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Erythropoietin for preterm infants with hypoxic ischaemic encephalopathy

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Abstract

This is a protocol for a Cochrane Review (Intervention). The objectives are as follows:

To assess the effects of therapeutic erythropoietin (EPO) compared to standard supportive treatment on death, long term neurodevelopmental disability and clinically important side effects in preterm infants (less than 35 weeks postmenstrual age (PMA)) with hypoxic ischaemic encephalopathy (HIE).

Secondary objectives include assessment of the adverse effects of EPO and effects on early prognostic indicators of adverse outcome (severity of electroencephalogram (EEG) abnormality; seizures (and number of anticonvulsants used); imaging appearance of areas of hyperintensity on diffusion weighted (DW) images; basal ganglia, posterior limb of internal capsule (PLIC) and/or white matter (WM) injury; parasagittal neuronal necrosis on late magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) (> 4 days)).

We plan subgroup analyses on the basis of:

  1. The dose of EPO:

    1. placebo or standard supportive treatment versus low doses of EPO (500 IU/kg/week to 1000 IU/kg/week);

    2. placebo or standard supportive treatment versus high doses of EPO (1001 IU/kg/week to 3000 IU/kg/week);

    3. placebo or standard supportive treatment versus very high doses of EPO (> 3000 IU/kg/week) .

  2. Severity of HIE (mild versus moderate versus severe) according to Sarnat staging (Sarnat 1976; Finer 1981):

    1. stage 1 (Mild): hyperalertness, hyper‐reflexia, dilated pupils, tachycardia, absence of seizures;

    2. stage 2 (Moderate): lethargy, hyper‐reflexia,miosis, bradycardia, seizures, hypotonia with weak suck and Moro;

    3. stage 3 (Severe): stupor, flaccidity, small to midposition pupils which react poorly to light, decreased stretch reflexes, hypothermia and absent Moro.

  3. Inclusion criteria: electrophysiological plus clinical criteria versus clinical criteria alone.

  4. Gestational age

    1. < 30 weeks PMA;

    2. ≥ 30 weeks PMA.

Background

Hypoxic ischaemic encephalopathy (HIE) following perinatal asphyxia is an important cause of neurodevelopmental impairment in infants (van Handel 2007). In technically developed countries, perinatal asphyxia affects approximately 73 per 1000 live preterm infants, of whom 50% may be moderately or severely affected (Low 2004). Approximately 25% of the survivors exhibit permanent neuropsychological deficits such as mental retardation, cerebral palsy, seizures and learning disabilities (Itoo 2003; Gonzalez 2006). Over the past 20 years, improvements in perinatal management of preterm newborns have substantially reduced mortality (Bode 2001; Gonzalez 2006). Although more preterm infants now survive, the proportion who sustain significant neurologic impairment remains relatively constant. Thus, the number of impaired survivors has actually increased (Hack 2004; Wilson‐Costello 2005). Given these figures, it is not surprising that effective strategies to prevent or minimise the long term consequences of perinatal cerebral hypoxic ischaemic injury have long been sought (Glass 2007; McPherson 2010).

Description of the condition

The preterm brain is more susceptible to hypoxia‐ischaemia (HI) and may have a more severe response to brain injury than term infants (Logitharajah 2009). In a hospital‐based study, the incidence of perinatal HIE in infants of 32 to 36 weeks gestational age was 0.9%. Fifty‐eight per cent of these patients suffered poor outcomes, which is higher than the incidence of poor outcomes in term infants with HIE (Schmidt 2010). Animal models support the concept of greater susceptibility to injury in the preterm brain. Buser 2010 found that preterm rabbits are more susceptible to brain injury due to HIE than term rabbits because late oligodendrocyte progenitors in preterm rabbits are particularly vulnerable to HIE. Preterm fetal HIE causes hypertonia and motor deficits in the neonatal rabbit, which is consistent with human data in which preterm infants with a birth weight < 1500 g are 100 times more likely to have cerebral palsy (CP) than term infants of 3000 g to 3500 g birth weight (Derrick 2004).

