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Radioiodine treatment for pediactric Grave's disease

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Abstract

This is a protocol for a Cochrane Review (Intervention). The objectives are as follows:

To assess effects of radioiodine treatment in comparison with antithyroid drugs or surgery for pediatric Graves' disease.

Background

Description of the condition
Epidemiology and pathogenesis of pediatric Graves' disease

Graves' disease (GD) is an autoimmune disease caused by thyroid‐stimulating hormone (TSH) receptor antibodies, which stimulate the gland to synthesize and secrete excess amounts of thyroid hormones. GD is characterized by thyrotoxiema, developed as a result of a complex interaction between predisposing genes and environmental triggers. Most children with thyrotoxicosis suffer from GD accounting for 10% to 15% of all childhood thyroid diseases (Zimmerman 1998). Pediatric GD has a peak incidence at 11to 15 years of age. The female to male preponderance is approximately 5:1. Graves' disease can be familial and associated with other autoimmune diseases (Reid 2005). Most pediatric GD patients have a positive family history of some type of autoimmune thyroid disease. Graves' ophthalmopathy (GO) is an organ specific autoimmune process strongly linked to Graves' hyperthyroidism. GO occurs in 33% of patients with pediatric GD; its prevalence is higher in countries with a higher prevalence of smoking among teenagers (Krassas 2005).GO varies in different population studies and is age‐related. Pathogenesis of GO is not yet fully understood.

Clinical manifestations
The classic clinical manifestations of pediatric GD include nervousness, emotional lability, fatigue, weight loss, restless sleep, and rapid heart beat, all of which result in deteriorating school performance. The signs of pediatric GD include the diffuse goiter, tachycardia, exophthalmos and pretibial myoxedema. However, symptoms and signs of pediatric GD are typically insidious in onset and sometimes confusing, even mimicking hypothyroidism (Nordyke 1988).
GO has a variable clinical presentation such as eyelid retraction, proptosis, periorbital edema, chemosis, and disturbances of ocular motility. In some cases, GO may progress to visual loss as a result of exposure to keratopathy or compressive optic neuropathy (Chan 2002). Fortunately, the severity of childhood GO appears to be less than that of adulthood GO, and more likely to remit completely, presumably explained by the lower prevalence of smoking in children. Therefore, most patients do not require specific therapy (Chan 2002; Durairaj 2006; Krassas 2005; Gruters 1999).

Diagnosis
Diagnosis of GD was based on classic clinical manifestations, common clinical signs, elevated free thyroxine (FT4), free tri‐iodothyronine (FT3), suppressed plasma TSH concentration, and positive immunological markers. Laboratory tests including the assessment of serum total or free T4 or T3, and TSH can confirm the presence of hyperthyroidism. TSH receptor antibodies are the most frequently used immunological markers for the diagnosis of Graves' disease (78%) (Escobar 1998). High thyroperioxidase (TPO) and thyroglobulin (Tg) antibody titers are often observed in pediatric GD (Lavard 2000). Nonspecific laboratory findings can occur in Graves' disease, including anemia, granulocytosis, lymphocytosis, hypercalcemia, transaminase elevations, and alkaline phosphatase elevations.

Description of the intervention
Once the diagnosis of pediatric GD is established, therapy should be adopted to control hyperthyroidism to avoid the untoward effects on growth and pubertal development. Three treatment modalities are available for pediatric GD: antithyroid drugs (ATD), surgery and radioiodine (Fisher 1994; LeFranchi 1991). The goal of therapy for pediactric GD is to correct the hypermetabolic state with the fewest side effects and the lowest incidence of hypothyroidism. Up to date, the optimal therapy remains controversial.

Radioiodine ( 131 I)
Radioiodine is a g,b‐emitting radionuclide with a physical half‐life of 8.1 days, a principal g‐ray of 364 keV, and a principal b‐particle with a maximum energy of 0.61 Mev, an average energy of 0.192 Mev, and a range in tissue of 0.8 mm. At present, radioiodine is the most commonly used treatment for adult GD.
Radioiodine was introduced for the treatment of GD more than 50 years ago (Chapman 1983). While a number of studies have indicated a dose‐response effect, no clear threshold dose has been identified. Early but not late hypothyroidism is possibly associated with radioiodine dosage. A gland‐specific dosage (50 to 200 mCi or 1.85 to 7.4 MBq radioiodine per gram of thyroid tissue) based on the estimated weight of the gland and the 24‐hour uptake may allow a lower dosage and result in a lower incidence of hypothyroidism but may have a higher recurrence rate (Harper 2003). A gland‐specific dosage is mostly used in China. A higher‐dose ablative therapy (13.8 to 15.6 mCi) is an effective therapy in nearly all children with Graves' disease (Nebesio 2002). Early hypothyroidism may result from this regimen and the children have to be closely monitored. Two studies (Weetman 2000; Allahabadia 2001) have shown that the eventual incidence of hypothyroidism is comparable regardless of the radioactive iodine dosage. Therefore, the responses to treatment as related to the iodine‐131 dose in children are not well‐defined.

