Scolaris Content Display Scolaris Content Display

Study flow diagram.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 1

Study flow diagram.

Risk of bias graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 2

Risk of bias graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.

Risk of bias summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 3

Risk of bias summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.

Comparison 1 Number of participants who experienced at least 1 relapse at 24 months and at end of follow‐up, Outcome 1 At the end of follow‐up (24 ‐ 36 months).
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.1

Comparison 1 Number of participants who experienced at least 1 relapse at 24 months and at end of follow‐up, Outcome 1 At the end of follow‐up (24 ‐ 36 months).

Comparison 1 Number of participants who experienced at least 1 relapse at 24 months and at end of follow‐up, Outcome 2 During follow‐up likely scenario.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.2

Comparison 1 Number of participants who experienced at least 1 relapse at 24 months and at end of follow‐up, Outcome 2 During follow‐up likely scenario.

Comparison 2 Number of participants who worsened during the study (EDSS progression) at 24 months and at the end of follow‐up, Outcome 1 At the end of follow‐up (24‐36 months).
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.1

Comparison 2 Number of participants who worsened during the study (EDSS progression) at 24 months and at the end of follow‐up, Outcome 1 At the end of follow‐up (24‐36 months).

Comparison 2 Number of participants who worsened during the study (EDSS progression) at 24 months and at the end of follow‐up, Outcome 2 During follow‐up likely scenario.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.2

Comparison 2 Number of participants who worsened during the study (EDSS progression) at 24 months and at the end of follow‐up, Outcome 2 During follow‐up likely scenario.

Comparison 3 Number of participants who withdrew or dropped out of the study because of adverse events, Outcome 1 Number of participants who dropped out for AE.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.1

Comparison 3 Number of participants who withdrew or dropped out of the study because of adverse events, Outcome 1 Number of participants who dropped out for AE.

Comparison 3 Number of participants who withdrew or dropped out of the study because of adverse events, Outcome 2 Number of participants who dropped out for SAE.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.2

Comparison 3 Number of participants who withdrew or dropped out of the study because of adverse events, Outcome 2 Number of participants who dropped out for SAE.

Comparison 4 Frequency of relapse (ARR), Outcome 1 Relapse frequency.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.1

Comparison 4 Frequency of relapse (ARR), Outcome 1 Relapse frequency.

Comparison 5 Time to first relapse, Outcome 1 Time to first relapse (HR).
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 5.1

Comparison 5 Time to first relapse, Outcome 1 Time to first relapse (HR).

Comparison 7 Number of participants treated with steroids for MS relapse, Outcome 1 Patients Treated with Steroids.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 7.1

Comparison 7 Number of participants treated with steroids for MS relapse, Outcome 1 Patients Treated with Steroids.

Comparison 9 Mean number of active (new or enlarged) T2‐hyperintense lesions per participant at 6 ‐ 12 ‐ 24 months and at end of follow‐up period, Outcome 1 During follow‐up.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 9.1

Comparison 9 Mean number of active (new or enlarged) T2‐hyperintense lesions per participant at 6 ‐ 12 ‐ 24 months and at end of follow‐up period, Outcome 1 During follow‐up.

Comparison 10 Mean number of new contrast‐enhancing T1 lesions per participant at 6 ‐ 12 ‐ 24 months and at end of follow‐up period, Outcome 1 Mean number.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 10.1

Comparison 10 Mean number of new contrast‐enhancing T1 lesions per participant at 6 ‐ 12 ‐ 24 months and at end of follow‐up period, Outcome 1 Mean number.

Comparison 11 Mean change in total T2‐hyperintense lesion load at 12‐24 months and at end of follow‐up period, Outcome 1 Mean absolute change.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 11.1

Comparison 11 Mean change in total T2‐hyperintense lesion load at 12‐24 months and at end of follow‐up period, Outcome 1 Mean absolute change.

Comparison 12 Mean change in total T1‐hypointense lesion load at 12‐24 months and at end of follow‐up, Outcome 1 Mean absolute change.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 12.1

Comparison 12 Mean change in total T1‐hypointense lesion load at 12‐24 months and at end of follow‐up, Outcome 1 Mean absolute change.

Comparison 13 Mean change in total brain volume (as a measure of atrophy) at 12‐24 months and at end of follow‐up, Outcome 1 Mean absolute change.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 13.1

Comparison 13 Mean change in total brain volume (as a measure of atrophy) at 12‐24 months and at end of follow‐up, Outcome 1 Mean absolute change.

