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Recuento plaquetario, longitud del bazo y cociente recuento plaquetario/longitud del bazo para el diagnóstico de las várices esofágicas en pacientes con hepatopatías crónicas o trombosis de la vena portal

Appendices

Appendix 1. Search strategies

Database

Time span

Search strategy

Cochrane Hepato‐Biliary Group Controlled Trials Register

June 2016

((((platelet* or thrombocyt*) near (count or distribution or volume)) or PLT or PDW or MPV) OR (((splenic* or spleen*) near3 (enlarg* or hypertroph or length or palpable or size or diamet* or index or examin*)) or splenomegal*)) AND (*esophag* near3 (varic* or varix*))

Cochrane Hepato‐Biliary Diagnostic Test of Accuracy Studies Register

June 2016

((((platelet* or thrombocyt*) near (count or distribution or volume)) or PLT or PDW or MPV) OR (((splenic* or spleen*) near3 (enlarg* or hypertroph or length or palpable or size or diamet* or index or examin*)) or splenomegal*)) AND (*esophag* near3 (varic* or varix*))

The Cochrane Library

2016, Issue 6

#1 MeSH descriptor: [Platelet Count] explode all trees

#2 ((platelet* or thrombocyt*) near (count or distribution or volume)) or PLT or PDW or MPV

#3 #1 or #2

#4 MeSH descriptor: [Splenomegaly] explode all trees

#5 ((splenic* or spleen*) near/3 (enlarg* or hypertroph or length or palpable or size or diamet* or index or examin*)) or splenomegal*

#6 #4 or #5

#7 MeSH descriptor: [Esophageal and Gastric Varices] explode all trees

#8 *esophag* near/3 (varic* or varix*)

#9 #7 or #8

#10 (#3 or #6) and #9

MEDLINE (OvidSP)

1946 to June 2016.

1. exp Platelet Count/

2. (((platelet* or thrombocyt*) adj (count or distribution or volume)) or PLT or PDW or MPV).mp. [mp=title, abstract, original title, name of substance word, subject heading word, keyword heading word, protocol supplementary concept word, rare disease supplementary concept word, unique identifier]

3. 1 or 2

4. exp Splenomegaly/

5. (((splenic* or spleen*) adj3 (enlarg* or hypertroph or length or palpable or size or diamet* or index or examin*)) or splenomegal*).mp. [mp=title, abstract, original title, name of substance word, subject heading word, keyword heading word, protocol supplementary concept word, rare disease supplementary concept word, unique identifier]

6. 4 or 5

7. (Esophageal and Gastric Varices).mp. [mp=title, abstract, original title, name of substance word, subject heading word, keyword heading word, protocol supplementary concept word, rare disease supplementary concept word, unique identifier]

8. ((esophag* or oesophag*) adj3 (varic* or varix*)).mp. [mp=title, abstract, original title, name of substance word, subject heading word, keyword heading word, protocol supplementary concept word, rare disease supplementary concept word, unique identifier]

9. 7 or 8

10. (3 or 6) and 9

Embase (OvidSP)

1974 to June 2016

1. exp thrombocyte count/

2. (((platelet* or thrombocyt*) adj (count or distribution or volume)) or PLT or PDW or MPV).mp. [mp=title, abstract, heading word, drug trade name, original title, device manufacturer, drug manufacturer, device trade name, keyword]

3. 1 or 2

4. exp splenomegaly/

5. (((splenic* or spleen*) adj3 (enlarg* or hypertroph or length or palpable or size or diamet* or index or examin*)) or splenomegal*).mp. [mp=title, abstract, heading word, drug trade name, original title, device manufacturer, drug manufacturer, device trade name, keyword]

6. 4 or 5

7. exp esophagus varices/

8. ((esophag* or oesophag*) adj3 (varic* or varix*)).mp. [mp=title, abstract, heading word, drug trade name, original title, device manufacturer, drug manufacturer, device trade name, keyword]

9. 7 or 8

10. (3 or 6) and 9

Science Citation Index ‐ Expanded

1900 to June 2016

#5 #4 AND #3

#4 TS=(*esophag* NEAR/3 (varic* or varix*))

#3 #2 OR #1

#2 TS=(((splenic* or spleen*) NEAR/3 (enlarg* or hypertroph or length or palpable or size or diamet* or index or examin*)) or splenomegal*)

#1 TS=(((platelet* or thrombocyt*) NEAR (count or distribution or volume)) or PLT or PDW or MPV)

Appendix 2. QUADAS‐2

Domain

1. Participant selection

2. Index test

3. Reference standard

4. Flow and timing

Signalling questions and criteria

Q.1: "Was a consecutive or random sample of participants enrolled?"