Adverse effects of the intervention
Historically, radioiodine was associated with a considerable increase in the risk of thyroid cancer in young children exposed to external radiation. Radioiodine has traditionally been used if major side effects were experienced or if the hyperthyroidism did not remit after several years of ATD treatment. There is now a tendency to advocate radioiodine as a choice of treatment also for children (Clark 1995; Franklyn 1992; Leu 2003). Radioiodine has been increasingly used in some Canadian centres as a first‐line therapy for adolescents and for patients who have trouble adhering to the medication schedule (Ward 1999). In a recent review on the experience in 587 American children aged between one and 18 years, no serious complications have been observed during a follow‐up period of up to 23 years (Clark 1995). Therefore, radioiodine is considered as a safe and effective therapy for pediatric GD.
Side effects of radioiodine include vomiting and radiation‐induced thyroiditis as well as the development of thyroid nodules (Clark 1995). In the pooled analysis of seven studies, the risk of developing thyroid carcinoma after irradiation below the age of five years is twofold higher than in children treated with irradiation between five and nine years of age, and fivefold higher than in children treated between 10 and 14 years of age (Ron 1995). However, no increase in the overall cancer mortality after 131I‐therapy compared with standard US mortality rates was observed over a mean follow‐up period of 21 years (Ron 1998). In general, no significant increased risk of thyroid malignancy has been reported so far after radioiodine treatment for approximately 1000 children with Graves' disease (Clark 1995; Freitas 1979; Hamburger 1985; Hayek 1970; Kogut 1965; Safa 1975; Starr 1969; Zimmerman 1998). The duration of follow‐up in these studies ranged from less than five years to 15 years, with only some children followed up for more than 20 years. Studies of the offspring born to patients who received radioiodine for childhood GD revealed a 3% incidence of congenital anomalies, similar to the general population. Furthermore, there are no reports of an increase in miscarriage rate or fetal loss because of genetic abnormalities (Holm 1991). Permanent hypothyroidism occurred in 60 to 70% of the patients, leading to the same long‐term problems after subtotal or total thyroidectomy. The appearance or worsening of ophthalmopathy following radioiodine remains controversial. There is very limited experience with the radioiodine treatment of very young children (Gruters 1998).

Other interventions to treat pediatric Graves' diesease
Antithyroid drugs (ATD)
Methimazole and propylthiouracil (PTU) are mostly used agents available for GD. The starting dosage of methimazole is 15 to 30 mg per day (Cooper 2005). Methimazole is adjusted according to clinical status and monthly free T4 or free T3 levels, toward an eventual euthyroid (i.e., normal T3 and T4 levels) maintenance dosage of 5 to 10 mg per day (Ginsberg 2003; Woeber 2000). The starting dosage of PTU is 100 mg three times per day with a maintenance dosage of 100 to 200 mg daily (Cooper 2005). In most cases, a dosage of 80 to 320 mg per day is sufficient. Beta‐blockers are mostly used as treatment adjuncts to offer prompt relief of the adrenergic symptoms of hyperthyroidism such as tremor, palpitations, heat intolerance, and nervousness. Calcium channel blockers such as diltiazem can be used to reduce heart rate in patients who cannot tolerate beta‐blockers (Ginsberg 2003). There is no clear evidence in favour of giving thyroid hormone supplementation following the initial treatment of GD with antithyroid medication (Abraham 2005; Ward 1999).
Effects of dose, regimen and duration of ATD therapy for Graves' disease on the recurrence of hyperthyroidism, course of ophthalmopathy and adverse effects have been widely studied. The comparison of a block‐replace regimen (where a higher dose of antithyroid drug is used with a replacement dose of thyroid hormone) with a titration regimen (where the antithyroid drug dose is reduced by titrating treatment against thyroid hormone concentrations) suggested that there was no significant difference between the regimens for relapse of hyperthyroidism (relative risk (RR) 0.93, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.84 to 1.03) (Allannic 1990; Allannic 1991; Garcia‐Mayor 1992; Maugendre 1999; Weetman 1994). Remission rates vary with the length of treatment, but rates of 60 percent have been reported when therapy is continued for two years (Harper 2003). A longer period of methimazole treatment was needed to normalize serum thyroid hormone levels and to restore normal thyroidal triiodothyronine suppressibility in aged patients (Yamada 1994). A systemic review by Abraham indicated that the titration regimen appeared as effective as the block‐replace regimen, and was associated with fewer adverse effects. Limited evidence suggested 12 to 18 months of antithyroid drug treatment should be used (Abraham 2005).
Many pediatric endocrinologists currently recommend ATDs as a first‐line treatment (Bergman 2001) because ATD treatment frequently results in subsequent remission (Cheetham 1998). However, only 20% to 30% of pubertal and 15% of prepubertal individuals treated with ATD as the first‐line treatment will experience long‐term remission (Hamburger 1985; Lazar 2000; Rivkees 1998; Shulman 1997). Additionally, ATD medications are associated with side effects and a high relapse rate. Serious and fatal side effects of ATDs like liver toxicity leading to organ failure have been observed in single cases (Williams 1997). ATD medications also need frequent monitoring of blood cells with a high risk for recurrence of GD due to poor compliance during adolescence. Long‐term quality of life assessments as well as follow‐up investigations after ATD treatment of pediatric GD are seem to be lacking completely.
Relapse of GD after stopping treatment was ascertained either by hyperthyroxinema with re‐appearance of overt or persistent (more than two months) thyrotoxic symptoms such as palpitation, excessive sweating, tremor, fatigue, weight loss, or by worsening biochemical thyrotoxicosis at two consecutive visits regardless of symptoms. When necessary, the possibility of superimposing painless thyroiditis was ruled out by perchenatate uptake test (Misaki 2003).