Summary of findings for the main comparison. Interferons compared with glatiramer acetate for participants with relapsing‐remitting multiple sclerosis

interferons compared with glatiramer acetate for participants with relapsing‐remitting multiple sclerosis

Patient or population: people with relapsing‐remitting multiple sclerosis
Settings: secondary care
Intervention: interferons
Comparison: glatiramer acetate

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

No. of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Assumed risk (control)

Corresponding risk (intervention)

Glatiramer acetate

Interferons

Number of participants with relapse
Risk ratio

(M‐H, random, 95% CI)
Follow‐up: 24 months

Study population

RR 1.04
(0.87 to 1.24)

2184
(3 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
moderatea

Detection bias risk for clinical outcomes was judged as high for 1 study and low for the other 2 RCTs

36 per 100

38 per 100
(31 to 45)

Moderate

35 per 100

36 per 100
(30 to 43)

Number of participants with confirmed progression
Risk ratio

(M‐H, random, 95% CI)
Follow‐up: 24 months

Study population

RR 1.11
(0.91 to 1.35)

2169
(3 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
moderatea

Detection bias risk for clinical outcomes was judged as high for 1 study and low for the other 2 RCTs

15 per 100

16 per 100
(13 to 20)

Moderate

15 per 100

17 per 100
(14 to 21)

Number of participants who dropped out for AEs
Risk ratio

(M‐H, random, 95% CI)
Follow‐up: 24 months

Study population

RR 0.95
(0.64 to 1.4)

2685
(4 studies)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
lowa,b

4 per 100

4 per 100
(3 to 6)

Moderate

5 per 100

5 per 100
(3 to 7)

Mean number of active T2 lesions
Mean difference (IV, random, 95% CI)
Follow‐up: 24 months

0.15 lower in IFN versus GA groups
(0.68 lower to 0.39 higher)

1790
(3 studies)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
lowb,c

Detection bias risk for MRI outcomes was judged as low for all studies

Mean number of new enhancing lesions
Mean difference (IV, random, 95% CI)
Follow‐up: 24 months

0.14 lower in IFN versus GA groups
(0.3 lower to 0.02 higher)

1734
(3 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
moderated

Detection bias risk for MRI outcomes was judged as low for all studies

Mean change in total T2‐hyperintense lesion load
Mean difference (IV, random, 95% CI)
Follow‐up: 24 months

0.58 lower in IFN versus GA groups
(0.99 to 0.18 lower)

1608
(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
moderated

Detection bias risk for MRI outcomes was judged as low for both studies

Mean change in total T1‐hypointense lesion load
Follow‐up: 24 months

−0.20 lower in IFN versus GA groups (−0.33 to −0.07)

1602
(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
moderated

Detection bias risk for MRI outcomes was judged as low for both studies

*The basis for the assumed risk (e.g. median control group risk (GA) across studies) is provided in footnotes. The corresponding risk (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group (IFNs) and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
CI: Confidence interval; RR: Risk ratio.

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence.
High quality: Further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect.
Moderate quality: Further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate.
Low quality: Further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate.
Very low quality: We are very uncertain about the estimate.

aHigh risk of attrition bias.
bWide 95% confidence intervals.
cSignificant heterogeneity of results.
dEffect size of uncertain value.

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings for the main comparison. Interferons compared with glatiramer acetate for participants with relapsing‐remitting multiple sclerosis
Table 1. Baseline characteristics of the population included in the RCTs

Study name

Drugs

Number of participants

% female

Age, years, mean (SD)

Mean EDSS score (SD)

Disease duration, years,mean (SD)

Previous number of relapses, mean (SD)

Number of

participants with MRI Gad+ lesions (%)

Cadavid 2009a

IFN‐beta 1b

36

75

36 (7.75)

2.0*

(0 to 5)

0.9*

(0.1 to 24)

1.8*

(0 to 7.5)

26

(72)

GA

39

64

36 (8.25)

2.0*

(0 to 5.5)

1.2*

(0.2 to 34)

1,9*

(0.13 to 7.0)

27

(69)

Calabrese 2012

IFN‐beta 1a 44

55

69.5

35.9 (9.1)

1.9

(1.0)

5.7

(4.9)

1,2

(0.6)

ND

IFN‐beta 1a 30 μg

55

68.0

34.8 (9.6)

1.9

(0.8)

5.3

(5.1)

1,2

(0.7)

ND

GA

55

72.9

38.9 (10.2)

2.1 (1.1)

5.5

(6.1)

1,3

(0.7)

ND

Lublin 2013a

IFN‐beta 1a 30 μg

250

69.2

37.6 (10.2)

2.0 (1.2)

1.4  

(4.0)

1.7°

(0.9)

187 (74.8)

GA

259

71.4

39.0 (9.5)

1.9 (1.2)

1.0 (2.9)

1.6° (0.7)

215 (83.01)

Mikol 2008

IFN‐beta 1a 44 μg

386

69

36.7 (9.8)

2.35 (1.28)

5.93 (6.25)

0.97** (0.42)

150 (39)

GA

378

72

36.8 (9.5)

2.33 (1.31)

6.55 (7.10)

1.01** (0.35)

156 (41)

O'Connor 2009a

IFN‐beta 1b

897

70

35.8** (11.13)

2.35 (2)

5.3** (4.45)

1.6° (0.74)

ND

GA

448

68

35.2** (11.87)

2.28 (2)

5.1** (4.45)

1.6° (0.74)

ND

ND (no data available).

