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Intervenciones de terapia cognitivo‐conductual (TCC) para jóvenes de 10 a 18 años con conducta sexual perjudicial

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Antecedentes

Alrededor de 1 de cada 1000 adolescentes de 12 a 17 años muestra una conducta sexual problemática o perjudicial (CSP). Entre los ejemplos, figuran comportamientos que ocurren con mayor frecuencia de lo que se consideraría apropiado para el desarrollo; acompañados de coacción; que involucran a niños de diferentes edades o etapas de desarrollo; o asociados a trastornos emocionales. Algunos, pero no todos, los jóvenes que desarrollan una CSP llaman la atención de las autoridades para su investigación, procesamiento o tratamiento. Según el contexto político, los jóvenes con una CSP son aquellos cuyo comportamiento ha dado lugar a una reprimenda o advertencia formal, a una condena por un delito sexual o a medidas civiles. Las intervenciones de la terapia cognitivo‐conductual (TCC) se basan en la idea de que, al cambiar la forma de pensar de una persona, y ayudarla a desarrollar nuevas habilidades de afrontamiento, es posible cambiar su comportamiento.

Objetivos

Evaluar los efectos de la TCC en jóvenes de 10 a 18 años que han exhibido una CSP.

Métodos de búsqueda

En junio de 2019, se hicieron búsquedas en CENTRAL, MEDLINE, Embase, en otras 12 bases de datos y en tres registros de ensayos. También se examinaron los sitios web pertinentes, se verificaron las listas de referencias y se estableció contacto con los autores de los artículos pertinentes.

Criterios de selección

Se incluyeron todos los ensayos controlados aleatorizados (ECA) relevantes que utilizaron grupos paralelos. Se evaluaron los tratamientos de TCC en comparación con ningún tratamiento, lista de espera o atención estándar, independientemente del modo de realización o del contexto, proporcionados a jóvenes de 10 a 18 años de edad, que hubieran sido condenados por un delito sexual o que exhibían una CSP.

Obtención y análisis de los datos

Se utilizaron los procedimientos metodológicos estándares previstos por Cochrane.

Resultados principales

Se encontraron cuatro ECA elegibles (115 participantes). Los participantes en dos estudios fueron varones adolescentes de 12 a 18 años de edad. En dos estudios, los participantes eran varones descritos simplemente como "adolescentes".

Se realizaron tres estudios en los Estados Unidos y uno en Sudáfrica. Los cuatro estudios fueron de corta duración: uno duró dos meses; dos duraron tres meses; y uno duró seis meses. No se disponía de información sobre las fuentes de financiación.

Dos estudios compararon la TCC grupal respectivamente con ningún tratamiento (18 participantes) o con el tratamiento habitual (21 participantes). El tercero comparó la TCC con la educación sexual (16 participantes). El cuarto comparó la TCC (19 participantes) con la terapia de desactivación modal (21 participantes) y el entrenamiento en habilidades sociales (20 participantes). En tres intervenciones el tratamiento lo realizó en un contexto residencial un empleado del centro, y en una, fue en un entorno comunitario y realizado por un terapeuta licenciado que realizaba un doctorado.

TCC comparada con ningún tratamiento o el tratamiento habitual

Resultados primarios

Ningún estudio de esta comparación informó sobre la repercusión de la TCC en ninguna medida de los resultados primarios (reincidencia y eventos adversos como lesiones autoinfligidas o conducta suicida).

Resultados secundarios

Hubo poca o ninguna diferencia entre la TCC y el tratamiento habitual en cuanto a las distorsiones cognitivas en general (diferencia de medias (DM) 1,56, intervalo de confianza (IC) del 95%: ‐11,54 a 14,66; un estudio, 18 participantes; evidencia de muy baja certeza), evaluadas con la Abel and Becker Cognition Scale (las puntuaciones más altas indican distorsiones más problemáticas); y distorsiones cognitivas específicas sobre la violación (DM 8,75, IC del 95%: 2,83 a 14,67, un estudio, 21 participantes; evidencia de muy baja certeza), evaluadas con la Bumby Cardsort Rape Scale (las puntuaciones más altas indican más justificaciones, minimizaciones, racionalizaciones y excusas para la CSP).

Un estudio (18 participantes) informó evidencia de muy baja certeza de que la TCC puede dar lugar a mayores mejoras en la empatía hacia las víctimas (DM 5,56; IC del 95%: 0,94 a 10,18), medida con la Attitudes Towards Women Scale, en comparación con ningún tratamiento. Un estudio adicional también midió esto, pero no proporcionó datos utilizables.

TCC en comparación con las intervenciones alternativas

Resultados primarios

Un estudio (59 participantes) encontró poca o ninguna diferencia entre la TCC y los tratamientos alternativos en las puntuaciones de agresión sexual posteriores al tratamiento (DM 0,09; IC del 95%: ‐0,18 a 0,37; evidencia de muy baja certeza), evaluadas mediante los Daily Behaviour Reports and Behaviour Incidence Report Forms. Ningún estudio de esta comparación informó sobre el impacto de la TCC en ninguna medida de los resultados primarios restantes.

Resultados secundarios

Un estudio (16 participantes) proporcionó evidencia de muy baja certeza de que, en comparación con la educación sexual, las distorsiones cognitivas medias relativas a la justificación o la asunción de responsabilidad por las acciones (DM 3,27; IC del 95%: ‐4,77 a ‐1,77) y la confianza en la aprehensión (DM 2,47; IC del 95%: ‐3,85 a ‐1,09) pueden ser menores en el grupo de TCC. El mismo estudio indicó que las distorsiones cognitivas medias relativas a la conveniencia social y sexual pueden ser menores en el grupo de la TCC, y puede haber poca o ninguna diferencia entre los grupos en cuanto a las distorsiones cognitivas relativas a las fantasías sexuales inapropiadas medidas con el Multiphasic Sex Inventory.

Conclusiones de los autores

No se sabe con certeza si la TCC reduce la CSP en los adolescentes varones en comparación con otros tratamientos. Todos los estudios no informaban con suficientes detalles como para permitir una evaluación completa del riesgo de sesgo. Los juicios sobre el riesgo de sesgo se calificaron predominantemente como poco claros o altos. Los tamaños muestrales eran muy pequeños, y la imprecisión de los resultados era significativa. Hay evidencia de muy baja certeza de que la TCC grupal puede mejorar la empatía hacia la víctima en comparación con la ausencia de tratamiento, y puede mejorar las distorsiones cognitivas en comparación con la educación sexual, pero no en comparación con el tratamiento habitual. Es probable que los estudios de investigación adicionales modifiquen la estimación. Se requieren evaluaciones más sólidas de la TCC tanto individual como grupal, particularmente fuera de América del Norte, y que examinen los efectos de la TCC en diversos participantes.

PICO

Population
Intervention
Comparison
Outcome

El uso y la enseñanza del modelo PICO están muy extendidos en el ámbito de la atención sanitaria basada en la evidencia para formular preguntas y estrategias de búsqueda y para caracterizar estudios o metanálisis clínicos. PICO son las siglas en inglés de cuatro posibles componentes de una pregunta de investigación: paciente, población o problema; intervención; comparación; desenlace (outcome).

Para saber más sobre el uso del modelo PICO, puede consultar el Manual Cochrane.

¿Puede la terapia cognitivo‐conductual reducir la conducta sexual perjudicial en los adolescentes?

Antecedentes

Alrededor de uno de cada 1000 jóvenes de entre 12 y 17 años de edad tiene una conducta sexual perjudicial, como hacer que otros niños participen en actividades sexuales. Algunos son condenados por un delito sexual. Muchos programas de tratamiento incluyen técnicas cognitivo‐conductuales, adaptadas a las necesidades individuales. La terapia cognitivo‐conductual (TCC) se basa en la teoría de que cambiar la forma de pensar de las personas ayuda a cambiar el comportamiento. Se ha utilizado en adultos, pero no se sabe si funciona en adolescentes con una conducta sexual perjudicial.

Pregunta de la revisión

¿Es la TCC mejor para reducir la conducta sexual perjudicial de los adolescentes que ningún tratamiento o un tratamiento alternativo? Se analizó la evidencia sobre el efecto de la TCC en las tasas de delincuencia y los eventos adversos como la autolesión. También se examinó el bienestar emocional y psicológico de los participantes, así como sus actitudes y conducta sexual.

Fecha de la búsqueda

En junio de 2019, se buscaron en muchas bases de datos ensayos controlados aleatorizados que compararan la TCC con ningún tratamiento u otros tratamientos. Los ensayos controlados aleatorizados utilizan un método aleatorio (como el lanzamiento de una moneda) para decidir si las personas reciben tratamientos diferentes o ningún tratamiento.

Características de los estudios

Se encontraron cuatro pequeños estudios que incluían un total de 115 hombres jóvenes que exhibían una conducta sexual perjudicial. En dos estudios, los participantes tenían entre 12 y 18 años de edad. En los otros dos estudios, los participantes varones se describieron simplemente como "adolescentes".

Se realizaron tres estudios en los Estados Unidos y uno en Sudáfrica. Los estudios fueron cortos. Uno duró dos meses; dos duraron tres meses; uno duró seis meses. No se sabe quién financió estos estudios.

Dos estudios (39 participantes) compararon la TCC con ningún tratamiento o con el tratamiento habitual. Un estudio (16 participantes) comparó la TCC con un programa de educación sexual. Un estudio comparó la TCC (19 participantes) con la terapia de desactivación modal (enfoque explícito, sistemático y orientado a objetivos para abordar las emociones, los comportamientos y los pensamientos problemáticos) (21 participantes) y el entrenamiento de habilidades sociales (desarrollo de habilidades sociales e interpretación de roles) (20 participantes). En tres estudios, la TCC se realizó en un contexto residencial por parte de alguien que trabajaba allí. En el cuarto, fue proporcionada en la comunidad por un terapeuta licenciado que estudiaba para un doctorado.

Resultados clave

Un estudio (59 participantes) examinó si la TCC reducía la conducta sexual perjudicial o hacía que los participantes fueran menos propensos a delinquir. Proporcionó evidencia de certeza muy baja que mostraba que la TCC reducía la agresión sexual después de la intervención. Esto fue similar a otros tratamientos de terapia de desactivación modal y entrenamiento de habilidades sociales. Ningún estudio examinó si tenía consecuencias no deseadas, como las lesiones autoinfligidas.

Un estudio (59 participantes) encontró poca o ninguna diferencia en la forma en que la TCC mejoraba el bienestar psicológico en comparación con otros tratamientos (evidencia de certeza muy baja). Un estudio (18 participantes) demostró que la TCC indicaba que los jóvenes comprendían cómo su comportamiento había afectado a sus víctimas, en comparación con el grupo sin tratamiento (evidencia de certeza muy baja). Un estudio (21 participantes) midió esto, pero no informó datos utilizables.

Dos estudios examinaron si la TCC mejoraba el tipo de pensamiento asociado con la conducta sexual perjudicial (actitudes y conducta sexual). Uno de ellos (21 participantes) comparó la TCC con el tratamiento habitual. No encontró ninguna evidencia de que provocara alguna diferencia. Otro estudio (16 participantes) comparó la TCC con la educación sexual. Encontró que la TCC mejoró algunos tipos de distorsiones cognitivas. Un estudio (18 participantes) no informó acerca de ninguna diferencia significativa entre la TCC y no recibir ningún tratamiento en cuanto a las distorsiones cognitivas generales sobre la conducta sexual (evidencia de certeza muy baja).

Certeza de la evidencia

No se puede establecer si la TCC reduce la conducta sexual perjudicial en los adolescentes varones. Los cuatro estudios tenían tamaños muestrales muy pequeños. En general, hay evidencia de certeza muy baja de que la TCC grupal podría mejorar la empatía hacia la víctima en comparación con ningún tratamiento, y de que podría mejorar las distorsiones cognitivas en comparación con la educación sexual, pero no en comparación con el tratamiento habitual. La muy baja certeza de esta evidencia significa que es probable que los resultados cambien cuando se realicen nuevos estudios. Ningún estudio examinó el efecto de la TCC en las chicas con conductas sexuales perjudiciales. Fue difícil evaluar la calidad de la realización de los estudios. Los informes disponibles no proporcionaban suficiente información o se calificaban como de alto riesgo de sesgo en algunas secciones. Se necesitan más ensayos controlados aleatorizados de mejor calidad de TCC individual y grupal, particularmente fuera de América del Norte. Es necesario que las evaluaciones incluyan también a participantes más diversos.

