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Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews

Sodium valproate versus phenytoin monotherapy for epilepsy: an individual participant data review

Information

DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD001769.pub4Copy DOI
Database:
  1. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews
Version published:
  1. 09 August 2018see what's new
Type:
  1. Intervention
Stage:
  1. Review
Cochrane Editorial Group:
  1. Cochrane Epilepsy Group

Copyright:
  1. Copyright © 2018 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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Authors

  • Sarah J Nevitt

    Correspondence to: Department of Biostatistics, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK

    [email protected]

  • Anthony G Marson

    Department of Molecular and Clinical Pharmacology, Institute of Translational Medicine, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK

  • Jennifer Weston

    Department of Molecular and Clinical Pharmacology, Institute of Translational Medicine, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK

  • Catrin Tudur Smith

    Department of Biostatistics, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK

Contributions of authors

SJ Nevitt assessed studies for inclusion in the review update, obtained individual participant data (IPD) from trial investigators for the review update, assessed risk of bias in all included studies, performed analyses in Stata version 14, added survival plots and a 'Summary of findings' table, and updated the text of the review.

AG Marson obtained IPD from trial investigators, provided guidance with the clinical interpretation of results, assessed eligibility and methodological quality of individual studies and co‐wrote the original review.

J Weston independently assessed risk of bias in all included studies.

C Tudur Smith was the lead investigator on the original review, assessed eligibility and methodological quality of original individual studies, organised and cleaned the IPD sets, performed data validation checks and statistical analyses and co‐wrote the original review.

Sources of support

Internal sources

  • University of Liverpool, UK.

  • Walton Centre for Neurology and Neurosurgery, UK.

External sources

  • Medical Research Council, UK.

  • National Institute for Health Research (NIHR), UK.

    This review was supported by the National Institute for Health Research, via Cochrane Infrastructure funding to the Epilepsy Group. The views and opinions expressed therein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the Systematic Reviews Programme, NIHR, National Health Service (NHS) or the Department of Health.

Declarations of interest

SJ Nevitt has no declarations of interest.

AG Marson: A consortium of pharmaceutical companies (GSK, EISAI, UCB Pharma) funded the National Audit of Seizure Management in Hospitals (NASH) through grants paid to University of Liverpool. Professor Tony Marson is part funded by National Institute for Health Research Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health Research and Care North West Coast (NIHR CLAHRC NWC).

J Weston has no declarations of interest.

C Tudur Smith has no declarations of interest.

Acknowledgements

This review update was supported by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR), via Cochrane Infrastructure funding to the Epilepsy Group. The views and opinions expressed therein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the Systematic Reviews Programme, NIHR, National Health Service (NHS) of the Department of Health.

We are greatly indebted to all of the trialists who have provided individual participant data (IPD) and input and review, Kenneth Sommerville and Roger Deaton at Abbott Laboratories. They have shown great patience in the way our data queries were handled.

We acknowledge Paula Williamson for contributions to the original review.

Version history

Published

Title

Stage

Authors

Version

2018 Aug 09

Sodium valproate versus phenytoin monotherapy for epilepsy: an individual participant data review

Review

Sarah J Nevitt, Anthony G Marson, Jennifer Weston, Catrin Tudur Smith

https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD001769.pub4

2016 Apr 28

Phenytoin versus valproate monotherapy for partial onset seizures and generalised onset tonic‐clonic seizures: an individual participant data review

Review

Sarah J Nevitt, Anthony G Marson, Jennifer Weston, Catrin Tudur Smith

https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD001769.pub3

2013 Aug 23

Phenytoin versus valproate monotherapy for partial onset seizures and generalised onset tonic‐clonic seizures

Review

Sarah J Nolan, Anthony G Marson, Jennifer Pulman, Catrin Tudur Smith

https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD001769.pub2

2001 Oct 23

Phenytoin versus valproate monotherapy for partial onset seizures and generalized onset tonic‐clonic seizures

Review

Catrin Tudur Smith, Anthony G Marson, Paula R Williamson

https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD001769

Differences between protocol and review

For the 2018 update: we changed the title in line with the titles of other pair‐wise monotherapy comparisons in the series (i.e. 'monotherapy for epilepsy' instead of 'for focal onset seizures and generalised onset tonic‐clonic seizures) and in line with Cochrane Style guidelines of intervention (i.e. sodium valproate) first and comparator (i.e. phenytoin) second.

We redefined 'time to withdrawal of allocated treatment' as 'time to treatment failure' due to feedback received from the Cochrane Editorial Unit regarding potential confusion regarding 'withdrawal' as a positive or negative outcome of antiepileptic monotherapy.

We conducted additional analyses of 'time to treatment failure' (due to lack of efficacy and due to adverse events) following feedback on published antiepileptic drug monotherapy reviews that these suboutcomes would be useful for clinical practice.

We replaced the term 'partial' by 'focal', in accordance with the most recent classification of epilepsies of the International League Against Epilepsy (Scheffer 2017).

We presented adverse event information as a separate secondary outcome, 'incidence of adverse events' in line with other Cochrane IPD reviews investigating pair‐wise monotherapy comparisons.

In December 2014, we changed the title to specify that the review uses individual participant data (IPD).

For the 2013 update, in a post hoc change, we added 'Summary of findings' tables to the review.

We added sensitivity analyses following identification of potential misclassification of seizure type. The existence of misclassification in the individual studies could not have been known at the time of writing the original protocol.