Yes ‐ If the study reports on a consecutive or a random selection of participants.

No ‐ if the study reports on another form of selection of participants.

Unclear ‐ if the study does not report on how the participants were enrolled.

Q.2: "Was a case‐control design avoided?"

Yes ‐ if the case‐control design was avoided.

No ‐ if the study was a case‐control.

Unclear ‐ if the study design was not clear.

Q.3: "Did the study avoid inappropriate exclusions?"

Yes ‐ if the study definitions of exclusion criteria are appropriate (i.e. previous bleeding or treatment for oesophageal varices) and all exclusions are reported.

No ‐ if exclusion criteria are inappropriate and exclusions are not reported.

Unclear ‐ if the study does not report causes of exclusions.

Q.1: "Were the index test results interpreted without knowledge of the results of the reference standard?"

Yes ‐ if the study reports that results of the index test were interpreted without the knowledge of results of the reference standard.

No ‐ if the study reports that results of the index test were interpreted with results of the reference standard.

Unclear ‐ if the study does not report information about blinding of results of the index test and reference standard.

Q.2: "If a threshold was used, was it prespecified?"

Yes ‐ if the threshold used was reported in the methods section.

No ‐ if the study reports that the threshold was chosen during the data analysis stage (e.g. maximum of Youden index).

Unclear ‐ if the study does not report information about threshold selection.

Q.1: "Is the reference standard likely to correctly classify the target condition?"

Yes ‐ if the reference standard correctly classifies oesophageal varices (according to common grading scores or systems detailed in "Reference Standard" section).

No ‐ if there is some doubt whether the reference standard classifies oesophageal varices.

Unclear ‐ if the study does not report on the reference standard used.

Q.2: "Were the reference standard results interpreted without knowledge of results of the index test?"

Yes ‐ if the study reports that results of the reference standard were interpreted without knowledge of results of the index test.

No ‐ if the study reports that results of the reference standard were interpreted with results of the test index.

Unclear ‐ if the study does not report information about blinding of results of the reference standard and the index test.

Q.1: "Was there an appropriate interval between the index test and the reference standard?"

Yes ‐ if the interval between the index test and the reference standard was less than 3 months.

No ‐ if the interval was longer than 3 months.

Unclear ‐ if the study does not report the interval between the index test and the reference standard.

Q.2: "Did all participants receive the same reference standard?"

Yes ‐ if the study has only one reference standard for all participants (OGD with appropriate classification of oesophageal varices).

No ‐ if the study has more than one reference standard.

Unclear‐ if the study is not clear about the reference standard used.

Q.3 "Were all participants included in the analysis?"
Answer:

Yes ‐ if all enrolled participants were included in the analysis (even in the case of uninterpretable index test result).

No ‐ if any participant was excluded from the analysis for any reason.

Unclear ‐ if it is not clear about exclusions of participants from the analysis.

Risk of bias

Could the selection of participants have introduced bias?

Low risk: "Yes" for all signalling questions.

High risk: "No" or "Unclear" for at least one signalling question.

Could the conduct or interpretation of the index test have introduced bias?

Low risk: "Yes" for the signalling question.

High risk: "No" or "Unclear" for the signalling question.

Could the reference standard, its conduct, or its interpretation have introduced bias?

Low risk: "Yes" for all signalling questions.

High risk: "No" or "Unclear" for at least one signalling question.

Could the participant flow have introduced bias?

Low risk: "Yes" for all signalling questions.

High risk: "No" or "Unclear" for at least one signalling question.

Concerns about applicability

Are there concerns that the included participants and setting do not match the review question?

Low concern: Participants included in the review represent participants for whom the test is used in clinical practice.

High concern: Participants included in the review differ from participants for whom the test is used in clinical practice.

Are there concerns that the index test, its conduct, or interpretation differ from the review question?

High concern: The index test, its conduct, or interpretation of the index test differs from the way it is used in clinical practice.

Low concern: The index test, its conduct, or interpretation of the index test does not differ from the way it is used in clinical practice.

Are there concerns that the target condition as defined by the reference standard does not match the question?

Study flow diagram.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 1

Study flow diagram.

Methodological quality of the 71 included studies.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 2

Methodological quality of the 71 included studies.

Quality assessment summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.Not all of the included studies considered all three index tests. Cells are empty when an index test was not considered in a study.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 3

Quality assessment summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.

Not all of the included studies considered all three index tests. Cells are empty when an index test was not considered in a study.

Forest plot. Adult participants ‐ platelet count ‐ any varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 4

Forest plot. Adult participants ‐ platelet count ‐ any varices.