Authors' conclusions

Implications for practice

It is unclear from the evidence available whether CBT improves outcomes for young people with HSB. There is some very low‐certainty evidence that group‐based CBT may improve some aspects of sexual attitudes and behaviour, compared to alternative interventions, as well as victim empathy and psychological well‐being of young people compared to no treatment. The findings, however, are inconsistent and the risk of bias in these studies varied between unclear and high. All of the studies examined only males, so we have no information on the effects of group‐based CBT on females. We suggest that all children presenting with HSB should be assessed and offered support to help them avoid escalation or prevent them harming other children, or both. Services should be delivered early and, even when surveillance, restrictions and exclusions are thought to be necessary, these should not be in place of support and therapeutic assistance.

Implications for research

The questions of whether CBT is an effective intervention for young people with HSB, or indeed whether it may cause harm, have yet to be answered. The available evidence on CBT's effectiveness comes from four small studies, three of which were conducted between 13 and 26 years ago. Since then, CBT has developed considerably, and often forms part of broader‐based interventions targeting the range of factors that are thought to contribute to HSB or that can help to address HSB. Further, robust evaluations of both individual and group‐based CBT are required, both as a distinct intervention and as a component of multi‐component approaches to the management of HSB. Whatever their focus, future trials need to be rigorous in design and delivery, with larger sample sizes and better reporting to enable appraisal and interpretation of results. Evaluators should be independent of the service being examined. Studies should examine children and young people of all ages, both males and females, and explore effects in different contexts. Contact and non‐contact HSB (including internet‐based behaviours) should be examined.

As with the evidence base for treatment of adults convicted of sexual offences, more RCTs are needed, particularly outside of North America. Researchers should document and report differences in delivery e.g. frequency of sessions, number of sessions, number of therapists involved (within and across sessions), therapists' experience, professional affiliation; whether the therapist was also the researcher. In addition, there is a clear need for a more differentiated process and outcome evaluations that address the questions of what works with whom, in what contexts, under what conditions, with respect to what outcomes and why. There also needs to be more dialogue among programme commissioners, practitioners and researchers about organising and funding research on assessment, intervention and outcome, which will enable improved testing of interventions in specific contexts and with diverse participants.

It is the review authors' opinion that a deeper inquiry is necessary into how services are defining their objectives and whether there are practical incentives and pathways for rigorous evaluation in order to deliver benefits and reduce risks. It is clear that rigorous evaluation is not receiving due attention, and it would be useful to know why. It is possible that the nature of the HSB is such that it does not lend itself well to RCTs. This may be because follow‐up of recidivism and adverse events would include long‐term surveillance, restrictions and exclusions, which should not be legitimised in the name of research. The preference should be for treatment and support. To support this hypothesis, a cursory search for non‐controlled studies on the impact of CBT on HSB returned a substantial number of papers, many of which advocate for, at least, some positive impact of CBT, but without the restrictions needed to follow up recidivism. One of the suggestions for future reviews, may be to broaden the scope of this review, to include other research. It would also be useful for future research to describe differences in delivery (e.g. frequency of sessions, number of sessions, regular vs. random therapist, number of therapists present, therapists' experience, professional affiliation; whether the therapist was also the researcher).

Summary of findings

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Summary of findings 1. Cognitive‐behavioural therapy versus no treatment or treatment as usual for harmful sexual behaviour

Cognitive‐behavioural therapy versus no treatment or treatment as usual for harmful sexual behaviour

Patient or population: young people (aged 10 to 18 years old) with harmful sexual behaviour

Settings: community or secure settings

Intervention: cognitive‐behavioural therapy (CBT)

Comparison: no treatment or treatment as usual (TAU)

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

Number of participants

(studies)

Certainty of the evidence (GRADE)

Comments

Assumed risk with no treatment or TAU

Corresponding risk with CBT

Recidivism: any sexual or nonsexual offence (no study reported data on this outcome)

No study reported data on this outcome

Adverse events (no study reported data on this outcome)

No study reported data on this outcome

Sexual attitudes and behaviour

Follow‐up: end of treatment (last point of data collection)

Cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour ‐ general

Measured by: Abel and Becker Cognition Scale (29 items, scores range from 29 to 145; higher scores indicate more problematic cognitive distortions)

The mean score for general cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour in the control group was 29.11

The mean score for general cognitive distortion about sexual behaviour in the intervention group was1.56 higher (11.54 lower to 14.66 higher)

18

(1 RCT)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VeryLowa

Cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour ‐ pertaining to rape

Measured by: Bumby Cognitive Cardsort Scale (36 items rated on 4‐point scale where 1 = strongly disagree to 4 = strongly agree; higher scores indicate more justifications, minimisations, rationalisations and excuses for HSB)

The mean score for cognitive distortion pertaining to rape in the control group was −2.33

The mean score for cognitive distortion pertaining to rape in the intervention group was8.75 higher (2.83 to 14.67 higher)

21

(1 RCT)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VeryLowb

Thinking patterns (no study reported data on this outcome)

No study reported data on this outcome

Victim empathy: attitudes to women

Measured by: Attitude Towards Women Scale (15 items; scores range from 0 to 45; higher scores indicate more egalitarian attitudes towards women)

Follow‐up: end of treatment (last point of data collection)

The mean score for victim empathy in the control group was 0

The mean score for victim empathy in the intervention group was 5.56 points higher (0.94 to 10.18 higher)

18

(1 RCT)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VeryLowa

Karakosta 2015 also measured this outcome, but provided no usable data.

Social functioning (no study reported data on this outcome)

No study reported data on this outcome

Emotional self‐regulation and impulse control (no study reported data on this outcome)

No study reported data on this outcome

*The basis for the assumed risk (e.g. the median control group risk across studies) is provided in footnotes. The corresponding risk (and its 95% Cl) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).

CI: Confidence interval; HBS: Harmful sexual behaviour; RCT: Randomised controlled trial

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High certainty: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect
Moderate certainty: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate; the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different
Low certainty: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited; the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect
Very low certainty: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate; the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect

aDowngraded two levels due to very serious imprecision (evidence based only on one RCT with 18 participants), and one level due to study limitations (risk of bias was predominantly high or unclear risk).
bDowngraded two levels due to very serious imprecision (evidence based only on one RCT with 21 participants), and one level due to study limitations (risk of bias was predominantly high or unclear risk).

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Summary of findings 2. Cognitive‐behavioural therapy versus alternative interventions for harmful sexual behaviour

Cognitive‐behavioural therapy versus alternative interventions for harmful sexual behaviour

Patient or population: young people (aged 10 to 18 years old) with harmful sexual behaviour

Settings: community or secure settings

Intervention: cognitive‐behavioural therapy (CBT)

Comparison: alternative treatment (sexual education programme, mode deactiviation therapy (MDT) and social skills training (SST))

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect (95% CI)

Number of participants

(studies)

Certainty of the evidence (GRADE)

Comments

Assumed risk with alternative treatment

Corresponding risk with CBT

Recidivism: behavioural reports of sexual aggression

Measured by: Daily Behaviour Report cards and Behaviour Incidence Report forms completed by staff

Follow up: post treatment

The mean score for sexual aggression in the control group was 0.38

The mean score for sexual aggression in the intervention group was 0.09 higher (0.18 lower to 0.37 higher)

59

(1 RCT)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VeryLowa

Adverse events (no study reported data on this outcome)

No study reported data on this outcome

Sexual attitudes and behaviour

Measured by: post‐treatment structured interview (non‐validated)

Follow‐up: end of treatment (last point of data collection)

Cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour ‐ pertaining to justification/taking responsibility for actions

The mean score for cognitive distortions pertaining to justification/taking responsibility for actions in the control group was0.67

The mean score for cognitive distortions pertaining to justification/taking responsibility for actions in the intervention group was 3.27 lower (4.77 lower to 1.77 lower)

16

(1 RCT)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VeryLowb

Cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour ‐ pertaining to apprehension confidence

The mean score for cognitive distortions pertaining to apprehension confidence in the control group was1.17

The mean score for cognitive distortions pertaining to apprehension confidence in the intervention group was 2.47 lower (3.85 lower to 1.09 lower)

16

(1 RCT)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VeryLowb

Cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour ‐ pertaining to inappropriate sexual fantasies

The mean score for cognitive distortions pertaining to inappropriate sexual fantasies in the control group was−0.33

The mean score for cognitive distortions pertaining to inappropriate sexual fantasies in the intervention group was 0.13 higher (1.52 lower to 1.78 higher)

16

(1 RCT)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VeryLowb

Cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour ‐ pertaining to social‐sexual desirability

The mean score for cognitive distortions pertaining to social‐sexual desirability in the control group was−4.83

The mean score for cognitive distortions pertaining to social‐sexual desirability in the intervention group was 8.53 higher (4.72 higher to 12.34 higher)

16

(1 RCT)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VeryLowb

Thinking patterns (no study reported data on this outcome)

No study reported data on this outcome

Victim empathy (no study reported data on this outcome)

No study reported data on this outcome

Social functioning (no study reported data on this outcome)

No study reported data on this outcome

Emotional self‐regulation and impulse control (no study reported data on this outcome)

No study reported data on this outcome

*The basis for the assumed risk (e.g. the median control group risk across studies) is provided in footnotes. The corresponding risk (and its 95% CI) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).

CI: Confidence interval; RCT: Randomised controlled trial

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High certainty: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect
Moderate certainty: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate; the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different
Low certainty: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited; the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect
Very low certainty: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate; the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect

aDowngraded two levels due to very serious imprecision (evidence based only on one RCT with 59 participants), and one level due to study limitations (risk of bias was predominantly high or unclear risk).
bDowngraded two levels due to very serious imprecision (evidence based only on one RCTs with 16 participants), and one level due to study limitations (risk of bias was predominantly high or unclear risk).

Background

Description of the condition

Definitions of harmful sexual behaviour

Defining harmful sexual behaviour (HSB) in young people is problematic because of changes across time and culture regarding what is considered 'normal' sexual behaviour, as well as how a 'child' is defined (Fowler 2016; McNeish 2018; Veneziano 2002), and because many do not come to the attention of authorities for investigation, prosecution or treatment (Shlonsky 2017). The ratio of self‐reported to adjudicated sexual offences by young people is estimated to be between 12:1 (Lee 2012) and 25:1 (Elliott 1995) respectively. This may be due to non‐disclosure by victims, unwillingness on the part of victims to prosecute or an inability to provide sufficient evidence. Victims of sexual offences may not disclose for many reasons, including fear, not knowing who to tell, believing what is happening is normal, or communication problems, particularly for children with learning disabilities. In the UK, a prevalence study showed that 83% of young people aged 11 to 17 years old who had been sexually assaulted by a peer had not told anyone about the assault. This is considerably higher than the 34% non‐disclosure rate of those sexually assaulted by an adult (Radford 2011). Under‐reporting may also be, in part, due to a reluctance by communities, particularly in certain cultures, to discuss sexual issues, deviant or otherwise (Grant 2000). Some harmful behaviour may be excused as 'exploratory' in nature and something that the young person will 'grow out of' (Barbaree 2006).

Sexual offences committed by youths encompass a wide spectrum of behaviours, in a variety of situations, with many types of victims (Hackett 2019; Kemper 2010; Righthand 2004; Ryan 1997; Scottish Government 2020). What is defined as a sexual offence differs across jurisdictions, as does the age of minimum criminal responsibility. In most jurisdictions, young people aged 12 years or older are considered by law to be old enough to be held criminally responsible, but not sufficiently old to be subject to the full range of adult criminal sanctions (Barbaree 2006; Hoghughi 1997). Civil measures of welfare, care, assistance, diversion programmes and protection may be triggered when children younger than the age of criminal responsibility are suspected of illegal acts. On attaining the age of criminal responsibility, the possibility exists of adult penal procedures and sanctions, although these are not always used and 'age threshold offenders' may not come to the attention of the criminal justice system (Cipriani 2009; Department of Health and Home Office 2006). Table 1 contains details of the minimum age of responsibility for criminal activities in various countries (Cipriani 2009). For the purposes of this review, a young person with HSB is defined as a person aged between 10 and 18 years old who has been reprimanded, warned or convicted of a sexual offence, or who has received civil measures for their sexual offending.

