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Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews

Induction of labour at or beyond 37 weeks' gestation

Information

DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD004945.pub5Copy DOI
Database:
  1. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews
Version published:
  1. 15 July 2020see what's new
Type:
  1. Intervention
Stage:
  1. Review
Cochrane Editorial Group:
  1. Cochrane Pregnancy and Childbirth Group

Copyright:
  1. Copyright © 2020 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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Authors

  • Philippa Middleton

    Correspondence to: Women and Kids Theme, South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute, Adelaide, Australia

    [email protected]

    [email protected]

  • Emily Shepherd

    Women and Kids Theme, South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute, Adelaide, Australia

    Robinson Research Institute, Discipline of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Adelaide Medical School, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, Australia

  • Jonathan Morris

    Sydney Medical School – Northern, The University of Sydney, St Leonards, Australia

  • Caroline A Crowther

    Liggins Institute, The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand

  • Judith C Gomersall

    Women and Kids, South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute, Adelaide, Australia

Contributions of authors

For this updated review, Philippa Middleton (PM), Emily Shepherd (ES) and Judith Gomersall (JG) applied the selection criteria, extracted data for included studies, assessed risk of bias, carried out GRADE assessments and prepared SoF tables. All five authors (PM, ES, JG, Jonathan Morris, Caroline Crowther) contributed to drafting and editing of this update.

Sources of support

Internal sources

  • Robinson Research Institute, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, Australia

  • Women and Kids, South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute (SAHMRI), Adelaide, Australia

  • Liggins Institute, The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand

External sources

  • NHMRC: National Health and Medical Research Council, Australia

    Funding for the Cochrane Pregnancy and Childbirth Australian and New Zealand Satellite

  • NIHR: National Institute for Health Research, UK

    NIHR Cochrane Programme Grant Project: 13/89/05 – Pregnancy and childbirth systematic reviews to support clinical
    guidelines

  • UNDP‐UNFPA‐UNICEF‐WHO‐World Bank Special Programme of Research, Development and Research Training in Human Reproduction (HRP), Department of Sexual and Reproductive Health and Research, World Health Organization, Switzerland

    This review is supported by funding to Cochrane Pregnancy and Childbirth (University of Liverpool)

Declarations of interest

Philippa Middleton: none known.

Caroline A Crowther: none known.

Jonathan Morris: none known.

Emily Shepherd: none known.

Judith Gomersall: none known.

Acknowledgements

We acknowledge the support from Cochrane Pregnancy and Childbirth editorial team in Liverpool and the Australian and New Zealand Satellite of Cochrane Pregnancy and Childbirth.

We thank Therese Dowswell from Cochrane Pregnancy and Childbirth who provided support for the 2018 update. Therese assisted with data extraction, and the production of 'Summary of findings' tables.

We would like to acknowledge the contribution of Machiko Suganuma who assisted with data extraction for the 2018 update.

We would like to acknowledge the contribution of A Metin Gulmezoglu who initiated, led and assisted in the review preparation until 2016 and Emer Van Ryswyk for her contribution to a previous version of this review (Gülmezoglu 2012).

As part of the pre‐publication editorial process, this review has been commented on by three peers (an editor and two referees who are external to the editorial team), a member of our international panel of consumers and our Group's Statistical Adviser. The authors are grateful to the following peer reviewers for their time and comments: Jim Thornton, Professor of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Nottingham, UK; Rory Windrom, Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Toronto, Canada.

This project was supported by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR), via Cochrane programme grant funding, and Cochrane Infrastructure funding to Cochrane Pregnancy and Childbirth. The views and opinions expressed therein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the Systematic Reviews Programme, NIHR, National Health Service or the Department of Health.

This review is supported by funding from the UNDP‐UNFPA‐UNICEF‐WHO‐World Bank Special Programme of Research, Development and Research Training in Human Reproduction (HRP), Department of Sexual and Reproductive Health and Research, World Health Organization to Cochrane Pregnancy and Childbirth (University of Liverpool). HRP supports and co‐ordinates research on a global scale, synthesises research through systematic reviews of literature, builds research capacity in low‐ and middle‐income countries and develops dissemination tools to make efficient use of ever‐increasing research information. In addition to its co‐sponsors, the International Planned Parenthood Federation (IPPF) and UNAIDS are both members of HRP’s governing body.

Version history

Published

Title

Stage

Authors

Version

2020 Jul 15

Induction of labour at or beyond 37 weeks' gestation

Review

Philippa Middleton, Emily Shepherd, Jonathan Morris, Caroline A Crowther, Judith C Gomersall

https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD004945.pub5

2018 May 09

Induction of labour for improving birth outcomes for women at or beyond term

Review

Philippa Middleton, Emily Shepherd, Caroline A Crowther

https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD004945.pub4

2012 Jun 13

Induction of labour for improving birth outcomes for women at or beyond term

Review

A Metin Gülmezoglu, Caroline A Crowther, Philippa Middleton, Emer Heatley

https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD004945.pub3

2006 Oct 18

Induction of labour for improving birth outcomes for women at or beyond term

Review

A Metin Gülmezoglu, Caroline A Crowther, Philippa Middleton

https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD004945.pub2

2004 Oct 18

Induction of labour for improving birth outcomes for women at or beyond term

Protocol

A Metin Gülmezoglu, Caroline A Crowther

https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD004945

Differences between protocol and review

2020 update of the review

  • The title has been changed to 'Induction of labour at or beyond 37 weeks' gestation' to reflect increasing debate about how 'term' should be defined.

  • The subgroup analyses by gestational age are now reported by induction at < 40 weeks; 40 to 41 weeks; and > 41 weeks.