Forest plots. Adult participants ‐ platetelet count ‐ various cut‐off values ‐ any varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 5

Forest plots. Adult participants ‐ platetelet count ‐ various cut‐off values ‐ any varices.

Studies in the ROC space. Adult participants ‐ platelet count ‐ various cut‐off values ‐ any varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 6

Studies in the ROC space. Adult participants ‐ platelet count ‐ various cut‐off values ‐ any varices.

Forest plot. Adult participants ‐ spleen length ‐ any varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 7

Forest plot. Adult participants ‐ spleen length ‐ any varices.

Forest plots. Adult participants ‐ spleen length ‐ any varices: various cut‐off values.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 8

Forest plots. Adult participants ‐ spleen length ‐ any varices: various cut‐off values.

Studies in the ROC space. Adult participants ‐ spleen length ‐ any varices: various cut‐off values.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 9

Studies in the ROC space. Adult participants ‐ spleen length ‐ any varices: various cut‐off values.

Forest plot. Adult participants ‐ platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio ‐ any varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 10

Forest plot. Adult participants ‐ platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio ‐ any varices.

Studies in the ROC space. Adult participants ‐ platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio. Only studies with a cut‐off value of 909 (n/mm3)/mm ‐ any varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 11

Studies in the ROC space. Adult participants ‐ platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio. Only studies with a cut‐off value of 909 (n/mm3)/mm ‐ any varices.

Indirect comparison. Forest plot. Adult participants ‐ platelet count compared with spleen length ‐ any varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 12

Indirect comparison. Forest plot. Adult participants ‐ platelet count compared with spleen length ‐ any varices.

Forest plot. Indirect comparison. Adult participants ‐ platelet count (cut‐off around 150,000) compared with spleen length (cut‐off around 110 mm) ‐ any varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 13

Forest plot. Indirect comparison. Adult participants ‐ platelet count (cut‐off around 150,000) compared with spleen length (cut‐off around 110 mm) ‐ any varices.

Indirect comparison. Studies in the ROC space. Adult participants ‐ platelet count (cut‐off around 150,000) compared with spleen length (cut‐off around 110 mm) ‐ any varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 14

Indirect comparison. Studies in the ROC space. Adult participants ‐ platelet count (cut‐off around 150,000) compared with spleen length (cut‐off around 110 mm) ‐ any varices.

Indirect comparison. Forest plots. Adult participants ‐ platelet count compared with platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio ‐ any varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 15

Indirect comparison. Forest plots. Adult participants ‐ platelet count compared with platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio ‐ any varices.

Direct comparison. Forest plots. Adult participants ‐ platelet count compared with platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio ‐ any varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 16

Direct comparison. Forest plots. Adult participants ‐ platelet count compared with platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio ‐ any varices.

Indirect comparison. Forest plots. Adult participants ‐ platelet count (cut‐off around 150.000/mm3) compared with platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio (cut‐off 909 (n/mm3)/mm) ‐ any varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 17

Indirect comparison. Forest plots. Adult participants ‐ platelet count (cut‐off around 150.000/mm3) compared with platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio (cut‐off 909 (n/mm3)/mm) ‐ any varices.

Indirect comparison. Studies in the ROC space. Adult participants ‐ platelet count (cut‐off around 150.000) compared with platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio (cut‐off 909 (n/mm3)/mm) ‐ any varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 18

Indirect comparison. Studies in the ROC space. Adult participants ‐ platelet count (cut‐off around 150.000) compared with platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio (cut‐off 909 (n/mm3)/mm) ‐ any varices.

Indirect comparison. Forest plots. Adult participants ‐ platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio compared with spleen length ‐ any varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 19

Indirect comparison. Forest plots. Adult participants ‐ platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio compared with spleen length ‐ any varices.

Indirect comparison. Forest plots. Adult participants ‐ platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio (cut‐off 909 (n/mm3)/mm) compared with spleen length (cut‐off around 110) ‐ any varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 20

Indirect comparison. Forest plots. Adult participants ‐ platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio (cut‐off 909 (n/mm3)/mm) compared with spleen length (cut‐off around 110) ‐ any varices.

Indirect comparison. Studies in the ROC space. Adult participants ‐ platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio (cut‐off 909 (n/mm3)/mm) compared with spleen length (cut‐off around 110 mm) ‐ any varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 21

Indirect comparison. Studies in the ROC space. Adult participants ‐ platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio (cut‐off 909 (n/mm3)/mm) compared with spleen length (cut‐off around 110 mm) ‐ any varices.

Forest plot. Adult participants ‐ platelet count ‐ high‐risk varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 22

Forest plot. Adult participants ‐ platelet count ‐ high‐risk varices.