Open in table viewer
Table 1. Minimum age of responsibility for criminal activities in various jurisdictions (Cipriani 2009)

Country

Age in years of criminal responsibility

USA

6‐12 (10 for federal crimes)

Egypt, Estonia, India, Mayanmar, Singapore, Thailand

7

Scotland, Indonesia

8

Bangladesh, Ethopia

9

Iran

9 for girls, 15 for boys

Austria, Australia, England, Northern Ireland, South Africa, Wales, Switzerland

10

Japan

11

Belgium, Brazil, Canada, Netherlands, Mexico, Morocco, Ireland, Israel, Portugal, Turkey, Uganda

12

Algeria, Greece

13

Bulgaria, China, Columbia, Germany, Hungary, Italy, Peru, Romania, Russian Federation, Slovenia, Spain, Ukraine, Veit Nam

14

New Zealand

14 (children can be charged with murder, manslaughter or minor traffic offences from 10 years of age; all other offences cannot be charged under 14 years of age)

Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, Philippines, Sweden

15

Argentina

16

Prevalence

There are few studies upon which to base population estimates of the prevalence of HSB and they all vary considerably in their estimates (NSPCC 2019; Warner 2015). In the UK, estimates of official cases over a year suggest that about one in 1000 young people aged 12 to 17 years old is identified as displaying HSB (Department of Health and Home Office 2006). Around a third of child sexual abuse is by other children or young people, with estimates ranging from one fifth to two thirds (Hackett 2014; NSPCC 2019; Radford 2011). Young people comprise a large proportion of those reprimanded, warned or convicted of sexual offences. In England and Wales, the number of police recorded sexual offences against under‐18 year olds, by under 18‐year olds, rose from 5215 in 2013 to 9290 in 2016 (NSPCC 2019). Children and young people aged 10 to 19 years old were the alleged offenders in 26% of sexual offences committed in Australia between 2015 and 2016 (Australian Bureau of Statistics 2017). In Germany, data from the Police Criminal Statistics Bureau indicates that juveniles aged between 14 and 20 years old are over‐represented in the category of 'sexual offences' (equivalent to one young person convicted of HSB per 1000 young people aged 14 to 20 years old in the general population) (Bullens 2004). Many young people displaying HSB have more than one victim: a study in The Netherlands found that the victim(s) were known to the offender in two thirds of the cases; half of the youths had victimised one person, 15% had two victims and 35% had victimised more than two people (Bruinsma 1996). To date, there has been little research into technology‐assisted HSB, although it is a potentially growing population (Hollis 2017; Lewis 2018). There is some cross‐over between online and offline HSB and between child sexual exploitation and HSB (Belton 2016; NSPCC 2019).

Profile

Young people engaging in HSB are not a homogeneous group. They show great variation in terms of their backgrounds, presenting problems and types of HSB, including those categorised as offences (Balfe 2020; Letourneau 2014; Malvaso 2020; Murphy 2017; Rich 2009; Veneziano 2002). Assessment tools may screen for whether behaviour is developmentally normal or HSB, or assess HSB behaviours and risk of recidivism. The evidence around these tools is very limited (Campbell 2016b; Schwartz‐Mette 2019; Worling 2017).

Risk factors for adolescent sexual offences are very similar to those observed for other forms of serious antisocial behaviour (Letourneau 2009; Van Wijk 2005). There are currently no validated classifications of young people with HSB. Some attempts to define subtypes have been offence‐driven (for example, rapists, child molesters), whereas others have been based on personality (for example, disturbed impulsive, pseudo‐socialised) (Veneziano 2002). Others have suggested categorisation by victim age (offending against children versus adolescents or adults), co‐offender status (offending as individuals or in groups) and crime history (with or without a previous history of crime) (Aebi 2012). Some have been described as having poor interpersonal skills, being socially isolated, lacking empathy and evidencing distinctive patterns of making claims on others (Epps Fisher 2004; Lane 1997). There may be evidence of psychiatric disorder (for example, conduct disorder, attention deficit disorder and adjustment disorder), low self‐esteem, depressive or anxious symptoms, antisocial behaviour (especially amongst juvenile rapists) and neuropsychological impairment (for example, impulse control problems, poor planning, lifestyle impulsivity and deficits in verbal cognitive functioning) (Sheerin 2004).

Some have a history of maltreatment or victimisation (physical, sexual or emotional abuse, neglect, witness to family violence) (Barra 2018; Bruinsma 1996). Being sexually abused as a child has been strongly linked to young people displaying HSB (Shlonsky 2017). They may exhibit cognitive distortions relating to the negative effects of the offence, blaming the victim and sexual attitudes or knowledge. Deviant sexual arousal may be reported (Seto 2010). Although not all families are dysfunctional, some are characterised by poor relationships, negative communication styles, instability, disorganisation and violence. The young person may have experienced a lack of adequate support and supervision, parent‐child attachment problems and physical or emotional separation from one or both parents (Bartosz 2016). Their parents may also have experienced mental health problems (Duane Morrison 2004; Långström 1999). Whilst some young people experience academic and behavioural problems in school, as well as learning difficulties, others show above average cognitive performance (Veneziano 2002).

Significant differences have been reported between younger perpetrators and older children. Pre‐adolescent children are likely to show less problematic or severe HSB, whilst the early teens are the peak time for HSB, most of which is displayed by boys (McNeish 2018). Studies show between 92% and 97% of young people showing HSB are male and 3% to 8% are female (NSPCC 2019).

Young people with learning disabilities are over‐represented in treatment services, although their offending behaviour is not thought to be linked to their learning disability per se (Department of Health and Home Office 2006). Whilst there are many similarities between developmentally‐disabled and non‐disabled youth in the range, types and elements of HSB, there are some differences in the associated cognitive process, the context of the behaviours and the level of sophistication (Lane 1997). One study found that these young people are more likely to suffer impulse control; less likely to be redirected by adults when displaying concerning behaviours; and less likely to receive sex education (Evertsz 2012). They are also at a greater risk of experiencing abuse and neglect, which can put them at an increased risk of trauma and sexualization (Evertsz 2012). Although there are few follow‐up studies, a recidivism rate of almost 31% has been reported for sexual offences among offenders with an intellectual disability, with the vast majority of re‐offences (84%) occurring in the first 12 months (O'Callaghan 2004). With respect to gender differences, young female perpetrators may be less likely than males to use violence, and there can be differences in perceptions, affective reactions and internal experience (Lane 1997). Juvenile females with HSB may be more likely than males to be slightly younger, more likely to be white and more likely to have a co‐offender. Females are less likely than males to commit rape and less likely to be processed formally by law enforcement (Vandiver 2010). Some studies suggest that females are also more likely to have been sexually victimised themselves (Bumby 2004). Young people who show violence as well as HSB manifest extreme offences, attitudes, dynamics and behaviours reflecting a disregard for other people's safety and welfare. They exhibit considerable psychopathy and their offences may include using weapons to injure their victims, sadism, ritual abuse or murder. They are unlikely to be treated in the community and overall the prognosis for change is thought to be poor (Lane 1997).

Most young people do not continue HSB into adulthood, although there is a subgroup at high risk for doing so (Cale 2016; Department of Health and Home Office 2006; Dopp 2017; Hackett 2013). Re‐arrest rates for registered juveniles with HSB in adulthood are as low as 5% (Vandiver 2006). Re‐offending rates for juveniles in England and Wales were 15.6% for sexual offences in 2016 (Ministry of Justice 2018). Predicting which adolescents are at greatest risk to sexually recidivate is very difficult. There is limited knowledge about which predictors are most accurately linked to sexual recidivism (Caldwell 2010), and uncertainty over how to best use instruments designed to predict re‐offending (Martinez 2007; Vitacco 2009), including use with particular groups such as individuals with intellectual disabilities (Griffin 2012) and non‐Western populations (Chu 2011). Young people with HSB are more likely to re‐offend with non‐sexual offences than sexual recidivism: observed recidivism rates for new sex offences tend to be quite low at around 10%. In a two‐year follow‐up study, young people convicted of a sexual offence were nearly 10 times more likely to have been charged with a non‐sexual offence than a sexual offence (Caldwell 2007). This highlights the need for interventions to focus on broad‐based behavioural and developmental goals and not just on preventing further sexual offending (Borduin 2009; Hackett 2004). Around half of all adults convicted of sexual offences report that their sexual deviance began during their childhood, and often their offences escalated in frequency and severity over time (Veneziano 2002; Zolondek 2001). It is important to identify those young people at risk of further offending and provide them with effective interventions and support. Services should avoid stigmatising young people as 'mini adult sex offenders' (McNeish 2018). Risk factors for both sexual and non‐sexual recidivism include unhealthy family environments, negative peer affiliations, social isolation and chronic or pervasive antisocial values and behaviours. Being highly impulsive, holding attitudes supportive of abusive behaviours and failing to complete treatment (or being terminated unsuccessfully from treatment) are also predictors. Risk factors specific to sexual recidivism include deviant sexual arousal, sexual compulsivity, sexual preoccupation, past sexual offences against two or more victims and the targeting of strangers as victims. These are similar to the risk factors of sexual recidivism amongst adults convicted of sexual offences (Worling 2003). An eight‐year follow‐up study of Canadian adolescents who had sexually offended found recidivism rates of 45% for a new criminal offence, 30% for a violent offence and 10% with a sexual offence. Paternal abandonment, childhood sexual victimisation, association with significantly younger children and having victimised a stranger were associated with a higher risk of sexual recidivism (Carpentier 2011).

Management of children and young people who present with HSB

Often the response to young people engaging in HSB is one that seeks to restrain or contain the young person by means of restrictions on their liberty, exclusions (from school, or social gatherings) or surveillance of some kind. Clinical treatments for juvenile HSB include behavioural conditioning, pharmacological responses, family systems interventions, rational‐emotive counselling, music and art therapy, 'cycle'‐based approaches, cognitive‐behavioural therapy (CBT), relapse prevention programmes and ecological multisystemic approaches (Borduin 2015; Dopp 2015). Treatment programmes are often tailored for individual needs and may combine several approaches, even when they are theoretically quite different (Allardyce 2018; Campbell 2016a; Chaffin 2002; NICE 2016). Few are manualised (Marsh 2019). Treatment may be delivered individually or in a peer‐group environment, although concern has been expressed that this can sometimes have negative effects through delinquent peer influences and socialisation into delinquent behaviour and belief patterns (Chaffin 2002). More programmes now involve the young person's family (Calvert 2019; Campbell 2020; Dopp 2017; Letourneau 2009; Thomas 2004).

Description of the intervention

Cognitive‐behavioural therapy (CBT) is a highly structured, psychological therapy. A key aspect of the therapy is an educative approach whereby, through collaboration and guided discovery, the person learns to recognise negative or undesirable thinking patterns, re‐evaluate these thoughts and practice new ways of thinking and behaving. This, in turn, leads to an increase in protective factors and changes in overt behaviour. The therapeutic relationship in CBT is also thought to be an important element (Easterbrook 2017). CBT aims to work from a strength‐based model to change a broad range of internal processes (for example, thoughts, beliefs, emotions, physiological arousal, correction of offender misperceptions and reasoning biases associated with the offending behaviour) as well as overt behaviours (for example, social skills or coping behaviours) (Bilby 2012). It may be used in conjunction with other approaches and may be delivered individually or in groups. Many treatment programmes for young people with HSB use cognitive‐behavioural techniques (Richardson 1997; Veneziano 2002). These are also the basis of treatment in prison settings and community programmes in England, Canada, New Zealand and the USA for adults convicted of sexual offences (Bilby 2012; Hanson 2009; Marques 2005; Mews 2017). There is concern that these dominant interventions (that is, cognitive‐behavioural group treatments with an emphasis on relapse prevention) may fail to address the multiple determinants of juvenile HSB and could inadvertently result in adverse (iatrogenic) outcomes (Letourneau 2008).

How the intervention might work

The majority of people who have committed a sexual offence, irrespective of age, appear to hold ideas and beliefs about sexuality and interpersonal relationships that condone using others for sexual gratification (Grant 2000; Schmucker 2015). Given the importance of adolescence for developing self‐identity and social roles, cognitive distortions that serve to justify offending and reduce the offender's acceptance of responsibility need to be addressed with effective and timely interventions. Cognitive‐behavioural interventions are based on the idea that by changing the way a young person thinks, and helping them to develop new coping skills, it is possible to change their behaviour. Cognitive‐behavioural interventions for harmful sexual behaviour consist of three core elements: intervention aimed at increasing the offender’s accountability for their offending; work on relapse prevention; and work to address criminal thinking and factors associated with the development and maintenance of all forms of criminal behaviour. Treatment goals typically include: increasing empathy; enhancing problem‐solving skills and self‐awareness; decreasing cognitive distortions and deviant sexual arousal; sex education; improving social skills; resolving trauma; and improving anger management (Veneziano 2002). Co‐occurring problems, such as substance abuse, may also be addressed.

