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Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews

Clomifeno y otros antiestrógenos para la inducción de la ovulación en el síndrome de ovarios poliquísticos

Información

DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD002249.pub5Copiar DOI
Base de datos:
  1. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews
Versión publicada:
  1. 15 diciembre 2016see what's new
Tipo:
  1. Intervention
Etapa:
  1. Review
Grupo Editorial Cochrane:
  1. Grupo Cochrane de Ginecología y fertilidad

Copyright:
  1. Copyright © 2017 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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Autores

  • Julie Brown

    Correspondencia a: Liggins Institute, The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand

    [email protected]

    Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand

  • Cindy Farquhar

    Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand

Contributions of authors

Julie Brown: wrote the updated version of the review, including identification of new trials, data extraction, and analysis.

Cindy Farquhar: initiated and conceptualised the protocol, commented on drafts of the original and updated review, and assisted in the identification of new trials and data extraction for the review update.

Sources of support

Internal sources

  • University of Auckland, New Zealand.

    Provided salary support for Julie Brown to update this review

External sources

  • None, Other.

Declarations of interest

Julie Brown: None known.

Cindy Farquhar is a director/shareholder of a gynaecology clinic and undertakes private practice within those premises.

Acknowledgements

The authors of the 2016 update thank Drs James Beck, Clare Boothroyd, J Collins, P Vandekerckhove and Edward Hughes for their contributions to previous versions of the review.

Version history

Published

Title

Stage

Authors

Version

2016 Dec 15

Clomiphene and other antioestrogens for ovulation induction in polycystic ovarian syndrome

Review

Julie Brown, Cindy Farquhar

https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD002249.pub5

2009 Oct 07

Clomiphene and anti‐oestrogens for ovulation induction in PCOS

Review

Julie Brown, Cindy Farquhar, James Beck, Clare Boothroyd, Edward Hughes

https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD002249.pub4

2009 Jul 08

Oral anti‐oestrogens and medical adjuncts for subfertility associated with anovulation

Review

Julie Brown , Cindy Farquhar, James Beck, Clare Boothroyd, Michelle Proctor, Edward Hughes

https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD002249.pub3

2004 Jul 19

Oral anti‐oestrogens and medical adjuncts for subfertility associated with polycystic ovary syndrome

Protocol

James I Beck, Clare Boothroyd, Cindy M Farquhar

https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD002249.pub2

2000 Jul 24

Oral agents for ovulation induction in subfertility associated with PCOS

Protocol

C Boothroyd, C Farquhar

https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD002249

Differences between protocol and review

In the 2009 review we widened the inclusion criteria of this review from that of the original protocol (women with anovulation attributed to polycystic ovarian syndrome (PCOS)) to include all World Health Organization (WHO) group 2 causes of anovulation, but excluding hyperprolactinaemia. We included trials that were non‐specific but appeared to describe PCOS‐like anovulation (e.g. women with progestin‐induced withdrawal bleeding). Due to the age of many of the trials, particularly for the comparison of clomiphene versus placebo, the most likely cause of anovulation was not fully described. In particular, the currently utilised diagnostic criteria for PCOS were not able to be met. These trials would have been excluded under the criteria of the protocol. We felt that their results were valid and important, and so widened the background and inclusion criteria sections of this review.

In the 2009 review we removed aromatase inhibitor comparisons from this review, as they have been addressed within a separate review (Franik 2014)

In the 2009 review we changed the title from 'Oral anti‐oestrogens and medical adjuncts for subfertility associated with anovulation' to 'Clomiphene and antioestrogens for ovulation induction in polycystic ovarian syndrome'.

In the 2016 update we removed as an outcome 'ovulation rate (per woman), where ovulation was defined as evidence of serum progesterone in the luteal range for the reference laboratory or a basal body temperature rise by > 0.4 ºC for 10 days or more as measured by a basal body temperature chart'.

Keywords

MeSH

PICO

Population
Intervention
Comparison
Outcome

El uso y la enseñanza del modelo PICO están muy extendidos en el ámbito de la atención sanitaria basada en la evidencia para formular preguntas y estrategias de búsqueda y para caracterizar estudios o metanálisis clínicos. PICO son las siglas en inglés de cuatro posibles componentes de una pregunta de investigación: paciente, población o problema; intervención; comparación; desenlace (outcome).

Para saber más sobre el uso del modelo PICO, puede consultar el Manual Cochrane.

