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Methodological quality summary: review authors' judgements about each methodological quality item for each included study.
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Figure 1

Methodological quality summary: review authors' judgements about each methodological quality item for each included study.

Methodological quality graph: review authors' judgements about each methodological quality item presented as percentages across all included studies.
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Figure 2

Methodological quality graph: review authors' judgements about each methodological quality item presented as percentages across all included studies.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Primary outcomes, outcome: 1.1 Duration of cold symptoms (in days).
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Figure 3

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Primary outcomes, outcome: 1.1 Duration of cold symptoms (in days).

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Primary outcomes, outcome: 1.2 Severity of symptoms (score).
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Figure 4

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Primary outcomes, outcome: 1.2 Severity of symptoms (score).

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Primary outcomes, outcome: 1.3 Incidence of common cold (IRR).
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Figure 5

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Primary outcomes, outcome: 1.3 Incidence of common cold (IRR).

Forest plot of comparison: 2 Secondary outcomes, outcome: 2.12 Any adverse event.
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Figure 6

Forest plot of comparison: 2 Secondary outcomes, outcome: 2.12 Any adverse event.

Comparison 1 Primary outcomes, Outcome 1 Duration of cold symptoms.
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Analysis 1.1

Comparison 1 Primary outcomes, Outcome 1 Duration of cold symptoms.

Comparison 1 Primary outcomes, Outcome 2 Severity of cold symptoms.
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Analysis 1.2

Comparison 1 Primary outcomes, Outcome 2 Severity of cold symptoms.

Comparison 1 Primary outcomes, Outcome 3 Incidence of common cold.
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Analysis 1.3

Comparison 1 Primary outcomes, Outcome 3 Incidence of common cold.

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 1 Number of participants symptomatic after 3 days of treatment.
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Analysis 2.1

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 1 Number of participants symptomatic after 3 days of treatment.

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 2 Number of participants symptomatic after 5 days of treatment.
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Analysis 2.2

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 2 Number of participants symptomatic after 5 days of treatment.

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 3 Number of participants symptomatic after 7 days of treatment.
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Analysis 2.3

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 3 Number of participants symptomatic after 7 days of treatment.

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 4 Time to resolution of cough.
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Analysis 2.4

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 4 Time to resolution of cough.

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 5 Time to resolution of nasal congestion.
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Analysis 2.5

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 5 Time to resolution of nasal congestion.

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 6 Time to resolution of nasal drainage.
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Analysis 2.6

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 6 Time to resolution of nasal drainage.

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 7 Time to resolution of sore throat.
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Analysis 2.7

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 7 Time to resolution of sore throat.

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 8 Change in cough symptom score.
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Analysis 2.8

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 8 Change in cough symptom score.

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 9 Change in nasal symptom score.
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Analysis 2.9

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 9 Change in nasal symptom score.

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 10 School absenteeism (days).
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Analysis 2.10

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 10 School absenteeism (days).

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 11 Antibiotic use.
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Analysis 2.11

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 11 Antibiotic use.

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 12 Any adverse event.
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Analysis 2.12

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 12 Any adverse event.

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 13 Bad taste.
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Analysis 2.13

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 13 Bad taste.

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 14 Nausea.
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Analysis 2.14

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 14 Nausea.

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 15 Constipation.
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Analysis 2.15

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 15 Constipation.

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 16 Diarrhoea.
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Analysis 2.16

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 16 Diarrhoea.

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 17 Abdominal pain.
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Analysis 2.17

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 17 Abdominal pain.

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 18 Dry mouth.
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Analysis 2.18

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 18 Dry mouth.

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 19 Mouth irritation.
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Analysis 2.19

Comparison 2 Secondary outcomes, Outcome 19 Mouth irritation.

Zinc compared with placebo for the common cold

Patient or population: patients with common cold

Settings: outpatient

Intervention: zinc lozenges or syrup

Comparison: usual care

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

No. of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Assumed risk

Corresponding risk

Placebo

Zinc

Duration of cold symptoms (days)

The mean duration of cold symptoms ranged across control groups from 5.1 to 8.5 days

The mean duration of cold symptoms in the intervention
groups was 0.97 lower (1.56 to 0.38 lower) i.e. 0.97 times of SD away from the line of no effect.

762
(6 studies1)

+++O
moderate2,3,4

Severity of symptom score

The mean severity of symptom score ranged across control groups from 0.4 to 5.61

The mean severity of symptom score in the intervention groups was 0.39 lower (0.77 to 0.02 lower) i.e. 0.39 times of SD away from the line of no effect.