Why it is important to do this review

Young people showing HSB are, themselves, individuals in need. HSB are potentially damaging for the children who display them because HSB in children challenges social norms, and consequently, some adults and children may respond by labelling, isolating or condemning the child (Barter 2011). If addressed early and effectively, however, youth with HSB have a high rate of recovery and may experience less social exclusion (O'Brien 2010). Early intervention leads to the best rehabilitative outcomes for the children and young people involved (O'Brien 2010). Research suggests that between 20% and 30% of adults who commit sexual offences begin their offending in adolescence, representing a further imperative to intervene early (Evertsz 2012).

It is important, therefore, to try and help young people showing HSB before their beliefs and behaviour become entrenched and difficult to change. Treatment should be age‐appropriate and based on age‐appropriate assessment (Calder 1997; Calder 1999; Department of Health 1999). Although often recommended, psychological treatment for young people with HSB is based largely on modified adult programmes, whose efficacy with adolescents remains largely unproven (Chaffin 2002). 

Although young people with HSB consume much of the resources of the criminal justice, educational and mental health systems, relative to their small numbers, few empirically supported interventions exist to treat these youths (Borduin 2009; Walker 2004). Specialised treatment programs used for young people with HSB within the juvenile justice system have not been evidenced as any more effective for reducing sexual recidivism than general treatment as usual (TAU) (Kettrey 2018). Given the prevalence, as well as the often devastating effects on victims, it is important that we continue to develop effective, cost‐beneficial methods of reducing future risk (Marshall 2000). Recidivism rates for untreated adolescents are 17.8%, compared to 5.17% of those treated (Worling 2000). A meta‐analysis of the effectiveness of HSB treatment for juveniles reported the following recidivism rates over an average 59‐month follow‐up period: 12.53% sexual crimes; 24.73% non‐sexual violent crimes; 28.51% non‐sexual non‐violent crimes; and 20.40% unspecified non‐sexual crimes (Reitzel 2006). There has been a shift in practice towards using earlier intervention, community‐based rehabilitation approaches rather than incarceration, and family‐based approaches that may involve CBT (Balsamo 2016). Research has only begun to evaluate these programs for youth with HSB. Although systematic reviews exist for adults convicted of sexual offences (Dennis 2012; Khan 2015), offenders with a learning disability who have committed sexual offences (Ashman 2008), and other treatments such as Multi‐Systemic therapy (MST) with youth (Littell 2005), no recent systematic review has focused on CBT even though it is used with adolescents.

This systematic review will provide policymakers with a synthesis of evidence about the effects of cognitive‐behavioural interventions with this vulnerable group (Chaffin 2008). Since treatment aims to reduce recidivism, the importance of examining the efficacy of treatment programmes is an integral part of child protection responses, as well as having implications for juvenile justice. 

Objectives

To evaluate the effects of CBT for young people aged 10 to 18 years who have exhibited HSB.

Methods

Criteria for considering studies for this review

Types of studies

Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) that used parallel groups.

Types of participants

Young people aged between 10 and 18 years old who have received treatment in any setting for sexual offences or HSB.

Types of interventions

CBT compared with no treatment, waiting list, or standard care (defined as the care a person would normally receive had they not been included in the research trial). Where CBT was a major rather than sole component of service, we only included studies comparing CBT plus an adjunctive treatment with that same adjunctive treatment alone. This is so that we could assess the efficacy of the CBT component alone.

CBT is defined as an intervention that involves: (i) working with recipients to establish the links between their thoughts, feelings and actions; (ii) correcting misperceptions, irrational beliefs and reasoning biases related to target symptom/s; and (iii) either or both of the following: (a) recipients monitoring their own thoughts, feelings and behaviours with respect to target symptom/s, and (b) promotion of alternative ways of coping with target symptom/s (Brooks‐Gordon 2006).

We included studies if they used CBT as defined here, solely or if they included CBT as a well‐defined, major part (≥ 50%) of a broader intervention, irrespective of mode of delivery.

Types of outcome measures

Primary outcomes

Primary outcomes of concern for young people with HSB are whether they are likely to repeat the HSB behaviour or commit some other unacceptable behaviour (recidivism), or whether they harm themselves (self‐harm or suicide):

  • Recidivism

    • Any sexual offence

    • Behavioural reports of sexual aggression

    • Any nonsexual offence

    • Time before re‐offence

  • Adverse events (e.g. Juvenile Risk Assessment Scale (Hiscox 2007))

    • Increase in sexual offending

    • Increased seriousness of sexual offending

    • Self‐harm

    • Suicide attempt

    • Suicide

Secondary outcomes

  • Reactions to the offending behaviour (e.g. Juvenile Sex Offender Assessment Protocol‐II (J‐SOAP‐II; Prentky 2003); Juvenile Sexual Offence Risk Assessment Tool‐II (J‐SORRAT‐II; Epperson 2014); or Estimate of Risk of Adolescent Sexual Offence Recidivism (ERASOR; Worling 2004))

    • Offence accountability: accepting responsibility for actions

    • Denial/minimisation: acknowledging they engaged in the behaviour or some aspect of the offence.

  • Coping skills (e.g. ERASOR (Worling 2004))

  • Psychological well‐being (e.g. Children's Depression Scale (Kovacs 2001))

    • Self‐esteem

    • General mental state

  • Sexual attitudes and behaviour (e.g. J‐SOAP‐II (Prentky 2003); J‐SORRAT‐II (Epperson 2014); ERASOR (Worling 2004); Hare Psychopathy Checklist: Youth Version (PCL:YV; Hempel 2013); Attitudes Towards Women Scale (Spence 1972); or Bumby Cardsort Rape Scale (Bumby 1996))

    • Cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour

    • Deviant sexual interests, preferences or arousal

  • Thinking patterns (e.g. J‐SOAP‐II (Prentky 2003); ERASOR (Worling 2004))

  • Victim empathy (e.g. Attitudes Towards Women Scale (Spence 1972); Measures for the Assessment of Dimensions of Violence Against Women: A Compendium (Flood 2008))

  • Aggression (e.g. Structured Assessment of Violent Risk in Youth (Borum 2002))

  • Social functioning (PCL‐YV (Hempel 2013))

  • Emotional self‐regulation and impulse control (e.g. J‐SOAP‐II (Prentky 2003); ERASOR (Worling 2004))

  • Substance use (e.g. CRAFFT (i.e. Car, Relax, Alone, Forget, Friends, Trouble) (Knight 2002))

  • Programme engagement

    • Completion of treatment programme

    • Dropouts

    • Treatment refusers

  • Economic outcomes

    • Direct costs

    • Indirect costs

These outcome measures could have been assessed through validated questionnaires, structured interviews or analysis of case‐history information. We extracted data from independently validated measures. If measures had not been independently validated (for example, tools developed by the research team), we noted these as being at higher risk of bias.

See also Sneddon 2012 and Table 2 for additional methods not used in this version of the review.

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Table 2. Additional Methods Table

Intendedmethods specified in protocol (Sneddon 2012) but not used in thereview

Reason for non use

Types of outcome measures

We intended, if possible, to either code the follow‐up period and then treat it as a continuous variable, or else divide outcomes into immediate (within six months), short term (greater than (>) six to 24 months), medium term (> 24 months to five years) and long term (> five years). We intended to draw information from psychometric tests, as well as police or other official data.

Insufficient data were presented in the results sections of eligible studies to code the data in this way.

  • Economic outcomes

    • Direct costs

    • Indirect costs

We intended to extract any economic information included in study descriptions but none was available.

Search methods

We intended to search Criminal Justice Abstracts EBSCOhost in June 2019.

We no longer had access to the database.

Measures of treatment effect

Dichotomous outcome data

We aimed to calculate odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for dichotomous outcomes. For meta‐analyses of dichotomous outcomes that would have been included in 'Summary of findings' tables, we aimed to express the results as absolute risks, using high and low observed risks among the control groups as reference points.

Insufficient data were available.

Continuous outcome data

We aimed to calculate mean differences if all studies use the same measurement scale, or standardised mean differences if studies use different measurements scales, and 95% confidence intervals for continuous outcome measures. If necessary, we aimed to compute effect estimates from P values, T statistics, ANOVA (analysis of variance) tables or other statistics as appropriate. We aimed to calculate standardised mean differences using Hedges g.

Multiple outcomes

Had a study provided multiple, interchangeable, measures of the same construct at the same point in time (for example, multiple measures of obsessive thoughts), we aimed to calculate the average standardised mean difference across these outcomes, and the average of their estimated variances. This strategy aims to avoid the need to select a single measure, and to avoid inflated precision in meta‐analyses (preventing studies which report on more outcome measures receiving more weight in the analysis than comparable studies that report on a single outcome measure).

Dealing with missing data

We aimed to assess the sensitivity of any primary meta‐analyses to missing data using the strategy recommended by Higgins 2008.

Assessment of heterogeneity

We aimed to describe statistical heterogeneity by computing the I2 statistic (Schünemann 2019), a quantity which describes approximately the proportion of variation in point estimates that is due to heterogeneity rather than sampling error. In addition, we aimed to employ a Chi2 test of homogeneity, to determine the strength of evidence that heterogeneity was genuine.

Assessment of reporting biases

We aimed to draw funnel plots (estimated differences in treatment effects against their standard error) if we had found sufficient studies. Asymmetry could have been due to publication bias, or due to a real relationship between trial size and effect size, such as when larger trials have lower compliance and compliance is positively related to effect size. In the event that we found such a relationship, we aimed to examine clinical variation of the studies (Schünemann 2019). As a direct test for publication bias, we aimed to compare results extracted from published journal reports with results obtained from other sources (including correspondence).

Data synthesis

Where the interventions, comparators, participants and outcomes were the same, we aimed to synthesise the results in a meta‐analysis. Unless the model was contra‐indicated (for example, if there was funnel plot asymmetry), we planned to present the results from the random‐effects model. In the presence of severe funnel plot asymmetry, we would have presented both fixed‐effect and random‐effects analyses, in the knowledge that neither model is appropriate. If both indicated a presence (or absence) of effect we would have been reassured; if they did not agree, we aimed to report this. We aimed to calculate all overall effects using inverse variance methods. If some primary studies reported an outcome as a dichotomous measure and others used a continuous measure of the same construct, we aimed to convert results for the former from an odds ratio to a standardised mean difference, provided that we could assume the underlying continuous measure had approximately a normal or logistic distribution (otherwise we would have carried out two separate analyses).

Subgroup analysis and investigation of heterogeneity

If sufficient studies were found, we aimed to undertake the following subgroup analysis.

  • Age at time of treatment

  • Gender

  • Location of treatment (institutional, community)

  • Modality of treatment (individual versus group, or combination)

  • Participants with or without a learning disability

  • Violent sexual offending

Sensitivity analysis

We aimed to conduct sensitivity analyses to examine the robustness of the findings. This would have been done by exploring whether findings were sensitive to restricting the analyses to studies judged to be at low risk of bias. In these analyses, we aimed to restrict the analysis to: (a) only studies with low risk of selection bias (associated with sequence generation or allocation concealment); (b) only studies with low risk of performance bias (associated with issues of blinding); (c) only studies with low risk of attrition bias (associated with completeness of data). In addition, we aimed to assess the sensitivity of findings to any imputed data.

Search methods for identification of studies

Electronic searches

We searched the electronic databases and trial registers listed below in August 2014 and June 2019. Information was only available from Criminal Justice Abstracts until 1 August 2014, as we did not have access after that date.

  • Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL; 2019, Issue 6) in the Cochrane Library, which includes the Developmental, Psychosocial and Learning Problems Specialised Register (searched 26 June 2019).

  • MEDLINE Ovid (1946 to 26 June 2019).

  • Embase Ovid (1980 to 26 June 2019).

  • PsycINFO Ovid (1967 to 26 June 2019).

  • CINAHL EBSCOhost (Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature; 1937 to 26 June 2019).

  • Conference Proceedings Citation Index ‐ Social Science & Humanities (CPCI‐SS&H; 1990 to 26 June 2019).

  • Social Sciences Citation Index Web of Science (SSCI; 1970 to 26 June, 2019).

  • Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews (CDSR; 2019, Issue 6), part of the Cochrane Library (searched 26 June 2019).

  • Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effectiveness (DARE; 2015, Issue 2. Final Issue), part of the Cochrane Library (searched 26 June 2019).

  • LILACS (Latin American and Caribbean Health Science Information database; lilacs.bvsalud.org/en; searched 26 June 2019).

  • Criminal Justice Abstracts EBSCOhost (searched 1 August 2014. Not searched in June 2019 as we no longer had access to the database).