Thyroidectomy
Surgery still plays an important role when patients cannot tolerate ATD therapy, when medical treatment is rejected by patients, or when surgery is deemed the fastest and safest route in managing the patient (Schussler‐F. 2006). A subtotal or total thyroidectomy remains controversial. A subtotal thyroidectomy is performed most commonly. Contrarily, given that subtotal thyroidectomy provides an unpredictable outcome and that the risk of permanent complications is not greater than with total thyroidectomy, total thyroidectomy is the preferred option for the surgical management of Graves' disease (Barakate 2002). In Europe, subtotal or total thyroidectomy is the therapy of choice after recurrence during or after ATD treatment in pediatric GD (Cheetham 1998). Surgery also has been suggested as the primary choice of treatment. However, thyroidectomy has the disadvantages of hospitalization, surgical complications such as nerve palsy, postoperative hypoparathyroidism and postoperative hypothyroidism. Still thyroidectomy requires careful medical preparation and experienced anesthesiologists and surgeons to avoid operative morbidity. Postoperative recurrence of hyperthyroidism is observed in a significant number of patients (2 to 16%) (Witte 1997). Postoperative hypothyroidism, which occurs in up to 80% of the patients followed postoperatively, results in the need of lifelong thyroid hormone replacement therapy and lifelong monitoring of thyroid function.

Why it is important to do this review
In summary, strategies for pediatric GD vary from country to country. In Europe, ATD remains the initial treatment of choice in almost all the medical centers, with surgery being used mainly to deal with antithyroid failures, while radioiodine is preferred by only a small percentage of physicians for this group of patients (Perrild 1994). On the other hand, radioiodine therapy for pediatric GD has strong advocates in the USA, who emphasize the safety, simplicity and economic advantages of radioiodine ablation therapy , which should be considered more commonly in children (Halnan 1985). Recently, also in the UK and the Netherlands radioiodine treatment has been recommended as a primary choice or second‐line therapy for pediatric GD (Franklyn 1992).
There are currently no systematic reviews on studies of radioiodine treatment for pediatric GD.

Objectives

To assess effects of radioiodine treatment in comparison with antithyroid drugs or surgery for pediatric Graves' disease.

Methods

Criteria for considering studies for this review

Types of studies

We will consider randomised controlled and controlled clinical trials. We will also include long‐term studies such as prospective cohort studies. We will only include trials with a duration of follow‐up of at least one year.

Types of participants

Children and adolescents (age less than 18 years) will be included.

Types of interventions

Trials assessing effects of radioiodine treatment for pediatric Graves' will be included regardless of the dose of radioiodine and the times of treatment. The control interventions will be antithyroid drugs and surgery.

The following comparisons will be acceptable for evaluation:

  • radioiodine therapy versus treatment with antithyroid drugs;

  • radioiodine therapy versus surgery.

Types of outcome measures

Primary outcomes

  • rate of euthyroidism and treatment‐induced hypothyroidism for pediatric Graves' disease, at least one year after withdrawal of medication;

  • adverse events (e.g. the appearance or worsening of ophthalmopathy following iodine‐131, irradiation‐induced genetic defects, infertility, carcinogenesis, leukemogenesis, permanent hypoparathyroidism, vocal cord paralysis, agranulocytosis, drug rash, hepatitis, vasculitis);

  • all‐cause mortality.

Secondary outcomes

  • costs of different treatment modalities for pediatric Graves' disease;

  • healthy related quality of life (ideally meaured using a validated instrument);

  • relapse of hyperthyroidism after remaining euthyroid for more than one year without any medication.

Covariates, effect modifiers and confounders

  • compliance;

  • co‐morbidities;

  • co‐medications;

  • age.

Timing of outcome measurement
Outcomes will be assessed in the medium (one to five years) term.

