While an open‐label design is a more pragmatic and practical approach for large long‐term trials, when trials compare a new intervention with an established 'standard' intervention, masking of treatment may be important to avoid preconceptions over the relative effectiveness of the drugs.

The choice of outcomes at the design stage of a trial and the presentation of the results of outcomes, particularly of a time‐to‐event nature, require very careful consideration. While the majority of trials of a monotherapy design record an outcome measuring efficacy (seizure control) and an outcome measuring tolerability (adverse events), there is little uniformity between the definition of the outcomes and the reporting of the summary statistics related to the outcomes (Nolan 2013a), making an aggregate data approach to meta‐analysis in reviews of monotherapy trials impossible. Where trial authors cannot or will not make individual participant data available for analysis, we are left with no choice but to exclude a proportion of relevant evidence from the review, which may impact upon the interpretation of the results of the review and the applicability of the evidence and conclusions. The International League Against Epilepsy recommends that trials of a monotherapy design should adopt a primary effectiveness outcome of 'time to withdrawal of allocated treatment (retention time)' and should be of a duration of at least 48 weeks to allow for the assessment of longer‐term outcomes such as remission (ILAE 1998; ILAE 2006). If trials followed these recommendations, an aggregate data approach to meta‐analysis could be feasible, reducing the resources and time required by an individual participant data approach.

Summary of findings

Open in table viewer
Summary of findings for the main comparison.

Topiramate compared with carbamazepine for epilepsy

Population: Adults and children with epilepsy

Settings: Outpatients

Intervention: Topiramate

Comparison: Carbamazepine

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

No. of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Assumed risk

Corresponding risk

Carbamazepine

Topiramate

Time to treatment withdrawal (adjusted for epilepsy type)

Range of follow up: 0 to 2420 days

459 per 1000

509 per 1000

(452 to 571)

HR: 1.16

(0.98 to 1.38)

1129

(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
moderate1

HR > 1 indicates a clinical advantage for topiramate

Time to treatment withdrawal ‐ stratified by epilepsy type ‐ partial onset

Range of follow up: 0 to 2420 days

462 per 1000

525 per 1000

(462 to 593)

HR: 1.20

(1.00 to 1.45)

974

(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
moderate1

HR > 1 indicates a clinical advantage for topiramate

Time to treatment withdrawal ‐ stratified by epilepsy type ‐ generalised‐onset or unclassified epilepsy

Range of follow up: 0 to 1446 days

433 per 1000

400 per 1000

(264 to 566)

HR: 0.90

(0.54 to 1.47)

155

(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
low1,2

HR > 1 indicates a clinical advantage for topiramate

The assumed risk is calculated as the event rate in the carbamazepine treatment. The corresponding risk (and its 95% CI) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).

The corresponding risk is calculated as the assumed risk x the relative risk (RR) of the intervention where RR = (1 ‐ exp(HR x ln(1 ‐ assumed risk)))/assumed risk.
CI: Confidence interval; HR: Hazard Ratio

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: Further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect.
Moderate quality: Further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate.
Low quality: Further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate.
Very low quality: We are very uncertain about the estimate.

1. Downgraded once for risk of bias, the larger of the two studies was open‐label (SANAD A 2007) and may have influenced the withdrawal rates of the trial.

2. Downgraded once for imprecision and applicability, limited information on generalised seizure types and most participants do not have a classified seizure type in this subgroup so the interpretation of this seizure type is unclear.

Open in table viewer
Summary of findings 2.

Topiramate compared with carbamazepine for epilepsy

Population: Adults and children with epilepsy

Settings: Outpatients

Intervention: Topiramate

Comparison: Carbamazepine

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

No. of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Assumed risk

Corresponding risk

Carbamazepine

Topiramate

Time to first seizure after randomisation ‐ stratified by epilepsy type

Range of follow up: 0 to 2420 days

646 per 1000

684 per 1000

(631 to 738)

HR: 1.11

(0.96 to 1.29)

1129

(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊕
high

HR > 1 indicates a clinical advantage for topiramate

Time to first seizure after randomisation ‐ stratified by epilepsy type ‐ partial onset

Range of follow up: 0 to 2420 days

660 per 1000

702 per 1000

(645 to 756)

HR: 1.12

(0.96 to 1.31)

962

(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊕
high

HR > 1 indicates a clinical advantage for topiramate

Time to first seizure after randomisation ‐ stratified by epilepsy type ‐ generalised‐onset or unclassified epilepsy

Range of follow up: 0 to 853 days

542 per 1000

567 per 1000

(417 to 729)

HR: 1.07

(0.69 to 1.67)

153

(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
moderate1

HR > 1 indicates a clinical advantage for topiramate

Time to 12‐month remission of seizures ‐ stratified by epilepsy type

Range of follow up: 0 to 2420 days

572 per 1000

510 per 1000

(453 to 572)

HR: 0.84

(0.71 to 1.00)

1129

(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊕
high

HR > 1 indicates a clinical advantage for carbamazepine

Time to 12‐month remission of seizures ‐ stratified by epilepsy type ‐ partial onset

Range of follow up: 0 to 2420 days

574 per 1000

508 per 1000

(445 to 574)

HR: 0.83

(0.69 to 1.00)

962

(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊕
high

HR > 1 indicates a clinical advantage for carbamazepine

Time to 12‐month remission of seizures ‐ stratified by epilepsy type ‐ generalised‐onset or unclassified epilepsy

Range of follow up: 0 to 853 days

559 per 1000

526 per 1000

(378 to 690)

HR: 0.91

(0.58 to 1.43)

153

(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
moderate1

HR > 1 indicates a clinical advantage for carbamazepine

The assumed risk is calculated as the event rate in the carbamazepine treatment. The corresponding risk (and its 95% CI) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).

The corresponding risk is calculated as the assumed risk x the relative risk (RR) of the intervention where RR = (1 ‐ exp(HR x ln(1 ‐ assumed risk)))/assumed risk.
CI: Confidence interval; HR: Hazard Ratio;

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: Further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect.
Moderate quality: Further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate.
Low quality: Further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate.
Very low quality: We are very uncertain about the estimate.

1. Downgraded once for imprecision and applicability, limited information on generalised seizure types and most participants do not have a classified seizure type in this subgroup so the interpretation of this seizure type is unclear.

Background

Description of the condition

Epilepsy is a common neurological condition in which abnormal electrical discharges from the brain cause recurrent, unprovoked seizures. Epilepsy is a disorder comprising many heterogeneous seizure types, with an estimated incidence of 33 to 57 per 100,000 person‐years worldwide (Annegers 1999; Hirtz 2007; MacDonald 2000; Olafsson 2005; Sander 1996), accounting for between 1% and 5% of the global burden of disease (Murray 1994; Sander 1996). The lifetime risk of epilepsy onset is estimated to be 1300 to 4000 per 100,000 person‐years (Hauser 1993; Juul‐Jenson 1983). Recently, around 42 million individuals worldwide were reported to have active epilepsy worldwide (Global Disease 2015); however, country‐specific prevalence and incidence rates are thought to vary considerably, with higher rates in resource‐poor countries (Bell 2014). It is thought that the lifetime prevalence could be as much as 70 million people worldwide (Ngugi 2010). Experts believe that with effective drug treatment, up to 70% of individuals with active epilepsy have the potential to go into long‐term remission shortly after starting drug therapy (Cockerell 1995; Hauser 1993; Sander 2004), and around 70% of these individuals can achieve seizure freedom using antiepileptic drug (AED) monotherapy (Cockerell 1995). Current UK National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) guidelines recommend that both adults and children with epilepsy be treated with monotherapy wherever possible (NICE 2012). The remaining 30% of individuals who experience refractory or drug‐resistant seizures will often require treatment with combinations of AEDs or alternative therapies, such as epilepsy surgery (Kwan 2000).

We studied two seizure types in this review; generalised onset seizures in which electrical discharges begin in one part of the brain and move throughout the brain, and partial onset seizures in which the seizure is generated in and affects one part of the brain (the whole hemisphere of the brain or part of a lobe of the brain).

Description of the intervention

Carbamazepine was amongst the earliest of the 'traditional' drugs licensed for the treatment of epileptic seizures and has been commonly used as monotherapy for partial‐onset and generalised‐onset seizures for over 30 years (Shakir 1980). Topiramate is a 'second‐generation' AED, licensed as monotherapy for epileptic seizures following demonstrations of efficacy in dose‐controlled studies compared with 'traditional' AEDs such as carbamazepine and sodium valproate (Gilliam 2003; Privitera 2003; SANAD A 2007; SANAD B 2007). Comparative trials have also shown newer AEDs, such as topiramate, to be generally well tolerated as monotherapy in both adults and children and associated with fewer adverse events, fewer serious adverse events, and fewer drug interactions with concomitant AEDs and other concomitant medications than 'traditional' first‐line AEDs such as carbamazepine (French 2007).

Evidence regarding the teratogenic effects (disturbances to foetal development) of carbamazepine and topiramate is inconclusive. Experts believe that the risk of congenital malformation may be higher in women taking carbamazepine than in the general population (Meador 2008; Morrow 2006; Weston 2016), and studies have associated carbamazepine with neural tube defects (Matlow 2012). The risk of malformations is thought to be lower for women taking topiramate monotherapy than for those taking carbamazepine monotherapy (Hunt 2008; Meador 2008; Morrow 2006), but the risk of malformation may increase in women taking topiramate as a component of polytherapy (Hunt 2008). It is unclear whether taking topiramate or carbamazepine during pregnancy has any negative neurodevelopmental effects on the child (Bromley 2014).

Current UK guidelines for adults and children recommend carbamazepine or lamotrigine as a first‐line treatment for newly onset partial seizures, and sodium valproate for newly onset generalised tonic‐clonic seizures (with or without other generalised seizure types) (NICE 2012). Carbamazepine may be a suitable second‐line treatment for generalised‐onset tonic‐clonic seizures, but may exacerbate myoclonic or absence seizures (Liporace 1994; Shields 1983; Snead 1985). Topiramate is mainly recommended for adjunctive use, but may be considered as a second‐line treatment for both partial and generalised seizures if first‐line treatments have failed or are unsuitable.

How the intervention might work

AEDs suppress seizures by reducing neuronal excitability (disruption of the usual mechanisms of a neurone within the brain, which may lead to an epileptic seizure) (MacDonald 1995). Both topiramate and carbamazepine are considered broad‐spectrum treatments suitable for many seizure types. Carbamazepine has an anticonvulsant mechanism that works by blocking ion channels, binding with neurotransmitter receptors, or inhibiting the metabolism or reuptake of neurotransmitters (Brodie 1996; Ragsdale 1991). The mechanisms of action of topiramate are not fully understood but may include the inhibition of voltage‐dependent sodium channels and the enhancement or modulation of gamma‐aminobutyric acid‐A by action at a unique modulatory site (Coulter 1993; White 1997).

Why it is important to do this review

With evidence that up to 70% of individuals with active epilepsy have the potential to go into long‐term remission of seizures shortly after starting drug therapy (Cockerell 1995; Hauser 1993; Sander 2004), the correct choice of first‐line antiepileptic therapy for individuals with newly diagnosed seizures is of great importance. It is important that clinicians are able to choose the most appropriate AED for an individual using the highest‐quality evidence available regarding the potential benefits and harms of various treatments. It is also important to compare the efficacy and tolerability of AEDs appropriate to given seizure types. Performing a synthesis of the evidence from existing trials will increase the precision of the results of outcomes relating to efficacy and tolerability, and may help inform a choice between drugs.