Forest plots. Adult participants ‐ platelet count ‐ various cut‐off values ‐ high‐risk varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 23

Forest plots. Adult participants ‐ platelet count ‐ various cut‐off values ‐ high‐risk varices.

Studies in the ROC space. Adult participants ‐ platelet count ‐ various cut‐off values ‐ high‐risk varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 24

Studies in the ROC space. Adult participants ‐ platelet count ‐ various cut‐off values ‐ high‐risk varices.

Forest plot. Adult participants ‐ spleen length ‐ high‐risk varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 25

Forest plot. Adult participants ‐ spleen length ‐ high‐risk varices.

Forest plot. Adult participants ‐ platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio ‐ high‐risk varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 26

Forest plot. Adult participants ‐ platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio ‐ high‐risk varices.

Forest plot. Adult participants ‐ platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio ‐ cut‐off around 909 (n/mm3)/mm ‐ high‐risk varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 27

Forest plot. Adult participants ‐ platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio ‐ cut‐off around 909 (n/mm3)/mm ‐ high‐risk varices.

Studies in the ROC space. Adult participants ‐ platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio ‐ cut‐off around 909 (n/mm3)/mm ‐ high‐risk varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 28

Studies in the ROC space. Adult participants ‐ platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio ‐ cut‐off around 909 (n/mm3)/mm ‐ high‐risk varices.

Indirect comparison. Forest plot. Adult participants ‐ platelet count compared with spleen length ‐ high‐risk varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 29

Indirect comparison. Forest plot. Adult participants ‐ platelet count compared with spleen length ‐ high‐risk varices.

Indirect comparison. Forest plots. Adult participants ‐ platelet count compared with platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio ‐ high‐risk varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 30

Indirect comparison. Forest plots. Adult participants ‐ platelet count compared with platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio ‐ high‐risk varices.

Direct comparison. Forest plots. Adult participants ‐ platelet count compared with platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio ‐ high‐risk varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 31

Direct comparison. Forest plots. Adult participants ‐ platelet count compared with platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio ‐ high‐risk varices.

Indirect comparison. Forest plots. Adult participants ‐ platelet count (cut‐off around 150.000/mm3) compared with platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio (cut‐off 909 (n/mm3)/mm) ‐ high‐risk varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 32

Indirect comparison. Forest plots. Adult participants ‐ platelet count (cut‐off around 150.000/mm3) compared with platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio (cut‐off 909 (n/mm3)/mm) ‐ high‐risk varices.

Indirect comparison. Studies in the ROC space. Adult participants ‐ platelet count (cut‐off around 150,000/mm3) compared with platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio (cut‐off 909 (n/mm3)/mm) ‐ high‐risk varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 33

Indirect comparison. Studies in the ROC space. Adult participants ‐ platelet count (cut‐off around 150,000/mm3) compared with platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio (cut‐off 909 (n/mm3)/mm) ‐ high‐risk varices.

Indirect comparison. Forest plots. Adult participants ‐ platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio compared with spleen length ‐ high‐risk varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 34

Indirect comparison. Forest plots. Adult participants ‐ platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio compared with spleen length ‐ high‐risk varices.

Forest plot. Paediatric participants ‐ platelet count ‐ any varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 35

Forest plot. Paediatric participants ‐ platelet count ‐ any varices.

Forest plot. Paediatric participants ‐ platelet count‐to‐spleen length z‐score ratio ‐ any varices.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 36

Forest plot. Paediatric participants ‐ platelet count‐to‐spleen length z‐score ratio ‐ any varices.

Adults ‐ platelet count ‐ any varices.
Figures and Tables -
Test 1

Adults ‐ platelet count ‐ any varices.

Adults ‐ platelet count ‐ any varices ‐ cut‐off around 100,000.
Figures and Tables -
Test 2

Adults ‐ platelet count ‐ any varices ‐ cut‐off around 100,000.

Adults ‐ platelet count ‐ any varices ‐ cut‐off around 120,000.
Figures and Tables -
Test 3

Adults ‐ platelet count ‐ any varices ‐ cut‐off around 120,000.

Adults ‐ platelet count ‐ any varices ‐ cut‐off around 150,000.
Figures and Tables -
Test 4

Adults ‐ platelet count ‐ any varices ‐ cut‐off around 150,000.

Adults ‐ platelet/spleen ratio ‐ any varices.
Figures and Tables -
Test 5

Adults ‐ platelet/spleen ratio ‐ any varices.

