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Study flow diagram.
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Figure 1

Study flow diagram.

'Risk of bias' summary: review authors' judgements about each 'Risk of bias' item for each included study.
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Figure 2

'Risk of bias' summary: review authors' judgements about each 'Risk of bias' item for each included study.

'Risk of bias' graph: review authors' judgements about each 'Risk of bias' item presented as percentages across all included studies.
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Figure 3

'Risk of bias' graph: review authors' judgements about each 'Risk of bias' item presented as percentages across all included studies.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Isoniazid prophylaxis versus placebo, outcome: 1.1 Active TB, HIV‐positive children on ART.
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Figure 4

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Isoniazid prophylaxis versus placebo, outcome: 1.1 Active TB, HIV‐positive children on ART.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Isoniazid prophylaxis versus placebo, outcome: 1.2 Death, HIV‐positive children on ART.
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Figure 5

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Isoniazid prophylaxis versus placebo, outcome: 1.2 Death, HIV‐positive children on ART.

Comparison 1 Isoniazid prophylaxis versus placebo for HIV‐positive children on antiretroviral therapy (ART), Outcome 1 Active TB.
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Analysis 1.1

Comparison 1 Isoniazid prophylaxis versus placebo for HIV‐positive children on antiretroviral therapy (ART), Outcome 1 Active TB.

Comparison 1 Isoniazid prophylaxis versus placebo for HIV‐positive children on antiretroviral therapy (ART), Outcome 2 Death.
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Analysis 1.2

Comparison 1 Isoniazid prophylaxis versus placebo for HIV‐positive children on antiretroviral therapy (ART), Outcome 2 Death.

Summary of findings for the main comparison. Isoniazid prophylaxis compared to placebo for HIV‐positive children not on antiretroviral therapy (ART)

Isoniazid prophylaxis compared to placebo for HIV‐positive children not on antiretroviral therapy (ART)

Patient or population: HIV‐positive children not taking ART
Settings: any setting
Intervention: isoniazid prophylaxis daily or three times weekly
Comparison: placebo

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

Number of participants
(studies)

Certainty of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comment

Assumed risk

Corresponding risk

Placebo

Isoniazid prophylaxis

Active TB

10 per 100

3 per 100

(1 to 9)

HR 0.31

(95% CI 0.11 to 0.87)

240

(1 trial)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
low1,2,3,4,5

due to serious indirectness and imprecision

Isoniazid prophylaxis may reduce active TB

Death

17 per 100

8 per 100

(8 per 17)

HR 0.46

(95% CI 0.22 to 0.95)

240

(1 trial)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
low1,2,3,4,5

due to serious indirectness and imprecision

Isoniazid prophylaxis may reduce death

The basis for the assumed risk is the median control group risk across studies. The corresponding risk (and its 95% CI) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
Abbreviations: CI: confidence interval; RR: risk ratio; HR: hazard ratio.

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High certainty: further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect.
Moderate certainty: further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate.
Low certainty: further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate.
Very low certainty: we are very uncertain about the estimate.

1No serious risk of bias: this trial was at low risk of selection bias, and adequately blinded study participants and personnel. However, the study was stopped early on the recommendation of the data safety monitoring board after only 277 of the planned 432 were enrolled. Not downgraded.
2No serious inconsistency: a single trial.
3Downgraded by 1 for serious indirectness: this single trial is from a single setting in South Africa. Broad generalization of this result to other settings is difficult given the variation in isoniazid resistance worldwide.
4Downgraded by 1 for serious imprecision: there were very few events in this trial and as such the finding is fragile. The original paper reports the result using a hazard ratio and the result reached standard levels of statistical significance.
5We reported the study authors' data.