We added the outcome 'time to six‐month remission' for consistency with the other reviews in the series of Cochrane IPD reviews investigating pair‐wise monotherapy comparisons and removed the outcome 'quality of Life' which was found to not be readily available in an analysable format from early IPD requests.

Notes

The protocol for this review was published with Catrin Tudur as the contact review author. Catrin is now known as Catrin Tudur Smith.

Sarah J Nolan (lead author of the 2013 and 2016 update) is now Sarah J Nevitt.

Jennifer Pulman (author of the 2013 update) is now Jennifer Weston.

Keywords

MeSH

PICOs

Population
Intervention
Comparison
Outcome

The PICO model is widely used and taught in evidence-based health care as a strategy for formulating questions and search strategies and for characterizing clinical studies or meta-analyses. PICO stands for four different potential components of a clinical question: Patient, Population or Problem; Intervention; Comparison; Outcome.

See more on using PICO in the Cochrane Handbook.

Study flow diagram.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 1

Study flow diagram.

'Risk of bias' graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 2

'Risk of bias' graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.

'Risk of bias' summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 3

'Risk of bias' summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.

Time to treatment failure ‐ any reason related to the treatment (PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate)
Figures and Tables -
Figure 4

Time to treatment failure ‐ any reason related to the treatment (PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate)

Time to treatment failure ‐ any reason related to the treatment, by epilepsy type (PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate)
Figures and Tables -
Figure 5

Time to treatment failure ‐ any reason related to the treatment, by epilepsy type (PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate)

Time to treatment failure due to adverse events (PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate)
Figures and Tables -
Figure 6

Time to treatment failure due to adverse events (PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate)

Time to treatment failure due to adverse events, by epilepsy type (PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate)
Figures and Tables -
Figure 7

Time to treatment failure due to adverse events, by epilepsy type (PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate)

Time to treatment failure due to lack of efficacy (PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate)
Figures and Tables -
Figure 8

Time to treatment failure due to lack of efficacy (PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate)

Time to treatment failure due to lack of efficacy, by epilepsy type (PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate)
Figures and Tables -
Figure 9

Time to treatment failure due to lack of efficacy, by epilepsy type (PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate)

Time to first seizure (PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate)
Figures and Tables -
Figure 10

Time to first seizure (PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate)

Time to first seizure ‐ by epilepsy type. (PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate)
Figures and Tables -
Figure 11

Time to first seizure ‐ by epilepsy type. (PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate)

Time to achieve 12‐month remission (PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate)
Figures and Tables -
Figure 12

Time to achieve 12‐month remission (PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate)

Time to achieve 12‐month remission ‐ by epilepsy type. (PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate)
Figures and Tables -
Figure 13

Time to achieve 12‐month remission ‐ by epilepsy type. (PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate)

Time to achieve six‐month remission (PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate)
Figures and Tables -
Figure 14

Time to achieve six‐month remission (PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate)

Time to achieve six‐month remission (PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate)
Figures and Tables -
Figure 15

Time to achieve six‐month remission (PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate)

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 1 Time to treatment failure (any reason related to the treatment).
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.1

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 1 Time to treatment failure (any reason related to the treatment).

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 2 Time to treatment failure due to adverse events.
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.2

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 2 Time to treatment failure due to adverse events.

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 3 Time to treatment failure due to lack of efficacy.
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.3

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 3 Time to treatment failure due to lack of efficacy.

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 4 Time to treatment failure (any reason related to the treatment) ‐ by epilepsy type.
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.4

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 4 Time to treatment failure (any reason related to the treatment) ‐ by epilepsy type.

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 5 Time to treatment failure due to adverse events ‐ by epilepsy type.
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.5

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 5 Time to treatment failure due to adverse events ‐ by epilepsy type.

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 6 Time to treatment failure due to lack of efficacy ‐ by epilepsy type.
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.6

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 6 Time to treatment failure due to lack of efficacy ‐ by epilepsy type.

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 7 Time to first seizure.
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.7

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 7 Time to first seizure.

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 8 Time to first seizure ‐ by epilepsy type.
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.8

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 8 Time to first seizure ‐ by epilepsy type.

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 9 Time to first seizure ‐ epilepsy type reclassified to focal for generalised and age of onset > 30 years.
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.9

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 9 Time to first seizure ‐ epilepsy type reclassified to focal for generalised and age of onset > 30 years.

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 10 Time to first seizure ‐ epilepsy type reclassified to uncertain for generalised and age of onset > 30 years.
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.10

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 10 Time to first seizure ‐ epilepsy type reclassified to uncertain for generalised and age of onset > 30 years.

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 11 Time to achieve 12‐month remission.
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.11

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 11 Time to achieve 12‐month remission.

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 12 Time to achieve 12‐month remission ‐ by epilepsy type.
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.12

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 12 Time to achieve 12‐month remission ‐ by epilepsy type.

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 13 Time to achieve six‐month remission.
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.13

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 13 Time to achieve six‐month remission.

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 14 Time to achieve six‐month remission ‐ by epilepsy type.
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.14

Comparison 1 Sodium valproate versus phenytoin, Outcome 14 Time to achieve six‐month remission ‐ by epilepsy type.