Regional differences in vulnerability to HIE exist. The thalamus and posterior brainstem myelinate earlier than the basal ganglia and the anterior brainstem, so these areas may be especially vulnerable to HI. The preterm cortex may be less susceptible to calcium‐induced excitotoxic injury than later in gestation because the proportion of a subtype of glutamate receptors allowing calcium influx into the cell is lower in the early third trimester (Talos 2006). The basal ganglia are more susceptible to injury following acute HI than the white matter, which is similar in preterm infants at term and term‐born infants (Miranda 2006). However, positron emission tomography studies demonstrate a lower glucose transport capacity in the preterm brain (Powers 1998).

Few studies have specially defined or staged HIE in preterm infants. In some studies, the investigators applied the standard definitions and Sarnat stages for HIE in preterm infants (Salhab 2005; Logitharajah 2009). In these studies, the diagnosis of HIE was made in infants as low as 26 weeks postmenstrual age (PMA) (Logitharajah 2009). However, there are no studies that explored whether the diagnosis is possible at these lower gestational ages.

A variety of pharmaceutical products that potentially have neuroprotective properties, including calcium channel blockers, free‐radical scavengers, glutamate receptor blockers, anti‐inflammatory and anti‐apoptotic agents, and growth factors, have been used to treat HIE (Palmer 1995; Johnston 2000; Singh 2005; Glass 2007). The Cochrane Library has published many reviews that assess these drugs and some interventions to prevent and treat perinatal asphyxia or HIE (Hunt 2002; McGuire 2004; Kecskes 2005; Evans 2007; Jacobs 2007; Chaudhari 2008). These drugs were only studied in term and late preterm infants; none of these studies was conducted in preterm infants. Of these therapies, only therapeutic mild hypothermia has been proven to limit brain damage in term infants with perinatal asphyxia or HIE (Edwards 2006; Jacobs 2007). Therapeutic hypothermia has not been tested in preterm infants because of concern that preterm infants would have a greater risk for hypothermia‐induced problems such as hypoglycaemia, and coagulopathy (Gunn 2008). Currently, preterm infants with HIE following perinatal asphyxia are provided supportive care, including correcting metabolic acidosis, close monitoring of the fluid status, and seizure control (Perlman 2006).

Description of the intervention

Erythropoietin (EPO) is a cytokine hormone that regulates erythropoiesis and promotes red blood cell maturation. It is widely used to prevent or treat anaemia (Juul 2007). The observation that EPO‐treated anaemia patients exhibit improved neuromuscular function (Sobh 1992) was quickly followed by the demonstration that EPO protected neurons against hypoxia in vitro (Konishi 1993). In neonatal animal models of hypoxic ischaemic injury, effective neuroprotective dosages ranged from 1000 to 30,000 U/kg (Demers 2005). Optimal protection was produced with three doses of 5000 U/kg given within 72 hours of injury (Kellert 2007). Some observational studies have demonstrated the effects of EPO in treatment of encephalopathy in term infants and adult subjects (Li 2009; Zhu 2009).

How the intervention might work

The effects of EPO for the treatment of hypoxic ischaemic injury have been investigated most intensively in neuronal cell cultures, in experimental animal models, and in some clinical trials (Aydin 2003; Kumral 2004; Kumral 2005; Kumral 2006; McClure 2007; Kim 2008). Experimental animal models of hypoxic ischaemic brain injury show that EPO has neuroprotective effects via the modulation of antioxidant enzyme activity and the differential regulation of the expression of genes involved in apoptotic processes (Kumral 2005; Kumral 2006; Kim 2008). There are many mechanisms underlying EPO‐mediated neuroprotection. The effects of EPO include direct neurotrophic effects (Campana 1998), decreased susceptibility to glutamate toxicity (Kawakami 2001), induction of anti‐apoptotic factors (Villa 2003), decreased inflammation (Sun 2005), decreased nitric oxide‐mediated injury (Kumral 2004), direct antioxidant effects (Genc 2002) and protective effects on glia cells (Sugawa 2002). Early EPO spares spatial memory and hippocampal CA1 neurons (Kumral 2004a). It is speculated that EPO‐induced erythropoiesis may protect neurons by enhancing utilization of free iron liberated by hypoxic ischaemic injury (Palmer 1999). Lastly, EPO provides neuroprotection by improving blood flow to the injured tissue (Springborg 2002).

When high doses of EPO are administered systemically, a small proportion crosses the blood‐brain barrier and can protect against HI brain injury (Statler 2007). Infants with elevated serum concentrations of EPO have higher Mental Development Index scores than those with lower serum EPO concentrations (Bierer 2006). Some clinical trials in Western countries and China have supported a role for EPO in promoting neurodevelopment in preterm infants (Wang 2006; Juul 2008).Therefore, we hypothesise that high doses of EPO at the beginning or within a short critical time period (up to six hours) after the onset of brain injury may achieve significant neuroprotective effect in preterm infants with HIE.