There are difficulties in undertaking a systematic review of epilepsy monotherapy trials, as the important efficacy outcomes require analysis of time‐to‐event data (e.g. time to first seizure after randomisation). Although methods have been developed to synthesise time‐to‐event data using summary information (Parmar 1998; Williamson 2002), the appropriate statistics are not commonly reported in published epilepsy trials (Nolan 2013a). Furthermore, although most epilepsy monotherapy trials collect seizure data, the definitions and reporting of outcomes are inconsistent. For example, trials may report time to 12‐month remission but not time to first seizure or vice versa, or some trials may define time to first seizure from the date of randomisation whereas others use the date of achieving maintenance dose. Trial investigators have also adopted differing approaches to data analysis, particularly with respect to the censoring of time‐to event data. To overcome these problems, we performed this review using individual participant data (IPD). This review is one in a series of Cochrane IPD reviews investigating pair‐wise monotherapy comparisons (Marson 2000; Nolan 2013b; Nolan 2013c; Nolan 2013d; Nolan 2015a; Nolan 2015b). The data in these reviews are also included in a network meta‐analysis and a pending network meta‐analysis update (Tudur Smith 2007; see Nolan 2014 for the protocol of the update).

Objectives

To assess the effects of topiramate monotherapy versus carbamazepine monotherapy for epilepsy in people with partial‐onset seizures (simple or complex partial and secondarily generalised) or generalised‐onset tonic‐clonic seizures (with or without other generalised seizure types).

Methods

Criteria for considering studies for this review

Types of studies

  1. Studies must be randomised controlled trials (RCTs) using either an adequate method of allocation concealment (e.g. sealed opaque envelopes) or a quasi‐randomised method of allocation (e.g. allocation by date of birth)

  2. Studies must be of parallel design; cross‐over studies are not an appropriate design for measuring the long‐term outcomes of interest in this review (see Types of outcome measures)

  3. Studies must include a comparison of topiramate monotherapy with carbamazepine monotherapy in individuals with epilepsy; therefore, cluster randomised studies are not an eligible design

We included studies regardless of blinding method (unblinded, single‐blind or double‐blind).

Types of participants

  1. We included trials recruiting children or adults with partial‐onset seizures (simple partial, complex partial, or secondarily generalised tonic‐clonic seizures) or generalised‐onset tonic‐clonic seizures (as a primary generalised seizure type), with or without other generalised seizure types (e.g. absence, myoclonic etc.)

  2. We excluded studies that recruited only individuals with other generalised seizure types, without generalised tonic‐clonic seizures (such as studies recruiting only individuals with a diagnosis of absence seizures or juvenile myoclonic epilepsy, etc.) due to differences in first‐line treatment guidelines (NICE 2012)

  3. We included individuals who had a new diagnosis of epilepsy or who had experienced a relapse following antiepileptic monotherapy withdrawal only, due to differences in first‐line treatment guidelines for individuals with refractory epilepsy (NICE 2012)

Types of interventions

Included studies had to have made a randomised comparison of topiramate and carbamazepine (of any dose) as monotherapy. If studies included additional arms of treatments, other than topiramate and carbamazepine, we did not include these treatment arms in our analysis of the review.

Types of outcome measures

Below is a list of outcomes we investigated in this review. Reporting of these outcomes in the original study report was not an eligibility requirement for this review.

Primary outcomes

Time to withdrawal of allocated treatment after randomisation (retention time). This is a combined outcome reflecting both efficacy and tolerability, as the following may cause withdrawal of treatment: continued seizures, side effects, non‐compliance or the initiation of additional add‐on treatment (i.e. allocated treatment had failed). This is an outcome to which the participant makes a contribution and is the primary outcome measure recommended by the Commission on Antiepileptic Drugs of the International League Against Epilepsy (ILAE 1998; ILAE 2006).

Secondary outcomes

  1. Time to first seizure recurrence post randomisation

  2. Time to achieve 6‐month remission (seizure‐free period) post randomisation

  3. Time to achieve 12‐month remission (seizure‐free period) post randomisation

  4. Incidence of adverse events (all reported, whether related or unrelated to treatment) and adverse events leading to treatment withdrawal

Search methods for identification of studies

Electronic searches

We searched the following databases.

  • Cochrane Epilepsy Group Specialized Register (14/04/2016) using the search strategy shown in Appendix 1.

  • Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) via the Cochrane Register of Studies Online (CRSO, 14/04/2016) using the search strategy shown in Appendix 2.

  • MEDLINE (Ovid, 1946 to 14/04/2016) using the search strategy shown in Appendix 3.

  • ClinicalTrials.gov (14/04/2016) using the search terms: topiramate AND carbamazepine AND epilepsy.

  • WHO International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP, 14/04/2016) using the search terms: topiramate AND carbamazepine AND epilepsy NOT NCT*.

Searching other resources

We handsearched the reference lists of retrieved studies for additional reports of relevant studies. We contacted Novartis (formerly Ciba Geigy, manufacturers of carbamazepine), Janssen Pharmaceuticals (manufacturers of topiramate) and the original investigators of relevant trials to identify any additional published or unpublished data.

Data collection and analysis

Selection of studies

Two review authors (SJN, AGM) independently assessed studies for inclusion, resolving any disagreements by discussion.

Data extraction and management

We requested the following IPD for all studies meeting our inclusion criteria.

  • Design and methods.

    • Method of generation of random list.

    • Method of allocation concealment.

    • Stratification factors.

    • Blinding methods.

  • Participant covariates.

    • Sex.

    • Age.

    • Seizure types.

    • Time between first seizure and randomisation.

    • Number of seizures prior to randomisation (with dates).

    • Presence of neurological signs.

    • Electroencephalographic (EEG) results.

    • Computerised tomography/magnetic resonance imaging (CT/MRI) results.

  • Follow‐up data.

    • Treatment allocation.

    • Date of randomisation.

    • Dates of follow‐up.

    • Dates of seizures post randomisation or seizure frequency data between follow‐up visits.

    • Dates of treatment withdrawal and reasons for treatment withdrawal.

    • Dose.

    • Dates of dose changes.

If IPD were not available for a study, we intended to carry out an assessment to see whether the trial reported any relevant aggregate‐level data or whether we could indirectly estimate such data using the methods of Parmar 1998 and Williamson 2002. Where graphical time‐to‐event data (e.g. Kaplan‐Meier curves) were published, with or without corresponding effective numbers at risk, we intended to use a macro‐enabled Microsoft Excel spreadsheet to indirectly estimate hazard ratios (HRs) or make use of graphical digitising software, if appropriate and the quality of the published graph(s) allowed (Excel 2010; Tierney 2007).

We accepted follow‐up and outcome data in any format provided. One trial provided dates of seizures after randomisation (Privitera 2003) and one study provided the number of seizures recorded at each follow‐up visit (SANAD A 2007). To enable the calculation of time‐to‐event outcomes for studies that provided seizure data only in terms of the number of seizures recorded between each follow‐up visit rather than the specific dates of seizures, we applied linear interpolation to approximate dates of seizures between follow‐up visits. For example, if the trial recorded four seizures between two visits that occurred on 1 March 2010 and 1 May 2010 (interval of 61 days), then we estimated that the first seizure took place around 13 March 2010. This method allowed the computation of an estimate of the time to 6‐ and 12‐month remission for studies of sufficient length.

We calculated time to first seizure from the date of randomisation to the date that we estimated the first seizure to have occurred. If seizure data were missing for a particular visit, we censored these outcomes at the previous visit. We also censored these outcomes if the individual died or if follow up ceased prior to the occurrence of the event of interest.

We calculated time to 6‐ and 12‐month remission from the date of randomisation to the date (or estimated date) that the individual had first been free of seizures for 6 or 12 months, respectively (e.g. 365 days for those who achieve 12‐month remission immediately). If the person had one or more seizure during the trial, a 6‐ or 12‐month seizure‐free period could also occur between the estimated date of the last seizure during the trial and a period of 6 or 12 months of seizure freedom.

We calculated time to treatment withdrawal as the date of randomisation to the date of withdrawal from the trial. For the time‐to‐event analysis, we defined an 'event' as the withdrawal of the allocated treatment because of reasons related to the treatment (i.e. lack of efficacy, occurrence of adverse events, or both; non‐compliance with the treatment regimen; withdrawal of consent from the trial; etc). We censored the outcome if treatment was withdrawn for reasons not related to the trial treatment (i.e. loss to follow‐up, death (not treatment or epilepsy related), etc.). We also censored individuals who were still on allocated treatment at the date of the end of follow‐up.

We considered documented reasons for withdrawal on a case‐by‐case basis for relation to treatment; two authors (SJN, MS) independently classified reasons for withdrawals as events or censored, and resolved any disagreements by discussion. If included trials classified the reasons for withdrawal as events or censored differently from our definitions, we conducted sensitivity analyses to account for differences in the definition of a withdrawal 'event'.

Assessment of risk of bias in included studies

Two review authors (SJN, MS) independently assessed all included studies for risk of bias, resolving any disagreements by discussion. In the event of the presence of a high risk of bias in included trials (due to inadequate allocation concealment or lack of blinding), we intended to conduct sensitivity analyses excluding these trials.

Measures of treatment effect

We measured all outcomes in this review as time‐to‐event outcomes using the HR as the measure of treatment effect. We calculated 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to provide a measure of precision of the treatment effect estimate. We calculated all outcomes from IPD provided, where possible, and if IPD were not available, we intended to use extracted or estimated aggregate data from published trials if possible.

We considered adverse events narratively rather than formally in analyses due to anticipated differences in the format of adverse event reporting in the included studies.

Unit of analysis issues

Cross‐over and cluster randomised studies were not an eligible design for this review (see Types of studies).

If eligible studies included multiple treatment arms of different topiramate or carbamazepine doses, we pooled study arms of the same treatment in primary analyses to allow a comparison of topiramate and carbamazepine. For one trial, which randomised participants to two doses of topiramate (100 mg/day or 200 mg/day), we performed a secondary analysis to analyse the different doses compared with carbamazepine (Privitera 2003).

It was not within the scope of this review to compare directly different doses of the same treatment (e.g. the two doses of topiramate).

Dealing with missing data

For each trial that supplied IPD, we performed the following consistency checks.

  1. We cross‐checked study details against any published report of the study and contacted the data providers if we found missing data, errors or inconsistencies.

  2. If the data providers could not resolve inconsistencies between IPD and published data, we intended to either perform sensitivity analyses or exclude the data from the meta‐analysis, depending on the extent of the inconsistencies.

  3. If possible, we reviewed the chronological randomisation sequence and checked the balance of prognostic factors, taking account of any stratification factors in the randomisation procedure.

Assessment of heterogeneity

We assessed heterogeneity statistically using the Q test (P < 0.10 for significance) and the I2 statistic (values greater than 50% indicating considerable heterogeneity), with output produced using the generic inverse variance approach available in Review Manager (Higgins 2003; RevMan 2014). We also assessed heterogeneity visually by inspecting forest plots.

Assessment of reporting biases

Two review authors (SJN, MS) undertook full quality and 'Risk of bias' assessments according to methods outlined in the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions (Higgins 2011). In theory, a review using IPD should overcome issues of reporting biases, as unpublished data can be provided and unpublished outcomes calculated. We requested all study protocols with IPD. If we suspected any selective reporting bias, we intended to explore the extent of the bias using the Outcome Reporting Bias In Trials (ORBIT) classification system (Kirkham 2010).

Data synthesis

For all outcomes, we investigated the relationship between the time‐to‐event and treatment effect of the AEDs. We used Cox proportional hazards regression models to obtain trial‐specific estimates of log (HR) or treatment effect and associated standard errors (SAS® software, version 9.3, Copyright, SAS Institute Inc. SAS and all other SAS Institute Inc. product or service names are registered trademarks or trademarks of SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, USA). The model assumes that the ratio of hazards (risks) between the two treatment groups is constant over time (i.e. hazards are proportional). We tested this proportional hazards assumption of the Cox regression model for each outcome of each trial by visually inspecting the crossing of survival plots for each trial and by testing the statistical significance of a time‐varying covariate in the model with a conservative judgement of P < 0.10 for significance. We evaluated overall pooled estimates of HRs (with 95% CIs) using the generic inverse variance method. We expressed results as HRs and 95% CIs. We used a fixed‐effect model and, if considerable heterogeneity was present (I2 statistic > 50%), we intended to repeat the analysis using a random‐effects model.

