Scolaris Content Display Scolaris Content Display

Study flow diagram.
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Figure 1

Study flow diagram.

Risk of bias graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.
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Figure 2

Risk of bias graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.

Risk of bias summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.
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Figure 3

Risk of bias summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Tibolone versus placebo, outcome: 1.1 Vasomotor symptoms.
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Figure 4

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Tibolone versus placebo, outcome: 1.1 Vasomotor symptoms.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Tibolone versus placebo, outcome: 1.15 Sensitivity analysis ‐ Vasomotor symptoms without trials with high risk of attrition bias.
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Figure 5

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Tibolone versus placebo, outcome: 1.15 Sensitivity analysis ‐ Vasomotor symptoms without trials with high risk of attrition bias.

Forest plot of comparison: 2 Tibolone versus oestrogens, outcome: 2.1 Vasomotor symptoms.
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Figure 6

Forest plot of comparison: 2 Tibolone versus oestrogens, outcome: 2.1 Vasomotor symptoms.

Forest plot of comparison: 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, outcome: 3.1 Vasomotor symptoms.
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Figure 7

Forest plot of comparison: 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, outcome: 3.1 Vasomotor symptoms.

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 1 Vasomotor symptoms.
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Analysis 1.1

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 1 Vasomotor symptoms.

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 2 Unscheduled bleeding.
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Analysis 1.2

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 2 Unscheduled bleeding.

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 3 Endometrial cancer.
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Analysis 1.3

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 3 Endometrial cancer.

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 4 Breast cancer; women without previous breast cancer.
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Analysis 1.4

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 4 Breast cancer; women without previous breast cancer.

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 5 Breast cancer; women with previous breast cancer.
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Analysis 1.5

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 5 Breast cancer; women with previous breast cancer.

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 6 Venous thromboembolic events (clinical evaluation).
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Analysis 1.6

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 6 Venous thromboembolic events (clinical evaluation).

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 7 Cardiovascular events.
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Analysis 1.7

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 7 Cardiovascular events.

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 8 Cerebrovascular events; women's mean age over 60 years.
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Analysis 1.8

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 8 Cerebrovascular events; women's mean age over 60 years.

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 9 Mortality from any cause.
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Analysis 1.9

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 9 Mortality from any cause.

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 10 Insomnia.
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Analysis 1.10

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 10 Insomnia.

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 11 Vaginal dryness and painful sexual intercourse.
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Analysis 1.11

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 11 Vaginal dryness and painful sexual intercourse.

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 12 Vaginal infections.
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Analysis 1.12

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 12 Vaginal infections.

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 13 Urinary tract infections.
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Analysis 1.13

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 13 Urinary tract infections.

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 14 Endometrial hyperplasia.
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Analysis 1.14

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 14 Endometrial hyperplasia.

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 15 Sensitivity Analysis ‐ Vasomotor symptoms without trials with high risk of attrition bias.
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Analysis 1.15

Comparison 1 Tibolone versus placebo, Outcome 15 Sensitivity Analysis ‐ Vasomotor symptoms without trials with high risk of attrition bias.

Comparison 2 Tibolone versus oestrogens, Outcome 1 Vasomotor symptoms.
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Analysis 2.1

Comparison 2 Tibolone versus oestrogens, Outcome 1 Vasomotor symptoms.

Comparison 2 Tibolone versus oestrogens, Outcome 2 Insomnia.
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Analysis 2.2

Comparison 2 Tibolone versus oestrogens, Outcome 2 Insomnia.

Comparison 2 Tibolone versus oestrogens, Outcome 3 Vaginal dryness and painful sexual intercourse.
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Analysis 2.3

Comparison 2 Tibolone versus oestrogens, Outcome 3 Vaginal dryness and painful sexual intercourse.

Comparison 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, Outcome 1 Vasomotor symptoms.
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Analysis 3.1

Comparison 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, Outcome 1 Vasomotor symptoms.

Comparison 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, Outcome 2 Unscheduled bleeding.
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Analysis 3.2

Comparison 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, Outcome 2 Unscheduled bleeding.

Comparison 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, Outcome 3 Endometrial cancer.
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Analysis 3.3

Comparison 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, Outcome 3 Endometrial cancer.

Comparison 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, Outcome 4 Breast cancer; women without previous breast cancer.
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Analysis 3.4

Comparison 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, Outcome 4 Breast cancer; women without previous breast cancer.