  • Social Care Online (www.scie-socialcareonline.org.uk; searched 26 June 2019).

  • ProQuest Dissertations & Theses: UK & Ireland (searched 26 June 2019).

  • Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations (NDLTD; www.ndltd.org/resources/find-etds; searched 26 June 2019).

  • WorldCat (www.worldcat.org; searched 26 June 2019).

  • ClinicalTrials.gov (clinicaltrials.gov; searched 26 June 2019).

  • UK Clinical Research Network (UKCRN; www.ukcrc.org/research-infrastructure/clinical-research-networks/uk-clinical-research-network-ukcrn searched 26 June 2019).

  • World Health Organization (WHO) International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP) (www.who.int/ictrp/en; searched 26 June 2019).

The exact search strategies are reported in Appendix 1. We did not apply any date or language restrictions.

Searching other resources

We used Google and Google Scholar to identify websites of relevant organisations to search for relevant studies. We searched the reference lists of included studies for additional trials, as well as the reference lists of relevant reviews found by searching the CDSR and DARE (see Electronic searches). In addition, we contacted the first author of each included study, as well as known experts in the field, for information regarding ongoing studies and unpublished data.

Data collection and analysis

In what follows, we detail only those methods that were deployed in this review. Other methods outlined in our published protocol, Sneddon 2012, but which were not required or possible to deploy in this first version of the review, are summarised in Table 2.

Selection of studies

Three review authors (HS, NL, DGG) independently assessed the titles and abstracts of all records retrieved from the searches and selected all that were potentially relevant. Working independently, HS and DGG obtained their full‐text reports and reviewed them against the inclusion criteria (Criteria for considering studies for this review). Review authors were not blinded to the names of the trial authors, institutions or journal of publication. Any disagreement was resolved by consensus following discussion with GM. We report the outcomes of our selection process in a PRISMA flow diagram (Moher 2009; Schünemann 2019).

Data extraction and management

For each included study, two review authors (HS, DGG) independently extracted and recorded the following data using a piloted data collection form, specifically designed for this review: study design and methods; sample characteristics; intervention characteristics (including theoretical underpinning of services, delivery, duration, outcomes and within‐intervention variability); outcomes; time points; and outcome measures. See Appendix 2.

In the event of disagreements, review authors first discussed these with reference to the study papers and, when necessary, sought clarification from the trial investigators until a consensus was reached ‐ in pairs (i.e. HS and DGG only). We collected information on study design and implementation in a format suited to completion of the 'Risk of bias' tables to appear in the completed review (Higgins 2017).

Assessment of risk of bias in included studies

We assessed the risk of bias of each included study using Cochrane's 'Risk of bias' tool (Higgins 2017). Two review authors (HS, DGG) independently assessed the risk of bias within each included study across the following, seven domains, and assigned ratings of low, high or unclear (uncertain) risk of bias: sequence generation; allocation concealment; blinding of participants and personnel; blinding of outcome assessment; incomplete outcome data; selective reporting; and other sources of bias (Appendix 3). When disagreements occurred between the judgements of the reviewers, they first sought to resolve the disagreements themselves. If needed, they consulted with GM.

Measures of treatment effect

We entered extracted data into Review Manager 5 (RevMan 5) (Review Manager 2014), and present these using the mean difference (MD) and its 95% confidence interval (CI). For additional methods archived for use in future updates of this review, please see our protocol, Sneddon 2012, and Table 2.

Unit of analysis issues

There were no cluster‐randomised or cross‐over trials in this area. See Sneddon 2012 and Table 2 for methods to manage these types of studies should we identify any in future updates of this review.

If a study had multiple treatment arms, we combined the relevant arms to make a single pair‐wise comparison, using RevMan 5 (Review Manager 2014)

Dealing with missing data

Where necessary, we attempted to contact the corresponding or other authors (or both) of the included studies to supply any unreported data (for example, group means and standard deviations (SDs), details of dropouts and details of interventions received by the control group). However, none responded to our requests. We described missing data and dropouts/attrition for each included study in the 'Risk of bias' tables (beneath the Characteristics of included studies tables), and discussed the extent to which the missing data could alter the results and conclusions of the review.

Assessment of heterogeneity

We assessed clinical variation across studies by comparing the distribution of important participant factors among trials (for example, age), and trial factors (randomisation concealment, blinding of outcome assessment, losses to follow‐up, treatment type, co‐interventions). See our protocol, Sneddon 2012, and Table 2 for how we will assess statistical heterogeneity in future updates of the review.

Assessment of reporting biases

We identified no unpublished data to compare with published journal reports. See our protocol, Sneddon 2012, and Table 2 for information on how we will investigate reporting biases should we identify sufficient studies in future updates of this review.

Data synthesis

There were insufficient comparable data to synthesise data in a meta‐analysis, or to undertake subgroup or sensitivity analyses. Please see our protocol, Sneddon 2012, and Table 2 for information on these methods, archived for use in future updates of this review.

We present a narrative synthesis of the data in the Effects of interventions section.

Summary of findings

Using GRADEprofiler (GRADEpro) software (GRADEpro GDT), we prepared 'Summary of findings' tables for the major comparisons of the review: CBT versus no treatment or TAU; and CBT versus alternative interventions.

We present the following outcomes assessed following treatment in the tables (see Types of outcome measures).

  • Recidivism

  • Adverse events

  • Sexual attitudes and behaviour

  • Thinking patterns

  • Victim empathy

  • Social functioning

  • Emotional self‐regulation and impulse control

We provided a source and rationale for each assumed risk cited in the tables, and a rating of high, moderate, low or very low for the certainty of the evidence based on the presence of the GRADE criteria listed below and described in Chapter 11 of the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions (Schünemann 2019).

  • Risk of bias

  • Imprecision

  • Inconsistency

  • Indirectness

  • Publication bias

In terms of risk of bias, two review authors (HS with either DGG or NL) independently assessed the risk of bias within each included study across the following seven domains, and assigned ratings of low, high or unclear (uncertain) risk of bias: sequence generation; allocation concealment; blinding of participants and personnel; blinding of outcome assessment; incomplete outcome data; selective reporting; and other sources of bias (Appendix 2). When disagreements occurred between the judgements of the reviewers, they first sought to resolve the disagreements themselves; if needed, they consulted with GM.

Results

Description of studies

Results of the search

Our searches yielded 5527 records (5455 from database searching and 72 from other sources). Once duplicates had been removed, 3637 records remained. We excluded 3523 records based on their titles and abstracts. We then retrieved full texts of the remaining 114. We brought forward 30 records that were agreed from the title as relevant for full‐text review, and a further 84 records from title/abstract screening to check relevance. GM arbitrated the decision in some of these and we tried to secure the full texts for the rest. We extracted data from 114 of the full‐text reports and examined them.

Out of 114 reports, we included five reports of four studies in the review and excluded 109 reports. Of these, 18 studies (from 19 reports) were formally excluded, with reasons (see Characteristics of excluded studies tables). We identified no ongoing studies. (See Figure 1)


Prisma Study flow diagram.

Prisma Study flow diagram.

We contacted the author of one included study for further information, but without success (Mathѐ 2007). One study involved children aged between 6 and 12 years old, and we contacted the first author to obtain further information about the participants in our age range only (Bonner 1999), but received no response (see Characteristics of excluded studies tables).

Included studies

Four studies (115 participants) met the eligibility criteria for this review (Apsche 2005; Karakosta 2015; Mathѐ 2007; Piliero 1994).

Study design

All four studies were parallel‐group RCTs (Apsche 2005; Karakosta 2015; Mathѐ 2007; Piliero 1994).

Location

Three studies took place in the USA (Apsche 2005; Karakosta 2015; Piliero 1994), and one took place in South Africa (Mathѐ 2007).

In three studies the interventions were delivered in a residential setting by a person who worked there (Apsche 2005; Karakosta 2015; Mathѐ 2007), and in the other study, the intervention was delivered in a community setting by research students (Piliero 1994).

Participants
Age

Participants in the four included studies were under 18 years of age. Two studies stated that they included children older than 12 years of age (Karakosta 2015; Piliero 1994). Two studies listed participants as "adolescents" (quote) but gave no further age qualifiers (Apsche 2005; Mathѐ 2007).

Gender

All four studies included males only.

Offence profile

Participants in three studies were all sentenced for a sex offence, which they served in a residential setting (Apsche 2005; Karakosta 2015; Mathѐ 2007). The participants in Piliero 1994 were all still in the community but had been referred to the study for sexually inappropriate behaviour. In Piliero 1994, the participants were either on probation for a sex offence, or were volunteered by their parents because they had previously admitted to sexual contact with a sibling.

All four studies included participants with a history of violent sexual offending. Two studies included participants who, in addition to being offenders, were also victims of sexual abuse (Karakosta 2015; Piliero 1994).

Attrition

Two studies lost participants due to attrition. Piliero 1994 started with 20 participants but lost four due to a change in probationary status. Karakosta 2015 started with 25 participants, but also lost four, in this case, due to being moved to a different institution.

Other

Two studies included children who had a developmental delay or a learning difficulty (Karakosta 2015; Mathѐ 2007). The studies provided no other details or data for these young people as a subset of the samples.

Profile of therapists

In Apsche 2005, all staff and therapists were trained and supervised in Social Skills Training (SST) by a doctoral‐level psychologist. The expertise of the trainer in each treatment condition was noted as equal. The therapists shared the same professional degree and level of clinical experience in each of the three treatments and training was provided in each model prior to the study.

In Karakosta 2015, therapists for TAU were graduate‐prepared and were either licensed or license‐eligible by the state. Two Integrated Sex Offender Treatment Programme (ISOTP) therapists were licensed therapists but one resigned in the middle of the study period. The remaining therapist was thus required to train a new therapist about ISOTP services. The subsequent training may have affected the consistency and efficacy of the services provided by the new hire.

In Mathѐ 2007, the therapist was also the researcher. This approach, in itself, automatically removes any possibility for blinding, which has implications for the objectivity of the measurements and findings. There is no information on whether the therapist was licensed in CBT.

In Piliero 1994, one of the two therapists was the researcher herself who was undertaking her doctoral thesis. Both therapists had over seven years’ experience in sex education and CBT and were licensed therapists. There is no information on the therapists who delivered the alternative programme; presumably it was the same two therapists.

Interventions

Each of the four studies investigated the effects of a CBT treatment. Treatment protocols for three studies relied on standardised treatment curriculum, and offered self‐instructional training and social‐cognitive skills training through modules, which focused on relationships and sexuality, social and life skills and cognitive restructuring (Apsche 2005; Karakosta 2015; Mathѐ 2007).

All studies were short in duration: one lasted two months (Apsche 2005), two lasted three months (Karakosta 2015; Piliero 1994) and one lasted six months (Mathѐ 2007).

In Piliero 1994, one intervention involved sessions on victim empathy training, covert sensitization and masturbatory satiation. One study reported doing family interventions as part of the CBT protocol (Karakosta 2015).

Comparators and controls

In one study, Karakosta 2015, the control group was offered TAU. Another study had only a control group, which received no treatment (Mathѐ 2007). In the third study, Piliero 1994, the control group was offered a sexual education programme, which the authors described as "clinically inert" and which they did not expect to influence cognitive constructs. In the fourth study, Apsche 2005, the comparator groups were offered either mode deactivation therapy or social skills training.

Outcomes
Primary outcomes

One of the four studies, Apsche 2005, reported on the effects of CBT on recidivism: behavioural report of sexual aggression. The remaining three studies did not report on this, or any other measure of the outcome 'Recidivism'.

None of the four studies reported on the effects of CBT on adverse events (Apsche 2005; Karakosta 2015; Mathѐ 2007; Piliero 1994).

Secondary outcomes

The four studies measured the secondary outcomes listed below. Two studies used measures that were not standardised for children (Karakosta 2015; Mathѐ 2007): the Bumby Cognitive Cardsort Scale (Bumby 1996); Hostility Towards Women Scale, which was reported in a compendium of measures on violence against women (Flood 2008) that also included the Attitudes Towards Women Scale, (Spence 1972); and Abel and Becker Cognition Scale (Salter 1988).

Apsche 2005 measured the psychological well‐being before and after treatment using the following scales: internalising and externalising behaviour, including total scores, assessed with the Child Behavior Checklist (CBCL; Achenbach 1991) and the Devereux Scales of Mental Disorders (DSMD; Naglieri 1994). Standard deviations were not available for scores on the last measure. Therefore, we have provided a narrative description of those results in the Effects of interventions section.

Karakosta 2015 measured the following three outcomes before and after treatment.