By convention, an HR greater than 1 indicated that an event was more likely to occur earlier with topiramate than with carbamazepine. Hence, for time to withdrawal of allocated treatment or time to first seizure, a HR greater than 1 indicates a clinical advantage for carbamazepine (e.g. a HR of 1.2 would suggest a 20% increase in risk of withdrawal from topiramate compared with carbamazepine), and for time to 6‐month, 12‐ month and 24‐month remission, a HR greater than 1 indicates a clinical advantage for topiramate (i.e. the seizure‐free period occurs earlier with topiramate than with carbamazepine).

We conducted our analysis on an intention‐to‐treat basis (i.e. we analysed participants in the group to which they were randomised, irrespective of which treatment they actually received). Therefore, for the time‐to‐event outcomes 'time to 6‐month remission', 'time to 12‐month remission' and 'time to first seizure post randomisation', we did not censor participants if treatment was withdrawn. Intention‐to‐treat analyses often tend to suggest equivalence between treatments (i.e. no statistically significant difference), so we intended to undertake a secondary per‐protocol analysis as a sensitivity analysis if the primary analyses suggest equivalence. In this case, participants would be censored at the time of drug withdrawal for seizure outcomes.

Subgroup analysis and investigation of heterogeneity

Due to the strong clinical belief that some AEDs are more effective for some seizure types than for others (see Description of the intervention and How the intervention might work), we intended to stratify all analyses by epilepsy type (partial‐onset versus generalised‐onset), according to the classification of main seizure type at baseline. We classified partial seizures (simple or complex) and partial secondarily generalised seizures as partial epilepsy. We classified primarily generalised tonic‐clonic seizures, with or without other seizure types, as generalised epilepsy.

Seizure type was missing (unclassified) for 89 participants from SANAD A 2007 and 13 participants were classified as having generalised‐onset seizures, even though the trial was designed to include only participants with partial‐onset seizures. Also, only 73 participants from Privitera 2003 were classified as having generalised‐onset seizures (by design the majority of participants forming the comparison of carbamazepine and topiramate had partial‐onset seizures, see Characteristics of included studies for more details).

Therefore, for the purposes of subgroup analysis, we felt it would be more appropriate to compare the subgroup of participants with partial‐onset epilepsy and the subgroup with 'generalised‐onset or unclassified epilepsy'. We conducted a Chi2 test of interaction between treatment and epilepsy type.

If further trials recruiting individuals with generalised seizure types are included in updates of this review, we hope to perform a subgroup analysis of partial‐onset versus generalised‐onset epilepsy.

If we deemed considerable statistical heterogeneity to be present (I2 statistic > 50%), we intended to perform meta‐analyses using a random‐effects model in addition to a fixed‐effect model and present the results of both models. Also, if possible, we considered investigating factors that could contribute to heterogeneity (e.g. participant covariates, trial design as described in Data extraction and management) via further subgroup analyses or via metaregression models.

Sensitivity analysis

In addition to the planned sensitivity analyses we intended to perform sensitivity analyses if we considered studies to be at high risk of bias (see Assessment of risk of bias in included studies), if we found inconsistencies between published study reports and the IPD provided (see Dealing with missing data) or if trials included multiple treatment arms (see Unit of analysis issues). We also intended to perform several sensitivity analyses to test the robustness of our results in relation to the characteristics of the included trials.

  1. Definition of time to treatment withdrawal: we classified reasons for withdrawal that were related to the trial treatment as 'events' and reasons not related to treatment as 'censored' in analyses of 'time to treatment withdrawal.' If included trials classified the reasons for withdrawal as events or censored differently from us, we conducted sensitivity analyses to account for differences in the definition of a withdrawal 'event' (SANAD A 2007).

  2. Aggregate data: this is an IPD review; we will include IPD only in all primary analyses. We were unable to extract any aggregate data from the one trial included in this review for which no IPD were available (Resendiz‐Aparicio 2004), but if we are able to extract aggregate data from trials included in future updates of this review (see Data extraction and management), we intend to combine aggregate data with IPD in sensitivity analyses and examine the differences between the IPD and combined analyses.

  3. Open‐label extension: one included trial comprised a 6‐month double‐blind phase followed by an open‐label extension phase (Privitera 2003). As both blinded and open‐label trials are eligible for inclusion in this review, by our intention‐to‐treat approach, we included the entire follow‐up period in analysis . We also performed a sensitivity analysis of outcomes of time to withdrawal of allocated treatment, time to first seizure and time to 6‐month remission, censoring these outcomes at the end of the double‐blind phase and comparing results to those from the primary analysis (we note that in this analysis, time to 6‐month remission becomes time to immediate 6‐month remission when considered over a 6‐month period).

  4. Misclassification of seizure type: this is a recognised problem in epilepsy, whereby some people with generalised seizures have been mistakenly classed as having partial‐onset seizures and vice versa. Such misclassification had an impact on the results of three reviews in a series of pair‐wise reviews of monotherapy in epilepsy comparing carbamazepine, phenobarbitone, phenytoin and sodium valproate, in which around 30% to 50% of participants analysed may have had their seizure type misclassified as generalised onset (Nolan 2013b; Nolan 2015a; Nolan 2015b). Given the potential biases introduced into these three reviews, we examined the distribution of age at onset for individuals with generalised seizures in the trials included in this review, to assess the potential impact of misclassification of seizure type on the outcomes. (There is clinical evidence that individuals with generalised‐onset seizures are unlikely to have an 'age of onset' greater than 25 to 30 years (Malafosse 1994)). Given that most of the individuals recruited to the trials included in the present review experienced partial‐onset seizures, this sensitivity analysis was not appropriate for this review and instead we performed a subgroup analysis of partial‐onset versus generalised‐onset or unclassified epilepsy (see Subgroup analysis and investigation of heterogeneity). For updates of the review, if future trials recruit more individuals with generalised‐onset seizures, we intend to perform a sensitivity analysis in two ways:

a) we will reclassify individuals with generalised seizure types and age at onset greater than 30 years as having partial‐onset seizures, and we will repeat subgroup analyses;

b) we will reclassify individuals with generalised seizure types and age at onset greater than 30 years into an 'uncertain seizure type' group, and we will repeat subgroup analyses with three groups.

'Summary of findings' table

We have presented two 'Summary of findings' tables. The first presents the summary of the main comparison reporting the primary outcome of 'time to treatment withdrawal' in the subgroups of participants with partial‐onset epilepsy and generalised‐onset or unclassified epilepsy overall for all participants, adjusted by epilepsy type.

The second 'Summary of findings' table reports the secondary outcomes of 'time to first seizure' and 'time to 12‐month remission' in the subgroups of participants with partial‐onset epilepsy and generalised‐onset or unclassified epilepsy overall for all participants, adjusted by epilepsy type.

We determined the quality of the evidence using the GRADE approach (GRADEPro 2004), whereby we downgraded evidence in the presence of a high risk of bias in at least one trial, indirectness of the evidence, unexplained heterogeneity or inconsistency, imprecision of results or high probability of publication bias. We downgraded evidence by one level if we considered the limitation to be serious and two levels if we considered it to be very serious. As per the GRADE approach, we could also upgrade evidence if it showed a large treatment effect with no obvious biases or if a dose‐response effect existed.

Results

Description of studies

Results of the search

We identified 131 records from the databases and search strategies outlined in Electronic searches. We found no additional records by handsearching and checking the reference lists of included studies. We removed 30 duplicate records and screened 101 records (title and abstract) for inclusion in the review. We excluded 85 records based on title and abstract, and assessed 16 records describing 4 full‐text articles for inclusion in the review. We excluded 3 records linked to a single study from the review (see Excluded studies below) and included 3 studies in the review described in 13 records (see Included studies below). See Figure 1 for a PRISMA study flow diagram.


Study flow diagram.

Study flow diagram.

Included studies

We included three studies in the review (Privitera 2003; Resendiz‐Aparicio 2004; SANAD A 2007).

One trial recruited individuals over the age of six years (Privitera 2003) and another trial recruited individuals over the age of four years (SANAD A 2007). The third trial recruited children between the ages of 6 and 18 years (Resendiz‐Aparicio 2004).

One trial recruited individuals with partial seizures with or without secondary generalisation (Resendiz‐Aparicio 2004). SANAD A 2007 was designed to recruit individuals with partial seizures only but some individuals with generalised‐onset or unclassified seizures were recruited; we examine this seizure classification in subgroup analysis. Privitera 2003 was designed in two strata based on whether the recommended treatment would be carbamazepine or sodium valproate. Within the two strata, participants were randomised to topiramate 100 mg/day or 200 mg/day, or carbamazepine/sodium valproate depending on the stratum. Only the carbamazepine stratum (participants randomised to carbamazepine or one of the two doses of topiramate) was eligible for the randomised comparison in this review. The majority of participants within this stratum had partial seizures but some individuals with generalised‐onset or unclassified seizures were also recruited; we examine this seizure classification in subgroup analysis.

Two trials recruited individuals with new‐onset seizures (Privitera 2003; Resendiz‐Aparicio 2004) and one trial recruited individuals with new‐onset, relapsed or recurrent seizures (failure of an AED not randomised in the trial) (SANAD A 2007).

All three trials were conducted in a multicentre setting; Resendiz‐Aparicio 2004 was conducted in Mexico, SANAD A 2007 was conducted in the UK and Privitera 2003 was conducted in centres across the USA, Canada, Europe and South America.

IPD were available for two trials randomising 1151 participants to carbamazepine or topiramate (Privitera 2003; SANAD A 2007). For the third trial, which recruited 88 participants, we were unable to contact the original authors and so IPD could not be included in this review (Resendiz‐Aparicio 2004). Overall, IPD were available for 93% of the total eligible 1239 participants.

Data were available for the following participant characteristics (percentage of 1151 participants with data available): drug randomised (100%), sex (98%, data missing for 18 participants in SANAD A 2007), age at randomisation (98%, data missing for 18 participants in SANAD A 2007), number of seizures in six months prior to randomisation (98%, missing for 21 participants in SANAD A 2007) and seizure type (92%, data missing for 89 participants in SANAD A 2007).

Results of neurological examinations were available for 738 of 756 participants (98%) from SANAD A 2007 (data for 18 participants missing). This information was not available for Privitera 2003.

No information was available from either trial regarding EEG or , CT/MRI results and time since first seizure to randomisation.

See the Characteristics of included studies and Table 1 for further details.

Open in table viewer
Table 1. Demographic characteristics of trial participants (trials providing Individual Participant Data)

Partial seizures n (%)

Male gender n (%)

Abnormal neurological

exam, n (%)

Age at entry (years),

mean (SD), range

Number of seizures in prior

6 months, median, range

CBZ

TPM

Missing

CBZ

TPM

Missing

CBZ

TPM

Missing

CBZ

TPM

Missing

CBZ

TPM

Missing

Privitera 2003

104 (81)

218 (82)

0

68 (52)

147 (55)

0

NA

NA

395

35.4 (18.7), 6‐80

33.9 (18.2), 6‐75

0

4(0‐2400)

4 (0‐1346)

0

SANAD A 2007

333 (88)

321 (85)

89

204 (55)

204 (55)

18

87 (24)

105 (28)

18

39.3 (18.4), 5‐82

38.7 (18.6), 5‐86

18

4 (0‐467)

4 (0‐393)

21

CBZ = carbamazepine, TPM = topiramate, NA = not available, SD = standard deviation

Excluded studies

We excluded one study described in three records (Kang 2007). This study recruited children with only benign rolandic epilepsy, which was an ineligible seizure type for this review.

Risk of bias in included studies

For further details, see the Characteristics of included studies and Figure 2.


'Risk of bias' summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.

'Risk of bias' summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.

Allocation

As all three trials described adequate methods of generation of a random list we judged them to be at low risk of bias; Privitera 2003 used computer generated block randomisation, Resendiz‐Aparicio 2004 used random number tables and SANAD A 2007 used minimisation.