Adults ‐ platelet/spleen ratio ‐ any varices ‐ cut‐off 909.
Figures and Tables -
Test 6

Adults ‐ platelet/spleen ratio ‐ any varices ‐ cut‐off 909.

Adults ‐ spleen diameter ‐ any varices.
Figures and Tables -
Test 7

Adults ‐ spleen diameter ‐ any varices.

Adults ‐ spleen diameter ‐ any varices ‐ cut‐off around 110 mm.
Figures and Tables -
Test 8

Adults ‐ spleen diameter ‐ any varices ‐ cut‐off around 110 mm.

Adults ‐ spleen diameter ‐ any varices ‐ cut‐off around 150 mm.
Figures and Tables -
Test 9

Adults ‐ spleen diameter ‐ any varices ‐ cut‐off around 150 mm.

Adults ‐ platelet count ‐ high‐risk varices.
Figures and Tables -
Test 10

Adults ‐ platelet count ‐ high‐risk varices.

Adults ‐ platelet count ‐ high‐risk varices ‐ cut‐off around 90,000.
Figures and Tables -
Test 11

Adults ‐ platelet count ‐ high‐risk varices ‐ cut‐off around 90,000.

Adults ‐ platelet count ‐ high‐risk varices ‐ cut‐off around 150,000.
Figures and Tables -
Test 12

Adults ‐ platelet count ‐ high‐risk varices ‐ cut‐off around 150,000.

Adults ‐ platelet/spleen ratio ‐ high‐risk varices.
Figures and Tables -
Test 13

Adults ‐ platelet/spleen ratio ‐ high‐risk varices.

Adults ‐ platelet/spleen ratio ‐ high‐risk varices ‐ cut‐off around 909.
Figures and Tables -
Test 14

Adults ‐ platelet/spleen ratio ‐ high‐risk varices ‐ cut‐off around 909.

Adults ‐ spleen diameter ‐ high‐risk varices.
Figures and Tables -
Test 15

Adults ‐ spleen diameter ‐ high‐risk varices.

Paediatrics ‐ platelet count ‐ any varices.
Figures and Tables -
Test 16

Paediatrics ‐ platelet count ‐ any varices.

Paediatrics ‐ platelet/spleen ratio z‐score ‐ any varices.
Figures and Tables -
Test 17

Paediatrics ‐ platelet/spleen ratio z‐score ‐ any varices.

Summary of findings 1. Adult participants ‐ platelet count

Review question

What is the diagnostic accuracy of platelet count for the diagnosis of oesophageal varices in adults with liver disease or portal vein thrombosis?

Population

Adults with diagnosis of chronic liver disease or portal vein thrombosis. Age ≥ 18 years

Settings

Outpatients and inpatients in secondary/tertiary care setting

Study design

Prospective and retrospective cross‐sectional studies. No case‐control studies were found

Index tests

Platelet count

Reference standards

Upper endoscopy

Target condition

Summary accuracy (95% CI)

No. of participants (studies)

Prevalence,

Median

(range )

Implications in a hypothetical cohort of 1000 people

Post‐test probability

Quality and comments

Any varices

Cut‐off value: around 150,000 /mm3 (range 140,000 to 150,000/mm3)

Sensitivity 0.71 (0.63 to 0.77)

Specificity 0.80 (0.69 to 0.88)

LR+ 3.6
(2.4 to 5.4)

LR‐ 0.37
(0.30 to 0.45)

2054 participants (10)

38%
(25% to 79%)

With a prevalence of 38%, 380 out of 1000 people will have varices of any size. Of these 380 people, 110 (29% of 380) people with varices will receive misdiagnosis and will not received appropriate prophylaxis or follow‐up

The remaining 620 people will have no varices. 124 people (20% of 620) will receive false diagnosis of varices and will undergo an unnecessary endoscopy

Assuming a pretest probability of 38%

Post‐test probabilities:

  • If test positive: 69%

  • If test negative: 18%

Most studies are at high risk of bias

No predefinition of cut‐off value of the index test for most studies

Median prevalence of any varices is lower than that reported by most guidelines (around 50%)

.

High risk varices

Cut‐off value: around 150,000 /mm3 (range 140,000 to 160,000/mm3)

Sensitivity 0.80 (0.73 to 0.85)

Specificity 0.68 (0.57 to 0.77)

LR+ 2.5
(1.8 to 3.3)

LR‐ 0.30
(0.23 to 0.39)

1671 participants (7)

20%
(6% to 48%)

With a prevalence of 20%, 200 out of 1000 people will have varices at high risk of bleeding. Of these 200 people, 40 (20% of 200) people with high‐risk varices will receive misdiagnosis and will not receive effective prophylaxis

The remaining 800 people will not have high‐risk varices. 256 people (32% of 800) will receive false diagnosis of high‐risk varices and will undergo an unnecessary endoscopy

Assuming a pretest probability of 20%

Post‐test probabilities:

  • If test positive: 38%

  • If test negative: 7%

Most or all studies at high risk of bias

No predefinition of cut‐off value of the index test for most studies

Figures and Tables -
Summary of findings 1. Adult participants ‐ platelet count
Summary of findings 2. Adult participants ‐ spleen length

Review question

What is the diagnostic accuracy of spleen length for the diagnosis of oesophageal varices in adult people with liver disease or portal vein thrombosis?