Summary of findings for the main comparison. Sodium valproate compared with phenytoin monotherapy for epilepsy (primary outcome)

Sodium valproate compared with phenytoin monotherapy for epilepsy

Patient or population: adults and children with newly‐onset focal onset or generalised tonic‐clonic seizures

Settings: outpatients

Intervention: sodium valproate

Comparison: phenytoin

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

No. of Participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Assumed risk

Corresponding risk

Phenytoin

Sodium valproate

Time to treatment failure (any reason related to treatment)

All participants

Range of follow‐up: 0 to 4256 days

The median time to treatment failure was 2361 days in the phenytoin group

The median time to treatment failure was 2545 days (184 days longer) in the sodium valproate group

HR 0.88

(0.61 to 1.27)a

528
(5 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderateb

HR < 1 indicates a clinical advantage for valproate

There was also no statistically significant difference between drugs in treatment failure due to adverse events: HR 0.77 (95% CI 0.44 to 1.37, P = 0.38) or treatment failure due to lack of efficacy: HR 1.16 (95% CI 0.71 to 1.89, P = 0.55)

Time to treatment failure (any reason related to treatment)

Subgroup: focal onset seizures

Range of follow‐up: 0 to 4256 days

The median time to treatment failure was 1838 days in the phenytoin group

The median time to treatment failure was 1772 days (66 days shorter) in the sodium valproate group

HR 0.83

(0.50 to 1.38)

187

(4 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderateb

HR < 1 indicates a clinical advantage for valproate

There was also no statistically significant difference between drugs in treatment failure due to adverse events: HR 0.81 (95% CI 0.34 to 1.90, P = 0.62) or treatment failure due to lack of efficacy: HR 1.01 (95% CI 0.55 to 1.85, P = 0.98)

Time to treatment failure (any reason related to treatment)

Subgroup: generalised onset seizures (tonic‐clonic only)

Range of follow‐up: 0 to 4394 days

The 25th percentile** of time to treatment failure was 1488 days in the phenytoin group

The 25th percentile** of time to treatment failure was 1778 days (290 days longer) in the sodium valproate group

HR 0.94

(0.55 to 1.61)

341
(5 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
Lowb, c

HR < 1 indicates a clinical advantage for valproate

There was also no statistically significant difference between drugs in treatment failure due to adverse events: HR 0.75 (95% CI 0.35 to 1.60, P = 0.46) or treatment failure due to lack of efficacy: HR 1.51 (95% CI 0.66 to 3.45, P = 0.33)

* Illustrative risks in the sodium valproate and phenytoin groups are calculated at the median time to treatment failure (i.e. the time to 50% of participants failing or withdrawing from allocated treatment) within each group across all trials. The relative effect (pooled HR) shows the comparison of 'time to treatment failure' between the treatment groups.

** The 25th percentile of time to treatment failure (i.e. the time to 25% of participants failing or withdrawing from allocated treatment) is presented for the subgroup with generalised seizures as less than 50% of participants failed/withdrew from treatment, therefore the median time could not be calculated.

Abbreviations: CI: confidence interval; HR: hazard ratio.

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect.
Moderate quality: further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate.
Low quality: further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate.
Very low quality: we are very uncertain about the estimate.

aPooled HR for all participants adjusted for seizure type.
bDowngraded once as risk of bias judged high for three unblinded studies (De Silva 1996; Heller 1995; Ramsay 1992); lack of blinding may have impacted on the withdrawal rates and treatment failure rates in the trials.
cDowngraded once due to inconsistency: a large amount of heterogeneity is present within analysis (I² = 59%) which could not be explained by sensitivity analysis for potential misclassification of epilepsy type.

Figures and Tables -
Summary of findings for the main comparison. Sodium valproate compared with phenytoin monotherapy for epilepsy (primary outcome)
Summary of findings 2. Sodium valproate compared with phenytoin monotherapy for epilepsy (secondary outcomes)

Valproate compared with phenytoin monotherapy for epilepsy

Patient or population: adults and children with newly‐onset focal onset or generalised tonic‐clonic seizures

Settings: outpatients

Intervention: sodium valproate

Comparison: phenytoin

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

No. of Participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Assumed risk

Corresponding risk

Phenytoin

Sodium valproate

Time to first seizure (post‐randomisation)

All participants

Range of follow‐up: 0 to 4859 days

The median time to first seizure post‐randomisation was 275 days in the phenytoin group

The median time to first seizure post‐randomisation was 267 days (7 days shorter) in the sodium valproate group

HR 1.08

(0.88 to 1.33)a

639

(5 studies)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
Lowb, c

HR < 1 indicates a clinical
advantage for valproate

Time to first seizure (post‐randomisation)

Subgroup: focal onset seizures

Range of follow‐up: 0 to 4859 days

The median time to first seizure post‐randomisation was 75 days in the phenytoin group

The median time to first seizure post‐randomisation was 41 days (34 days shorter) in the sodium valproate group

HR 1.20

(0.90 to 1.60)

244

(4 studies)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
Lowb, c

HR < 1 indicates a clinical
advantage for valproate

Time to first seizure (post‐randomisation)

Subgroup: generalised onset seizures (tonic‐clonic only)

Range of follow‐up: 1 to 4520 days

The median time to first seizure post‐randomisation was 572 days in the phenytoin group

The median time to first seizure post‐randomisation was 549 days (23 days shorter) in the sodium valproate group

HR 0.97

(0.72 to 1.30)

395

(5 studies)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
Lowb, c

HR < 1 indicates a clinical
advantage for valproate

Time to achieve 12‐month remission (seizure‐free period)