Comparison 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, Outcome 5 Venous thromboembolic events (clinical evaluation).
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Analysis 3.5

Comparison 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, Outcome 5 Venous thromboembolic events (clinical evaluation).

Comparison 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, Outcome 6 Cardiovascular events; all women's mean age below 60 years. No data available on different doses.
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Analysis 3.6

Comparison 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, Outcome 6 Cardiovascular events; all women's mean age below 60 years. No data available on different doses.

Comparison 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, Outcome 7 Cerebrovascular events; women's mean age below 60 years.
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Analysis 3.7

Comparison 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, Outcome 7 Cerebrovascular events; women's mean age below 60 years.

Comparison 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, Outcome 8 Mortality from any cause.
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Analysis 3.8

Comparison 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, Outcome 8 Mortality from any cause.

Comparison 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, Outcome 9 Endometrial hyperplasia.
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Analysis 3.9

Comparison 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, Outcome 9 Endometrial hyperplasia.

Comparison 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, Outcome 10 Vaginal dryness and painful sexual intercourse.
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Analysis 3.10

Comparison 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, Outcome 10 Vaginal dryness and painful sexual intercourse.

Comparison 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, Outcome 11 Sensitivity Analysis ‐ Vasomotor symptoms without trials with high risk of attrition bias.
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Analysis 3.11

Comparison 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, Outcome 11 Sensitivity Analysis ‐ Vasomotor symptoms without trials with high risk of attrition bias.

Comparison 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, Outcome 12 Sensitivity analysis ‐ vasomotor symptoms ‐ excluding studies with attrition bias and using nonvalidated scales.
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Analysis 3.12

Comparison 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, Outcome 12 Sensitivity analysis ‐ vasomotor symptoms ‐ excluding studies with attrition bias and using nonvalidated scales.

Comparison 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, Outcome 13 Vasomotor symptoms ‐ ordered by duration.
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Analysis 3.13

Comparison 3 Tibolone versus combined HT, Outcome 13 Vasomotor symptoms ‐ ordered by duration.

Summary of findings for the main comparison. Tibolone compared with placebo for treatment of vasomotor symptoms in postmenopausal women

Tibolone compared with placebo: vasomotor symptoms

Population: postmenopausal women with vasomotor symptoms
Settings: outpatient or community
Intervention: tibolone
Comparison: placebo

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

Number of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Assumed risk

Corresponding risk

Placebo

Tibolone

Vasomotor symptoms

(all doses)

Follow‐up: 12 weeks to 1 year

670 per 1000

400 per 1000

(350 to 450)

OR 0.33
(0.27 to 0.41)

842

(5 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
moderatea

Three studies at high risk of attrition bias were excluded from this analysis. Inclusion of these studies was associated with stronger effect of tibolone but with extreme heterogeneity (I2= 97%)

*The basis for the assumed risk is the median control group risk across studies. The corresponding risk (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI)
CI: confidence interval; OR: odds ratio

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: Further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect
Moderate quality: Further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate
Low quality: Further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate
Very low quality: We are very uncertain about the estimate

aDowngraded one level for serious risk of bias: poor reporting of study methods and potential conflict of interest (pharmaceutical funding) in most studies; standard deviations imputed for some studies. Effect estimate robust to a sensitivity analysis excluding studies at high risk of attrition bias

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings for the main comparison. Tibolone compared with placebo for treatment of vasomotor symptoms in postmenopausal women
Summary of findings 2. Tibolone compared with placebo for postmenopausal women: adverse events

Tibolone compared with placebo: adverse events

Population: postmenopausal women with or without vasomotor symptoms
Settings: outpatient or community
Intervention: tibolone
Comparison: placebo

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

Number of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Assumed risk

Corresponding risk

Placebo

Tibolone

Endometrial cancer (all doses)
Follow‐up: 1 to 3 years (median 1)

See comment

OR 2.04
(0.79 to 5.24)

8504
(9 studies)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
very lowa,b,c

Events very rare in both groups. Total of 21 events: 16/4486 in tibolone group, 5/4018 in placebo group

Breast cancer; women without previous breast cancer (all doses)
Follow‐up: 12 weeks to 3 years

4 per 1000

1 per 1000

(1 to 5)

OR 0.52
(0.21 to 1.25)

5500
(4 studies)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
very lowa,b

In women with a history of breast cancer, risk increased in the tibolone group at 1 to 2.75 years' follow up: OR 1.50 (1.21 to 1.85, 2 RCTs, 3165 women, moderate‐quality evidence )