Why it is important to do this review

Effective therapies are urgently required to prevent neurosensory impairment following perinatal asphyxia in preterm infants. Clinical trials have evaluated the safety and neuroprotective effects of high doses of EPO in preterm infants (Juul 2008). These trials provide important insight into preterm infants who received high doses of EPO for the prevention and treatment of HIE. However, there are concerns regarding the adverse effects of long term EPO treatment including hypertension, seizures, thrombotic events, polycythaemia, and red cell aplasia secondary to anti‐EPO antibodies (Wolf 1997; Coronel 2004; Kuriyama 2007). There is particular concern regarding the incidence of severe retinopathy of prematurity (ROP; stage III or greater) seen in preterm infants receiving EPO within the first eight days of life for the prevention of anaemia (Ohls 2004; Ohlsson 2012). Since very few prospective human trials assessed the risk of ROP in preterm infants receiving high‐dose EPO, some animal models have tried to answer this question. A study recently reported that early high‐dose EPO (5000 U/kg/×3) did not exacerbate (or reduce) ROP in a neonatal rat model (Slusarski 2009). However, another study of a mouse model suggested that the effect of EPO on ROP might depend on timing which early EPO administration is shown to decrease ROP and late EPO exposure increase ROP pathology (Chen 2008). Long term effects, particularly neurodevelopmental outcome, need to be further addressed (McPherson 2010; Dame 2005). In some studies of lower dose of EPO exposure (250 to 400 U/kg/dose EPO, three times/week for six weeks to prevent anaemia of prematurity), they indicate that even lower doses of repeated EPO can be beneficial to neurodevelopmental outcome (McPherson 2010). Therefore, it is important to review the available evidence to evaluate the effectiveness and safety of early administration of high dose EPO for the treatment of preterm infants with HIE, and determine the optimal dosage and timing of EPO administration, the dosing intervals and the course of treatment.

Objectives

To assess the effects of therapeutic erythropoietin (EPO) compared to standard supportive treatment on death, long term neurodevelopmental disability and clinically important side effects in preterm infants (less than 35 weeks postmenstrual age (PMA)) with hypoxic ischaemic encephalopathy (HIE).

Secondary objectives include assessment of the adverse effects of EPO and effects on early prognostic indicators of adverse outcome (severity of electroencephalogram (EEG) abnormality; seizures (and number of anticonvulsants used); imaging appearance of areas of hyperintensity on diffusion weighted (DW) images; basal ganglia, posterior limb of internal capsule (PLIC) and/or white matter (WM) injury; parasagittal neuronal necrosis on late magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) (> 4 days)).

We plan subgroup analyses on the basis of:

  1. The dose of EPO:

    1. placebo or standard supportive treatment versus low doses of EPO (500 IU/kg/week to 1000 IU/kg/week);

    2. placebo or standard supportive treatment versus high doses of EPO (1001 IU/kg/week to 3000 IU/kg/week);

    3. placebo or standard supportive treatment versus very high doses of EPO (> 3000 IU/kg/week) .

  2. Severity of HIE (mild versus moderate versus severe) according to Sarnat staging (Sarnat 1976; Finer 1981):

    1. stage 1 (Mild): hyperalertness, hyper‐reflexia, dilated pupils, tachycardia, absence of seizures;

    2. stage 2 (Moderate): lethargy, hyper‐reflexia,miosis, bradycardia, seizures, hypotonia with weak suck and Moro;

    3. stage 3 (Severe): stupor, flaccidity, small to midposition pupils which react poorly to light, decreased stretch reflexes, hypothermia and absent Moro.

  3. Inclusion criteria: electrophysiological plus clinical criteria versus clinical criteria alone.

  4. Gestational age

    1. < 30 weeks PMA;

    2. ≥ 30 weeks PMA.

Methods

Criteria for considering studies for this review

Types of studies

We will include randomised or quasi‐randomised controlled trials. We will not include cluster trials. We will not apply any language restrictions.