  • Psychological well‐being, assessed in terms of depression and anxiety using respectively, the Children’s Depression Inventory 2 (Kovacs 2001) and the Revised Children’s Manifest Anxiety Scale (Boehnke 1986).

  • Sexual attitudes and behaviour, assessed using measures of sexual attitudes pertaining to rape and molestation; two of the scales included in the Bumby Cognitive Cardsort Scale (Bumby 1996).

  • Victim empathy, assessed using scales from a compendium of measures on violence against women (Flood 2008). The study authors did not clarify the exact measures for this outcome used in the paper, and we were not able to contact the authors for clarification due to contact details being out of date.

Mathѐ 2007 assessed the following two outcomes, before, in the middle, and after treatment.

  • Psychological well‐being, assessed as an improvement in self‐concept using the Self‐Concept Scale, which was developed by the researchers. According to the study authors, the scale is said to focus on anger and anxiety management, and developing insight and self‐awareness.

  • Sexual attitudes and behaviour, measured with the Abel and Becker Cognition Scale (Salter 1988).

  • Victim empathy, assessed using the Attitudes Towards Women Scale (Spence 1972).

Piliero 1994 assessed the impact of the interventions on sexual attitudes before and after treatment, using the juvenile form of the Multiphasic Sex Inventory and supplement scale — a measure of psychosexual characteristics (Nichols 1984). The study authors examined distortions pertaining to social‐sexual desirability, justification, apprehension confidence, and inappropriate sexual fantasies.

Funding sources

The studies did not state their funding sources (Apsche 2005; Karakosta 2015; Mathѐ 2007; Piliero 1994).

Excluded studies

We excluded 109 full‐text reports. Of these, we formally excluded 18 studies (from 19 reports): 14 studies because they were not RCTs (Dunham 2009; Feilzer 2004; Graham 1998; Gretton 2005; Hird 1996; Hout 2002; Jones 1998; Lab 1993; Marshall 2008; Pérez 2012; Thoder 2011; Viens 2012; Waite 2005; Worling 2000); two studies because they involved adult participants (Langdon 2007; Marshall 2008); and two studies because they involved either participants aged 6 to 12 years old (Bonner 1999) or did not meet the criteria for CBT used in this review (Weinrott 1997).

Risk of bias in included studies

We summarised our 'Risk of bias' judgements in Figure 2, and presented them as a graph in Figure 3 Each study carried substantial risks of bias, with a combination of elements assessed as unclear due to lack of information reported, or high risk of bias. Unless otherwise stated, our judgements of risk of bias affect all outcomes.


Risk of bias graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.

Risk of bias graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.


Risk of bias summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.

Risk of bias summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.

Allocation

Random sequence generation

We rated all four studies at unclear risk of bias as they did not provide sufficient information on the randomisation procedure (Apsche 2005; Karakosta 2015; Mathѐ 2007; Piliero 1994).

Allocation concealment

We rated all four studies at unclear risk of bias as they did not provide sufficient information on the randomisation procedure to be able to assess whether allocation was concealed from study personnel (Apsche 2005; Karakosta 2015; Mathѐ 2007; Piliero 1994).

Blinding

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)

We assessed all four studies as being at high risk of performance bias because there was no blinding of participants and personnel in any study (Apsche 2005; Karakosta 2015; Mathѐ 2007; Piliero 1994).

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
Subjective outcomes

We assessed all studies at unclear risk of detection bias because blinding of outcome assessors was not discussed in the study reports (Apsche 2005; Karakosta 2015; Mathѐ 2007; Piliero 1994).

Objective outcomes

No study measured objective outcomes (e.g. recidivism, self‐harm).

Incomplete outcome data

We judged two studies to be at high risk of attrition bias due to high attrition rates (Karakosta 2015; Piliero 1994). We assessed two studies at low risk of attrition bias as there was no attrition (Apsche 2005; Mathѐ 2007).

Selective reporting

We considered one study to be at unclear risk of reporting bias, given that no comments were given on which findings were reported, the author did not report to the request for more information (whether only significant or all of them) and no protocol was available to allow for independent assessment (Mathѐ 2007).

We assessed two studies at high risk of bias because reporting of data was incomplete (Karakosta 2015; Piliero 1994). In Piliero 1994, there were data missing on both significant and non‐significant findings, which was not accounted for by the study authors. Karakosta 2015 only reported statistically significant data, according to the authors of the study.

One study, Apsche 2005, was assessed at low risk of bias as it appeared to present all outcomes.

Other potential sources of bias

We considered two studies to have an additional source of bias. In Mathѐ 2007 and Piliero 1994 the researcher was also the therapist delivering the intervention. Additionally, in Piliero 1994, testing instruments were administered by another practitioner who knew the participants personally. It is also concerning that two of the studies used measurement instruments not standardised for use with children.

We assessed one study, Karakosta 2015, at unclear risk of other bias due to a lack of information.

We assessed one study, Apsche 2005, at low risk of bias as it describes groups as similar at baseline for demographics and prior offence history.

Effects of interventions

See: Summary of findings 1 Cognitive‐behavioural therapy versus no treatment or treatment as usual for harmful sexual behaviour; Summary of findings 2 Cognitive‐behavioural therapy versus alternative interventions for harmful sexual behaviour

Given that no study measured the same outcome using sufficiently similar measures, we were unable to combine the data in a meta‐analysis, and therefore are only able to report individual study results. Some studies gave only a description of the key findings, without presenting the data, and attempts to obtain them from study authors were unsuccessful. We present the findings below, organised by type of comparison (CBT versus no treatment or TAU, and CBT versus alternative treatment).

One study reported on the effects of CBT on the primary outcomes of recidivism (as listed in the Included studies section).

CBT versus no treatment or treatment as usual

Primary outcomes

The studies included in this comparison did not assess any of our primary outcomes.

Secondary outcomes
Psychological well‐being

Mathѐ 2007 (18 participants) reported that those in the CBT group scored higher on positive self‐concept (i.e. self‐esteem) (MD −4.78, 95% CI −7.86 to −1.70, Analysis 1.1), measured using the Self Concept Scale (developed by the researchers; scores range between 20 and 125; higher scores indicate poorer self‐concept) than those in the control group.

Karakosta 2015 (21 participants) reported no significant reductions in depression for the CBT group compared to the treatment as usual group (MD 2.11, 95% CI −6.79 to 11.01, Analysis 1.4), measured using the Children's Depression Scale 2 (Kovacs 2001; higher scores indicate more severe depression, and higher levels of emotional or functional problems). The study author also reported using the Revised Children's Manifest Anxiety Scale (Boehnke 1986; higher scores on this measure represent higher levels of anxiety), but provided no data. Our interpretation of the summary of these findings suggests that there were no significant differences between the experimental and control group.

Sexual attitudes and behaviour

Mathѐ 2007 (18 participants) measured general cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour using the Abel and Becker Cognition Scale (29 items, scores range from 29 to 145; higher scores indicate more problematic cognitive distortions). The authors reported little or no difference between the groups (MD 1.56, 95% CI −11.54 to 14.66, Analysis 1.2; very low‐certainty evidence, summary of findings Table 1).

Karakosta 2015 (21 participants) reported that those in the CBT group scored lower on cognitive distortions on rape (MD 8.75, 95% CI 2.83 to 14.67, Analysis 1.5; very low‐certainty evidence, summary of findings Table 1), measured using Bumby Cognitive Cardsort Scale (Bumby 1996; 36 items rated on four‐point scale (where 1 = strongly disagree to 4 = strongly agree); higher scores indicate more justifications, minimisations, rationalisations and excuses for HSB), than those receiving TAU at the end of treatment. The study author also reported a significant reduction in cognitive distortions on molestation for those in the CBT arm, but provided no data to support this.

Victim empathy

There is very low‐certainty evidence from Mathѐ 2007 (18 participants) that those in the CBT group scored higher in victim empathy (MD 5.56, 95% CI 0.94 to 10.18, Analysis 1.3; summary of findings Table 1), measured using the Attitude Towards Women Scale (15 items; scores range from 0 to 45; higher scores indicate more egalitarian attitudes towards women), than those in the control group at the end of treatment.

Karakosta 2015 (21 participants) measured this outcome using measures from a compendium of scales (Flood 2008), but did not specify which measure and provided no usable data; therefore, no results could be included in the 'Summary of findings' tables.

Neither study assessed any of our other secondary outcomes: reactions to offending behaviour; coping skills; thinking patterns; aggression; social functioning; emotional self‐regulations and impulse control; substance use; programme engagement; and economic costs.

CBT versus alternative treatments

Primary outcome: recidivism

Apsche 2005 (59 participants) reported post‐treatment sexual aggression scores using Daily Behaviour Report cards and Behaviour Incidence Report forms completed by staff. The study reported very low‐certainty evidence showing little or no effect of CBT at post‐intervention on sexual aggression (MD 0.09, 95% CI −0.18 to 0.37, Analysis 2.1; summary of findings Table 2) compared to alternative treatment.

Neither study included in this comparison assessed the primary outcome of adverse events.

Secondary outcomes
Psychological well‐being

Apsche 2005 (59 participants) reported psychological well‐being at post‐intervention using the Child Behaviour Checklist; higher scores on this measure represent increased severity of problems. Results (Analysis 2.2) indicated that there may be little to no difference between CBT and alternative treatments on internalising scores (MD 4.62, 95% CI −1.40 to 10.64), externalising scores (MD 5.79, 95% CI −0.73 to 12.32) or total scores (MD 4.51, 95% CI −1.12 to 10.14).

Apsche 2005 also reported psychological well‐being at post‐intervention using the Devereux Scales of Mental Disorders (DSMD); higher scores on this measure represent increased severity of problems (responses can be converted to T scores, with a mean of deviation of 10; a score of 60 or higher indicates an area of clinical concern). Mean DSMD scores for the internalising factor, externalising factor, critical pathology, and total score for the Mode Deactivation Therapy (MDT) group were at or near one standard deviation below the CBT group, suggesting that MDT improved psychological well‐being more than CBT.

Sexual attitudes and behaviour

Piliero 1994 (16 participants) reported on the effectiveness of CBT in changing young people's thinking about themselves and their relationships, compared with sexual education, using the juvenile form of the Multiphasic Sex Inventory (MSI) and supplement scale — a measure of psychosexual characteristics (Nichols 1984). The study reported very low‐certainty evidence that the CBT group showed improvements in cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour pertaining to justifications (MD −3.27, 95% CI −4.77 to −1.77, Analysis 2.3), apprehension‐confidence (MD −2.47, 95% CI −3.85 to −1.09, Analysis 2.4), inappropriate sexual fantasies (MD 0.13, 95% CI −1.52 to 1.78, Analysis 2.5), and social‐sexual desirability (MD 8.53, 95% CI 4.72 to 12.34, Analysis 2.6), at the end of treatment. See summary of findings Table 2.

Neither study included in this comparison assessed any of our other secondary outcomes: reactions to offending behaviour; coping skills; thinking patterns; victim empathy; aggression; social functioning; emotional self‐regulations and impulse control; substance use; programme engagement; and economic costs.

Discussion

Summary of main results

We identified four small studies that assessed the effectiveness of a group‐based CBT programme designed to address HSB in children and young people aged between 10 and 18 years old. Karakosta 2015 evaluated the ISOTP compared with TAU. Historically, the ISOTP has a high standing as a preferred treatment modality for young people with HSB. For description of the ISOTP, see Rehfuss 2013

One of the four studies reported uncertain evidence regarding the effect of CBT compared to alternative treatments on the primary outcome of recidivism in terms of behavioural reports of sexual aggression. None of the four studies assessed the impact of CBT on the outcomes of adverse events, thinking patterns, social functioning and emotional regulation or impulse control.

Of the secondary outcomes assessed, there is uncertain evidence regarding whether CBT is an effective intervention for young people engaged in HSB. One study (18 participants) reported that CBT may result in higher positive self‐concept and improvements in victim empathy compared with no treatment. One study (21 participants) found very low‐quality evidence that mean cognitive distortions about rape were lower in the CBT group than the TAU group. The same study found little to no difference in depression when CBT was compared with TAU. One study (16 participants) provided very low‐certainty evidence that, compared to sexual education, mean cognitive distortions pertaining to justification or taking responsibility for actions and apprehension confidence may be lower in the CBT group. The same study indicated that mean cognitive distortions pertaining to social‐sexual desirability may be lower in the CBT group, and there may be little to no difference between the groups for cognitive distortions pertaining to inappropriate sexual fantasies.