Population

Adults with diagnosis of chronic liver disease or portal vein thrombosis. Age ≥ 18 years

Settings

Outpatients and inpatients in secondary/tertiary care setting

Study design

Prospective and retrospective cross‐sectional studies. No case‐control studies were found

Index tests

Spleen length

Reference standards

Upper endoscopy

Target condition

Summary accuracy (95% CI)

No. of participants (studies)

Prevalence,

Median

(range )

Implications in a hypothetical cohort of 1000 people

Post‐test probability

Quality and comments

Any varices

Cut‐off value: around 110 mm (range 110 to 112.5 mm)

Sensitivity 0.85 (0.75 to 0.91)

Specificity 0.54 (0.46 to 0.62)

LR+ 1.8 (1.6 to 1.21)

LR‐ 0.28 (0.17 to 0.44)

594 participants (5)

53%
(17% to 71%)

With a prevalence of 53%, 530 out of 1000 people will have varices of any size. Of these 530 people, 80 (15% of 530) people with varices will receive misdiagnosis and will not receive appropriate prophylaxis or follow‐up

The remaining 470 people will have no varices. 216 people (46% of 470) will receive false diagnosis of varices and will undergo an unnecessary endoscopy

Assuming a pretest probability of 53%

Post‐test probabilities:

  • If test positive: 67%

  • If test negative: 24%

Most or all studies at high risk of bias

High‐risk varices

Cut‐off value: no common cut‐off value. Range 120 to 160 mm

Sensitivity ranged from 0.50 to 0.88 and specificity from 0.55 to 0.84

883 participants (6)

42%
(13% to 70%)

Inconsistency of results (no common cut‐off value) prevents any conclusions

.

Most or all studies at high risk of bias

Figures and Tables -
Summary of findings 2. Adult participants ‐ spleen length
Summary of findings 3. Adult participants ‐ platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio

What is the diagnostic accuracy of platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio?

Review question

What is the diagnostic accuracy of platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio for the diagnosis of oesophageal varices in adult people with liver disease or portal vein thrombosis?

Population

Adults with diagnosis of chronic liver disease or portal vein thrombosis. Age ≥ 18 years

Settings

Outpatients and inpatients in secondary/tertiary care setting

Study design

Prospective and retrospective cross‐sectional studies. No case‐control studies were found

Index tests

Platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio

Reference standards

Upper endoscopy

Target condition

Summary accuracy
(95% CI)

No. of participants (studies)

Prevalence,

Median

(range )

Implications in a hypothetical cohort of 1000 people

Post‐test probability

Quality and comments

Any varices

Cut‐off value: 909 (n/mm3)/mm

Sensitivity 0.93 (0.93 to 0.87)

Specificity 0.84 (0.75 to 0.91)

LR+ 5.9
(3.5 to 9.9)

LR‐ 0.09
(0.03 to 0.22)

2637 participants (17)

58%
(38% to 75%)

With a prevalence of 58%, 580 out of 1000 people will have varices of any size. Of these 580 people, 41 (7% of 580) people with varices will receive misdiagnosis and will not receive appropriate prophylaxis or follow‐up

The remaining 420 people will have no varices. 67 people (16% of 420) will receive false diagnosis of varices and will undergo an unnecessary endoscopy

Assuming a pretest probability of 58%

Post‐test probabilities:

  • If test positive: 89%

  • If test negative: 10%

Most studies are at high risk of bias

High‐risk varices

Cut‐off value: around 909 (n/mm3)/mm (range 897 to 921 (n/mm3)/mm)

Sensitivity 0.85 (0.72 to 0.93)

Specificity 0.66 (0.52 to 0.77)

LR+ 2.5
(1.8 to 3.4)

LR‐ 0.22
(0.12 to 0.42)

642 participants (7)

60%
(18% to 70%)

With a prevalence of 60%, 600 out of 1000 people will have varices at high risk of bleeding. Of these 2600 people, 90 (15% of 600) people with high‐risk varices will receive misdiagnosis and will not receive effective prophylaxis

The remaining 400 people will not have high‐risk varices. 136 people (34% of 400) will receive false diagnosis of high‐risk varices and will undergo an unnecessary endoscopy

Assuming a pre‐test probability of 60%

Post‐test probabilities:

  • If test positive: 79%

  • If test negative: 25%

Most studies are at high risk of bias

Median prevalence of any varices is higher than that reported by most guidelines (around 25%)

Figures and Tables -
Summary of findings 3. Adult participants ‐ platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio
Summary of findings 4. Paediatric participants ‐ platelet count

What is the diagnostic accuracy of platelet count?