513
(5 studies5)

+++O
moderate3,6,7

Incidence of common cold

618 per 1000

382 per 1000 (354 to 431)

RR 0.64 (0.47 to 0.88)

394
(2 studies8)

++OO
low3,9,10,11

Number of participants symptomatic after 7 days of treatment

563 per 1000

373 per 1000 (143 to 508)

OR 0.45 (0.2 to 1.0)

476
(5 studies12)

++OO
low13,14,15

School absenteeism (number of days)

The mean days of school absenteeism ranged across control groups from 1.3 to 1.35 days

The mean days of school absenteeism in the intervention groups was 0.37 lower (0.7 to 0.04 lower)

394
(2 studies8)

+OO
very low9,16,17

Antibiotic use

330 per 1000

127 per 1000 (52 to 200)

RR 0.27 (0.16 to 0.46)

394
(2 studies8)

++OO
low9,18,19

Any adverse event

481 per 1000

562 per 1000 (252 to 898)

RR 1.59 (0.97 to 2.58)

796
(5 studies)

+++O
moderate20,21,22

*The basis for the assumed risk (e.g. the median control group risk across studies) is provided in footnotes. The corresponding risk (and its 95% CI) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
CI: confidence interval
RR: risk ratio

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: Further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect.
Moderate quality: Further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate.
Low quality: Further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate.
Very low quality: We are very uncertain about the estimate.

1. No serious study limitations: all the studies had adequately concealed allocation and blinded both participants and study staff to be considered at low risk of bias. Free of other bias was unclear in Macknin 1998 and Petrus 1998. Petrus 1998 did not adequately describe the sequence generation.

2. Serious inconsistency: there was high statistical heterogeneity. I2 statistic = 93%. The heterogeneity may be due to differences in the nature of the different interventions (zinc gluconate or acetate lozenges, zinc sulphate syrup) and dose range (30 to 160 mg/day) as well as mean duration of symptoms prior to administration of zinc (varying from 24 to 48 hours, as well as the characteristics of the study population (children versus adults). However, subgroup analysis was not possible as there were not enough studies for each variable.

3. No serious indirectness: studies both from low‐income and high‐income regions have assessed this comparison. Therefore, the result can be confidently generalised to all situations.

4. No serious imprecision: though the 95% CI around the pooled effect is narrow, the lower limit does not suggest a clinically important reduction in the duration of cold (a decrease in duration of ≤1 day is not shown to be important to patients).

5. No serious study limitation: all the studies had adequately concealed allocation and blinded both participants and study staff to be considered at low risk of bias. Whether free of other bias was unclear and adequate sequence was not generated in one study (Petrus 1998).

6. No serious imprecision: though the 95% CI around the pooled effect is narrow, the lower limit does not suggests a clinically important reduction in the severity of symptom score (a change of less than 1 point score is not shown to be important to patients).

7. Serious inconsistency: there was high statistical heterogeneity. I2 statistic = 75%. The heterogeneity may be due to differences in the nature of the different interventions (zinc gluconate or acetate lozenges, zinc sulphate syrup) and dose range (30 to 160 mg/day) as well as mean duration of symptoms prior to administration of zinc (varying from 24 to 48 hours), as well as the characteristics of the study population (children versus adults). However, subgroup analysis was not possible as there were not enough studies for each variable.

8.Kurugol 2006b is a community‐based intervention including 200 healthy school children and studying the effect of daily administration of 15 mg zinc sulphate syrup over a period of 7 months. Vakili 2009 is also a community‐based intervention including 200 healthy school children and studying the effect of daily administration of 10 mg zinc sulfate tablets over a period of 7 months.

9. Serious study limitation: though the study by Kurugol 2006b was of high quality, that by Vakili 2009 was of poor methodological quality.

10. Serious inconsistency: there is substantial heterogeneity between the two trials: I2 statistic for heterogeneity = 88%. Both trials showed a benefit with zinc, however the size of this effect was much larger in Vakili 2009. The heterogeneity was due to differences in the trial methodology and the nature of the interventions.

11. No serious imprecision: the 95% CI around the pooled effect is narrow. Even the lower limit suggests a clinically important reduction in the incidence rate ratio of cold which is shown to be important to patients.

12. No serious study limitations: allocation concealment was unclear in two studies, i.e. Smith 1989 and Weismann 1990, though both the studies blinded both participants and study staff.