Study flow diagram for update 2016.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 1

Study flow diagram for update 2016.

Methodological quality summary: review authors' judgements about each methodological quality item for each included study.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 2

Methodological quality summary: review authors' judgements about each methodological quality item for each included study.

Methodological quality graph: review authors' judgements about each methodological quality item presented as percentages across all included studies.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 3

Methodological quality graph: review authors' judgements about each methodological quality item presented as percentages across all included studies.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Antioestrogen versus no treatment or placebo, outcome: 1.1 Clinical pregnancy rate (per woman randomised).
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 4

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Antioestrogen versus no treatment or placebo, outcome: 1.1 Clinical pregnancy rate (per woman randomised).

Forest plot of comparison: 2 Antioestrogen versus antioestrogen, outcome: 2.1 Live birth rate (per woman).
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 5

Forest plot of comparison: 2 Antioestrogen versus antioestrogen, outcome: 2.1 Live birth rate (per woman).

Forest plot of comparison: 2 Antioestrogen versus antioestrogen, outcome: 2.2 Miscarriage rate (per woman).
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 6

Forest plot of comparison: 2 Antioestrogen versus antioestrogen, outcome: 2.2 Miscarriage rate (per woman).

Forest plot of comparison: 3 Antioestrogen versus gonadotropin, outcome: 3.1 Live birth/ongoing pregnancy.
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 7

Forest plot of comparison: 3 Antioestrogen versus gonadotropin, outcome: 3.1 Live birth/ongoing pregnancy.

Forest plot of comparison: 3 Antioestrogen versus gonadotropin, outcome: 3.2 Miscarriage rate (per woman).
Figuras y tablas -
Figure 8

Forest plot of comparison: 3 Antioestrogen versus gonadotropin, outcome: 3.2 Miscarriage rate (per woman).

Comparison 1 Antioestrogen versus no treatment or placebo, Outcome 1 Clinical pregnancy rate (per woman randomised).
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 1.1

Comparison 1 Antioestrogen versus no treatment or placebo, Outcome 1 Clinical pregnancy rate (per woman randomised).

Comparison 2 Antioestrogen versus antioestrogen, Outcome 1 Live birth rate (per woman).
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.1

Comparison 2 Antioestrogen versus antioestrogen, Outcome 1 Live birth rate (per woman).

Comparison 2 Antioestrogen versus antioestrogen, Outcome 2 Miscarriage rate (per woman).
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.2

Comparison 2 Antioestrogen versus antioestrogen, Outcome 2 Miscarriage rate (per woman).

Comparison 2 Antioestrogen versus antioestrogen, Outcome 3 Clinical pregnancy rate (per woman).
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.3

Comparison 2 Antioestrogen versus antioestrogen, Outcome 3 Clinical pregnancy rate (per woman).

Comparison 2 Antioestrogen versus antioestrogen, Outcome 4 Multiple pregnancy.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.4

Comparison 2 Antioestrogen versus antioestrogen, Outcome 4 Multiple pregnancy.

Comparison 2 Antioestrogen versus antioestrogen, Outcome 5 OHSS.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 2.5

Comparison 2 Antioestrogen versus antioestrogen, Outcome 5 OHSS.

Comparison 3 Antioestrogen versus gonadotropin, Outcome 1 Live birth/ongoing pregnancy.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.1

Comparison 3 Antioestrogen versus gonadotropin, Outcome 1 Live birth/ongoing pregnancy.

Comparison 3 Antioestrogen versus gonadotropin, Outcome 2 Miscarriage rate (per woman).
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.2

Comparison 3 Antioestrogen versus gonadotropin, Outcome 2 Miscarriage rate (per woman).

Comparison 3 Antioestrogen versus gonadotropin, Outcome 3 Clinical pregnancy rate (per woman).
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.3

Comparison 3 Antioestrogen versus gonadotropin, Outcome 3 Clinical pregnancy rate (per woman).

Comparison 3 Antioestrogen versus gonadotropin, Outcome 4 Multiple pregnancy.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.4

Comparison 3 Antioestrogen versus gonadotropin, Outcome 4 Multiple pregnancy.

Comparison 3 Antioestrogen versus gonadotropin, Outcome 5 OHSS.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 3.5

Comparison 3 Antioestrogen versus gonadotropin, Outcome 5 OHSS.