Search methods for identification of studies

Electronic searches
We will use the following sources for the identification of trials:

  • The Cochrane Library (latest issue);

  • MEDLINE ‐ OVID interface (until recent);

  • EMBASE ‐ OVID interface (until recent);

  • The Chinese Medical Database (until recent).

We will also search databases of ongoing trials: Current Controlled Trials (www.controlled‐trials.com ‐ with links to other databases of ongoing trials).
The described search strategy (see for a detailed search strategy under 'Additional tables' ‐ Table 1) will be used for MEDLINE. For use with EMBASE and The Cochrane Library this strategy will be slightly adapted.

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Table 1. Search strategy

Electronic searches

Unless otherwise stated, search terms are free text terms; MeSH = Medical subject heading (Medline medical index term); exp = exploded MeSH; the dollar sign ($) stands for any character(s); the question mark (?) = to substitute for one or no characters; tw = text word; pt = publication type; sh = MeSH; adj = adjacent.

1) exp goiter/
(2) exp hyperthyroidism/
(3) basedow diseas$.tw.
(4) graves diseas$.tw.
(5) hyperthyroidis$.tw.
(6) goiter$.tw.
(7) thyr?otoxicos$.tw.
(8) or/1‐7

(9) exp radiotherapy/
(10) exp iodine radioisotopes/
(11) exp antithyroid agents/
(12) exp surgery/
(13) (antithyroid adj10 (drug$ or agent$ or therap$ or treatment$)).tw.
(14) (radioactiv$ iodin$ or radioiodin$).tw.
(15) surger$.tw.
(16) iodine?131.tw.
(17) iodin$ 131.tw.
(18) thyreoglobulin$.tw.
(19) or/9‐18

(20) randomized controlled trial.pt.
(21) controlled clinical trial.pt.
(22) randomized controlled trials.sh.
(23) random allocation.sh.
(24) double‐blind method.sh.
(25) single‐blind method.sh.
(26) or/20‐25
(27) limit 26 to animal
(28) limit 26 to human
(29) 27 not 28
(30) 26 not 29

(31) clinical trial.pt.
(32) exp clinical trials/
(33) (clinic$ adj25 trial$).tw.
(34) ((singl$ or doubl$ or trebl$ or tripl$) adj (mask$ or blind$)).tw.
(35) placebos.sh.
(36) placebo$.tw.
(37) random$.tw.
(38) research design.sh.
(39) (latin adj square).tw.
(40) or/ 31‐39
(41) limit 40 to animal
(42) limit 40 to human
(43) 41 not 42
(44) 40 not 43

(45) comparative study.sh.
(46) exp evaluation studies/
(47) follow‐up studies.sh.
(48) prospective studies.sh.
(49) (control$or prospectiv$ or volunteer$).tw.
(49) (control$ r5. #1 or prospectiv$ #2 or volunteer$).tw.
(50) cross‐over studies.sh.
(51) or/45‐50
(52) limit 51 to animal
(53) limit 51 to human
(54) 52 not 53
(55) 51 not 54

(56) 30 or 44 or 55
(57) 8 and 19 and 56
(58) limit 57 to humans
(59) limit 58 to all child <0 to 18 years>

(60) exp Cohort Studies/
(61) 8 and 19 and 60

(62) limit 61 to humans
(63) limit 62 to "all child (0 to 18 years)"
(64) 59 or 63

Reference lists
We will try to identify additional studies by searching the reference lists of included trials.

Handsearching
We will handsearch the following journals:

  • Chinese Journal of Isotope(1989 to January 2005);

  • Radiological Pratice (1989 to May 2005);

  • Chinese Journal of Endocrinology and Metabolism (1984 to May 2005);

  • Chinese clinical trials and research database.

Additional searches
We will search the following web sites' references: International Council for the Control of Pediatric Graves' Disease, Thyroid Disease Manager, and World Health Organisation. In addition, we will contact trialists and other experts in the field for overlooked, unpublished or ongoing trials.

Additional key words of relevance may be identified during any of the electronic or other searches. If this is the case, electronic search strategies will be modified to incorporate these terms. Studies published in any language will be included.

Data collection and analysis

Selection of studies
The title, abstract and keywords of every record retrieved will be scanned independently by two reviewers (MC and KR) to determine which studies require further assessment. Interrater
agreement for study selection will be measured using the kappa statistic (Cohen 1960). The full article will be retrieved when the information given in the titles, abstracts and keywords suggests
that:
(1) the study used radioiodine or antithyroid drugs or sugery as interventions;
(2) the study had a prospective design and a control group.
If there is any doubt regarding these criteria from scanning the titles and abstracts, the full article will be retrieved for clarification. Disagreement will be resolved by discussion or with a third party (XW or LJ) or the Review Group Editorial Base if necessary.