  • We have included an additional subgroup analysis based on parity.

2018 update of the review

  • We have updated the methods in line with those in the standard template used by Cochrane Pregnancy and Childbirth.

  • We have omitted the outcome of vaginal birth as it is the obverse of caesarean section.

  • We have used the GRADE approach to assess the quality of the body of evidence and we have included ’Summary of findings’ tables.

  • We have added three new infant secondary outcomes (birthweight; birthweight > 4000 g; neonatal trauma), which were reported as non‐prespecified, but important, outcomes in the previous version of this review, in our main outcomes list.

  • The secondary infant outcome 'Perinatal death (stillbirth, newborn deaths within first week)' (which is the same as the primary outcome) has been changed to two separate outcomes, 'Stillbirth' and 'Neonatal death within the first week'.

  • The subgroup analyses by gestational age are now reported by induction at < 41 weeks; and at ≥ 41 weeks.

  • We have added in an additional search of ClinicalTrials.gov and the WHO International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP).

In the previous (Gülmezoglu 2012) update of this review:

  • The subgroup analyses by gestational age were reported by induction at 39 to 40 weeks; at 41 weeks; and at > 41 weeks.

  • The methods were updated to reflect the latest Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions version (Higgins 2011).

Keywords

MeSH

PICOs

Population
Intervention
Comparison
Outcome

The PICO model is widely used and taught in evidence-based health care as a strategy for formulating questions and search strategies and for characterizing clinical studies or meta-analyses. PICO stands for four different potential components of a clinical question: Patient, Population or Problem; Intervention; Comparison; Outcome.

See more on using PICO in the Cochrane Handbook.

Study flow diagram.

Figures and Tables -
Figure 1

Study flow diagram.

'Risk of bias' graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.

Figures and Tables -
Figure 2

'Risk of bias' graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.

'Risk of bias' summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.

Figures and Tables -
Figure 3

'Risk of bias' summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.

Funnel plot of comparison: 1 Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), outcome: 1.1 Perinatal death.

Figures and Tables -
Figure 4

Funnel plot of comparison: 1 Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), outcome: 1.1 Perinatal death.

Funnel plot of comparison: 1 Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), outcome: 1.2 Stillbirth.

Figures and Tables -
Figure 5

Funnel plot of comparison: 1 Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), outcome: 1.2 Stillbirth.

Funnel plot of comparison: 1 Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), outcome: 1.3 Neonatal death.

Figures and Tables -
Figure 6

Funnel plot of comparison: 1 Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), outcome: 1.3 Neonatal death.

Funnel plot of comparison: 1 Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), outcome: 1.5 Admission to neonatal intensive care unit.

Figures and Tables -
Figure 7

Funnel plot of comparison: 1 Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), outcome: 1.5 Admission to neonatal intensive care unit.

Funnel plot of comparison: 1 Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), outcome: 1.9 Meconium aspiration syndrome.

Figures and Tables -
Figure 8

Funnel plot of comparison: 1 Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), outcome: 1.9 Meconium aspiration syndrome.

Funnel plot of comparison: 1 Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), outcome: 1.11 Apgar score less than 7 at 5 minutes.

Figures and Tables -
Figure 9

Funnel plot of comparison: 1 Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), outcome: 1.11 Apgar score less than 7 at 5 minutes.

Funnel plot of comparison: 1 Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), outcome: 1.12 Birthweight (g).

Figures and Tables -
Figure 10

Funnel plot of comparison: 1 Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), outcome: 1.12 Birthweight (g).

Funnel plot of comparison: 1 Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), outcome: 1.15 Caesarean section.

Figures and Tables -
Figure 11

Funnel plot of comparison: 1 Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), outcome: 1.15 Caesarean section.

Funnel plot of comparison: 1 Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), outcome: 1.16 Operative vaginal birth (forceps or ventouse).

Figures and Tables -
Figure 12

Funnel plot of comparison: 1 Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), outcome: 1.16 Operative vaginal birth (forceps or ventouse).

Funnel plot of comparison: 1 Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), outcome: 1.20 Postpartum haemorrhage.

Figures and Tables -
Figure 13

Funnel plot of comparison: 1 Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), outcome: 1.20 Postpartum haemorrhage.

Funnel plot of comparison: 1 Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), outcome: 1.28 Length of labour (hours).

Figures and Tables -
Figure 14

Funnel plot of comparison: 1 Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), outcome: 1.28 Length of labour (hours).

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 1: Perinatal death

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.1

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 1: Perinatal death

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 2: Stillbirth

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.2

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 2: Stillbirth

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 3: Neonatal death

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.3

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 3: Neonatal death

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 4: Birth asphyxia

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.4

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 4: Birth asphyxia

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 5: Admission to neonatal intensive care unit

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.5

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 5: Admission to neonatal intensive care unit

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 6: Neonatal convulsions

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.6

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 6: Neonatal convulsions

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 7: Neonatal encephalopathy (HIE)

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.7

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 7: Neonatal encephalopathy (HIE)

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 8: Use of anticonvulsants

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.8

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 8: Use of anticonvulsants

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 9: Meconium aspiration syndrome

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.9

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 9: Meconium aspiration syndrome

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 10: Pneumonia

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.10

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 10: Pneumonia

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 11: Apgar score less than 7 at 5 minutes

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.11

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 11: Apgar score less than 7 at 5 minutes

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 12: Birthweight (g)

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.12

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 12: Birthweight (g)

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 13: Birthweight > 4000 g

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.13

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 13: Birthweight > 4000 g

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 14: Neonatal (birth) trauma

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.14

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 14: Neonatal (birth) trauma