Comparison 4 Antioestrogen plus medical adjunct versus antioestrogen alone, Outcome 1 Clomiphene citrate plus ketoconazole versus clomiphene citrate.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.1

Comparison 4 Antioestrogen plus medical adjunct versus antioestrogen alone, Outcome 1 Clomiphene citrate plus ketoconazole versus clomiphene citrate.

Comparison 4 Antioestrogen plus medical adjunct versus antioestrogen alone, Outcome 2 Clomiphene citrate plus bromocriptine versus clomiphene citrate.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.2

Comparison 4 Antioestrogen plus medical adjunct versus antioestrogen alone, Outcome 2 Clomiphene citrate plus bromocriptine versus clomiphene citrate.

Comparison 4 Antioestrogen plus medical adjunct versus antioestrogen alone, Outcome 3 Clomiphene citrate plus dexamethasone versus clomiphene citrate.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.3

Comparison 4 Antioestrogen plus medical adjunct versus antioestrogen alone, Outcome 3 Clomiphene citrate plus dexamethasone versus clomiphene citrate.

Comparison 4 Antioestrogen plus medical adjunct versus antioestrogen alone, Outcome 4 Clomiphene citrate plus combined oral contraceptive versus clomiphene citrate.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.4

Comparison 4 Antioestrogen plus medical adjunct versus antioestrogen alone, Outcome 4 Clomiphene citrate plus combined oral contraceptive versus clomiphene citrate.

Comparison 4 Antioestrogen plus medical adjunct versus antioestrogen alone, Outcome 5 Clomiphene citrate plus hCG versus clomiphene citrate alone.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.5

Comparison 4 Antioestrogen plus medical adjunct versus antioestrogen alone, Outcome 5 Clomiphene citrate plus hCG versus clomiphene citrate alone.

Comparison 4 Antioestrogen plus medical adjunct versus antioestrogen alone, Outcome 6 Clomiphene citrate plus hormone supplementation versus clomiphene citrate alone.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 4.6

Comparison 4 Antioestrogen plus medical adjunct versus antioestrogen alone, Outcome 6 Clomiphene citrate plus hormone supplementation versus clomiphene citrate alone.

Comparison 5 Clomiphene citrate regimens, Outcome 1 Live birth.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 5.1

Comparison 5 Clomiphene citrate regimens, Outcome 1 Live birth.

Comparison 5 Clomiphene citrate regimens, Outcome 2 Miscarriage rate.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 5.2

Comparison 5 Clomiphene citrate regimens, Outcome 2 Miscarriage rate.

Comparison 5 Clomiphene citrate regimens, Outcome 3 Clinical pregnancy.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 5.3

Comparison 5 Clomiphene citrate regimens, Outcome 3 Clinical pregnancy.

Comparison 5 Clomiphene citrate regimens, Outcome 4 Multiple pregnancy.
Figuras y tablas -
Analysis 5.4

Comparison 5 Clomiphene citrate regimens, Outcome 4 Multiple pregnancy.

Summary of findings for the main comparison. Antioestrogen versus placebo

Antioestrogen versus placebo

Patient or population: ovulation induction in polycystic ovarian syndrome

Setting: USA/Canada. 1 trial took place in a department of obstetrics and gynaecology; details of setting for 2 trials not provided.
Intervention: antioestrogen
Comparison: no treatment or placebo

Outcomes

Anticipated absolute effects* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

№ of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Risk with no treatment or placebo

Risk with antioestrogen

Live birth rate ‐ not reported

See comment

See comment

Not estimable

No data for live birth reported for this comparison

Miscarriage rate ‐ not reported

See comment

See comment

Not estimable

No data for miscarriage reported for this comparison

Clinical pregnancy rate

48 per 1000

228 per 1000
(81 to 496)

OR 5.91
(1.77 to 19.68)

133
(3 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW 1 2

Low event rates and small sample size observed in included trials

Multiple pregnancy rate ‐ not reported

See comment

See comment

Not estimable

No data for multiple pregnancy reported for this comparison

Ovarian hyperstimulation syndrome (OHSS) ‐ not reported

See comment

See comment

Not estimable

No data for OHSS reported for this comparison

*The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
CI: confidence interval; OR: odds ratio; RCT: randomised controlled trial

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: We are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect.
Moderate quality: We are moderately confident in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different.
Low quality: Our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect.
Very low quality: We have very little confidence in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect.