All participants

Range of follow‐up: 5 to 4614 days

The median time to achieve 12‐month remission was 380 days in the phenytoin group

The median time to achieve 12‐month remission was 386 days (6 days longer) in the sodium valproate group

HR 1.02

(0.81 to 1.28)

514

(4 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderateb

HR < 1 indicates a clinical
advantage for phenytoin

Time to achieve 12‐month remission (seizure‐free period)

Subgroup: focal onset seizures

Range of follow‐up: 5 to 4614 days

The median time to achieve 12‐month remission was 575 days in the phenytoin group

The median time to achieve 12‐month remission was 549 days (26 days shorter) in the sodium valproate group

HR 1.11

(0.78 to 1.60)

244

(4 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderateb

HR < 1 indicates a clinical
advantage for phenytoin

Time to achieve 12‐month remission (seizure‐free period)

Subgroup: generalised onset seizures (tonic‐clonic only)

Range of follow‐up: 7 to 4544 days

The median time to achieve 12‐month remission was 365 days in the phenytoin group

The median time to achieve 12‐month remission was 366 days (1 day longer) in the sodium valproate group

HR 0.96

(0.71 to 1.29)

270

(4 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderateb

HR < 1 indicates a clinical
advantage for phenytoin

* Illustrative risks in the phenytoin and sodium valproate groups are calculated at the median time to first seizure or time to 12‐month remission (i.e. the time to 50% of participants experiencing a first seizure or 12 months of remission) within each group across all trials. The relative effect (pooled HR) shows the comparison of 'time to first seizure' or 'time to 12‐month remission' between the treatment groups.

Abbreviations: CI: confidence interval; HR: hazard ratio.

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect.
Moderate quality: further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate.
Low quality: further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate.
Very low quality: we are very uncertain about the estimate.

aPooled HR for all participants adjusted for seizure type.
bDowngraded once as risk of bias judged high for four unblinded studies (Craig 1994; De Silva 1996; Heller 1995; Ramsay 1992).
cDowngraded once due to applicability: as up to 49% in the 5 trials classified as experiencing generalised onset seizures may have had their seizure type wrongly classified; sensitivity analyses show misclassification has an impact on results and conclusions.

Figures and Tables -
Summary of findings 2. Sodium valproate compared with phenytoin monotherapy for epilepsy (secondary outcomes)
Table 1. Demographic characteristics of trial participants (trials providing individual participant data (IPD))

Focal seizures: n (%)

Male gender: n (%)

Age at entry (years):

Mean (SD), range

Aged > 30 years and generalised seizures: n (%)

Epilepsy duration (years): mean (SD), range

Number of seizures in prior 6 months: median (range)

SV

PHT

Missing

SV

PHT

Missing

SV

PHT

Missing

SV

PHT

Missing

SV

PHT

Missing

SV

PHT

Missing

Craig 1994

37 (44%)

43 (53%)

0

38 (46%)

33 (41%)

3

77.6 (7.2), 61 to 95

78.7 (7.0), 64 to 95

3

46

38

0

NA

NA

166

2 (0 to 60)

3 (1 to 99)

3

De Silva 1996

25 (51%)

30 (56%)

0

18 (37%)

34 (63%)

0

11.3 (3.3), 2 to 15

9.5 (3.4), 3 to 15

0

0

0

0

1.2 (1.5), 0 to 4.9

1.0 (2.1), 0 to 13.7

0

3 (1 to 900)

3 (1 to 404)

0

Heller 1995

25 (41%)

28 (44%)

0

28 (46%)

34 (54%)

0

32.0 (15.6), 14 to 67

33.5 (14.3), 14 to 72

2

17

20

0

2.6 (3.9), 0 to 17.9

3.8 (5.4), 0 to 24.3

2

2 (1 to 181)

2 (1 to 575)

2

Ramsay 1992

0 (0%)

0 (0%)

0

48 (56%)

25 (50%)

0

21.1 (14.4), 3 to 64

20.6 (14.0), 4 to 63

0

16

10

0

0.1 (0.3), 0 to 1.9

0.2 (0.5), 0 to 3.0

15

NA

NA

136

Turnbull 1985

32 (46%)

31 (44%)

0

34 (49%)

39 (56%)

0

35.1 (16.5), 14 to 69

35.3 (15.9), 16 to 70

0

16

19

0

2.2 (2.9), 0.1 to 11.0

2.1 (4.2), 0.1 to 30.0

0

2 (0 to 60)

2 (1 to 60)

0

SV= sodium valproate; PHT= Phenytoin; n = number of participants; NA = not available; SD = standard deviation.

Proportions (%) are calculated based on non‐missing data.

Figures and Tables -
Table 1. Demographic characteristics of trial participants (trials providing individual participant data (IPD))
Table 2. Baseline neurologic characteristics of participants (trials providing individual participant data (IPD))

EEG normal: n (%)

CT scan normal: n (%)

Neurological exam normal: n (%)

SV

PHT

Missing

SV

PHT

Missing

SV

PHT

Missing

Craig 1994

20 (30%)

8 (16%)

64

NA

NA

166

NA

NA

166

De Silva 1996

NA

NA

103

NA

NA

103

43 (88%)

48 (89%)

0

Heller 1995

NA

NA

124

NA

NA

124

56 (95%)

54 (86%)

2

Ramsay 1992

NA

NA

136

NA

NA

136

NA

NA

136

Turnbull 1985

30 (46%)

38 (54%)

0

6 (50%)

11 (73%)

43

NA

NA

70

EEG = electroencephalographic; SV= sodium valproate; PHT= Phenytoin; n = number of participants; NA = not available.