Unscheduled bleeding (all doses)

Follow‐up: 1 to 3 years (median 2)

177 per 1000

374 per 1000

(310 to 442)

OR 2.79
(2.1 to 3.7)

7814
(9 studies)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
moderated

Venous thromboembolic events (clinical evaluation) all doses
Follow‐up: 1 to 2.75 years (median 1.5)

See comment

OR 0.85
(0.37 to 1.97)

9176
(5 studies)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
very lowa,b,c

Events very rare in both groups. Total of 24 events: 12/5054 in tibolone group, 12/4122 in placebo group

Cardiovascular events (all doses)

Follow‐up: 2 to 3 years (median 2.75)

10 per 1000

13 per 1000

(8 to 22)

1.38

(0.84 to 2.27)

8401

(4 studies)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
very lowa,b,c

Cerebrovascular events (all doses)
Follow‐up: 14 days to 2.8 years

5 per 1000

8 per 1000

(4 to 14)

OR 1.74
(0.99 to 3.04)

7930
(4 studies)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
very lowa,b

Mortality from any cause (all doses)
Follow‐up: 1 to 3 years (median 2.77)

10 per 1000

10 per 1000

(8 to 14)

OR 1.06
(0.79 to 1.41)

8242
(4 studies)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
lowb,e

*The basis for the assumed risk is the median control group risk across studies. The corresponding risk (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI)
CI: confidence interval; OR: odds ratio

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: Further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect
Moderate quality: Further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate
Low quality: Further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate
Very low quality: We are very uncertain about the estimate

aDowngraded two levels for very serious risk of bias: poor reporting of study methods, high attrition and/or potential conflict of interest in most studies

bDowngraded one level for serious imprecision: low event rate. Findings compatible with meaningful benefit in one or both arms, or with no effect

cDowngraded one level for serious risk of low applicability: Some studies compare doses of tibolone that have not been marketed (although downgrading has no effect on rating, as study already rated very low)

dDowngraded one level for serious risk of bias: poor reporting of study methods and potential conflict of interest in most studies

eDowngraded one level for potential conflict of interest (funding by pharmaceutical companies)

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings 2. Tibolone compared with placebo for postmenopausal women: adverse events
Summary of findings 3. Tibolone compared with combined HT for treatment of vasomotor symptoms in postmenopausal women

Tibolone compared with combined HT for postmenopausal women: vasomotor symptoms

Population: postmenopausal women with vasomotor symptoms
Settings: outpatient or community
Intervention: tibolone
Comparison: combined HT

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

Number of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Assumed risk

Corresponding risk

Combined HT

Tibolone

Vasomotor symptoms (tibolone 2.5 mg/d)
Follow‐up: 3 to 12 months

70 per 1000

110 per 1000

(80 to 140)

OR 1.57
(1.18 to 2.1)

646

(4 studies)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
moderatea

From a sensitivity analysis excluding studies with high risk of attrition bias. An inclusive analysis (9 studies, 1336 participants) suggests a similar but slightly reduced disadvantage of tibolone (OR (95% CI) 1.36 (1.11 to 1.66))

*The basis for the assumed risk is the median control group risk across studies. The corresponding risk (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI)
CI: confidence interval; OR: odds ratio

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: Further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect
Moderate quality: Further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate
Low quality: Further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate
Very low quality: We are very uncertain about the estimate

aDowngraded one level for serious risk of bias: poor reporting of study methods and potential conflict of interest in all studies. Effect estimate robust to a sensitivity analysis excluding studies at high risk of attrition bias

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings 3. Tibolone compared with combined HT for treatment of vasomotor symptoms in postmenopausal women
Summary of findings 4. Tibolone compared with combined HT for postmenopausal women: adverse events

Tibolone compared with combined HT for postmenopausal women: adverse events

Population: postmenopausal women with or without vasomotor symptoms
Settings: outpatient or community
Intervention: tibolone
Comparison: combined HT

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

Number of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Assumed risk

Corresponding risk

Combined HT

Tibolone

Unscheduled bleeding (all doses)
Follow‐up: 3 to 36 months (median 12)

474 per 1000

224 per 1000
(178 to 270)

OR 0.32
(0.24 to 0.41)

6438
(16 studies)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
moderatea

Endometrial cancer (all doses)
Follow‐up: 6.8 to 36 months (median 12)

See comments

OR 1.47
(0.23 to 9.33)