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 15: Caesarean section

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.15

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 15: Caesarean section

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 16: Operative vaginal birth (forceps or ventouse)

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.16

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 16: Operative vaginal birth (forceps or ventouse)

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 17: Analgesia used

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.17

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 17: Analgesia used

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 18: Perineal trauma

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.18

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 18: Perineal trauma

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 19: Prolonged labour

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.19

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 19: Prolonged labour

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 20: Postpartum haemorrhage

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.20

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 20: Postpartum haemorrhage

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 21: Breastfeeding

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.21

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 21: Breastfeeding

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 22: Maternal satisfaction

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.22

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 22: Maternal satisfaction

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 23: Maternal satisfaction

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.23

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 23: Maternal satisfaction

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 24: Length of maternal hospital stay (days)

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.24

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 24: Length of maternal hospital stay (days)

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 25: Length of maternal (postnatal) stay (categories)

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.25

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 25: Length of maternal (postnatal) stay (categories)

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 26: Length of neonatal hospital stay (days)

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.26

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 26: Length of neonatal hospital stay (days)

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 27: Length of neonatal (postnatal) stay (categories)

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.27

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 27: Length of neonatal (postnatal) stay (categories)

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 28: Length of labour (hours)

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.28

Comparison 1: Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials), Outcome 28: Length of labour (hours)

Comparison 2: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by gestational age at induction), Outcome 1: Perinatal death

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 2.1

Comparison 2: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by gestational age at induction), Outcome 1: Perinatal death

Comparison 2: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by gestational age at induction), Outcome 2: Stillbirth

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 2.2

Comparison 2: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by gestational age at induction), Outcome 2: Stillbirth

Comparison 2: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by gestational age at induction), Outcome 3: Admission to neonatal intensive care unit

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 2.3

Comparison 2: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by gestational age at induction), Outcome 3: Admission to neonatal intensive care unit

Comparison 2: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by gestational age at induction), Outcome 4: Caesarean section

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 2.4

Comparison 2: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by gestational age at induction), Outcome 4: Caesarean section

Comparison 2: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by gestational age at induction), Outcome 5: Operative vaginal birth (forceps or ventouse)

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 2.5

Comparison 2: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by gestational age at induction), Outcome 5: Operative vaginal birth (forceps or ventouse)

Comparison 2: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by gestational age at induction), Outcome 6: Perineal trauma

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 2.6

Comparison 2: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by gestational age at induction), Outcome 6: Perineal trauma

Comparison 3: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by parity), Outcome 1: Perinatal death

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 3.1

Comparison 3: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by parity), Outcome 1: Perinatal death

Comparison 3: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by parity), Outcome 2: Stillbirth

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 3.2

Comparison 3: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by parity), Outcome 2: Stillbirth

Comparison 3: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by parity), Outcome 3: Admission to neonatal intensive care unit

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 3.3

Comparison 3: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by parity), Outcome 3: Admission to neonatal intensive care unit

Comparison 3: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by parity), Outcome 4: Caesarean section

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 3.4

Comparison 3: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by parity), Outcome 4: Caesarean section

Comparison 3: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by parity), Outcome 5: Operative vaginal birth (forceps or ventouse)

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 3.5

Comparison 3: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by parity), Outcome 5: Operative vaginal birth (forceps or ventouse)

Comparison 3: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by parity), Outcome 6: Perineal trauma (severe perineal tear)

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 3.6

Comparison 3: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by parity), Outcome 6: Perineal trauma (severe perineal tear)

Comparison 4: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by status of cervix), Outcome 1: Perinatal death

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 4.1

Comparison 4: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by status of cervix), Outcome 1: Perinatal death

Comparison 4: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by status of cervix), Outcome 2: Stillbirth

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 4.2

Comparison 4: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by status of cervix), Outcome 2: Stillbirth

Comparison 4: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by status of cervix), Outcome 3: Admission to neonatal intensive care unit

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 4.3

Comparison 4: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by status of cervix), Outcome 3: Admission to neonatal intensive care unit

Comparison 4: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by status of cervix), Outcome 4: Caesarean section

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 4.4

Comparison 4: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by status of cervix), Outcome 4: Caesarean section

Comparison 4: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by status of cervix), Outcome 5: Operative vaginal birth (forceps or ventouse)

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 4.5

Comparison 4: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by status of cervix), Outcome 5: Operative vaginal birth (forceps or ventouse)

Comparison 4: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by status of cervix), Outcome 6: Perineal trauma

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 4.6

Comparison 4: Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by status of cervix), Outcome 6: Perineal trauma

Summary of findings 1. Labour induction versus expectant management (infant/child outcomes)

Induction of labour for improving birth outcomes for women at or beyond 37 weeks gestation

Population: pregnant women at or beyond 37 weeks gestation
Setting: Austria, Canada, China, India, Finland, Malaysia, Netherlands, Norway, Russia, Spain, Sweden, Thailand, Tunisia, Turkey, UK and USA
Intervention: labour induction
Comparison: expectant management

Outcomes

Anticipated absolute effects* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

№ of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Risk with expectant management

Risk with labour induction

Perinatal death (intrauterine deaths plus neonatal deaths in the first week of life)

Study population

RR 0.31
(0.15 to 0.64)

18,795
(22 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊕⊕
HIGH1

Exact day of death not reported for all of the nine neonatal deaths but all were likely to have occurred in the first week of life (see Table 5)

3 per 1000

0.4 per 1000

(0.1 to 1.9)

Stillbirth

Study population

RR 0.30
(0.12 to 0.75)

18,795
(22 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊕⊕
HIGH1

2 per 1000

1 per 1000
(0.15 to 1.5)