Proportions (%) are calculated based on non‐missing data.

Figures and Tables -
Table 2. Baseline neurologic characteristics of participants (trials providing individual participant data (IPD))
Table 3. Outcomes considered and summary of results for trials with no individual participant data (IPD)

Trial

Outcomes reported

Summary of results

Callaghan 1985

  • Seizure control

    • excellent (seizure‐free)

    • good (> 50% reduction)

    • poor (< 50% reduction)

  • Adverse events

  • PHT (n = 58); SV (n = 64)

    • 39 (67%); 34 (53%)

    • 7 (12%); 16 (25%)

    • 12 (21%); 14 (22%)

  • 2.6 (10%); 7 (11%)

Czapinski 1997a

  • Proportion achieving 24‐month remission at 3 years (PHT: 59%; SV: 64%)

  • Proportion excluded after randomisation due to adverse events or no efficacy (PHT: 23%; SV: 23%)

Forsythe 1991

  • Cognitive assessments

  • Withdrawals from randomised drug

  • Significant difference favouring SV test of speed of information processing (P < 0.01)

No significant differences between treatment groups for any other cognitive tests

  • PHT: 6/20 (30%); SV: 7/21 (33%)

Rastogi 1991

  • Reduction in frequency of seizures at 24 weeks

    • excellent (100% reduction)

    • good (75% ‐ 99% reduction)

    • fair (50% ‐ 74% reduction)

    • poor (< 50% reduction)

  • Adverse events

  • PHT (n = 45); SV (n = 49)

    • 23 (51%); 24 (49%)

    • 13 (24%); 17 (35%)

    • 8 (18%); 5(10%)

    • 1 (2%); 3 (6%)

  • All reported adverse events were minor

    • PHT: gum hyperplasia (18%), nystagmus (13%), gastrointestinal symptoms (4%), drowsiness (4%), ataxia (2%)

    • SV: gastrointestinal symptoms (12%), drowsiness (6%), weight gain (2%)

Shakir 1981

  • Seizures during treatment

  • Adverse events

  • PHT: 5 (33%); SV: 7 (39%)

  • PHT: 1 case of ataxia, 5 cases of acne

  • SV: 2 cases of gastrointestinal symptoms, 2 cases of hair loss, 4 cases of weight gain

Thilothammal 1996

  • Recurrence of seizures

  • Adverse events

  • PHT: 14/52 (27%)/SV: 10/48 (21%)

  • PHT: 33/52 (63%)/SV: 15/48 (31%)

           

n = number of participants; PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate.

Figures and Tables -
Table 3. Outcomes considered and summary of results for trials with no individual participant data (IPD)
Table 4. Number of individuals contributing to each analysis

Trial

Number randomised

Time to treatment failure (for any reason related to treatment)

Time to achieve 12‐month remission

Time to achieve 6‐month remission

Time to first seizure

PHT

SV

Total

PHT

SV

Total

PHT

SV

Total

PHT

SV

Total

PHT

SV

Total

Craig 1994a

81

85

166

0

0

0

71

76

147

71

76

147

71

76

147

De Silva 1996

54

49

103

53

47

100

54

49

103

54

49

103

54

49

103

Forsythe 1991b

20

21

41

20

21

41

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Heller 1995

63

61

124

61

58

119

63

61

124

63

61

124

63

61

124

Ramsay 1992c

50

86

136

50

86

136

0

0

0

48

77

125

48

77

125

Turnbull 1985

70

70

140

70

70

140

70

70

140

70

70

140

70

70

140

Shakir 1981b

15

18

33

15

18

33

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Total

353

390

743

269

300

569

258

256

514

306

333

639

306

333

639

aTreatment failure information not provided for Craig 1994, so cannot contribute to 'time to treatment failure'.
bData extracted from Forsythe 1991 and Shakir 1981 publications to calculate time to treatment failure. Insufficient published data to calculate other outcomes.
cFollow‐up for Ramsay 1992 is less than 12 months so cannot contribute to 'time to achieve 12‐month remission'.

PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate.

Figures and Tables -
Table 4. Number of individuals contributing to each analysis
Table 5. Reasons for premature discontinuation (treatment failure)

Reason for early termination

(and classification in time‐to‐event analysis)

De Silva 1996b

Heller 1995b, c

Ramsay 1992

Turnbull 1985

Forsythe 1991

Shakir 1981d

Totala

SV

PHT

SV

PHT

SV

PHT

SV

PHT

SV

PHT

SV

PHT

SV

PHT

All

Adverse events (event)

2

2

4

1

4

8

6

14

0

1

0

0

16

26

42

Lack of efficacy (event)

11

10

9

8

1

1

2

0

2

1

3

6

28

26

54

Both adverse events and lack of efficacy (event)

4

5

6

2

0

0

1

2

0

0

0

0

11

9

20

Non‐compliance/protocol violation (event)

0

0

0

0

7

2

2

2

5

4

0

0

14

8

22

Illness or death (not treatment‐related, censored)e

0

0

0

0

1

1

3

3

0

0

0

0

4

4

8

Participant went into remission (censored)

16

24

13

14

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

29

38

67

Lost to follow‐up (censored)