Types of participants

  1. Preterm infants (less than 35 weeks PMA).

  2. Evidence of peripartum hypoxia, with each enrolled infant satisfying at least one of the following criteria:

    1. Apgar score of 5 or less at 10 minutes;

    2. mechanical ventilation or resuscitation at 10 minutes;

    3. cord pH < 7.1, or an arterial pH < 7.1 or base deficit of 12 or more within 60 minutes of birth.

  3. A physical exam with evidence of hypotonia or lethargy or seizures indicative of evolving HIE.

  4. No major congenital abnormalities recognisable at birth.

Types of interventions

  1. Doses of EPO:

    1. low doses of EPO (500 IU/kg/week to 1000 IU/kg/week);

    2. high doses of EPO (1001 IU/kg/week to 3000 IU/kg/week);

    3. very high doses of EPO (> 3000 IU/kg/week).

  2. EPO will be administered subcutaneously (or intravenously) either daily or every other day.The initiation of EPO (using high or very high doses) is used as the treatment group, while low doses or placebo or no intervention are used as the control group.

  3. Timing of starting intervention (< 6 hours, 6 to 48 hours, > 48 hours and < 72 hours).

Types of outcome measures

Primary outcomes

The primary outcome measure will be either death (at 28 days and at discharge) or long term (one year or 24 months corrected age) intellectual impairment [IQ more than 2 standard deviations (SD) below mean], blindness (vision < 6/60 in both eyes), sensorineural deafness requiring amplification.

Secondary outcomes

  1. Each component of the primary outcome:

    1. death at 28 days and at discharge;

    2. cerebral palsy at more than one year (the criterion for the diagnosis of cerebral palsy was a fixed motor deficit diagnosed by a neurologist);

    3. developmental delay (Bayley or Griffith assessment more than 2 SD below the mean) or intellectual impairment (IQ more than 2 SD below mean) at one year or 24 months corrected age;

    4. blindness (vision < 6/60 in both eyes) at one year or 24 months corrected age;

    5. Sensorineural deafness requiring amplification patient at one year or 24 months corrected age.

  2. The incidence of adverse effects of EPO:

    1. hypertension prior to discharge: a systolic blood pressure in a neonate which is above 95th percentile for age and sex on three separate occasions;

    2. thrombotic events prior to discharge; defined as either arterial (myocardial infarction, angina, stroke, intermittent claudication or peripheral arterial thrombosis (or both)) or venous (visceral or peripheral (or both);

    3. polycythaemia prior to discharge: central venous hematocrit (Hct) of greater than 65%;

    4. red cell aplasia secondary to anti‐EPO antibodies prior to discharge; made by a constellation of clinical features, including severe transfusion‐dependent anaemia, reticulocytopenia, low or absent erythroblasts in the bone marrow, and the presence of circulating anti‐erythropoietin antibodies;

    5. retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) at more than 32 weeks' corrected PMA: acute ROP (any stage of ROP during the weeks after birth observed by direct or indirect ophthalmoscopic examination), severe ROP (Stage 3 or greater).

  3. Early indicators of neurodevelopmental outcome at seven days after birth and at one month:

    1. severity of encephalopathy (Sarnat staging) (Sarnat 1976; Finer 1981), the maximum stage of Sarnat: stupor, flaccidity, small to mid position pupils which react poorly to light, decreased stretch reflexes, hypothermia and absent Moro;

    2. severity of electroencephalogram (EEG) abnormality:

      1. severe: isoelectric or burst‐suppression pattern;

      2. moderate: low voltage or discontinuous background;

      3. mild: electrographic seizures, dysmaturity.

    3. seizures (number of infants discharged on anticonvulsants);

    4. diffusion weighted imaging (DWI) on early MRI (< day 4): imaging appearance of areas of hyperintensity on DW images;

    5. basal ganglia, posterior limb of internal capsule (PLIC) and/or white matter (WM) injury, parasagittal neuronal necrosis on late MRI (> day 4);

    6. days to full sucking/oral feeds.

Search methods for identification of studies

We will use the standard search strategy of the Cochrane Neonatal Review Group as outlined in The Cochrane Library. This will include searches of the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL, The Cochrane Library, current issue), MEDLINE (1966 to current), CINAHL (1982 to current), EMBASE (1980 to current); and China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI, 1994 to current) using the following strategy: { preterm (explode) [MeSH heading] or premature (explode) [MeSH heading]} and {Asphyxia (explode) [MeSH heading] or Hypoxic Ischaemic Encephalopathy(explode) [MeSH heading]} and Erythropoietin (explode) [MeSH heading].