3689
(5 studies)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
very lowb,c

Events very rare in both groups. Total of 3 events: 2/1826 in tibolone group, 1/1863 in combined HT group

Breast cancer; women without previous breast cancer (all doses)
Follow‐up: 6.8 to 36 months (median 24)

3 per 1000

6 per 1000

(3 to 13)

OR 1.69
(0.78 to 3.67)

4835
(5 studies)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
very lowb,c

Venous thromboembolic events (clinical evaluation; all doses)
Follow‐up: 6.8 to 24 months (median 12)

3 per 1000

1 per 1000

(0 to 6)

OR 0.44
(0.09 to 2.14)

4529
(4 studies)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
very lowb,c

Cardiovascular events (all doses)
Follow‐up: 2 to 3 years

17 per 1000

10 per 1000

(4 to 27)

OR 0.63
(0.24 to 1.66)

3794
(2 studies)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
very lowb,c

Cerebrovascular event (all doses)
Follow‐up: 3.4 to 24 (median 9.4) months

1 per 1000

1 per 1000

(0 to 3)

OR 0.76
(0.16 to 3.66)

4562
(4 studies)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
very lowb,c

Mortality from any cause (tibolone 2.5 mg/d)
Follow‐up: 3.4 to 24 (median 9.4) months

See comments

OR 3.05
(0.12 to 75.2)

970
(2 studies)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
very lowb,c

Only 1 event (in tibolone group): 1/485 vs 0/485

*The basis for the assumed risk is the median control group risk across studies. The corresponding risk (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI)
CI: confidence interval; OR: odds ratio

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: Further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect
Moderate quality: Further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate
Low quality: Further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate
Very low quality: We are very uncertain about the estimate

aDowngraded one level for serious risk of bias: poor reporting of study methods and potential conflict of interest in some studies

bDowngraded two levels for very serious risk of bias: poor reporting of study methods and potential conflict of interest in some studies

cDowngraded one level for serious imprecision: low event rate. Findings compatible with meaningful benefit in one or both arms, or with no effect

Figuras y tablas -
Summary of findings 4. Tibolone compared with combined HT for postmenopausal women: adverse events
Table 1. Details on RCTs assessing vasomotor symptoms requiring additional data or analysis before data synthesis

Study

Comparator

Outcome measure

Information available

Notes

Results for meta‐analysis

SMD

Al‐Azzawi 1999

HT

Presence of vasomotor symptoms, severity measured by Greene menopausal symptoms scale

6 HRT and 9 tibolone patients were without symptoms at baseline. 67 HRT and 58 tibolone patients were free at month 3

Contacted study authors, no reply

Baracat 2002

HT

Total score: mean number of hot flushes per day multiplied by severity score

Means plotted as bar chart in Figure 1.

Baseline, 11 for tibolone (n = 40), 12 for control (n = 45).

At 3 months, 1.8 for tibolone and 1.5 for control. At 13 months,

0.2 for both

Would have to impute SDs – ‘no significant difference’

Unclear how to do this, given the available info

Unable to find contact details

Benedeck‐Jaszmann 1987

Placebo

0 to 3 severity score

12 months

From Fig 1:

Mean

P: 1.6

T: 0.6

SD

P: 1

T: 0.9

N

P: 19

T: 24 (assuming 30 per arm to start, not explicitly stated)

Extracted from figure

Mean

P: 1.6

T: 0.6

SD

P: 1

T: 0.9

N

P: 19

T: 24

SMD: ‐1.0384784 SE: 0.3268612

Bouchard 2012

Placebo

Severity score

Calculate 12 week values

P: 1.59

T: 1.16

Sample sizes of 150 (P) and 164 (T)

Wk 12

Use SD from sample size calc, which is in line with other studies

P: Mean 1.59

SD 0.9

N = 150

T: Mean 1.16

SD: 0.9

N = 164

SMD: ‐0.4766282

SE: 0.1145686

Egarter 1996

HT

Severity of hot flushes (modified Kupperman Index)

Baseline mean

C: 2.1

T: 2.2

6 months

C: 0.4

T: 0.4

‘N/S’

N = 34 (C)

N = 62 (T)

Impute SD ‐ unclear how to

Contacted study authors: no reply

Hammar 2007

HT

Number of hot flushes

Week 48, baseline mean of both groups 6, follow‐up mean ≤ 1

Baseline SD

C: 4.40

T: 4.37

N = 241 (C)

N = 222 (T)