1Wide confidence intervals with low event rates and small sample size suggest imprecision ‐ downgraded one level.
2There was insufficient detail for multiple aspects of risk of bias to be able to make a judgement in any of the included studies, none of the studies reported on live birth ‐ downgraded one level.

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings for the main comparison. Antioestrogen versus placebo
Summary of findings 2. Antioestrogen versus antioestrogen

Antioestrogen versus antioestrogen

Patient or population: ovulation induction in polycystic ovarian syndrome

Setting: Egypt, USA/Canada, Iran (2 trials), Italy. Trials conducted in outpatient department, infertility clinic (2 trials), private clinic, and 1 trial did not report setting.
Intervention: antioestrogen
Comparison: antioestrogen

Outcomes

Anticipated absolute effects* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

№ of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Risk with antioestrogen

Risk with antioestrogen

Clomiphene citrate versus tamoxifen ‐ Live birth rate

204 per 1000

241 per 1000
(131 to 402)

OR 1.24
(0.59 to 2.62)

195
(2 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW 1 2

Low event rates and small sample size observed in the included studies

Clomiphene citrate versus tamoxifen ‐ Miscarriage rate

27 per 1000

49 per 1000
(22 to 104)

OR 1.81
(0.80 to 4.12)

653
(4 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW 2 3

Low event rates observed in included studies

Clomiphene citrate versus tamoxifen ‐ Clinical pregnancy rate

221 per 1000

270 per 1000
(207 to 345)

OR 1.30
(0.92 to 1.85)

757
(5 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW 4 5

Clomiphene citrate versus tamoxifen ‐ Multiple pregnancy

4 per 1000

8 per 1000
(1 to 54)

OR 2.34
(0.34 to 16.04)

567
(3 RCTs)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VERY LOW 6 7

Low event rates observed in included studies

Clomiphene citrate versus tamoxifen ‐ ovarian hyperstimulation syndrome (OHSS)

Not pooled

Not pooled

Not estimable

567
(3 studies)

No events of OHSS reported in either intervention or control group in the included studies

Clomiphene citrate plus tamoxifen versus clomiphene citrate ‐ Clinical pregnancy rate

0 per 1000

0 per 1000
(0 to 0)

OR 3.32
(0.12 to 91.60)

20
(1 RCT)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VERY LOW 7 8 9

Very low event rates and very small sample size (n = 20 women) observed in this study

*The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
CI: confidence interval; OR: odds ratio; RCT: randomised controlled trial

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: We are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect.
Moderate quality: We are moderately confident in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different.
Low quality: Our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect.
Very low quality: We have very little confidence in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect.

1Low event rates and small sample size increase the chance of imprecision ‐ downgraded one level.
2Wide confidence intervals crossing the line of no effect and low event rates suggest imprecision ‐ downgraded one level.
3There was insufficient detail to be able to make a judgement regarding randomisation in three of four studies, blinding of researchers/women in two of four studies, and blinding of outcome assessors in three of four studies ‐ downgraded one level.
4I2 statistic was greater than 50% ‐ downgraded one level.
5Insufficient data to be able to make judgements on risk of bias for allocation concealment, random allocation, and blinding ‐ downgraded one level.
6Insufficient data to be able to make judgments on risk of bias for randomisation and blinding ‐ downgraded one level.
7Wide confidence intervals crossing the line of no effect suggesting substantive benefit and substantive harm. Event rates are low, suggesting high risk of imprecision ‐ downgraded one level.
8Evidence is based on data from a single small study (n = 20 women) ‐ downgraded one level.
9Insufficient detail for all aspects of risk of bias to be able to make a judgement. Live birth was not reported ‐ downgraded one level.

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings 2. Antioestrogen versus antioestrogen
Summary of findings 3. Antioestrogen plus medical adjunct versus antioestrogen alone

Antioestrogen plus medical adjunct versus antioestrogen alone

Patient or population: ovulation induction in polycystic ovarian syndrome

Setting: Four studies from Iran, three from USA, two from Egypt, one from Turkey and one from India. Studies conducted in a University clinic, infertility outpatient clinic, Women's hospital clinic, Infertility and Reproductive Health Centre, private infertility clinic, Women's Health Research Institute, Infertiltiy Clinic and Research Clinic; three studies provided no information.
Intervention: antioestrogen plus medical adjunct
Comparison: antioestrogen alone

Comparison

Anticipated absolute effects* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