We will also search reference lists of relevant published trials and abstracts published in Pediatric Academic Societies; PASAbstracts2View from 2000 onwards and The Eastern Society for Pediatric Research. We will not apply language restrictions. Two review authors (Zhangbin Yu, Junjie Lu) will screen the candidate articles to identify articles eligible for inclusion in the review.

We will search clinical trials registries for ongoing or recently completed trials (clinicaltrials.gov; controlled‐trials.com; and who.int/ictrp). In addition, we will search Web of Science by entering the first known trial of EPO in this population.

Data collection and analysis

We will collect Information for each included study regarding the method of randomisation, blinding, drug intervention, stratification, and whether the trial was single or multicenter. We will note information regarding trial participants including birth weight criteria, and other inclusion or exclusion criteria.

We will contact the primary author to obtain further information if needed for the studies that are identified as an abstract. We will resolve differences in opinion by a third review author (Shuping Han). If resolving disagreement is not possible, we will include the article as 'awaiting assessment' and we will contact the trial authors for clarification.

Selection of studies

We will use the standard review methods of the Cochrane Neonatal Review Group.

Two review authors (Zhangbin Yu, Junjie Lu) will separately assess all abstracts and published studies identified by the literature search as potentially relevant for inclusion in the review. We will resolve any disagreement by discussion.

Data extraction and management

Two review authors (Zhangbin Yu, Junjie Lu) will separately extract, assess and code all data for each study using a form designed specifically for this review. We will replace any standard error of the mean by the corresponding standard deviation. We will resolve any disagreement by discussion. For each study, final data will be entered into RevMan 5.1 (RevMan 2011) by one review author (Zhangbin Yu) and then checked by a second review author (Junjie Lu).

Assessment of risk of bias in included studies

We will use the standard criteria and methods of the Cochrane Collaboration and the Cochrane Neonatal Review Group for assessing the risk of bias of included trials (Higgins 2011). Each study reviewed in full will be assessed and data initially abstracted independently by two of the review authors (Zhangbin Yu, Junjie Lu). For each included study, inclusion criteria will be confirmed, and information will be sought regarding the study design, method of randomisation, masking of allocation, masking of intervention, completeness of follow‐up and masking of outcome assessment. Discrepancies will be resolved by discussion and consensus.This information will be included in the table 'Characteristics of Included Studies'.

In addition, we will evaluate the following information and add this to the Risk of Bias table: 

  1. Random sequence generation (selection bias)

    1. Criteria for the judgement of ‘Low risk’ of bias. There is a low risk of selection bias if a random (unpredictable) assignment sequence was used. Examples of low risk methods are: referring to a random number table, using a computer random number generator, coin tossing, shuffling cards or envelopes, throwing dice, drawing of lots, minimization (minimization may be implemented without a random element, and this is considered to be equivalent to being random).

    2. Criteria for the judgement of ‘High risk’ of bias. The investigators describe a non‐random component in the sequence generation process. Usually, the description would involve some systematic, non‐random approach, for example: Sequence generated by odd or even date of birth; date (or day) of admission; hospital or clinic record number. Other non‐random approaches happen much less frequently than the systematic approaches mentioned above and tend to be obvious.  They usually involve judgement or some method of non‐random categorization of participants, for example: Allocation by judgement of the clinician; preference of the participant; the results of a laboratory test or a series of tests; availability of the intervention.

    3. Criteria for the judgement of ‘Unclear risk’ of bias. Insufficient information about the sequence generation process to permit judgement of ‘Low risk’ or ‘High risk’.

  2. Allocation concealment (selection bias)

    1. Criteria for the judgement of ‘Low risk’ of bias. There is a low risk of selection bias if the assignment was generated by an independent person not responsible for determining the eligibility of the patients. This person had no information about the persons included in the trial, no influence on the assignment sequence or eligibility of the patient, and could not foresee assignment because one of the following, or an equivalent method, was used to conceal allocation: central allocation (including telephone, web‐based, and pharmacy‐controlled, randomisation); sequentially numbered drug containers of identical appearance; sequentially numbered, opaque, or sealed envelopes.