Use baseline SDs (these appear reasonable, given Landgren 2002)

C: mean 1, SD 4.40;

N = 241

T: mean 1, SD 4.37

N = 222

SMD: 0.00

SE: 0.09302624

Hudita 2003

Placebo (3 –arm study)

5‐point severity scale for hot flushes

Week 24

P: 3

T: 1.25 mg: 0.2

T: 2.5mg: 0.1

N = 34

N = 45

N = 41

P < 0.01 for both compared with placebo

Split control group size between 2 arms

Used P value to calculate SD

Get implausible answers. Used known value instead (e.g. Hammar 1998)

Mean

P: 3

T: 1.25 mg: 0.2

T: 2.5 mg: 0.1

N

N = 34/2 = 17

N = 45

N = 41

SD

P: 0.63

T: 1.25: 0.87

T: 2.5: 0.87

1.25

SMD: ‐3.4009511

SE: 0.4175209

2.5

SMD: ‐3.5375963

SE: 0.4371477

Kokcu 2000

HT

Occurrence of hot flushes

OR: 4.16 (0.75 to 22.9)

2/19 have symptoms in C

12/19 have symptoms in T

SMD: 1.6236743

SE: 0.5369759

Landgren 2002

Placebo (5‐arm study)

Frequency of hot flushes

Read means and SEs at 12 weeks from Figure 1

Mean

P = 5.2

T 0.625 = 5

T 1.25 = 2.1

T 2.5 = 1.8

T 5.0 = 1.6

Standard error

P = 0.37

T 0.625 = 0.37

T 1.25 = 0.40

T 2.5 = 0.43

T 5.0 = 0.37

Ns (calculated as all evaluable – dropouts ‐this assumes dropout occurred after 1st measurement at week 4)

P = 113

T 0.625 = 129

T 1.25 = 124

T 2.5 = 139

T 5.0 = 136

Read means and SEs from Figure 1

Calculated SDs using SEs and sample sizes

Split placebo group size in 4

113/4 = 28.25

Mean

P = 5.2

T 0.625 = 5

T 1.25 = 2.1

T 2.5 = 1.8

T 5.0 = 1.6

SD

P = 3.93

T 0.625 = 4.20

T 1.25 = 4.45

T 2.5 = 5.07

T 5.0 = 4.31

N (calculated as all evaluable – dropouts – this assumes dropout occurred after 1st measurement at week 4)

P = 28.25

T 0.625 = 129

T 1.25 = 124

T 2.5 = 139

T 5.0 = 136

0.625

SMD: ‐0.04792794

SE: 0.20552850

1.25

SMD: ‐0.7077526

SE: 0.2102005

2.5

SMD: ‐0.6912512

SE: 0.2076033

5.0

SMD: ‐0.8437215

SE: 0.2097448

Mendoza 2002

HT

Flushes subscore of the Modified Kupperman Index, 0 to 2 score

Number (%) reduced

Have number and percentage that improved in terms of vasomotor symptoms after 1 year

Have 2 possible control groups – choose the best performing to give a conservative estimate

25/26 reduced in control group

27/29 reduced in T groups

Calculate odds ratio for reduced vasomotor symptoms. Turn this into an SMD for combination

(27/2)/(25/1) = 0.54

SE log(OR) =

Sqrt(1/27+1/2+1/25+1/1)

= 1.26

OR for improvement: OR = 0.54

SE(log(OR)) = 1.26

(so T worse)

SMD: 0.3734461

SE: 0.7610917

Nappi 2006a

HT

Vasomotor symptoms (0 to 3 severity score)

At 6 months

Means from Figure 4

C: 1.75

T: 1.5

P value for treatment term in ANOVA given as ‘P < 0.4’

N = 20 in both groups

Assume ANOVA P value is 0.4 and work out SDs as though this was a t‐test

Gives SD of 0.657, assuming same in both groups

SMD: ‐0.3729492

SE: 0.3189649

Ross 1999

HT

Greene Climacteric Scale subscore

Nothing usable. Only present 1 of 6 relevant comparisons because it is almost significant. Do not present 3 month score

Siseles 1995

HT

Kupperman Index

No information given for vasomotor subscale

Have contacted study authors, no reply

Swanson 2006

Placebo (3‐arm study)

Number of hot flushes per day

Median change from baseline at week 12

‐5.5 P

‐9.7 T 2.5

‐8.3 T 1.25

P < 0.001 for T 2.5 vs P

P < 0.003 for T 125 vs P

N

P: 133

T 2.5: 125

T 1.25: 133

Actually, mean changes at week 12 and P values given in abstract

T 2.5 vs P

‐10.14 vs ‐5.85, P < 0.001

T 1.25 vs P, week12

‐8.32

P < 0.003

Use reported values and calculate as for t‐tests. Split placebo group in half.