SANAD A 2007 used telephone randomisation to a central allocation service, and so we judged the study to be at low risk of bias for allocation concealment. As the other two trials did not describe a method of allocation concealment we judged them to be at unclear risk of bias.

Blinding

We judged the two open‐label trials to be at high risk of performance and detection bias (Resendiz‐Aparicio 2004; SANAD A 2007). The third trial comprised a six‐month double‐blind phase followed by an open‐label extension phase; it was unclear if outcome assessors were blinded in this trial.

Incomplete outcome data

In theory, a review using IPD should overcome issues of attrition bias as unpublished data can be provided, unpublished outcomes calculated, and all randomised participants can be analysed by an intention‐to‐treat approach. Both trials providing IPD (Privitera 2003; SANAD A 2007) for all randomised individuals reported the extent of follow up for each individual. We queried any missing data with the original trial authors. From the information provided by the authors, we deemed the small amount of missing data present (see Included studies) to be missing at random and considered that it did not affect our analysis.

For the trial for which no IPD were provided, we included only those participants who completed the trial in analyses; this is not an intention‐to‐treat approach so we judged this trial to be at high risk of attrition bias (Resendiz‐Aparicio 2004).

Selective reporting

In theory, a review using IPD should overcome issues of reporting biases as unpublished data can be provided and unpublished outcomes calculated. We requested trial protocols in all IPD requests and protocols were provided for Privitera 2003 and SANAD A 2007. We received sufficient IPD to calculate all outcomes for both trials.

For the trial for which no IPD were provided, no protocol was available and the trial publication was translated from Spanish by SJN. We judged seizure outcomes and adverse events to be well reported and to be at low risk of selective reporting bias (Resendiz‐Aparicio 2004).

Other potential sources of bias

We identified no other potential sources of bias in any of the trials.

Effects of interventions

See: Summary of findings for the main comparison ; Summary of findings 2

Table 2 gives details regarding the number of individuals (with IPD) contributing to each analysis, summary of findings Table for the main comparison summarises the results for the primary outcome ‘time to treatment withdrawal’ (stratified by epilepsy type) and summary of findings Table 2 summarises the results for the secondary outcomes ‘time to first seizure’ and ‘time to 12‐month remission.’

Open in table viewer
Table 2. Number of participants included in analyses (trials providing individual participant data)

Number randomised

Time to withdrawal of

randomised treatment

Time to first seizure

Time to 12‐

month remission

Time to 6‐

month remission

CBZ

TPM

Total

CBZ

TPM

Total

CBZ

TPM

Total

CBZ

TPM

Total

CBZ

TPM

Total

Privitera 2003

129

266

395

129

266

395

129

266

395

129

266

395

129

266

395

SANAD A 20071

378

378

756

368

366

734

362

358

720

362

358

720

362

358

720

Total

507

644

1151

497

632

1129

491

624

1115

491

624

1115

491

624

1115

CBZ = carbamazepine, TPM = topiramate

1. Withdrawal time missing for 22 participants and seizure data after follow up missing for 36 participants in SANAD A 2007

Figure 3, Figure 4, Figure 5; Figure 6; Figure 7; Figure 8; Figure 9 and Figure 10 show survival curve plots (cumulative incidence). We produced all cumulative incidence plots in Stata software version 14.1 (Stata 2015) using data from all trials providing IPD combined. We would have liked to stratify by trial in survival curve plots, but we do not know of any software that allows for this; we hope that such software may have been developed for future updates of this review. We note that participants with event times of zero (i.e. those who withdrew from treatment or experienced seizure recurrence on the day of randomisation) are not included on the ‘numbers at risk’ on the graphs. All figures are intended to provide a visual representation of outcomes, extent of follow‐up and visual differences between seizure types, and are not intended to demonstrate statistical differences.


Time to treatment withdrawal (tTime to withdrawal of allocated treatment)

Time to treatment withdrawal (tTime to withdrawal of allocated treatment)


Time to treatment withdrawal (time to withdrawal of allocated treatment (by epilepsy type))

Time to treatment withdrawal (time to withdrawal of allocated treatment (by epilepsy type))


Time to first seizure

Time to first seizure


Time to first seizure (by epilepsy type)

Time to first seizure (by epilepsy type)


Time to 12‐month remission

Time to 12‐month remission


Time to 12‐month remission (by epilepsy type)

Time to 12‐month remission (by epilepsy type)


Time to 6‐month remission

Time to 6‐month remission


Time to 6‐month remission (by epilepsy type)

Time to 6‐month remission (by epilepsy type)

We calculated all the HRs presented using generic inverse variance fixed‐effect meta‐analysis unless otherwise stated. All analyses met the assumption of proportional hazards (addition of time varying covariate into the model non‐significant) unless stated.

Primary Outcome

Time to withdrawal of allocated treatment

For this outcome, a HR less than 1 indicates a clinical advantage for topiramate.

Table 3 shows the reasons for premature termination for 1151 participants in the two trials included in this analysis and how we classified these withdrawals in analysis of IPD. Times to withdrawal of allocated treatment were available for 1129 participants in the two trials (98% of total 1151 participants included in analysis). Withdrawal times were missing for 22 participants in SANAD A 2007 (see Table 2); however, as all 22 participants withdrew for reasons which would have been censored in analysis, we consider the impact of these missing participants on the analysis to be negligible.

Open in table viewer
Table 3. Reasons for premature discontinuation (withdrawal of allocated treatment) in trials providing IPD

Study

Privitera 2003

SANAD A 20075

Grand

Total

Reason1

Classification

in analysis

CBZ

TPM

100 mg/day

TPM

200 mg/day

TPM

(pooled)

Total

CBZ

TPM

Total

Completed study

Censored

63

64

66

130

193

151

137

288

481

Adverse event

Event

32

26

30

56

88

104

103

207

295

Ineffective treatment

Event

10

18

13

31

41

43

55

98

139

Other reason (event)2

Event

7

9

8

17

24

10

16

26

50

Both ineffective treatment

and adverse events

Event

0

0

0

0

0

20

28

48

48

Remission

Censored

0

0

0

0

0

25

19

44

44

Other reason (censored)3

Censored

3

4

2

6

9

19

12

31

40

Participant choice4

Event

5

9

7

16

21

6

8

14

35

Lost to follow‐up

Censored

9

6

4

10

19

0

0

0

19

Total censored

75

74

72

146

221

201

176

377

598

Total events

54

62

58

120

174

177

202

379

553

Grand total

129

136

130

266

395

378

378

756

1151

CBZ = carbamazepine, TPM = topiramate

1. Primary reason for discontinuation specified ‐ participants may have withdrawn from allocated treatment for a combination of reasons

2. Other treatment related withdrawals: drug‐related death, pregnancy or perceived remission (SANAD A 2007). Specified only as 'other reason' in Privitera 2003

3. Other withdrawals (not treatment related): epilepsy diagnosis changed and death not related to treatment (SANAD A 2007). Specified only as 'other reason' in Privitera 2003

4. Withdrawal of consent/participant choice classified as an event in this review but censored in included trial (SANAD A 2007). Sensitivity analysis classifying withdrawal of consent as a censored observation did not change conclusions (results available on request).

5. Withdrawal reasons available for all participants in the two studies but withdrawal times missing for 22 participants in SANAD A 2007 (see Table 2). These 22 participants were not included in analysis of time to withdrawal of randomised treatment, but all 22 withdrew for reasons which would have been censored in analysis, therefore the impact of these missing participants on the analysis is minor

Of 1151 participants, 670 (58%) prematurely withdrew from treatment: 377 of 644 (59%) participants randomised to topiramate and 293 of 507 (58%) participants randomised to carbamazepine. We deemed 553 participants (83% of total withdrawals) to have withdrawn for reasons related to the allocated drug ‐ 322 (85% of topiramate withdrawals) randomised to topiramate and 231 (79% of carbamazepine withdrawals) randomised to carbamazepine ‐ and classified these withdrawals as ’events’ in analysis. The most common treatment‐related reason for withdrawal was adverse events: 295 withdrawals (44% of total withdrawals), 159 (42% of total topiramate withdrawals) participants randomised to topiramate and 136 (46% of total carbamazepine withdrawals) participants randomised to carbamazepine.

We classed the other 117 withdrawals (55 participants randomised to topiramate and 62 randomised to carbamazepine) to be not related to the allocated drug and censored these participants in analysis, in addition to the 481 participants (267 receiving topiramate and 214 receiving carbamazepine) who completed the trial without withdrawing.

The overall pooled HR (for 1129 participants providing IPD from two trials) was 1.15 (95% CI 0.97 to 1.37, P = 0.10) indicating an advantage to carbamazepine that was not statistically significant (Analysis 1.1). No heterogeneity was present between trials (I2 = 0%).

Subgroup analyses: seizure type (partial‐onset vs generalised‐onset or unclassified epilepsy)

See Subgroup analysis and investigation of heterogeneity for more details regarding the definitions of subgroups.

For participants with generalised‐onset or unclassified epilepsy (155 participants providing IPD), the pooled HR was 0.90 (95% CI 0.54 to 1.47, P = 0.66), indicating a slight advantage to topiramate that was not statistically significant, and for participants with partial‐onset seizures (974 participants providing IPD), the pooled HR was 1.20 (95% CI 1.00 to 1.45, P = 0.05), indicating a statistically significant advantage for carbamazepine. There was no evidence of a difference between the subgroups (test for subgroup differences P = 0.27, Analysis 1.2).

The overall pooled HR (adjusted for epilepsy type for 1129 participants) was HR 1.16 (95% CI 0.98 to 1.38, P = 0.09), also indicating an advantage to carbamazepine that is not statistically significant. No between‐trial heterogeneity was present overall or by subgroup (I2 = 0%).

Sensitivity analysis

We performed a sensitivity analysis including only IPD from only the 6‐month double‐blind period of Privitera 2003; participants who withdrew from treatment after 6 months (9 receiving carbamazepine and 30 receiving topiramate) were censored at 6 months. When only withdrawals from the first 6 months of Privitera 2003 were combined with IPD from SANAD A 2007, numerical results were very similar and conclusions were unchanged (results available from authors on request).

One included trial allocated participants to three treatment arms, 100 mg/day topiramate, 200 mg/day topiramate or carbamazepine (Privitera 2003). Table 4 shows sensitivity analysis comparing the primary analysis (pooled topiramate arms versus carbamazepine), topiramate 100 mg/day versus carbamazepine and topiramate 200 mg/day versus carbamazepine. Results were similar across all three analyses and conclusions were unchanged.

Open in table viewer
Table 4. Sensitivity analysis by topiramate dose ‐ Privitera 2003

Treatment

N

Comparator

N

Total

Time to treatment withdrawal

Time to first seizure

Time to 12‐month remission

Time to 6‐month remission

HR (95% CI)

P value

HR (95% CI)

P value

HR (95% CI)

P value

HR (95% CI)

P value

Topiramate (both arms)

266

Carbamazepine

129

395

1.04 (0.75, 1.43)

0.82

1.32 (0.96, 1.81)

0.09

0.82 (0.51, 1.33)

0.42

0.88 (0.65, 1.18)

0.39

Topiramate 200mg

130

Carbamazepine

129

259

1.03 (0.71, 1.48)

0.89

1.34 (0.94, 1.91)

0.11

0.83 (0.48, 1.44)

0.5

0.84 (0.59, 1.18)

0.31

Topiramate 100mg

136

Carbamazepine

129

265

1.05 (0.73, 1.52)

0.79

1.29 (0.89, 1.86)

0.18

0.79 (0.46, 1.37)

0.41

0.93 (0.66, 1.31)

0.66

HR = hazard ratio, CI = confidence interval

The reason for withdrawal 'participant choice' was classified as an event in this review but censored in the included trial (SANAD A 2007). This was the primary reason for withdrawal specified in 14 participants (see Table 3). Sensitivity analysis classifying this reason as a censored observation for these 14 participants did not change our conclusions (results available from authors on request).