0

0

0

0

10

3

7

7

0

0

0

0

17

10

27

Other (censored)f

0

0

0

0

3

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

3

0

3

Completed the study (censored)

14

12

26

38

60

35

49

42

14

14

15

9

178

150

328

Total

47

53

58

63

86

50

70

70

21

20

18

15

300

271

571

PHT: phenytoin; SV: sodium valproate
aIPD for 'time to treatment failure' was not provided for Craig 1994.
bThree participants for Heller 1995 (all SV) and three for De Silva 1996 (one PHT and two SV) have missing reasons for treatment failure.
cFour participants from Heller 1995 had missing treatment failure times and did not contribute to analysis but reasons for treatment failure are given.
dNine participants in Shakir 1981 were listed as having started on a second drug due to 'failure to respond.' This reason was classified as treatment failure due to lack of efficacy.
eDeath due to reasons not related to the study drug.
fOther reasons from Ramsay 1992 – two participants withdrew due to pregnancy and one for personal reasons.

Figures and Tables -
Table 5. Reasons for premature discontinuation (treatment failure)
Table 6. Sensitivity analysis ‐ epilepsy type misclassification

Outcome

Original analysis

Generalised onset and age at onset > 30 years

classified as focal onset

Generalised onset and age at onset > 30 years

classified as uncertain seizure type

Pooled HR (95% CI)

fixed‐effects

Test of subgroup

differences

Pooled HR (95% CI)

fixed‐effects

Test of subgroup

differences

Pooled HR (95% CI)

fixed‐effects

Test of subgroup

differences

Time to treatment failure

(for any reason related to treatment)a

F: 0.83 (0.50 to 1.38)

G: 0.94 (0.55 to 1.61)

O: 0.88 (0.61 to 1.27)

Chi² = 0.10, df = 1

(P = 0.75), I² = 0%

F: 0.95 (0.59 to 1.52)

G: 0.77 (0.42 to 1.41)

O: 0.88 (0.60 to 1.27)

Chi² = 0.29, df = 1

(P = 0.59), I² = 0%

F: 0.83 (0.50 to 1.38)

G: 0.77 (0.42 to 1.41)

U: 6.83 (0.82 to 57.16)

O: 0.86 (0.59 to 1.27)

Chi² = 3.80, df = 2

(P = 0.15), I² = 47.3%

Time to treatment failure due to adverse eventsb

F: 0.75 (0.35 to 1.60)

G: 0.81 (0.34 to 1.90)

O: 0.77 (0.44 to 1.37)

Chi² = 0.02, df = 1

(P = 0.90), I² = 0%

F: 0.87 (0.42 to 1.80)

G: 0.64 (0.26 to 1.59)

O: 0.77 (0.44 to 1.36)

Chi² = 0.26, df = 1

(P = 0.61), I² = 0%

Not calculatedb

Not calculatedb

Time to treatment failure due to lack of efficacyb

F: 1.01 (0.55 to 1.85)

G: 1.51 (0.66 to 3.45)

O: 1.16 (0.71 to 1.89)

Chi² = 0.60, df = 1

(P = 0.44), I² = 0%

F: 1.00 (0.51 to 1.96)

G: 1.73 (0.56 to 5.35)

O: 1.16 (0.65 to 2.06)

Chi² = 0.66, df = 1

(P = 0.42), I² = 0%

Not calculatedb

Not calculatedb

Time to first seizurec

F: 1.20 (0.90 to 1.60)

G: 0.97 (0.72 to 1.30)

O: 1.08 (0.88 to 1.33)

Chi² = 1.06, df = 1

(P = 0.30), I² = 5.6%

F: 1.23 (0.96 to 1.57)

G: 0.72 (0.50 to 1.05)

O: 1.05 (0.86 to 1.29)

Chi² = 5.46, df = 1

(P = 0.02), I² = 81.7%

F: 1.20 (0.90 to 1.60)

G: 0.72 (0.50 to 1.05)

U: 1.35 (0.85 to 2.14)

O: 1.06 (0.86 to 1.30)

Chi² = 5.79, df = 2

(P = 0.06), I² = 65.5%

Time to 12‐month remissiond

F: 1.11 (0.78 to 1.60)

G: 0.96 (0.71 to 1.29)

O: 1.02 (0.81 to 1.28)

Chi² = 0.39, df = 1

(P = 0.53), I² = 0%

F: 0.99 (0.75 to 1.32)

G: 1.07 (0.72 to 1.59)

O: 1.02 (0.81 to 1.28)

Chi² = 0.10, df = 1

(P = 0.75), I² = 0%

F: 1.11 (0.78 to 1.60)

G: 1.07 (0.72 to 1.59)

U: 0.74 (0.46 to 1.18)

O: 0.99 (0.79 to 1.25)

Chi² = 2.07, df = 2

(P = 0.36), I² = 3.3%

Time to 6‐month remissione

F: 1.00 (0.73 to 1.35)

G: 1.08 (0.84 to 1.38)

O: 1.05 (0.86 to 1.27)

Chi² = 0.16, df = 1

(P = 0.69), I² = 0%

F: 1.00 (0.79 to 1.26)

G: 1.14 (0.80 to 1.61)

O: 1.04 (0.85 to 1.26)

Chi² = 0.38, df = 1

(P = 0.54), I² = 0%

F: 1.00 (0.73 to 1.35)

G: 1.14 (0.80 to 1.61)