Will have to impute SDs and final scores, as changes cannot be pooled with final scores if SMDs are used.

For baseline, take median of values from Hammar 2007 and Landgren 2002

6,6,8,8,8,9,9.7

Mean 7.8. Too low – Figure 2 shows large changes. Say, 10

P: 10 ‐ 5.85 = 4.15

T 2.5: 10 ‐ 10 = 0

T 1.25: 10 ‐ 8.32 = 1.68

SDs too large when calculated from t‐test. Use values from Langren:

P: 3.93

T 2.5: 5.07

T 1.25: 4.45

Mean

P: 10 ‐ 5.85 = 4.15

T 2.5: 10 ‐ 10 = 0

T 1.25: 10 ‐ 8.32 = 1.68

SD

P: 3.93

T 2.5: 5.07

T 1.25: 4.45

N

P: 66

T 2.5: 125

T 1.25: 133

1.25

SMD: ‐0.5741771133

SE: 0.1532927

2.5

SMD: ‐0.9661562

SE: 0.1599848

Vieira 2009

Placebo

Kupperman Index

Only overall Kupperman Index shown

Have contacted study authors, no reply

Volpe 1986

Placebo

HT

0 to 9 score, with

0 = absent, 3 = mild, 6 = moderate, 9 = severe

Unclear whether intermediate scores are possible

Can extract means for 24 weeks for tibolone arm, placebo arm and each of several HT arms, which have been partially combined, from Figure 1 in the paper

No real way to calculate SD from info in the paper, and the scale is different from those used in other studies (so not reasonable to use one from another study)

Wender 2004

Placebo

Kupperman Index

Only overall Kupperman Index shown

Have contacted study authors, no reply

Figuras y tablas -
Table 1. Details on RCTs assessing vasomotor symptoms requiring additional data or analysis before data synthesis
Table 2. Details on RCTs assessing vaginal dryness requiring additional data or analysis before data synthesis

Study

Comparator

Outcome measure

Information available

Method used

Results for meta‐analysis

SMD

Hudita 2003

Placebo (3‐arm study)

0 to 4 scale

From figure

Week 24

P: 2.6

T 1.25 mg: 1

T 2.5 mg: 0.9

N = 34/2 = 17

N = 45

N = 41

Split control group size between 2 arms

Use known value from other study for SD

Use those from Nappi 2006a

SD

T: 0.89

HT: 0.89

Mean

P: 2.6

T 1.25 mg: 1

T 2.5 mg: 0.9

N

N = 34/2 = 17

N = 45

N = 41

SD

P: 0.89

T 1.25: 0.89

T 2.5: 0.89

1.25mg

SMD: ‐1.7751711

SE: 0.3262804

2.5mg

SMD: ‐1.8843965

SE: 0.3373802

Kenemans 2009

Placebo

Vaginal dryness as binary

P: 33/1558

T: 19/1575

Convert OR to SMD

P: 33/1558

T: 19/1575

Swanson 2006

Placebo (3‐arm study)

0 to 3 score

Mean change from baseline at week 12

P: ‐0.2

T 2.5: ‐0.26

T 1.25: ‐0.39

N

P: 133

T 2.5: 125

T 1.25: 133

Split control group size between 2 arms

Calculate final means using baseline and change – but no baseline values given

Would also need to use SDs from another study

Cannot use

Huber 2002

HT

Vaginal dryness as binary

HT: 7/166

T: 6/158

Convert OR to SMD

HT: 7/166

T: 6/158

SMD: ‐0.06613757

SE: 0.34411866

Kokcu 2000

HT

Vaginal dryness as binary

HT: 0/21

T: 1/23

Convert OR to SMD

HT: 0/21

T: 1/23

SMD: 0.6382727

SE: 1.0064298

Ziaei 2010

HT and placebo

Vaginal dryness as binary

Also, lubrication scores 1 to 5, higher is better – can reverse signs of mean differences