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Summary of findings for the main comparison. Isoniazid prophylaxis compared to placebo for HIV‐positive children not on antiretroviral therapy (ART)
Summary of findings 2. Isoniazid prophylaxis compared to placebo for HIV‐positive children on antiretroviral therapy (ART)

Isoniazid prophylaxis compared to placebo for HIV‐positive children on antiretroviral therapy (ART)

Patient or population: HIV‐positive children on ART
Settings: any setting
Intervention: isoniazid prophylaxis daily or three times weekly
Comparison: placebo

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

Number of participants
(studies)

Certainty of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Assumed risk

Corresponding risk

Placebo

Isoniazid prophylaxis

Active TB

13 per 100

9 per 100
(7 to 15)

RR 0.76
(0.50 to 1.14)

737
(3 trials)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
very low1,2,3,4

due to serious indirectness and imprecision

We don't know if Isoniazid prophylaxis reduce active TB

Death

4 per 100

6 per 100
(3 to 11)

RR 1.45

(0.78 to 2.72)

737
(3 trials)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
very low1,2,3,5

due to serious indirectness and imprecision

We don't know if Isoniazid prophylaxis reduce death

The basis for the assumed risk is the median control group risk across studies. The corresponding risk (and its 95% CI) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
Abbreviations: CI: confidence interval; RR: risk ratio.

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High certainty: further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect.
Moderate certainty: further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate.
Low certainty: further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate.
Very low certainty: we are very uncertain about the estimate.

1No serious risk of bias: trials were at low risk of selection bias. Both studies adequately blinded study participants and personnel.
2No serious inconsistency: statistical heterogeneity was low.
3Downgraded by 1 for serious indirectness: all trials were conducted in South Africa. Given the variation in isoniazid resistance globally it is difficult to generalize this result to all settings.
4Downgraded by 2 for serious imprecision: to confidently detect a 25% relative reduction in active TB would require a sample size of nearly 3000 participants. This meta‐analysis is therefore underpowered, and the 95% CI includes both appreciable benefit and no effect.
5Downgraded by 2 for serious imprecision: there were few events and the 95% CI includes both appreciable harm and no effect.

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Summary of findings 2. Isoniazid prophylaxis compared to placebo for HIV‐positive children on antiretroviral therapy (ART)
Table 1. Number of children with adverse events and number of adverse events (of grade 3 or higher) in HIV‐positive children on antiretroviral therapy (ART) and not on ART, by study

Number of children with adverse events

Number of adverse events

Zar 2007

Madhi 2011

Gray 2014

Children not on ART

Children on ART

Children on ART

Children on ART

Isoniazid prophylaxis group

N = 91

Placebo group

N = 91

Isoniazid prophylaxis group

N = 41

Placebo group

N = 40

Isoniazid prophylaxis group

N = 273

Placebo group

N = 274

Isoniazid prophylaxis group

N= 85

Placebo group

N = 82

Clinical adverse events

Peripheral neuropathy

Not reported

Not reported

Not reported

Not reported

3

2

Not reported

Not reported

Other clinical adverse events

Not reported

Not reported

Not reported

Not reported

14

23

1

1

Laboratory adverse events

Haematological (neutropenia, thrombocytopenia, anaemia)

5

6

0

0

10

9

Not reported

Not reported

Liver enzyme abnormalities

0

2

0

0

12

12

3

1

Other laboratory adverse events

Not reported

Not reported

0

0

Not reported

Not reported

Not reported

Not reported

Abbreviations: ART: antiretroviral therapy; N: number of participants.

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Table 1. Number of children with adverse events and number of adverse events (of grade 3 or higher) in HIV‐positive children on antiretroviral therapy (ART) and not on ART, by study
Table 2. Optimal information size calculations

Outcome

Assumed risk

Source

Clinically important relative reduction

Sample size required1,2

Active TB

46/366 (13%)

Analysis 1.1

25%

2990

Death

15/366 (4%)

Analysis 1.2

50%

2282

1We based all calculations on: 2‐sided tests, with a ratio of 1:1, power of 0.8, and confidence level of 0.05.
2We performed all calculations using: sealedenvelope.com/power/binary‐superiority

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Table 2. Optimal information size calculations
Comparison 1. Isoniazid prophylaxis versus placebo for HIV‐positive children on antiretroviral therapy (ART)

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Active TB Show forest plot

3

737

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.76 [0.50, 1.14]

2 Death Show forest plot

3

737

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.45 [0.78, 2.72]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 1. Isoniazid prophylaxis versus placebo for HIV‐positive children on antiretroviral therapy (ART)