№ of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Risk with antioestrogen alone

Risk with antioestrogen plus medical adjunct

Clomiphene citrate plus ketoconazole versus clomiphene citrate

Miscarriage rate

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VERY LOW 1 2 3

Low event rates and small sample size in this single study

27 per 1000

8 per 1000
(0 to 164)

OR 0.28
(0.01 to 7.08)

80
(1 RCT)

Clinical pregnancy rate

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VERY LOW 1 2 3

Low event rates and small sample size in this single study

216 per 1000

395 per 1000
(195 to 638)

OR 2.37
(0.88 to 6.40)

80
(1 RCT)

Multiple pregnancy

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VERY LOW 1 2 3

Low event rates and small sample size in this single study

162 per 1000

186 per 1000
(67 to 423)

OR 1.18
(0.37 to 3.78)

80
(1 RCT)

Clomiphene citrate plus bromocriptine versus clomiphene citrate ‐ Clinical pregnancy rate

187 per 1000

191 per 1000
(99 to 337)

OR 1.03
(0.48 to 2.21)

174
(2 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW 2 3

Low event rates and small sample size observed in the included studies

Clomiphene citrate plus dexamethasone versus clomiphene citrate

Clinical pregnancy rate

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VERY LOW 3 5 6

81 per 1000

355 per 1000
(163 to 608)

OR 6.20
(2.20 to 17.48)

434
(4 RCTs)

Multiple pregnancy rate

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW 2 3

Low event rates and small sample size observed in these studies. One study had no events in the intervention or the control group.

0 per 1000

0 per 1000
(0 to 0)

OR 7.71
(0.38 to 155.64)

144
(2 RCTs)

Clomiphene citrate plus combined oral contraceptive versus clomiphene citrate ‐ Miscarriage rate

Miscarriage rate

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VERY LOW 1 2 3

Low event rates and small sample size observed in this single study

42 per 1000

42 per 1000
(3 to 425)

OR 1.00
(0.06 to 16.97)

48
(1 RCT)

Clinical pregnancy rate

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VERY LOW 3 8

Low event rates and small sample size observed in this single study

42 per 1000

542 per 1000
(120 to 911)

OR 27.18
(3.14 to 235.02)

48
(1 RCT)

Multiple pregnancy

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VERY LOW 1 2 3

Low event rates and small sample size observed in this single study

0 per 1000

0 per 1000
(0 to 0)

OR 7.98
(0.39 to 163.33)

48
(1 RCT)

Clomiphene citrate plus hCG versus clomiphene citrate alone

Ongoing pregnancy rate

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VERY LOW 1 3 9

Low event rates and small sample size observed in this single study

277 per 1000

334 per 1000
(189 to 517)

OR 1.31
(0.61 to 2.80)

125
(1 RCT)

Miscarriage rate

⊕⊕⊕⊝
MODERATE 2

Low event rates and small sample size observed in the included studies

61 per 1000

44 per 1000
(12 to 146)

OR 0.70
(0.19 to 2.62)

192
(2 RCTs)

Clinical pregnancy rate

⊕⊕⊕⊝
MODERATE 9

Low event rates and small sample size observed in the included studies

235 per 1000

266 per 1000
(153 to 420)

OR 1.18
(0.59 to 2.36)

192
(2 RCTs)

Multiple pregnancies

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VERY LOW 1 2 3

Low event rates and small sample size observed in this single study

15 per 1000

33 per 1000
(3 to 281)

OR 2.21
(0.19 to 24.98)

125
(1 RCT)

Clomiphene citrate plus hormone supplementation versus clomiphene citrate alone

Miscarriage rate

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VERY LOW 1 2 3

Low event rates and small sample size observed in this single study

21 per 1000

21 per 1000
(1 to 259)

OR 1.00
(0.06 to 16.46)

96
(1 RCT)

Clinical pregnancy rate

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW 3 9

Low event rates and small sample size observed in these studies

220 per 1000

186 per 1000
(94 to 331)

OR 0.81
(0.37 to 1.76)

161
(2 RCTs)

Multiple pregnancy rate

No events of multiple pregnancy were observed in either the intervention or control group in this single study.

0 per 1000

0 per 1000
(0 to 0)

Not estimable

96
(1 RCT)

OHSS

No events of OHSS were observed in either the intervention or control group in this single study.