U: 0.90 (0.62 to 1.31)

O: 1.01 (0.83 to 1.23)

Chi² = 0.80, df = 2

(P = 0.67), I² = 0%

Chi²: Chi² statistic; df: degrees of freedom of Chi² distribution; F: focal epilepsy; G: generalised epilepsy; O: overall (all participants); U: uncertain epilepsy; P: P value (< 0.05 are classified as statistically significant).

a100 participants reclassified to focal epilepsy or uncertain epilepsy type for outcome 'time to treatment failure (for any reason related to treatment)'; see Analysis 1.4 for original analysis.
b100 participants reclassified to focal epilepsy or uncertain epilepsy type for outcomes 'time to treatment failure due to adverse events' and 'time to treatment failure due to lack of efficacy'; see Analysis 1.5 and Analysis 1.6 for original analyses. Forest plots not presented for sensitivity analysis for generalised and age at onset > 30 years reclassified as focal epilepsy as results were numerically similar and conclusions are unchanged. Sensitivity analysis for generalised and age at onset > 30 years reclassified as uncertain epilepsy type not performed due to small numbers of participants failing treatment for these reasons in the uncertain epilepsy type groups in each trial.
c171 participants reclassified to focal epilepsy or uncertain epilepsy type for outcome 'time to first seizure'; see Analysis 1.8 for original analysis and see Analysis 1.10 and Analysis 1.9 for forest plots of 'time to first seizure' sensitivity analyses for generalised and age at onset > 30 years reclassified as focal epilepsy and uncertain epilepsy type, respectively.
d145 participants reclassified to focal epilepsy or uncertain epilepsy type for outcome 'time to achieve 12‐month remission', see Analysis 1.12 for original analysis. As results were numerically similar and conclusions are unchanged, forest plots are not presented.
e171 participants reclassified to focal epilepsy or uncertain epilepsy type for outcome 'time to achieve 6‐month remission', see Analysis 1.14 for original analysis. As results were numerically similar and conclusions are unchanged, forest plots are not presented.

Figures and Tables -
Table 6. Sensitivity analysis ‐ epilepsy type misclassification
Table 7. Adverse event data (narrative report)

Trial

Adverse event dataa

Summary of reported results

Phenytoin (PHT)

SV (sodium valproate)

Callaghan 1985

All adverse events developed (by drug) and adverse events leading to discontinuation of treatment

PHT (n = 58): gum hypertrophy (n = 2), rash (n = 2), ataxia (n = 2)

 

SV (n = 64): weight gain (n = 4: all discontinued treatment), drowsiness (n = 2), aggressive behaviour (n = 1: discontinued treatment)

Craig 1994

Adverse event frequency (spontaneous reports)b

Discontinuations due to adverse eventsc

PHT (n = 25): unsteadiness (n = 9), sleepiness (n = 7), drowsiness (n = 2), impaired concentration (n = 2), confusion (n = 1), constipation (n = 1), diarrhoea (n = 1), dysarthria (n = 1), lethargy (n = 1), nystagmus (n = 1), rash (n = 1), tired legs (n = 1)

PHT discontinuations (n = 6): rash (n =1), diarrhoea (n = 1), confusion (n = 1), unsteadiness (n = 1), constipation (n = 1), sleepiness (n = 1)

SV (n = 17): unsteadiness (n = 2), sleepiness (n = 3), tremor (n = 5), oedema (n = 3), alopecia (n = 2), depression (n = 2), weight gain (n = 2)

SV discontinuations (n = 2): weight gain and depression (n = 1), unsteadiness (n =1)

Czapinski 1997a

"Exclusions" due to adverse events or no efficacyd

Proportion "excluded": PHT: 33.3%

Proportion "excluded": SV: 23.3%

De Silva 1996

"Unacceptable" adverse events leading to drug withdrawale

PHT (n = 54): drowsiness (n = 2), skin rash (n = 1) blood dyscrasia (n = 1), hirsutism (n = 1)

SV (n = 49): behavioural (n = 1), tremor (n = 1)

Forsythe 1991

No adverse event data reported

(treatment withdrawal data only reported)

1 participant (PHT) withdrew from the study due to depression and anorexia

No adverse event data (or treatment withdrawals due to adverse events) reported

Heller 1995

“Unacceptable” adverse events leading to drug withdrawale

PHT (n = 63): myalgia (n = 1), irritability (n = 1)

 

SV (n = 61): dizziness (n = 2) abnormal liver function test (n = 1)

Ramsay 1992

Most common adverse events (by treatment group)f

PHT (n = 50): dyspepsia (n = 1), nausea (n = 2), dizziness (n = 2), somnolence (n = 5), tremor (n = 2), rash (n = 4)

 

SV (n = 86): dyspepsia (n = 7), nausea (n = 10), dizziness (n = 5), somnolence (n = 8), tremor (n = 5), rash (n = 3)

Rastogi 1991

Commonest adverse events (reported as percentages by treatment group)f

PHT (n = 45): gum hyperplasia (17.7%), nystagmus (13.33%), ataxia (2.2%), gastrointestinal disturbances (4.44%), drowsiness (4.44%)

SV (n = 49): gastrointestinal disturbances (12%), drowsiness (6.12%), weight gain (2.04%)

Shakir 1981

Adverse events (narrative description)b

PHT (n = 15): 1 case of ataxia, 5 cases of acne

SV (n = 18): 2 cases of gastrointestinal symptoms, 2 cases of hair loss, 4 cases of weight gain