13. Serious inconsistency: there was high statistical heterogeneity. I2 statistic = 75%. The heterogeneity may be due to differences in the nature of the different interventions (zinc gluconate or acetate lozenges) and dose range (30 to 160 mg/day) as well as mean duration of symptoms prior to administration of zinc (varying from 24 to 48 hours, as well as the characteristics of the study population (children versus adults). However, subgroup analysis was not possible as there were not enough studies for each variable.

14. Serious indirectness: only studies from high‐income regions have assessed this comparison. Therefore, the result can not be generalised to all situations.

15. No serious imprecision: both limits of the 95% CI suggest a clinically important reduction in proportion of participants given the intervention symptomatic after seven days of treatment.

16. Serious inconsistency: there is substantial heterogeneity between the two trials: I2 statistic test for heterogeneity = 64%. Both trials showed reduced days of school absenteeism with intervention, however, the size of this effect was much larger in Kurugol 2006b. The heterogeneity was due to differences in the trial methodology and the nature of the interventions.

17. No serious imprecision: though the 95% CI around the pooled effect is narrow, the lower limit does not suggests a clinically important reduction in the duration of school absenteeism (a decrease in duration of ≤1 day is not shown to be important to patients).

18. No serious inconsistency: there was no statistical heterogeneity. I2 statistic = 0%.

19. No serious imprecision: both limits of the 95% CI suggest a clinically important reduction in the rate of antibiotic use with intervention.

20. No serious study limitations: all the studies had adequately concealed allocation (except Weismann 1990, in which allocation concealment is unclear) and blinded both participants and study staff to be considered at low risk of bias. Whether free of other bias was unclear in Macknin 1998 and Weismann 1990. Weismann 1990 did not adequately describe the sequence generation.

21. No serious inconsistency: there was moderate statistical heterogeneity. I2 statistic = 51%.

22. Serious imprecision: the 95% CI around the pooled effect is wide. Though the resulting adverse events from use of zinc is higher, this is not significant.

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 1. Primary outcomes

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Duration of cold symptoms Show forest plot

6

762

Std. Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.97 [‐1.56, ‐0.38]

2 Severity of cold symptoms Show forest plot

5

513

Std. Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.39 [‐0.77, ‐0.02]

3 Incidence of common cold Show forest plot

2

1522

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.64 [0.47, 0.88]

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Comparison 1. Primary outcomes
Comparison 2. Secondary outcomes

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Number of participants symptomatic after 3 days of treatment Show forest plot

3

340

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.81 [0.27, 2.42]

2 Number of participants symptomatic after 5 days of treatment Show forest plot

3

340

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.78 [0.32, 1.95]

3 Number of participants symptomatic after 7 days of treatment Show forest plot

5

476

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.45 [0.20, 1.00]

4 Time to resolution of cough Show forest plot

4

453

Std. Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.55 [‐1.04, ‐0.05]

5 Time to resolution of nasal congestion Show forest plot

5

605

Std. Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

‐0.25 [‐0.41, ‐0.09]

6 Time to resolution of nasal drainage Show forest plot

5

599

Std. Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.32 [‐0.62, ‐0.01]

7 Time to resolution of sore throat Show forest plot

4

430

Std. Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

‐0.24 [‐0.44, ‐0.03]

8 Change in cough symptom score Show forest plot

1

101

Std. Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

‐2.84 [‐3.40, ‐2.28]

9 Change in nasal symptom score Show forest plot

2

314

Std. Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

‐0.06 [‐0.42, 0.30]

10 School absenteeism (days) Show forest plot

2

394

Std. Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.37 [‐0.70, ‐0.04]

11 Antibiotic use Show forest plot

2

394

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.27 [0.16, 0.46]

12 Any adverse event Show forest plot

5

796

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.59 [0.97, 2.58]

13 Bad taste Show forest plot

9

1062

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

2.64 [1.91, 3.64]

14 Nausea Show forest plot

8

932

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

2.15 [1.44, 3.23]

15 Constipation Show forest plot

7

874

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.60 [0.82, 3.10]

16 Diarrhoea Show forest plot

6

764

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.89 [0.92, 3.89]

17 Abdominal pain Show forest plot

6

824

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.31 [0.83, 2.07]

18 Dry mouth Show forest plot

7

874

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.37 [0.95, 1.99]

19 Mouth irritation Show forest plot

7

822

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.15 [0.77, 1.73]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 2. Secondary outcomes