Admission to neonatal intensive care unit

Study population

RR 0.88
(0.80 to 0.96)

17,826
(17 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊕⊕
HIGH1

95 per 1000

83 per 1000
(80 to 91)

Neonatal encephalopathy

Study population

RR 0.69 (0.37 to 1.31)

8,851

(2 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊝⊝

LOW 2

5 per 1000

3 per 1000

(2 to 7)

Apgar score less than 7 at 5 minutes

Study population

RR 0.73
(0.56 to 0.96)

18,345
(20 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
MODERATE3

13 per 1000

10 per 1000
(7 to 12)

Neonatal (birth) trauma

Study population

RR 0.97
(0.63 to 1.49)

13,106
(5 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
MODERATE4

7 per 1000

7 per 1000
(5 to 12)

Neurodevelopment at childhood follow‐up

Study population

(0 RCTs)

No RCTs reported data for this outcome.

see comment

see comment

*The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
CI: confidence interval; RCT: randomised controlled trial; RR: risk ratio

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect
Moderate quality: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate: The true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different
Low quality: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: The true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect
Very low quality: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate: The true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect

1Not downgraded (larger studies (> 1000 participants) are generally at low risk of bias, although some smaller studies have unclear risk of selection bias); not downgraded for lack of blinding as unlikely to have influenced objective outcomes.

2Downgraded 2 levels for very serious concerns regarding imprecision (wide confidence intervals crossing the line of no effect).

3Downgraded 1 level for serious concerns regarding indirectness, with three studies reporting Apgar scores with more stringent cutoffs than < 5 at 7 minutes (see graph footnotes).

4Downgraded 1 level for serious concerns regarding imprecision, with wide confidence intervals crossing line of no effect.

Figures and Tables -
Summary of findings 1. Labour induction versus expectant management (infant/child outcomes)
Table 5. Causes of death (stillbirths and livebirth deaths)

Study

Cause of death

Intervention Group

Control Group (Expectant management)

Augensen 1987

No deaths

No deaths

Bergsjo 1989

1. Severe malformations

(Livebirth) GA at birth and timing of death after birth not reported, but assumed to be early

1. Malformation

(Livebirth) GA at birth and timing of death after birth not reported, but assumed to be early

2. Pneumonia

(Livebirth) GA at birth and timing of death after birth not reported, but assumed to be early

Chanrachkul 2003

No deaths

No deaths

Cole 1975

No deaths

1. Congenital heart condition

(Stillbirth) GA at detection of death not reported

Dyson 1987

No deaths

1. Meconium aspiration and persistent fetal circulation

(Livebirth) GA at birth was 43 + 4 and timing of death after birth was early but not reported in days

Egarter 1989

No deaths

1. Cord complication

(Stillbirth) GA at detection of fetal death was 40 + 3 weeks

Gelisen 2005

No deaths

1. Intrauterine fetal death

(Stillbirth) GA at death 41 + 5 weeks

Grobman 2018

Antepartum stillbirth: 1
Intrapartum stillbirth: 0
Neonatal death: 1

Antepartum stillbirth: 1

Intrapartum stillbirth: 0

Neonatal death: 2 early deaths (no other information; time of death not reported)

Hannah 1992

No deaths

1. Hypoxic ischaemic encephalopathy

(Stillbirth) GA at detection of death not reported in days

2. Massive aspiration of meconium

(Stillbirth) GA at detection of death not reported

Heimstad 2007

No deaths

1. Birth asphyxia secondary to a true knot in the umbilical cord

(Livebirth) Birth at 294 days GA; death at 2 days of age

Henry 1969

No deaths

1. Stillbirth in a woman with an abnormal glucose tolerance test

(Stillbirth) GA at detection of death not reported

2. Neonatal death from meconium inhalation in a woman with a positive amnioscopy who refused surgical induction of labour

(Livebirth) GA at detection of death not reported, but presumed early

Herabutya 1992

No deaths

1. Congenital anomaly

(Livebirth) Birth at 43 weeks; death at 3 days of age

James 2001

No deaths

No deaths

Keulen 2019

One fetal death: “The stillbirth in the induction group was in a 30 year old multiparous woman who was randomised at 40 weeks+5 days and scheduled for induction at 41 weeks+1 day. She had reduced fetal movements at 40 weeks+6 days, and fetal death was diagnosed at consultation. She delivered a neonate weighing 3595 g (20th to 50th centiles). Investigations, including a postmortem examination, did not explain the stillbirth.”

2 fetal deaths: "stillbirth was diagnosed in a 36 year old nulliparous woman at 41 weeks+3 days, when she was admitted to hospital in labour. She delivered a neonate weighing 2945 g (5th to 10th centiles). Investigations, including placental examination, did not explain the stillbirth, and the parents declined a postmortem examination. The second stillbirth in the expectant management group was diagnosed in a 32 year old multiparous woman at 41 weeks+4 days during a regular consultation in secondary care for impending post‐term pregnancy. She delivered a neonate weighing 3715 g (20th to 50th centiles). No postmortem examination was performed, but the placenta showed signs of chorioamnionitis.”

Martin 1978

No deaths reported

1 (Stillbirth)

Stillbirth after induction of labour at 42 weeks for postmaturity and meconium

Martin 1989

No deaths

No deaths

NICHHD 1994

No deaths

No deaths

Sargunam 2019

No deaths reported

No deaths reported

Sahraoui 2005

No deaths

1 (Intrauterine fetal death)

(Stillbirth) Death detected at 42 weeks' GA

Sande 1983

No deaths

No deaths

Suikkari 1983

No deaths

No deaths

Walker 2016

No deaths

No deaths

Wennerholm 2019

No deaths

6 (5 stillbirths; 1 early neonatal death)

One stillborn baby had cardiovascular malformations not considered to be lethal and there were no explanations for the deaths of the other four stillbirths;

Cause of the early neonatal death was hypoxic ischaemic encephalopathy in a large for gestational age neonate.