Data extraction and management
Data will be extracted by KA and XJ independently and all disagreements resolved by consensus or a third party, if necessary, using standard data extraction templates (for details see 'Characteristics of included studies' and Table 2; Table 3; Table 4; Table 5; Table 6 under 'Additional Tables' ):
(1) General information: published/unpublished, title, authors, reference or source, contact address, country, urban or rural etc., language of publication, year of publication, duplicate publications, sponsor, setting;
(2) Trial characteristics: design, duration of follow up, method, allocation concealment, blinding (patients, people administering treatment, outcome assessors).
(3) Intervention(s): Treatments used (dose, times);
(4) Participants: Sample size by study group, sampling (random or convenience), exclusion criteria, total number and number in comparison groups, sex, age, baseline characteristics, diagnostic criteria, similarity of groups at baseline (including any co‐morbidity), assessment of compliance, details of withdrawals by study group, subgroups;
(5) Outcome measures: outcomes specified above, any other outcomes assessed, other events, length of follow‐up, quality of reporting of outcomes.

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Table 2. Study quality (included studies)

Characteristic

Study a

Study b

Study c

Study d

Study e

Intervention 1 (I1) / intervention 2 (I2) / control 1 (C1)

I1: Pioglitazone
I2: Rosiglitazone
C1: Placebo

Randomised controlled clinical trial (RCT)

Non‐inferiority / equivalence trial

Controlled clinical trial

Design: parallel, crossover, factorial RCT

Design: crossover study

Design: factorial study

Crossover study: wash‐out phase

Crossover study: carryover effect tested

Crossover study: period effect tested

Method of randomisation

Unit of randomisation (individuals, cluster ‐ specify)

Randomisation stratified for centres

Randomisation ratio

Concealment of allocation

Stated blinding (open; single, double, triple blind)

Actual blinding: participant

Actual blinding: caregiver / treatment administrator

Actual blinding: outcome assessor

Actual blinding: others

Blinding checked: participant

Blinding checked: caregiver / treatment administrator

Primary endpoint defined

[n] of primary endpoint(s)

[n] of secondary endpoints

Total [n] of endpoints

Prior publication of study design

Outcomes of prior / current publication identical

Power calculation

[n] participants per group calculated

Non‐inferiority trial: interval for equivalence specified

Intention‐to‐treat analysis (ITT)

Per‐protocol‐analysis

ITT defined

Analysis stratified for centres

Missing data: last‐observation‐carried‐forward (LOCF)

Missing data: other methods

LOCF defined

[n] of screened participants (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[n] of randomised participants (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

I1: 400
I2: 350
C1: 700
Total: 1450

[n] of participants finishing the study (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[n] of patients analysed (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

Description of discontinuing participants

Drop‐outs (reasons explained)

Withdrawals (reasons explained)

Losses‐to‐follow‐up (reasons explained)

[n] of participants who discontinued (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[%] discontinuation rate (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

Discontinuation rate similar between groups

[%] crossover between groups

Differences [n] calculated to analysed patients

[n] of subgroups

Subgroups: pre‐defined

Subgroups: post‐hoc

[n] of statistical comparisons

Adjustment for multiple outcomes / repeated measurements

Baseline characteristics: clinically relevant differences

Treatment identical (apart from intervention)

Timing of outcomes' measurement comparable between groups

Compliance measured

Other important covariates measured (specify)

Co‐morbidities measured

Co‐medications measured

Specific doubts about study quality

Funding: commercial

Funding: non‐commercial

Publication status: peer review journal

Publication status: journal supplement

Publication status: abstract

Publication status: other

Notes

Symbols & abbreviations: Y = yes; N = no; ? = unclear I = intervention; C = control

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Table 3. Baseline characteristics (included studies)

Characteristic

Study a

Study b

Study c

Study d

Study e

Intervention 1 (I1) / intervention 2 (I2) / control 1 (C1)

I1: Pioglitazone
I2: Rosiglitazone
C1: Placebo

[n] (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

Sex [n,%] (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

Age [years] mean (SD) (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

I1: 43 (12)
I2: 41 (11)
C: 45 (12)
Total: 42 (10)

Ethnic groups [%] (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

Duration of disease [years] mean (SD) (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

Body mass index [kg/m2] mean (SD) (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

Pharmaco‐naive patients [n,%] (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

Co‐morbidity [%] (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

Co‐medication [%] (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

HbA1c [%] mean (SD) (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

Notes

Symbols & abbreviations: Y = yes; N = no; ? = unclear
I = intervention; C = control

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Table 4. Adverse events (included studies)

Characteristic

Study a

Study b

Study c

Study d

Study e

Intervention 1 (I1) / intervention 2 (I2) / control 1 (C1)

I1: Pioglitazone
I2: Rosiglitazone
C1: Placebo

[n] of participants who died

[n] adverse events (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[%] adverse events (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[n] serious adverse events (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[%] serious adverse events (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[n] drop‐outs due to adverse events (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