    2. Criteria for the judgement of ‘High risk’ of bias. Examples of high risk methods are: using an open random allocation schedule (e.g. a list of random numbers), assignment envelopes were used without appropriate safeguards (e.g. if envelopes were unsealed or non‐opaque or not sequentially numbered), alternation or rotation, date of birth, case record number, or other explicitly unconcealed procedure. Knowledge of the allocated interventions was adequately prevented during the study (performance bias).

    3. Criteria for the judgement of ‘Unclear risk’ of bias. Insufficient information to permit judgement of ‘Low risk’ or ‘High risk’. This is usually the case if the method of concealment is not described or not described in sufficient detail to allow a definite judgement – for example if the use of assignment envelopes is described, but it remains unclear whether envelopes were sequentially numbered, opaque and sealed.

  3. Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)

    1. Criteria for the judgement of ‘Low risk’ of bias. Any one of the following: No blinding or incomplete blinding, but the review authors judge that the outcome is not likely to be influenced by lack of blinding; Blinding of participants and key study personnel ensured, and unlikely that the blinding could have been broken.

    2. Criteria for the judgement of ‘High risk’ of bias. Any one of the following: No blinding or incomplete blinding, and the outcome is likely to be influenced by lack of blinding; Blinding of key study participants and personnel attempted, but likely that the blinding could have been broken, and the outcome is likely to be influenced by lack of blinding.

    3. Criteria for the judgement of ‘Unclear risk’ of bias. Any one of the following: Insufficient information to permit judgement of ‘Low risk’ or ‘High risk’; the study did not address this outcome.

  4. Blinding of outcomes assessment (detection bias)

    1. Criteria for the judgement of ‘Low risk’ of bias. Any one of the following: No blinding of outcome assessment, but the review authors judge that the outcome measurement is not likely to be influenced by lack of blinding; blinding of outcome assessment ensured, and unlikely that the blinding could have been broken.

    2. Criteria for the judgement of ‘High risk’ of bias. Any one of the following: No blinding of outcome assessment, and the outcome measurement is likely to be influenced by lack of blinding; blinding of outcome assessment, but likely that the blinding could have been broken, and the outcome measurement is likely to be influenced by lack of blinding.

    3. Criteria for the judgement of  ‘Unclear risk’ of bias. Any one of the following: Insufficient information to permit judgement of ‘Low risk’ or ‘High risk’; the study did not address this outcome.

  5. Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)

    1. Criteria for the judgement of ‘Low risk’ of bias. Any one of the following: No missing outcome data; reasons for missing outcome data unlikely to be related to true outcome (for survival data, censoring unlikely to be introducing bias); missing outcome data balanced in numbers across intervention groups, with similar reasons for missing data across groups; for dichotomous outcome data, the proportion of missing outcomes compared with observed event risk not enough to have a clinically relevant impact on the intervention effect estimate; For continuous outcome data, plausible effect size (difference in means or standardised difference in means) among missing outcomes not enough to have a clinically relevant impact on observed effect size; missing data have been imputed using appropriate methods.

    2. Criteria for the judgement of ‘High risk’ of bias. Any one of the following: Reason for missing outcome data likely to be related to true outcome, with either imbalance in numbers or reasons for missing data across intervention groups; for dichotomous outcome data, the proportion of missing outcomes compared with observed event risk enough to induce clinically relevant bias in intervention effect estimate; for continuous outcome data, plausible effect size (difference in means or standardized difference in means) among missing outcomes enough to induce clinically relevant bias in observed effect size; ‘As‐treated’ analysis done with substantial departure of the intervention received from that assigned at randomisation; potentially inappropriate application of simple imputation.

    3. Criteria for the judgement of ‘Unclear risk’ of bias. Any one of the following: Insufficient reporting of attrition/exclusions to permit judgement of ‘Low risk’ or ‘High risk’ (e.g. number randomised not stated, no reasons for missing data provided); the study did not address this outcome.

  6. Selective reporting (reporting bias)

    1. Criteria for the judgement of ‘Low risk’ of bias. Any of the following: The study protocol is available and all of the study’s pre‐specified (primary and secondary) outcomes that are of interest in the review have been reported in the pre‐specified way; the study protocol is not available but it is clear that the published reports include all expected outcomes, including those that were pre‐specified (convincing text of this nature may be uncommon).