GA: gestational age

Figures and Tables -
Table 5. Causes of death (stillbirths and livebirth deaths)
Summary of findings 2. Labour induction versus expectant management (maternal outcomes)

Induction of labour for improving birth outcomes for women at or beyond term

Population: pregnant women at or beyond 37 weeks gestation
Setting: Austria, Canada, China, Finland, France, India, Malaysia, Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden, Russia, Thailand, Tunisia, Turkey, UK, and USA
Intervention: labour induction
Comparison: expectant management

Outcomes

Anticipated absolute effects* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

№ of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Risk with expectant management

Risk with labour induction

Caesarean section

Study population

RR 0.90
(0.85 to 0.95)

21,030
(31 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
MODERATE1

186 per 1000

167 per 1000
(158 to 177)

Operative vaginal birth (forceps or ventouse)

Study population

RR 1.03
(0.96 to 1.10)

18,584
(22 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
MODERATE1

136 per 1000

140 per 1000
(131 to 150)

Perineal trauma (severe perineal tear)

Study population

RR 1.04
(0.85 to 1.26)

11,589
(5 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOW1,2

31 per 1000

33 per 1000
(26 to 39)

Postpartum haemorrhage

Study population

RR 1.02
(0.91 to 1.15)

12,609
(9 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
MODERATE3

variously defined

79 per 1000

81 per 1000
(73 to 91)

Breastfeeding at discharge

Study population

RR 1.00

(0.96 to 1.04)

7487

(2 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
MODERATE4

505 per 1000

505 per 1000

(485 to 525)

Postnatal depression

Study population

(0 RCTs)

No RCTs reported data for this outcome.

see comment

see comment

Length of maternal hospital stay (days)

Average MD 0.19 days shorter for women who were induced
(0.56 days shorter to 0.18 days longer)

4120
(7 RCTs)

⊕⊝⊝⊝

VERY LOW5

*The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
CI: confidence interval; MD: mean difference; RCT: randomised controlled trial; RR: risk ratio

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect
Moderate quality: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate: The true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different
Low quality: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: The true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect
Very low quality: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate: The true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect

1Downgraded 1 level for serious concerns regarding unclear allocation concealment methods for many of the 31 trials included for this outcome.
2Downgraded 1 level for serious concerns regarding imprecision with wde confidence intervals crossing the line of no effect, signalling some uncertainty about direction of effect.

3Downgraded 1 level for serious concerns regarding indirectness with postpartum haemorrhage defined in different ways for several of the trials.

4Downgraded 1 level for indirectness with one of the two studies reporting breastfeeding 4‐8 weeks after discharge (not at discharge).

5Downgraded 1 level for serious concerns regarding selection bias, with 4 of 5 trials having with unclear allocation concealment; and downgraded 2 levels for very serious concerns regarding inconsistency, with very high statistical heterogeneity (I² = 94%).

Figures and Tables -
Summary of findings 2. Labour induction versus expectant management (maternal outcomes)
Table 1. Gestational age, at baseline and at induction

Study

At baseline/enrolment (all participants)

At induction (intervention group participants only)

Mean [SD] unless otherwise indicated

Augensen 1987

41 weeks (290‐297 days)

294.8 days

(category:41 weeks)

Baev 2017

40+6 weeks (283‐289 days)

285.35 [0.93] days

(category: 40‐41 weeks)

Bergsjo 1989

42 weeks+ (294+ days)

294+ days, mean NR

(category:41 weeks)

Brane 2014

between 37+0 and 41+6 weeks

282 [5.9] days

(category: 40‐41 weeks)

Breart 1982

37 to 39 weeks (259‐273 days)

259‐273 days, mean NR

(category: < 40 weeks)

Chakravarti 2000

< 41 weeks (< 290 days)

< 290 days, mean NR

(category: 40‐41 weeks)

Chanrachkul 2003

41+3 weeks (290 days)

290.4 [1.4] days

(category:41 weeks)

Cohn 1992

42+0 weeks (294 days)

294+ days

(category:41 weeks)

Cole 1975

39 to 40 weeks (273‐280 days)

273‐280 days, mean NR

(category: < 40 weeks)

Dyson 1987

41 weeks+ (287 days+)

296.3 [2.6] days

(category:41 weeks)

Egarter 1989

40 weeks (280 days)

280 days

(category: 40 to 41 weeks )

Gelisen 2005

41 weeks+ 0‐1

286‐288 days

(category: ≥ 41 weeks)

Grobman 2018

380 weeks to 386 (268‐274 days)

390 weeks to 394 weeks (273‐279 days)

(category: < 40 weeks)

Hannah 1992

41 weeks+ (287 days+)

287 days+ mean NR (authors stated that women were induced within 4 days of enrolment, and that 88% of women were 41 weeks GA, (287‐293 days GA), no further details)

(category:41 weeks)

Heimstad 2007

406 weeks (286 days)

Mean 289 [0.7] days

(category:41 weeks)

Henry 1969

41 weeks+ (287 days+)

287+ days, mean NR

(category:41 weeks)

Herabutya 1992

42 weeks+ (294 days+)

294+ days, mean NR

(category: ≥ 41 weeks)

James 2001

41 weeks (287 days)

287+ days, mean NR

(category:41 weeks)