Secondary outcomes

Time to first seizure post randomisation

For this outcome, a HR less than 1 indicates a clinical advantage for topiramate.

No seizure recurrence data after randomisation were available for 36 participants in SANAD A 2007, therefore 1115 participants (97% of total 1151 participants) from the two trials were included in the analysis of time to first seizure after randomisation.

A total of 720 participants (65% of participants included in analysis) experienced seizure recurrence, 403 of 624 (65%) receiving topiramate and 317 of 491 (65%) receiving carbamazepine.

The overall pooled HR (for 1115 participants providing IPD from two trials) was 1.09 (95% CI 0.94 to 1.27, P = 0.24), indicating an advantage for carbamazepine that was not statistically significant (Analysis 1.3). No important heterogeneity was present between trials (I2 = 39%).

Subgroup analyses: seizure type (partial‐onset vs generalised‐onset or unclassified epilepsy)

See Subgroup analysis and investigation of heterogeneity for more details regarding the definitions of subgroups.

For participants with generalised‐onset or unclassified epilepsy (153 participants providing IPD), the pooled HR was 1.07 (95% CI 0.69 to 1.67, P = 0.77) and for participants with partial‐onset seizures (962 participants providing IPD), the pooled HR was 1.12 (95% CI 0.96 to 1.31, P = 0.16), both indicating an advantage to carbamazepine that was not statistically significant. There was no evidence of a difference between the subgroups (test for subgroup differences P = 0.85, Analysis 1.4). There was some heterogeneity between the two trials in the subgroup of generalised‐onset or unclassified epilepsy (I2 = 63%), which is likely due to the variability in the 'unclassifiable' nature of the epilepsy in many of the participants in this subgroup (i.e. the subgroup is likely to be comprised of some individuals experiencing partial epilepsy and others experiencing generalised epilepsy). No heterogeneity was present in the subgroup of participants classified as having partial epilepsy (I2 = 0%).

The overall pooled HR (adjusted for epilepsy type for 1115 participants) was HR 1.11 (95% CI 0.96 to 1.29, P = 0.16), indicating an advantage for carbamazepine that was not statistically significant.

Sensitivity analysis

We performed a sensitivity analysis including only IPD from the 6‐month double‐blind period of Privitera 2003; participants who experienced a first seizure recurrence after 6 months (8 receiving carbamazepine and 11 receiving topiramate) were censored at 6 months. When only seizure recurrences from the first 6 months of Privitera 2003 were combined with IPD from SANAD A 2007, the numerical results were very similar and our conclusions were unchanged (results available from authors on request).

One included trial allocated participants to three treatment arms, 100 mg/day topiramate, 200 mg/day topiramate or carbamazepine (Privitera 2003). Table 4 shows sensitivity analysis comparing the primary analysis (pooled topiramate arms versus carbamazepine), topiramate 100 mg/day versus carbamazepine and topiramate 200 mg/day versus carbamazepine. Results were similar across all three analyses and conclusions were unchanged.

Time to 12‐month remission of seizures

For this outcome, a HR less than 1 indicates a clinical advantage for carbamazepine.

No seizure recurrence data after randomisation were available for 36 participants in SANAD A 2007, therefore 1115 participants (97% of total 1151 participants) from the two trials were included in the analysis of time to 12‐month remission.

A total of 558 participants (50% of participants included in analysis) achieved 12‐month remission; 277 of 624 (44%) receiving topiramate and 281 of 491 (57%) receiving carbamazepine.

Of these 558 participants, 301 achieved immediate remission (i.e. no seizure recurrence in the immediate 12 months following randomisation) (54% of participants achieving remission), 151 receiving topiramate and 150 receiving carbamazepine.

The overall pooled HR (for 1115 participants providing IPD from two trials) was 0.85 (95% CI 0.72 to 1.01, P = 0.07), indicating an advantage for carbamazepine that was not statistically significant (Analysis 1.5). No heterogeneity was present between trials (I2 = 0%).

Subgroup analyses: seizure type (partial‐onset vs generalised‐onset or unclassified epilepsy)

See Subgroup analysis and investigation of heterogeneity for more details regarding the definition of subgroups.

For participants with generalised‐onset or unclassified epilepsy (153 participants providing IPD), the pooled HR was 0.91 (95% CI 0.58 to 1.43, P = 0.67), indicating an advantage for carbamazepine that was not statistically significant, and for participants with partial‐onset seizures (962 participants providing IPD), the pooled HR was 0.84 (95% CI 0.71 to 1.00, P = 0.05), indicating a statistically significant advantage for carbamazepine. There was no evidence of a difference between the subgroups (test for subgroup differences P = 0.73, Analysis 1.6). There was some heterogeneity between the two trials in the subgroup of generalised‐onset or unclassified epilepsy (I2 = 62%), which is likely due to the variability in the 'unclassifiable' nature of the epilepsy in many of the participants in this subgroup (i.e. the subgroup is likely to be comprised of some individuals experiencing partial epilepsy and others experiencing generalised epilepsy). No heterogeneity was present in the subgroup of participants classified as having partial epilepsy (I2 = 0%).

The overall pooled HR (adjusted for epilepsy type for 1115 participants) was HR 0.84 (95% CI 0.71 to 1.00, P = 0.05), indicating a statistically significant advantage for carbamazepine.

Sensitivity analysis

One included trial allocated participants to three treatment arms, 100 mg/day topiramate, 200 mg/day topiramate or carbamazepine (Privitera 2003). Table 4 shows sensitivity analysis comparing the primary analysis (pooled topiramate arms versus carbamazepine), topiramate 100 mg/day versus carbamazepine and topiramate 200 mg/day versus carbamazepine. Results were similar across all three analyses and conclusions were unchanged.

Time to 6‐month remission of seizures

For this outcome, a HR less than 1 indicates a clinical advantage for carbamazepine.

No seizure recurrence data after randomisation were available for 36 participants in SANAD A 2007, therefore 1115 participants (97% of total 1151 participants) from the two trials were included in the analysis of time to 6‐month remission.

A total of 790 participants (71% of participants included in analysis) achieved 6‐month remission; 422 of 624 (68%) receiving topiramate and 368 of 491 (75%) receiving carbamazepine.

Of these 790 participants, 441 achieved immediate remission (56% of participants achieving remission), 240 receiving topiramate and 201 receiving carbamazepine.

The overall pooled HR (for 1115 participants providing IPD from two trials) was 0.88 (95% CI 0.77 to 1.02, P = 0.09), indicating an advantage to carbamazepine that was not statistically significant (Analysis 1.7). No heterogeneity was present between trials (I2 = 0%).

Subgroup analyses: seizure type (partial‐onset vs generalised‐onset or unclassified epilepsy)

See Subgroup analysis and investigation of heterogeneity for more details regarding the definitions of subgroups.

For participants with generalised‐onset or unclassified epilepsy (153 participants providing IPD), the pooled HR was 0.98 (95% CI 0.67 to 1.44, P = 0.91) and for participants with partial‐onset seizures (962 participants providing IPD), the pooled HR was 0.86 (95% CI 0.74 to 1.01, P = 0.06), both indicating an advantage for carbamazepine that was not statistically significant. There was no evidence of a difference between the subgroups (test for subgroup differences P = 0.56, Analysis 1.8). There was some heterogeneity between the two trials in the subgroup of generalised‐onset or unclassified epilepsy (I2 = 67%), which is likely due to the variability in the 'unclassifiable' nature of the epilepsy in many of the participants in this subgroup (i.e. the subgroup is likely to be comprised of some individuals experiencing partial epilepsy and others experiencing generalised epilepsy). No heterogeneity was present in the subgroup of participants classified as having partial epilepsy (I2 = 0%).

The overall pooled HR (adjusted for epilepsy type for 1115 participants) was HR 0.88 (95% CI 0.76 to 1.01, P = 0.08), indicating an advantage for carbamazepine that was not statistically significant.

Sensitivity analysis

We performed a sensitivity analysis including only IPD from the 6‐month double‐blind period of Privitera 2003; those who achieved 6 months of remission after 6 months (i.e. those who did not experience immediate 6‐month remission, 11 receiving carbamazepine and 41 receiving topiramate) were censored at 6 months. When only immediate 6‐month remission data from Privitera 2003 were combined with IPD from SANAD A 2007, the pooled HR was 0.86 (0.75 to 1.00, P = 0.05), indicating a statistically significant advantage for carbamazepine over topiramate. We note that this analysis combines immediate 6‐month remission in Privitera 2003 with 6‐month remission at any time in SANAD A 2007. When analysing only immediate 6‐month remission in SANAD A 2007, the pooled HR was 0.88 (0.73 to 1.07, P = 0.19) indicating no significant difference between the drugs.

One included trial allocated participants to three treatment arms, 100 mg/day topiramate, 200 mg/day topiramate or carbamazepine (Privitera 2003). Table 4 shows sensitivity analysis comparing the primary analysis (pooled topiramate arms versus carbamazepine), topiramate 100 mg/day versus carbamazepine and topiramate 200 mg/day versus carbamazepine. Results were similar across all three analyses and conclusions were unchanged.

Incidence of adverse events

We were provided with IPD for adverse events experienced during the trial for two trials (Privitera 2003; SANAD A 2007).

Due to the wide range of events reported in the trials and the differences in adverse‐event profiles of the two drugs, we have not analysed adverse event data in meta‐analysis and provide a narrative report. This information is summarised in Table 5 and Table 6. All adverse events are reported according to the definitions within the data provided to us.

Open in table viewer
Table 5. Summary of adverse events experienced

Study and drug

Privitera 2003

SANAD A 2007

TPM 100

TPM 200

CBZ

Total

TPM

CBZ

Total

Number experiencing adverse events

120

114

111

345

283

260

543

Number of adverse events

1063

1035

970

3068

2503

1339

3842

Number of adverse events per person (range)

1 to 40

1 to 30

1 to 37

NA

1 to 35

1 to 37

NA

Number of drug related adverse events1

578

613

537

1728

NA

NA

NA

Number of adverse events requiring action/treatment change2

76

90

72

238

705

529

1234

Number of participants needing a treatment change/dose change2

27

31

32

90

185

173

358

CBZ = carbamazepine, NA: Not available; TPM = topiramate, TPM 100 = topiramate 100 mg/day, TPM 200 = topiramate 200 mg/day (Privitera 2003)

1. Defined as event which are 'very likely,' 'probably' or 'possibly' related in Privitera 2003. Not stated if events were drug related in SANAD A 2007

2. Information given only for drug discontinuation in Privitera 2003. Information on drug discontinuation and dose change in SANAD A 2007