Review question

What is the diagnostic accuracy of platelet count for the diagnosis of oesophageal varices in paediatric people with liver disease or portal vein thrombosis?

Population

Children with diagnosis of chronic liver disease or portal vein thrombosis. Age < 18 years

Settings

Outpatients and inpatients in secondary/tertiary care setting

Study design

Prospective and retrospective cross‐sectional studies. No case‐control studies were found

Index tests

Platelet count

Reference standards

Upper endoscopy

Target condition

Summary accuracy
(95% CI)

No. of participants (studies)

Prevalence,

Median

(range )

Implications in a hypothetical cohort of 1000 people

Post‐test probability

Quality and comments

Any varices

Cut‐off value: around 120,000 /mm3 (range 115,000 to 119,000/mm3)

Sensitivity 0.71 (0.60 to 0.80)

Specificity 0.83 (0.70 to 0.91)

LR+ 4.2
(2.4 to 7.3)

LR‐ 0.35
(0.25 to 0.48)

277 participants (4)

58%
(48% to 69%)

With a prevalence of 58%, 580 out of 1000 children will have varices of any size. Of these 580 children, 168 (29% of 580) children with varices will receive misdiagnosis and will not receive appropriate. prophylaxis or follow‐up

The remaining 420 children will have no varices. 71 children (17% of 420) will receive false diagnosis of varices and will undergo an unnecessary endoscopy

Assuming a pretest probability of 58%

Post‐test probabilities:

  • If test positive: 85%

  • If test negative: 32.5%

Studies were at high risk of bias

Figures and Tables -
Summary of findings 4. Paediatric participants ‐ platelet count
Summary of findings 5. Paediatric participants ‐ platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio

What is the diagnostic accuracy of platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio?

Review question

What is the diagnostic accuracy of platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio for the diagnosis of oesophageal varices in paediatric people with liver disease or portal vein thrombosis?

Population

Children with diagnosis of chronic liver disease or portal vein thrombosis. Age < 18 years

Settings

Outpatients and inpatients in secondary/tertiary care setting

Study design

Prospective and retrospective cross‐sectional studies. No case‐control studies were found

Index tests

Platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio

Reference standards

Upper endoscopy

Target condition

Summary accuracy (95% CI)

No. of participants (studies)

Prevalences

Implications in a hypothetical cohort of 1000 people

Post‐test probability

Quality and comments

Any varices

Cut‐off value: around 1000 (n/mm3)/mm

Sensitivity 0.74 (0.65 to 0.81)

Specificity 0.64 (0.36 to 0.85)

LR+ 2.0 (1.0 to 4.0)

LR‐ 0.41 (0.27 to 0.61)

197 participants
(2)

72% and 73%

With a prevalence of 50%, 500 out of 1000 children will have varices of any size. Of these 500 children, 130 (26% of 500) children with varices will receive misdiagnosis and will not receive appropriate prophylaxis or follow‐up

The remaining 500 children will have no varices. 180 children (36% of 500) will receive false diagnosis of varices and will undergo an unnecessary endoscopy

Assuming a pretest probability of 50%

Post‐test probabilities:

  • If test positive: 67%

  • If test negative: 29%

Limited evidence. Only 2 studies were found.

These 2 studies were at high risk of bias

Figures and Tables -
Summary of findings 5. Paediatric participants ‐ platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio
Table 1. Any varices ‐ comparisons between tests

Any varices ‐ indirect comparisons

Index test

No. of studies

Cut‐off value

Sensitivity

(95% CI)

Specificity

(95% CI)

P value*

Platelet count

10

Around 150,000/mm3

0.71

(0.63 to 0.77)

0.80

(0.69 to 0.88)

0.252

Platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio

17

909 (n/mm3)/mm

0.93

(0.83 to 0.97)

0.84

(0.75 to 0.91)

Platelet count

9

Around 150,000/mm3

0.71

(0.63 to 0.77)

0.80

(0.69 to 0.88)

0.021

Spleen length

5

Around 110 mm

0.85

(0.75 to 0.91)

0.54

(0.46 to 0.62)

Platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio

17

909 (n/mm3)/mm

0.93

(0.83 to 0.97)

0.84

(0.75 to 0.91)

<0.001

Spleen length

5

Around 110 mm

0.85

(0.75 to 0.91)

0.54

(0.46 to 0.62)

* Pair‐wise comparisons between index tests performed by adding the index test as covariate to the bivariate model. P values were obtained by comparing the ‐2 log likelihood of the model with the covariate with the ‐2 log likelihood of the model without the covariate.