Keulen 2019

405 to 410 weeks (285‐287 days)

287 to 288 days, mean NR

(category:41 weeks)

Martin 1978

371 to 376 weeks (260‐266 days)

273 days

(category: < 40 weeks)

Martin 1989

41 weeks (287 days)

287+ days, mean NR

(category:41 weeks)

Miller 2015

380 to 386 (266 to 272 days)

390 to 396 weeks (273‐279 days), mean NR

(category: < 40 weeks)

NICHHD 1994

41 weeks+ (at least 287 days)

287 days to < 301 days, mean NR

(category:41 weeks)

Nielsen 2005

390 to 396 weeks (273‐279 days)

Within a week after enrolment, therefore between 39 and 40 weeks (274 to 280 days) (mean time between enrolment and induction of labour 3.7 days)

(category: < 40 weeks)

Ocon 1997

Unclear (due to incomplete translation of paper)

42 completed weeks

(category:41 weeks)

Roach 1997

410 to 416 weeks (287 to 293 days)

42 completed weeks

(category:41 weeks)

Sahraoui 2005

410 to 416 weeks (287‐293 days)

287‐293 days, mean NR

(category:41 weeks)

Sande 1983

400 and 406 weeks

280 to 286 days

(category: 40 to 41 weeks)

Sargunam 2019

≥ 39 weeks (≥ 273 days)

≥ 273 days

(category: < 40 weeks)

Suikkari 1983

10 days or more post‐date

287+ days

(category:41 weeks)

Tylleskar 1979

At least 37 weeks (259+ days)

40 weeks, EDD +/‐ 2 days

(category: 40 to 41 weeks)

Walker 2016

360 to 396 weeks (252‐279 days)

390 to 396 weeks (273‐279 days)

(category: < 40 weeks)

Wennerholm 2019

406 to 411 weeks (286 to 288 days)

288.7 [1.1] weeks

(category:41 weeks)

Witter 1987

41 weeks (293 to 298 days)

42 weeks (293‐298 days)

(category:41 weeks)

EDD : estimated due date
GA: gestational age
NR: not reported
SD: standard deviation

Figures and Tables -
Table 1. Gestational age, at baseline and at induction
Table 3. Induction setting (start and waiting)

STUDY

START (hospital or home: and type of unit (obstetric or midwife‐led))

WAITING (hospital or home)

Augensen 1987

Hospital

"Women in group 1 (immediate induction) were then referred to the delivery department for induction"

Not reported

Baev 2017

Hospital

Not reported

Bergsjo 1989

Hospital

Hospital (not explicitly stated that women in the induction group stayed in hospital after induction started).

However authors reported that two women in the induction group (who waited up until a week for induction) stayed in hospital after randomisation, due to transport/distance issues). This suggests that some women waited at home.

Brane 2014

Hospital (Swedish delivery unit)

Hospital

Breart 1982

Unclear (in French)

Unclear (in French)

Chakravarti 2000

Not reported

Not reported

Chanrachkul 2003

Hospital

Hospital

Cohn 1992

Not reported

Not reported

Cole 1975

Hospital

Not reported

Dyson 1987

Hospital

Home and hospital:

women who did not have a regular contractile pattern 45 minutes after induction gel was administered were allowed to go home; those who did were admitted to the hospital.

Egarter 1989

Not reported

Not reported

Gelisen 2005

Hospital

Hospital

Grobman 2018

Not reported

(A specific induction protocol was not mandated for women who underwent induction in either group).

Not reported

Hannah 1992

Hospital (community and tertiary)

Not reported, only reported that when induction was started, women were treated as outpatients in the hospital

Heimstad 2007

Hospital

Not reported

Henry 1969

Hospital

Not reported

Herabutya 1992

Hospital

Home and hospital or either:

women with a Bishop score > 6 stayed in hospital after the induction was performed, and sent to birthing ward; while those with a lower Bishop score were asked to go home and come in the next morning

James 2001

Hospital

Not reported

Keulen 2019

Primary care midwifery practices (n = 123) and hospitals (n = 45) (in the Netherlands, care is provided for women with normal risk pregnancies by midwives, and for pregnancies at increased risk by obstetricians or gynaecologists)

"all women in the 41 week induction group received obstetrician led intrapartum secondary care"

Martin 1978

Hospital

Hospital

Martin 1989

Hospital

Hospital

Miller 2015

Hospital

Hospital

NICHHD 1994

Hospital

Hospital

Nielsen 2005

Hospital

Not reported

Ocon 1997

Unclear (in Spanish)

Unclear (in Spanish)

Roach 1997

Hospital

Not reported

Sahraoui 2005

Not reported

Not reported

Sande 1983

Not reported

Not reported

Sargunam 2019

Hospital

Not stated by authors, however implied by the trial inclusion criteria: "persistent contractions after overnight hospitalisation

> 8 h"

Not reported

Suikkari 1983

Hospital

Not reported

Tylleskar 1979

"Two health clinics"

Health clinic where labour was induced

Walker 2016

Not reported: "In the induction group, local policies for induction of labor were followed".