I1: 3/40
I2: 5/30
C1: 6/50
Total: 14/120

[%] drop‐outs due to adverse events (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[n] hospitalisation (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[%] hospitalisation (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[n] out‐patient treatment (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[%] out‐patient treatment (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[n] hypoglycaemic episodes (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[%] hypoglycaemic episodes (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[n] severe hypoglycaemic episodes (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[%] severe hypoglycaemic episodes (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[n] nocturnal hypoglycaemic episodes (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[%] nocturnal hypoglycaemic episodes (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[n] with symptoms (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[%] with symptoms (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

Symbols & abbreviations: Y = yes; N = no; ? = unclear I = intervention; C = control

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Table 5. Primary outcome data (included studies)

Characteristic

Study a

Study b

Study c

Study d

Study e

Intervention 1 (I1) / intervention 2 (I2) / control 1 (C1)

I1: Pioglitazone
I2: Rosiglitazone
C1: Placebo

All‐cause mortality: [n] of participants who died
(I1/ I2 / C1 / total)"

I1: 2/200
I2: 1/300
C1: 2/500
Total: 5/1000

Notes

Symbols & abbreviations: Y = yes; N = no; ? = unclear I = intervention; C = control

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Table 6. Secondary outcome data (included studies)

Characteristic

Study a

Study b

Study c

Study d

Study e

Intervention 1 (I1) / intervention 2 (I2) / control 1 (C1)

I1: Pioglitazone
I2: Rosiglitazone
C1: Placebo

Weight change [kg] at 12 weeks (mean/SD)
(I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

I1: ‐2.5 (1.2)
I2: ‐1.3 (0.8)
C1: +0.3 (0.4)
Total: ‐1.2 (0.9)

Notes

Symbols & abbreviations: Y = yes; N = no; ? = unclear; I = intervention; C = control

Assessment of methodological quality of included studies
We will explore the influence of individual quality criteria in a sensitivity analysis (see under 'sensitivity analyses'). Possible disagreement will be resolved by consensus, or with consultation of a third reviewer in case of disagreement. We will explore the influence of individual quality criteria in a sensitivity analysis (see under 'sensitivity analyses'). Interrater agreement for key quality indicators will be calculated using the kappa statistic (Cohen 1960). In cases of disagreement, the rest of the group will be consulted and a judgement will be made based on consensus.

Measures of treatment effect
Dichotomous data
For dichotomous data (the cure rate at the end of follow‐up or numbers experiencing adverse effects), the number of participants experiencing the event and the total number of participants in each arm of the trial will be extracted.

Dealing with missing data
Relevant missing data will be obtained from authors, if feasible. Evaluation of important numerical data such as screened, eligible and randomised patients as well as intention‐to‐treat and per‐protocol population will be carefully performed. Drop‐outs, misses to follow‐up and withdrawn study participants will be investigated. Issues of last‐observation‐carried‐forward (LOCF) will be critically appraised and compared to specification of primary outcome parameters and power calculation.

Dealing with duplicate publications
In the case of duplicate publications and companion papers of a primary study, we will try to maximise yield of information by simultaneous evaluation of all available data. In cases of doubt, the original publication (usually the oldest version) will obtain priority.

Assessment of heterogeneity
In the event of substantial clinical or methodological or statistical heterogeneity, study results will not be combined in meta‐analysis. Heterogeneity will be identified by visual inspection of the forest plots, by using a standard χ2‐test and a significance level of α = 0.1, in view of the low power of such tests. Quantification of heterogeneity will also be examined with I2, ranging from 0‐100% including its 95% confidence interval (Higgins 2002). I2 demonstrates the percentage of total variation across studies due to heterogeneity and will be used to judge the consistency of evidence. I2 values of 50% and more indicate a substantial level of heterogeneity (Higgins 2003). When heterogeneity is found, we will attempt to determine potential reasons for it by examining individual study characteristics and those of subgroups of the main body of evidence.

Assessment of reporting biases
Funnel plots will be used in an exploratory data analysis to assess for the potential existence of small study bias.

Data synthesis (meta‐analysis)
Data will be included in a meta‐analysis if they are of sufficient quality and sufficiently similar. Only randomised controlled trials will be included in a meta‐analysis. We expect both event (dichotomous) data and continuous data. Comparisons will be made between radioiodine treatment and the other two treatments. An adapted QUOROM (quality of reporting of meta‐analyses) flow‐chart of study selection will be attached (Moher 1999).
Meta‐analyses will be undertaken only on studies of similar comparisons reporting the same outcome measures. The results will be reported as Peto's odds ratios with corresponding 95% confidence interval for dichotomous data using the Peto fixed‐effect method. For continuous data weighted mean differences will be computed for outcomes measured on the same scale, and standardized mean differences will be calculated when the same outcome is measured on different scales (for example quality of life).

Subgroup analysis
Subgroup analyses will only be performed if one of the primary outcome parameters demonstrates statistically significant differences between treatment groups. The following subgroup analyses are planned:

  • different doses of radioiodine;

  • different doses of and treatment durations of anti‐thyroid drugs;

  • surgery before radioiodine treatment;

  • different age groups according to data;

  • sex.