All four studies had significant methodological problems with regards to incomplete outcome data and absence of blinding, which makes it difficult to draw any firm conclusions. Also, it may be useful to acknowledge whether some harm was caused by these interventions, although none of the studies addressed this issue in detail. For instance, the negative effects of delving deep into the roots of one's distortions and the potential trauma that can result from this for the child or young person.

Overall completeness and applicability of evidence

As indicated above, only one of the included studies assessed the impact of CBT programmes on one of the primary outcomes of this review, namely recidivism. As a result, we cannot draw any conclusions about the effectiveness of CBT in influencing HSB.

The different local contexts of the studies pose a challenge for generalising, including where and how they were delivered, and the very definitions of HSB.

Three of the four studies were undertaken in the USA (Apsche 2005; Karakosta 2015; Piliero 1994), and the third study in South Africa (Mathѐ 2007), so the findings may not generalise to other countries.

There was variation across the studies as to how HSB was defined. Piliero 1994included all young men who were convicted of sexual misconduct, or voluntarily admitted to a history of criminal sexual behaviour. Mathѐ 2007 included young men who committed a sexual offence against a female that would warrant housing in a maximum security unit. Karakosta 2015 included adjudicated young males who committed any kind of sexual offence. This means that some studies included participants who had been imprisoned following rape, and others who had shown less violent, non‐penetrative sexual offending or inappropriate sexual behaviour. Apsche 2005 included adolescent males with documented incidents of physical and sexual aggression. All had been diagnosed with a conduct or personality disorder, or both.

Finally, all four studies recruited only boys. Given that this is a global problem that affects boys and girls, and one which encompasses a wide range of problems, the available evidence and its applicability is, therefore, extremely limited. Lack of follow‐up, small and potentially biased samples, coupled with unclear protocols further compound the problem.

Given that there has been more than four decades of specialist treatment for young people with HSB, it is surprising that there is little good‐quality evidence for whether CBT helps these young people. This may be due to a lack of resources or different priorities. Much of the research in this areas focuses on whether the HSB is repeated, rather than the safety, well‐being and development of children identified with HSB. Insufficient attention is paid to the impact of underlying factors such as past trauma, poverty, stigma, gender, co‐occurring diagnoses (such as mental health problems, developmental or learning difficulties), family disruption or living in out‐of‐home care (Shlonsky 2017). Although multi‐component treatment is often used in practice with components tailored to respond to individual need, the effectiveness of CBT within these types of treatment has not been evaluated.

Quality of the evidence

The objective of this review was to evaluate the effects of CBT for young people aged 10 to 18 years, who have exhibited HSB. Using the GRADE approach, we considered the certainty of the evidence included in this review to be very low (see summary of findings Table 1; summary of findings Table 2). We found no protocols for three of the included studies (Karakosta 2015; Mathѐ 2007; Piliero 1994), all of which had serious methodological weaknesses. The failure to find protocols is highly damaging to the evidence in the studies. The fourth study, Apsche 2005, had stronger methodology with only some weaknesses.

We downgraded the certainty of the evidence by one level due to study limitations, as the risk of bias in the included studies was predominantly high in relation to procedures for random sequence generation, incomplete outcome data and lack of blinding procedures. We also downgraded the certainty of evidence by two levels due to imprecision, as findings for all outcomes were based on evidence from RCTs only, with sample sizes ranging from 16 to 60 participants. It was not possible to assess formally statistical heterogeneity or the likelihood of publication bias due to the small number of included studies. We did not downgrade the certainty of the evidence for indirectness. Overall, this very low‐certainty evidence means that it is difficult to draw conclusions about the effectiveness of CBT as a treatment option for young people with HSB. No evidence from RCTs was available for individually‐delivered CBT (ISOTP in Karakosta 2015 was only done in groups). it is not clear whether Apsche 2005 delivered CBT individually or in groups.

Potential biases in the review process

We followed standard Cochrane procedures when developing the protocol for this review (Sneddon 2012), and in conducting the review. We searched extensively for relevant studies; and screening and data extraction were undertaken by three and two reviewers respectively, who acted independently. Two reviewers also checked the data entered into RevMan 5 for accuracy (Review Manager 2014). None of the review authors have any known conflicts of interest. The decision was made by review authors to not combine data for the different types of 'CBT versus alternative' comparisons in the same pooled analysis due to the potential differences between these types of comparators. If the decision had been made to pool these data together, the evidence may have been more precise, and thus more certain. However, the review authors agreed not to take this approach to limit the heterogeneity in this result.

Agreements and disagreements with other studies or reviews

There are no other systematic reviews of RCTs specifically focused on the effects of CBT on improving outcomes for young people with HSB.

Reitzel 2006's meta‐analysis of the effect of treatment on recidivism for juveniles included no studies that assessed the impact of CBT on recidivism. Similarly, the systematic review and meta‐analysis conducted by Kettrey 2018 only examined the impact on general and sexual recidivism of "psychosocial, therapeutically oriented treatments" provided solely to juveniles who had been convicted of sexual offences. The authors noted that seven of the eight included studies were quasi‐experimental, and commented on the paucity of accumulated evidence between 1950 and 2015 given the prevalence of the types of programmes included in their review, largely comprising variants of individual or group counselling.

In keeping with the findings of this review, an evidence review of treatments for youths who had engaged in 'illegal sexual behaviours' by Dopp 2017 classified the treatments according to five criteria often used to categorise the evidential status of interventions, and concluded that CBT fell into the category of 'Experimental' (i.e. having limited research support).

A rapid evidence assessment of approaches for treating HSB concluded that multi‐systemic therapy (MST) is amongst the most promising approaches to HSB (Shlonsky 2017). The authors suggest CBT likely contributes to the efficacy of MST, but the evidence they reviewed did not allow its unique contribution to this broad‐based family and community based treatment to be unpicked. Shlonsky 2017 also highlighted the need to improve the quality of evidence available with regard to interventions provided to this group of young people.

Prisma Study flow diagram.

Figuras y tablas -
Figure 1

Prisma Study flow diagram.

Risk of bias graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.

Figuras y tablas -
Figure 2

Risk of bias graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.

Risk of bias summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.

Figuras y tablas -
Figure 3

Risk of bias summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.

Comparison 1: CBT versus no intervention or TAU, Outcome 1: Secondary outcome: psychological well being ‐ self‐esteem (CBT vs no treatment)

Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.1

Comparison 1: CBT versus no intervention or TAU, Outcome 1: Secondary outcome: psychological well being ‐ self‐esteem (CBT vs no treatment)

Comparison 1: CBT versus no intervention or TAU, Outcome 2: Secondary outcome: sexual attitudes and behaviour ‐ cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour (general) (CBT vs no treatment)

Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.2

Comparison 1: CBT versus no intervention or TAU, Outcome 2: Secondary outcome: sexual attitudes and behaviour ‐ cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour (general) (CBT vs no treatment)

Comparison 1: CBT versus no intervention or TAU, Outcome 3: Secondary outcome: victim empathy ‐ attitudes towards women (CBT vs no treatment)

Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.3

Comparison 1: CBT versus no intervention or TAU, Outcome 3: Secondary outcome: victim empathy ‐ attitudes towards women (CBT vs no treatment)

Comparison 1: CBT versus no intervention or TAU, Outcome 4: Secondary outcome: psychological well being ‐ depression (CBT vs TAU)

Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.4

Comparison 1: CBT versus no intervention or TAU, Outcome 4: Secondary outcome: psychological well being ‐ depression (CBT vs TAU)

Comparison 1: CBT versus no intervention or TAU, Outcome 5: Secondary outcome: sexual attitudes and behaviour ‐ cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour pertaining to rape (CBT vs TAU)

Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.5

Comparison 1: CBT versus no intervention or TAU, Outcome 5: Secondary outcome: sexual attitudes and behaviour ‐ cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour pertaining to rape (CBT vs TAU)

Comparison 2: CBT versus alternative interventions, Outcome 1: Primary outcome: sexual aggression

Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.1

Comparison 2: CBT versus alternative interventions, Outcome 1: Primary outcome: sexual aggression

Comparison 2: CBT versus alternative interventions, Outcome 2: Secondary outcome: psychological well‐being ‐ CBCL

Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.2

Comparison 2: CBT versus alternative interventions, Outcome 2: Secondary outcome: psychological well‐being ‐ CBCL

Comparison 2: CBT versus alternative interventions, Outcome 3: Secondary outcome: sexual attitudes and behaviour ‐ cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour pertaining to justifications (CBT vs sexual education programme)

Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.3

Comparison 2: CBT versus alternative interventions, Outcome 3: Secondary outcome: sexual attitudes and behaviour ‐ cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour pertaining to justifications (CBT vs sexual education programme)

Comparison 2: CBT versus alternative interventions, Outcome 4: Secondary outcome: sexual attitudes and behaviour ‐ cognitive distortions about sexual behaviours pertaining to apprehension confidence (CBT vs sexual education programme)

Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.4

Comparison 2: CBT versus alternative interventions, Outcome 4: Secondary outcome: sexual attitudes and behaviour ‐ cognitive distortions about sexual behaviours pertaining to apprehension confidence (CBT vs sexual education programme)

Comparison 2: CBT versus alternative interventions, Outcome 5: Secondary outcome: sexual attitudes and behaviour ‐ cognitive distortions about sexual behaviours pertaining to inappropriate sexual fantasies (CBT vs sexual education programme)

Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.5

Comparison 2: CBT versus alternative interventions, Outcome 5: Secondary outcome: sexual attitudes and behaviour ‐ cognitive distortions about sexual behaviours pertaining to inappropriate sexual fantasies (CBT vs sexual education programme)

Comparison 2: CBT versus alternative interventions, Outcome 6: Secondary outcome: sexual attitudes and behaviour ‐ cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour pertaining to social‐sexual desirability (CBT vs sexual education programme)

Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.6

Comparison 2: CBT versus alternative interventions, Outcome 6: Secondary outcome: sexual attitudes and behaviour ‐ cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour pertaining to social‐sexual desirability (CBT vs sexual education programme)

Secondary outcome: psychological well‐being ‐ DSMD

Study

CBT

MDT

SST

Internalizing

Apsche 2005

Mean = 70.5 (range = 62 to 84)

Mean = 71.3 (range = 64 to 83)

Mean = 72.10 (range = 62 to 84)

Externalizing

Apsche 2005

Mean = 73.1 (range = 64 to 86)

Mean = 72.5 (range = 67 to 84)

Mean = 71.25 (range = 60 to 86)

Critical pathology

Apsche 2005

Mean = 68.7 (range = 58 to 88)

Mean = 70.5 (range = 60 to 86)

Mean = 72.33 (range = 68 to 86)

Total

Apsche 2005

70.77

71.50

71.79 (range = 62 to 84)

Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.7

Comparison 2: CBT versus alternative interventions, Outcome 7: Secondary outcome: psychological well‐being ‐ DSMD

Summary of findings 1. Cognitive‐behavioural therapy versus no treatment or treatment as usual for harmful sexual behaviour

Cognitive‐behavioural therapy versus no treatment or treatment as usual for harmful sexual behaviour

Patient or population: young people (aged 10 to 18 years old) with harmful sexual behaviour

Settings: community or secure settings

Intervention: cognitive‐behavioural therapy (CBT)

Comparison: no treatment or treatment as usual (TAU)

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

Number of participants

(studies)

Certainty of the evidence (GRADE)

Comments

Assumed risk with no treatment or TAU

Corresponding risk with CBT

Recidivism: any sexual or nonsexual offence (no study reported data on this outcome)

No study reported data on this outcome

Adverse events (no study reported data on this outcome)

No study reported data on this outcome

Sexual attitudes and behaviour

Follow‐up: end of treatment (last point of data collection)

Cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour ‐ general

Measured by: Abel and Becker Cognition Scale (29 items, scores range from 29 to 145; higher scores indicate more problematic cognitive distortions)

The mean score for general cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour in the control group was 29.11

The mean score for general cognitive distortion about sexual behaviour in the intervention group was1.56 higher (11.54 lower to 14.66 higher)

18

(1 RCT)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VeryLowa

Cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour ‐ pertaining to rape

Measured by: Bumby Cognitive Cardsort Scale (36 items rated on 4‐point scale where 1 = strongly disagree to 4 = strongly agree; higher scores indicate more justifications, minimisations, rationalisations and excuses for HSB)

The mean score for cognitive distortion pertaining to rape in the control group was −2.33

The mean score for cognitive distortion pertaining to rape in the intervention group was8.75 higher (2.83 to 14.67 higher)

21

(1 RCT)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VeryLowb

Thinking patterns (no study reported data on this outcome)

No study reported data on this outcome

Victim empathy: attitudes to women

Measured by: Attitude Towards Women Scale (15 items; scores range from 0 to 45; higher scores indicate more egalitarian attitudes towards women)

Follow‐up: end of treatment (last point of data collection)

The mean score for victim empathy in the control group was 0

The mean score for victim empathy in the intervention group was 5.56 points higher (0.94 to 10.18 higher)

18

(1 RCT)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VeryLowa

Karakosta 2015 also measured this outcome, but provided no usable data.