Not reported

Wennerholm 2019

Not reported

Not reported

Witter 1987

Hospital

Not reported

Figures and Tables -
Table 3. Induction setting (start and waiting)
Table 4. Rates of perinatal death by gestation

Week

IOL

Expectant

rate/1000

rate/1000

37

0

0

0

0

38

0/111

0

1/117

8.5

39

2/3455

0.6

4/3443

1.2

40‐41

0/380

0

1/380

2.6

42

2/5472

0.37

19/5437

3.5

IOL: induction of labour

Figures and Tables -
Table 4. Rates of perinatal death by gestation
Comparison 1. Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials)

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1.1 Perinatal death Show forest plot

22

18795

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.31 [0.15, 0.64]

1.2 Stillbirth Show forest plot

22

18795

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.30 [0.12, 0.75]

1.3 Neonatal death Show forest plot

21

18611

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.39 [0.13, 1.14]

1.4 Birth asphyxia Show forest plot

4

1456

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.66 [0.61, 4.55]

1.5 Admission to neonatal intensive care unit Show forest plot

17

17826

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.88 [0.80, 0.96]

1.6 Neonatal convulsions Show forest plot

5

13216

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.01 [0.15, 6.67]

1.7 Neonatal encephalopathy (HIE) Show forest plot

2

8851

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.69 [0.37, 1.31]

1.8 Use of anticonvulsants Show forest plot

1

349

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.34 [0.01, 8.17]

1.9 Meconium aspiration syndrome Show forest plot

13

16622

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.75 [0.62, 0.92]

1.10 Pneumonia Show forest plot

2

8851

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.54 [0.27, 1.06]

1.11 Apgar score less than 7 at 5 minutes Show forest plot

20

18345

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.73 [0.56, 0.96]

1.12 Birthweight (g) Show forest plot

18

8817

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

‐59.38 [‐77.03, ‐41.73]

1.13 Birthweight > 4000 g Show forest plot

8

5593

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.72 [0.54, 0.96]

1.14 Neonatal (birth) trauma Show forest plot

5

13106

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.97 [0.63, 1.49]

1.15 Caesarean section Show forest plot

31

21030

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.90 [0.85, 0.95]

1.16 Operative vaginal birth (forceps or ventouse) Show forest plot

22

18584

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.03 [0.96, 1.10]

1.17 Analgesia used Show forest plot

12

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

1.17.1 Epidural/regional

8

4579

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.09 [0.99, 1.20]

1.17.2 Other

4

2352

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.11 [1.05, 1.18]

1.18 Perineal trauma Show forest plot

7

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

1.18.1 Severe perineal tear

5

11589

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.04 [0.85, 1.26]

1.18.2 Episiotomy

2

1747

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.96 [0.84, 1.11]

1.18.3 Obstetrical anal sphincter injuries

2

1698

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.81 [0.51, 1.31]

1.19 Prolonged labour Show forest plot

4

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

1.19.1 First stage

2

648

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.76 [0.49, 1.20]

1.19.2 Second stage

1

508

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.67 [0.36, 1.22]

1.19.3 Third stage

1

249

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

3.02 [0.12, 73.52]

1.19.4 No definition

1

112

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.35 [0.01, 8.30]

1.20 Postpartum haemorrhage Show forest plot

9

12609

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.02 [0.91, 1.15]

1.21 Breastfeeding Show forest plot

2

7487

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.00 [0.96, 1.04]

1.22 Maternal satisfaction Show forest plot

3

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

1.22.1 Hoping to be randomised to the same trial arm as they had been in this study

1

496

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.93 [1.62, 2.30]

1.22.2 Preferred/satisfied with their allocation

2

493

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.99 [0.88, 1.13]

1.22.3 Satisfaction with pregnancy outcome

1

308

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.92 [0.80, 1.06]

1.23 Maternal satisfaction Show forest plot

1

619

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.07 [‐0.02, 0.16]

1.24 Length of maternal hospital stay (days) Show forest plot

7

4120

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.19 [‐0.56, 0.18]

1.25 Length of maternal (postnatal) stay (categories) Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

1.25.1 < 2 days

1

6096

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.01 [0.87, 1.17]

1.25.2 2 days

1

6096

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.04 [1.01, 1.08]

1.25.3 3 days

1

6096

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.88 [0.77, 0.99]

1.25.4 4 days

1

6096

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.78 [0.62, 0.97]

1.25.5 > 4 days

1

6096

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.94 [0.48, 1.82]

1.26 Length of neonatal hospital stay (days) Show forest plot

1

302

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

‐0.30 [‐0.61, 0.01]

1.27 Length of neonatal (postnatal) stay (categories) Show forest plot

1

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

1.27.1 ≤ 2 days

1

6091

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.05 [1.02, 1.08]

1.27.2 ≥ 3 days

1

6091

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.86 [0.79, 0.94]

1.28 Length of labour (hours) Show forest plot

12

4025

Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐1.08 [‐1.67, ‐0.50]

Figures and Tables -
Comparison 1. Labour induction versus expectant management (all trials)
Comparison 2. Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by gestational age at induction)

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

2.1 Perinatal death Show forest plot

22

18795

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.31 [0.15, 0.64]

2.1.1 < 40 weeks

4

7126

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.50 [0.13, 2.01]

2.1.2 40 to 41 weeks

3

760

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.31 [0.01, 7.45]

2.1.3 ≥ 41 weeks

15

10909

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.26 [0.11, 0.64]

2.2 Stillbirth Show forest plot

22

18795

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.30 [0.12, 0.75]

2.2.1 < 40 weeks

4

7126

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.51 [0.09, 2.76]

2.2.2 40 to 41 weeks

3

760

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.31 [0.01, 7.45]

2.2.3 ≥ 41 weeks

15

10909

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.24 [0.08, 0.78]

2.3 Admission to neonatal intensive care unit Show forest plot

17

17826

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.88 [0.80, 0.96]

2.3.1 < 40 weeks

5

7409

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.90 [0.79, 1.02]

2.3.2 40 to 41 weeks

3

527

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.68 [0.53, 5.29]

2.3.3 ≥ 41 weeks

9

9890

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.84 [0.74, 0.96]