Sensitivity analysis
We will perform sensitivity analyses in order to explore the influence of the following factors on effect size:

  • repeating the analysis excluding unpublished studies;

  • repeating the analysis taking account of study quality, as specified above;

  • repeating the analysis excluding any very long or large studies to establish how much they dominate the results;

  • repeating the analysis excluding studies using the following filters: diagnostic criteria, language of publication, source of funding (industry versus other), country.

The robustness of the results will also be tested by repeating the analysis using different measures of effects size (risk difference, odds ratio etc.) and different statistic models (fixed and random
effects models).

Assessment of the appropriateness of statistical analysis
One author, a senior statistician (Liu GJ), will assess all the eligible studies for the appropriateness of their analyses. The results of these assessments will be compared during a consensus meeting.

Table 1. Search strategy

Electronic searches

Unless otherwise stated, search terms are free text terms; MeSH = Medical subject heading (Medline medical index term); exp = exploded MeSH; the dollar sign ($) stands for any character(s); the question mark (?) = to substitute for one or no characters; tw = text word; pt = publication type; sh = MeSH; adj = adjacent.

1) exp goiter/
(2) exp hyperthyroidism/
(3) basedow diseas$.tw.
(4) graves diseas$.tw.
(5) hyperthyroidis$.tw.
(6) goiter$.tw.
(7) thyr?otoxicos$.tw.
(8) or/1‐7

(9) exp radiotherapy/
(10) exp iodine radioisotopes/
(11) exp antithyroid agents/
(12) exp surgery/
(13) (antithyroid adj10 (drug$ or agent$ or therap$ or treatment$)).tw.
(14) (radioactiv$ iodin$ or radioiodin$).tw.
(15) surger$.tw.
(16) iodine?131.tw.
(17) iodin$ 131.tw.
(18) thyreoglobulin$.tw.
(19) or/9‐18

(20) randomized controlled trial.pt.
(21) controlled clinical trial.pt.
(22) randomized controlled trials.sh.
(23) random allocation.sh.
(24) double‐blind method.sh.
(25) single‐blind method.sh.
(26) or/20‐25
(27) limit 26 to animal
(28) limit 26 to human
(29) 27 not 28
(30) 26 not 29

(31) clinical trial.pt.
(32) exp clinical trials/
(33) (clinic$ adj25 trial$).tw.
(34) ((singl$ or doubl$ or trebl$ or tripl$) adj (mask$ or blind$)).tw.
(35) placebos.sh.
(36) placebo$.tw.
(37) random$.tw.
(38) research design.sh.
(39) (latin adj square).tw.
(40) or/ 31‐39
(41) limit 40 to animal
(42) limit 40 to human
(43) 41 not 42
(44) 40 not 43

(45) comparative study.sh.
(46) exp evaluation studies/
(47) follow‐up studies.sh.
(48) prospective studies.sh.
(49) (control$or prospectiv$ or volunteer$).tw.
(49) (control$ r5. #1 or prospectiv$ #2 or volunteer$).tw.
(50) cross‐over studies.sh.
(51) or/45‐50
(52) limit 51 to animal
(53) limit 51 to human
(54) 52 not 53
(55) 51 not 54

(56) 30 or 44 or 55
(57) 8 and 19 and 56
(58) limit 57 to humans
(59) limit 58 to all child <0 to 18 years>

(60) exp Cohort Studies/
(61) 8 and 19 and 60

(62) limit 61 to humans
(63) limit 62 to "all child (0 to 18 years)"
(64) 59 or 63

Figuras y tablas -
Table 1. Search strategy
Table 2. Study quality (included studies)

Characteristic

Study a

Study b

Study c

Study d

Study e

Intervention 1 (I1) / intervention 2 (I2) / control 1 (C1)

I1: Pioglitazone
I2: Rosiglitazone
C1: Placebo

Randomised controlled clinical trial (RCT)

Non‐inferiority / equivalence trial

Controlled clinical trial

Design: parallel, crossover, factorial RCT

Design: crossover study

Design: factorial study

Crossover study: wash‐out phase

Crossover study: carryover effect tested

Crossover study: period effect tested

Method of randomisation

Unit of randomisation (individuals, cluster ‐ specify)

Randomisation stratified for centres

Randomisation ratio

Concealment of allocation

Stated blinding (open; single, double, triple blind)

Actual blinding: participant

Actual blinding: caregiver / treatment administrator

Actual blinding: outcome assessor

Actual blinding: others

Blinding checked: participant

Blinding checked: caregiver / treatment administrator

Primary endpoint defined

[n] of primary endpoint(s)

[n] of secondary endpoints

Total [n] of endpoints

Prior publication of study design

Outcomes of prior / current publication identical

Power calculation

[n] participants per group calculated

Non‐inferiority trial: interval for equivalence specified

Intention‐to‐treat analysis (ITT)