Open in table viewer
Table 6. Most commonly reported adverse events

Most commonly reported adverse events

Privitera 2003

SANAD A 2007

Total

CBZ

TPM 100

TPM 200

Total

CBZ

TPM

Total

CBZ

TPM

Total

Events

Ppts

Events

Ppts

Events

Ppts

Events

Ppts

Events

Ppts

Events

Ppts

Events

Ppts

Events

Ppts

Events

Ppts

Events

Ppts

Aggression

0

0

8

6

5

2

13

8

41

25

75

50

116

75

41

25

88

58

129

83

Anorexia/weight loss

32

16

45

26

54

34

131

76

16

14

126

82

142

96

48

30

225

142

273

172

Anxiety/Depression

24

15

48

27

60

39

132

81

46

35

107

71

153

106

70

50

215

137

285

187

Aphasia

18

10

10

7

34

14

62

31

11

10

16

16

27

26

29

20

60

37

89

57

Ataxia

7

4

11

6

9

6

27

16

30

23

21

14

51

37

37

27

41

26

78

53

Chest infection/bronchitis

36

23

41

25

54

26

131

74

6

6

3

3

9

9

42

29

98

54

140

83

Cold/fever/influenza

14

13

20

11

15

15

49

39

3

3

4

4

7

7

17

16

39

30

56

46

Concentration

6

5

15

7

28

11

49

23

11

11

8

7

19

18

17

16

51

25

68

41

Confusion

6

4

5

4

10

6

21

14

33

25

45

34

78

59

39

29

60

44

99

73

Dental

6

3

10

7

9

5

25

15

17

14

13

13

30

27

23

17

32

25

55

42

Dizzy/faint

49

30

44

24

35

23

128

77

64

51

76

49

140

100

113

81

155

96

268

177

Drowsy/tired

130

60

97

51

79

45

306

156

267

187

188

139

455

326

397

247

364

235

761

482

Gastrointestinal disturbances

88

51

50

32

53

28

191

111

49

41

48

32

97

73

137

92

151

92

288

184

Headache

75

39

84

38

40

24

199

101

97

65

76

44

173

109

172

104

200

106

372

210

Increased/worsened seizures

2

2

5

4

0

0

7

6

41

30

30

24

71

54

43

32

35

28

78

60

Kidney/urinary problems

11

6

15

7

22

12

48

25

10

10

21

15

31

25

21

16

58

34

79

50

Memory

8

6

19

10

26

12

53

28

71

48

92

62

163

110

79

54

137

84

216

138

Mood/Behavioural change

19

10

22

14

29

15

70

39

56

42

97

76

153

118

75

52

148

105

223

157

Nausea/vomiting

57

35

21

19

27

23

105

77

54

49

32

29

86

78

111

84

80

71

191

155

Pain

26

19

14

9

39

19

79

47

15

13

20

17

35

30

41

32

73

45

114

77

Pins and needles

17

5

116

38

135

45

268

88

23

17

205

148

228

165

40

22

456

231

496

253

Rash

61

35

42

22

25

17

128

74

99

81

54

44

153

125

160

116

121

83

281

199

Sleep problems/nightmares

14

6

24

14

23

12

61

32

24

16

40

30

64

46

38

22

87

56

125

78

Vision

7

5

8

5

3

3

18

13

33

28

24

23

57

51

40

33

35

31

75

64

Weight gain

8

3

5

4

0

0

13

7

42

27

25

15

67

42

50

30

30

19

80

49

CBZ = carbamazepine, TPM = topiramate, TPM 100 = topiramate 100 mg/day, TPM 200 = topiramate 200 mg/day (Privitera 2003);

Events = number of adverse events reported; Ppts = number of participants reporting the adverse event (a participant could report the same type of adverse event multiple times). Less commonly reported adverse events are not summarised in this table but details are available on request from the review authors. General terminology for the type of adverse events was defined by the review authors based on the individual participant data provided

The five most commonly reported adverse events with the two drugs were drowsiness or fatigue, ‘pins and needles’ (tingling sensation), headache, gastrointestinal disturbance and anxiety or depression. Rash and dizziness (feeling faint) were also commonly reported with carbamazepine, and anorexia or weight loss was commonly reported with topiramate.

In Privitera 2003, 58 serious adverse events were reported in 29 individuals.

With topiramate 100 mg, there were 12 serious adverse events in 10 participants. One event of renal calculus in one participant, and one event of grand mal convulsions in one participant, were possibly related to treatment. All other events were unlikely to be related to treatment: two events of grand mal convulsions in two participants; and one event of 'regression', one event of hypotension, one event of thrombophlebitis, one event of worsened convulsions, one event of abnormal hepatic function, one event of oedema, one event of asthenia and one event of aggravated depression (resulting in withdrawal of the drug) all in one participant each.

With topiramate 200 mg, there were 29 serious adverse events in 11 participants. One event of renal calculus was very likely to be related to the treatment and another event of renal calculus was probably related to treatment. Nine events of confusion and aggravated depression in one participant were also probably related to treatment. The drug was withdrawn from these three participants. All other events were unlikely to be related to treatment: two events of adenocarcinoma in one participant; three events of dizziness, nausea and palpitations in one participant; eight events of headache, back pain, confusion, fever and upper respiratory tract infection in one participant; and one injury, one event of asthma, one event of migraine, one event of ileus, one event of chest pain and one event of foetal death all in one participant each. None of the unrelated adverse events resulted in withdrawal of the drug.

On carbamazepine, there were 17 serious adverse events in 8 participants. One event of grand mal convulsions was very likely to be related to the treatment. All other events were unlikely to be related to treatment: seven events of diverticulitis and hypertension in one participant; two events of enteritis in one participant; three events of dyspnoea and chest pain in one participant; and one event of syncope, one abscess, one injury and one case of abdominal pain all in one participant each. None of these events resulted in withdrawal of treatments.

In SANAD A 2007, 179 events resulting in hospitalisation were reported in 101 participants (not stated whether events were related to treatment).

On topiramate, there were 88 hospitalisation events in 55 participants: 21 events of worsening seizures or status epilepticus in 13 participants (resulting in withdrawal of the drug in two participants); accidental injuries in four participants; six events of headache in three participants (resulting in withdrawal of the drug in one participant); accidental drug overdoses in three participants; brain tumours in three participants (resulting in withdrawal of the drug in one participant); abdominal pain in three participants (resulting in withdrawal of the drug in one participant); three coronary artery bypass grafts in two participants; chest pain in two participants; renal malignancy in two participants; depression in two participants; visual disturbances in two participants (resulting in withdrawal of the drug in one participant); self harm/suicide attempt in two participants (resulting in withdrawal of the drug in one participant); urinary tract infections in two participants; thrombosis in two participants; three events of ataxia in one participant; three events of Crohn's Disease in one participant; two events of dizziness in one participant; and one cataract operation, one event of hypertension, one event of sarcoidosis, one testicular lump, one event of urinary incontinence, one miscarriage, one event of henoch schonlein purpura, one event of Steven Johnsons syndrome (resulting in withdrawal of the drug), and one collapsed lung all in one participant each.

On carbamazepine, there were 91 hospitalisation events in 46 participants: worsening of seizures in 12 participants; cardiovascular events in five participants; attempted suicide in three participants; seizure‐related injury in three participants; allergic rash in two participants; pneumonia in two participants; and antiphospholipid syndrome, arthritis, stomach cancer, urinary tract infection, disorientation, psychotic illness (resulting in withdrawal of the drug), exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, hysterectomy (resulting in withdrawal of the drug), torsion of testis, myringotomy, infection, worsening of seizures and visual disturbance (resulting in withdrawal of the drug), constipation (resulting in withdrawal of the drug), low serum, breast cancer, abdominal pain, ataxia, childbirth, and headache all in one participant each.

Summary of aggregate results reported in Resendiz‐Aparicio 2004

IPD were not available for the 88 participants randomised in Resendiz‐Aparicio 2004.

Forty‐six participants were randomised to topiramate and 42 were randomised to carbamazepine; 23 participants dropped out due to adverse events, lack of efficacy or loss to follow‐up (13 randomised to topiramate and 10 randomised to carbamazepine). Results were presented only for the 33 participants randomised to topiramate and 32 randomised to carbamazepine who did not drop out of the study.

Thirty participants on topiramate and 26 on carbamazepine achieved 6 months of freedom from seizures after 12 months of treatment and 32 participants receiving topiramate and 27 receiving carbamazepine achieved a 50% or more reduction in seizures during the same time frame. The average number of seizures was significantly lower in the topiramate group than in the carbamazepine group at 6 and 9 months (P value of t‐test = 0.01).

No clinically significant changes were observed in clinical or physical examinations in either group. Adverse event experiences were mild and similar between groups: somnolence (in three receiving topiramate and six receiving carbamazepine); dizziness (one receiving topiramate and two receiving carbamazepine); weight loss or anorexia (five receiving topiramate); gastritis (one receiving topiramate); nausea (one receiving topiramate); rash (one receiving carbamazepine); headache (one receiving carbamazepine); uncontrolled seizures (one receiving carbamazepine).

Discussion

Summary of main results

IPD were available for two trials recruiting 1151 participants to carbamazepine or topiramate (Privitera 2003; SANAD A 2007). For the third trial, which recruited 88 participants, the original authors could not be contacted, so IPD could not be included in this review (Resendiz‐Aparicio 2004). Overall, IPD were available for 93% of the total eligible 1239 participants.

The results of this review show no statistically significant difference between topiramate and carbamazepine for our primary global efficacy outcome 'time to withdrawal of allocated treatment' (pooled HR 1.16, 95% CI 0.98 to 1.38, P = 0.09) for participants with partial‐onset seizures and generalised tonic‐clonic seizures with or without other seizure types and unclassified seizure types. Considering only individuals with partial‐onset seizures (85% of participants contributing to the analysis), an advantage for carbamazepine was observed for our primary outcome (pooled HR 1.20, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.45, P = 0.05). This advantage was not shown for individuals with generalised tonic‐clonic seizures with or without other seizure types and unclassified seizure types (pooled HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.54 to 1.47, P = 0.66). Results were unchanged when we used definitions of treatment withdrawal that differed from the definition used in this review (ILAE 1998).

The results of this review also show no statistically significant difference between topiramate and carbamazepine for our secondary outcomes of 'time to first seizure' and 'time to 6‐month remission' for individuals with all eligible seizure types. For 'time to 12‐month remission,'when adjusted for seizure type (partial‐onset compared with generalised‐onset or unclassified seizures), a significant advantage was shown for carbamazepine (pooled HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.71 to 1.00, P = 0.05). Considering partial‐onset seizures only, an advantage for carbamazepine was also found for 'time to 12‐month remission' (pooled HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.69 to 1.00, P = 0.05), but no differences were found within other seizure‐type subgroups for these outcomes. We note that some of the pooled results from the two studies included in this review approached but did not reach statistical significance; hence, we cannot rule out that important differences may exist between the drugs which may come to light if more evidence can be incorporated into the review in future updates.

The five most commonly reported adverse events with the two drugs were drowsiness or fatigue, ‘pins and needles’ (tingling sensation), headache, gastrointestinal disturbance and anxiety or depression. Rash and dizziness (feeling faint) were also commonly reported with carbamazepine, and anorexia or weight loss was commonly reported with topiramate. The rates of adverse events and serious adverse events were similar across the two drugs.

Overall completeness and applicability of evidence

We believe our systematic electronic searches identified all relevant evidence for this review. We gratefully received IPD for 1151 individuals (93% of 1239 individuals from all eligible trials) from the authors or sponsors of two trials (Privitera 2003; SANAD A 2007) that included a comparison of topiramate with carbamazepine for the treatment of epilepsy.

At the time the

review was conducted, we were unable to obtain IPD for the remaining trial (Resendiz‐Aparicio 2004), which randomised a total of 88 participants. We were not able to make contact with a study author. If IPD are received from this trial, we will include them in future review updates. We do not believe that our failure to obtain IPD from 7% of eligible participants from this single trial has had a large impact on the applicability of the results of the review.

Eligible seizure types included in this review were partial‐onset and generalised tonic‐clonic (without or without other generalised types). Due to the design of the two studies contributing to analysis, a majority of participants recruited into these trials experienced partial‐onset seizures (85% of randomised participants) and most of the remaining participants had an unclassified seizure type.

As a result, the results of this review are primarily applicable to participants with partial‐onset seizures and we encourage caution in the interpretation of results for the small subgroup of participants who had generalised‐onset or unclassified epilepsy.

Quality of the evidence

The two trials for which IPD were made available (as well as additional trial design information from trial authors/sponsors) were generally of good quality. One of the trials was double‐blind (Privitera 2003) and one was open‐label (SANAD A 2007). While it is argued that an open‐label design is more pragmatic and reflective of the 'real world' treatment of a chronic condition such as epilepsy where treatments are likely to be taken long term by participants (SANAD A 2007), significantly more participants withdrew from treatment in the open‐label study than in the double‐blind study (51% vs 44%, Chi2 P = 0.03). Both of the trials contributing to analysis in this review compared a 'new' intervention with a 'standard' intervention, and knowledge of the treatment allocation may have influenced the choice of the participant or clinician to continue taking the treatment. This, in turn, may have influenced the perceived effectiveness of the two drugs under comparison. We have, therefore, considered an open‐label design to potentially introduce bias into the results for the subjective outcome of time to treatment withdrawal, but not for the objective secondary outcomes of time to first seizure and remission.