2.4 Caesarean section Show forest plot

31

21030

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.90 [0.85, 0.95]

2.4.1 < 40 weeks

8

8537

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.87 [0.80, 0.95]

2.4.2 40 to 41 weeks

6

1189

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.12 [0.88, 1.43]

2.4.3 ≥ 41 weeks

17

11304

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.90 [0.83, 0.97]

2.5 Operative vaginal birth (forceps or ventouse) Show forest plot

22

18584

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.03 [0.96, 1.10]

2.5.1 < 40 weeks

7

8376

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.04 [0.93, 1.16]

2.5.2 40 to 41 weeks

4

707

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.64 [0.82, 3.29]

2.5.3 ≥ 41 weeks

11

9501

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.01 [0.92, 1.11]

2.6 Perineal trauma Show forest plot

5

11589

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.04 [0.85, 1.26]

2.6.1 < 40 weeks

2

6714

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.18 [0.90, 1.55]

2.6.2 40 to 41 weeks

0

0

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Not estimable

2.6.3 ≥ 41 weeks

3

4875

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.89 [0.66, 1.19]

Figures and Tables -
Comparison 2. Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by gestational age at induction)
Comparison 3. Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by parity)

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

3.1 Perinatal death Show forest plot

22

18795

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.31 [0.15, 0.64]

3.1.1 Nulliparous

3

8229

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.26 [0.06, 1.05]

3.1.2 Mixed (primi‐ and multiparous)

18

10470

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.33 [0.14, 0.78]

3.1.3 Not stated

2

96

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Not estimable

3.2 Stillbirth Show forest plot

22

18795

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.30 [0.12, 0.74]

3.2.1 Nulliparous

3

8229

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.23 [0.04, 1.35]

3.2.2 Mixed (primi‐ and multiparous)

18

10470

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.33 [0.12, 0.97]

3.2.3 Not stated

2

96

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Not estimable

3.3 Admission to neonatal intensive care unit Show forest plot

17

17826

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.88 [0.80, 0.96]

3.3.1 Nulliparous

5

7312

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.90 [0.79, 1.03]

3.3.2 Mixed (primi‐ and multiparous)

10

10200

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.83 [0.73, 0.95]

3.3.3 Not stated

2

314

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.20 [0.70, 2.06]

3.4 Caesarean section Show forest plot

31

21030

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.90 [0.85, 0.95]

3.4.1 Nulliparous

6

7543

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.89 [0.81, 0.97]

3.4.2 Mixed (primi‐ and multiparous)

20

12877

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.90 [0.83, 0.97]

3.4.3 Not stated

5

610

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.12 [0.81, 1.56]

3.5 Operative vaginal birth (forceps or ventouse) Show forest plot

22

18584

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.03 [0.96, 1.10]

3.5.1 Nulliparous

4

7151

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.96 [0.84, 1.09]

3.5.2 Mixed (primi‐ and multiparous)

15

11224

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.06 [0.97, 1.15]

3.5.3 Not stated

3

209

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.09 [0.58, 2.06]

3.6 Perineal trauma (severe perineal tear) Show forest plot

5

11589

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.04 [0.85, 1.26]

3.6.1 Nulliparous

2

6714

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.18 [0.90, 1.55]

3.6.2 Mixed (primi‐ and multiparous)

3

4875

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.89 [0.66, 1.19]

Figures and Tables -
Comparison 3. Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by parity)
Comparison 4. Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by status of cervix)

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

4.1 Perinatal death Show forest plot

22

18795

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.31 [0.15, 0.64]

4.1.1 Favourable cervix

3

760

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.31 [0.01, 7.45]

4.1.2 Unfavourable cervix

7

4938

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.29 [0.07, 1.17]

4.1.3 Unknown/mixed state of cervix

12

13097

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.32 [0.13, 0.77]

4.2 Stillbirth Show forest plot

22

18795

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.30 [0.12, 0.75]

4.2.1 Favourable cervix

3

760

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.31 [0.01, 7.45]

4.2.2 Unfavourable cervix

7

4938

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.27 [0.05, 1.66]

4.2.3 Unknown/mixed state of cervix

12

13097

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.31 [0.10, 0.95]

4.3 Admission to neonatal intensive care unit Show forest plot

17

17826

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.88 [0.80, 0.96]

4.3.1 Favourable cervix

2

475

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

3.02 [0.12, 73.52]

4.3.2 Unfavourable cervix

6

4529

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.90 [0.77, 1.05]

4.3.3 Unknown/mixed state of cervix

9

12822

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.86 [0.77, 0.97]

4.4 Caesarean section Show forest plot

31

21030

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.90 [0.85, 0.95]

4.4.1 Favourable cervix

4

906

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.12 [0.76, 1.65]

4.4.2 Unfavourable cervix

10

5361

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.92 [0.83, 1.01]

4.4.3 Unknown/mixed state of cervix

17

14763

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.88 [0.82, 0.95]

4.5 Operative vaginal birth (forceps or ventouse) Show forest plot

22

18584

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.03 [0.96, 1.10]

4.5.1 Favourable cervix

3

655

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.87 [0.42, 1.82]

4.5.2 Unfavourable cervix

5

3799

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.06 [0.95, 1.18]

4.5.3 Unknown/mixed state of cervix

14

14130

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.01 [0.92, 1.11]

4.6 Perineal trauma Show forest plot

5

11589

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.04 [0.85, 1.26]

4.6.1 Unknown/mixed state of cervix

5

11589

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.04 [0.85, 1.26]

Figures and Tables -
Comparison 4. Labour induction versus expectant management (subgroup analysis by status of cervix)