*Median (range); mean not reported.

**SD or weighted mean was calculated.

°Pre‐1‐year.

Figuras y tablas -
Table 1. Baseline characteristics of the population included in the RCTs
Table 2. Dropout data

Study

Arm

N° participants

N° dropout

Reasons for missing

At randomisation

24 months

36 months

%

Lost to follow‐up

Did not receive drug

Switched treatment

Withdrew

Deviated from protocol

Had adverse events

Died

Became pregnant

Other reasons

Cadavid 2009a1

IFN‐beta 1a 44 μg

36

25

ND

116

30.6

7

0

0

0

0

1

0

0

38

GA

39

31

ND

87

20.5

4

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

48

Calabrese 20122

IFN‐beta 1a 44 μg

55

46

ND

9

16.4

9

ND

IFN‐beta 1a 30 μg

55

47

ND

8

14.5

8

GA

55

48

ND

7

12.7

7

Lublin 2013a3

IFN‐beta 1a 30 μg

250

ND

194

56

22.4

13

0

0

0

0

1711

1

0

2513

GA

259

ND

223

36

13.9

9

0

0

0

0

1112

1

0

1514

Mikol 20084

IFN‐beta 1a 44 μg

386

301

ND

85

22.0

17

3

0

0

2

23

0

8

329

GA

378

324

ND

54

14.3

2

3

0

0

2

19

0

5

2310

O'Connor 2009a5

IFN‐beta 1b 250

897

784

ND

113

12.6

12

9

10

38

3

13

1

27

GA

448

374

ND

74

16.5

12

3

5

18

2

8

1

1

24

ND (no data available)

Source of data are described as follow.

1] pg 1977; 2] pg 3; 3] pg 33; 4] pg 904; 5] pg 890; 6] 7 lost to follow‐up + 4 discontinued intervention (see pg 1977); 7] 4 lost to follow‐up + 4 discontinued intervention (see pg 1977); 8] treatment failure; 9] 4 had disease progression + 28 for other reasons; 10] 7 had disease progression + 16 for other reasons; 11] 4 AE/SAE + 13 side effects; 12] 6 AE/SAE + 5 side effects; 13] 14 non‐medical reason + 11 other medical reason; 14] 8 non‐medical reason + 7 other medical reason

Figuras y tablas -
Table 2. Dropout data
Table 3. Sensitivity analysis (OUTCOME: N° of participants with at least 1 relapse)

Study

Arm

N° participants

N° dropout

Lost to

follow‐up

Randomised available

for the outcome

24 months

36 months

%

Cadavid 2009a

IFN‐beta 1a 44

36

25

11

30.6

7

GA

39

31

8

20.5

4

Calabrese 2012

IFN‐beta 1a 44

55

46

9

16.4

9

IFN‐beta 1a 30

55

47

8

14.5

8

GA

55

48

7

12.7

7

Lublin 2013a

IFN‐beta 1a 30

250

194

56

22.4

13

GA

259

223

36

13.9

9

Mikol 2008

IFN‐beta 1a 44

386

301

85

22.0

17

GA

378

324

54

14.3

2

O'Connor 2009a

IFN‐beta 1b

897

784

113

12.6

57*

GA

448

374

74

16.5

31*

*Data provided by Bayer (Pleimes 2013).

Figuras y tablas -
Table 3. Sensitivity analysis (OUTCOME: N° of participants with at least 1 relapse)
Table 4. Sensitivity analysis (OUTCOME: N° participants with EDSS progression)

Study

Arm

N° participants at

N° dropout

Lost to

follow‐up

Randomised available

for the outcome

24 months

36 months

%

Cadavid 2009a

IFN‐beta 1a 44

36

25

11

30.6

7

GA

39

31

8

20.5

4

Calabrese 2012

IFN‐beta 1a 44

55

46

9

16.4

9

IFN‐beta 1a 30

55

47

8

14.5

8

GA

55

48

7

12.7

7

Lublin 2013a

IFN‐beta 1a 30

241

194

47

19.5

13

GA

246

223

23

9.3

9

Mikol 2008

IFN‐beta 1a 44

386

301

85

22.0

17

GA

378

324

54

14.3

2

O'Connor 2009a

IFN‐beta 1b

886

784

102

11.5

80*

GA

444

374

70

15.8

58*

*Data provided by Bayer (Pleimes 2013).