HT: 20/42

T: 33/47

P: 37/48

Mean

HT: 4.93

T: 4.58

P: 3.65

SD

HT: 1.95

T: 1.26

P: 1.81

Use the continuous data

Calculate and reverse sign, so that greater = increased vaginal dryness

HT: 20/42

T: 33/47

P: 37/48

Using OR to SMD

vs HT

SMD: 0.5774306 0.2691251

vs placebo

SMD ‐0.5904427

SE: 0.2096301

Using lubrication scores

vs HT:

SMD after switching sign:

0.2138954

SE: 0.2129393

vs placebo: SMD after switching sign: ‐0.1313959 SE: 0.2185150

Nappi 2006a

HT

Vaginal dryness 0 to 3 score

From Figure 4, mean at 6 months

Mean

T: 0.7

HC: 0.6

SD: can read SE off Figure 4 and calculate SD

N = 20 both groups

SD: can read SE off Figure 4 and calculate SD

T: 0.89

HT: 0.89

Mean

T: 0.7

HC: 0.6

SD

T: 0.89

HT: 0.89

N = 20

SMD: 0.1101248

SE: 0.3164674

Uygur 2005

HT

7‐point scale with ‐3 as worsened a lot and 3 as improved a lot

6 months

Mean (higher is better)

HT: 0

T: 0.56

N

HT: 34

T: 38

P < 0.05 given. Assume P = 0.05 and calculate SD, assuming equal in 2 groups:

Gives SD = 1.7

Mean (higher is better)

HT: 0

T: 0.56

N

HT: 34

T: 38

Sd=1.7 for both

SMD after sign change: ‐0.3258676 0.2376236

Figuras y tablas -
Table 2. Details on RCTs assessing vaginal dryness requiring additional data or analysis before data synthesis
Comparison 1. Tibolone versus placebo

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Vasomotor symptoms Show forest plot

7

1657

Std. Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

‐0.99 [‐1.10, ‐0.89]

1.1 Tibolone 0.625 mg/d

1

158

Std. Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

‐0.05 [‐0.46, 0.36]

1.2 Tibolone 1.25 mg/day

3

414

Std. Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

‐0.83 [‐1.06, ‐0.60]

1.3 Tibolone 2.5 mg/day

7

920

Std. Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

‐1.16 [‐1.30, ‐1.03]

1.4 Tibolone 5 mg/day

1

165

Std. Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

‐0.84 [‐1.25, ‐0.43]

2 Unscheduled bleeding Show forest plot

9

7814

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

2.79 [2.10, 3.70]

2.1 Tibolone, 2.5 mg/day

8

4186

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

2.58 [1.89, 3.52]

2.2 Tibolone, 1.25 mg/day

3

3628

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

3.63 [2.37, 5.55]

3 Endometrial cancer Show forest plot

9

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

3.1 Tibolone, all doses

9

8504

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

2.04 [0.79, 5.24]

4 Breast cancer; women without previous breast cancer Show forest plot

4

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

4.1 Tibolone, all doses

4

5500

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.52 [0.21, 1.25]

5 Breast cancer; women with previous breast cancer Show forest plot

2

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

5.1 Tibolone, 2.5 mg/day

2

3165

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.50 [1.21, 1.85]

6 Venous thromboembolic events (clinical evaluation) Show forest plot

5

9176

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.85 [0.37, 1.97]

6.1 Tibolone (all doses)

5

9176

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.85 [0.37, 1.97]

7 Cardiovascular events Show forest plot

4

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

7.1 Tibolone, all doses

4

8401

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.38 [0.84, 2.27]

8 Cerebrovascular events; women's mean age over 60 years Show forest plot

4

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

8.1 Tibolone (all doses)

4

7930

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.74 [0.99, 3.04]

9 Mortality from any cause Show forest plot

4

8242

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.06 [0.79, 1.41]

9.1 Tibolone, 2.5 mg/day

3

3736

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.94 [0.32, 2.73]

9.2 Tibolone, 1.25 mg/day

1

4506

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.93 [0.54, 1.59]

10 Insomnia Show forest plot

3

3432

Std. Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

‐0.19 [‐0.38, ‐0.00]

10.1 Tibolone, 2.5 mg/day

3

3432

Std. Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

‐0.19 [‐0.38, ‐0.00]

11 Vaginal dryness and painful sexual intercourse Show forest plot

3

3348

Std. Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

‐0.66 [‐0.90, ‐0.43]

11.1 Tibolone, 1.25mg/day

1

62

Std. Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

‐1.78 [‐2.43, ‐1.13]

11.2 Tibolone, 2.5 mg/day

3

3286

Std. Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

‐0.49 [‐0.75, ‐0.24]