Social functioning (no study reported data on this outcome)

No study reported data on this outcome

Emotional self‐regulation and impulse control (no study reported data on this outcome)

No study reported data on this outcome

*The basis for the assumed risk (e.g. the median control group risk across studies) is provided in footnotes. The corresponding risk (and its 95% Cl) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).

CI: Confidence interval; HBS: Harmful sexual behaviour; RCT: Randomised controlled trial

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High certainty: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect
Moderate certainty: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate; the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different
Low certainty: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited; the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect
Very low certainty: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate; the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect

aDowngraded two levels due to very serious imprecision (evidence based only on one RCT with 18 participants), and one level due to study limitations (risk of bias was predominantly high or unclear risk).
bDowngraded two levels due to very serious imprecision (evidence based only on one RCT with 21 participants), and one level due to study limitations (risk of bias was predominantly high or unclear risk).

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings 1. Cognitive‐behavioural therapy versus no treatment or treatment as usual for harmful sexual behaviour
Summary of findings 2. Cognitive‐behavioural therapy versus alternative interventions for harmful sexual behaviour

Cognitive‐behavioural therapy versus alternative interventions for harmful sexual behaviour

Patient or population: young people (aged 10 to 18 years old) with harmful sexual behaviour

Settings: community or secure settings

Intervention: cognitive‐behavioural therapy (CBT)

Comparison: alternative treatment (sexual education programme, mode deactiviation therapy (MDT) and social skills training (SST))

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect (95% CI)

Number of participants

(studies)

Certainty of the evidence (GRADE)

Comments

Assumed risk with alternative treatment

Corresponding risk with CBT

Recidivism: behavioural reports of sexual aggression

Measured by: Daily Behaviour Report cards and Behaviour Incidence Report forms completed by staff

Follow up: post treatment

The mean score for sexual aggression in the control group was 0.38

The mean score for sexual aggression in the intervention group was 0.09 higher (0.18 lower to 0.37 higher)

59

(1 RCT)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VeryLowa

Adverse events (no study reported data on this outcome)

No study reported data on this outcome

Sexual attitudes and behaviour

Measured by: post‐treatment structured interview (non‐validated)

Follow‐up: end of treatment (last point of data collection)

Cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour ‐ pertaining to justification/taking responsibility for actions

The mean score for cognitive distortions pertaining to justification/taking responsibility for actions in the control group was0.67

The mean score for cognitive distortions pertaining to justification/taking responsibility for actions in the intervention group was 3.27 lower (4.77 lower to 1.77 lower)

16

(1 RCT)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VeryLowb

Cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour ‐ pertaining to apprehension confidence

The mean score for cognitive distortions pertaining to apprehension confidence in the control group was1.17

The mean score for cognitive distortions pertaining to apprehension confidence in the intervention group was 2.47 lower (3.85 lower to 1.09 lower)

16

(1 RCT)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VeryLowb

Cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour ‐ pertaining to inappropriate sexual fantasies

The mean score for cognitive distortions pertaining to inappropriate sexual fantasies in the control group was−0.33

The mean score for cognitive distortions pertaining to inappropriate sexual fantasies in the intervention group was 0.13 higher (1.52 lower to 1.78 higher)

16

(1 RCT)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VeryLowb

Cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour ‐ pertaining to social‐sexual desirability

The mean score for cognitive distortions pertaining to social‐sexual desirability in the control group was−4.83

The mean score for cognitive distortions pertaining to social‐sexual desirability in the intervention group was 8.53 higher (4.72 higher to 12.34 higher)

16

(1 RCT)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VeryLowb

Thinking patterns (no study reported data on this outcome)

No study reported data on this outcome

Victim empathy (no study reported data on this outcome)

No study reported data on this outcome

Social functioning (no study reported data on this outcome)

No study reported data on this outcome

Emotional self‐regulation and impulse control (no study reported data on this outcome)

No study reported data on this outcome

*The basis for the assumed risk (e.g. the median control group risk across studies) is provided in footnotes. The corresponding risk (and its 95% CI) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).

CI: Confidence interval; RCT: Randomised controlled trial

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High certainty: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect
Moderate certainty: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate; the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different
Low certainty: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited; the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect
Very low certainty: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate; the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect

aDowngraded two levels due to very serious imprecision (evidence based only on one RCT with 59 participants), and one level due to study limitations (risk of bias was predominantly high or unclear risk).
bDowngraded two levels due to very serious imprecision (evidence based only on one RCTs with 16 participants), and one level due to study limitations (risk of bias was predominantly high or unclear risk).

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings 2. Cognitive‐behavioural therapy versus alternative interventions for harmful sexual behaviour
Table 1. Minimum age of responsibility for criminal activities in various jurisdictions (Cipriani 2009)

Country

Age in years of criminal responsibility

USA

6‐12 (10 for federal crimes)

Egypt, Estonia, India, Mayanmar, Singapore, Thailand

7

Scotland, Indonesia

8

Bangladesh, Ethopia

9

Iran

9 for girls, 15 for boys

Austria, Australia, England, Northern Ireland, South Africa, Wales, Switzerland

10

Japan

11

Belgium, Brazil, Canada, Netherlands, Mexico, Morocco, Ireland, Israel, Portugal, Turkey, Uganda

12

Algeria, Greece

13

Bulgaria, China, Columbia, Germany, Hungary, Italy, Peru, Romania, Russian Federation, Slovenia, Spain, Ukraine, Veit Nam

14

New Zealand

14 (children can be charged with murder, manslaughter or minor traffic offences from 10 years of age; all other offences cannot be charged under 14 years of age)

Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, Philippines, Sweden

15

Argentina

16

Figuras y tablas -
Table 1. Minimum age of responsibility for criminal activities in various jurisdictions (Cipriani 2009)
Table 2. Additional Methods Table

Intendedmethods specified in protocol (Sneddon 2012) but not used in thereview

Reason for non use

Types of outcome measures

We intended, if possible, to either code the follow‐up period and then treat it as a continuous variable, or else divide outcomes into immediate (within six months), short term (greater than (>) six to 24 months), medium term (> 24 months to five years) and long term (> five years). We intended to draw information from psychometric tests, as well as police or other official data.

Insufficient data were presented in the results sections of eligible studies to code the data in this way.

  • Economic outcomes

    • Direct costs

    • Indirect costs

We intended to extract any economic information included in study descriptions but none was available.

Search methods

We intended to search Criminal Justice Abstracts EBSCOhost in June 2019.

We no longer had access to the database.

Measures of treatment effect

Dichotomous outcome data

We aimed to calculate odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for dichotomous outcomes. For meta‐analyses of dichotomous outcomes that would have been included in 'Summary of findings' tables, we aimed to express the results as absolute risks, using high and low observed risks among the control groups as reference points.

Insufficient data were available.

Continuous outcome data

We aimed to calculate mean differences if all studies use the same measurement scale, or standardised mean differences if studies use different measurements scales, and 95% confidence intervals for continuous outcome measures. If necessary, we aimed to compute effect estimates from P values, T statistics, ANOVA (analysis of variance) tables or other statistics as appropriate. We aimed to calculate standardised mean differences using Hedges g.

Multiple outcomes

Had a study provided multiple, interchangeable, measures of the same construct at the same point in time (for example, multiple measures of obsessive thoughts), we aimed to calculate the average standardised mean difference across these outcomes, and the average of their estimated variances. This strategy aims to avoid the need to select a single measure, and to avoid inflated precision in meta‐analyses (preventing studies which report on more outcome measures receiving more weight in the analysis than comparable studies that report on a single outcome measure).

Dealing with missing data

We aimed to assess the sensitivity of any primary meta‐analyses to missing data using the strategy recommended by Higgins 2008.

Assessment of heterogeneity

We aimed to describe statistical heterogeneity by computing the I2 statistic (Schünemann 2019), a quantity which describes approximately the proportion of variation in point estimates that is due to heterogeneity rather than sampling error. In addition, we aimed to employ a Chi2 test of homogeneity, to determine the strength of evidence that heterogeneity was genuine.

Assessment of reporting biases

We aimed to draw funnel plots (estimated differences in treatment effects against their standard error) if we had found sufficient studies. Asymmetry could have been due to publication bias, or due to a real relationship between trial size and effect size, such as when larger trials have lower compliance and compliance is positively related to effect size. In the event that we found such a relationship, we aimed to examine clinical variation of the studies (Schünemann 2019). As a direct test for publication bias, we aimed to compare results extracted from published journal reports with results obtained from other sources (including correspondence).

Data synthesis

Where the interventions, comparators, participants and outcomes were the same, we aimed to synthesise the results in a meta‐analysis. Unless the model was contra‐indicated (for example, if there was funnel plot asymmetry), we planned to present the results from the random‐effects model. In the presence of severe funnel plot asymmetry, we would have presented both fixed‐effect and random‐effects analyses, in the knowledge that neither model is appropriate. If both indicated a presence (or absence) of effect we would have been reassured; if they did not agree, we aimed to report this. We aimed to calculate all overall effects using inverse variance methods. If some primary studies reported an outcome as a dichotomous measure and others used a continuous measure of the same construct, we aimed to convert results for the former from an odds ratio to a standardised mean difference, provided that we could assume the underlying continuous measure had approximately a normal or logistic distribution (otherwise we would have carried out two separate analyses).

Subgroup analysis and investigation of heterogeneity

If sufficient studies were found, we aimed to undertake the following subgroup analysis.

  • Age at time of treatment

  • Gender

  • Location of treatment (institutional, community)

  • Modality of treatment (individual versus group, or combination)

  • Participants with or without a learning disability

  • Violent sexual offending

Sensitivity analysis

We aimed to conduct sensitivity analyses to examine the robustness of the findings. This would have been done by exploring whether findings were sensitive to restricting the analyses to studies judged to be at low risk of bias. In these analyses, we aimed to restrict the analysis to: (a) only studies with low risk of selection bias (associated with sequence generation or allocation concealment); (b) only studies with low risk of performance bias (associated with issues of blinding); (c) only studies with low risk of attrition bias (associated with completeness of data). In addition, we aimed to assess the sensitivity of findings to any imputed data.

Figuras y tablas -
Table 2. Additional Methods Table
Comparison 1. CBT versus no intervention or TAU

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1.1 Secondary outcome: psychological well being ‐ self‐esteem (CBT vs no treatment) Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

1.2 Secondary outcome: sexual attitudes and behaviour ‐ cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour (general) (CBT vs no treatment) Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

1.3 Secondary outcome: victim empathy ‐ attitudes towards women (CBT vs no treatment) Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

1.4 Secondary outcome: psychological well being ‐ depression (CBT vs TAU) Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

1.5 Secondary outcome: sexual attitudes and behaviour ‐ cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour pertaining to rape (CBT vs TAU) Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 1. CBT versus no intervention or TAU
Comparison 2. CBT versus alternative interventions

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

2.1 Primary outcome: sexual aggression Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

2.2 Secondary outcome: psychological well‐being ‐ CBCL Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

2.2.1 Internalizing

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

2.2.2 Externalizing

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

2.2.3 Total

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

2.3 Secondary outcome: sexual attitudes and behaviour ‐ cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour pertaining to justifications (CBT vs sexual education programme) Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

2.4 Secondary outcome: sexual attitudes and behaviour ‐ cognitive distortions about sexual behaviours pertaining to apprehension confidence (CBT vs sexual education programme) Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

2.5 Secondary outcome: sexual attitudes and behaviour ‐ cognitive distortions about sexual behaviours pertaining to inappropriate sexual fantasies (CBT vs sexual education programme) Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

2.6 Secondary outcome: sexual attitudes and behaviour ‐ cognitive distortions about sexual behaviour pertaining to social‐sexual desirability (CBT vs sexual education programme) Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

2.7 Secondary outcome: psychological well‐being ‐ DSMD Show forest plot

1

Other data

No numeric data

2.7.1 Internalizing

1

Other data

No numeric data

2.7.2 Externalizing

1

Other data

No numeric data

2.7.3 Critical pathology

1

Other data

No numeric data

2.7.4 Total

1

Other data

No numeric data

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 2. CBT versus alternative interventions