Thilothammal 1996

Assessment of adverse eventsb

PHT (n = 52): 33 participants reported at least one side effect

Reported frequencies: gingival hypertrophy (n = 30), ataxia (n = 13), sedation (n = 12), nausea and vomiting (n = 1)

Other reported adverse events (no frequencies): nystagmus, confusion

SV (n = 48): 15 participants reported at least one side effect

Reported frequencies: hyperactivity (n = 6), impaired school performance (n = 4), severe skin allergy (n = 1)

Turnbull 1985

Treatment withdrawals due to dose‐related and idiosyncratic adverse events

PHT (n = 70): 11 treatment withdrawals due to dose‐related adverse events (nystagmus, ataxia, tremor, diplopia and mental change)

5 treatment withdrawals due to idiosyncratic adverse events (skin eruption, erythroderma and jaundice)

SV (n = 70): 9 treatment withdrawals due to dose‐related adverse events (tremor, irritability, restlessness and alopecia)

No treatment withdrawals due to idiosyncratic adverse events

aAdverse event data, as reported narratively in the publications. Adverse event data were not requested in original IPD requests but will be for all future IPD requests. For numbers of treatment withdrawals due to adverse events in studies for which IPD were provided (De Silva 1996; Heller 1995; Ramsay 1992; Turnbull 1985) see Table 5.
bParticipants may report more than one adverse event.
cThe published paper, Craig 1994, reports on a subset of 38 participants, so the adverse event data summary applies only to this subset. IPD were provided for 166 participants (no additional adverse event data provided).
dCzapinski 1997a is an abstract only so very little information is reported.
eParticipants may have withdrawn due to adverse event alone or a combination of adverse events and poor efficacy (seizures).
fMost commonly reported adverse events only, no indication of overall frequency of all adverse events.

Figures and Tables -
Table 7. Adverse event data (narrative report)
Comparison 1. Sodium valproate versus phenytoin

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Time to treatment failure (any reason related to the treatment) Show forest plot

6

569

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.94 [0.67, 1.32]

2 Time to treatment failure due to adverse events Show forest plot

4

495

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.68 [0.40, 1.17]

3 Time to treatment failure due to lack of efficacy Show forest plot

6

569

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.23 [0.77, 1.97]

4 Time to treatment failure (any reason related to the treatment) ‐ by epilepsy type Show forest plot

5

528

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.88 [0.61, 1.27]

4.1 Focal onset seizures

4

187

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.83 [0.50, 1.38]

4.2 Generalised onset seizures (tonic‐clonic only)

5

341

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.94 [0.55, 1.61]

5 Time to treatment failure due to adverse events ‐ by epilepsy type Show forest plot

4

418

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.77 [0.44, 1.37]

5.1 Focal onset seizures

3

168

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.75 [0.35, 1.60]

5.2 Generalised onset seizures (tonic‐clonic only)

3

250

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.81 [0.34, 1.90]

6 Time to treatment failure due to lack of efficacy ‐ by epilepsy type Show forest plot

5

451

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.16 [0.71, 1.89]

6.1 Focal onset seizures

4

187

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.01 [0.55, 1.85]

6.2 Generalised onset seizures (tonic‐clonic only)

4

264

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.51 [0.66, 3.45]

7 Time to first seizure Show forest plot

5

639

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.04 [0.85, 1.28]

8 Time to first seizure ‐ by epilepsy type Show forest plot

5

639

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.08 [0.88, 1.33]

8.1 Focal onset seizures

4

244

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.20 [0.90, 1.60]

8.2 Generalised onset seizures (tonic‐clonic only)

5

395

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.97 [0.72, 1.30]

9 Time to first seizure ‐ epilepsy type reclassified to focal for generalised and age of onset > 30 years Show forest plot

5

639

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.05 [0.86, 1.29]

9.1 Focal onset seizures

5

416

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.23 [0.96, 1.57]

9.2 Generalised onset seizures (tonic‐clonic only)

4

223

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.72 [0.50, 1.05]

10 Time to first seizure ‐ epilepsy type reclassified to uncertain for generalised and age of onset > 30 years Show forest plot

5

649

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.06 [0.86, 1.30]

10.1 Focal onset seizures

4

255

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.20 [0.90, 1.60]

10.2 Generalised onset seizures (tonic‐clonic only)

4

223

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.72 [0.50, 1.05]

10.3 Uncertain seizure type

4

171

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.35 [0.85, 2.14]

11 Time to achieve 12‐month remission Show forest plot

4

514

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.03 [0.82, 1.29]

12 Time to achieve 12‐month remission ‐ by epilepsy type Show forest plot

4

514

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.02 [0.81, 1.28]

12.1 Focal onset seizures

4

244

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.11 [0.78, 1.60]

12.2 Generalised onset seizures (tonic‐clonic only)

4

270

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.96 [0.71, 1.29]

13 Time to achieve six‐month remission Show forest plot

5

639

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.08 [0.89, 1.30]

14 Time to achieve six‐month remission ‐ by epilepsy type Show forest plot

5

639

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.05 [0.86, 1.27]

14.1 Focal onset seizures

4

244

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.00 [0.73, 1.35]

14.2 Generalised onset seizures (tonic‐clonic only)

5

395

Hazard Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.08 [0.84, 1.38]

Figures and Tables -
Comparison 1. Sodium valproate versus phenytoin