12 Vaginal infections Show forest plot

2

7639

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

2.50 [1.24, 5.06]

12.1 Tibolone, 2.5 mg/day

1

3133

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.73 [1.17, 2.55]

12.2 Tibolone, 1.25 mg/day

1

4506

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

3.54 [2.61, 4.81]

13 Urinary tract infections Show forest plot

1

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

13.1 Tibolone, 2.5 mg/day

1

3133

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.70 [0.46, 1.06]

14 Endometrial hyperplasia Show forest plot

4

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

14.1 Tibolone, all doses

4

4518

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.20 [0.23, 6.25]

15 Sensitivity Analysis ‐ Vasomotor symptoms without trials with high risk of attrition bias Show forest plot

4

Std. Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

‐0.61 [‐0.73, ‐0.49]

15.1 Tibolone 0.625 mg/day

1

Std. Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

‐0.05 [‐0.46, 0.36]

15.2 Tibolone 1.25 mg/day

2

Std. Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

‐0.62 [‐0.86, ‐0.38]

15.3 Tibolone 2.5 mg/day

4

Std. Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

‐0.65 [‐0.80, ‐0.50]

15.4 Tibolone 5 mg/day

1

Std. Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

‐0.84 [‐1.25, ‐0.43]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 1. Tibolone versus placebo
Comparison 2. Tibolone versus oestrogens

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Vasomotor symptoms Show forest plot

2

108

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.23 [0.35, 4.34]

2 Insomnia Show forest plot

1

50

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.0 [0.0, 0.0]

3 Vaginal dryness and painful sexual intercourse Show forest plot

1

50

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.32 [0.01, 8.25]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 2. Tibolone versus oestrogens
Comparison 3. Tibolone versus combined HT

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Vasomotor symptoms Show forest plot

9

1336

Std. Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.17 [0.06, 0.28]

1.1 Tibolone, 2.5 mg/day

9

1336

Std. Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.17 [0.06, 0.28]

2 Unscheduled bleeding Show forest plot

16

6438

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.32 [0.24, 0.41]

2.1 Tibolone, 2.5 mg/day

16

4720

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.34 [0.26, 0.45]

2.2 Tibolone, 1.25 mg/day

2

1718

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.21 [0.16, 0.26]

3 Endometrial cancer Show forest plot

5

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

3.1 Tibolone, 2.5 mg/day

5

3689

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.47 [0.23, 9.33]

4 Breast cancer; women without previous breast cancer Show forest plot

5

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

4.1 Tibolone (all doses)

5

4835

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.69 [0.78, 3.67]

5 Venous thromboembolic events (clinical evaluation) Show forest plot

4

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

5.1 Tibolone (all doses)

4

4529

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.44 [0.09, 2.14]

6 Cardiovascular events; all women's mean age below 60 years. No data available on different doses Show forest plot

2

3794

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.63 [0.24, 1.66]

7 Cerebrovascular events; women's mean age below 60 years Show forest plot

4

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

7.1 Tibolone (all doses)

4

4562

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.76 [0.16, 3.66]

8 Mortality from any cause Show forest plot

2

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

8.1 Tibolone, 2.5 mg/day

2

970

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

3.05 [0.12, 75.20]

9 Endometrial hyperplasia Show forest plot

5

2846

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.35 [0.05, 2.21]

9.1 Tibolone, 2.5 mg/day

5

1549

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.35 [0.04, 3.36]

9.2 Tibolone, 1.25 mg/day

1

1297

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.34 [0.01, 8.48]

10 Vaginal dryness and painful sexual intercourse Show forest plot

7

1098

Std. Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.02 [‐0.12, 0.17]

10.1 Tibolone, 2.5 mg/day

7

1098

Std. Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.02 [‐0.12, 0.17]

11 Sensitivity Analysis ‐ Vasomotor symptoms without trials with high risk of attrition bias Show forest plot

4

Std. Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.25 [0.09, 0.41]

12 Sensitivity analysis ‐ vasomotor symptoms ‐ excluding studies with attrition bias and using nonvalidated scales Show forest plot

3

Std. Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

‐0.03 [‐0.30, 0.23]

13 Vasomotor symptoms ‐ ordered by duration Show forest plot

9

Std. Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.17 [0.06, 0.28]

13.1 Tibolone, 2.5 mg/day

9

Std. Mean Difference (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.17 [0.06, 0.28]

Figuras y tablas -
Comparison 3. Tibolone versus combined HT