    2. Criteria for the judgement of ‘High risk’ of bias. Any one of the following: Not all of the study’s pre‐specified primary outcomes have been reported; one or more primary outcomes is reported using measurements, analysis methods or subsets of the data (e.g. subscales) that were not pre‐specified; one or more reported primary outcomes were not pre‐specified (unless clear justification for their reporting is provided, such as an unexpected adverse effect); one or more outcomes of interest in the review are reported incompletely so that they cannot be entered in a meta‐analysis; the study report fails to include results for a key outcome that would be expected to have been reported for such a study.

    3. Criteria for the judgement of ‘Unclear risk’ of bias. Insufficient information to permit judgement of ‘Low risk’ or ‘High risk’. It is likely that the majority of studies will fall into this category.

  7. Other sources of bias:

    1. Criteria for the judgement of ‘Low risk’ of bias. The study appears to be free of other sources of bias;

    2. Criteria for the judgement of ‘High risk’ of bias. There is at least one important risk of bias. For example, the study: had a potential source of bias related to the specific study design used; or has been claimed to have been fraudulent; or had some other problem;

    3. Criteria for the judgement of ‘Unclear risk’ of bias. There may be a risk of bias, but there is either: insufficient information to assess whether an important risk of bias exists; or insufficient rationale or evidence that an identified problem will introduce bias.

Measures of treatment effect

We will perform statistical analyses using Review Manager software. We will express dichotomous data as risk ratios (RR) with their 95% confidence intervals (CI). We will calculate the risk difference (RD) and their 95% CI if the RD was statistically significant and we will convert the RD into the number needed to treat to benefit (NNTB) or the number needed to treat to harm (NNTH). We will analyse continuous data using mean difference (MD). We will report the 95% CI on all estimates.

Dealing with missing data

We will contact authors of trials for missing data, or if clarification is required. If contact is impossible, then we will exclude the study from synthesis. There may be other missing information such as method of imputation for intention‐to‐treat analyses which should be reported in the article, but if not, we will contact the author.

Assessment of heterogeneity

We will perform heterogeneity tests. We will report the results of the I2 statistic. The degree of heterogeneity estimates will be assessed as: no heterogeneity < 25%; low heterogeneity 25% to 49%; moderate 50% to 74%; high heterogeneity 75%. If we detect statistical heterogeneity, we will explore the possible causes (for example, differences in study quality, participants, intervention regimens, or outcome assessments) using post hoc subgroup analyses.

Assessment of reporting biases

We will investigate reporting biases (such as publication bias) using funnel plots if there are ten or more studies in the meta‐analysis. We will assess funnel plot asymmetry visually, and using formal tests. For continuous outcomes we will use the test proposed by Egger 1997, and for dichotomous outcomes we will use the test proposed by Harbord 2006. If we detect asymmetry in any of these tests or by a visual assessment, assessment we will perform exploratory analyses to investigate.

Data synthesis

We will summarise data statistically if they are available, sufficiently similar and of sufficient quality. A meta‐analysis may be feasible if more than one eligible trial is identified and there is sufficient homogeneity among the studies with respect to participants and reported outcomes. We will perform statistical analysis according to the statistical guidelines referenced in the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions (Higgins 2011).

We will use the standard methods of the Cochrane Neonatal Review Group, using a fixed‐effect model. In assessing the treatment effects for dichotomous outcomes we will use the RR and RD, with 95% CI. For outcomes measured on a continuous scale we will use the MD, with 95% CI.

Subgroup analysis and investigation of heterogeneity

We plan to conduct subgroup analyses on the basis of:

  1. The dose of EPO:

    1. placebo or standard supportive treatment versus low doses of EPO (> 500 IU/kg/week, ≤ 1000 IU/kg/week);

    2. placebo or standard supportive treatment versus high (> 1000 IU/kg/week, ≤ 3000 IU/kg/week) doses of EPO;

    3. placebo or standard supportive treatment versus very high (> 3000 IU/kg/week) doses of EPO.

  2. Severity of HIE (mild versus moderate versus severe) according to Sarnat staging (Sarnat 1976; Finer 1981).

  3. Inclusion criteria: electrophysiological plus clinical criteria versus clinical criteria alone.

  4. Postmenstrual age (PMA): PMA < 30 weeks versus PMA ≥ 30 weeks.

Sensitivity analysis

We will perform sensitivity analyses in order to explore the influence of the following factors on effect size:

  1. repeating the analysis excluding unpublished studies;

  2. repeating the analysis taking account of risk of bias in included studies, as specified above (see Assessment of risk of bias in included studies).