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Study flow diagram.
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Figure 1

Study flow diagram.

'Risk of bias' graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.
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Figure 2

'Risk of bias' graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.

'Risk of bias' summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.
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Figure 3

'Risk of bias' summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.

Comparison 1 Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo, Outcome 1 Major cardiovascular event.
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Analysis 1.1

Comparison 1 Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo, Outcome 1 Major cardiovascular event.

Comparison 1 Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo, Outcome 2 Cardiovascular mortality.
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Analysis 1.2

Comparison 1 Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo, Outcome 2 Cardiovascular mortality.

Comparison 1 Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo, Outcome 3 All‐cause mortality.
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Analysis 1.3

Comparison 1 Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo, Outcome 3 All‐cause mortality.

Comparison 1 Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo, Outcome 4 Total myocardial infarction.
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Analysis 1.4

Comparison 1 Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo, Outcome 4 Total myocardial infarction.

Comparison 1 Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo, Outcome 5 Self‐reported CABG/PTCA.
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Analysis 1.5

Comparison 1 Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo, Outcome 5 Self‐reported CABG/PTCA.

Comparison 1 Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo, Outcome 6 Self‐reported angina.
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Analysis 1.6

Comparison 1 Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo, Outcome 6 Self‐reported angina.

Comparison 1 Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo, Outcome 7 Total stroke.
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Analysis 1.7

Comparison 1 Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo, Outcome 7 Total stroke.

Comparison 1 Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo, Outcome 8 Systolic blood pressure (change from baseline, mmHg).
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Analysis 1.8

Comparison 1 Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo, Outcome 8 Systolic blood pressure (change from baseline, mmHg).

Comparison 1 Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo, Outcome 9 Diastolic blood pressure (change from baseline, mmHg).
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Analysis 1.9

Comparison 1 Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo, Outcome 9 Diastolic blood pressure (change from baseline, mmHg).

Comparison 1 Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo, Outcome 10 Total cholesterol (change from baseline, mmol/L).
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Analysis 1.10

Comparison 1 Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo, Outcome 10 Total cholesterol (change from baseline, mmol/L).

Comparison 1 Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo, Outcome 11 LDL‐cholesterol (change from baseline, mmol/L).
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Analysis 1.11

Comparison 1 Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo, Outcome 11 LDL‐cholesterol (change from baseline, mmol/L).

Comparison 1 Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo, Outcome 12 HDL‐cholesterol (change from baseline, mmol/L).
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Analysis 1.12

Comparison 1 Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo, Outcome 12 HDL‐cholesterol (change from baseline, mmol/L).

Comparison 1 Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo, Outcome 13 Triglycerides (change from baseline, mmol/L).
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Analysis 1.13

Comparison 1 Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo, Outcome 13 Triglycerides (change from baseline, mmol/L).

Summary of findings for the main comparison. Vitamin C supplementation versus placebo for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease

Vitamin C supplementation versus placebo for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease

Patient or population: middle‐aged US male physicians
Settings: Not clear
Intervention: Vitamin C supplementation

Comparision: placebo

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

No of Participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Assumed risk

Corresponding risk

Placebo

Vitamin C supplementation

Major cardiovascular event
Physicians
Follow‐up: mean 8 years

86 per 1000

85 per 1000
(77 to 94)

HR 0.99
(0.89 to 1.10)

14,641
(1 study)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
low1,2

Inconsistency was difficult to evaluate given that one trial assessed the primary outcome. Grey literature search is unlikely to introduce publication bias. See Appendix 2 for major cardiovascular event checklist

Cardiovascular mortality
Physicians
Follow‐up: mean 8 years

35 per 1000

35 per 1000
(29 to 42)

HR 1.02
(0.85 to 1.22)

14,641
(1 study)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
very low1,2,3

Inconsistency was difficult to evaluate given that one trial assessed the primary outcome. Grey literature search is unlikely to introduce publication bias. See Appendix 2 for major cardiovascular event checklist

All‐cause mortality
Physicians
Follow‐up: mean 8 years

110 per 1000

117 per 1000
(107 to 128)