0 per 1000

0 per 1000
(0 to 0)

Not estimable

96
(1 RCT)

*The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
CI: confidence interval; hCG: human chorionic gonadotropin; OR: odds ratio; RCT: randomised controlled trial

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: We are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect.
Moderate quality: We are moderately confident in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different.
Low quality: Our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect.
Very low quality: We have very little confidence in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect.

1Evidence is based on data from a single small study ‐ downgraded one level.
2Wide confidence intervals crossing the line of no effect, low event rates, and small sample size suggest imprecision ‐ downgraded one level.
3Insufficient detail to be able to make judgements on risk of bias. Live birth was not reported ‐ downgraded one level.
4Wide confidence interval and small sample size suggest imprecision ‐ downgraded one level.
5Wide confidence intervals observed ‐ downgraded one level.
6I2 statistic was greater than 50% ‐ downgraded one level.
7I2 statistic was greater than 80% ‐ downgraded two levels.
8Wide confidence intervals, low event rates, and small sample size observed.
9Low event rates and small sample size increase the likelihood of imprecision.

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings 3. Antioestrogen plus medical adjunct versus antioestrogen alone
Summary of findings 4. Antioestrogen regimens

Antioestrogen regimens

Patient or population: ovulation induction in polycystic ovarian syndrome

Setting: Three studies took place in Egypt and one in Iran. One was conducted in a University Fertility Clinic, one in an Infertility Research Centre and one in a gynaecology outpatient department. The fourth research setting was not specified.
Intervention: clomiphene citrate regimen A
Comparison: clomiphene citrate regimen B

Outcomes

Anticipated absolute effects* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

№ of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Risk with clomiphene citrate regimen B

Risk with clomiphene citrate regimen A

Live birth ‐ Clomiphene citrate 5 days versus clomiphene citrate 10 days

155 per 1000

18 per 1000
(4 to 76)

OR 0.10
(0.02 to 0.45)

220
(1 RCT)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW 1 2

Clinical pregnancy ‐ Clomiphene citrate 5 days versus clomiphene citrate 10 days

173 per 1000

36 per 1000
(12 to 103)

OR 0.18
(0.06 to 0.55)

220
(1 RCT)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW 1 2

Multiple pregnancy ‐ Clomiphene citrate 5 days versus clomiphene citrate 10 days

27 per 1000

9 per 1000
(1 to 82)

OR 0.33
(0.03 to 3.20)

220
(1 RCT)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VERY LOW 1 4

Miscarriage rate ‐ Early versus late clomiphene citrate

29 per 1000

36 per 1000
(8 to 147)

OR 1.25
(0.27 to 5.70)

212
(1 RCT)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
VERY LOW 1 3 4

Clinical pregnancy ‐ Early versus late clomiphene citrate

195 per 1000

405 per 1000
(198 to 653)

OR 2.81
(1.02 to 7.75)

78
(1 RCT)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW 4

*The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
CI: confidence interval; OR: odds ratio; RCT: randomised controlled trial

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: We are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect.
Moderate quality: We are moderately confident in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different.
Low quality: Our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect.
Very low quality: We have very little confidence in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect.

1Evidence is based on a single study ‐ downgraded one level for serious imprecision.
2Event rates are low, which may increase the likelihood of imprecision ‐ downgraded one level.
3Insufficient data to allow judgement of risk of bias ‐ downgraded one level for serious risk of bias.
4Wide confidence intervals, low event rates, and small sample size observed in this single study ‐ downgraded one level for serious imprecision.

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings 4. Antioestrogen regimens
Comparison 1. Antioestrogen versus no treatment or placebo

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Clinical pregnancy rate (per woman randomised) Show forest plot

3

133

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

5.91 [1.77, 19.68]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 1. Antioestrogen versus no treatment or placebo
Comparison 2. Antioestrogen versus antioestrogen

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Live birth rate (per woman) Show forest plot

2

195

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.24 [0.59, 2.62]

1.1 Clomiphene citrate versus tamoxifen

2

195

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.24 [0.59, 2.62]

2 Miscarriage rate (per woman) Show forest plot

4

653

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.81 [0.80, 4.12]

2.1 Clomiphene citrate versus tamoxifen

4

653

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.81 [0.80, 4.12]

3 Clinical pregnancy rate (per woman) Show forest plot

6

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

3.1 Clomiphene citrate versus tamoxifen

5

757

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.30 [0.92, 1.85]