Due to the potential risk of bias from an open‐label design, we have rated the evidence provided in this review, according to GRADE criteria, for our primary outcome of time to treatment withdrawal as ‘moderate’ for all participants and the subgroup of participants with partial‐onset seizures. Due to the limited number of participants with generalised‐onset seizures (and, hence, the potential misclassification of seizure type), we have rated this evidence as low quality for the primary outcome, see summary of findings Table for the main comparison. For our secondary (objective) outcomes of time to first seizure and remission, we have rated evidence as high quality (moderate quality in the subgroup of participants with generalised‐onset seizures for the reasons stated above) (see summary of findings Table 2).

Potential biases in the review process

We were able to include IPD for 1151 of 1239 eligible participants (93%) from two of three trials in this review and were able to analyse all outcomes using IPD. Such an approach has many advantages, such as allowing the standardisation of definitions of outcomes across trials. In addition, attrition and reporting biases are reduced as we can perform additional analyses and calculate additional outcomes from unpublished data. For the outcomes we used in this review that are of a time‐to‐event nature, an IPD approach is considered to be the ’gold standard’ approach to analysis (Parmar 1998).

For reasons outside of our control, we were unable to obtain IPD for 88 participants from one trial for inclusion in this review. However, we do not believe that the exclusion of 7% of eligible participants is likely to have impacted on the conclusions of this review (see Overall completeness and applicability of evidence).

Finally, we made some assumptions in the statistical methodology used in this review. First, when we received only follow‐up dates and seizure frequencies from the authors of the included studies, we used linear interpolation to estimate approximate seizure dates. We are aware that an individual’s seizure patterns may be non‐linear; therefore, we recommend caution when interpreting the numerical results of the seizure‐related outcomes.

We also made an assumption that treatment effect for each outcome did not change over time (proportional hazards assumption, see Data synthesis). We are aware that in trials of long duration (e.g. SANAD A 2007, which was of over one year in duration), the assumption that treatment effect remains constant over time is unlikely to be appropriate; for example, there is likely to be a difference between participants who achieve immediate remission compared with participants who achieve later remission. Therefore, if future updates of this review include more trials of long duration, we would like to perform statistical analyses that allow for treatment effects to vary over time.

Agreements and disagreements with other studies or reviews

To our knowledge, this is the only systematic review and meta‐analysis that compares topiramate and carbamazepine monotherapy for partial‐onset seizures and generalised‐onset tonic‐clonic seizures. A network meta‐analysis has been published (Tudur Smith 2007), comparing all direct and indirect evidence from topiramate, carbamazepine, and other standard and new AEDs licensed for monotherapy. The results of this review generally agree with the results of this network meta‐analysis. The network meta‐analysis is currently being updated to include more recently published trials and will include the results of Privitera 2003; when available, we will compare the results of this review with the updated network meta‐analysis.

Study flow diagram.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 1

Study flow diagram.

'Risk of bias' summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 2

'Risk of bias' summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.

Time to treatment withdrawal (tTime to withdrawal of allocated treatment)
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 3

Time to treatment withdrawal (tTime to withdrawal of allocated treatment)

Time to treatment withdrawal (time to withdrawal of allocated treatment (by epilepsy type))
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 4

Time to treatment withdrawal (time to withdrawal of allocated treatment (by epilepsy type))

Time to first seizure
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 5

Time to first seizure

Time to first seizure (by epilepsy type)
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 6

Time to first seizure (by epilepsy type)

Time to 12‐month remission
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 7

Time to 12‐month remission

Time to 12‐month remission (by epilepsy type)
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 8

Time to 12‐month remission (by epilepsy type)

Time to 6‐month remission
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 9

Time to 6‐month remission

Time to 6‐month remission (by epilepsy type)
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 10

Time to 6‐month remission (by epilepsy type)

Comparison 1 Topiramate monotherapy (TPM) versus Carbamazepine (CBZ) monotherapy, Outcome 1 Time to withdrawal of allocated treatment.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.1

Comparison 1 Topiramate monotherapy (TPM) versus Carbamazepine (CBZ) monotherapy, Outcome 1 Time to withdrawal of allocated treatment.

Comparison 1 Topiramate monotherapy (TPM) versus Carbamazepine (CBZ) monotherapy, Outcome 2 Time to withdrawal of allocated treatment ‐ stratified by epilepsy type.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.2

Comparison 1 Topiramate monotherapy (TPM) versus Carbamazepine (CBZ) monotherapy, Outcome 2 Time to withdrawal of allocated treatment ‐ stratified by epilepsy type.

Comparison 1 Topiramate monotherapy (TPM) versus Carbamazepine (CBZ) monotherapy, Outcome 3 Time to first seizure after randomisation.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.3

Comparison 1 Topiramate monotherapy (TPM) versus Carbamazepine (CBZ) monotherapy, Outcome 3 Time to first seizure after randomisation.

Comparison 1 Topiramate monotherapy (TPM) versus Carbamazepine (CBZ) monotherapy, Outcome 4 Time to first seizure after randomisation ‐ stratified by epilepsy type.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.4

Comparison 1 Topiramate monotherapy (TPM) versus Carbamazepine (CBZ) monotherapy, Outcome 4 Time to first seizure after randomisation ‐ stratified by epilepsy type.

Comparison 1 Topiramate monotherapy (TPM) versus Carbamazepine (CBZ) monotherapy, Outcome 5 Time to 12 month remission of seizures.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.5

Comparison 1 Topiramate monotherapy (TPM) versus Carbamazepine (CBZ) monotherapy, Outcome 5 Time to 12 month remission of seizures.

Comparison 1 Topiramate monotherapy (TPM) versus Carbamazepine (CBZ) monotherapy, Outcome 6 Time to 12 month remission of seizures ‐ stratified by epilepsy type.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.6

Comparison 1 Topiramate monotherapy (TPM) versus Carbamazepine (CBZ) monotherapy, Outcome 6 Time to 12 month remission of seizures ‐ stratified by epilepsy type.

Comparison 1 Topiramate monotherapy (TPM) versus Carbamazepine (CBZ) monotherapy, Outcome 7 Time to 6 month remission of seizures.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.7

Comparison 1 Topiramate monotherapy (TPM) versus Carbamazepine (CBZ) monotherapy, Outcome 7 Time to 6 month remission of seizures.

Comparison 1 Topiramate monotherapy (TPM) versus Carbamazepine (CBZ) monotherapy, Outcome 8 Time to 6 month remission of seizures ‐ stratified by epilepsy type.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.8

Comparison 1 Topiramate monotherapy (TPM) versus Carbamazepine (CBZ) monotherapy, Outcome 8 Time to 6 month remission of seizures ‐ stratified by epilepsy type.

Topiramate compared with carbamazepine for epilepsy

Population: Adults and children with epilepsy

Settings: Outpatients

Intervention: Topiramate

Comparison: Carbamazepine

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

No. of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Assumed risk

Corresponding risk

Carbamazepine

Topiramate

Time to treatment withdrawal (adjusted for epilepsy type)

Range of follow up: 0 to 2420 days

459 per 1000

509 per 1000

(452 to 571)

HR: 1.16

(0.98 to 1.38)

1129

(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
moderate1

HR > 1 indicates a clinical advantage for topiramate

Time to treatment withdrawal ‐ stratified by epilepsy type ‐ partial onset

Range of follow up: 0 to 2420 days

462 per 1000

525 per 1000

(462 to 593)

HR: 1.20

(1.00 to 1.45)

974

(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
moderate1

HR > 1 indicates a clinical advantage for topiramate

Time to treatment withdrawal ‐ stratified by epilepsy type ‐ generalised‐onset or unclassified epilepsy

Range of follow up: 0 to 1446 days

433 per 1000

400 per 1000

(264 to 566)

HR: 0.90

(0.54 to 1.47)

155

(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
low1,2

HR > 1 indicates a clinical advantage for topiramate

The assumed risk is calculated as the event rate in the carbamazepine treatment. The corresponding risk (and its 95% CI) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).

The corresponding risk is calculated as the assumed risk x the relative risk (RR) of the intervention where RR = (1 ‐ exp(HR x ln(1 ‐ assumed risk)))/assumed risk.
CI: Confidence interval; HR: Hazard Ratio

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: Further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect.
Moderate quality: Further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate.
Low quality: Further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate.
Very low quality: We are very uncertain about the estimate.

1. Downgraded once for risk of bias, the larger of the two studies was open‐label (SANAD A 2007) and may have influenced the withdrawal rates of the trial.

2. Downgraded once for imprecision and applicability, limited information on generalised seizure types and most participants do not have a classified seizure type in this subgroup so the interpretation of this seizure type is unclear.

Figuras y tablas -

Topiramate compared with carbamazepine for epilepsy

Population: Adults and children with epilepsy

Settings: Outpatients

Intervention: Topiramate

Comparison: Carbamazepine

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

No. of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Assumed risk

Corresponding risk

Carbamazepine

Topiramate

Time to first seizure after randomisation ‐ stratified by epilepsy type

Range of follow up: 0 to 2420 days

646 per 1000

684 per 1000

(631 to 738)

HR: 1.11

(0.96 to 1.29)

1129

(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊕
high

HR > 1 indicates a clinical advantage for topiramate

Time to first seizure after randomisation ‐ stratified by epilepsy type ‐ partial onset

Range of follow up: 0 to 2420 days

660 per 1000

702 per 1000

(645 to 756)

HR: 1.12

(0.96 to 1.31)

962

(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊕
high

HR > 1 indicates a clinical advantage for topiramate

Time to first seizure after randomisation ‐ stratified by epilepsy type ‐ generalised‐onset or unclassified epilepsy

Range of follow up: 0 to 853 days

542 per 1000

567 per 1000

(417 to 729)

HR: 1.07

(0.69 to 1.67)

153

(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
moderate1

HR > 1 indicates a clinical advantage for topiramate

Time to 12‐month remission of seizures ‐ stratified by epilepsy type

Range of follow up: 0 to 2420 days

572 per 1000

510 per 1000

(453 to 572)

HR: 0.84

(0.71 to 1.00)

1129

(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊕
high

HR > 1 indicates a clinical advantage for carbamazepine

Time to 12‐month remission of seizures ‐ stratified by epilepsy type ‐ partial onset

Range of follow up: 0 to 2420 days

574 per 1000

508 per 1000

(445 to 574)

HR: 0.83

(0.69 to 1.00)

962

(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊕
high

HR > 1 indicates a clinical advantage for carbamazepine

Time to 12‐month remission of seizures ‐ stratified by epilepsy type ‐ generalised‐onset or unclassified epilepsy

Range of follow up: 0 to 853 days

559 per 1000

526 per 1000

(378 to 690)

HR: 0.91

(0.58 to 1.43)

153

(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
moderate1

HR > 1 indicates a clinical advantage for carbamazepine

The assumed risk is calculated as the event rate in the carbamazepine treatment. The corresponding risk (and its 95% CI) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).

The corresponding risk is calculated as the assumed risk x the relative risk (RR) of the intervention where RR = (1 ‐ exp(HR x ln(1 ‐ assumed risk)))/assumed risk.
CI: Confidence interval; HR: Hazard Ratio;

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: Further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect.
Moderate quality: Further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate.
Low quality: Further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate.
Very low quality: We are very uncertain about the estimate.

1. Downgraded once for imprecision and applicability, limited information on generalised seizure types and most participants do not have a classified seizure type in this subgroup so the interpretation of this seizure type is unclear.