HR 1.07
(0.97 to 1.18)

14,641
(1 study)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
very low1,2,3

Inconsistency was difficult to evaluate given that one trial assessed the primary outcome. Grey literature search is unlikely to introduce publication bias. See Appendix 2 for major cardiovascular event checklist

Total myocardial infarction (fatal and non‐fatal)
Physicians
Follow‐up: mean 8 years

34 per 1000

36 per 1000
(30 to 42)

HR 1.04
(0.87 to 1.24)

14,641
(1 study)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
low1,2

Inconsistency was difficult to evaluate given that one trial assessed the primary outcome. Grey literature search is unlikely to introduce publication bias. See Appendix 2 for major cardiovascular event checklist

Total stroke (fatal and non‐fatal)
Physicians
Follow‐up: mean 8 years

34 per 1000

30 per 1000
(25 to 36)

HR 0.89
(0.74 to 1.07)

14,641
(1 study)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
low1,2

Inconsistency was difficult to evaluate given that one trial assessed the primary outcome. Grey literature search is unlikely to introduce publication bias. See Appendix 2 for major cardiovascular event checklist

Self‐reported CABG/PTCA
Participant self‐reports
Follow‐up: mean 8 years

97 per 1000

93 per 1000
(84 to 103)

HR 0.96
(0.86 to 1.07)

14,641
(1 study)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
low1,2

Inconsistency was difficult to evaluate given that one trial assessed the primary outcome. Self‐reported outcomes are unlikely to introduce bias in this trial. Grey literature search is unlikely to introduce publication bias. See Appendix 2 for major cardiovascular event checklist

Self‐reported angina
Participant self‐reports
Follow‐up: mean 8 years

105 per 1000

98 per 1000
(89 to 108)

HR 0.93
(0.84 to 1.03)

14,641
(1 study)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
low1,2

Inconsistency was difficult to evaluate given that one trial assessed the primary outcome. Self‐reported outcomes are unlikely to introduce bias in this trial. Grey literature search is unlikely to introduce publication bias. See Appendix 2 for major cardiovascular event checklist

*The basis for the assumed risk (e.g. the median control group risk across studies) is provided in footnotes. The corresponding risk (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
CI: Confidence interval; HR: Hazard ratio; CABG: coronary artery bypass grafting; PTCA: percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: Further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect.
Moderate quality: Further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate.
Low quality: Further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate.
Very low quality: We are very uncertain about the estimate.

1 Middle‐aged US male physicians and is therefore not highly applicable to the decision context (downgraded by one for indirectness).
2 Small number of included studies (n = 1) for these outcomes (downgraded by one for imprecision).
3 8 years follow‐up (timeframe) may not be sufficient to detect mortality (downgraded by one for indirectness).

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings for the main comparison. Vitamin C supplementation versus placebo for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease
Comparison 1. Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Major cardiovascular event Show forest plot

1

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.99 [0.89, 1.10]

2 Cardiovascular mortality Show forest plot

1

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.02 [0.85, 1.22]

3 All‐cause mortality Show forest plot

1

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.07 [0.97, 1.18]

4 Total myocardial infarction Show forest plot

1

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.04 [0.87, 1.24]

5 Self‐reported CABG/PTCA Show forest plot

1

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.96 [0.86, 1.07]

6 Self‐reported angina Show forest plot

1

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.93 [0.84, 1.03]

7 Total stroke Show forest plot

1

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.89 [0.74, 1.07]

8 Systolic blood pressure (change from baseline, mmHg) Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

9 Diastolic blood pressure (change from baseline, mmHg) Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

10 Total cholesterol (change from baseline, mmol/L) Show forest plot

3

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

11 LDL‐cholesterol (change from baseline, mmol/L) Show forest plot

3

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

12 HDL‐cholesterol (change from baseline, mmol/L) Show forest plot

3

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

13 Triglycerides (change from baseline, mmol/L) Show forest plot

2

154

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

0.15 [‐0.02, 0.32]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 1. Vitamin C supplementation versus no intervention or placebo