Figures and Tables -
Table 1. Any varices ‐ comparisons between tests
Table 2. Summary of diagnostic accuracy results

Pooled results

Cut‐off

Sensitivity

(95% CI)

Specificity

(95% CI)

LR+

(95% CI)

LR‐

(95% CI)

Any varices

Platelet count

Around 100,000

0.57

(0.50 to 0.64)

0.75

(0.67 to 0.82)

2.3

(1.7 to 3.1)

0.57

(0.49 to 0.67)

Around 120,000

0.77

(0.72 to 0.81)

0.69

(0.57 to 0.78)

2.4

(1.7 to 3.5)

0.34

(0.26 to 0.44)

Around 150,000

0.71

(0.63 to 0.77)

0.80

(0.69 to 0.88)

3.6

(2.4 to 5.4)

0.37

(0.30 to 0.45)

Spleen length

Around

110 mm

0.85

(0.75 to 0.91)

0.54

(0.46 to 0.62)

1.8

(1.6 to 2.1)

0.28

(0.17 to 0.44)

Around

150 mm

0.57

(0.41 to 0.71)

0.82

(0.72 to 0.89)

3.2

(2.3 to 4.4)

0.53

(0.39 to 0.72)

Platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio

909 (n/mm3)/mm

0.93

(0.83 to 0.97)

0.84

(0.75 to 0.91)

5.9

(3.5 to 9.9)

0.09

(0.03 to 0.22)

High‐risk varices

Platelet count

Around 90,000

0.59

(0.54 to 0.64)

0.72

(0.66 to 0.78)

2.1

(1.8 to 2.6)

0.57

(0.52 to 0.63)

Around 150,000

0.80

(0.73 to 0.85)

0.68

(0.57 to 0.77)

2.5

(1.8 to 3.3)

0.30

(0.23 to 0.39)

Spleen length

Platelet count‐to‐spleen length ratio

Around

909 (n/mm3)/mm

0.85

(0.72 to 0.93)

0.66

(0.52 to 0.77)

2.5

(1.8 to 3.4)

0.22

(0.12 to 0.42)

Figures and Tables -
Table 2. Summary of diagnostic accuracy results
Table Tests. Data tables by test

Test

No. of studies

No. of participants

1 Adults ‐ platelet count ‐ any varices Show forest plot

25

5096

2 Adults ‐ platelet count ‐ any varices ‐ cut‐off around 100,000 Show forest plot

11

3506

3 Adults ‐ platelet count ‐ any varices ‐ cut‐off around 120,000 Show forest plot

7

815

4 Adults ‐ platelet count ‐ any varices ‐ cut‐off around 150,000 Show forest plot

10

2054

5 Adults ‐ platelet/spleen ratio ‐ any varices Show forest plot

38

5235

6 Adults ‐ platelet/spleen ratio ‐ any varices ‐ cut‐off 909 Show forest plot

17

2637

7 Adults ‐ spleen diameter ‐ any varices Show forest plot

13

1489

8 Adults ‐ spleen diameter ‐ any varices ‐ cut‐off around 110 mm Show forest plot

5

594

9 Adults ‐ spleen diameter ‐ any varices ‐ cut‐off around 150 mm Show forest plot

5

598

10 Adults ‐ platelet count ‐ high‐risk varices Show forest plot

21

4266

11 Adults ‐ platelet count ‐ high‐risk varices ‐ cut‐off around 90,000 Show forest plot

11

3084

12 Adults ‐ platelet count ‐ high‐risk varices ‐ cut‐off around 150,000 Show forest plot

7

1671

13 Adults ‐ platelet/spleen ratio ‐ high‐risk varices Show forest plot

10

930

14 Adults ‐ platelet/spleen ratio ‐ high‐risk varices ‐ cut‐off around 909 Show forest plot

7

642

15 Adults ‐ spleen diameter ‐ high‐risk varices Show forest plot

6

883

16 Paediatrics ‐ platelet count ‐ any varices Show forest plot

4

277

17 Paediatrics ‐ platelet/spleen ratio z‐score ‐ any varices Show forest plot

2

197

Figures and Tables -
Table Tests. Data tables by test