Per‐protocol‐analysis

ITT defined

Analysis stratified for centres

Missing data: last‐observation‐carried‐forward (LOCF)

Missing data: other methods

LOCF defined

[n] of screened participants (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[n] of randomised participants (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

I1: 400
I2: 350
C1: 700
Total: 1450

[n] of participants finishing the study (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[n] of patients analysed (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

Description of discontinuing participants

Drop‐outs (reasons explained)

Withdrawals (reasons explained)

Losses‐to‐follow‐up (reasons explained)

[n] of participants who discontinued (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[%] discontinuation rate (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

Discontinuation rate similar between groups

[%] crossover between groups

Differences [n] calculated to analysed patients

[n] of subgroups

Subgroups: pre‐defined

Subgroups: post‐hoc

[n] of statistical comparisons

Adjustment for multiple outcomes / repeated measurements

Baseline characteristics: clinically relevant differences

Treatment identical (apart from intervention)

Timing of outcomes' measurement comparable between groups

Compliance measured

Other important covariates measured (specify)

Co‐morbidities measured

Co‐medications measured

Specific doubts about study quality

Funding: commercial

Funding: non‐commercial

Publication status: peer review journal

Publication status: journal supplement

Publication status: abstract

Publication status: other

Notes

Symbols & abbreviations: Y = yes; N = no; ? = unclear I = intervention; C = control

Figuras y tablas -
Table 2. Study quality (included studies)
Table 3. Baseline characteristics (included studies)

Characteristic

Study a

Study b

Study c

Study d

Study e

Intervention 1 (I1) / intervention 2 (I2) / control 1 (C1)

I1: Pioglitazone
I2: Rosiglitazone
C1: Placebo

[n] (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

Sex [n,%] (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

Age [years] mean (SD) (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

I1: 43 (12)
I2: 41 (11)
C: 45 (12)
Total: 42 (10)

Ethnic groups [%] (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

Duration of disease [years] mean (SD) (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

Body mass index [kg/m2] mean (SD) (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

Pharmaco‐naive patients [n,%] (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

Co‐morbidity [%] (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

Co‐medication [%] (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

HbA1c [%] mean (SD) (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

Notes

Symbols & abbreviations: Y = yes; N = no; ? = unclear
I = intervention; C = control

Figuras y tablas -
Table 3. Baseline characteristics (included studies)
Table 4. Adverse events (included studies)

Characteristic

Study a

Study b

Study c

Study d

Study e

Intervention 1 (I1) / intervention 2 (I2) / control 1 (C1)

I1: Pioglitazone
I2: Rosiglitazone
C1: Placebo

[n] of participants who died

[n] adverse events (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[%] adverse events (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[n] serious adverse events (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[%] serious adverse events (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[n] drop‐outs due to adverse events (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

I1: 3/40
I2: 5/30
C1: 6/50
Total: 14/120

[%] drop‐outs due to adverse events (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[n] hospitalisation (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[%] hospitalisation (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[n] out‐patient treatment (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[%] out‐patient treatment (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[n] hypoglycaemic episodes (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[%] hypoglycaemic episodes (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[n] severe hypoglycaemic episodes (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[%] severe hypoglycaemic episodes (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[n] nocturnal hypoglycaemic episodes (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[%] nocturnal hypoglycaemic episodes (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[n] with symptoms (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

[%] with symptoms (I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

Symbols & abbreviations: Y = yes; N = no; ? = unclear I = intervention; C = control

Figuras y tablas -
Table 4. Adverse events (included studies)
Table 5. Primary outcome data (included studies)

Characteristic

Study a

Study b

Study c

Study d

Study e

Intervention 1 (I1) / intervention 2 (I2) / control 1 (C1)

I1: Pioglitazone
I2: Rosiglitazone
C1: Placebo

All‐cause mortality: [n] of participants who died
(I1/ I2 / C1 / total)"

I1: 2/200
I2: 1/300
C1: 2/500
Total: 5/1000

Notes

Symbols & abbreviations: Y = yes; N = no; ? = unclear I = intervention; C = control

Figuras y tablas -
Table 5. Primary outcome data (included studies)
Table 6. Secondary outcome data (included studies)

Characteristic

Study a

Study b

Study c

Study d

Study e

Intervention 1 (I1) / intervention 2 (I2) / control 1 (C1)

I1: Pioglitazone
I2: Rosiglitazone
C1: Placebo

Weight change [kg] at 12 weeks (mean/SD)
(I1/ I2 / C1 / total)

I1: ‐2.5 (1.2)
I2: ‐1.3 (0.8)
C1: +0.3 (0.4)
Total: ‐1.2 (0.9)

Notes

Symbols & abbreviations: Y = yes; N = no; ? = unclear; I = intervention; C = control

Figuras y tablas -
Table 6. Secondary outcome data (included studies)