Figuras y tablas -
Table 4. Sensitivity analysis (OUTCOME: N° participants with EDSS progression)
Comparison 1. Number of participants who experienced at least 1 relapse at 24 months and at end of follow‐up

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 At the end of follow‐up (24 ‐ 36 months) Show forest plot

4

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

1.1 At 24 months

3

2184

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.04 [0.87, 1.24]

1.2 At 36 months

1

509

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.27 [0.92, 1.75]

2 During follow‐up likely scenario Show forest plot

4

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

2.1 At 24 months

3

2184

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.10 [0.91, 1.34]

2.2 At 36 months

1

509

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.30 [0.98, 1.73]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 1. Number of participants who experienced at least 1 relapse at 24 months and at end of follow‐up
Comparison 2. Number of participants who worsened during the study (EDSS progression) at 24 months and at the end of follow‐up

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 At the end of follow‐up (24‐36 months) Show forest plot

4

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

1.1 At 24 months

3

2169

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.11 [0.91, 1.35]

1.2 At 36 months

1

487

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.87 [0.63, 1.20]

2 During follow‐up likely scenario Show forest plot

4

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

2.1 At 24 months

3

2169

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.24 [0.81, 1.90]

2.2 At 36 months

1

487

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.95 [0.71, 1.26]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 2. Number of participants who worsened during the study (EDSS progression) at 24 months and at the end of follow‐up
Comparison 3. Number of participants who withdrew or dropped out of the study because of adverse events

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Number of participants who dropped out for AE Show forest plot

4

2685

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.95 [0.64, 1.40]

2 Number of participants who dropped out for SAE Show forest plot

3

2610

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.99 [0.63, 1.56]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 3. Number of participants who withdrew or dropped out of the study because of adverse events
Comparison 4. Frequency of relapse (ARR)

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Relapse frequency Show forest plot

5

Rate Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

1.1 At 24 months

4

Rate Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

1.06 [0.95, 1.18]

1.2 At 36 months

1

Rate Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

1.40 [1.13, 1.74]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 4. Frequency of relapse (ARR)
Comparison 5. Time to first relapse

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Time to first relapse (HR) Show forest plot

3

Hazard Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

1.01 [0.87, 1.16]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 5. Time to first relapse
Comparison 7. Number of participants treated with steroids for MS relapse

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Patients Treated with Steroids Show forest plot

2

1420

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.30 [0.76, 2.24]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 7. Number of participants treated with steroids for MS relapse
Comparison 9. Mean number of active (new or enlarged) T2‐hyperintense lesions per participant at 6 ‐ 12 ‐ 24 months and at end of follow‐up period

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 During follow‐up Show forest plot

3

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

1.1 At 6 months

1

396

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.86 [‐1.32, ‐0.40]

1.2 At 12 months

2

1722

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.52 [‐1.12, 0.09]

1.3 At 24 months

3

1790

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.15 [‐0.68, 0.39]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 9. Mean number of active (new or enlarged) T2‐hyperintense lesions per participant at 6 ‐ 12 ‐ 24 months and at end of follow‐up period
Comparison 10. Mean number of new contrast‐enhancing T1 lesions per participant at 6 ‐ 12 ‐ 24 months and at end of follow‐up period

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Mean number Show forest plot

3

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

1.1 At 6 months

0

0

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

0.0 [0.0, 0.0]

1.2 At 12 months

1

1233

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.10 [‐0.26, 0.06]

1.3 At 24 months

3

1734

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.14 [‐0.30, 0.02]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 10. Mean number of new contrast‐enhancing T1 lesions per participant at 6 ‐ 12 ‐ 24 months and at end of follow‐up period
Comparison 11. Mean change in total T2‐hyperintense lesion load at 12‐24 months and at end of follow‐up period

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Mean absolute change Show forest plot

3

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

1.1 At 12 months

1

1221

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.4 [‐0.59, ‐0.21]

1.2 At 24 months

2

1608

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.58 [‐0.99, ‐0.18]

1.3 At 36 months

1

509

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.26 [‐1.04, 0.52]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 11. Mean change in total T2‐hyperintense lesion load at 12‐24 months and at end of follow‐up period
Comparison 12. Mean change in total T1‐hypointense lesion load at 12‐24 months and at end of follow‐up

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Mean absolute change Show forest plot

2

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

1.1 At 12 months

1

1207

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.06 [‐0.18, 0.07]

1.2 At 24 months

2

1602

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.20 [‐0.33, ‐0.07]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 12. Mean change in total T1‐hypointense lesion load at 12‐24 months and at end of follow‐up
Comparison 13. Mean change in total brain volume (as a measure of atrophy) at 12‐24 months and at end of follow‐up

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Mean absolute change Show forest plot

2

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

1.1 At 12 months

1

1137

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.10 [‐0.22, 0.02]

1.2 At 24 months

2

1552

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.12 [‐0.23, ‐0.01]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 13. Mean change in total brain volume (as a measure of atrophy) at 12‐24 months and at end of follow‐up