Figuras y tablas -
Table 1. Demographic characteristics of trial participants (trials providing Individual Participant Data)

Partial seizures n (%)

Male gender n (%)

Abnormal neurological

exam, n (%)

Age at entry (years),

mean (SD), range

Number of seizures in prior

6 months, median, range

CBZ

TPM

Missing

CBZ

TPM

Missing

CBZ

TPM

Missing

CBZ

TPM

Missing

CBZ

TPM

Missing

Privitera 2003

104 (81)

218 (82)

0

68 (52)

147 (55)

0

NA

NA

395

35.4 (18.7), 6‐80

33.9 (18.2), 6‐75

0

4(0‐2400)

4 (0‐1346)

0

SANAD A 2007

333 (88)

321 (85)

89

204 (55)

204 (55)

18

87 (24)

105 (28)

18

39.3 (18.4), 5‐82

38.7 (18.6), 5‐86

18

4 (0‐467)

4 (0‐393)

21

CBZ = carbamazepine, TPM = topiramate, NA = not available, SD = standard deviation

Figuras y tablas -
Table 1. Demographic characteristics of trial participants (trials providing Individual Participant Data)
Table 2. Number of participants included in analyses (trials providing individual participant data)

Number randomised

Time to withdrawal of

randomised treatment

Time to first seizure

Time to 12‐

month remission

Time to 6‐

month remission

CBZ

TPM

Total

CBZ

TPM

Total

CBZ

TPM

Total

CBZ

TPM

Total

CBZ

TPM

Total

Privitera 2003

129

266

395

129

266

395

129

266

395

129

266

395

129

266

395

SANAD A 20071

378

378

756

368

366

734

362

358

720

362

358

720

362

358

720

Total

507

644

1151

497

632

1129

491

624

1115

491

624

1115

491

624

1115

CBZ = carbamazepine, TPM = topiramate

1. Withdrawal time missing for 22 participants and seizure data after follow up missing for 36 participants in SANAD A 2007

Figuras y tablas -
Table 2. Number of participants included in analyses (trials providing individual participant data)
Table 3. Reasons for premature discontinuation (withdrawal of allocated treatment) in trials providing IPD

Study

Privitera 2003

SANAD A 20075

Grand

Total

Reason1

Classification

in analysis

CBZ

TPM

100 mg/day

TPM

200 mg/day

TPM

(pooled)

Total

CBZ

TPM

Total

Completed study

Censored

63

64

66

130

193

151

137

288

481

Adverse event

Event

32

26

30

56

88

104

103

207

295

Ineffective treatment

Event

10

18

13

31

41

43

55

98

139

Other reason (event)2

Event

7

9

8

17

24

10

16

26

50

Both ineffective treatment

and adverse events

Event

0

0

0

0

0

20

28

48

48

Remission

Censored

0

0

0

0

0

25

19

44

44

Other reason (censored)3

Censored

3

4

2

6

9

19

12

31

40

Participant choice4

Event

5

9

7

16

21

6

8

14

35

Lost to follow‐up

Censored

9

6

4

10

19

0

0

0

19

Total censored

75

74

72

146

221

201

176

377

598

Total events

54

62

58

120

174

177

202

379

553

Grand total

129

136

130

266

395

378

378

756

1151

CBZ = carbamazepine, TPM = topiramate

1. Primary reason for discontinuation specified ‐ participants may have withdrawn from allocated treatment for a combination of reasons

2. Other treatment related withdrawals: drug‐related death, pregnancy or perceived remission (SANAD A 2007). Specified only as 'other reason' in Privitera 2003

3. Other withdrawals (not treatment related): epilepsy diagnosis changed and death not related to treatment (SANAD A 2007). Specified only as 'other reason' in Privitera 2003

4. Withdrawal of consent/participant choice classified as an event in this review but censored in included trial (SANAD A 2007). Sensitivity analysis classifying withdrawal of consent as a censored observation did not change conclusions (results available on request).

5. Withdrawal reasons available for all participants in the two studies but withdrawal times missing for 22 participants in SANAD A 2007 (see Table 2). These 22 participants were not included in analysis of time to withdrawal of randomised treatment, but all 22 withdrew for reasons which would have been censored in analysis, therefore the impact of these missing participants on the analysis is minor

Figuras y tablas -
Table 3. Reasons for premature discontinuation (withdrawal of allocated treatment) in trials providing IPD
Table 4. Sensitivity analysis by topiramate dose ‐ Privitera 2003

Treatment

N

Comparator

N

Total

Time to treatment withdrawal

Time to first seizure

Time to 12‐month remission

Time to 6‐month remission

HR (95% CI)

P value

HR (95% CI)

P value

HR (95% CI)

P value

HR (95% CI)

P value

Topiramate (both arms)

266

Carbamazepine

129

395

1.04 (0.75, 1.43)

0.82

1.32 (0.96, 1.81)

0.09

0.82 (0.51, 1.33)

0.42

0.88 (0.65, 1.18)

0.39

Topiramate 200mg

130

Carbamazepine

129

259

1.03 (0.71, 1.48)

0.89

1.34 (0.94, 1.91)

0.11

0.83 (0.48, 1.44)

0.5

0.84 (0.59, 1.18)

0.31

Topiramate 100mg

136

Carbamazepine

129

265

1.05 (0.73, 1.52)

0.79

1.29 (0.89, 1.86)

0.18

0.79 (0.46, 1.37)

0.41

0.93 (0.66, 1.31)

0.66

HR = hazard ratio, CI = confidence interval

Figuras y tablas -
Table 4. Sensitivity analysis by topiramate dose ‐ Privitera 2003
Table 5. Summary of adverse events experienced

Study and drug

Privitera 2003

SANAD A 2007

TPM 100

TPM 200

CBZ

Total

TPM

CBZ

Total

Number experiencing adverse events

120

114

111

345

283

260

543

Number of adverse events

1063

1035

970

3068

2503

1339

3842

Number of adverse events per person (range)

1 to 40

1 to 30

1 to 37

NA

1 to 35

1 to 37

NA

Number of drug related adverse events1

578

613

537

1728

NA

NA

NA

Number of adverse events requiring action/treatment change2

76

90

72

238

705

529

1234

Number of participants needing a treatment change/dose change2

27

31

32

90

185

173

358

CBZ = carbamazepine, NA: Not available; TPM = topiramate, TPM 100 = topiramate 100 mg/day, TPM 200 = topiramate 200 mg/day (Privitera 2003)

1. Defined as event which are 'very likely,' 'probably' or 'possibly' related in Privitera 2003. Not stated if events were drug related in SANAD A 2007

2. Information given only for drug discontinuation in Privitera 2003. Information on drug discontinuation and dose change in SANAD A 2007

Figuras y tablas -
Table 5. Summary of adverse events experienced
Table 6. Most commonly reported adverse events

Most commonly reported adverse events

Privitera 2003

SANAD A 2007

Total

CBZ

TPM 100

TPM 200

Total

CBZ

TPM

Total

CBZ

TPM

Total

Events

Ppts

Events

Ppts

Events

Ppts

Events

Ppts

Events

Ppts

Events

Ppts

Events

Ppts

Events

Ppts

Events

Ppts

Events

Ppts

Aggression

0

0

8

6

5

2

13

8

41

25

75

50

116

75

41

25

88

58

129

83

Anorexia/weight loss

32

16

45

26

54

34

131

76

16

14

126

82

142

96

48

30

225

142

273

172

Anxiety/Depression

24

15

48

27

60

39

132

81

46

35

107

71

153

106

70

50

215

137

285

187

Aphasia

18

10

10

7

34

14

62

31

11

10

16

16

27

26

29

20

60

37

89

57

Ataxia

7

4

11

6

9

6

27

16

30

23

21

14

51

37

37

27

41

26

78

53

Chest infection/bronchitis

36

23

41

25

54

26

131

74

6

6

3

3

9

9

42

29

98

54

140

83

Cold/fever/influenza

14

13

20

11

15

15

49

39

3

3

4

4

7

7

17

16

39

30

56

46

Concentration

6

5

15

7

28

11

49

23

11

11

8

7

19

18

17

16

51

25

68

41

Confusion

6

4

5

4

10

6

21

14

33

25

45

34

78

59

39

29

60

44

99

73

Dental

6

3

10

7

9

5

25

15

17

14

13

13

30

27

23

17

32

25

55

42

Dizzy/faint

49

30

44

24

35

23

128

77

64

51

76

49

140

100

113

81

155

96

268

177

Drowsy/tired

130

60

97

51

79

45

306

156

267

187

188

139

455

326

397

247

364

235

761

482

Gastrointestinal disturbances

88

51

50

32

53

28

191

111

49

41

48

32

97

73

137

92

151

92

288

184

Headache

75

39

84

38

40

24

199

101

97

65

76

44

173

109

172

104

200

106

372

210

Increased/worsened seizures

2

2

5

4

0

0

7

6

41

30

30

24

71

54

43

32

35

28

78

60

Kidney/urinary problems

11

6

15

7

22

12

48

25

10

10

21

15

31

25

21

16

58

34

79

50

Memory

8

6

19

10

26

12

53

28

71

48

92

62

163

110

79

54

137

84

216

138

Mood/Behavioural change

19

10

22

14

29

15

70

39

56

42

97

76

153

118

75

52

148

105

223

157

Nausea/vomiting

57

35

21

19

27

23

105

77

54

49

32

29

86

78

111

84

80

71

191

155

Pain

26

19

14

9

39

19

79

47

15

13

20

17

35

30

41

32

73

45

114

77

Pins and needles

17

5

116

38

135

45

268

88

23

17

205

148

228

165

40

22

456

231

496

253

Rash

61

35

42

22

25

17

128

74

99

81

54

44

153

125

160

116

121

83

281

199

Sleep problems/nightmares

14

6

24

14

23

12

61

32

24

16

40

30

64

46

38

22

87

56

125

78

Vision

7

5

8

5

3

3

18

13

33

28

24

23

57

51

40

33

35

31

75

64

Weight gain

8

3

5

4

0

0

13

7

42

27

25

15

67

42

50

30

30

19

80

49

CBZ = carbamazepine, TPM = topiramate, TPM 100 = topiramate 100 mg/day, TPM 200 = topiramate 200 mg/day (Privitera 2003);

Events = number of adverse events reported; Ppts = number of participants reporting the adverse event (a participant could report the same type of adverse event multiple times). Less commonly reported adverse events are not summarised in this table but details are available on request from the review authors. General terminology for the type of adverse events was defined by the review authors based on the individual participant data provided

Figuras y tablas -
Table 6. Most commonly reported adverse events
Comparison 1. Topiramate monotherapy (TPM) versus Carbamazepine (CBZ) monotherapy

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Time to withdrawal of allocated treatment Show forest plot

2

1129

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.15 [0.97, 1.37]

2 Time to withdrawal of allocated treatment ‐ stratified by epilepsy type Show forest plot

2

1129

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.16 [0.98, 1.38]

2.1 Generalised Onset or Unclassified Epilepsy

2

155

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.90 [0.54, 1.47]

2.2 Partial Onset

2

974

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.20 [1.00, 1.45]

3 Time to first seizure after randomisation Show forest plot

2

1115

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.09 [0.94, 1.27]

4 Time to first seizure after randomisation ‐ stratified by epilepsy type Show forest plot

2

1115

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.11 [0.96, 1.29]

4.1 Generalised Onset or Unclassified Epilepsy

2

153

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.07 [0.69, 1.67]

4.2 Partial Onset

2

962

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.12 [0.96, 1.31]

5 Time to 12 month remission of seizures Show forest plot

2

1115

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.85 [0.72, 1.01]

6 Time to 12 month remission of seizures ‐ stratified by epilepsy type Show forest plot

2

1115

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.84 [0.71, 1.00]

6.1 Generalised Onset or Unclassified Epilepsy

2

153

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.91 [0.58, 1.43]

6.2 Partial Onset

2

962

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.83 [0.69, 1.00]

7 Time to 6 month remission of seizures Show forest plot

2

1115

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.88 [0.77, 1.02]

8 Time to 6 month remission of seizures ‐ stratified by epilepsy type Show forest plot

2

1115

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.88 [0.76, 1.01]

8.1 Generalised Onset or Unclassified Epilepsy

2

153

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.98 [0.67, 1.44]

8.2 Partial Onset

2

962

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.86 [0.74, 1.01]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 1. Topiramate monotherapy (TPM) versus Carbamazepine (CBZ) monotherapy