3.2 Clomiphene citrate plus tamoxifen versus clomiphene citrate

1

20

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

3.32 [0.12, 91.60]

4 Multiple pregnancy Show forest plot

3

567

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

2.34 [0.34, 16.04]

5 OHSS Show forest plot

3

567

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.0 [0.0, 0.0]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 2. Antioestrogen versus antioestrogen
Comparison 3. Antioestrogen versus gonadotropin

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Live birth/ongoing pregnancy Show forest plot

2

378

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.64 [0.41, 0.98]

2 Miscarriage rate (per woman) Show forest plot

3

696

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.84 [0.39, 1.78]

3 Clinical pregnancy rate (per woman) Show forest plot

2

378

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.61 [0.40, 0.93]

4 Multiple pregnancy Show forest plot

3

696

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.26 [0.06, 1.06]

5 OHSS Show forest plot

2

394

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.19 [0.02, 1.67]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 3. Antioestrogen versus gonadotropin
Comparison 4. Antioestrogen plus medical adjunct versus antioestrogen alone

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Clomiphene citrate plus ketoconazole versus clomiphene citrate Show forest plot

1

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

1.1 Clinical pregnancy rate (per woman)

1

80

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

2.37 [0.88, 6.40]

1.2 Multiple pregnancy (per woman)

1

80

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.18 [0.37, 3.78]

1.3 Miscarriage rate

1

80

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.28 [0.01, 7.08]

2 Clomiphene citrate plus bromocriptine versus clomiphene citrate Show forest plot

2

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

2.1 Clinical pregnancy rate (per woman)

2

174

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.03 [0.48, 2.21]

3 Clomiphene citrate plus dexamethasone versus clomiphene citrate Show forest plot

4

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

3.1 Clinical pregnancy rate (per woman)

4

434

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

6.20 [2.20, 17.48]

3.2 Multiple pregnancy (per woman)

2

144

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

7.71 [0.38, 155.64]

4 Clomiphene citrate plus combined oral contraceptive versus clomiphene citrate Show forest plot

1

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

4.1 Miscarriage rate (per woman)

1

48

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.0 [0.06, 16.97]

4.2 Clinical pregnancy rate (per woman)

1

48

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

27.18 [3.14, 235.02]

4.3 Multiple pregnancy (per woman)

1

48

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

7.98 [0.39, 163.33]

5 Clomiphene citrate plus hCG versus clomiphene citrate alone Show forest plot

2

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

5.1 Ongoing pregnancy rate (per woman)

1

125

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.31 [0.61, 2.80]

5.2 Miscarriage

2

192

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.70 [0.19, 2.62]

5.3 Clinical pregnancy rate (per woman)

2

192

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.18 [0.59, 2.36]

5.4 Multiple pregnancies (per woman)

1

125

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

2.21 [0.19, 24.98]

6 Clomiphene citrate plus hormone supplementation versus clomiphene citrate alone Show forest plot

2

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

6.1 Miscarriage

1

96

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.0 [0.06, 16.46]

6.2 Clinical pregnancy rate (per woman)

2

161

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.81 [0.37, 1.76]

6.3 Multiple pregnancy

1

96

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.0 [0.0, 0.0]

6.4 OHSS

1

96

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.0 [0.0, 0.0]

6.5 Adverse events

1

65

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.21 [0.01, 4.47]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 4. Antioestrogen plus medical adjunct versus antioestrogen alone
Comparison 5. Clomiphene citrate regimens

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Live birth Show forest plot

1

220

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.10 [0.02, 0.45]

1.1 Clomiphene citrate 5 days versus clomiphene citrate 10 days

1

220

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.10 [0.02, 0.45]

2 Miscarriage rate Show forest plot

1

212

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.25 [0.27, 5.70]

2.1 Early versus late clomiphene citrate

1

212

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.25 [0.27, 5.70]

3 Clinical pregnancy Show forest plot

2

298

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.70 [0.37, 1.33]

3.1 Clomiphene 5 days v clomiphene 10 days

1

220

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.18 [0.06, 0.55]

3.2 Early v late clomiphene citrate

1

78

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

2.81 [1.02, 7.75]

4 Multiple pregnancy Show forest plot

1

220

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.33 [0.03, 3.20]

4.1 Clomiphene 5 days v clomiphene 10 days

1

220

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.33 [0.03, 3.20]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 5. Clomiphene citrate regimens